Airline Economics Issue 69
Airline Economics Issue 69
THE LEADING GLOBAL PUBLICATION FOR OPERATORS OF AND INVESTORS IN AIRCRAFT AND ENGINES
w w w. a i r l i n e e c o n o m i c s . c o m
providing
financing solutions
for Air Transportation
MARCH 2022
APRIL 2022
APRIL 2022
MAY 2022
1 A350-900 1 B747-8F EUR 2,000,000,000 Air France-KLM
EUR 2,256,000,000
Sustainability
JOLCO Revolving Credit Facility
linked JOLCO
Rights Issue
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Agent & Arranger Global Coordinator
Sustainability Structurer Bookrunner
& Joint Bookrunner
JUNE 2022
JUNE 2022
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JULY 2022
JETBLUE AIRWAYS
1 A321 NEO USD 1,000,000,000 USD 658,000,000
CORPORATION
JULY-OCTOBER 2022
SEPTEMBER 2022
OCTOBER 2022
www.ca-cib.com
EDITOR’S LETTER
1 Letter from the editor 40 Back to growth 46 Success in the Middle East
Where next for aviation? Middle Eastern carriers are pushing Airline Economics returned to the
ahead ramping up international Middle East in October to celebrate
4 News capacity to close to pre-pandemic the best of the best in the aviation
levels to capture maximum pent-up sector in the Middle East & Africa
Finnair begins major restructuring; travel demand. Optimism pervaded Aviation 100 awards.
Hong Kong Airlines files for the stage at Airline Economics
insolvency restructuring; SAS closes Growth Frontiers Middle East & 56 Leading the recovery
$700 million DIP financing; and more Africa conference held in Dubai
global aviation news. in October 2022, from the main Middle East carriers have rebounded
Gulf carriers but also from African strongly following the pandemic, but
start-up airlines eager to build on the has the region’s MRO sector been
recovery in air travel. able to keep pace with the return to
flying? Airline Economics reporter
Swati Kektar investigates.
Contact Us Now
Hong Kong Airlines (HKA) The HNA Group carrier Under the plan, unsecured strengthened and de-levered
filed for debt restructuring stated: “HK Airline is seeking creditors will receive balance sheet, with lower
in late September in the court approval to convene upfront payments of HK$ overall gross debt as well as
Hong Kong and UK courts meetings of its creditors and 960 million estimated to rationalised rental payments.
to avoid insolvency. HKA put forward its restructuring represent a recovery of about Without a successful
is the latest foreign airline proposal, which would include 5% of their claims with cash restructuring process, HKA
to utilise the English courts a significant haircut on the distributions if HKA meets will not be able to demonstrate
for insolvency restructuring outstanding debt. Unsecured its as-yet undefined annual to the authorities that it is
purposes. The airline is creditors and critical lessors targets between 2027-2035. financially viable when it
conc urrently pursuing are expected to recover about Critical lessors will receive applies for the renewal of its
scheme of arrangement in the 5% of the money owed to and upfront payment out of air transport license, which
Hong Kong Courts, with the them, as well as subsequent a pool of approximately HK$ expires March 2023.
same restructuring terms as pro-rata cash payments if the 120 million – again equal to Lw firm Katten has
the UK plan. turnaround succeeds.” about a 5% recovery of their commented in an advisory
HKA, which is linked to Under the restructuring claims – and subsequent cash note on the filing that the
China’s HNA Group, has plan, HKA will cut operations distributions, and for those HKA’s restructuring plan
debts amounting to over $6.2 by about 50% of the current that elect to take new equity, “promises a low short-term
billion. The restructuring capacity. HKA’s current fleet they will receive a pro rata cash recovery to aircraft
proposal needs approval consists of 53 aircraft. Under share of the conversion shares. lessors and vague promises of
from 75% of creditors and the restructuring plan, HKA HNA Aviation along additional payouts that do not
is reported to have secured plans to retain just 20 leased with unnamed joint venture start until well into the future,
approval from about 73%. A aircraft. The other aircraft will (JV) partners – namely a while giving preferential
failure in securing approval be retired or returned to lessors. new special purpose vehicle treatment to certain creditors
will likely lead to an insolvency In the practice statement formed by a current indirect and leaving intercompany
liquidation. However, as a letter, the airline said that the minority shareholder and and related company claims
note from Katten confirms, passenger numbers plunged other unidentified JV intact. Lessors have ample
Financial and operating from nearly 6.9 million from partners – have planned to grounds to question and
aircraft lessors are seeking February 2019 to January inject $380 million to revive object to provisions of the
claims of $2.9bn, bank 2020, to around 217,000 in its operations. The equity restructuring plan. Active
lenders and financial creditors 2021. With this decline, airline investment is a condition of participation in the upcoming
are owed $730 million and revenue tumbled to 85% the restructuring. Court hearings will be
related party creditors have forcing the airline to downsize With the restructuring, important to influencing the
claimed $870million. the workforce by 65%. the airline hopes to deliver a Court’s discretion”.
