MCD2080 Exam T2 2022 Sample-Questions 1
MCD2080 Exam T2 2022 Sample-Questions 1
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AUTHORISED MATERIALS
CALCULATORS (HP 10bII+ Financial Calculator) YES
OPEN BOOK NO
SPECIFICALLY PERMITTED ITEMS NO
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
• Questions should be answered in Question Booklet in the box provided.
• Write clearly. Marks cannot be given if your handwriting cannot be read.
Candidates must complete this section if required to write answers within this paper
THIS ENTIRE EXAMINATION PAPER MUST BE HANDED IN AT THE END OF THE EXAMINATION.
DO NOT OPEN THIS BOOKLET UNTIL INSTRUCTED TO DO SO.
Questions
Question Total Marks
1 2 3 4 5
All answers must be written on blank sheets of paper which you upload to the e-assessment platform
at the conclusion of your exam.
Please write legibly. If we cannot read your writing, then we cannot give you any marks. You must
make sure your writing can be easily understood.
Where you are asked to perform calculations, you should write out the solution as an equation
containing the appropriate numerical values from within the question and perform the calculation.
Data Used
Question 1 & 2
Here we look at some analysis on a Computer Technology Company (TechCom) employee and their
experience, education and their annual salary. In addition, the company examines various departments
and their relationship with the employee profiles. The data is based on the records from 2003 to 2010.
Question 3
The data in the file “US Income.xlsx” captures the US annual income. We want to find how
individuals’ income is distributed between a few characteristics.
Question 4
The Data is about a direct marketer of electronic equipment and wants to investigate the efficacy in
their company named HyTex. HyTex sent catalogues to the customers and the question might be that,
if it is sending the catalogues to the right customers and if not, to whom should it send the catalogues
to. The file “Catalogue Marketing.xlsx” contains customer demographic attributes including the
Marital Status of the customer and the Region they live in.
Question 5
The Data is about Australian production of electricity from Quarter 1 2010 to Quarter 3 2018. The
data contains quarterly electricity production in million KWH (m.KWH).
Use the data to answer the following questions.
a) Shown below is the table illustrating the number of employees from two different
depart5ments: Production and Engineering (P&E) and Purchasing by gender and the
educational attainment (in years).
Use Exhibit 1 below to answer the following questions.
Exhibit 1
Department Production and Engineering Department Purchasing
Female :
¥g- = 0.5513
3¥
Male : =
0.4487 ; or I -
O -
5513
(ii) Similarly, calculate the proportion of the female and male employees from the Purchasing
department. Show all workings to 4 decimal places.
Female : 4% =
0.5970
I -0.5970
2¥ 0.4030
male =
:
Or
(iii) From part (i) and (ii), compare the percentage of the employees from the two departments.
Exhibit 2
Department Production and Engineering Department Purchasing
Count of Employee Gender Count of Employee Gender
Prior Experience Female Male Grand Prior Experience Female Male Grand
(years) Total (years) Total
0-4 21.79% 15.38% 37.18% 0-4 25.37% 17.91% 43.28%
5-9 21.79% 7.69% 29.49% 5-9 14.93% 10.45% 25.37%
10-14 11.54% 17.95% 29.49% 10-14 14.93% 11.94% 26.87%
15-20 0.00% 3.85% 3.85% 15-20 4.48% 0.00% 4.48%
Grand Total 55.13% 44.87% 100.00% Grand Total 59.70% 40.30% 100.00%
Based on the above reported probabilities, discuss how the employees prior experience affects
the distribution of the employees as their experience increases. Give examples.
c) The pivot table below (Exhibit 3) gives the employee’s prior experience by employees’ gender
for all company’s departments.
