(Ellis) Causation in Complex Systems
(Ellis) Causation in Complex Systems
Causation in
Complex Systems
George Ellis
University of Cape Town
ISC-PIF, Paris
November 2009
1: The nature of causation
I will claim here that there are other forms of causation than
those encompassed by physics and physical chemistry, and these
are described quite well by Aristotle’s four types of causes .
A full scientific view of the world must recognise this fact, or
else it will ignore important aspects of causation in the real
world, and so will give a causally incomplete view of things
Psychology
Botany/Zoology/Physiology
Cell biology
Biochemistry
Chemistry
Atomic Physics
Particle physics
Hierarchy
• The key to handling complexity is hierarchical information
structure and analysis, and associated physical structuring
- a motor car driver does not need to know the details of how the
carburetor or battery works;
- molecules in a gas
- electrons in a computer
- cells in a living body
- animals in an ecosystem
- people in an organisation
Level 1
Level 1
H1 H'1
L1 L'1
L2 L'2
L3 L'3
L1 L'1
L2 L'2
L3 L'3
The lower level dynamics does not lead to coherent higher level
dynamics when the lower level dynamics acting on different lower level
states corresponding to a single higher level state, give new lower level
states corresponding to different higher level states.
Example: chaotic systems: weather; hairdresser; president of country.
Three contexts of emergence:
1st: Evolutionary history of the universe and the world:
Once upon a time they did not exist!
Segment properties
Gene
Expression
fly
Specific
proteins
Developmental
outcome
Example: Neuronal processes
Error message
Controller
Comparator
System State Goals
These goals are not the same as material states, for they are
desired rather than actual states, although they will be represented
by material states and systems that will make them causally
effective through such representations
Standard Physics
(physics, equations of state, initial conditions) (outcomes)
(initial conditions) (outcomes)
Variation
Preferred Fitness
System
Criteria
States
State
Environment:
Niches
Top-down action by adaptive
selection: evolution
Development of DNA codings (the particular sequence of bases in
the DNA) through an evolutionary process which results in
adaptation of an organism to its ecological niche.
Animal
DNA sequence
The plan itself is not equivalent to any single person’s brain state:
it is an abstract hierarchically structured equivalence class of
representations (spoken, drawn, in computers, in brains, etc.) that
together comprise the design.
Chemistry
Physics
Particle Physics
"You, your joys and your sorrows, your memories and your
ambitions, your sense of personal identity and free will, are in fact
no more than the behavior of a vast assembly of nerve cells and
their associated molecules".
But nerve cells and molecules are made of electrons plus protons
and neutrons, which are themselves made of quarks .. so why not
"You, your joys and your sorrows, your memories and your
ambitions, your sense of personal identity and free will, are in fact
no more than the behavior of a vast assembly of quarks and
electrons"?
Possibility space:
Understand attractors and basins of attraction
Emotion
Primary Secondary:
Genetic/biological Social/cultural
Perception, Expectations
Emotion
Primary Secondary:
Genetic/biological Social/cultural
Emotion
Primary Secondary:
Genetic/biological Social/cultural
Mind,
underlying
consciousness
and personality
Personal Choice:
- causal effectiveness of consciousness/will
R = radius
H = hypotenuse
Y= A = area
height
X = base
A = π R2
π = 3.1415926535897932 ……..
H2 = X2 + Y2
(Pythagoras) (universal constant)
Mandelbrot set
2: A second example is language:
Maxwell’s theory is not the same as any single person’s brain state.
It can be represented in many ways and formalisms
These various representations together form an equivalence class, as
they all lead to the same predicted outcomes.
All societies must tackle these same set of problems and devise
means of dealing with them.
There is a limited set of ways of doing so. One or other of them
will be discovered by each society.
6: Ethical values and Morality
Ethics
Cosmology Sociology
Astronomy Psychology
Geology Physiology
Materials Biochemistry
Chemistry
Physics
Ethics is causally effective in the physical world
9: Causal openness for higher causes is there because