Technical Expertise
Technical Expertise
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PARTNERSHIP* IS OUR BUSINESS
*Supporting Airlines, Lessors and Repair Shops
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NEWS
Wizz Air Malta receives AOC and operating licence Norse Atlantic
receives AOC and
Wizz Air Malta has been granted
an Air Operator’s Certificate OL approvals from
(AOC) by the European Union UK CAA
Aviation Safety Agency (EASA)
and an Operating Licence (OL) The UK Civil Aviation
by the Malta Civil Aviation Authority has granted an Air
Directorate (CAD). Operator Certificate (AOC)
Wizz Air Malta commenced and Operating Licence (OL) to
operations from September 27, Wizz Air already operates of Wizz Air Malta, which will Norse Atlantic Airways. With
2022 with the first flight taking multiple AOCs within its provide opportunities to further these licenses, the airline can
off from Rome Fiumicino business, including Wizz Air diversify our operations and now begin direct flights from
International Airport. The UK and Wizz Air Abu Dhabi, drive growth. Malta’s economic the UK. Norse is keen to operate
new subsidiary is based alongside Wizz Air Hungary. and regulatory regime will flights between London
in Malta with postholder The establishment of Wizz Air enable Wizz Air to strengthen Gatwick and a number of US
roles, and the management Malta, the airline says, will allow its position in the global destinations. This schedule is
team present on-site. Wizz the group to further diversify its market. We would like to thank subject to further regulatory
Air recently appointed operations, providing enhanced EASA and the Maltese CAA for approvals, particularly serving
Diarmuid Ó Conghaile as the flexibility and the potential for their support and expertise, and routes that are currently not
Managing Director of Wizz significant expansion. we look forward to working served by direct flights or lack
Air Malta, who assumes the Wizz Air President, Robert with both regulators and the sufficient capacity.
position in Valetta from 1 Carey, said: “We are pleased to Maltese government over the Bjorn Tore Larsen, CEO of
November 2022. announce the establishment coming years.” Norse Atlantic Airways, said:
“We are proud to be employing
local pilots and cabin crew
Boeing settles SEC charges that it misled investors about the 737 MAX
The US Securities and Exchange “In times of crisis and tragedy, determined that MCAS posed SEC’s Enforcement Division,
Commission (SEC) has charged it is especially important an ongoing “airplane safety said: “Boeing and Muilenburg
Boeing and its former CEO, that public companies and issue” and that Boeing had put profits over people by
Dennis A. Muilenburg on executives provide full, fair, already begun redesigning misleading investors about
September 22, with making and truthful disclosures to the MCAS to address that issue, the safety of the 737 MAX
“materially misleading public markets. The Boeing Company according to the SEC’s orders. all in an effort to rehabilitate
statements” following the and its former CEO, Dennis Approximately six weeks Boeing’s image following two
fatal crashes of Boeing MAX Muilenburg, failed in this after the March 2019 crash of tragic accidents that resulted
airplanes in 2018 and 2019. most basic obligation. They Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302, in the loss of 346 lives and
The crashes involved misled investors by providing another 737 MAX, and the incalculable grief to so many
Boeing’s 737 MAX airplane assurances about the safety of grounding by international families. But public companies
and a flight control function the 737 MAX, despite knowing regulators of the entire 737 and their executives must
called the Maneuvering about serious safety concerns. MAX fleet, Muilenburg, provide accurate and complete
Characteristics Augmentation According to the SEC’s though aware of information information when they make
System (MCAS). According to order, one month after Lion calling into question certain disclosures to investors, no
the SEC’s orders, after the first Air Flight 610, a 737 MAX aspects of the certification matter the circumstances.
crash, Boeing and Muilenburg airplane, crashed in Indonesia process relating to MCAS, told The SEC’s orders against
knew that MCAS posed an in October 2018, Boeing issued analysts and reporters that Boeing and Muilenburg find
ongoing airplane safety issue, a press release, edited and “there was no surprise or gap . . that they “negligently violated
but nevertheless assured the approved by Muilenburg, that . that somehow slipped through the antifraud provisions
public that the 737 MAX selectively highlighted certain [the] certification process” for of federal securities laws”.
airplane was “as safe as any facts from an official report of the 737 MAX and that Boeing Without admitting or denying
airplane that has ever flown the Indonesian government had “gone back and confirmed the SEC’s findings, Boeing and
the skies.” Later, following suggesting that pilot error and again . . . that we followed Muilenburg consented to cease-
the second crash, Boeing and poor aircraft maintenance exactly the steps in our design and-desist orders that include
Muilenburg assured the public contributed to the crash. and certification processes penalties of $200 million and
that there were no slips or gaps The press release also gave that consistently produce $1 million, respectively. A Fair
in the certification process with assurances of the airplane’s safe airplanes.” Fund will be established for the
respect to MCAS, despite being safety, failing to disclose that In the SEC release, Gurbir benefit of harmed investors, said
aware of contrary information. an internal safety review had S. Grewal, Director of the the SEC.
About Natixis
Natixis is the international corporate and investment banking,
asset management, insurance and financial services arm of
Groupe BPCE, the 2nd-largest banking group in France with 31
million clients spread over two retail banking networks, Banque
Populaire and Caisse d’Epargne.
airbus.com
NEWS
Air India plans capital raise; Tata Group pushes forward with merger plans
Air India is planning to address an immediate need for Vihaan.AI transformation optimise the resources, and
restructure its finances and more capacity and connectivity, plan was unveiled by meet the market competition,
revamp its operations as a and mark a strong step forward.” Wilson along with senior sources reveal.
part of its strategic expansion One of the major challenges management members. This merger is believed to be
plan. According to sources, plaguing Air India is the drop Meanwhile, the TATA a part of Tata Son’s consolidation
TATA Group-led Air India is in its market share over the last Group will be consolidating strategy to save costs, build
planning a cash infusion of $4 decade. During privatisation, the offices of three airlines Air synergies by optimising aircraft
billion to lease new aircraft, Air India’s domestic market India, Air India Express, and utilization and routes, and gain
expand operations, and clear share stood at 11.6% whereas AirAsia India under one roof in market share to better compete
previous debt. at present it is less than 10%, Delhi. The airline has already with IndiGo. The merger may
Although there is no official raising some major concerns. started the process of vacating take about a year to materialise.
statement by the airline or Tata Taking the challenge head-on its offices across the country. The combined valuation
Group, sources close to the Tata is trying to accelerate the As for the fourth airline of Air India and Vistara is
airline have confirmed that the airline growth volumes by under the Tata Group, talks projected to be INR 3000
money will be used to revamp adding a new and advanced of Air India and the Vistara million, as per sources.
