Adani Under Attack: Q&A With Finance Minister ON BUDGET 2023-24
Adani Under Attack: Q&A With Finance Minister ON BUDGET 2023-24
businesstoday.in
ADANI
UNDER ATTACK
BILLIONAIRE GAUTAM ADANI FACES HIS BIGGEST CHALLENGE AS ALLEGATIONS BY A
US-BASED SHORT-SELLER SEND HIS COMPANIES’ STOCKS PLUMMETING. LENDERS HAVE
TURNED WARY, AND HIS MEGA $107-BILLION GROWTH PLAN IS NOW IN JEOPARDY.
CAN ADANI STAVE OFF THIS CRISIS? AN INSIDE LOOK AT HIS OPTIONS
FROM THE EDITOR
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Adani’s Biggest
Group Chief Executive Officer: Dinesh Bhatia
Executive Director: Rahul Kanwal
Chief Revenue Officer: Alok Nair
Challenge
Editor: Sourav Majumdar
Group Creative Editor: Nilanjan Das
Group Photo Editor: Bandeep Singh
Global Business Editor: Udayan Mukherjee
Managing Editor, Business Today TV: Siddharth Zarabi
Managing Editors: Alokesh Bhattacharyya, Anand Adhikari
F
or the better part of 2022, it was all about the Adani Group Executive Editor: Krishna Gopalan
Senior Editor, Businesstoday.in: Mukesh Adhikary
stocks in the markets. A dizzying run-up in all Adani stocks saw
CORRESPONDENTS
the overall market capitalisation of the group rise over 100 per Senior Editors: Neetu Chandra Sharma, Nidhi Singal,
Smita Tripathi, Sohini Mitter
cent. As investors and analysts saw the group’s meteoric rise Editor (Money Today): Teena Jain Kaushal
Senior Associate Editor: Ashish Rukhaiyar
on the bourses, Gautam Adani, the 60-year-old boss of the Adani Group, Senior Assistant Editor: Binu Paul
rose to No. 3 in the global wealth ranking, leaving the mighty Mukesh Assistant Editors: Arnab Dutta, Manish Pant
Special Correspondents: Prerna Lidhoo, Vidya S.
Ambani far behind. It was as if the Adani Group could do no wrong, PRESENTER AND SENIOR EDITOR, BUSINESS TODAY TV:
Aabha Bakaya
and the stratospheric growth of the group—which is in the midst of
RESEARCH
a massive play on the India infrastructure story by way of its airports, Assistant Editor: Rahul Oberoi
Principal Research Analyst: Prince Tyagi
ports, roads, power and cement, among other things—was the subject COPY DESK
of animated discussion in corporate circles. Cut to February 2023 and Senior Associate Editor: Abhik Sen
Senior Assistant Editor: Shishir Kumar Behera
the aftermath of the damaging report by little-known US short-seller Senior Sub Editor: Pranay Prakash
Hindenburg Research—which accused the Adani Group of pulling off PHOTOGRAPHY
Principal Photographer: Rajwant Singh Rawat
what it called “the largest con in corporate history” by way of stock Photographer: Hardik Chhabra
ART
manipulation, accounting fraud and routing of funds through overseas Deputy Creative Editor: Anirban Ghosh
shell companies—has shaken the group like never before. While the Deputy Art Director: Rahul Sharma
Associate Art Director: Raj Verma
conglomerate issued a detailed rebuttal to the charges, it wasn’t before Chief Designer: Prabal Biswas
EVENTS
over $100 billion of the group’s market capitalisation was wiped off Senior Manager: Sourabh Dutta
in just a few days. And while the stocks have stabilised somewhat, PRODUCTION
Chief of Production: Harish Aggarwal
the erosion in market cap was still at a whopping `10 lakh crore or Senior Production Coordinator: Narendra Singh
Production Coordinator: Ayekpam David Meitei
thereabouts as of February 10. Worse, global banks like Credit Suisse,
LIBRARY
Citi and Standard Chartered have turned wary of Adani’s bonds and Assistant Librarian: Satbir Singh
BUSINESS TEAM (MAGAZINE)
securities. And Indian institutions, including State Bank of India and National Head: Siddhartha Chatterjee
Life Insurance Corporation, which have exposure to the group, have Assistant General Managers: Ankush Madan, Girish C,
Priya Gaur (Govt Sales)
come in for intense criticism after the Hindenburg allegations. BUSINESS TEAM (BT TV)
With a massive $107-billion growth plan lined up for the next 10 years, Senior General Managers: Masuma Parekh, Nisha Sharma
SALES STRATEGY
the Hindenburg report has hit Adani like the proverbial iceberg it never General Manager: Sanjay Bhoir
AD OPS
saw coming. The question now is, how will Adani fund his ambitious Deputy General Manager: Avinash Karkera
growth plans, which include a big bet on green hydrogen and a brand Marketing: Vivek Malhotra, Group Chief Marketing Officer
new airport project in Navi Mumbai? More important, questions are Newsstand Sales: Deepak Bhatt, Senior General Manager
(National Sales); Vipin Bagga, General Manager (Operations); Rajeev
now swirling around whether the group can service its massive `2.25- Gandhi, Deputy General Manager (North),
Yogesh Godhanlal Gautam, Deputy Regional Sales Manager (West),
lakh crore debt and make scheduled repayments on time. In our cover S. Paramasivam, Deputy Regional Sales Manager (South)
story, Ashish Rukhaiyar and Krishna Gopalan speak to bankers, analysts,
corporate executives and market participants to put together a detailed Vol. 32, No. 5, for the fortnight February 20, 2023
to March 5, 2023. Released on February 20, 2023.
picture of what Adani’s options look like. What quite a few agree on is that Editorial Office: India Today Mediaplex, FC 8, Sector 16/A, Film City, Noida-201301;
Tel: 0120-4807100; Fax: 0120-4807150 Advertising Office (Gurgaon): A1-A2, Enkay Centre, Ground
the cash flows from the slew of assets, and the group’s cash position, offer Floor, V.N. Commercial Complex, Udyog Vihar, Phase 5, Gurgaon-122001;
Tel: 0124-4948400; Fax: 0124-4030919; Mumbai: 1201, 12th Floor, Tower 2 A, One Indiabulls Centre
substantial cushion as far as its debt servicing ability is concerned. With (Jupiter Mills), S.B. Marg, Lower Parel (West), Mumbai-400013; Tel: 022-66063355;
Fax: 022-66063226; Chennai: 5th Floor, Main Building No. 443, Guna Complex, Anna Salai,
strong assets on the ground generating predictable cash flows, Adani Teynampet, Chennai-600018; Tel: 044-28478525; Fax: 044-24361942; Bangalore: 202-204 Richmond
Towers, 2nd Floor, 12, Richmond Road, Bangalore-560025; Tel: 080-22212448,
may yet be able to stave off the biggest crisis of his career and live to fight 080-30374106; Fax: 080-22218335; Kolkata: 52, J.L. Road, 4th floor, Kolkata-700071;
Tel: 033-22825398, 033-22827726, 033-22821922; Fax: 033-22827254; Hyderabad: 6-3-885/7/B, Raj
another day. But his ambitious growth plan will have to be made much Bhawan Road, Somajiguda, Hyderabad-500082; Tel: 040-23401657, 040-23400479; Ahmedabad:
2nd Floor, 2C, Surya Rath Building, Behind White House, Panchwati,
more realistic as the funding environment turns challenging. And as the Off: C.G. Road, Ahmedabad-380006; Tel: 079-6560393, 079-6560929; Fax: 079-6565293; Kochi:
Karakkatt Road, Kochi-682016; Tel: 0484-2377057, 0484-2377058; Fax: 0484-370962
crazy valuations become a thing of the past and the group stocks settle Subscriptions: For assistance contact Customer Care, India Today Group, C-9, Sector 10, Noida (U.P.)
- 201301; Tel: 0120-2479900 from Delhi & Faridabad; 0120-2479900
at more explicable levels, the regulators will also be taking a close look (Monday-Friday, 10 am-6 pm) from Rest of India; Toll free no: 1800 1800 100 (from BSNL/ MTNL lines);
Fax: 0120-4078080; E-mail: [email protected]
at the allegations. Clearly, the damage inflicted by Hindenburg—named Sales: General Manager Sales, Living Media India Ltd, C-9, Sector 10, Noida (U.P.) - 201301;
Tel: 0120-4019500; Fax: 0120-4019664 © 1998 Living Media India Ltd.
after an airship disaster of 1937—will take time to be addressed. The dent All rights reserved throughout the world. Reproduction in any manner is prohibited.
Printed & published by Manoj Sharma on behalf of Living Media India Limited.
to the group’s reputation is not going away anytime soon. Printed at Thomson Press India Limited, 18-35, Milestone, Delhi-Mathura Road, Faridabad-121007,
(Haryana). Published at F-26, First Floor, Connaught Place,New Delhi-110001.
Editor: Sourav Majumdar
Business Today does not take responsibility for returning unsolicited publication material.
All disputes are subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of competent courts and forums in Delhi/
New Delhi only.
10 POINT
High Stakes
Promoters and insti-
tutional investors
raised stakes in many
companies in 2022
even as the equity
market stayed volatile
12 THE BUZZ
Game of
COVER STORY Estimation
20
Forecasts of GDP
growth and inflation
are risky and prone
to major corrections
over time
THE BUZZ
14
Wooing Private
Capex
ADANI
The Finance
Minister has hinted
at creating a
framework to bring
in large private
sector investments
UNDER
into infrastructure
ATTACK
PHOTO MONTAGE BY BANDEEP SINGH
42 HEALTHCARE IPOs
BILLIONAIRE GAUTAM ADANI FACES HIS BIGGEST CHALLENGE AS ,
ALLEGATIONS BY A US-BASED SHORT-SELLER SEND HIS COMPANIES
STOCKS PLUMMETING. LENDERS HAVE TURNED WARY, AND HIS Healthy Sign
MEGA $107-BILLION GROWTH PLAN IS NOW IN JEOPARDY. CAN
Spurred by the
ADANI STAVE OFF THIS CRISIS? AN INSIDE LOOK AT HIS OPTIONS
Covid-19-induced tilt
towards healthcare,
13 health-related
COVER BY NILANJAN DAS firms have gone
public in two years
88
E-COMMERCE 34 TECHNOLOGY 48 TECH TODAY
92
DOWNTIME
An Feature
From time to time, you will see pages titled “Focus”, “An Impact Feature”, or “Advertorial” in Business Today.
For the latest updates
These are no different from an advertisement and the magazine’s editorial staff is not involved in their and analysis, log on to
creation in any way. businesstoday.in
PHOTOGRAPHIK
Photograph by GETTY IMAGES
GOLD RUSH
Text by RAHUL OBEROI GOLD PRICES CONTINUE TO RISE IN 2023
AFTER JUMPING IN 2022. AS A RESULT,
SOURCE COGENSIS, WORLD DEMAND FOR THE YELLOW METAL HAS
GOLD COUNCIL, MCX FALLEN, EVEN AS THE INDIAN ECONOMY
REBOUNDS.
