Group 8 - Building Telecommunication Systems (Technical Report)
Group 8 - Building Telecommunication Systems (Technical Report)
ENGINEERING DEPARTMENT
TECHNICAL REPORT
PCE 9
SUBMITTED BY:
GROUP
BSCE-3A
DE DIOS, JERICHO
ESCALA. KRIST CHRISTOPHER
GALOS, JAYSON
MARTINEZ, JOHN STEVEN
PARTOZA, KNOWELL JAN
SUBMITTED TO:
ENGR. CARLITO SAPIDA PROFESSOR
3. The size and complexity of the project are other major influences on cost estimates.
Larger, more prestigious projects may attract more reputable contractors, or there may
simply be few firms capable of handling the project. Either of these scenarios can
escalate project costs.
4. The quality of plans and specifications are also vital factors, as is the contractor’s
relationship with the project engineer. Construction documents that hint at imprecision
will almost certainly result in higher bids from contractors who want to err on the side
of safety. On the other hand, the project engineer’s reputation can swing costs the other
way, since contractors will know that plans drawn by a reputable engineer are less
likely to result in efficiency losses.
When preparing a cost estimate, an estimator usually relies, at least to some extent, on historical
data. Though no two projects are exactly alike, using comparable historical cost and estimate data
can be an excellent way to validate estimates.
Historical data comes from a number of sources, including catalogs of vendor data, databases,
periodicals, commercial references, and digests of actual project costs. Contractors may also look
at successful past bids, assuming these proved accurate. Regardless of what data you use, it’s
critical to have reliable data, so experienced estimators recommend using a trusted industry
standard source.
Periodicals
Commercial References
- Building Construction Cost Data published annually by R.S. Means Company, Inc
- Dodge Manual for Building Construction, published by McGraw-Hill
Digests of Actual Project Costs
That said, you’ll have to adjust almost all standardized cost data to local economies, and there’s
likely to be a considerable degree of cost fluctuation even between cities in the same region or
country. You’ll have to adjust most costs for inflation, depending on how old the data is.
Labor costs are especially variable. Based on the demand for labor, the required level of skill, and
the condition of the construction site, which in turn hinge on such factors as the time of year,
economic and market conditions, and the location of the construction site, an estimator will usually
have to adjust historical labor data when creating a new estimate.
For contractors with successfully completed projects under their belts, comparing their actual cost
data to their cost data reference can help gauge the accuracy of the data reference. For example, a
contractor who notices that their actual materials costs are consistently five percent lower than
those quoted in the data reference will likely adjust materials costs in future estimates so that
they’re about five percent lower than those quoted in the data reference.
Nevertheless, good cost estimators will tend toward caution since cost estimates generally
underestimate the actual cost of construction. Even with contingencies built into the estimate,
factors such as design changes and unforeseeable economic conditions can quickly increase costs.
Try these templates for keeping track of change orders.
It’s worth remembering that both the contractor and the owner bear substantial risks when
constructing large projects. Contractors don’t just stand to have their profit margins cut and their
reputations hit. Many end up declaring bankruptcy when it simply becomes too expensive to
complete a project. And while owners shield themselves somewhat from financial losses through
performance bonds and similar protections, the failure to complete a project on time may result in
financial damage due to lost potential profits or an inability to pursue a strategic plan. Furthermore,
those who don’t complete government projects successfully are likely to hurt the reputation of
political leaders who backed them.
Cost estimators keep one important phenomenon in mind when estimating quantities: costs are not
always directly proportional to the size of a facility or the number of units one’s building. If plotted
on a graph, this phenomenon, known as an economy or diseconomy of scale depending on which
way the cost varies, would appear as a non-linear relationship between facility size and costs.
If the average cost per unit falls as the number of units increases, we have an economy of scale. If
the average cost rises as the number of units increases, we have a diseconomy of scale.
The cost exponent is an indicator of whether a scale economy or diseconomy exists. Empirical
data are sought to establish the economies of scale for various types of facility, if they exist, in
order to take advantage of lower costs per unit of capacity.
Let x be a variable representing the facility capacity, and y be the resulting construction cost.