the airline and clear some of the fleet, adding newer and merger have remained a hot It is said that post-merger
debts of Air India. more economically viable topic in the aviation industry. Air India and Vistara will
Going ahead the airline is routes, digitising the process, However, since a part of the retain their brand identities but
planning to lease 30 new aircraft and enhancing the overall stakes of Vistara is owned by eventually, one brand will stand
including five widebody Boeing customer experience. Singapore Airlines, its interest out as the dominant one.
and 25 Airbus narrowbody Air India has unveiled has been one of the hurdles Vistara is a 51:49 JV between
planes over the next 15 months. a comprehensive five-year in the merger. Latest sources Tata Sons and Singapore
The new fleet will used for transformation plan called suggest that the Tata Group Airlines. Hence it enjoys
expanding India-US routes. Vihaan.Al, which will focus on and Singapore Airlines have privileges like regular fund
The new aircraft, which will network and fleet expansion, fast-tracked a decision to merge infusions from both partners to
enter service in late 2022, will revamping customer Tata SIA Airlines (Vistara). expand operations. Tata Sons
increase the airline’s fleet by propositions, enhancing In the new joint venture (JV), invested INR 2000 million
over 25 percent. reliability and on-time Singapore Airlines could hold a into Vistara in February 2022
Air India CEO and performance, and taking a minority stake of as much as 25 along with Singapore Airlines,
Managing Director Campbell leadership role in technology, percent in Air India and Vistara which invested almost the
Wilson said: “After a long time sustainability, and innovation, while Air India can hold a stake same amount. Vistara received
without significant growth, Air while aggressively investing in worth INR 50 bn to INR 100bn. an equity infusion of Rs 7bn
India is delighted to resume the best talent in the industry. Currently, talks are ongoing from Tata Sons and Singapore
expanding its fleet and global Over and above Air India between the Tata Group and Airlines in August 2021.
footprint. These new aircraft, plans to increase its market Singapore Airlines on how Prior to that, it received INR
together with existing aircraft share by 30% in the domestic best to leverage the future 4bn from the two owners in
being returned to service, market in the next 5 years. India opportunity in aviation, May 2021.
Air India signs SLB with Willis Lease for 34 CFM engines
Air India has signed a definitive fleet reliability, reduce cost, manage the entire program Willis Lease will provide
sale and leaseback agreement and optimise cash flow.” and all logistics and replacement and standby
with Willis Lease Finance for According to Air India, the transportation involved. spare engines, allowing the
34 CFM56-5B engines on its engines will be covered under This A320 fleet was a airline to avoid potentially
A320 fleet. This move is in sync Willis Lease’s ConstantThrust, part of Air India’s 2006 costly and unpredictable shop
with Air India’s revamp policy which will deliver significant purchase order. visits on engines powering a
to replace old A320 engines to reliability and cost savings “Under the sale side of transitioning aircraft fleet,” Air
reduce maintenance costs and over a traditional MRO the transaction, Willis Lease India said in a statement.
optimise cash flows. (Maintenance, Repair, will purchase 34 engines Air India recently
Nipun Aggarwal, CCO of Air and Operations) shop visit from Air India, powering announced the induction of
India, said: “This transaction program. Willis Lease will 13 Airbus A321 aircraft and 30 new aircraft on lease, five
will allow Air India to de-risk also have an in-country four Airbus A320 aircraft. Boeing 777-200LR, and 25
itself operationally, improve team to coordinate and Through the program, Airbus narrowbodies.
Global
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SUSTAINABILITY
IN ACTION.
Net zero carbon emissions by 2050. Making regional Between 2027 and 2030 expect to see our next generation
aviation cleaner and quieter. Our sustainability roadmap turboprop and E2 flying 100% SAF compatible. By the
and product development plan have been constructed to mid-2030s we are planning to introduce the sustainable
help us achieve these goals. Our new generation E2 is Energia family of aircraft, powered by revolutionary
the most fuel efficient single-aisle aircraft in the market propulsion architectures. 2045 will likely see the flight of
today with a potential reduction of CO2 emissions up to our first hydrogen-powered turboprop and finally, in 2050,
30%. In 2025 we are planning the first flight of our a hydrogen-powered E2 or similar sized aircraft will take
hydrogen-powered electric demonstrator. to the skies.
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Boeing to find new buyers for Chinese 737 Max jets China Airlines places
firm order for 16 787-9s
China Airlines has placed a firm
order for 16 long-range 787-9
Dreamliners with the option
for eight additional aircraft. Air
China plans to invest in fuel-
efficient widebody to expand its
passenger and cargo operations,
In mid-September, Boeing new buyers for the planes, aircraft’s return to China and and to meet its long-term
confirmed that it intended to which list at $100 million and to analyse the training plans sustainability goals.
begin to find new buyers for up although airlines routinely for the MAX fleet. “We are excited to introduce
the Boeing 737 MAX aircraft get deep discounts.” CAAC said it would release the 787-9 Dreamliner into
that were built for Chinese Expressing pessimism a revised report when the our operations as we continue
airlines since the Chinese about resuming the deliveries questions raised at the meeting to upgrade our fleet with
aviation regulator still has not to China, Calhoun said: were resolved. However, they more modern, fuel-efficient
cleared the plane to fly after “We’ll do it in a very slow way have not yet provided any airplanes,” said China Airlines
two fatal crashes. The decision because I want to protect our timeline to return the MAX Chairman Hsieh Su-Chien.
was taken since Boeing customers in China but you aircraft to regular service. “Adding the state-of-the-
cannot wait indefinitely while can’t wait forever. You’ve got Currently, over 140 MAX art 787 will help us reduce
political tensions between to move them and there is a aircraft worth $5bn are in carbon emissions, while also
the United States and China big market.” storage in the Boeing facility providing our customers with
snarl deliveries. Boeing’s hopes were raised waiting for a green signal from unmatched levels of comfort.
