Write your name here

Surname Other names

Centre Number Candidate Number

Pearson
Edexcel GCSE
Statistics
Paper 1H

Higher Tier
Thursday 22 June 2017 – Morning Paper Reference

Time: 2 hours 5ST1H/01

You must have: Total Marks
Ruler graduated in centimetres and millimetres, protractor, pen
HB pencil, eraser, electronic calculator.

Instructions
• Use black ink or ball-point pen.
• centre
Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,
number and candidate number.
• Answer allthequestions.
Answer
• – there may bequestions in the spaces provided
more space than you need.

Information
• The total mark for this paper is 100.
• – usemarks
The for each question are shown in brackets
this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
• written
Questions labelled with an asterisk (*) are ones where the quality of your
communication will be assessed
– you should take particular care on these questions with your spelling, punctuation
and grammar, as well as the clarity of expression.

Advice
• Keep
Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
• Try toananswer
eye on the time.
• Check your answers
every question.
• if you have time at the end.

Turn over

P48756A
©2017 Pearson Education Ltd.

6/6/6/6/6/
*P48756A0128*
 Higher Tier Formulae

You must not write on this page.

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Anything you write on this page will gain NO credit.

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¦ G 
6SHDUPDQ¶V5DQN&RUUHODWLRQ&RHIILFLHQW 
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2
*P48756A0228*
 Answer ALL the questions.
Write your answers in the spaces provided.
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You must write down all the stages in your working.

1 The time series graph shows the total amount of money (£ billion) in Individual Savings
Accounts in the United Kingdom for the years 2005–2014

500

450

400
Amount
(£ billion)
350
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300

250

200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Year
Source: HMRC

(a) Write down the total amount of money in Individual Savings Accounts for the year 2014

£. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . billion
(1)
(b) (i) Draw a trend line on the time series graph.
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(ii) Describe the trend.

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(2)
(c) Explain why using the trend line to predict the total amount of money in
Individual Savings Accounts for the year 2016 may be unreliable.

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(1)
(Total for Question 1 is 4 marks)

3
*P48756A0328* Turn over
2 Kunal was investigating the ages of owners of electronic tablets.
He used information from a survey carried out in the USA in 2012 to find the age

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distribution for a representative 100 people.
Kunal then drew this cumulative frequency graph for his information.

100

80
Cumulative frequency

60

40

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20

0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Age of owner (years)
Source: adapted from comScore

(a) Find the number of these electronic tablet owners that are
(i) under 30 years old,
.......................................................

(ii) between 60 and 70 years old.

.......................................................

(3)
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Kunal wants to use this survey to predict the percentage of electronic tablet owners in the
United Kingdom that are under 30 years old.
(b) Explain whether or not it is sensible to use the results of this survey for his prediction.

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(2)

4
*P48756A0428*
 This table gives information, from the same 2012 USA survey, about the ages of owners
of smartphones.
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Median 36 years

Interquartile range 23 years

*(c) Use the information from the table and from the graph to compare the ages of owners
of electronic tablets with the ages of owners of smartphones in the USA.

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(4)

(Total for Question 2 is 9 marks)

5
*P48756A0528* Turn over
3 In a survey people were asked this question.

“How much does a first class stamp cost for a standard letter?”

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The composite bar chart shows information about the answers given by people in two
different age groups.

100
90
Key:
80 Don’t know
70 Too high
60 Correct
Percentage 50 Too low

40
30

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20
10
0
16–34 35–54 55 and older
Age group
Source: Ofcom Residential Postal Tracker

(a) Use the composite bar chart to find the percentage of the 35–54 age group that gave
an answer that is
(i) too low,

....................................................... %
(ii) correct.
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....................................................... %
(3)

6
*P48756A0628*
 Here is information about the answers given by people in the 55 and older age group.
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Age group

Cost of first class stamp 55 and older

Too low 16%

Correct 38%

Too high 14%

Don’t know 32%

Total 100%

(b) Use the information in the table to complete the composite bar chart for people in the
55 and older age group.
(3)
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(c) Compare the answers given by people in the 16–34 age group with the answers given
by people in the 35–54 age group.

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(2)

(Total for Question 3 is 8 marks)

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7
*P48756A0728* Turn over
4 A research company wants to find out how likely people in Great Britain are to vote in
the next General Election.

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The population is defined as all the voters in Great Britain.
(a) Suggest a suitable sampling frame.

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(1)
The company is going to carry out its research by telephone.
(b) Give an advantage of collecting this information by telephone rather than using a
postal questionnaire.

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(1)
(c) Give one possible source of bias with a telephone survey.

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(1)
The company asked 1000 people the following question.
On a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being certain not to vote and 10 being certain to vote,
how likely are you to vote in the next General Election?

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Certain Certain
not to vote to vote

The table shows the percentage of people giving each response. DO NOT WRITE IN THIS AREA

Response 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Percentage 6 2 3 1 8 3 4 7 5 61

Source: Ipsos MORI

(d) Work out the number of people giving a response of 6 or higher.

.......................................................