Business Today A LOOK AT THE KEY NUMBERS
26 December 2021
|9
`58,932 13 2
PER 10 GM PER CENT PER CENT
The price of gold—an all-time Surge in prices of the yellow Fall in gold jewellery demand last
high—on February 2, 2023; metal in 2022 compared to year in India—the second-largest
it has increased 8 per cent benchmark equity index BSE consumer of gold globally—as
year-to-date Sensex’s
Business4.4 per26cent
Today gain 2021
December higher prices took away its allure
THE POINT
HIGH STAKES
There has been a steady rise in the stakes held by promoters and institutional investors of various hues in a tough business
environment. Latest shareholding data shows that promoters, domestic fund managers and global investors have raised their stakes
in many companies in 2022 even as the domestic equity market was volatile due to the geopolitical crisis, rising interest rates and an
exodus of FII money from India. A look at some relevant numbers:
By RAHUL OBEROI and PRINCE TYAGI; Graphics by RAJ VERMA
72.94
Wipro
72.63 72.30
Adani Enterprises
Tata Consultancy Services 66.13
Coal India
65.13
Adani Ports and Special
Economic Zone
Top 5 Nifty companies with highest promoter holding; data as
of December 31, 2022; promoter holding in per cent
Source: ACE Equity
BANKING ON BANKS FOLLOWING THE MONEY
BANKING, IT AND POWER ARE TOP PICKS OF MFs AMONG NIFTY COMPANIES FOREIGN INVESTORS ARE BETTING BIG ON INDIA’S FINANCIAL SYSTEM
HOLDINGS OF GLOBAL INVES- RISE IN THE HOLDINGS OF INDIVIDUAL INVES- INVESTED VALUE OF MUTUAL FUNDS
TORS IN THE NIFTY 500 STOCKS TORS, INCLUDING HNIs, IN NIFTY 500 FIRMS IN IN NIFTY 500 STOCKS; IT IS 18.6 PER
` 48.39 AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2022; IT IS 3.51 2022, TO `21.84 LAKH CRORE ON DECEMBER ` 21.74 CENT MORE THAN THE `18.33 LAKH
lakh crore UP 4.39 PER CENT YEAR-ON-YEAR per cent 31, 2022, FROM `21.10 LAKH CRORE IN 2021 lakh crore CRORE IN 2021
40 40
70.00 25.00
35 35
60.00
20.00 30 30
50.00
25 25
40.00 15.00
20 20
30.00
10.00 15 15
20.00 10 10
5.00
10.00 5 5
Game of Estimation
Forecasts of GDP growth and inflation are risky and prone to major corrections over time
BY ANAND ADHIKARI
WHAT COULD
GO WRONG
A below normal
monsoon
Elevated inflation
and interest rates
Reduced capital flows
via FDI, FPO, PE and VCs
Sharper rupee
PHOTO BY BANDEEP SINGH
UP AND DOWN
The Year Gone By (FY23) The Year Ahead (FY24)
Parameters Projections Actual Parameters Projections Market Estimates
Real GDP 8.0-8.5% 6.5% Real GDP 6.5% 6.0%
Retail inflation 4.5% 6.5% Retail inflation 5.3% 4.5-5.0%
real GDP at 6.4 per cent and retail the new tax regime, which has no back of government capex. This
inflation at 5.3 per cent? exemptions. The government has will put pressure on the current
The answer probably lies in what proposed a reduced tax surcharge account deficit and also the rupee
Greenspan said about economic rate on income above `5 crore to against the US dollar, which has
forecasts. There is always a risk of 25 per cent, bringing down the already depreciated over 10 per
things turning topsy-turvy because maximum tax rate from 43 per cent last year. There is a threat of
of Black Swan events. Madan cent to 39 per cent. “It is unlikely imported inflation, although the
Sabnavis, Chief Economist of Bank that the lower tax rate would boost market is projecting lower inflation
of Baroda, whose research team’s consumption. This new regime than RBI’s forecast. And, if the final
estimates match the government is already a non-starter,” says a print of GDP is lower, there would
and RBI figures, believes that a private banker. In a Budget size of be a negative impact on the fiscal
disastrous monsoon, a drop in `45 lakh crore, the total income tax deficit as well as tax collection.
corporate profitability, a reduction collection—with the bulk under The 96-year-old Greenspan,
in bank credit growth, or oil prices the old tax regime—is only `9 lakh who doesn’t shy away from making
beyond $90 per barrel might affect crore. There are also expectations future projections even today, now
the current projections. “The fore- of slowing pent-up consumption anticipates a US recession. Some
casts are ultimately based on some demand—higher interest rates and would say this is not good news for
assumptions,” says Sabnavis. higher inflation will dampen shop- India. Take it with a pinch of salt if
Experts are already surprised pers’ spirits. The full impact of the you are not betting against India.
by the optimistic GDP numbers. 250-basis point hike in the repo rate
Pranjul Bhandari, Chief Economist will be felt next year. @anandadhikari
Wooing Private
ture funding is being contributed
by them,” says Jaishankar. Also,
following the announcement of the
National Monetisation Pipeline, the
THE PRIVATE
14 |
SECTOR HAS TO
SUPPLEMENT
THE GOVERN-
MENT’S INVEST-
MENTS IN INFRA
PROJECTS
NON-BANKING FINANCIAL COMPANIES AND INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATI-
ONS HAVE EMERGED AS THE LARGEST SOURCE OF FUNDS FOR INFRA PROJECTS
PHARMA
10
X DRUGMAKER DR. REDDY’S Labo- India business for both Horizon 1
ratories has a two-pronged strategy and 2, which includes ramping up
to keep chasing growth. Coming the internal portfolio, collabora-
in the backdrop of a 27.3 per cent tions, innovation and inorganic op-
per cent
year-on-year growth in revenues to portunities,” says CEO Erez Israeli.
`6,770 crore in Q3FY23, the pharma YEAR-ON-YEAR Dr. Reddy’s is eyeing double-digit
major has classified its short- and GROWTH IN DR. REDDY’S growth in FY24 on the back of its
long-term plans into Horizon 1 and LABORATORIES’ INDIA plan to launch around 30 products
Horizon 2, respectively. It plans to BUSINESS IN Q3FY23 in the US market. It is also investing
chase long-term growth through in various businesses that may sus-
M&As, while focussing on its core Reddy’s plans to explore new areas tain long-term growth. For instance,
businesses of active pharmaceuti- such as digital healthcare services, it is building a global pipeline of
cal ingredients, generics (reverse biologics (drugs made from living biosimilars, developing new chemi-
16 | engineered drugs similar to their things), cell and gene therapy, and cal entities for immune-oncology
branded counterparts), branded ge- disease management, apart from therapy, and building up a neutra-
nerics, biosimilars (biotherapeutic looking for inorganic opportunities. ceuticals (products derived from
products similar in terms of quality, The company is taking a mea- food sources that have nutritional
safety and efficacy to licensed sured approach to inorganic growth and medicinal benefits) portfolio,
reference biotherapeutic products) due to its strength in the domestic along with developing vaccines and
and over-the-counter drugs to grow market, which was visible in the its contract development (CDMO)
over the short term, company of- 10 per cent YoY growth in its India operations. “We are evaluating
ficials say. business in Q3FY23. “We are creat- several inorganic opportunities
For its Horizon 2 bets, Dr. ing several growth engines for the across businesses. We believe all of
these will lead to several growth op-
portunities, both in the short- and
long-term,” says Israeli.
Analysts are also upbeat about
the Dr. Reddy’s stock, considering
the new launches and healthy rev-
enues posted in the recent quarter.
Dr. Reddy’s share price has grown
at 17.75 per cent CAGR over the past
three years. The company’s “ramp-
PHOTO BY GETTY IMAGES
SPORTS X CRICKET HAS LONG been considered a sport for men but that is
set to change with the inaugural edition of the Women’s Premier
League (WPL). The mega event, created on the lines of the men’s
PUSHING Indian Premier League (IPL), will be held between March 4 and 26.
The BCCI expects the WPL to bring in a seismic change in women’s
cricket and turn it into a money-spinner. BCCI has already raked in
BOUNDARIES
The inaugural edition of
`4,670 crore from the auction of five WPL teams—Mumbai, Delhi,
Bengaluru, Ahmedabad and Lucknow. On average, each team was
sold for `930 crore, compared to the average `500 crore fetched by
the eight IPL teams in 2008. Men’s cricket, however, has tradition-
ally attracted a large audience base. As per financial services firm
WPL is expected to bring in a Elara Capital, the average reach of women’s cricket in India is 20
seismic change in women’s million, and the number for IPL goes up to around 500 million.
cricket in India But broadcasters and advertisers are hopeful, says Anil Jayaraj,
CEO (Sports) at Viacom18 Media. The company has paid `951 crore
BY PRERNA LIDHOO for the media rights of WPL for five years and Jayaraj is confident
that this will prove to be an invaluable asset. “My philosophy is that
@PLidhoo
PHOTO BY GETTY IMAGES
Gautam Adani,
Chairman and
Founder, Adani Group
COVER STORY ADANI
1
Needs to strengthen countless challenges team stuck to their guns and went
balance sheet and in his lifetime, even death, and ahead as originally planned. After
reduce debt only emerged stronger. In 2008, much huffing and puffing, the FPO
the Adani Group Chairman scraped through on the last day,
2
Could divest equity
in group firms to
and Founder survived the 26/11 January 31, with a subscription of
raise funds terrorist attack at Mumbai’s Taj 1.12 times, thanks to sustained bid-
Mahal hotel, where he was dining ding by institutions, family offices
3
Needs to review when the attackers struck. A and high net-worth individuals.
immediate growth/ decade prior, on New Year’s Day of The same day, even as Adani
expansion plans 1998, Adani was kidnapped by two Enterprises’ FPO hobbled past
gangsters in Ahmedabad, and was the finish line, Gautam Adani was
4
Markets to closely held to ransom. Whether he paid pictured in Israel with its Prime
monitor loan
the ransom or not is not known. Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,
repayments
Neither is it consequential. smiling assuredly as his Indian
5
ESG, sustainability What’s important is: he sur- conglomerate acquired Israel’s key
compliance needs vived. Both times. Haifa port for $1.2 billion. Adani
to be prioritised Will he survive Hindenburg? was trying to send a signal to the
There is no evidence to suggest markets—this was just another
anything to the contrary, at least day at the office; he was on top of
22 | not yet, albeit the Adani empire the situation. After all, his group
CONFIDENCE- has shrunk dramatically since the spans key infrastructure seg-
BUILDING US-based short-selling research ments like airports, ports, roads,
MEASURES firm’s allegations of accounting power and cement, among other
fraud, stock manipulation and things, which have physical assets
f Prepaid $1.1 billion to
routing of funds through overseas generating enough cash to stave
release pledged shares
shell companies were revealed in off any worries. Under normal
f Share pledges its report on January 24 (see chart circumstances.
were due for maturity in ‘Hindenburg Alleges…’). Despite a But circumstances were not
September 2024 413-page rebuttal to the charges, normal and, clearly, Adani’s sig-
which Hindenburg dismissed as in- nals were not having their desired
f Coupon payments consequential, Adani’s listed firms effect. On February 1, global
on dollar-denominated were battered by the markets, banks like Credit Suisse, Citi and
bonds done on schedule
recovering now and then only to Standard Chartered stopped
plunge further on more bad news. accepting Adani’s bonds and se-
f Adani Group mulling
independent assessment All through this mayhem, the burly curities as collateral, resulting in
of its firms billionaire has maintained a stoic a hammering of group stocks. The
posture, once in a while floating same day, the group called off the
f Assessment to look a confidence-building measure FPO. Shares of Adani Enterprises,
into compliance with all here, and another there (see chart which had touched a high of `4,189
requisite regulations ‘Confidence-Building Measures’). in December 2022, plunged to a
On January 27, three days after 52-week low of `1,017 on February
f Highlighting strong the Hindenburg assault, the `2.4- 3 (both intra-day trading figures).
guidance, cash flows in
latest financial results
lakh crore Adani Group’s mother- Since January 24, when the Hin-
ship, Adani Enterprises, opened its denburg report became public,
f FPO withdrawal much-anticipated `20,000-crore shares of Adani Enterprises, Adani
will not affect existing follow-on public offering (FPO). Green Energy, Adani Total Gas
business, future plans,
says Gautam Adani
T
months are expected to see the
Adani story continue to play out HE KEY FOR the group is The other major issue is the
as the embattled billionaire—who to strengthen the balance limited retail holding in Adani
has dropped out of the global top sheet and probably cut Group stocks—the promoters hold
20 billionaires’ list (he was at No. down on the number of anywhere between 57 per cent (in
24 as of February 14)—struggles projects... now is not the time to the recently acquired ACC) and 88
to keep his empire and investment raise debt but to reduce it,” says per cent (in FMCG major Adani
plans, earlier estimated at $107 Mobius, who generally advises in- Wilmar)—which Adani tried to
billion over 9-10 years, on course. vestors to avoid heavily leveraged partially correct through the
The question, then, is: where does companies in a rising interest rate FPO of Adani Enterprises. “They
the Adani Group go from here? environment globally. wanted to increase the public
FOLLOWING TH
float. That made sense, but the Hindenburg report was
totally unexpected,” says a banker familiar with the
group. Another corporate banker who has lent to the
HINDENBURG group says equity valuation has little meaning. “We
ALLEGES… have never lent against equity. The Adani Group went
for leveraged growth, which was at a time when debt was
easily available. In the new scenario now, expansion will
be difficult,” he says.