Boeing hopes that this last December when China’s CAAC. The aircraft have been Our continuous investment
move will reduce its inventory aviation regulator took a in storage for too long and will in fleet modernisation is the
of undelivered Max aircraft, major step toward letting lead to further losses to Boeing cornerstone of our sustainability
which built up while the airlines resume using the Max. if they continue to remain in efforts. The 787’s best-in-class
planes were grounded around In February, Chinese airlines storage. To avoid further efficiency and low operating
the world. China was once the ran flight tests. But the Civil loss, Boeing has undertaken costs will allow us to expand our
biggest market for Boeing’s Aviation Administration of re-painting work on network for years to come.”
Max planes. China has not taken the final some fleets. Ihssane Mounir, Boeing
Boeing confirmed that out steps to allow Max flights and The meeting between senior vice president of
of 290 undelivered airplanes deliveries to resume, which Boeing officials and CAAC Commercial Sales and
in July, half were designated Boeing officials blame on took place at Zhoushan and Marketing, added: “The 787’s
for Chinese customers. COVID-19 lockdowns. included a visit to the Boeing superior fuel efficiency and
Chief Executive Dave China is the last major completion center. The plant, range, combined with China
Calhoun and Chief Financial market where the MAX is still a joint venture of Boeing and Airlines’ existing fleet of 777-
Officer Brian West discussed awaiting approval to fly. COMAC, has been inactive 300ERs, will enable the carrier
the need to remarket some of Shortly before Boeing made since 2019. The plant was to grow efficiently and expand
the planes at separate events. the announcement that it built in 2017 and Boeing its global route network.
During a Morgan Stanley would find new buyers for the delivered its first 737MAX to This is a milestone order in
conference, Brian West said: aircraft, Boeing officials and Air China in 2018. The plant our continuing partnership
“China is an important market China’s aviation regulator, the was supposed to roll out 100 with China Airlines, and the
and Boeing did not make the Civil Aviation Administration aircraft annually but has been market-leading efficiencies of
decision lightly. But we are of China (CAAC), had met non-functional since the fatal the 787 will play an important
confident that Boeing can find to discuss the fate of MAX 737MAX crashes. role in furthering the airline’s
sustainability efforts.”
China Airlines has 22 Boeing
www.mtu.de/en
NEWS
reedsmith.com
ABU DHABI ATHENS AUSTIN BEIJING CENTURY CITY CHICAGO DALLAS DUBAI FRANKFURT
HONG KONG HOUSTON KAZAKHSTAN LONDON LOS ANGELES MIAMI MUNICH NEW YORK PARIS
PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH PRINCETON RICHMOND SAN FRANCISCO SHANGHAI SILICON VALLEY
SINGAPORE TYSONS WASHINGTON, D.C. WILMINGTON
NEWS
more.umb.com/GlobalTrusteeAgencyServices
NEWS
MSC Mediterranean solution would be available its airfreight business Cargo, Emirates SkyCargo
Shipping Company, a global from early 2023, following and further enhances its and DHL, to the company
leader in transportation the delivery of the first of position as a global leader in who will work to develop
and logistics, has started four MSC-branded Boeing transportation and logistics,” its air cargo business and
developing a new MSC Air 777-200F aircraft that said John Dietrich, President to build the team that will
Cargo solution in response to will be operated by Atlas and Chief Executive Officer, implement it.
“customer demand” and as a Air, a subsidiary of Atlas Atlas Air Worldwide. “This Davel was appointed
complementary service to its Air Worldwide. new agreement will allow Vice President Global RFQ
container shipping solutions. Under the terms of the MSC to capitalise on the Management of DHL in
Commenting on the long-term ACMI (aircraft, state-of-the-art ser vice 2008, then promoted to Vice
new initiative, MSC Chief crew, maintenance and solutions provided by our President Global Airfreight
Executive Officer Soren Toft, insurance) agreement, Atlas aircraft and crews, as well as Product Development and
said: “This is our first step Air will operate all four of its the unparalleled air cargo Implementation in Germany
into this market and we plan new and incoming Boeing expertise brought by our and, subsequently, SVP
to continue exploring various 777-200 freighters on a global Atlas team.” Airfreight Americas & USA
avenues to develop air cargo basis for MSC, with the first Toft added: “Atlas Air’s fleet Head of Airfreight. In 2018
in a way that complements delivery being taken in the of 777 freighter aircraft is well- he joined Emirates SkyCargo
our core business of fourth quarter of 2022. Atlas’ suited to support our entry as Vice President Cargo
container shipping.” order of these four aircraft was into air cargo and this strategic Commercial Operation
The company indicated announced in January 2022. initiative will ensure we meet Americas and most recently
that MSC Air Cargo had “We are pleased to the cargo requirements of he has served as Managing
been under development welcome MSC as a new our customers.” Director Commercial
for “several months” and customer, and look forward to Toft also welcomed Jannie Delta Cargo based in
confirmed that the new supporting MSC as it develops Davel, formerly of Delta Atlanta, Georgia.
United Airlines has announced Michael Leskinen, United’s investment in Eve’s eVTOL aircraft
a $15 million investment with President of United Airlines Eve has been driven in part design uses conventional
Eve Air Mobility as well as a Ventures, said: “United has by confidence in the potential fixed wings, rotors and
conditional purchase for 200 made early investments growth opportunities in pushers, giving it a practical
four-seat electric aircraft, in several cutting-edge the UAM market, but also and intuitive lift-plus-
with options for another 200 technologies at all levels of the by Eve’s relationship with cruise design, which the
aircraft. The first deliveries supply chain, staking out our Embraer, a proven aircraft company states “favours
are expected to begin position as a leader in aviation manufacturer, which will also safety, efficiency, reliability
by 2026. sustainability and innovation. include access to Embraer’s and certifiability ”. The
With this deal, United Today, United is making ser vice centres, parts aircraft will have a range
has become the first major history again, by becoming warehouses and field service of 60 miles (100 km). Eve
airline to invest in two major the first major airline to technicians, paving the way is also creating a new air
electric vertical take-off and publicly invest in two eVTOL for a reliable operation. traffic management solution
landing (eVTOL) aircraft companies. Our agreement Upon entry into service, designed for the UAM
development ventures. with Eve highlights our United could have its entire industry to scale safely.
