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Engineering Risk Analysis, Course Outline

This document provides details for the UN 701: Engineering Risk Analysis course including the course plan, outline, and schedule. The course is worth a total of 100 marks split between assignments worth 60 marks and a final take home exam worth 40 marks. The course outline lists 25 topics to be covered over 8 days, with hours dedicated to lectures, tutorials, problems and discussions for each topic. Topics include probability distributions, reliability analysis, Monte Carlo simulations, probabilistic modeling, Bayesian analysis, and probabilistic safety assessment techniques.

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hune
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37 views

Engineering Risk Analysis, Course Outline

This document provides details for the UN 701: Engineering Risk Analysis course including the course plan, outline, and schedule. The course is worth a total of 100 marks split between assignments worth 60 marks and a final take home exam worth 40 marks. The course outline lists 25 topics to be covered over 8 days, with hours dedicated to lectures, tutorials, problems and discussions for each topic. Topics include probability distributions, reliability analysis, Monte Carlo simulations, probabilistic modeling, Bayesian analysis, and probabilistic safety assessment techniques.

Uploaded by

hune
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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UN 701: Engineering Risk Analysis

Professor M. Pandey
NSERC-UNENE Industrial Research Chair
University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON
www.watrisk.ca

1 Course Plan
Total marks in the course: 100
Assignments: 60
Final take home exam: 40

2 Course Outline
Day Subject Hours
Day 1 May 9, 2020
1 Introduction to the course: Risk and Reliability- Basic 2
Concepts
Probability and random variables: Introduction
2 Statistical data analysis 1
3 Probability Distribution of random variables 1
4 Common probability distributions 1.5
Tutorial problems, discussion, assignment problems 1.5
Day 2 May 10, 2020
5 Statistical estimation of distribution parameters 2.5
6 Classical reliability analysis 2
Conditional probability, Maintenance planning examples
7 Lifetime reliability data analysis 1
Tutorial problems, discussion, assignment problems
Day 3 June 6, 2020
8 Functions of random variables 2
9 Concept of correlation and multivariate distributions 1
10 Monte Carlo simulations of reliability problems 2

Day 4 June 7, 2020


11 Probabilistic design concepts 1.5
12 Concept of reliability index 1
13 Reliability of repairable systems 2
Tutorial problems, discussion, assignment problems
Day 5 June 20, 2020
14 Probabilistic modeling of degradation processes 2
15 Basics of uncertainty analysis 2.5
Confidence interval analysis
Day 6 June 21, 2020
16 Concepts of Bayesian analysis 2
17 Bayesian reliability analysis 2
18 System reliability analysis 1

Day 7 July 18,2020


19 Introduction to PSA/PRA 1
20 Probabilistic failure models 1
21 Unavailability models 1
22 Fault tree analysis - 1 1
Tutorial problems, discussion, assignment problems

Day 8 July 19, 2020


23 Fault tree analysis-2 1.5
24 Sensitivity analysis 1
25 Event tree analysis 1
Discussion, closure of the course

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