BRAZEN STOCK MANIPULATION The view on the street is that until a strategic investor
AND ACCOUNTING FRAUD puts in cash in one of the operating firms, raising money
SCHEMES would be a challenge. “That will entail a process of due
diligence and can address some of the issues raised by
Hindenburg,” says a banker. The conglomerate could
still look at foreign banks, even as domestic lenders
SUBSTANTIAL DEBT, SHARE including State Bank of India have come under scrutiny
PLEDGING AND PRECARIOUS over their exposure to the group. In fact, the bulk of the
FINANCIAL FOOTING group’s incremental funding for new businesses and
acquisitions in recent years has come through overseas
sources like foreign banks and bonds. Large acquisitions,
such as cement, have been fully funded by foreign banks,
24 | stated a report by financial services firm CLSA.
SHELL COMPANIES IN
MAURITIUS; ROUND-
G
TRIPPING OF FUNDS OING AHEAD, while the Adani Group is among
the Top 3 across the businesses it operates in—
ports, airports, power, cements, solar panels,
etc.—it would still need funds for expansion
ADANI GROUP SUBJECT OF such as in Adani Ports, where 100 million metric tonnes
FOUR MAJOR GOVERNMENT capacity will be added, or the massive expansion for
FRAUD INVESTIGATIONS airports including the new one in Navi Mumbai, or to
fund more buyouts in the cement sector. Undoubtedly,
the terms of lending would be different now. “For any
corporate, the credit line is its lifeblood. Any hindrance
RAJESH ADANI ACCUSED BY to that will have a cascading effect and at this point, it is
DRI FOR ALLEGED ROLE IN an area of concern,” says Mahesh Singhi, Founder & MD
DIAMOND TRADING IMPORT/ of Singhi Advisors, an M&A advisory firm. Creditors
EXPORT SCHEME and other bond holders, he says, need to take a long-term
approach to the Adani Group businesses from now on.
“That’s what they did when they lent money. Nothing
SAMIR VORA ACCUSED BY should change when it comes to that. Adani is certainly
DRI IN THE SAME DIAMOND not a Satyam and all its businesses are fundamentally
TRADING SCAM well-placed.” Singhi says the assets are as hard and real
as the liabilities are.
Indeed, the group’s assets are valued higher than even
its astronomical debt. The total debt of the group’s seven
VINOD ADANI ALLEGEDLY
listed entities—Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports & SEZ,
MANAGED NETWORK OF Adani Power, Adani Green Energy, Adani Transmis-
OFFSHORE ENTITIES TO
FACILITATE FRAUD
A PERFECT STORM
US-based short-seller Hindenburg Research, led by Nathan Anderson, released a
scathing report on the Adani Group on January 24, 2023. Here’s what followed
JANUARY 31 FEBRUARY 3
JANUARY 27 FPO subscribed 1.12 times RBI says the banking
with institutions, HNIs, sector is resilient and stable;
Adani Enterprises corporates bidding; retail Adani Enterprises shares
FPO opens; Adani investors stay away touch 52-week low of `1,017
Group stocks go into
free-fall mode
FEBRUARY 1
Adani Enterprises calls off FEBRUARY 4
FPO; going ahead with FPO
will not be “morally correct”, If any information comes
says Gautam Adani; Credit to our notice, action
JANUARY 29 Suisse stops accepting Adani will be taken after due
bonds as collateral examination, says capital
Adani Group refutes
Hindenburg’s allegations, markets regulator Sebi
releases 413-page
response FEBRUARY 2
S&P Dow Jones Indices
decides to remove FEBRUARY 6
Adani Enterprises from
sustainability indices Promoters prepay $1.1 billion
to release share pledge
JANUARY 30 in three Adani Group firms
W
Nathan Anderson
Founder,
Hindenburg Research
M
100
UCH AS THE robustness of the businesses
is acknowledged, but the ability to raise 90
money with ease, as it was earlier, is
bound to be hit as lenders turn jittery 80
after the Hindenburg charges. Despite the brave
70
faces, even Indian lenders will need to think hard
before cutting big cheques for the group in the 60
near future.
As part of his media interactions in January— 50
ahead of the ill-fated FPO—Jugeshinder Singh,
40
Group CFO of the conglomerate, had said that $50
billion was the planned capex for the green hydro- 30
gen business alone. Lenders point to the inherent
difficulties of this exercise in the domestic and 20
international markets given the current situation. JAN 2, JAN 24, FEB 14,
2023 2023 2023
On the face of it, the stakes outside Indian shores
are more complicated. After the Credit Suisse and ADANI ENTERPRISES ADANI GREEN ENERGY ADANI PORTS AND
Citi actions, S&P Dow Jones has removed Adani SEZ ADANI POWER ADANI TOTAL GAS ADANI TRANSMISSION
ADANI WILMAR S&P BSE SENSEX
Enterprises from its sustainability indices while
28 | Morgan Stanley Capital International has lowered BASE=100
SOURCE ACE EQUITY
the free float factor of Adani Enterprises, Adani
Transmission, Adani Total Gas and ACC.
Bankers say that in the international market,
some investors will hold on to the group’s bonds BOTTOM LINE
but the worry is that “investors generally panic”. Profit across all Adani Group firms
Besides, they explain, there are “vulture investors”
who will come in to push the price down and lead to 6,000
higher bond yields. “At the crux is to restore confi- 5,000
dence to ensure the repricing of bonds takes place.
Besides, the vulture funds will be hugely attracted 4,000
to the yields, which they don’t see in any other part 3,000
(PAT IN ` CRORE)
& SEZ
ENERGY
TRANSMISSION
WILMAR
TOTAL GAS
ADANI
ADANI
ADANI GREEN
ADANI
ADANI
ADANI
ADANI PORTS
(IN ` CRORE)
(IN ` CRORE)
40,000
80,000 53,612.00
30,000
15,462.89
56,177.66 20,000
60,000
10,000
40,508.04 9,864.15
40,000 0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
17,636.69 TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL DEBT SOURCE ACE EQUITY
20,000
0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 ADANI TRANSMISSION
47,464.11
50,000
TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL DEBT SOURCE ACE EQUITY
40,000
(IN ` CRORE)
30,000
ADANI PORTS & SEZ 17,873.69 32,870.23
20,000
1,00,000
93,883.38 10,000 12,276.97
80,000 0 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
(IN ` CRORE)
15,000
0 9,749.40
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
10,000
TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL DEBT SOURCE ACE EQUITY
5,000 2,568.11
2,244.02
0
ADANI POWER FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL DEBT SOURCE ACE EQUITY
1,00,000
81,981.02
80,000 ADANI TOTAL GAS
(IN ` CRORE)
69,548.75
5,000
60,000 4,415.25
(IN ` CRORE)
4,000
52,834.81 2,802.54
48,795.68
40,000 3,000
2,000
20,000 1,344.70 995.47
1000
0 0
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL DEBT SOURCE ACE EQUITY TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL DEBT SOURCE ACE EQUITY
payments on dollar-denominated wishes to remain anonymous. ture group in India. For many
bonds was also disseminated He says it is a good opportunity years, one has seen how the
promptly by the Adani Group. As to change the composition of likes of GMR, GVK and Lanco
things stand, the repayment sched- the board and just up the game have struggled, and Adani is
ule is on track (See table ‘Bonds Due on corporate governance. the only survivor,” says Deven
for Repayment’) with around $2 bil- Analysts point out that Choksey, Promoter and MD of
lion needing to be repaid by the end Adani’s play is in the infrastruc- KRChoksey Group, a wealth
of next year. Just on the basis of the ture space, which is one that has management firm. He picks out
`30,000-crore cash on the books, serious entry barriers. “He is the government’s thrust on the
meeting that is not a challenge. the only pure-play infrastruc- sector through the allocation of
Further, the group announced
that it is mulling an independent
assessment in terms of compli-
ance and governance to ensure all
transactions and disclosures have “The key for the group is
30 | been made as per the requisite regu- to strengthen the balance
lations. It is also planning to prepay sheet and probably cut
$500 million worth of loans that down on the number of
are due in March, which relate to a
part of the loan raised to finance the projects in order to reduce
purchase of Holcim’s cement assets the debt. So, now is not
in India. The group was earlier mull- the time to raise debt but
ing refinancing the loans, but then [to] reduce it”
thought it best to prepay given the
current scenario. The latest finan- MARK MOBIUS
cial numbers of some of the group FOUNDER, MOBIUS CAPITAL
companies have also highlighted PARTNERS LLP
strong guidance, future cash flows
and the quantum of debt that will
be reduced over time—all aimed “A valuation of Adani
at addressing the concerns in the Enterprises with upbeat
domestic and international markets. assumptions on revenue
Speaking of domestic markets, growth and operating
banks are expected to be reticent
till there is clarity on the group’s
margins... without factoring
financial structure. “There is a [in] the Hindenburg
good chance that the group will accusations... yields a value
go into consolidation mode for the of about `945 per share”
next 1.5-2 years. Diluting stakes
in profitable companies may be a ASWATH DAMODARAN
sensible and viable option,” says PROFESSOR, STERN SCHOOL OF
a leading investment banker who BUSINESS, IN A BLOG POST
SOURCE DRHPS
more than `20 lakh crore over Choksey, who adds that since dramatic run-up, the entire Adani
the last three Union Budgets. “In these projects “are meant for de- pack surged northward for the better
the infra space, players have to cades and centuries, valuations part of 2022, increasing the group’s
deal with the government, to- must be calculated based on market capitalisation by over 100 per
gether with high interest costs, current value of currency under cent. This surge also catapulted Gau-
execution of projects using right replacement costs and time”. tam Adani to the position of the third-
technology in a time-bound The critical issue relating to richest person on the planet for a fair
manner. Judging a player only the Adani Group seems to be period, before Hindenburg struck.
on the basis of its stock price is the high valuations the stocks Most market observers now say the
an incorrect approach,” reasons commanded till last year. In a stocks were seriously overvalued
despite assets being on the ground.
Aswath Damodaran, one of the
world’s most renowned experts on
valuations, believes that the fair
“There is not even value of Adani Enterprises shares is
1 per cent risk for `945, as opposed to its current trad- | 31
policyholders [and] ing value of around `1,600. “Inves-
shareholders [from tors in family group companies, no
matter how honourable the family,
LIC’s holdings in the are buying into cross-holdings,
Adani Group]. There opacity and the possibility of wealth
will be no impact on the transfers across family group com-
investments... It is just a panies. Those risks increase, if the
family group companies are built
drop in the ocean” around political connections...,” he
M.R. KUMAR said on his blog.
CHAIRMAN, LIC But valuations apart, despite the
high debt levels, market experts
don’t reckon that there is a serious
“The markets have concern around debt. “Debt is not
brought some discipline really a concern for the group as it
to the Adani Group has good quality assets. The only
concern was the high valuation,”
stocks as shares of some
says Samir Arora, Founder of Helios
of the group firms were Capital, a portfolio management
highly valued. Debt is not services firm. “The message from
really a concern... as it the market seems to be that ‘don’t be
so aggressive in your growth; focus
has good quality assets” on sustainable growth’. This ongoing
issue, however, could impact the fu-
SAMIR ARORA ture growth plans of the group. The
FOUNDER, HELIOS CAPITAL markets have brought some amount
of discipline to the Adani Group will not impact any other group compared to a loss of `12 crore in
stocks as shares of some of the group company. On management Q3FY22. Other group companies’
companies were highly valued.” bandwidth, one can say Gautam Q3FY23 results have been mixed.