United recently solidified its confidence in the urban eVTOL fleet serviced by Eve’s As per the agreement,
order with Archer, signed air mobility market and agnostic service and support United and Eve will work on
in February 2021 for 100 serves as another important operations. Moreover, United projects including studies on
eVTOLs, with a $10 million benchmark toward our goal joins the consortium led the development, use, and
pre-delivery payment of net zero carbon emissions by Eve, which will simulate application of Eve’s aircraft
to the California-based by 2050 – without using UAM operations in Chicago and the urban air mobility
eVTOL company. traditional offsets.” from September 12. (UAM) ecosystem.
emp-assets.com
NEWS
Morgan Lewis boosts aviation finance team with eight new hires
Morgan Lewis has bolstered to clients within and associated institutions in connection with collaborate. We look forward to
its global aviation practice with the industry engaged aircraft investments, so having collaborating with colleagues
with the addition of an in complex cross-border a coordinated, transactional to hit the ground running.”
eight-lawyer EMEA and Asia- transactions and disputes.” aircraft leasing and James Bradley, who will
Pacific team, including three In addition to the partners, restructuring practice within be resident in Singapore,
partners—Sidanth Rajagopal, two of counsel, Sourabh the United States, London, advises on various aspects
James Bradley, and Manuela Bhattacharya and Terry Chang, the United Arab Emirates, and of financing, leasing, and
Krach—across the firm’s and three associates, Atif Ayub, Singapore further establishes restructuring across a variety
London, Dubai, and Singapore Kevin Pearson, and Jie Hao our resources for clients in the of jurisdictions in relation
offices. Joining from K&L (Ivan) Qiu, are joining the firm. aviation industry.” to aircraft, engines, and
Gates, the team represents a They focus on transactional, Sidanth Rajagopal, who corporate jets. He has extensive
variety of key aviation industry leasing, and restructuring, with will be resident in London, was transaction experience in the
players, with expertise from their experience extending into practice group coordinator of transportation and finance
financial institutions, lessors, project development work, the global banking and asset sectors in Asia, where he has
restructuring specialists and especially in the airports finance group at K&L Gates. He been primarily based for over
airlines. The team focuses on sector. In addition, the team provides key commercial and two decades.
complex cross border financing, works on innovative financing technical advice throughout the Bradley commented:
leasing, and restructuring solutions, including Sharia- deal cycle and counsels clients in “Singapore remains an
issues in the aviation industry. compliant aircraft leasing, the areas of financing, leasing, important hub within the region
“This highly Japanese Operating Lease purchasing, restructuring, for finance, restructuring and
ra n ke d , multifaceted, (JOL) and JOLCO structures and repossessions for both litigation activity, particularly C
multijurisdictional team and other structured commercial and business for the aviation sector, and M
brings a depth of experience to leasing arrangements. aircraft. He also works as a gateway jurisdiction to Y
our aviation capabilities that “We co-counsel today alongside clients on equity into Asia Pacific. The firm’s
already spans the full spectrum with this team on several capital markets and debt strong cross border practices, CM
of issues—from finance and transactional and litigation capital market transactions. especially in the litigious and MY
restructuring, to litigation matters, and there are exciting Rajagopal said: “The debt capital markets spaces, CY
and enforcement, project opportunities for our market- firm has a deep and strong present strong opportunities to
development, and insurance leading US aviation finance bench across the EMEA collaborate and find innovative CMY
and reinsurance recovery, to and UK aviation litigation region and the US in a range solutions for clients.” K
name a few,” said Firm Chair practices to collaborate with of core practice areas that Manuela Krach, who
Jami McKeon. “The aviation our new colleagues who are complement the work we do will be resident in London,
industry is one that depends well-known throughout the from investment management, has experience advising
on sophisticated skill sets EMEA and Asia-Pacific region litigation, corporate to on operating as well as
to navigate disruptions and and beyond,” said Bruce Silvers, name a few, not to mention finance lease agreements
identify opportunities in today’s partner and a leader of the firm’s the existing work the team from the lessee and lessor
market. Our global aviation global aviation finance practice. does in India, which present side, negotiating all aspects
team will be of significant value “We advise over 100 financial significant opportunities to of a transaction.
Back to growth
Middle Eastern carriers are pushing ahead ramping up international capacity to
close to pre-pandemic levels to capture maximum pent-up travel demand. Optimism
pervaded the stage at Airline Economics Growth Frontiers Middle East & Africa
conference held in Dubai in October 2022, from the main Gulf carriers but also from
African start-up airlines eager to build on the recovery in air travel.
A
irlines in the Middle demand for aircraft is increasing. The on international flights due to the
East and African region region is also set to take delivery of a main carriers operating a hub model
have been steadily significant amount of aircraft – both connecting passengers around the
rebounding following narrowbody and widebody aircraft world. The left hand chart in Fig. 2
the pandemic, with types – with a backlog of more than shows that flight market shares are
capacity rising to near-2019 levels and 1,000 aircraft, presenting significant returning back to pre-pandemic levels,
average profits also recovering. Rob financing challenge for the airlines in terms of absolute capacity volume,
Morris, head of consultancy at Ascend in the region but also an opportunity figures still lag some 10% behind 2019
by Cirium painted a positive picture for financiers to invest in the growing capacity levels as of August 2022.
of the aviation market in the region regional fleet. International travel is performing
during the opening presentation at IBA’s Mike Yeoman’s also presented a better at a variance of 7% to 2019
Airline Economics Growth Frontiers positive outlook for the region. During levels, while domestic travel at a 12%
Middle East & Africa conference in his presentation, Yeoman’s highlighted variance for the month of September,
Dubai. Airlines are healthier and the Middle Eastern market’s reliance noted Yeomans.
