FIN202 Group Assignment
FIN202 Group Assignment
As students who study economics, we often come up with business ideas that are derived from
our observations and experiences in life. These ideas evolve over time as we combine our
accumulated knowledge with what we encounter in the world around us.
Based on our recent observations, we have noticed that:
- Background: The desire for interaction, communication, and gatherings amongst the youth is
on the rise. Recently, there has been an increasing trend of universities relocating to the
suburban areas of Hanoi. This move has led to numerous projects being developed, resulting in
significant economic progress within the region. The growth of universities, colleges, and
industrial parks has played a role in promoting the development of the service industry.
As a result of this trend, the demand for food products, especially amongst young people such
as students and working individuals, has been steadily increasing. These subjects tend to enjoy
congregating with friends after school or work to unwind, relieve stress, and partake in social
activities accompanied by food. To cater to this demand, it would be ideal to establish suitable
models, ideally located near universities and bustling streets.
Currently, there are not many Korean restaurants established in Hoa Lac. The food and
beverage business carries low investment costs but yields high profits and short payback
periods.
- Solution: To meet this demand, our group allocated personal relationships, resources, and
initial capital within a set timeframe to conduct research on the Hanoi market, specifically Hoa
Lac. After careful consideration, we decided to open the Hwa shop on Highway 21, next to the
gas station 39, in close proximity to Vietnam National University and FPT University student
dormitories and residential areas. Hwa is a vintage-style Korean restaurant that offers Korean-
style chicken, rice, and noodles at reasonable prices, without using frozen food.
- Market: Our target market is middle-income students who seek a space to unwind and try
Korean cuisine at affordable prices with stable quality. Our competitors include direct and
indirect players in the food industry, ranging from casual dining to high-end branded grills, as
well as coffee shops, lemon tea, and milk tea establishments. Factors such as price, quality, and
customer service significantly impact customers' choices.
- Mission: Hwa's mission is to provide quality food and drinks at affordable prices while
attracting and retaining customers by exceeding their expectations through exceptional service.
We anticipate profitability during our second year of operation.
- Expectation: We will be profitable in the second year.
OTHER INITIAL
INVESTMENT
Cost per Total
No. ITEM Unit
unit Amount
1 Deposit for space rental 6 month 30000000 180000000
Total 180000000
b. Staff
- The shop has a team of 18 staff members who work full-time. This includes two managers
(who also act as cashiers and auditors), two chefs, four kitchen assistants, two security
personnel, six waiters for service, and two cleaners.
- To ensure high-quality employees are recruited and retained, all workers are offered an
above-average initial salary for the area. Additionally, there may be instances where employees
provide assistance in other positions.
LABOUR COST
No
Number Salary/month Month Year
.
1 Chef 2 15.000.000 12 360.000.000
2 Vice-cook 4 8.000.000 12 384.000.000
3 Waiter 6 6.000.000 12 432.000.000
4 Sanitation worker 2 4.500.000 12 108.000.000
5 Management staff 2 12.000.000 12 288.000.000
6 Guard 2 5.000.000 12 120.000.000
Total 1.692.000.000
- As all the employees work full-time and receive a monthly salary, the cost of payroll is
considered a fixed expense. There are plans to introduce appropriate policies for salary
increases in the future based on the store's financial situation and the contributions made by
the employees. These scenarios have been outlined below.
c. Equipment
- Assets to buy include uniforms; air conditioning; cash register system; fridge; television,
camera, furniture, fire alarm system, etc. listed, with costs referred to in the table below.
e. Depreciation cost
- It is expected that all products will have a useful life of 5 years and will not be sold off after
this period. The table below provides details of the depreciation costs.
DEPRECIATION
ALLOCATION
No Estimated Usefull Depreciation
Capital assets Cost
. life (year) expense per year
1 Fridge 15.000.000 5 3.000.000
2 Air conditioning 24.000.000 5 4.800.000
3 Cash register 5.000.000 5 1.000.000
4 Renovating rented premises 100.000.000 5 20.000.000
5 Furniture 10.500.000 5 2.100.000
6 Camera 16.000.000 5 3.200.000
7 Fire alarm system 8.000.000 5 1.600.000
8 Television 30.000.000 5 6.000.000
9 Uniforms 4.000.000 5 800.000
10 Insulation cabinet 24.000.000 5 4.800.000
11 Kitchen tools 15.000.000 5 3.000.000
Exhaust and ventilation
12 30.000.000 5 6.000.000
system
13 Kitchen system 200.000.000 5 40.000.000
14 Clean water system 50.000.000 5 10.000.000
Total 106.300.000
OTHER INITIAL
INVESTMENT
Cost per Total
No. ITEM Unit
unit Amount
1 Deposit for space rental 6 month 30000000 180000000
Total 180000000
Variable cost
no. Expenses Amount per month Total per year
1 COGS 331.237.500 3.974.850.000
2 Utility cost 10.000.000 120.000.000
3 Marketing expense 35.881.325 430.575.900
Total 377.118.825 4.525.425.900
- This cost is subject to change depending on the business conditions of the project. Therefore,
the actual cost may differ from the initial estimation when the project is put into operation. The
projected total variable expense for the first year of the project is 4,525,425,900 VND.