Adani and his family members Adani Ports & SEZ recorded
T
are involved in all companies of consolidated revenue growth of
HERE IS NO denying the fact the group. Though there could 17 per cent, but profits fell 16 per
that the top brass of the be an issue here, each company is cent. Adani Power’s revenues rose
Gujarat-headquartered con- headed by a professional CEO,” 45 per cent, but net profit plunged
glomerate will have to go back says Gupta, a former ED of Sebi. 95 per cent. And Adani Green’s
to the drawing board and review The financial health of the revenues grew 53 per cent, and
every single aspect of its growth group may not be an immediate profits also doubled. Still, the
strategy. “Adani Group’s calling off concern, but that is not stopping companies’ shares are on brittle
of its fully-subscribed FPO has left investors from questioning the ground, and it will take a while for
more questions unanswered. One management on its strategy. In things to return to normal.
question that is awaiting clarity is an interview to BT TV, LIC Chair- So, let’s get back to our origi-
how the group intends to meet the man M.R. Kumar said that while nal question: Will Gautam Adani
objectives as stated in the prospectus the insurance behemoth has not survive Hindenburg?
of the FPO,” says Sumit Agrawal, reduced its exposure in the Adani The market’s general as-
Managing Partner of Regstreet Law Group (less than 1 per cent of its sessment is that he will, but the
Advisors and a former legal officer of
Sebi. Among other things, the aim of
the `20,000-crore FPO was to repay
`2,25,000
debt amounting to `4,165 crore and
fund capex for businesses related to
green hydrogen, airports and roads to
the tune of `10,869 crore.
32 | A top executive close to the group
says there is no question of defaults on CRORE GROSS DEBT OF ADANI
debt for the next three to five years. GROUP COMPANIES
“The operating businesses generate
high levels of cash, and are in a good
position to service debt,” he says. This
is exactly what the group seems to be total assets under management bruise will last long and need
telling the markets—that its business adding up to around `36,000 special treatment. For one, Adani
model has been centred on predictable crore) after the Hindenburg will need to get realistic about his
cash flows from existing businesses. report, it wants the embattled ambitions—he has reportedly
“For a group of this size, the debt that conglomerate to “throw some halved the growth target to 15-20
it has is not a big amount especially light on what is happening in the per cent for FY24 and might hold
when you see that all businesses are market”. “We will be calling them back on fresh capex for some
asset-based and are appreciating [the Adani Group management] time. For another, the markets
in value. They also have cash flows sometime just to know the busi- will have to pare expectations
to support that quantum of debt,” ness profile and what they are around the valuations of Adani
says J.N. Gupta, Founder & MD of planning to do and how are they stocks in the days ahead. And for
Stakeholder Empowerment Services, a planning to manage the whole yet another, lenders and regula-
proxy advisory firm. thing,” said Kumar while adding tors too have to draw lessons
Gupta, however, believes that while that the investment was “just a from this saga to strengthen
the group does not face any inter- drop in the ocean”. lending, surveillance and corpo-
dependence risks in terms of cross- A point to note here is that Ad- rate governance practices.
holdings, inter-company guarantees ani Enterprises’ Q3FY23 results The cat appears not to have ex-
or loans, one could say that there is a have been outstanding—con- hausted his nine lives. Not yet.
“management bandwidth” issue that solidated total income growth of
the group should look at resolving. 42 per cent, Ebitda growth of 101 @ashishrukhaiyar,
“The financial health of one company per cent, and profit of `820 crore @krishnagopalan
T H E S M A L L - TO W N W O N D E R H A S
AC C E L E R AT E D TO N O . 3 I N I N D I A ’ S
E-COMMERCE PECKING ORDER ON THE
B AC K O F V C M O N E Y . B U T N O W , M E E S H O
NEEDS TO SHOW PROFITS FOR FURTHER
G R O W T H . I T W O N ’ T B E E A SY
BY S O H I N I M I T T E R
P H OTO BY H A R D I K C H H A B R A
SANJAYBHAI SAVALIYA, a Surat- ucts displayed to the most relevant customers. Meesho
based textile manufacturer, has recently notified sellers that it will now charge them a
nominal fee per order in exchange for quicker payouts—
been selling on home-grown e- within 24 hours instead of its usual seven days.
commerce platform Meesho since While this is a new stream of monetisation that Mee-
2019. He’s retailed his merchandise sho has embarked upon, given its rising expenses and
ballooning losses (more on that later), sellers aren’t too
on Amazon and Flipkart, too. But in excited. “Saat din rukne se kuch nahi ho jayega. Kyun hum
the past two years, Meesho has come extra paisa bhare? (Nothing will change in seven days, so
to be his preferred platform. Savali- why should we pay extra?),” says Savaliya.
The impact of this new seller policy is yet to play out,
ya says Meesho’s zero-commission but what is amply clear is Meesho’s hunt for monetisa-
policy attracted him to the online tion. Although it continues to be a zero-commission
marketplace at a time when Ama- platform for its 825,000 registered sellers, it has now
become imperative for the Bengaluru-based seven-
zon’s and Flipkart’s 17-18 per cent year-old e-commerce firm to pave a path to profitability.
platform fees were eating into his Especially after a brutal 2022 that was defined by a pro-
margins. Besides, a Meesho listing longed funding winter and mass layoffs at start-ups.
ensures he starts receiving orders Meesho, too, laid off employees as it scaled down its
grocery division (Farmiso) to cut costs. While the offi-
within a day or two; on Flipkart and cial number of layoffs is pegged at 150, company insiders
Amazon, it takes 15-20 days. say at least two more rounds of firings took place in 2022,
which saw Meesho’s large HR team trimmed significant-
ly. “Some product and engineering people were also asked
36 | to leave,” a person told BT on condition of anonymity.
Savaliya dispatches more than 1,000 orders a day, Meesho, however, denies laying off any people be-
and earns an average of `300 per order. In three years, sides those in the grocery division. “Our business re-
he’s also earned the label of a ‘bronze seller’ on Meesho structuring cost folks in the grocery unit their jobs. But
by clocking annual sales of `5-6 crore through his mul- those were restructuring exits and not layoffs to save
tiple seller accounts—without ever advertising on the costs,” says CHRO Ashish Kumar Singh.
platform. But things are changing. As Meesho ramps Nonetheless, in the absence of free-flowing venture
up its seller monetisation efforts, people like Savaliya capital (VC) and given the tough macroeconomic envi-
will have to shell out more money to continuously ap- ronment, unicorns like Meesho are compelled to arrive
pear on top of its home page as well as get their prod- at a clear path to profitability and a sustainable growth
seen massive success in China, birthing giants like Pin- bution of resellers may have come down, but the number
duoduo. In the middle of 2021, however, Meesho tran- of resellers has remained pretty strong,” says Utkrishta
sitioned to the direct e-commerce model. Kumar, CXO-Business at Meesho. “But we’ve become a
Co-founder and CTO Sanjeev Barnwal calls it an “or- big consumer destination for those who had no access to
ganic” progression. “Our value proposition is around these products earlier.”
two things: i) lowest prices; and ii) wide selection. These It was by Meesho’s design, of course. “Social com-
became so strong that we had a lot of end customers or- merce was a way to transition small-town people who
ganically coming to Meesho and buying for themselves. are offline to come online. But it was never the perma-
Even the persona of those customers was not very dif- nent way of people buying online,” says Aatrey.
ferent from the resellers’—they came from small towns To attract more direct e-commerce shoppers, Meesho
and had a certain purchasing power. So, we tweaked galvanised thousands of small-town sellers and urged
38 | our platform to make sure that both personas could be them to put their entire assortment on its platform by go-
served.” That tweak resulted in 80 per cent of Meesho’s ing commission-free. It also ran aggressive promotions
business coming from direct e-commerce today. App and sales events, thereby incurring high customer ac-
downloads also surged past 270 million, making it the quisition costs on its balance sheet. At the start of 2022,
most downloaded shopping app globally in 2022, per Meesho’s monthly burn was estimated to be at $30-40
Apptopia, that tracks the space.
While Meesho’s pivot may please end consumers,
resellers—the mainstay of its growth between 2016 and
2020—feel shortchanged by the platform. They con- HAND OVER FIST
tribute only 20 per cent to sales today. “Meesho is a clas- Between FY21 and FY22, Meesho’s losses have
sic case of a company dictated by VCs, even though Vidit widened 6.5x, and its expenses have also
[Aatrey] wants to do the right thing,” says a former Mee- jumped nearly 5x during the same period
sho employee who quit the firm in 2022. “It started as
8,000
6,607
655
1,000
307
185
LOSSES
0
11
6
-1,000
-100
REVENUES
-306
-2,000
sho needed a change of gear,” says Ankur Bisen, Senior
-3,000
Partner & Head-Consumer, Food & Retail, Technopak.
-4,000
-3,247
million, which it claims to have reduced by 80 per cent. E-COMMERCE FOR BHARAT
CFO Dhiresh Bansal explains that Meesho is using a Meesho was founded in 2015 by IIT Delhi batchmates
lesser number of dollars to achieve the same outcome, Aatrey and Barnwal with the goal of democratising in-
and that’s what has led to this improvement in burn. “We ternet commerce in India. Flipkart had been around for
expect to cut it down to zero in 2023,” he says. a while, and Amazon was two years into its India jour-
Bansal says FY22 was a time to gain market share. ney. But both catered to the top tier of India’s population
“We invested significantly to gain market share and we or the first 100 million online users. Meesho identified
grew our gross merchandise value (GMV) by almost 25x a gap that involved the ‘next billion users’—a Google
in two years. From April 2022, we’ve been focussing on coinage—who were new to the internet, new to e-com-
profitability in a meaningful manner,” he says. merce, more value-conscious, and less likely to transact.
Even as Meesho strives to strike the delicate balance “Indian e-commerce 1.0 had succeeded in bringing
between growth and profitability over the next 12-15 organised retail online—smartphones, TVs, fridges— | 39
months (until FY24), which many say will be a humon- but those were just one set of spends. If you looked at
gous challenge, it continues to be a significant player in spends like offline apparel at ``500-600 price points,
India’s $72-billion e-commerce sector. How did it get they were not coming online. So, we were very excited
there? about the fact that Meesho was going after an unorgan-
ised retail market and bringing it online,” says Sarthak
Misra, Investment Director at SoftBank Vision Fund,
who led the Meesho deal in 2021.
E-COMMERCE ARENA By 2016, following the roll-out of Jio’s low-cost data
India is one of the world’s fastest-growing plans, Meesho started seeing a sharp growth in users.
e-commerce markets, with most new shoppers “From mid-2016 to mid-2017… we went from 300 or-
coming from Tier II+ markets ders to 30,000 orders per day within 12 months. And a
big tailwind that enabled it was Jio,” says Aatrey.
Meesho targeted women in Tier II and III towns
E-commerce market 2022 2027*
because they had been traditionally underserved. “We
went with a category where trials were easier, which is
Market size $50 billion
$150–$170 fashion. A lot of women would buy these low-cost fash-
billion ion items and be pleasantly delighted. And then they
would start to buy more items on the platform over
time,” says Aatrey.
Gross merchandise
value (GMV)
$100 billion $350 billion By 2019, Meesho was one of the fastest-growing
start-ups in India. It went on to attract a $25-million
investment from Facebook, making it the tech ma-
No. of e-commerce 180-190 450-500 jor’s first Indian bet. “WhatsApp for Business had just
shoppers million million launched in India, and very quickly Facebook realised
that a large share of WhatsApp for Business users were
*PROJECTIONS SOURCE BAIN & COMPANY AND ACCEL REPORT ‘THE
the women entrepreneurs of Meesho. They saw the
RISE OF DIGITAL BAZAARS IN INDIA’ power that our platform had in empowering people to
start their businesses via What- A SNAPSHOT high rate of returns, and a funding
OF MEESHO
sApp,” says Aatrey. quiet, it also has to contend with a
Until about two years ago, over changing competitive landscape.
