NDC Implementation Framework Template
NDC Implementation Framework Template
Background
Pakistan is a lower middle-income country with GDP at USD 284 billion. Pakistan’s contribution to global
greenhouse gas emissions is meager however the impacts of climate change faced in the country are abundant.
Pakistan has been ranked 8th most vulnerable country to the impacts of climate change1 and adaptation is biggest
domestic climate change challenge faced by Pakistan today. ND-Gain Index2 has placed Pakistan as the 27th least
ready’ country in the world to address the impacts of climate change. The increased temperatures, varied
precipitation and monsoon patterns, and increased emissions have resulted in increased frequency of extreme
weather events (floods, tropical cyclones, droughts, landslides, Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs)); consequently
impacting livelihood and food security. In addition, Pakistan’s air quality has been significantly worsening accounting
for PKR 62-65 Billion losses annually. Government of Pakistan (GoP) has lately taken multiple actions to respond to
air pollution and climate change in an integrated manner and plans to continue the efforts through focused
interventions.
Pakistan ratified the Paris Agreement in 2016 and as an obligation under Article 4 of the Paris Agreement’s
Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) update process, the Ministry of Climate Change, Government of Pakistan
(MoCC) submitted Pakistan’s updated NDCs in 2021. Aimed at achieving reduced poverty and ensuring stable
economy, the updated NDCs commit to abate overall 50% of Pakistan’s projected GHG emissions by 2030. The
enhanced commitment will be contributed by the shift to 60% renewable energy for electricity generation, and 30%
to electric vehicles by 2030 and complete ban on the use of imported coal. The success of restoring the forest cover
and conservation efforts was corroborated when the latest GHG inventory of 2018 reported an 8.7% decline in
projected GHG emissions for the year 2018 (sequestration of 8.4 Mt CO2e)(Error! Reference source not found.).
Encouraged by these analytics, Pakistan commits to enhance its reliance on Nature-based Solutions (NbS)
underpinned by the fact that Ten Billion Tree Tsunami program (TBTTP) will alone sequester 148.76 MtCO2e if fully
implemented (Error! Reference source not found.).
NDC Implementation
Strategic objectives
It illustrates a pathway for implementing outlined activities and articulates aspects of the enabling
environment that may need strengthening to reach the targets set out in the updated NDC. To achieve this goal,
following objectives are pursued:
Strengthening enabling environment (e.g., policies, regulations, institutional arrangements) to
overcome articulated challenges and barriers to implementing activities committed
Identify possible sources of funding and Monitoring Reporting and Verification (MRV) for the
implementation of the NDC in all economic sectors, with a view to develop a financial investment plan
Increasing awareness among stakeholders 3 about what is required to achieve the NDC targets by
seeking technical expertise, increasing buy-in for action in new areas and building knowledge capital in
key institutions
Provincial Chapters
The 18th amendment to Pakistan’s constitution in 2010 has led to delegating more power to provinces.
MoCC being the national entity, is responsible for formulating the national policies and provinces are responsible to
adopt these policies into their planning and operations in different economic sectors. Since climate change is a cross
3
Public, private, donors/investors, academia, development banks, etc.
sectoral subject and in some cases provincial and local capacities are limited on climate change concepts, MoCC
understands the need for provinces to adopt NDCs in to a form of a roadmap with monitoring and evaluation
mechanism. This activity is a subsequent action to “Priority actions, Implementation schedule and Costs” which will
essentially provide a good evidence on what actions to prioritize in what sectors based on the costs and logistics and
when to implement. The provincial roadmap formulation will follow following proposed steps:
• Taking stock of the NDC sectors at sub-national level which will essentially cover the understanding of
what targets are being committed in NDCs and how provincial level policy instruments and actions will be
implemented. This will also require identification of gaps for regular stock-taking to report back to
UNFCCC.
• Assessing the human and information capacities required for NDC implementation for prioritized actions in
priority sectors which will help devise a plan to build capacity in both short and long terms.
• Assessing the policy instruments and institutional readiness for implementing the NDC which will cover
analysis of different mitigation and adaptation policy instruments and deciding most suitable approach to
attain desired NDC outcomes. This will also require an overhaul of existing practices in terms of policies as
well as roles and responsibilities among different economic sectors based on addressing bottle-necks to
NDC implementation.