(2)
(Total for Question 4 is 5 marks)

8
*P48756A0828*
 5 Ruchi is investigating the relationship between an athlete’s height and the time the athlete
takes to run 100 metres.
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(a) Suggest a hypothesis she could use to investigate this.

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(1)
Ruchi collects the data for the following variables.

The age of the athlete

The gender of the athlete
The hair colour of the athlete
*(b) Which one of these variables is best represented on a stem and leaf diagram?
Give a reason for your answer.

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(2)
Ruchi also collects the data for the following variables.

The shoe size of the athlete

The number of steps taken to run 100 metres
The time taken to run 100 metres
*(c) Which one of these variables is best represented on a histogram?
Give a reason for your answer.

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(2)
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Ruchi wants to find out whether or not the distribution of the heights of the athletes is
skewed. She finds the lower quartile and the upper quartile of the distribution.
(d) Write down the name of another statistic for the distribution that she will need to find.

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(1)

(Total for Question 5 is 6 marks)

9
*P48756A0928* Turn over
6 Pablo takes a reading test, a writing test and a speaking test.
Each test has the same total score.

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The table shows Pablo’s score in each test.

Test Score

Reading 55

Writing 41

Speaking 57

(a) Calculate Pablo’s mean test score.

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(1)
Each test score is now given a weighting.

Test Score Weighting

Reading 55 30

Writing 41 45

Speaking 57 25

(b) (i) Describe in words why Pablo’s weighted mean test score will be less than his
mean test score.

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(ii) Calculate Pablo’s weighted mean test score.

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(3)

10
*P48756A01028*
 The frequency table shows information about the reading test score, x, for 50 students.
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Score Frequency

30  x - 40 1

40  x - 50 3

50  x - 60 12

60  x - 70 18

70  x - 80 12

80  x - 90 3

90  x - 100 1

Pablo scored 55 on this reading test.

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(c) Calculate an estimate for the number of students who scored higher than Pablo on the
reading test.

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(2)
(d) Calculate the standard deviation of the 50 reading test scores.
  <RXPD\XVHȈ fx DQGȈfx 2 = 217850
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(2)
(e) Give one reason why it may be better to summarise the spread of these test scores
using the standard deviation rather than the interquartile range.

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(1)

(Total for Question 6 is 9 marks)

11
*P48756A01128* Turn over
7 The table shows the chain base index numbers for the price of an annual season rail ticket
from Gloucester to Birmingham for each of the years 2011 to 2015

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Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Chain base index number 109 106 104 103 102

Source: Transport Focus

(a) Describe what the chain base index numbers show about the price of an annual
season rail ticket for the years 2010 to 2015

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(2)

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The cost of an annual season rail ticket in 2010 was £3032
(b) Work out the cost of the ticket in 2011

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(2)
(c) Show that the cost of an annual season rail ticket has increased by more than 25%
over the period from 2010 to 2015

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(2)

(Total for Question 7 is 6 marks)

12
*P48756A01228*
 8 Ashley collected information about house prices in her town last year.
She drew this box plot for this information.
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0 1 2 3 4 5 6
House prices (£100000s)
Source: Land Registry

Ashley says that more than half the houses had a price greater than £200000
(a) Explain how the box plot can be used to support what Ashley says.

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(1)
The greatest price was £500000
(b) Show, by calculation, that this price is an outlier.

(3)
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(Total for Question 8 is 4 marks)

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*P48756A01328* Turn over
9 The owner of a bakery wants to open a new store in a large town.
He wants to find out where the residents of the town want the store to be located.

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(a) The owner of the bakery may have to use primary data.
Give a reason why.

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(1)
The owner is going to select a sample of the town’s residents.
He has to decide on an appropriate size for his sample.
(b) Give one possible problem if the sample size is too small.

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(1)

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14
*P48756A01428*
 The owner will choose between two sampling methods.
Method 1: Grouping the town into 8 geographical regions.
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Then selecting all of the residents in two randomly selected regions.

Method 2: Grouping the town into 8 geographical regions.
Then randomly selecting residents from each region in proportion to the
number of residents in that region.
(c) (i) Write down the name of sampling Method 1

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(ii) Write down the name of sampling Method 2

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(2)
*(d) Give two advantages of using Method 2 rather than Method 1

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(2)
The owner is going to ask this question on a questionnaire.

“How far are you willing to travel to shop at the new store?”

(e) Design suitable response boxes for this question.

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(2)

(Total for Question 9 is 8 marks)

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*P48756A01528* Turn over
10 The table shows the annual average ice cream consumption, in litres/person, and the
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, in US Dollars, for 7 countries.

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Ice cream GDP per Ice cream GDP per d
Country consumption capita consumption capita (difference
(litres/person) (US Dollars) ranks ranks in ranks)

Norway 10.8 100 800 1

Sweden 10.4 60 400 2

Italy 6.3 35 900 3

Croatia 6.1 13 600 4

France 6.0 42 500 5

Greece 5.5 21 900 6

Bulgaria 2.3 7 500 7

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Source: Euroglaces and World Bank

 D L 6KRZWKDWIRUWKHVHGDWD™d 2 = 10

(ii) Calculate Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient for these data.