60 per cent of Meesho’s sales came It is one of the world’s most Flipkart and Amazon have entered
from the women’s fashion seg- downloaded shopping apps, the value-shopping arena. Flipkart
with 70 per cent of its users
ment. That number is now less has floated Shopsy, which closed
coming from smaller towns
than 40 per cent because other cat- 2022 with 140 million app installs.
egories such as home and kitchen Within a year of its launch, Shopsy’s
CURRENT
utilities, beauty and personal care, EMPLOYEE COUNT share of Flipkart’s new customers is
and electronics accessories have 1,980-2,000 about 40 per cent. “Over 70 per cent
also grown after the pandemic. “As of our new customers come from
trust built up, women started buy- TOTAL FUNDING RAISED Tier II and III markets. At Shopsy,
ing products for their kids, families $1.1 BILLION we have consistently focussed on
and households, too. So, our goal is providing value-based products to
not to serve just a category. It is to LAST VALUATION consumers, with over 75 per cent
become a single shop that consum- $4.9 BILLION of products under various catego-
ers can come to and fulfil all their ries costing `300 and below,” says
needs,” says the Meesho CEO. KEY INVESTORS Adarsh Menon, SVP & Head-New
But womenswear remains PROSUS, SOFTBANK Businesses at Flipkart.
Meesho’s bestselling category. In VISION FUND, FACEBOOK, That is taking the competition
2022, it sold 148 sarees a minute, FIDELITY INVESTMENTS, B straight to Meesho. Then there’s
with demand coming from across CAPITAL GROUP, SEQUOIA Amazon, which acquired social
the country. What’s interesting, CAPITAL, SHUNWEI commerce firm GlowRoad last year,
however, is the growing number CAPITAL, RPS VENTURES, to penetrate deeper into small-town
40 | of male shoppers on the platform. India. The reseller-based platform
“Men are showing a higher pro-
DST PARTNERS, ELEVATION also introduced a ‘zero-commission’
pensity than ever for grooming
CAPITAL, VENTURE HIGHWAY, policy for sellers, which is helping
products, with more than 60 per Y COMBINATOR them bring more of their selections
cent of orders coming from Tier APP DOWNLOADS
online without worrying about list-
IV markets,” Meesho stated in its ing fees. “Today, more than 85 per
year-end wrap. Overall, 910 mil-
300 MILLION cent of new customers and 65 per
lion orders were placed on Meesho TOTAL GMV cent of total orders on Amazon.in
during the year, which is a 135 per $5 BILLION come from customers in Tier II and
cent growth over 2021. It also on- below [towns]. Our total seller base
boarded 500,000-plus new sellers. AVERAGE on Amazon.in (one million-plus) has
“Most of India shops in local ORDER VALUE (AOV) almost doubled since January 2020
markets for unbranded products. `300-400 and more than 50 per cent of sellers
There is a joy associated with un- come from Tier II and below towns,”
organised shopping. But tradition- ANNUAL Kishore Thota, Director-Customer
TRANSACTING USERS
al e-commerce is very search-driv- Experience and Marketing, Amazon
140 MILLION
en. You come in, type something, India, tells BT over email.
see one or two options, you buy REGISTERED Hence, it’s evident that the next
and exit. That’s not how you shop SELLERS phase of competition in the e-com-
in a local market. You spend time, 825,000 merce space is in the small towns.
browse, discover, negotiate, and Aatrey, however, is undeterred. “We
that is what Meesho is trying to TOTAL don’t think of them as competition
PRODUCT LISTINGS
do,” says SoftBank’s Misra. because we play in very different
68 MILLION segments. Close to 60 per cent of
ORDERS what is sold on Shopsy is electron-
THE CHALLENGES RECEIVED IN 2022 ics. Our assortment is very different
So, what ails Meesho? A bunch of 910 MILLION and that determines the kind of cus-
things. Besides its growing losses, tomers we get,” he explains.
SOURCE TRACXN, ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN,
COMPANY FILINGS
Meesho’s other concern is its low average order value fillip to hyperlocal businesses. “ONDC will also play an
(AOV) of `300-400 compared to peers. The ‘average’ important role in expanding India’s e-commerce sector
AOV in Indian e-commerce is `800 (less than $10), ac- by bringing more consumers online,” he says.
cording to a report by AllianceBernstein. Meesho’s is less Some sector analysts reckon Meesho must now
than average due to its high sales among low-income cus- look at solving the logistics quandary and bring down
tomers. Its GMV stood at $5 billion in June 2022, which dependence on third-party players. “Meesho has been
is also significantly lower than Flipkart’s $23 billion, and solving for reach in the last two to three years and for
Amazon’s $18-20 billion, as estimated by AllianceBern- people who have never purchased online. But reach is a
stein. “A price-sensitive customer is hardly loyal to any capital-intensive problem,” says Sanjay Kothari, Associ-
single platform,” says Technopak’s Bisen. ate Partner at RedSeer Strategy Consultants. “The next
If Meesho has to break the Flipkart-Amazon duopoly problem to attack would be logistics and the high rate of
in India and become profitable at the same time, it must returns. Meesho could start charging for logistics from
devise new strategies. “How to make money is no longer sellers to build an indirect revenue model even as the ad
just a strategic question. Today, it involves politics, poli- business becomes a large contributor,” he explains.
cy, and tech. In a free market, Meesho could do an inven- But is all this enough to attain profitability? Ques-
tory model, push its own labels, charge a service fee from tions have been asked of Meesho’s P&L and its ‘growth-
PLATFORM KING
Meesho is India’s third-largest online marketplace in terms of total value of products sold annually
$23
BILLION
$18-20
BILLION
$5
BILLION
$1.6
BILLION
TOP E-COMMERCE MARKETPLACES BY GMV; SOURCE ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN (REPORT DATED JUNE 2022)
vendors, create loyalty programmes for customers, etc. at-all-costs’ mentality. This is, of course, more system-
But in an environment of regulatory uncertainty, you ic than specific in hyper-funded start-ups.
could start monetising in a certain way and tomorrow it SoftBank believes Meesho is better placed than a lot
could be deemed illegal,” says Bisen. of “upstarts”. “Given the strength of the balance sheet,
Then, what are Meesho’s options? It has started ex- it gives them a runway of more than two years. They
perimenting with financial services to meet the work- will be profitable before that,” says Misra.
ing capital needs of its sellers who may not be eligible for But can any new-age company surrender rapid
formal credit. “Financial services fall fairly and squarely growth at the altar of profitability? Aatrey says one
into the things that we can do to increase monetisation. can’t choose one over the other. “If you become profit-
We’ve seen some successful examples as well. Alibaba able and are not growing, then why would the investor
had Ant Financial, which emerged from its commerce back you? They would rather go for an old-economy
business,” says CFO Bansal. “We want to ensure avail- company that is growing at least 20 per cent YoY [year-
ability of credit, so that our existing sellers can grow on-year] and is still profitable,” he says. “We’d rather
their businesses on Meesho.” grow somewhere around 50-70 per cent, with profits.”
To increase its reach, Meesho joined the government’s Can Meesho then become India’s Pinduoduo? Well,
Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) in Novem- time will tell.
ber. Aatrey believes this integration will fuel the discov-
erability of products for consumers, while also giving a @mittermaniac
`18,000
Viatris in November 2022. “These
investments and the Viatris acqui-
sition are a testament to Biocon
CRORE Biologics’ proven capabilities and
reflect the high level of conviction
THE TOTAL AMOUNT LIKELY TO BE RAISED BY investors have in the company,” says
THE EIGHT HEALTH SECTOR COMPANIES THAT Shreehas Tambe, CEO & MD of Bio-
HAVE SEBI’S APPROVAL FOR PUBLIC OFFERS con Biologics. “With over $70-bil-
L
CY22 (till mid-December), IPOs in a deeper completed plant-scale trial runs
edible oil, insurance and hospital look at some of the com- of a new product using continuous
& healthcare services contributed panies joining the public flow chemistry (a kind of chemical
56 per cent of the total issuances of markets. Tatva Chintan reaction), which is expected to be
`55,472 crore in the primary mar- Pharma Chem, which had rev- commercialised by 2024.
ket. “While the edible oil industry enues of `433.6 crore in FY22, Another new entrant on the
has performed very well on the saw its Q3FY23 top line grow to bourses, Ami Organics, reported a
stock market, the insurance in- `120.6 crore from `104.67 crore growth of 7.9 per cent in its consol-
dustry (read: LIC) has taken a hit, in Q3FY22. The company is ex- idated revenues at `152.4 crore in
IPOs
Aug 6, 2021
Tatva Chintan Pharma Chem
(84.54% )
July 29, 2021 Health-related companies
Krishna Institute of Medical
(77.50%)
that have received Sebi’s
Sciences June 28, 2021 approval for their IPOs
Gland Pharma (-10.44%)
Nov 20, 2020
W
versification of product portfo- ing footfalls. We remain positive ILL THE UPCOMING IPOs in
lio and increasing geographic on the stock mainly due to the the sector be able to retain
presence, we expect Glenmark company’s B2C focus (95 per cent investor interest? “Health-
Life Sciences to perform better,” of revenue in Q2FY23), highest care and pharma sectors
Anand Rathi said in a report. margin within the industry and have done well and have a good vis-
For Vijaya Diagnostics, non- continued focus on deeper expan- ibility for revenue and profit growth
Covid-19 revenue witnessed sion in its dominant regions,” says in a country like India where higher
healthy growth in Q2FY23; it Vinay Bafna, Research Analyst at insurance coverage, greater afford-
was up 15.1 per cent and 15.9 per ICICI Securities. The diagnostics ability and new supplies have all re-
sulted in medium-term demand vis-
ibility. These sectors are defensives
and, hence, the seemingly high Nifty
price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio does
not impact their valuations much,”
says Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail
Research at HDFC Securities. “Also,
7,000
6,250 a lot of unlisted companies have in- | 47
6,000 vestments from private equity or
5,000
5,000 venture capitalists who would want
(IN ` CRORE)
Blue Jet
Concord Biotech
API Holdings
Macleods
& Trauma Care
Services
InnovaCapTab
Wellness Forever
Medicare
Healthcare
Pharmaceuticals
approval
CAGR between FY11 and FY23, albe-
3,000
it healthcare budget as share of GDP
FIGURES ARE 2,000 at 1.98 per cent is still rather low.
ESTIMATED 1,000 Nonetheless, overall it is a
ISSUE SIZE 1,000
SOURCE PRIME 500 healthy state of affairs.
DATABASE
0 With inputs from Rahul Oberoi
Infinion Healthvista Mankind
Biopharma India Pharma @neetu_csharma
SURE, IT IS DONE
to confirm that the payment was made, and then wait for
the delivery to happen. The stress then led to many daily
shoppers, like a relative based in Kolkata, to make—hor-
ror of horrors—weekly purchases.
After the lockdowns were lifted, the daily shoppers
were back at their favourite neighbourhood grocery
stores. My relative, a retired corporate executive, too,
went back to his old routine, but a service he started using
recently is causing some disruption in his habits. The ser-
vice in question is JioMart on WhatsApp, which helps him
order groceries and provisions in an interactive and seam-
less manner. And the convenience has convinced him to
give his daily morning trips to the local grocer a miss.
