Given that the expected time to complete the project is 46 weeks and the standard deviation is 1.095445 weeks, the probability of completing the project in more than 48 weeks is 0.03394.
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PERT Sample Computation
Given that the expected time to complete the project is 46 weeks and the standard deviation is 1.095445 weeks, the probability of completing the project in more than 48 weeks is 0.03394.
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Given Value, x 48
Expected Time to Complete the Project, μ 46
Standard Deviation of the Project, σ 1.095445
Probability of more than 48 weeks 0.03394
3 4 5 4 0.111111 1 2 3 2 0.111111 0.5 1 1.5 1 0.027778 1 2 9 3 1.777778 1 5.5 7 5 1 Immediat Most e Optimisti Pessimisti Activity Likely Expected Variance Predecess c Time, to c Time, tp Time, tm or/s A --- 10 12 15 12.1667 0.6944 B A 6 10 14 10 1.7778 C A 10 15 20 15 2.7778 D A 9 9 18 10.5 2.25 E B 5 6 8 6.1667 0.25 F C, E 10 12 13 11.8333 0.25 G B 12 14 16 14 0.4444 H B, D 18 21 24 21 1 I B, D 10 15 20 15 2.7778 J F, G, H 8 10 14 10.3333 1 Immediat Most e Optimisti Pessimisti Activity Predecess c Time, to Likely c Time, tp e v Time, tm or/s A --- 15 20 25 20 2.777778 B --- 8 10 12 10 0.444444 C A 25 30 40 30.83333 6.25 D B 15 15 15 15 0 E B 22 25 27 24.83333 0.694444 F E 15 20 22 19.5 1.361111 G D 20 20 22 20.33333 0.111111