SourSource:
ce: Cirium Fleets
Cirium Fleets Analyzer, Analyzer,
Passenger jets delivered toPassenger jets
/ on order with Africa & Middledelivered
East airlines to / on order with Africa & Middle East airlines
Source: Cirium Fleets Analyzer, Passenger jets delivered to / on order with Africa & Middle East airlines
Fig.Fig.2
2 MMiddle
iddlEastern
e Ea&stAfrican
ern Flight
& ATrends
frican Flight Trends
Fig.2 Middle Eastern & African Flight Trends
Sowww.airlineeconomics.com
urce: IBA Insight Airline Economics August - September 2022 41
GROWTH FRONTIERS MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA
Aviation Ecosystem
Considerations
1. Regulation 3. New Aircraft Propulsion Systems
growing network of international • CORSIA • Expected to mainly contribute post 2035
• EU ETS • IATA: reduction from new technologies ~13%
routes. This growth will demand single- •
•
US: SAF tax credits
California: low carbon Fuel
Standard to encourage SAF
aisle fleet that is expected to double usage
Considerations
Finance • Critical bridge to LT technology
two-thirds of the upcoming deliveries • KPI-Linked Bonds & Loans with
spectrum of not just E but also •
developments.
Reliance estimates for CO2 Emissions
fleet increasing by 80% through 2041 The Saudi Aviation Strategy is set for focus on the proportion of new generation
compared to 2019 pre-pandemic levels. tripling annual passenger traffic to 330 aircraft in Cathay Pacific’s group fleet and
The air cargo traffic flown by Middle East million by 2030, boosting the number of the gradual increase of SAF use in the
carriers has continued its substantial destinations to 250 from 99 at present carrier’s fuel consumption.
growth in recent years; two of the world’s and establishing a new flag carrier, RIA. Crédit Agricole CIB acted as global
top five cargo carriers by tonnage are This strategy is backed by $100 billion in arranger and sustainability structurer,
based in the region. To serve future investments from the government and facility agent and security trustee and
demand, the Middle East freighter fleet private sector. as a lender.
is projected to reach 170 by 2041, more The development of more sustainability-
than doubling the pre-pandemic fleet. SUSTAINABLE FINANCING linked financing in aviation was a hot topic
Airbus predicts that demand for Etihad Airlines chief executive officer, in stage during the conference. A panel
aviation services in the region will rise Adam Boukadida, shared his experience of aviation finance experts, moderated
from $9bn a year today, to $25bn in 2041, of operating an airline throughout the by Citi’s co-head of aviation Munawar
requiring at least a 10% increase in the pandemic period during an interview with Noorani, introduced the delegation to the
total workforce, including technicians, Airline Economics editor Victoria Tozer- Net Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA) and its
pilots and cabin crews. Boeing predicts Pennington. Etihad has spearheaded a relevance to the aviation industry.
demand for aftermarket commercial successful turnaround, which led to the Environment, Social and Governance
services including maintenance and airline posting a record-breaking core (ESG) issues have become a central focus
repair valued at $275bn. According to operating profit of US$296 million for for investors, regulators and consumers,
Boeing’s Pilot and Technician Outlook, H1 2022, with EBITDA improving by which will require aviation industry
the Middle East region will require more than US$600 million to US$691 participants to adapt to new regulators
202,000 new aviation personnel, million in the same period. Boukadida and expectations.
including 53,000 pilots, 50,000 and the treasury team raised a record The NZBA brings together the world’s
technicians and 99,000 cabin crew amount of financing during the period largest banks to focus on delivering the
members in the next 20 years. and pushed ahead with the development banking sector’s ambition to align its
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is also of sustainability-backed financing, climate commitments with the Paris
forecasted to become a major larger raising $1.2bn in October 2021, using Agreement goals with collaboration, rigour,
player in the Middle East aviation the first sustainability-linked loan tied to and transparency. The alliance is working
industry and the country is moving environmental, social and governance on setting its 2030 targets for hard-to-
rapidly ahead realising its Vision 2030. (ESG) targets in global aviation. abate sectors such as oil and gas, power
The Public Investment Fund (PIF), the Sustainability-linked financing is being generation and transportation, including
Saudi Arabian sovereign wealth fund taken up by more airlines and alongside aviation. The intention is to set targets with
with $620bn assets under management, different aviation products. In July 2022, these industries with a view to engaging
aims to invest SR356bn (US$100bn) Cathay Pacific Airways closed the first with the sector and clients’ transition plans
into the aviation sector to 2030 as part sustainability-linked JOLCO in Asia- rather than withdraw from financing those
of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 realization Pacific on one A321neo. The terms of industries. Once those targets are set, the
program. PIF entered the world of aircraft the financing are linked to Cathay Pacific NBZA intends to disclose progress against
leasing earlier this year with the creation achieving certain targets in respect of a board-level transitional strategy that sets
of a new leasing platform, AviLease, led predefined sustainability-linked indicators. out proposed action and climate-related
by chief executive Ted O’Byrne. In this transaction, performance targets sectoral policies.
Elevating human
performance
for a safer world.