• Assessing the regulatory framework to review regulatory frameworks to ensure that these can help drive
NDC implementation and bring about the agreed policy objectives
• Mapping the financial support which will then inform national climate finance framework
• Monitoring progress and reporting back to MoCC on decided set of indicators consistent and captured
within the national inventory, BTR reporting, and feed into the Paris Agreement’s global stocktake
The proposed steps will require extensive stakeholder consultations to ensure larger political buy-in and ownership
among various actors involved in successful implementation of the roadmap. Through literature and data collected
during NDC update process, following impacts are recognized in provinces:
Punjab: Punjab is most populous and second most urbanized province of the country. It is recognized as the
breadbasket of Pakistan. Punjab constitutes around 69 % of the total cropped area and 57 % of the total cultivated
land of Pakistan. Punjab is responsible for providing 80 % of wheat, 83 % of cotton, 97 % of fine aromatic rice, 51 %
of maize and 63 % of sugar cane to the national food production. Whereas, the province accounts for 66 % of
mangoes, 34 % of dates, 82 % of guavas and more than 95 % of citrus fruits to the national production of fruits4. The
impacts of climate change such as environmental and land degradation, water scarcity, crop failure, ineffective use
of agricultural inputs, and reduced crop yield have resulted in the lowering of agricultural share of the province from
4
Government of Punjab, Agriculture Department. Available at: www.agripunjab.gov.pk
31 % to 20 %5. Numerous diseases are prevalent in Punjab due to poor water quality and inadequate sanitation
infrastructure. It has been reported that malnutrition is one of the serious concerns that plagues the province,
particularly in children. Urban planning is of utmost importance as the rural to urban migration is expected to
increase. In context of urban planning, government of Punjab has put its focus on the improvement of water supply,
drainage, sewage and sanitation, solid waste management and vehicular emissions. If due importance is not given
to urban planning, then it can lead to environmental impacts in the urban centers which include water scarcity,
energy crisis and air pollution.
Sindh: Sindh is the coastal province with a long coast line of 350 km located in the southeast of Pakistan that is not
only the most populous metropolis but also has a commercial hub. The climate change has caused frequent
occurrence of calamities such as droughts, heat waves, floods etc. in Sindh. In the last century, the water level along
the Karachi coast has ascended by 10 cm and is expected to rise further by 60 cm by the end of this century, thus
putting the low-lying coastal area of Karachi under the risk of infrastructure and livelihood loss. This coastal belt is
prone to cyclones. Literature has reported an average of four cyclone events per century in Sindh. During the period
of 1971-2001, the intensity and frequency of cyclones have increased manifold. Evidence of sea-level rise has been
found along the coast line. The following figure shows the rise in sea-level, between the years 2007-2011. About 78
% of the Sindh groundwater is saline, thus making it unsuitable for drinking purposes. National Disaster Management
Authority has declared the districts of Dadu, Sukkur, and Tharparkar as drought-prone areas. Furthermore, the
regions of Achhro Thar, Kachho, Kohsitan, Nara and coastal belt have also been affected badly by the climate change.
Like droughts, Sindh has experienced all types of flood which are; Monsoon floods, Flash floods, Floods due to
breeches, Urban floods and Coastal floods. In Sindh, the occurrence of heat waves during the pre-monsoon season
is common and causes stress on human health. Major area of the province is situated in the intense heat zone, which
is anticipated to observe a temperature rise of 4-5 °C, during the 21st century.
Balochistan: Balochistan continues to suffer from the risks of extreme events, and due to the inadequate disaster
response system and isolated population, these extreme events are rapidly transformed into disasters. Since 2007,
the coastal area of Balochistan has already experience number of intense cyclone events such as Cyclone Yemin
(2007), Cyclone Gonu (2007) and Cyclone Phet (2010). In monsoon season, these basins get flooded and cause
overspilling of reservoirs and small dams. Thus, the population in the flood plains and catchment areas, are living in
a constant fear that anytime a new wave of flash flood can occur and can wash away their homes and other
properties. Rain-fed agriculture is dominant form of agriculture in Balochistan. However, due to less rainfalls in
cultivation time, cultivation of crops has become difficult. The variation in the temperature and rainfall patters along
with the exploitation of groundwater extraction, the water scarcity will become an important challenge for the
5
Punjab Growth Strategy 2018 (PGS), (2015) retrieved from: http://www.theigc.org/wp-
content/uploads/2015/04/Punjab-Growth-Strategy-2018-Full-report.pdf
people, economy and environment of Balochistan. Balochistan has experienced many extreme droughts in the past,
i.e., 1967-1969, 1971, 1973-1975, 1994, and 1998-2002, that have drastically affected the livelihood and economy
of the province. The drought was also responsible for the spread of numerous diseases such as Crimean Congo
Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF), Tuberculosis, Hepatitis, Malnutrition, Malaria, Chicken Pox, Scabies, Measles and many
others. The infant and under-fiver mortality in Balochistan is estimated to be 72 and 89 per thousand birth,
respectively. This rate is higher in rural areas as compared to urban areas.
