IE312 - Chapter-5-Economic Study Method
IE312 - Chapter-5-Economic Study Method
∑ 𝑅 (𝑃⁄𝐹, 𝑖 %, 𝑘) − ∑ 𝐸 (𝑃⁄𝐹, 𝑖 %, 𝑘) = 0
Ex.: An investment of Php 10,000 can be made in a project that will produce a
uniform annual revenue of Php 5,310 for five years and then have a market (salvage
value) of Php 2,000. Annual expenses will be Php 3,000 each year. The company is
willing to accept any project that will earn 10% per year or more, on all invested
capital. Determine whether it is acceptable by using the IRR method.
𝑃𝑊 = −10,000 + (5,310 − 3,000) 𝑃⁄𝐴, 𝑖′%, 5) + 2,000(𝑃⁄𝐹 , 𝑖′%, 5 = 0
By linear interpolation:
@ 𝑖 = 11%, 𝑃𝑊 = −𝑃ℎ𝑝 275.58
@ 𝑖 = 12%, 𝑃𝑊 = −𝑃ℎ𝑝 538.11
𝑖 = 0.0995 𝑜𝑟 9.95% ≈ 10%
𝑌𝑒𝑠! 𝐵𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑠𝑒 𝐼𝑅𝑅 ≥ 𝑀𝐴𝑅𝑅, 𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑝𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑.
Ex.: A piece of new equipment has been proposed by engineers to increase the
productivity of a certain manual welding operation. The investment cost is Php 25,000,
and the equipment will have a market value of Php 5,000 at the end of a study period of
5 years. Increased productivity attributable to the equipment will amount to Php 8,000
per year after extra operating costs have been subtracted from the revenue generated
by the additional production. If the firm’s MARR is 20% per year, is this proposal a sound
one? Evaluate the IRR of the proposed equipment. Is the investment a good one?
𝑃𝑊 = −25,000 + 5,000 𝑃⁄𝐹 , 𝑖 %, 5 + 8,000(𝑃⁄𝐴, 𝑖′%, 5) = 0
By linear interpolation:
@ 𝑖 = 21%, 𝑃𝑊 = 𝑃ℎ𝑝 335.59
@ 𝑖 = 22%, 𝑃𝑊 = −𝑃ℎ𝑝 240.89
𝑖 = 0. 2158 𝑜𝑟 21.58%
𝑌𝑒𝑠! 𝐵𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑠𝑒 𝐼𝑅𝑅 ≥ 𝑀𝐴𝑅𝑅, 𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑝𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑.
External Rate of Return (ERR) Method – directly takes into account the interest rate
(𝜖 or 𝜀) external to a project at which net cash flows generated (or required) by the
project over its life can be reinvested (or borrowed)
∑ 𝐸 (𝑃⁄𝐹, 𝜖%, 𝑘)(𝐹 ⁄𝑃, 𝑖 %, 𝑁) = ∑ 𝑅 (𝐹 ⁄𝑃, 𝜖%, 𝑁 − 𝑘)
where:
𝑅 = excess of receipts over expenses in period k
𝐸 = excess of expenditures over receipts in period k
𝑁 = project life or number of periods of the study
𝜖 = external reinvestment rate per period
𝑖 ≥ 𝑀𝐴𝑅𝑅, 𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑝𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒
Ex.: A piece of new equipment has been proposed by engineers to increase the
productivity of a certain manual welding operation. The investment cost is Php
25,000, and the equipment will have a market value of Php 5,000 at the end of a study
period of 5 years. Increased productivity attributable to the equipment will amount
to Php 8,000 per year after extra operating costs have been subtracted from the
revenue generated by the additional production. If the firm’s 𝜖 and MARR are 20%
per year, what is the project’s ERR and is the project acceptable?
25,000 𝐹 ⁄𝑃 , 𝑖 %, 5 = 8,000(𝐹 ⁄𝐴, 20%, 5) + 5,000
, .
𝐹 ⁄𝑃 , 𝑖 %, 5 = ,
= 2.5813 = (1 + 𝑖 )
𝑖 = 0.2088 𝑜𝑟 20.88%
𝑌𝑒𝑠! 𝐵𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑠𝑒 𝑖′ ≥ 𝑀𝐴𝑅𝑅, 𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑝𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑.
Ex.: When 𝜖 =15% and MARR = 20% per year, determine whether the project is
acceptable whose total cash inflows are Php 5,000 from the end of 2nd year to 6th year
and cash outflows are Php 10,000 for the initial cost and Php 5,000 at the end of 1st
year. Notice in this problem that the use of an 𝜖% different from the MARR is
illustrated. This might occur if, for some reason, part or all of the funds related to a
project are “handled” outside the firm’s nominal capital structure.
[10,000 + 5,000 𝑃⁄𝐹 , 15 %, 1 ](𝐹 ⁄𝑃 , 𝑖′ %, 6) = 5,000(𝐹 ⁄𝐴, 15%, 5)
𝑖 = 0.1530 𝑜𝑟 15.30%
𝑁𝑜! 𝐵𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑠𝑒 𝑖 ≤ 𝑀𝐴𝑅𝑅, 𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑝𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑖𝑠 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑.
Payback method – often called the simple payout method, mainly indicates a
project’s liquidity rather than its profitability
Payback period – measure of the speed with which an investment is recovered by
cash inflows it produces
Simple Payback Period
∑ (𝑅 −𝐸 ) − 𝐹𝐶 ≥ 0
Discounted Payback Period
∑ (𝑅 −𝐸 )(𝑃⁄𝐹, 𝑖%, 𝑘) − 𝐹𝐶 ≥ 0
𝜃 ≤ 3, 𝑑𝑒𝑠𝑖𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑈𝑆 ; 𝜃 ≤ 5, 𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑝𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 (𝑖𝑡 𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑠 𝑜𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑎𝑛𝑦)
Ex.: Using the cash flow below, what is the simple payback period? Discounted payback
period?
End of the Net Cash Cumulative PW of Cash Cumulative
Year k Flow PW at i = 0% Flow at i = PW of Cash
through year 20%/yr Flow at i =
0 -$25,000
k 20%/yr
1 8,000
2 8,000 -$25,000 -$25,000 -$25,000
3 8,000 -17,000 6,667 -18,333
4 8,000 -9,000 5,556 -12,777
5 13,000 -1,000 4,630 -8,147
+7,000 3,858 -4,289
𝜃 = 4 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠; 𝜃′ = 5 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠
5,223 +934
END OF PRESENTATION