Then, a linear cost relationship can be expressed in the form:
(5.1)
where a and b are positive constants to be determined on the basis of historical data. Note that in
Equation (5.1), a fixed cost of y = a at x = 0 is implied as shown in Figure 5-2. In general, this
relationship is applicable only in a certain range of the variable x, such as between x = c and x =
d. If the values of y corresponding to x = c and x = d are known, then the cost of a facility
corresponding to any x within the specified range may be obtained by linear interpolation. For
example, the construction cost of a school building can be estimated on the basis of a linear
relationship between cost and floor area if the unit cost per square foot of floor area is known for
school buildings within certain limits of size.
(5.2)
where a and b are positive constants to be determined on the basis of historical data. For 0 < b <
1, Equation (5.2) represents the case of increasing returns to scale, and for b > 1, the relationship
becomes the case of decreasing returns to scale, as shown in Figure 5-3.
If the exponent is greater than zero but less than one, an economy of scale exists. If it is greater
than one, a diseconomy of scale exists. If it is equal to one, the cost-capacity relationship is
unaffected by scale.
Figure 5-3: Nonlinear Cost Relationship with increasing or Decreasing Economies of Scale
Taking the logarithm of both sides this equation, a linear relationship can be obtained as follows:
(5.3)
Although no fixed cost is implied in Eq.(5.2), the equation is usually applicable only for a certain
range of x. The same limitation applies to Eq.(5.3). A nonlinear cost relationship often used in
estimating the cost of a new industrial processing plant from the known cost of an existing
facility of a different size is known as the exponential rule. Let yn be the known cost of an
existing facility with capacity Qn, and y be the estimated cost of the new facility which has a
capacity Q. Then, from the empirical data, it can be assumed that:
(5.4)
where m usually varies from 0.5 to 0.9, depending on a specific type of facility. A value of m =
0.6 is often used for chemical processing plants. The exponential rule can be reduced to a linear
relationship if the logarithm of Equation (5.4) is used:
(5.5)
or
(5.6)
The exponential rule can be applied to estimate the total cost of a complete facility or the cost of
some particular component of a facility.
You can determine cost exponents using historical data from construction projects of the same
type. Once calculated, you can use cost exponents to adjust future cost estimates depending on the
scale of a project.
The empirical cost data from a number of sewage treatment plants are plotted on a log-log scale
for ln(Q/Qn) and ln(y/yn) and a linear relationship between these logarithmic ratios is shown in
Figure 5-4. For (Q/Qn) = 1 or ln(Q/Qn) = 0, ln(y/yn) = 0; and for Q/Qn = 2 or ln(Q/Qn) = 0.301,
ln(y/yn) = 0.1765. Since m is the slope of the line in the figure, it can be determined from the
geometric relation as follows:
For ln(y/yn) = 0.1765, y/yn = 1.5, while the corresponding value of Q/Qn is 2. In words, for m =
0.585, the cost of a plant increases only 1.5 times when the capacity is doubled.
The exponential rule as represented by Equation (5.4) can be expressed in a different form as:
where
If m and K are known for a given type of facility, then the cost y for a proposed new facility of
specified capacity Q can be readily computed.
TABLE 5-4 Cost Factors of Processing Units for Treatment Plants
Processing Unit of K Value m
unit capacity (1968 $) value
1. Liquid processing
Oil separation mgd 58,000 0.84
Hydroclone degritter mgd 3,820 0.35
Primary sedimentation ft2 399 0.60
Furial clarifier ft2 700 0.57
Sludge aeration basin mil. gal. 170,000 0.50
Tickling filter ft2 21,000 0.71
Aerated lagoon basin mil. gal. 46,000 0.67
Equalization mil. gal. 72,000 0.52
Neutralization mgd 60,000 0.70
2. Sludge handling
Digestion ft3 67,500 0.59
Vacuum filter ft2 9,360 0.84
lb dry
Centrifuge 318 0.81
solids/hr
Source: Data are collected from various sources by P.M. Berthouex. See the references in his
article for the primary sources.
The estimated values of K and m for various water and sewage treatment plant components are
shown in Table 5-4. The K values are based on 1968 dollars. The range of data from which the K
and m values are derived in the primary sources should be observed in order to use them in
making cost estimates.
