FINA 2303 Chapter 9 Capital Budgeting Spring 2023
FINA 2303 Chapter 9 Capital Budgeting Spring 2023
Only include incremental cash flows, i.e., the cash flows affected by the project.
Cash Flows that will occur regardless of whether the project is undertaken is NOT
relevant
You should always ask yourself “Will this cash flow occur (or change) ONLY if we
accept the project?”
If the answer is “no”, it should not be included in the analysis because it will
occur anyway
If the answer is “part of it”, then we should include the part that occurs because
of the project
Sunk costs – costs that have accrued in the past, and cannot be changed
regardless of our decisions today.
Side effects
o Positive side effects – benefits to other projects
o Negative side effects – costs to other projects
Sunk Costs
Example: Firm X paid $100 to a consultant to analyze the feasibility of project A. The
consultant concludes that we have to spend another $150 to start the project. Suppose that
the project will generate cash flow $220 at the end of year 1 before being terminated.
Should we invest in this project? Assume interest rate = 0%
-150 + 220
t =0 t =1
$100 = Sunk costIt will not (and should not) affect your decision
Even if you insisted to include the sunk cost in your analysis, it will not affect your
decision
NPV of accepting the project is higher than not accepting the project regardless of
your treatment on sunk costs.
However, the best practice is to ignore sunk costs when you analyze the feasibility
of a project
Externalities
Cannibalization – a situation when sales of a firm’s new product displace sales of its
existing products.
Example: If 25% of sales come from customers who would have purchased another
product of our company at $100 per unit. COGS of that product is 60 per unit. How
should you adjust your calculation based on this situation?
Net Income Cash Flow
Assume Dell sold a $1,000 computer to a customer who paid all $1,000 in cash
Note that the depreciation for the period is $100
Income Statement Cash Flows
Sales $1,000 Cash from customer $1,000
Cost of goods sold ‐500 Pays supplier ‐500
Selling expense ‐100 Pays selling expense ‐100
Depreciation ‐100 Pays tax ‐102
Operating profit (EBIT) 300 Assume no Capital Spending 0
Tax 34% ‐102 Assume no other cash flows 0
Net income 198 Cash flow 298
Prof.Ekkachai Saenyasiri Page 7 2/26/2023
FINA 2303 Spring 2023
What if Depreciation increases by 100?
Income Statement Cash Flows
Sales $1,000 Cash from customer $1,000
Cost of goods sold ‐500 Pays supplier ‐500
Selling expense ‐100 Pays selling expense ‐100
Depreciation ‐200 Pays tax ‐68
Operating profit (EBIT) 200 Assume no Capital Spending 0
Tax 34% ‐68 Assume no other cash flows 0
Net income 132 Cash flow 332
• Increase in Depreciation helps reduce tax Increase cash flow
• Cash Flow increase = 332‐298 = 34
Cash Flow increase = Increase in Depreciation * Tax rate = 100 * 34% = 34
• Depreciation Tax Shield = A reduction in tax that results from depreciation
• Note: We have to pay cash for fixed assets earlier to have depreciation
Prof.Ekkachai Saenyasiri Page 8 2/26/2023
FINA 2303 Spring 2023
Net Income Cash Flow when transactions are not 100% cash
Assume Dell sold a $1,000 computer to a customer who paid only $50 in cash
and will pay the rest later (on credit). Account receivable increases by $950.
Note that the depreciation for the period is $100
Income Statement Cash Flows
Sales $1,000 Cash from customer 50
Cost of goods sold ‐500 Pays supplier ‐500
Selling expense ‐100 Pays selling expense ‐100
Depreciation ‐100 Pays tax ‐102
Operating profit (EBIT) 300 Assume no Capital Spending 0
Tax 34% ‐102 Assume no other cash flows 0
Net income 198 Cash flow ‐652
Note: firms usually do not pay 100% cash to supplier (account payable). This
and other issues will make cash flow calculations become more complicated
Free Cash Flow and PV
𝐶𝐹
PV of cashflows
1 𝑟
In this chapter, Cash Flow (CF) refers to FCFF. Our textbook simply refers to
FCFF as Free Cash Flow, FCF.
