CHAP 4 Normal Distribution
CHAP 4 Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is a specific example of a continuous probability distribution, with many
important applications in statistics and finance. Many ‘real world’ populations are believed to
conform to the normal distribution.
We write X ~ N(x, 2x ) where x and x , are the mean and variance of the distribution of X.
2
When working with the random variable X ~ N(x, x ), it is often useful to define the related
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X − x
Z=
x
If a random variable, X, has a probability density function that is symmetrical and bell-shaped
with certain restrictions placed on the precise shape of the bell-curve, X is said to follow the
normal distribution.
The random variable Z follows the standard normal distribution. Z has a mean of 0 and variance
of 1 Z ~ N(0,1).
x − x
P(X ≤ x) = P(Z ≤ z), where z =
x
Probabilities for the standard normal distribution (Z) are available from statistical tables. We can
use the tables to evaluate probabilities for any normal random variable (X), simply by standardizing
(converting X to Z) and then looking up the required probability.
4.3 Area under a normal curve
Probability of z-score.
Thus,
If P(Z < z) = 1 – P (Z>z)
If P(Z > -z) = 1 – P (Z>z)
If P(Z < -z) = 1– [1– P (Z>z)]
Example 1
Find the area under the normal curve between z = 0 and z = 1.95.
The area between z = 0 and z = 1.95 can be interpreted as the probability that z assumes a value
between 0 and 1.95; that is,
Therefore the area under the standard normal distribution between 0 and 1.95 is 0.5-0.0256
= 0.4744
Example 2
Solution:
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Exercise
1) Intelligence quotients (IQs) measured on the Stanford Revision of the Binet-Simon Intelligence
Scale are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 16. Determine the
percentage of people who have IQs between 115 and 140.
2) Anticipated consumer demand for certain product next month can be represented by a
normal distribution with mean 1200 units, and standard deviation 100 units. What is the
probability that sales will exceed 1000 units?
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The zα Notation
The symbol zα is used to denote the z-score that has an area of α to its right under the
standard normal curve.
Example 4
find
a) Z 0.025
b) Z 0.05
Solution