Fixed costs
Fixed cost
N
Expense Mount per month Total per year
o
1 Labor cost 141.000.000 1.692.000.000
2 Maintenance expense 1.000.000 12000000
3 Management fee 180.000 2160000
4 Rental expense 25.000.000 300.000.000
Total 167.180.000 2.006.160.000
- Irrespective of the business performance, this expense is obligatory and the project owner is
accountable for settling it. The total variable expenses in the first year are predicted to be VND
2,006,160,000 and will remain constant throughout the actual execution of the project.
c. Operating cost
- The complete cost of running the project in the initial year is 4,750,334,500 Vietnamese dong.
In order to assess the profitability of the investment and determine if it is worthwhile, we
provide 3 distinct scenarios that enable the estimation of the profit earned before accounting
for any potential risks.
Scenario 1:
+ With a very good business situation.
+ Possibility is 30%.
+ Revenue growth from year 2 is 20%; 15%; 10%; 5% per year.
+ Annual salary increase by 5% per year.
+ Utility increase by 5% annually.
Scenario 2:
+ With a good business situation.
+ Possibility is 35%.
+ Revenue growth from year 2 is 10%; 10%; 5%; 2% per year.
+ Annual salary increase by 2% per year.
+ Utility increase by 2% annually.
Scenario 3:
+ With a not very good business situation.
+ Possibility is 35%.
+ Revenue growth from year 2 is 5%; 0%; -2%; -2% per year.
+ Annual salary cost unchanged.
+ Utilities unchanged.
- All scenarios consider that extra investment will be made in the third year and Working Capital
will increase by VND 150 million.
- Additionally, there is a recurrent cost of VND 20 million for the yearly refurbishment of the
shop according to the seasonal theme and festival.
- The Project's Operating Revenue and Expense Forecast, which is included in the attached Excel
file, has been established based on the analysis of possible scenarios while also considering
risks and returns to determine the feasibility of investing in the project.
Scenario 1
NPV and IRR CALCULATIONS
Year Cash flow
0 -711.500.000
1 509.131.280
2 879.985.536
3 1.052.882.366
4 1.428.873.803
5 1.693.214.493
Estimated Cost of capital 15%
Possibility 0,30
NPV 2.747.695.678
IRR 105%
PAYBACK PERIOD
(year) 1,230
- In all three scenarios, if the business situation is very favorable, it is not surprising that
scenario 1 has the highest indicators. The project's NPV after 5 years of investment can reach
up to 2,747,695,678 VND and its Profitability Index is 4.86, indicating that the project's
profitability in this scenario is undeniable. Additionally, the project's IRR is also impressive at
105%.
- A high IRR indicates a high rate of return, which means that the project has potential and is
worth investing in. When the IRR exceeds the discounted value of the project, it proves that the
project is viable. Furthermore, scenario 1 has the fastest payback time among all scenarios with
a Payback Period of 1,230 years and a Discounted Payback Period of 1,404 years.
Scenario 2:
Scenario 2
NPV and IRR CALCULATIONS
Year Cash flow
0 -711.500.000
1 509.131.280
2 701.806.408
3 766.068.409
4 1.020.013.744
5 2.833.691.135
Estimated Cost of capital 15%
Possibility 0,35
NPV 2.757.633.214
IRR 96%
PAYBACK PERIOD
(year) 1,348
- Based on the favorable business situation described earlier, Scenario 2 of the project has
yielded impressive results. After a 5-year investment, the net present value (NPV) reached
2,757,633,214 VND and the internal rate of return (IRR) was a remarkable 96%. These figures
demonstrate the undeniable potential and profitability of the project, making it a worthwhile
investment. Additionally, the Profitability Index was extremely high at 4.88.
- In this scenario, the payback rate was also the fastest, with the project being able to recoup its
capital in just the second year. Specifically, the Payback Period amounted to 1,348 years and
the Discounted Payback Period was 1,480 years.
Scenario 3:
Scenario 3
NPV and IRR CALCULATIONS
Year Cash flow
0 -711.500.000
1 394.311.040
2 619.964.844
3 349.403.592
4 455.264.720
5 592.008.626
Estimated Cost of capital 15%
Possibility 0,35
NPV 884.532.187
IRR 59%
PAYBACK PERIOD
(year) 1,133
- The value of the single asset portfolio is 0.643, which represents the risk-to-reward ratio. The
fact that the risk is lower than the return indicates that the project is relatively safe.
Additionally, the high return and low risk suggest that the project has potential for investment.
The Expected Return of the project amounts to VND 2,099,066,593, which is greater when
compared with the Rrf assumed in the article (a savings account with the same initial
investment and an interest rate of 8% per year), which is only 1,045.426,927 VND.
- As a result, the Sharpe Ratio reaches 0.78. Even though this figure is not particularly
impressive, it still suggests that investing in the project brings higher returns, enough to offset
the opportunity cost (Rf opportunity cost) spent on investment into the project. With low initial
costs, minimal operating expenses, and high profitability, this project holds great promise.
III. Conclusion
- Based on the analysis and assumptions made to evaluate the potential of the project with
greater accuracy, we have determined that it is a promising and worthwhile investment. The
project boasts a fast recovery time, good profitability, and low risk in terms of profit.
Additionally, creating a competitive advantage and retaining high-quality employees will help
establish a loyal and stable customer base. Effective cost management is also expected to lead
to increased profits for the project.