Exhibit 3: % of Grand Total
Department (All)
Count of Employee Gender
Prior Experience (years) Female Male Grand Total
0-4 23.04% 15.69% 38.73%
5-9 18.14% O
9.80% 27.94%
10-14 13.73% 14.22% 27.94%
15-20
Grand Total
3.43%
58.33%
1.96%
41.67%
O 5.39%
100.00%
This is the percentage of male employees with 5-9 years of prior experience
d) Below is a chart of showing the distribution of employees’ salaries by their prior experience for
Exhibit 4.
80%
60%
Count (%)
40%
20%
0%
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-20
Prior Experience (Years)
(ii) Which range of years of experience has the highest percentage of group of annual salaries?
State the salary group and the percentage as well.
(iii) Which is the most salary group with the most years of experience?
What percentage is that group?
Most years of experience is 15-20 years and the most salary group is
$150,000-$200,000 with about 50%
Here we want to find out if the employees’ prior years of experience is independent of their annual
salaries. From Exhibit 5, write down a probability statement that would support that relationship If
these two variables were independent.
If independent
P(salaries:0-50|experience:0-4) = P(salaries:0-50)
P(A|B)=P(A)
proof
1. P(A|B) = 45/79 = 0.5696
2. P(A) = 50/204 = 0.2451
Therefore, its clear that P(A|B) is not equal to P(A). (0.5696 not equal to
0.2452)
The annual salaries is dependent to employee’s prior experience.
Exhibit 7
Total
70
60
50
40
Total
30
20
10
0
0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 100-120 120-140 140-160 160-180
Chart: histogram
From exhibit 7, the data seems to be unimodal and slightly skewed to the
right (positively skewed). i.e., most of employees are paid lower salaries
and a few paid higher salaries. This is confirmed by larger mean than
median (71.27>68.40)
(iii) It is hard to state the mode in the continuous data. However, from Exhibit 7 what would be
the annual salaries modal class?
Obtain the percentage of this modal class. Show your calculations.
:
(iv) Using Exhibit 7 interpret in context the central tendency of the annual salaries.
(v) To describe the variation of data, we use Range, interquartile range (IQR) and coefficient of
variation (CV).
From Exhibit 7, illustrate how we calculate Range, IQR and CV
Give interpretations for two of any of these three measures.
Interpretations
Range = this is the variation/spread of the annual salaries of employees
given by the difference of max and min, which is $151,500
IQR = the variation/spread of the middle 50% of the employee’s annual
salaries
is $35,430
CV = this is the standard deviation relative to the mean of the employee’s
annual salaries being 42.45%
(ii) What is an approximate probability of a randomly selected employee who receive a salary
between $41,022 and $101,527?
Show your workings.
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1193.9618 1193.962 4779.464 0
Residual 5084 1270.0382 0.249811
Total 5085 2464
proportion = 0.4046
(ii) Calculate the male proportion and compare it with the female proportion.
(iii) State and interpret the 95% confidence interval for the proportion variable in Exhibit 8 in
context.
(ii) Explain what effect the sample size being decreased will have on the confidence interval in
Std error
Exhibit 1 if all other factors are assumed constant.
Explain your answer.
I± tix, ,
n -
,
*s⑤ →
margin of error
As sample size decreases, the std error increases and so the margin of
error would also increase, which gives a wider confidence interval and
also less accuracy for the interval.
(iii) What would happen to the confidence interval in Exhibit 1 if we instead constructed a 90%
confidence level given that all other factors remain constant?
Explain your answer.
For 90% CI, we get smaller critical value and a smaller margin of
error. Therefore, CI becomes more narrow
c) Next, we use Excel to obtain a regression of Income (Per Year) on Female. The output is given
below in the Exhibit 9.
Exhibit 9
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.05784
R Square 0.00335
Adjusted R Square 0.00315
Standard Error 35641.621
Observations 5085
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.167E+10 2.17E+10 17.06242 3.68E-05
Residual 5083 6.457E+12 1.27E+09
Total 5084 6.479E+12
13^0=32600.080
13^1 = 4131.135
(iii) Carry out a hypothesis test to establish if the difference between the male and female annual
incomes is significant at 1% level of significance
Use the p-value approach and show all the steps.
step
1 Ho :B , =D
H ,
:B , ¥0
✗ = 0.01
step 2
P value = 3.68
E- 0s
3
step
step in Because 3.68E-05 < 0.01, there is sufficient evidence to
reject Ho and conclude that there is a significance
difference between male and female income
(ii) From Exhibit 10, which variable have the most influence and the least impacts on the
“AmountSpent”?