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(4)
16
*P48756A01628*
 (b) Describe the correlation found in part (a)(ii).
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(1)
The data for the GDP is converted from US Dollars to Euros.
(c) Describe the effect this conversion will have on your answer to part (a)(ii).

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(1)
Daniel thinks that greater ice cream consumption causes the GDP per capita of a country
to increase.
(d) Discuss whether or not the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient from part (a)(ii)
can be used to support what Daniel thinks.
Give a reason for your answer.

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(1)

(Total for Question 10 is 7 marks)

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17
*P48756A01728* Turn over
11 The temperature and rainfall in Miami were recorded every day for 30 days.
The Venn diagram shows information about the number of days when the maximum

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temperature was above 29qC and the number of days when it rained.

Temperature Rain
above 29qC

10 6 5

Source: www.weather.com

One of these days is selected at random.

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(a) Find the probability that on this day
(i) the maximum temperature was above 29qC,

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(ii) it did not rain,

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(iii) the maximum temperature was above 29qC or it rained or both.

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(4)

18
*P48756A01828*
 Two of the days are selected at random.
(b) Find the probability that on both of these days the maximum temperature was
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above 29qC and it rained.

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(2)
Greg thinks when it rains in Miami there is less chance that the maximum temperature
will be above 29qC than when it does not rain.
(c) By comparing two suitable probabilities, comment on what Greg thinks.

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(2)

(Total for Question 11 is 8 marks)

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19
*P48756A01928* Turn over
12 A scientist wants to estimate the number of geese living around a lake.
The scientist captures a sample of 45 geese and puts a tag on each one. He then releases

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the geese.
The scientist waits one day and captures a sample of 18 geese.
He finds that 2 of these geese each have a tag.
(a) Estimate the total number of geese living around the lake.

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(2)
(b) Give a statistical reason why the scientist waits one day before taking the second
sample.

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(1)
The scientist returns to the lake 1 year later and captures a sample of 18 geese.
He finds that 1 of these geese has a tag.
(c) Discuss the reliability of using this sample to estimate the total number of geese now
living around the lake.

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(2)

(Total for Question 12 is 5 marks)

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 13 A coffee machine is designed to produce 150 millilitres of coffee per serving.
For quality control, random samples of 3 servings are taken and the range of each sample
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is found.
A quality control chart is used to plot the sample ranges.
The first 6 sample ranges have been plotted.

5 action limit for range

4 warning limit for range

Sample
range 3
(millilitres)
2

1
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0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sample number

(a) Describe what action should be taken after the 6th sample.

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(1)
The amounts of coffee, in millilitres, in the 7th sample are

147.4 152.6 152.1

(b) (i) Find the value of the sample range for this sample.
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....................................................... millilitres
(ii) Plot this sample range on the quality control chart.
(iii) Describe what action should be taken after the 7th sample.

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(3)
(Total for Question 13 is 4 marks)

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*P48756A02128* Turn over
14 There are 10 marbles in a bag.
7 of the marbles are red.

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3 of the marbles are blue.
One marble is taken at random from the bag.
The colour of the marble is recorded and the marble is put back into the bag.
This process is repeated until the colour of each of 5 marbles has been recorded.
(a) (i) Write down the probability that the first marble taken from the bag is red.

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(ii) Calculate the probability that the first 2 marbles taken from the bag are both red.

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(3)
(b) Calculate the probability that more than half of the 5 marbles taken from the bag
are red.
You may use ( p + q)5 = p5 + 5p 4 q + 10p 3 q 2 + 10p 2q3 + 5pq 4 + q5

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(3)

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 (c) Show that the most likely number of red marbles taken from the bag is 4
You may use ( p + q)5 = p5 + 5p 4q + 10p 3q 2 + 10p 2q 3 + 5pq 4 + q 5
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(2)
A new experiment takes place.
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One marble is taken at random from the bag and its colour recorded.
In this experiment the marble is not put back into the bag.
This process is repeated until the colour of each of 5 marbles has been recorded.
(d) Discuss whether or not the binomial distribution can be used to model the number of
red marbles taken from the bag in this experiment.

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(2)

(Total for Question 14 is 10 marks)

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*P48756A02328* Turn over
15 In the 2015 Women’s European Gymnastics Championships, two of the events were the
vault and the balance beam.

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Jeff thinks the scores may be modelled by normal distributions.
For the vault, the competitors’ mean score was 14.5 and the standard deviation was 0.6
Source: European Union of Gymnastics

One competitor scored 14.1 in the vault.

(a) Calculate the standardised score for this competitor.
Give your answer correct to 1 decimal place.

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(2)
The same competitor had a standardised score of 0.5 for the balance beam.
(b) Compare the performance of this competitor in the vault with her performance in the
balance beam.

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(2)

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 The highest score in the vault was 15.3
(c) Use standardised scores to discuss whether or not the scores in the vault may be
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modelled by a normal distribution.

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(3)

(Total for Question 15 is 7 marks)

TOTAL FOR PAPER IS 100 MARKS

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*P48756A02628*
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