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) = Cash flows to all investors
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) = Cash flow to bondholders (creditors)
+ Cash flow to stockholders (owners)
Cash flow to creditors = Interest paid – Net new borrowing
Cash flow to stockholders = Dividends paid – Net new equity raised
Computing cash flows all numbers are the changes, i.e., incremental Cash flows.
Note:
Any incremental interest expenses will be related to the firm’s decision regarding
how to finance the project
Here we wish to evaluate the project on its own, separate from the financing
decision.
If your company has debt, to compute FCFF you must ignore the debt & interest expenses
and compute incremental earnings = unlevered net income = EBIT (1- tax rate)
Firms typically calculate a project’s cash flows under the assumption that the project is
financed only with equity. Any adjustments for debt financing are reflected in the discount
rate, not the cash flows.
Depreciation
The method for calculating depreciation expenses used for capital budgeting should
be the same method used for computing depreciation expenses for tax purposes
Straight-line depreciation
Depreciation per year = (Initial cost – expected salvage value) / number of years
salvage value = the estimated value of an asset at the end of its useful life
After-tax Salvage
If you sell the asset at a price different from the book value of the asset, then there is
a tax effect
After-tax cash flow from asset sale = Sale Price – {Tax rate × (Sale Price – book value)}
Profit or Loss
Market Price
when we sell the
machine
You purchase equipment for $100,000 including delivery and installation fee. The
equipment will be depreciated according to five-year straight-line depreciation and
its salvage value is expected to be zero at the end of year 5.
Suppose that you sell the equipment for 50,000 at the end of year 3. Compute the
after-tax cash flow from the asset sale
Straight-line Depreciation
After-tax cash flow from asset sale = 50,000 - 0.4(50,000 – 40,000) = 46,000
Depreciation tax shield = the tax savings that result from the ability to deduct
depreciation
If tax rate rises, the benefit of depreciation tax shield also rises
Increase NWC Assets increase faster than liabilities Reduce Cash Flows
Initial increase in inventory and cash reserve usually occurs at time 0 (prior to first sale)
Here, we are analyze the project without the influence of financing decisions
Replacement Decisions
Should we replace existing equipment?
New Equipment
o Cost of the new equipment
o Increase production and incremental revenue
o More efficient, lower costs
Depreciation effects
Original Machine
Initial cost = 100,000
Annual depreciation = 10000
Purchased 5 years ago
Book Value today = 50,000
Market price of m/c today = 65,000
Market price of m/c in 5 years = 10,000
New Machine
Initial cost = 150,000
5-year life
Salvage in 5 years = 0
Cost savings = 50,000 per year
5-year straight-line depreciation
Assume
Cost of capital = 10%
Tax rate = 40%
Your company is considering a new computer system that will initially cost $1
million.
The system is expected to last for five years and will be depreciated using 4-year
straight-line.
Our accountant determines that the book value of the equipment will be zero at the
end of year four.
However, our financial analyst expects that we can sell the machine for $50,000 at
the end of year 5.
There is no impact on net working capital. The marginal tax rate is 40%. Cost of
capital is 8%.
More Examples
Wilbert's, Inc. paid $90,000, in cash, for a piece of equipment three years ago. Last year,
the company spent $10,000 to update the equipment with the latest technology. The
company no longer uses this equipment in its current operations and has received an offer
of $50,000 from a firm who would like to purchase it. Wilbert's is debating whether to
sell the equipment or to expand its operations such that the equipment can be used. When
evaluating the expansion option, what value, if any, should Wilbert's assign to this
equipment as an initial cost of the project?