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AIRLINE ECONOMICS MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA AVIATION 100 AWARDS
African Lease Deal of the Year DAE’s Operating Lease for two 737-800s to Tarco Aviation
Middle East Lease Deal of the Year Flydubai – Sale & Leaseback of Five 737-8 MAXs
Middle East & Africa Editor’s Deal of the Year DAE’s $500m Senior Unsecured Term Loan
Middle East & Africa Supported Finance Deal of the Year Flydubai Finance Lease-backed Term Loan Facility
Middle East & Africa Debt Deal of the Year DAE’s US$1bn Senior Unsecured Revolving Credit Facility
Middle East & Africa Overall Deal of the Year DAE’s Navigator II $850m Limited-Recourse Senior Secured Warehouse Facility
Middle East & Africa Bank of the Year Standard Chartered Bank
Middle East & Africa Law Firm of the Year K&L Gates
Middle East & Africa CEO/Industry leader of the Year Adel Ali, CEO, Air Arabia
Middle East & Africa CFO/Treasurer of the Year Adam Boukadida, CFO, Etihad Airways
MIDDLE EAST LEASE DEAL OF THE YEAR FLYDUBAI – SALE & LEASEBACK OF FIVE 737-8 MAXS
This sale-leaseback transaction for five 737- aircraft lessor, which is a 100% subsidiary delivery of the aircraft but the Standard
8MAX aircraft formed part of flydubai’s of sole arranger and sole lender on the deal Chartered and Pembroke team overcome
fleet modernisation and transition to new Standard Chartered Bank. all challenges to ensure all of the aircraft
technology, fuel efficient aircraft. All five There was limited time between when were received on time by flydubai during
aircraft were delivered by Pembroke, the the mandate was awarded and the first the first half of 2022.
AFRICAN LEASE
DEAL OF THE YEAR
DAE’S OPERATING LEASE FOR TWO 737-
800S TO TARCO AVIATION
MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA EDITOR’S DEAL OF THE YEAR DAE’S $500M SENIOR UNSECURED TERM LOAN
Acting as mandated lead arranger and served to increase the company’s this five-year unsecured facility, with
bookrunner, First Abu Dhabi Bank unsecured debt percentage and limited covenants, were described
(FAB) underwrote the full $500milion available liquidity that was utilised for as “very good”.
senior unsecured term loan for DAE, liability management purposes and Allen & Overy advised FAB,
which removed all syndication and for the repayment of more expensive while Pillsbury advised DAE on
closing risks for the lessor. This facility existing debt. The economic terms for this transaction.
MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA DEBT DEAL OF THE YEAR DAE’S US$1BN SENIOR UNSECURED REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITY
DAE closed its debut Secured Overnight existing loans, for general corporate deal structure efficiently serves the
Financing Rate (SOFR) linked purposes and to meet the company’s company’s objectives and provides the
syndicated transaction in March 2022 working capital requirements. ability to meet its prospective value-
with a $1bn four-year senior unsecured The lenders were FAB, Emirates enhancing goals.
revolving credit facility (RCF). The NBD Capital, Al Ahli Bank of Kuwait, This RCF is one of the largest
transaction, arranged by mandated lead Commercial Bank of Dubai and syndicated facilities to be raised by a
arrangers and joint bookrunners First National Bank of Ras Al Khaimah. leasing company in the Middle East
Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), NBD Capital Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman region and attracted substantial appetite
and Ah Ahli Bank of Kuwait, featured advised the borrower, while Allen & from a broad group of banks resulting
a unique accordion option to upsize the Overy advised the lenders. in a significant oversubscription despite
amount of the facility by $350million Amidst the challenging global the challenging market outlook for the
above the $1bn commitment to finance environment, the RCF was arranged global aviation sector.
any future opportunities, as well as by the DAE treasury team in order to For DAE, the successful closing
an extension option to stretch the streamline the lessor’s capital structure of the facility is testament to the
availability period of the funds for one via the optimisation of its existing debt continuous support and confidence that
year. The accordion and extension stack and liquidity profile, to better banks have shown in the company and
options, along with the competitive align it with the post pandemic aviation its future outlook. The facility will also
pricing metrics on the deal, granted and macroeconomic landscape. DAE allow the lessor to continue to optimize
DAE and an added level of flexibility. noted that it had carefully selected the its liquidity planning and to continue to
The proceeds were used to refinance syndicated banks to ensure that the grow the business.
In September 2022, DAE entered agent and mandated lead arranger, as acquisition vehicle, owned indirectly by
into a second equity investment and well as joint bookrunner with Mizuho PIMCO and DAE.
servicing agreement with PIMCO, Bank, Truist Bank, BNP Paribas and Navigator II is a$850million three-
dubbed Navigator II. The objective of Fifth Third Bank. year revolving facility that can be
this limited-recourse senior secured The warehouse offered premium repaid and redrawn through the entire
warehouse facility is to acquire c. $1.0- terms compared to other products that availability period followed by a four-year
1.5 billion worth of a blend of young were achievable in the market at the time. term out financing after the availability
current and new technology aircraft over The issuers note that these favourable period. This facility provides DAE and
a 36-month investment period. terms were driven by strong interest PIMCO with the ability to invest with
After a couple of rounds of offers and in Navigator franchise created by the scale with no financing contingencies.
negotiation with global lenders, DAE and success of Navigator I – the $716 million Vedder Price acted as the lenders’
PIMCO were able to shortlist a group of asset backed securitisation closed in legal counsel, while Milbank represented
five banks: Citi was the sole structuring November 2021 that acted as an aircraft the borrowers.
MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA BANK OF THE YEAR STANDARD CHARTERED BANK
Standard Chartered Aviation Finance and debt financing space with airlines Standard Chartered was also a mandated
has transacted and/or been mandated across this region. The bank offers a lead arranger during the fourth quarter
on more than 15 aircraft transactions diverse range of products from leasing, of 2021 on the revolving credit facility
for leasing to, or financing with, Africa / debt financing, DCM (including sukuk) for Etihad. The bank has a broad ranging
Middle East region airlines over the past to advisory and financing solutions. relationship with the airlines in the
12 months, with all bar one mandate Highlights for the bank include the UAE, with relationships with Air Arabia,
secured post 1 January 2022. At the end sale and leaseback of five 737 MAX 8 Emirates, Flydubai, Etihad. Standard
of 2022, Standard Chartered has extended with flydubai, the lease extension of Chartered has been a stalwart of the
over US$2bn in balance sheet support to two A320s with Qatar Airways and the African aviation market and remains
airlines in Africa and the Middle East in the lease extension of five A320s with Qatar a provider of significant and on-going
post-COVID period, with over US$750m Airways, The bank has been mandated support to Kenya Airways as one of
of financing provided during 2022. on a c.$500m aircraft financing deal its principal aircraft financiers of its
Standard Chartered is the only bank with a regional carrier on one widebody Embraer 190 fleet. The bank is also a key
actively participating in both the leasing aircraft to be delivered in October. financier of Ethiopian Airlines.