As an example, take K = $399 and m = 0.60 for a primary sedimentation component in Table 5-
4. For a proposed new plant with the primary sedimentation process having a capacity of 15,000
sq. ft., the estimated cost (in 1968 dollars) is:
y = ($399)(15,000)0.60 = $128,000.
Cost estimators rely on a number of estimation techniques, which vary in speed and potential
accuracy. The major approaches to cost estimating include:
• Production Function: the relationship between the output of a process and the necessary
resources is referred. A production function relates the amount built (the output) to factors such
as materials and labor (the input). So if you want to achieve a certain level of output (number of
square feet built), you look for the optimal input (labor hours per square foot). Production
functions can be quite accurate for forecasting input-output relationships for projects of a particular
type, and there is extensive data to draw from for certain project types, like schools and hospitals,
for example.
• Stick Estimating: Highly accurate, but incredibly time consuming, stick estimating is the practice
of determining total costs by listing, in order, the costs for every single component of a job. The
sheer amount of time it takes to produce a stick estimate invites errors due to loss of concentration
or carelessness.
• Empirical Cost Inference: This statistical method uses regression analyses to relate the cost of
construction to a model of predictors. The accuracy of this method depends on the quality of the
predictive model, so it calls for a good degree of familiarity with individual predictors of total
construction costs and a knowledge of statistical methods.
• Unit Cost Estimating: Unit cost estimating simply associates unit costs with each assembly
involved in a construction process. It’s fairly quick and accurate, especially if one has used the
assemblies previously, and there is evidence to justify the unit costs for each assembly.
• Allocation of Joint Costs: You allocate costs that are difficult to assign to individual project
elements by using different mathematical formulas. For example, you can prorate field supervision
proportionally to tasks based on their share of the total basic costs.
Of course, the cost estimator is central to the cost estimation process. Typically a professional who
is familiar with both design and construction and skilled at navigating the myriad costs associated
with construction projects, the cost estimator must have both skill and training.
The U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics says there were 213,500 cost
estimators in the country in 2014, with employment opportunities expected to grow by nine percent
over the next decade. A plurality of these estimators work in the construction industry.
Essential skills for cost estimators include the ability to work quickly with numbers, an in-depth
knowledge of construction, and familiarity with construction documents. On large projects,
multiple specialist cost estimators may be responsible for estimating different aspects of the
project, so a specialization or first-hand experience in constructing certain types of structures can
also be valuable.
Although tertiary education is typically a requirement for cost estimators, first-hand experience
with construction and a knowledge of the contracting landscape are perhaps more essential skills.
Some estimators are individuals who have risen through the ranks as construction workers. These
experienced construction professionals also know how to negotiate with subcontractors and may
be better able to appreciate the factors that impact estimated amounts.
But as construction has gotten more specialized, professionally trained cost estimators are
increasingly common. A number of qualifications in cost estimation are available, including the
International Cost Estimating and Analysis Association’s Certified Cost Estimator/Analyst
program,the American Society of Professional Estimators’ Certified Professional Estimator
certification, and the American Association of Cost Engineers’ certifications for cost consultants,
cost engineers, and cost technicians. Most certification programs require continuing education and
recertification.
Dedication to continued learning is necessary for all cost estimators, whether certified or not. It’s
key to keep abreast of the construction industry and also to be able to learn and implement evolving
cost estimation methods and software, which we’ll talk about shortly.
In addition, cost estimators must be highly organized and highly attentive to detail. They should
know how to communicate cost information with accuracy and integrity. Moreover, given the
competitive nature of the construction industry, they must maintain confidentiality when
communicating with stakeholders and commit themselves ethically to delivering accurate
estimates despite possible pressures to engage in corner-cutting and expediency.
Lean Construction and Cost Control: Lean construction, a fairly new approach, draws
from the principles of lean management, which is the systematic effort to reduce waste
without affecting productivity. Studies indicate that applying lean principles in
construction projects results in significant cost savings. As such, an understanding of lean
principles is a good asset for cost engineers who apply principles of value engineering to
construction projects.
REFERENCES