Khyber PakhtunKhwa: KPK is the third-largest province in terms of population while it is the smallest as far as area
of the provinces are concerned. Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs) are one of the main natural hazards that have
impacted the province. The uncontrolled dumping of chemicals in surface-water bodies, over extraction of
groundwater, exploitation by water intensive manufacturing processes, and increased pressure due to
deforestation, agriculture, population growth, and impacts of climate change have aggravated the water stress
issues in the province. The burden on the natural resources is aggravating due to the urbanization, delicacy of
uncultivated land and ineffective existing irrigation system. The province is highly dependent on the import of
various products from other provinces, one of which is wheat. The crop yield is low as the quality of fertilizer and
seed is not up to the standard. Around 7.67 % of total cultivable land of Pakistan lies in the province of KPK and
almost half of this land in KPK is dependent on rain for carrying out agricultural activities. Thus, a decrease in the
water supply can have an extreme spill-over effect, not only in KPK but in neighboring provinces as well. The
magnitude of the climate-induced disasters can be evaluated from the data compiled by the Federal Flood
Commission (2016), which specified that the combined flow of Swat and Kabul rivers has touched a new historical
height of 400,000 as compared to the previous value of 250,000 cusecs recorded in 1929. The rise in the frequency
of flash floods and floods are likely to cause surface runoff, avalanches, river bank cuttings, soil erosion and landslides
damaging properties, roads, houses and agricultural lands.
Gilgit Baltistan and Azad Jammu and Kashmir: Just like KPK, GB and AJK are responsible for the supply of electricity
for the entire country from its hydro-power stations. The regions are responsible for the operation and maintenance
of these infrastructures and require additional resources to convert these to climate resilient infrastructure. In
addition, region is also prone to GLOFs, flash floods, avalanches, heatwaves etc.
Provinces will undergo the stages highlighted under provincial roadmap formulation to prioritize areas of
intervention for short, medium and long-term. Based on these prioritization, MoCC will be coordinating with
provinces and will regularly monitor and evaluate their progress. The quarterly progress reports submitted by
provinces will also be a way for provinces to communicate their needs like finances, technical assistance etc. to
MoCC to make necessary arrangements. These financial needs will then inform financial framework covered in next
section.
Based on the national and sub-national situation analysis, following actions with responsibilities and targets were
committed in updated NDCs:
Table-1: Overarching Mitigation Objectives & Supporting Initiatives
6
Including hydropower
reduced costs (including
offshore) Percentage increase in
Onshore large-scale wind RE generation
and solar projects
Exploration and AEDB/ Number of options
development of storage Provincial proposed for RE
technologies to tackle RE Departments intermittency
intermittency
Utilizing other alternative AEDB/ Percentage of Transition from
energy sources for Provincial electricity generation biomass to
generating electricity Departments from alternate sources electricity in 15% of
households by 2050
Research and Ministry of Number of research
development programs Climate reports developed for
for carbon capture and Change policy uptake
sequestration (MoCC),
GCISC/
Provincial
Departments
Improve Efficient irrigation NEECA/ Annual improvement in Increase energy
mechanisms motors/pumps (electric), Provincial energy efficiency efficiency with
and fans, boilers/furnaces, Departments combined sectoral
procedures stoves, water heaters and targets to achieve a
to provide for LEDs, etc. total of 1.5% annual
effective Green Building codes and NEECA/ Energy efficient improvement in
conservation certification for new and Provincial building codes notified energy efficiency
and efficient refurbished buildings, Departments
use of energy including revolving Number of buildings
guarantee mechanism for certified
energy efficient
appliances Revolving guarantee
mechanism
operationalized
Mandatory energy audits NEECA/ Number of energy
of large energy Provincial audits conducted
consuming industries and Departments
companies