CF0 = $50,000
Kurt's Kabinets is looking at a project that will require $80,000 in fixed assets and
another $20,000 in net working capital. The project is expected to produce sales of
$110,000 with associated costs of $70,000. The project has a 4-year life. The company
uses straight-line depreciation to a zero book value over the life of the project. The tax
rate is 35%. What is the incremental earnings for this project?
Matty's Place is considering the installation of a new computer system that will cut
annual operating costs by $11,000. The system will cost $48,000 to purchase and install.
This system is expected to have a 5-year life and will be depreciated to zero using
straight-line depreciation. What is the incremental amount of the earnings before interest
and taxes for this project?
Sales volume
Revenue per unit
Cost per unit
Fixed cost (rental & Mkt)
Product life
Equipment
Equipment life
Salvage value
NWC at beginning
NWC at the end of final year
Tax rate
Cost of Capital
Pro Forma incremental income statement
Year
0 1 2 3
Sales
Variable costs
Fixed costs
Depreciation
EBIT
Taxes
Incremental earnings
Net Working Capital = Current Assets ‐ Current Liabilites = Cash + Inventory + Receivables ‐ Payables
Note: Do not include short‐term interest‐bearing financing such as notes payable & short‐term debt here
Year
0 1 2 3
NWC
Change in NWC <‐‐ Sum of change NWC
= 0
Unlevered Net Income = Incremental earnings = Revenue ‐ Operating costs ‐ Depreciation ‐ Tax = EBIT * (1‐tax rate)
Free Cash Flow = Incremental Earnings + Depreciation ‐ Changes in Net Working Capital ‐ Capital Spending
Year
0 1 2 3
Incremental earnings
+ Depreciation
‐ Change in NWC
‐ Capital Spending
Incremental Free Cash Flows
NPV
IRR
NPV ‐‐ Sales Volume and Cost of Capital
Cost of Capital
0 12% 16% 20% 24% 28%
30,000
40,000
Sales Volume 50,000
60,000
70,000
Example: Cost cutting
Your company is considering a new computer system that will initially cost $1 million.
It will save $300,000 a year in management costs.
The system is expected to last for five years and will be depreciated using 4‐year Straight‐line
Book value of the equipment = 0 at the end of year 4
We expect to sell the machine for $50,000 at the end of year 5.
There is no impact on net working capital. The marginal tax rate is 40%. Cost of capital is 8%.
Initial Cost
Savings
Tax Rate
Expected Salvage
Cost of Capital
Depreciation Schedule
Year 0 1 2 3 4 BV year 5
Percentage 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
Depreciation Expense
Pro Forma incremental income statement
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Increase in Savings
Depreciation
Increase in EBIT
Taxes (0.4 × EBIT)
Incremental earnings
Unlevered Net Income = Incremental earnings = Revenue ‐ Operating costs ‐ Depreciation ‐ Tax = EBIT * (1‐tax rate)
Free Cash Flow = Incremental Earnings + Depreciation ‐ Changes in Net Working Capital ‐ Capital Spending
Year
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incremental earnings
+ Depreciation
‐ Change in NWC
‐ Capital Spending
Incremental FCFs
NPV
IRR
Example: Replacement Problem
Remember that we are interested in incremental cash flows
If we buy the new machine, then we will sell the old machine
If we sell the old machine now, then we cannot sell the old machine later
Pro Forma incremental income statement
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Increase in Savings
Depreciation
New
Old
Incremental Depre
Increase in EBIT
Increase Taxes
Incremental earnings
Net capital stpending
Year 0
Cost of new machine =
After-tax cash flow from selling the old machine =
Incremental net capital spending =
Year 5
After-tax salvage on old machine =
Unlevered Net Income = Incremental earnings = Revenue ‐ Operating costs ‐ Depreciation ‐ Tax = EBIT * (1‐tax rate)
Free Cash Flow = Incremental Earnings + Depreciation ‐ Changes in Net Working Capital ‐ Capital Spending
Year
0 1 2 3 4 5
Incremental earnings
+ Depreciation
‐ Change in NWC
‐ Capital Spending
Incremental FCFs
NPV