But grocery is just one way you can use the messaging
app. According to Ravi Garg, Director of Business Mes-
saging-India, at Meta, you can also buy tickets for the
FOR THOSE OF us who love buying fresh vegetables from Bengaluru metro on WhatsApp, and scan the e-ticket to
the neighbourhood store daily, the Covid-19-induced board the train; and even book an Uber cab! These types
lockdowns were a stressful time. Using WhatsApp as of transactions on messaging apps are called conversa-
a notepad to make lists of things one needed to buy— tional commerce, a term believed to have been coined by
which many people were prone to do—one had to first Chris Messina, the inventor of the hashtag, in 2015.
send the list to the grocer on the messaging app and What exactly is conversational commerce? Accord-
hope that he checked it before the fresh produce was sold ing to experts, conversational commerce is shopping
out; next, one had to wait for the grocer to get back with on a messaging platform, where a chatbot engages in
50 | the bill and then make the payment via an e-wallet or a conversation with a customer and helps her to buy a
UPI. Sometimes, one would even have to call the grocer product, which is usually a small-ticket item. According
86
PER CENT
THE FUTURE OF SHOPPING
Spends on conversational commerce channels worldwide
are expected to spike in the next few years
SHARE OF INDIANS 350
SPENDING TIME ONLINE
WHO MESSAGE A BUSINESS
AT LEAST ONCE A WEEK 300 290
AMOUNT IN $ BILLION
250
83
PER CENT
200
150
109
178
M
shoppers, 65 million-plus MSMEs and busi-
TO $290 BILLION IN 2025
$100 billion in gross merchandise value FROM $41 BILLION IN ness messaging in India is
(GMV) today—the total addressable 2021, PER STATISTA backed by research. According
market for conversational commerce to a Kantar survey commis-
is huge, he adds. EY’s Prashant Garg sioned by Meta in April 2022, more than
agrees. “In two years’ time... we will be 5 70 per cent of Indians surveyed said
nearly a quarter of whatever China is they prefer to message businesses rath-
now,” he says. WHILE IT IS STILL IN er than send emails, call or visit their
No wonder that for Meta, conversa- A NASCENT STAGE, website, while 75 per cent said they are
tional commerce, or ‘business messag- RISING SMARTPHONE more likely to do business with/pur-
PENETRATION AND CHEAP
ing’ as the company calls it, is its next INTERNET ARE LIKELY TO chase from a company that they can
big bet. In India, its tie-up with JioMart DRIVE CONVERSATIONAL contact via messaging. The survey adds
is significant since WhatsApp had more COMMERCE IN INDIA that 86 per cent of adults in India mes-
‘Don’t get
distracted by what
you can’t control’
Bob Moritz, Global Chairman of PwC, talks about dealing with the tough times,
ESG and the role of India in the new world order
56 |
Q: How much has changed from the past and
how much from your earlier experiences can “The difference between
perhaps be adapted today? China and India is that in
A: Today, we talk about global capital markets and the case of China, you had
capitalism being dead. No, [they are] not dead. We need
each other more than ever before. It has just got a dif- uniformity relevant to how
ferent way of rewiring itself. government and business
I was fortunate enough to spend some time going interacted. In India, you’ve
through various crises. Those include 9/11 or the got the federal-like level and
global financial crisis or the dotcom story. At times, the state-like level and not as
we reflect too much on what has served us well in the much alignment as necessary
past but that may not be fit for what lies ahead. Our
definition of key metrics like GDP is a great example
to drive speed, certainty
of this. But in today’s environment with zero interest and scalability”
rates or even negative interest rates, a fully employed
labour force in some countries or a potential reces-
sion [in others], a lot of economic philosophy may be A: The reality is that certain parts of the world have
relevant but not absolute. had to deal with inflation for the past two decades and
There is also a need for leadership to be more India is one of them. Some of the emerging economies
engaging, and listening to ensure it can be much more in South America have also faced it.
responsive with speed and urgency. That’s going to be a But let’s go back to the fundamental principles. You
challenge and I think, for the next decade, the question can control what you can control, but not get disrupted
will be on how we move with speed and certainty to and distracted by what you can’t control. Your job is to
take advantage of the opportunities and at the same pull the levers of change. And then when things change
time, mitigate or minimise the downside risks. around you or move fast, you need to adjust. And that’s
the leadership challenge now. So, for corporates, the
Q: We live in uncertainty coupled with dis- traditional budgeting for the next three to five years
ruption. If those can possibly be dealt with, is less certain now. It’s more about the scenarios and
how does one contend with inflation? figuring out what do I do in x-, y- and z scenarios,
next 10-20 years. To make it in the immediate future, A: You are in a difficult economy, but you are going to
you actually have to deliver the bottom-line results see winners and losers. The winners will be the ones
and start to make progress on the non-financial that move with speed. They’ll continuously refine
results. It’s not that hard. What one needs to do on the their balance sheets and operating cost structure for
ESG agenda is to start to make a commitment, bring better short-term returns and also make faster, better
about a behavioural change and then measure oneself decisions. They will deploy financial and people capital
to demonstrate progress. in the right places and take risk as much as they will mi-
If you want to move away from coal or oil or any nimise it. And the organisations that do that well will
other carbon-intensive energy or supply chain source, emerge stronger.
and if you want to say ‘stop that tomorrow’, I’ve got
issues related to cost, security and availability. And Q: Are we then going to see valuations cor-
that’s what you’re dealing with right now in Europe, as recting themselves?
we think about the energy crisis. A: You’re already starting to see valuations come down
Now what I can do, though, is to say I will be on a sustained basis. But let’s recognise that the system
greener. I will make progress over the next couple of we have today has put a premium on revenue growth
years and do that in a fair and equitable way such that I amid a stagnant economy. Now you’re going to see rev-
enue growth that should be equating the inflationary
pressures. So, let’s make sure [that] we’re recognising
the value for product innovation, bottom line contri-
“The biggest moment is bution or gaining market share.
the existence of C-suites of
Q: In that case, the composition of M&A ac-
governments and corporates tivity, too, will be different, right?
facing an enormity of A: Very much so. You’re going to see organisations
58 | challenges. This is coming with now being more diligent and probably take a little more
tremendous speed and impact. time in analysing why am I buying/potentially buying
The question is, are we going these assets. The other question will be: what comes
to make the right decisions, with them, including the market, the margins, IP and
the ESG agenda.
be agile and move in the right
direction, or will we miss the Q: What is your economic outlook for the
opportunity?” different parts of the world from where we
are now?
A: Europe today probably has the most concerns in
terms of economic uncertainty that goes straight to
don’t assert the negative attributes, while at the same the inflationary pressures and the energy price issues.
time make the change the world needs. To me, these I do think Europe is going to have a much more acute
things go hand in hand. It’s an end statement and not time of dealing with the severity of this. On the other
one or the other. If any organisation is developing a side of the equation, India, and APAC more broadly, has
strategy or re-articulating or refining it, you cannot do a lot more upside potential, which organisations will
it without ESG. want to take advantage of. And it’s not only the domes-
Coming to behavioural change, this is where tic organisations in these countries—it’s going to be
governance bodies become really important. The fact the rest of the world saying that there is an opportunity
is, if I do a good job on climate, I should have a better to deploy capital and to actually get a return from it.
brand. If I do a better job on climate, more employees The US is placed smack in the middle. You’ve got an
will work for me. And if I do a better job on climate, I economy that is still strong, as is the labour market;
should have more consumers. I will also be cost-bene- plus, you have a consumer that is still confident on
ficial and deliver a better RoI [return on investment]. spending power. The question is going to be, ‘How do
All these things are very much linked together. we manage our way through some of the monetary
policy changes that are in place; what will be the effect
Q: It looks like a challenging year ahead glob- of that and the speed of that effect?’
ally. How can countries stand up to face what
looks like a turbulent period? @krishnagopalan
In Recovery Mode
Foreign markets have recovered in the past three months
25
20
Dow Jones
CAC 40
(France)
Nikkei 225
DAX
Shanghai*
(China)
FTSE 100
(UK)
Straits Times
Nasdaq (US)
(Japan)
(US)
(Germany)
(Singapore)
MFs, respectively.
So, a good question to ask now is
this: is it a good time to invest when
international markets have started 3-MONTH 1-YEAR 3-YEAR
DATA TILL FEBRUARY 10, 2023; *DATA TILL FEBRUARY 9, 2023
looking attractive again? Take for in- SOURCE ACE EQUITY
stance, the S&P 500 Index, currently
trading at a price to earnings (P/E)
ratio of 19.72x compared to 25.96x a
year ago, and 40x two years ago. Indi-
vidual stocks such as Alphabet, Tesla “does play out really well”. While the sification means that there will be
and Meta have also fallen sharply by Nasdaq fell by 33 per cent in 2022, the years when India does well and these
62 | 25 per cent, 43 per cent and 50 per Nifty 50 gave a return of 5 per cent. countries do badly, and you can’t get
cent, respectively, over the period of An important point to keep in hyper about it. You just need to find
one year (as of January 30, 2023). mind is the proposal made by Fi- the right asset allocation,” she adds.
Experts say this provides an nance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman Experts believe that while sail-
opportunity to buy international in Budget 2023-24. Per the proposal, ing in overseas waters, it is essen-
stocks at lower prices as their funda- from July 1, 2023 onwards, if you tial to differentiate between ma-
mentals still remain strong. More- convert the rupee to any other cur- ture tech and new-age tech firms.
over, overseas investing ensures rency for investments abroad, then “During Covid-19, we saw a lot of
that investors don’t put all their eggs 20 per cent of the amount will have these companies go up, obviously
in one basket, and provides their to be set aside as tax collected at because interest rates were too low
portfolios with the much-needed source (TCS). Currently, TCS of 5 and, hence, funding was easy. But on
geographical diversification, espe- per cent is levied on foreign outward the other side were the mature tech
cially when India accounts for just remittances above `7 lakh. firms such as Google, Facebook, Mi-
3 per cent of the world’s market cap. crosoft; they do have fundamentals,
“Investing internationally works are profitable, and they are growing
well because of diversification. ATTRACTIVE well. And if you see over the past 20
Investors gain by having some of VALUATIONS years or so, a 20-30 per cent fall in
their portfolios outside their coun- So, should investors cash in on the tech stocks is not uncommon. So,
try as international markets or the cheap valuations? “Last year wasn’t I would differentiate between the
US markets move in very differ- easy for tech stocks. Do these themes two; I’m not too confident about
ent directions compared to Indian still make sense? I think they do,” the new-age tech firms, but I’m
markets. And that provides a lot of says Radhika Gupta, MD & CEO very confident about the mature
flexibility to a portfolio,” said Pra- of Edelweiss Asset Management. tech space,” said Neil Parag Parikh,
tik Oswal, Head of Passive Funds at “When we sold international invest- Chairman and CEO of PPFAS AMC
Motilal Oswal Asset Management ing, we had been proponents of this at the Market Today Summit. He
Company (AMC) at BT’s Market To- in 2016-2018. One of the things we added that the mature tech space is
day Summit recently. He added that said was that this belief was non- stable, and it provides a good entry
the fact that Indian markets were re- sense that just because Nasdaq made point for international investing.
silient last year and the US markets money for every year last decade, it So, should one invest in interna-
weren’t, showed that diversification will never lose money. Second, diver- tional MFs now? “There is no fur-
As I said, a simpler and more attrac- fff appointment have been given by the
tive new tax regime… it can start and AOK: Is markets regulator Sebi government as far as unemployment
end at every stage of it. investigating the Adani-Hin- is concerned. We are also regularly
denburg saga? doing programmes related to skilling
fff The markets regulator has already and upskilling. We are also adding for-
RK: So, the finance ministry given its statement. eign languages in the training process
will consider in the months to considering overseas opportunities.
come a reduction in personal fff Lastly, despite various issues for
income tax from 30 per cent to UM: The Adani Group is one of farmers in the year 2020, they have
25 per cent? the important players in the managed to get good produce. We
No, I am not saying that! infrastructure space. Is it big have been keeping interest rates on
enough to be termed ‘too big farmers’ loans under control. We have
fff to fail’? There are suggestions brought them under interest subven-
RK: It will be applauded very that the recent setbacks suf- tion so that their interest rates do not
loudly… fered by the group may have an go up. Expansion of the Shree Anna
No, I don’t want applause. I have to impact on some of our impor- scheme, installation of solar panels
work. tant infrastructure projects. that have helped cut electricity bills
Do you see any serious risks? and several other programmes have
fff Any institution on the verge of fail- proved to be beneficial for farmers.
RK: Are you satisfied with the ure or any institution in a high-risk We are committed to doubling farm-
results you have got from the environment for an economy like ers’ income as promised.
reduction in corporate taxes? India can have its impact. I can’t say fff
Like, publicly and privately, we that this would be greater or lesser. UM: What is your view on the
have seen you and others in the I will give you the lived experience national debt? How do you
government nudging India Inc. of 2019 where I would wonder which pare it down before it becomes
to do more... non-banking financial company a huge problem?