Sate and interpret one of these two values.
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8119
Y A- En
-
.
ri
pent
R Square 0.6592
Adjusted R Square 0.6571
Standard Error 562.7842
Observations 1000
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 6 6.08E+08 1.01E+08 320.0627 4.4E-228
Residual 993 3.15E+08 316726
Total 999 9.23E+08
pio =
-
477.448
134 = 0 .
021
13^1 = -24,390
(v) Use the model in Exhibit 2 above to predict the amount spent by the customer who is
female, who is renting, not married, with a salary of $100,000, no children and supplied with
35 catalogues
Show your working clearly.
= -437,438 -
42.0691071-29,715107-24.391071-0.021 1100,0007
-
200.4871011-47.793135 )
$ 3,335 .
32
15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Time (in quarters)
(ii) State and discuss any three of the time series components that is obvious in the data
shown in Exhibit 12.
1.
b) (i). Using Excel, an estimated model of a linear trend and quarterly seasonal dummies. Quarter
4 is used as a base quarter. Output is given in Exhibit 13 below.
To do that we need to define the following variables:
Y variable:
• elect_prod: = Australian quarterly production of electricity (million KWH).
X variables:
• Time: number of quarters since Q1 2010 to Q3 2018.
• Qrtr1: = 1 if the quarter is from January to March and 0 otherwise.
• Qrtr2: = 1 if the quarter is from April to June and 0 otherwise.
• Qrtr3: = 1 if the quarter is from July to September and 0 otherwise.
• Qrtr4: = 1 if the quarter is from October to December and 0 otherwise.
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.96619
R Square 0.93353
Adjusted R Square 0.92467
compare this
Standard Error 321.63113
to the mean
Observations 35
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 43584008 10896002 105.3297 3.28E-17
Residual 30 3103398 103446.6
Total 34 46687405
150 = 10350.646
(iv) State and interpret the estimated coefficient for the months of January to March.
pi = -
159.906
On average, it is estimated that the electricity production in the first quarter is 159.906
million KWH less compared to the fourth quarter, after adjusting for the trend
(v) From the above estimated model (Exhibit 2), state the quarter with the second highest
Electricity production.
State and Interpret it’s value.
135 = 371.037
By
OH
step 1 Ho : =
¥0 ,
: Bu
✗ 0.01
step 2 =
because
step 4 1. HE -07<0.01 ,
we have sufficient evidence
Ho
conclude that there's a and
to reject difference in the
average electricity production OF quarter 3 and 4 after
adjusting for the trend
(vii) Using the model in Exhibit 2, predict the Australia electricity production for Quarter 1 in
2019.
To do so:
• First, write down the value for the “Time” variable. [Hint: Time = 1 in Qtr1 2010]
• Second, write down the value for each of the Quarterly dummy variables for Quarter
1 2019.
• Third, write down the equation substituting these quarterly dummy values in the
model (equation) to predict the electricity production for Quarter 1 2019.
T = 37 in Qtr 1
201g Qi = 1 i Qz :O ; Q> = 0
159.9061111-371.0371071-1079.79510 )
§ = 10350.6461-96.612137 ) -
=
13765.393 Million KWH
(viii) Lastly, we need to evaluate the accuracy of the above prediction, in part (v). The
electricity production over the period between quarter 1 2010 to quarter 3 2018 is
12,421.62 m.KWH. → if around 50%
average
With that in mind, discuss any two ways we can evaluate this model.
✓
,
moderate or reasonable
R 0.933s } About 93.35% of total variation in electricity
Square
: .