Session 7 and 8 M&a PGDM 2023
Session 7 and 8 M&a PGDM 2023
Size: The firm will Size: The target firm should be at least $x million in revenue
Be the number one or two market share leader by 20??
Achieve revenue of $x million by 20??
Growth: The firm will achieve through 20?? annual average Growth: The target firm should
Revenue growth of x% Have annual revenue, earnings, and operating cash-flow
Earnings per share growth of y% growth of at least x%, y%, an z%
Operating cash-flow growth of z% Provide new products and entry into new markets resulting
in $z by 20??
Possess excess annual production capacity of x million units
Diversification: The firm will reduce earnings variability Diversification: The target firm’s earnings should be largely
by x%. uncorrelated with the acquirer’s earnings.
Flexibility : Achieve flexibility in manufacturing and design. Flexibility: Target should use flexible manufacturing
12-02-2023 PGDM Term III, 2023 6
techniques.
Phase 3: Initiating the Search
• Two step procedure:
• Establish primary selection criteria (e.g., industry and maximum size of
transaction)
• Develop search strategy to identify potential targets using computerized
databases; directory services; legal, banking, and accounting firms; and the
Internet.
• Brokers and finders:
• A broker has a fiduciary responsibility to either the seller or buyer.
• A finder introduces both parties without representing either party.
• Everything is negotiable. Fee structures are normally negotiated and may
include a basic fee, a closing fee, and an “extraordinary” fee (i.e., fees paid if
closing delayed due to obtaining antitrust approval, a hostile takeover, etc.)
• Put everything in writing
Negotiation Process
>$21,589 0.0
$7,150 to $21,589 1.3
2.4
$2,933 to $7,150 3.3
$1,556 to $2,933 4.4
$687 to $1,556 5.2
$111 to $687 7.2
<$111
Key Points: 1. Once revenue exceeds fixed costs, increases in revenue result in more than proportional increases in profits
2. A firm should operate at a loss as long as revenue ≥ variable costs.
before taxes.
Key Point: High fixed to total cost ratios magnify fluctuations in financial returns. Why?
12-02-2023 Because of the large percentage of revenue PGDM
inTerm III, 2023of fixed costs that flows to pretax profits.
excess 21
How Financial Leverage Affects Financial Returns1
Case 1: No Debt Case 2: 25% Debt to Case 3: 50% Debt to
Total Capital Total Capital
Equity 100 75 50
Debt 0 25 50
Total Capital 100 100 100
Earnings before Interest and Taxes 20 20 20
Implications:
--Increasing D/E raises firm’s breakeven and increases shareholder risk that firm will be unable to
generate future cash flows sufficient to pay their minimum required returns.
--Tax deductibility of interest reduces shareholder risk by increasing after-tax cash available for
shareholders.
12-02-2023 PGDM Term III, 2023 23
Estimating a Firm’s Beta
• Regression approach: Regress percent change in firm’s share price plus dividends against percent change in a
broadly defined stock index plus dividends for last 3-5 years.
• However, this assumes the historical relationship between risk and return will hold in the future
• If we have reason to believe this is not true, the “bottoms-up” approach may be appropriate.
• “Bottoms-up” approach: Use a sample of similar firms:1
• Step 1: Select sample of firms with similar size, cyclicality, and operating leverage (i.e., usually in the same
industry).
• Step 2: Calculate average unlevered beta for firms in the sample to eliminate the effects of their current
capital structures on their betas.
ßu = ßl / (1 + (1-t) (D/E))
• Step 3: Relever average unlevered beta using the (D/E)* ratio and marginal tax rate t*of the firm whose
levered beta (ßl*) you are trying to estimate (i.e., target firm)
ßl* = ßu (1 + (1-t*) (D/E)*)
1This assumes the firm’s future risk/reward relationship is more likely to mirror that of the average firm in the industry adjusted for
financial leverage. The “bottoms-up” approach involves the estimation of the comparable firm unlevered beta to estimate the levered
beta for the target firm.