First of all, I would like to bring in might be in difficulty the following Debt is a concern and we will bring it
the dimensions that the reduction day. Like, who would fall off the down. But why have we reached this
in corporate tax rate has brought in. cliff? If I had disclosed my fears level? I empathised with states when
It has helped in cleaning up the bal- at that time what would have hap- the economy dipped in 2020 as they
ance sheet of the industry so that it pened? My job is to run the economy did not have any money. As a result,
could de-leverage to return a lot of its smoothly. Where I have to intervene, back-to-back borrowings were
loans to banks. The problem of twin I intervene. undertaken; otherwise where would
balance sheets was also addressed. they be? However, even now we are
Thus, the economy has received so fff in a better position than many other
many benefits from a reduction in AOK: What is your view on countries.
corporate taxes. However, I don’t inflation, unemployment and
expect the money saved through this farmers’ distress? fff
measure to come into the industry We have addressed all of these issues RK: How have you changed as
this year itself. Yes, it will come in. in Budget 2023-24. We have tried a Finance Minister in the past
But, more than that, it has helped dealing with inflation both in the few years?
clear a lot of backlogs. And I see that Budget and outside. We are trying I am now a lot cooler when it comes to
as a benefit. our best to tame inflation. Letters of taking criticism!
BUDGET BURST
GRACED BY A LONG LIST OF LUMINARIES,
nance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman
has not had an easy time helming
the economy in some of the most
difficult years in recent times. Life
was made difficult by the Covid-19
pandemic and the consequent
economic slowdown in India, fol-
THE INDIA TODAY-BUSINESS TODAY BUDGET
lowed by the shock of war in Ukraine
ROUND TABLE PROVIDED DEEP INSIGHTS INTO that tore supply chains asunder and
THE ANNOUNCEMENTS MADE IN BUDGET thrust the West onto the threshold
2023-24 BY TEAM BT of a recession. As inflation spiked,
PHOTOS BY MANISH RAJPUT exports slowed, and the rupee fell,
INDIA’S ECONOMIC
SUPERHIGHWAY
2. Rahul Kanwal, (left),
News Director, India Today and
Aaj Tak, and Executive Director,
Business Today, with
Ashwini Vaishnaw,
Minister of Railways;
Communication,
Electronics and IT
DEBATING THE
BUDGET
(From left)
Rahul Kanwal, with
Sudhanshu Trivedi, BJP MP,
Rajya Sabha, and National
Spokesperson, BJP
Supriya Shrinate, Chairperson,
Social Media & Digital Platforms
and National Spokesperson,
Congress
Ashwani Mahajan, National
Co-convener, Swadeshi Jagran
Manch
Although PM Narendra Modi has BJP-led government has presented SBI and LIC have exposure to the
termed the MGNREGA scheme as a Budget that will strengthen the Ahmedabad-based group
a monumental failure of the UPA fundamentals of the economy, said
Agreeing with her, Ashwani
government, his government has Sudhanshu Trivedi
Mahajan said that the issue should be
continued to increase the outlay for
In the backdrop of the Adani- discussed in Parliament
the scheme even after nine years in
office, said Supriya Shrinate Hindenburg issue, Shrinate
demanded a discussion in Parliament
Unlike the UPA government, the as public sector institutions like
THE PRIORITIES OF
A BUDGET BEFORE
AN ELECTION
Siddharth Zarabi (left), Managing
Editor, Business Today TV, with
Jayant Sinha,
BJP MP, Lok Sabha
Capital expenditure is the secret effect on the economy projects yield benefits to the
sauce for growth as it yields long- economy to the tune of 2.5 times; it’s
term growth, apart from creating a The government is creating even higher for airports at six times
massive number of jobs assets that are going to turn us
more productive and more efficient By keeping inflation and interest
Investments in infrastructure, over the next 30 to 50 years rates under control, the government
such as railways, airports, highways has provided the right environment
and metro lines have a multiplier Investments in infrastructure for private capex growth
It is expected that more and more The government should have new regime should be appreciated as
people over the next two years will extended the deadline for 15 per it supports making investments
join the new tax regime. As a majority cent corporate tax rate for a company
Increasing the tax exemption limit
of people go for the new tax regime, manufacturing in India, which was
to `7 lakh is the biggest plus along
the old regime will lose its relevance introduced in 2019, to beyond
with reducing the surcharge for
March 2024
Tax rates have remained stable for income exceeding `5 crore
corporates and that is a good thing There is no advantage in the old tax
for businesses regime for resident individuals. The
74 |
| 75
this in the latest Budget by attempt- Cities in India are at the heart
ing to develop a robust logistics of economic growth, and a new
network. Around 100 critical trans- fund with an annual allocation of
portation-related infrastructure `10,000 crore would provide a vital
projects have been planned to enable push to the development of urban
first- and last-mile connectivity. The infrastructure across Indian cities.
Railways received the highest-ever Emphasis has been placed on urban
Budget allocation of `2 lakh crore planning and reforms to create
this year. The focus on funding sustainable cities of tomorrow. This
coastal shipping projects and reviv- could mean efficient use of land
ing 50 airports (including heliports, resources and enhanced availability
water-dromes and advanced landing and affordability of urban land.
THE UNION BUDGET 2023-24 is testi- grounds) will improve connectiv- India’s commitment to a greener
76 | mony to the government’s commit- ity across major economic clusters. world as it transitions to a major
ment to accelerate India’s economic This is in line with the multimodal- economic hub is evident from the
growth while balancing sustain- focussed Gati Shakti initiative outlay of `35,000 crore allotted for
ability. There has been a paradigm introduced in the Budget last year. energy transition. This includes
shift in overall macroeconomic However, there has been no incre- an outlay of `19,700 crore for
priorities, from Covid-19 recovery mental allocation towards the FAME green hydrogen that can create an
to scaling new heights. The thrust II scheme that has been a key driver opportunity for export of green
of the Budget is on infrastructure of electric mobility in India. In the hydrogen and hydrogen-embedded
development through higher capital context of the National Electric Bus low-carbon products. The Budget
expenditure, which now stands at Programme that envisages deploy- aims for India to reach annual green
`10 lakh crore (up 33 per cent from ment of 50,000 electric buses, a lack hydrogen production of 5 million
last year), laying the foundation of additional budgetary support— tonnes by 2030, thereby reduc-
for achieving the ambition of a beyond the initial plan—towards ing the dependence on fossil fuel
$5-trillion economy and improving deployment of electric buses could imports and helping us shift away
prosperity for the populace. Strong be a missed opportunity. from a carbon-intensive economy.
infrastructure is a cornerstone of Though no new areas have been The vision builds on the theme of
any developed economy, and this identified under the production- ‘Lifestyle for the Environment’ that
increased spending will provide linked incentive (PLI) schemes, Prime Minister Narendra Modi
great impetus to other critical areas initiatives such as lowering of duties announced during COP26 in 2021,
such as education and skill develop- on component imports includ- and it will help achieve the goal of
ment, urban development, green ing lithium-ion batteries, parts of carbon neutrality by 2070.
economy, job creation and improv- mobile phones and televisions, lab- In terms of availability of skilled
ing global competitiveness. grown diamonds, and concessional manpower in emerging sectors like
It is a well-known fact that tax rates on new manufacturing co- medical devices, where India has
compared to its global peers, India operative societies should aid the huge potential to boost manufactur-
suffers from higher logistics costs. Make in India agenda. At the same ing, the focus on dedicated courses
If we are to truly develop as a strong time, there could be plans to roll out across key educational institutions
manufacturing hub for the world, more such schemes over the course is likely to enable availability of
this is something we must correct. of the year, and this shall indeed be a industry-responsive manpower.
The government has acknowledged welcome move. Leveraging the experiences of Cov-
id-19, the government has proposed highlighted. Digital public infra- the middle class and that is likely to
to facilitate R&D by providing ac- structure for agriculture shall be augment the overall economic situ-
cess to ICMR labs for faculty of pub- set up to support the growth of the ation at the micro level.
lic and private medical colleges. In agri-tech industry. An agriculture The intention of the govern-
addition to this, 157 nursing colleges accelerator fund shall be set up in a ment appears to be to re-emphasise
are to be established in co-location bid to encourage young entrepre- the focus on AatmaNirbharBharat
with existing medical colleges. neurs in rural areas to aid in solving through substantial capital expen-
The Budget also places emphasis challenges of farmers through in- diture, furthering Digital India,
on promotion of R&D in priority novative tech-led solutions. promoting sustainable choices such
areas. Three centres of excellence On the tax front, the key driver as green energy and improving
for artificial intelligence (AI) will has been to simplify compliance, economic stability, as they shall
be set up at top educational institu- rationalise taxes and maintain the together drive inclusive develop-
tions. New-age courses for Industry stability of the tax regime with the ment. The trickle-down effect of the
4.0 such as coding, AI and robotics end goal of amplifying ease of doing ‘Saptarishi’ is likely to touch all sec-
will be introduced, and 30 Skill business in India. Particular empha- tors, including real estate, banking
India International Centres shall sis has been laid on GIFT City IFSC, & finance, manufacturing, logistics
be set up specifically to skill the with the introduction of several and tourism. In essence, they will
youth. This will empower them to incentives and ironing out of the serve as a collective catalyst to pav-
play a more significant role as India challenges faced in approvals and ing India’s way towards a $7-trillion
confidently marches towards inclu- registration by launching a single- economy by 2030.
sive prosperity. The importance of window clearance system. For indi-
technology in traditional sectors viduals, the Budget has proposed to The author is Chairperson
such as agriculture has also been enhance the disposable income of of PwC in India. Views are personal
FOCUS ON ECONOMY,
QUALITY OF LIFE
The Budget 2023-24 emphasises on infrastructure
development and entrepreneurial growth in
the country, leading it to stride further and faster
BY SUMANT SINHA on its trajectory of development
the largest source of employment in posal in the Budget. Through a third sion lines from Ladakh and the
the country. Tactically, the Budget proposal that buyers will be able to Faster Adoption and Manufacturing
has sought to sustain two trends claim a deduction for expenditure of Electric Vehicles scheme (FAME).
in the MSME sector witnessed incurred only when payments are The role of nature-based solutions
in 2022: one, recovery from the actually made, the FM has sought in both climate mitigation and adap-
pandemic-induced shock; and two, to address the issue of delayed pay- tation has been recognised through
integration into the global supply ments to the MSMEs. This was a key allocations for mangrove planta-
chains, as other countries and ask flagged in pre-Budget consulta- tions and wetlands and biodiversity
large corporations seek to diversify tions by industry bodies such as conservation. And consumers,
theirs. By continuing the successful Assocham. corporates and communities have
credit guarantee scheme with a been provided a tool in the form of
revamp, the government has killed Turning the LiFE movement the Green Credit Programme to
two birds with one stone—that of into action: The Prime Minister voluntarily but meaningfully invest
ensuring that MSMEs are able to had launched the global initiative in environmental protection.
access collateral free credit and that Lifestyle for Environment (LiFE) To sum it up, Budget 2023-24 by
credit cost is 1 per cent lower—in an on World Environment Day in June the Prime Minister Narendra Modi-
environment where we are already 2022. The Union Budget 2023-24 led government is a prudent one,
witnessing interest rates inch up. has provided significant resources within the context of challenging
Improvements in ease of doing to turn it into action. Strong thrust economic conditions.
business through need for reduced has been provided to clean en-
paperwork and one-stop interfaces ergy and cleaner transport sectors The author is Chairman and CEO of
for information provision and acces- through allocations for the National ReNew Power; and President of
sibility is the second welcome pro- Green Hydrogen Mission, transmis- Assocham. Views are personal
MISSION 2047: A
TECH-DRIVEN INDIA
As the latest Budget lays emphasis on developing India’s
tech know-how in every walk of life and economy, its
BY ROMAL SHETTY future looks brighter than most of its peers
of data security and privacy. For coun- and help companies borrow. Another intentions of the government are
tries and firms looking for digital con- is the government’s efforts to digitise right, and the conviction displayed by
tinuity solutions, the Budget offers a the compliance experience for as- it is that of a developed economy. The
proposal to set up data embassies in sessees, as that has increased since bold vision will propel India forward.