Explore and adopt cap MoCC/ Reduction in industrial
and trade schemes and Provincial emissions
carbon levies to manage Departments
industrial emission
efficiency
Promotion of Energy NEECA/ Audit reports on
Standards and Labeling Provincial enforcement of
(ESL) Departments standards
Tax exemptions for hybrid Ministry of Number of vehicles 30% shift to electric
and EVs Industry purchased passenger vehicles
(MoI)/ and 50% shift to
Provincial electric two/three
Departments wheelers and buses
Establishing recharging MoI with Number of charging by 2030
network for EV adoption MoE/ stations
Provincial 90% shift to electric
Departments passenger vehicles
Transition to Euro 5 MoE Reduction in air and 90% shift to
(Petroleum pollution electric two/three
Division)/ wheelers and buses
Provincial by 2040
Departments
Promote Improve irrigation Provincial Reduction in drop per
climate smart practices and water agriculture crop
inputs and management department
management Climate resilient Ministry of Number of farmers
practices in agriculture/agroforestry National trained on farming
agriculture practices Health techniques
and livestock Services,
management Regulation &
Coordination
(MoNHSR&C)
/ Provincial
Departments
Introduce climate resilient MoNHSR&C Number of crop
seed varieties & Provincial varieties developed and
Departments piloted.
of Agriculture
(DoAs)/
Provincial
Departments
Promotion, storage and MoNHSR&C Area of land using
management of green & DoAs/ green manure
manure Provincial
Departments
Promote Ensure the provision of Provincial Reduction in prices for
energy gaseous fuels at cheaper Departments energy efficient fuels
efficient rates
practices in Introduce and practice Provincial Number of industries
industries Polluter Pays Principle Departments audited
(PPP)
Introduce Refrigeration NEECA/ Standards and labels
and Air Conditioning Provincial notified
(RAC) standards, and Departments
labels
Mitigation:
MHVRA developed
Health
Incorporate Number of research studies
health and conducted
environment in Number of monitoring and
climate and forecasting systems developed
disaster risk Number of multi-sectoral
reduction related collaboration mechanisms
policies and vice operationalized
versa. Number of relevant studies
undertaken
One Health mechanism adopted
Number of health adaptation
programs implemented with support
of GIS tools
Number of standardized emergency
procedures developed
Number of measures adopted to
improve child mortality rate
HiAP approach to energy policy
adopted
WASH
Improve climate Number of relevant vulnerability
resilience of assessment studies undertaken
communities Number of low-cost climate resilient
through improved technologies piloted
development Number of pilots rolled out for
outcomes in metered water supply
WASH sector
Cross-cutting themes:
Gender
Priority Immediate
actions by Action/ Long
Objective Potential Indicators Activity Cost Timeframe Stakeholders
Provinces term Action
(H,M,L)
Agriculture, Forestry and other land-use Change
Number of women
Identifying rights-based and
employed/self-employed
gender-responsive measures
Number of women engaged
Ensure that plans, strategies,
in protected area
programs and budgets of
management
government bodies, funding
agencies and NGOs promote
Non timer products
gender equality and access to
prompted in TBTTP and
resources
other forestry initiatives
Number of women
Assessing the differential
accessing information
impacts of actions in the
Number of incentive
agriculture sector
schemes designed for
women
Number of awareness
sessions conducted
Immediate
SDG-13 Priority actions by
Objective Potential indicators Action/ Activity
Provinces Timeframe Stakeholders
Targets Long term Cost
(H,M,L)
Action
13.1 Strengthen resilience Number of capacity building initiatives
and adaptive capacity to undertaken for improving disaster risk
climate-related mitigation and response
disasters
Number of district level multi-hazard
assessments in various provinces
13.2 Integrate climate Integration of climate considerations
change measures into in PC-I form
policies and planning
13.3 Build knowledge and Number of climate-related studies
capacity to meet climate and risk assessments undertaken
change
13 A Implement the UNFCC Development of an action plan for
implementation of NDC.
13 B Promote mechanisms to Number of climate-related capacity
raise capacity for development initiatives rolled out
planning and
management
Figure 1 Proposed Strategic Action Plan for NDC Implementation