T
he Middle East region in September 2022. Seasonally adjusted traffic expected to grow by 4% annually.
has benefitted from the traffic figures continue to suggest a strong Demand for maintenance, repair and
strong rebound in air travel upwards trend, while traffic between the overhaul (MRO) services is also expected
following the pandemic. Middle East and North America, and to expand in line with the growth of the
Passenger traffic measured Europe continues to outperform. That fleet. Boeing values demand for MRO
in revenue per kilometres (RPK) was boom is set to continue for the rest of the aftermarket services in the region to
up almost two fold in the 12 months year as football fans descend on Qatar reach $275bn by 2041. Oliver Wyman,
to September 2022, based on figures for the FIFA World CUP 2022. in its annual MRO forecast, predicted
from the International Air Transport Boeing also has a bullish view of at the start of 2022 that Middle East
Association (IATA), with growth the region, with its latest Commercial MRO market would expand by 3.2%
outpacing all other regional markets. Market Outlook update on the region, a year to 2032, to total market value
Load factors are also up for Middle East released in September 2022, predicting – incorporating airframe, engine,
carriers, with international load factors the commercial fleet to more than double component and line maintenance – of
up by 27.6ppts from last year to 80.0% in the next 20 years, with passenger $15.6bn from $7.1bn in 2022.
experienced by the gulf carriers, the address as whole, ensuring that we work
strategies adopted during the pandemic to make engineering a more attractive
to protect the business while still industry choice and that we commit to
maintaining a level of operation, seem to supporting training programs to ensure
have been vindicated,” says Doherty. that we have a ready supply of talent to
The majority of aircraft in the draw from.”
region are now back in service, and the The problem of skilled Aviation
demand for base maintenance is high. Maintenance Engineers (AMEs)
“It was anticipated that this demand remains a global problem to date.
would surge as destinations opened up,
so Etihad Engineering ensured that FIFA FEVER & MROS
we maintained our operational levels The FIFA World Cup is taking place in
and were able to work with our global Qatar from November 20 to December
customer base to fulfill the return to 18, 2022, with millions of fans pouring
service and scheduled maintenance in from across the globe. Airlines have
needs,” he adds. ramped up their operations with Etihad
Joramco is a perfect example of a Airlines, Air Arabia, and FlyDubai
strong post-pandemic recovery with starting shuttle flights from Dubai to
the highest recorded revenue in 2021. Qatar. The Doha Airport is being re-
“We are on track to improve on our opened for commercial operations
2021 numbers this year,” says Fraser anticipating the demand with over 13
A D Currie, Chief Executive Officer, airlines to start operations at Doha
Joramco. “The revenues confirm that International Airport.
not only have pre-pandemic levels of MROs reeling under the pandemic
business returned but there is increased pressure have geared up to expand in
demand in the market. Joramco Dubai ahead of the World Cup. South
maintained all its resources throughout Africa-based ExecuJet MRO is already
the pandemic which has allowed us to in the final completion stage of its
react immediately to customer demand.” 15,000-square-meter MRO Centre at
Agreeing with the above statements Dubai World Central Airport. Happy
Jim O’Sullivan, Vice President of Sales & to expand operations in Dubai, Nick
Business Development, Europe, Middle Weber, Regional Vice President, Middle
East, Africa, HEICO adds: “MRO East at ExecuJet MRO, says: “Dubai
companies across the region are seeing is a budding hub for global traffic and
a surge in demand for slot availability it merits a large investment in MRO
as airlines return aircraft into service capacity and expertise.”
following lengthy grounding.” “I believe there are contingency plans
in place to cope with this demand but it
CHALLENGES IN COPING WITH THE will certainly test the robustness of these
DEMAND plans as resource availability demands
The increased workload has highlighted continue to prove challenging,” says
the difficulties caused by the workforce O’Sullivan of HEICO when asked if the
shortage for the MROs. “In addition to line and base maintenance facilities in
the specialised inspections and checks the Middle East are equipped to handle
READY FOR GROWTH? necessary to return parked assets to the increased workload.
Middle East carriers have responded airworthy conditions, there is also a The Aviation Service Management
well to the rapid growth in traffic, need for maintenance personnel that (ASM) that caters to fuelling and ground
with little of the turmoil seen in other was deferred during the past 30 months handling services is opening an MRO
markets evident in the region. But how or so,” comments O’Sullivan. “This surge unit that will be a one-stop shop for all
has the MRO sector in the Middle East is impacting capacity as companies aircraft maintenance needs. ASM also
been dealing with the post-pandemic struggle to attract qualified, experienced operates a charter arm and is planning
surge in air traffic? Are the MRO shops personnel who have possibly chosen to operate about 7 to 10 shuttle flights
in the region equipped and ready to cope career changes or a different work/life during the World Cup.
with the rise in demand? balance. I expect this trend to continue The Mohammed Bin Rashid
David Doherty, Head of Sales at Etihad for the foreseeable short term.” Aerospace Hub (MBRAH) recently
Engineering, believes the company is Doherty agrees “The regional inaugurated a 12,000-square-meter
well prepared to meet the challenge. “As shortage of engineering manpower is vertical aerospace complex in Dubai.
evidenced by the current load factors a problem that the industry needs to The complex will offer industrial space
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