GIFT City. This is a welcome move to the inception of GST. The successful And collaboration will help us build a
manage India’s regulatory priorities implementation of e-invoicing and better future together.
with emerging opportunities. GST analytics has led to sharpened
While some of the initiatives fraud detection, stricter audit proto- The writer is the CEO-designate of
discussed above are very tangible cols and digital GST forensic tools. Deloitte India. Views are personal
| 83
PRECIOUS
BREWS
From the Ming dynasty to pandas and
from gold flakes to silver tips, there are
unique features that make these some of the
most expensive teas in the world
BY SMITA TRIPATHI
1 2
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3
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often out of stock, given its limited 1. The Makaibari Tea for $1,850 (`1.53 lakh) per kg in 2014
quantity. It can be pre-booked. Estate in Darjeeling at an auction. Currently it is available
Japanese tea is in high demand at is home to Silver for $36 (`3,000) for 50 gm, or $720
tea auctions. In November, less than Tips Imperial Tea, (`60,000) for a kg on the Makaibari
a kg of green tea leaves from Japan considered one of website. The tea estate says that the
sold for a record-breaking 1.96 million the most expensive tea is anti-ageing and relaxing, and is
yen—or about $15,500 (`12.82 lakh). in India best sipped at bedtime.
This surpassed the previous record In December last year, 1 kg of tea
of 1.08 million yen or $8,500 (`7 lakh) 2. Singapore-based from Assam sold at an auction for
set in 2021. The record-breaking tea TWG Tea sells `1,51,000. Called Golden Pearl from
leaves were grown in Fujinomiya, a exclusive teas such as the Nahorchukbari estate in Assam’s
city in Shizuoka prefecture, known Yellow Gold Tea Buds Dibrugarh area, the tea was bought by
for its high-quality green teas. and Imperial Gykuro a Russian tea company.
In India, one of the most expensive The global tea industry is estimat-
teas is the Silver Tips Imperial Tea. 3. Global tea ed to be worth $21.3 billion by 2024,
Grown at the Makaibari Tea Estate in consumption is according to United Nations projec-
Darjeeling, the tea comes from spe- dominated by China tions. Not surprisingly, global tea
cial buds that look like silver needles. (38 per cent) and India consumption is dominated by China
The tea leaves are plucked only on full (19 per cent) (38 per cent) and India (19 per cent).
moon nights because of the belief that According to the UN, the tea sector
the planetary alignment on full moon proved resilient against economic
nights helps optimise the flavour of recessions triggered by Covid-19. Ex-
the tea. As a result, it can be plucked pectedly. After all, it’s always teatime,
only three to four times during the as the Mad Hatter remarked to Alice
harvest season, making production in Alice in Wonderland.
limited. The semi-fermented oolong
tea has a fruity aroma and was sold @smitabw
PHONE BUDDY
The iPhone lets you shoot
videos, edit and upload
them to your platform
of choice on the go
THE
to vlog but don’t plan to invest in a
flagship phone with all the bells and
whistles, how do you ensure that you
shoot super-smooth videos? Invest
in a good quality gimbal like the DJI SHARP
SHOOTER
OM 5. This is a handheld three-axis
smartphone gimbal stabiliser that
comes with a grip tripod and a built-
in extension rod that helps capture
jerk-free videos. Install the DJI Mimo If you aren’t keen to invest in
App—it works with iOS 10.0 or above, a dedicated vlogging camera,
and Android 7.0 or above—and you Apple’s iPhone 14 Pro Max has
have access to smart features like you covered. Using its cinematic
ActiveTrack 4.0, which tracks mode, you can shoot professional
the subject even when moving videos with a shallow depth of
quickly, or ShotGuides, which field and focus transitions for
suggests a shot sequence, a cinema-grade look in 4K HDR
especially useful if you’re a at 24 fps. Its Action mode is
newbie vlogger. And it is the perfect way to avoid shaky
compatible with a range videos—whether you’re walking,
of smartphones. running or in a moving vehicle.
Capable of capturing videos
at multiple frame rates, this is
Available on:
a one-stop solution: using the
amazon.in
DJI OM 5 A16 Bionic chip that powers the
` 10,990 phone, you can edit heavy video
If your camera of choice
files on the go and upload them
is the trusted smartphone, right then and there on to your
then this gadget is your
best friend platform of choice. Plus, it’s a
capable mobile phone.
SONY ZV-1F
Soon to be
launched in India
This one is the perfect
compact camera for
vloggers who want to
keep it simple
DIGITAL
HANDYCAM
Sony’s ZV-1F is ‘the’ small camera meant for vlogging.
Featuring the Exmor RS CMOS sensor and an ultra-
wide 20-mm prime lens by Zeiss, it can capture
detailed 4K/30p videos. Real-time tracking and Eye AF
are a class apart, and it also has a boken button. The
camera has 10 presets for pro-level footage, a built-in
directional microphone, a fully articulating touchscreen
and a dedicated record indicator. The Imaging Edge
Mobile Plus app ensures seamless transfers to your
smartphone, which can also be used as a remote.
INCREMENTALLY
POWERFUL
Samsung packs in a fantastic camera in the Galaxy S23 Ultra, its latest flagship. And while the phone
does pack a punch, the refresh is incremental
BY NIDHI SINGAL
REVIEW business. It captures the minutest selfie lovers are in for a treat. Selfies
details. Low-light imaging is outstan- clicked by the 12MP front shooter
How does one improve on phones ding—shots of the night sky show are an improvement over the ones
that pack in everything, when no noticeable noise. Although clicked by the S22 Ultra’s 40MP one,
there have been just incremental images are shot at 16MP by default especially in low light. The phone’s
improvements in usable tech? (using pixel binning), a quick tap on imaging prowess extends to video as
The answer lies in enhancing the the top presents options to choose well—the rear camera is capable of
phone’s camera capabilities. And from 50MP to 200MP. While the shooting stable videos at 8K 30 fps!
Samsung has taken this path for its back sports a four-camera setup, The 6.8-inch display is a stunner,
latest flagship, the Galaxy S23 Ultra,
which continues with the legacy of
last year’s Galaxy S22 Ultra. f SPECS: 6.8-INCH DYNAMIC AMOLED 2x, 3,088 x 1,440
Upgrading from last year’s 108 (EDGE QUAD HD+) AT 120HZ; GORILLA GLASS VICTUS 2 PROTE-
megapixel (MP) primary camera,
the 200MP primary camera on
CTION; IP68; 12GB RAM; 256GB/512GB/1TB STORAGE; 234 GM
this device is one of the best in the
YOGA JOURNEY Naveen Soni was introduced to yoga as part of an employee engagement programme
OR 56 -YEAR- OLD Naveen Soni, President of Over the years, as many employees dropped out and
Lexus India, yoga is a way of life. It all started others joined, Soni continued to practice regularly. All
in 2006-07 when he was still with Toyota and the way up to 2020 when offices were shut down due to
the company started the concept of employee the pandemic. He then started taking online classes.
engagement. As a part of that, they did various “Online classes give you complete flexibility. Even
meaningful activities including setting up a when I am travelling, I can do an online class and be
public library, having sessions on leadership, regular with my yoga session,” says Soni.
etc. To help employees lead more healthy lives, yoga was While he tries to do yoga at least four times a week, he
introduced. The organisation engaged a yoga guru who admits that due to time constraints the average is two to
would come to the office and post-work there would be three times a week. “Thanks to yoga the body becomes
a one-hour yoga session for those who were interested. more agile and flexible, and the capacity to take on more
“It was my first introduction to yoga,” says Soni, who physical responsibility increases,” says Soni, who took
resides in Bengaluru. over as President of Lexus India in January 2022.
“Yoga helps concentrate all
your energies. It brings you peace
and calm, and your concentration
abilities are enhanced. What I have
come to realise is that during the
day yoga helps bring clarity to my
mind. There is so much informa-
tion overload on any given day and
I feel yoga helps me cut through
the clutter and concentrate on
what is important,” explains Soni.
For Lexus India, its highest
ever sales were achieved in 2022,
since its inception in 2017. Soni
says SUVs are the flavour of the
HOWZZAT Sairaj Dhond enjoys booking big stadiums and playing cricket there
season and that the average age of
the luxury buyer is going down.
Unlike earlier, when your first car
was a mass-market car, or even a
second-hand car, and you gradually ON THE FIELD
Cricket keeps me alive, says Sairaj Dhond,
progressed to a luxury car, today
the first car is a luxury car, he says. Founder & CEO of Wakao Foods
BY SMITA TRIPATHI
| 93
“Yoga helps concentrate “Cricket is religion,” says 34-year- organise tournaments for people
all your energies. old Sairaj Dhond, Founder & CEO from across India to play. Teams
It brings you peace of Wakao Foods, a Goa-based sus- from Delhi, Mumbai, Goa, etc.,
and calm, and your tainable start-up that offers ready- participate and play against each
concentration abilities to-cook and ready-to-eat products other. “This is something that just
in the Indian market. Dhond repre- keeps me alive.”
are enhanced. What I
sented the state of Goa in cricket For Dhond, sports was an inte-
have come to realise tournaments during his school and gral part of his growing-up days.
is that during the day college days. However, as is the His mother is a national-level
yoga helps bring clarity case with most people, life took basketball player. “I play over ten
to my mind” over and cricket took a back seat. kinds of sports but cricket is my
Over the past few years, he has first love.”
rekindled his love for the sport. “I Dhond is a serial entrepre-
am doing well now professional- neur—Wakao is his fourth ven-
While Lexus introduced the NX ly so I have the leverage to again ture. He is a lawyer by training but
at the beginning of 2022 and LX at explore the game. I realised there quit after practising for a year and
the end of the year, it launched the were several people like me,” says joined his family hospitality busi-
Dhond, who now plays cricket for ness where he lasted six months.
RX— another SUV—at the Auto
several clubs in Goa. “We now play He then set up his first venture,
Expo in January. From a global Members Leagues’ against other which was for solar heating in-
perspective, Lexus plans to shift clubs.” Dhond has played in Lon- stallations. He then moved to LED
completely to electric vehicles by don, Paris and Dubai, and also in lighting, and after that he restored
2035. “You will see more electric stadiums in Dharamshala and Deh- an old heritage home in Goa and
vehicles coming from us,” says radun. “We are like those wannabe sold it before starting Wakao
Soni. In 2022, Lexus added five international cricketers,” laughs Foods two years ago. Wakao is
Dhond. “We could never get an op- bootstrapped with Dhond owning
service points to its seven existing
portunity to play in these stadiums. 100 per cent of the company. Its
guest experience centres. This Today we can afford to book them products are currently available
helps it cover nearly 85 per cent of and play in them,” he smiles. across the country through the on-
the market where Lexus vehicles Dhond explains how this is now line model. Going forward, Dhond
are in demand. an organsied sector where com- wants to set up the QSR model.
panies book stadiums where in-
@smitabw
ternational matches are held and @smitabw
ACE STROKES
THE MUMBAI LEG OF THE BT GOLF TOURNEY TAKES THE
CORPORATE CROWD BY STORM BY TEAM BT
CLOSE TO A hundred golfers teed off on CMD of Parle Products to Shyam Mani,
a balmy Sunday morning at the Willing- Non-executive Director of Tata Mo-
don Sports Club on January 29 to get tors Finance, and Atul Laul, President
the invite-only Mumbai edition of BT at Reliance Industries, among others,
Golf 2022-23 presented by Royal Ran- took on each other at the greens in the
thambore, well underway in style. salubrious conditions, competition
Even though most of the partici- quickly heated up.
pants on the field were familiar with Finally, D.S. Benupani, Commis-
the twists and turns of the course, the sioner of Income Tax; Kailas Shinde,
multiple hazards scattered across the Joint MD at CIDCO; and Naseem Shai-
fairways provided for a testing round kh, Partner at Nosh Agencies, emerged
of golf, made even more challenging by winners in the 0 to 14 handicap, 15 to 24
the rapid greens and pin positions. handicap and ladies’ categories, respec-
As the who’s who of Mumbai’s cor- tively, at the tournament co-presented
porate world, from Vijay Chauhan, by Indian Oil Corp. and Qatar Airways,
4 5 6
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11
GE Power India is a major manufacturer and supplier of power generation and transmission equipment