Modal Verbs of Probability
Modal Verbs of Probability
We can use these modal verbs (also called modals of deduction, speculation or certainty) when
we want to make a guess about something. We choose the verb depending on how sure we are.
For example:
I am waiting for Julie with another friend, David. I ask: 'Where is Julie?'
David guesses:
• She must be on the bus. (I'm fairly sure this is a good guess)
Will / won't
Should / shouldn't
Should and shouldn't are used to make an assumption about what is probably true, if everything
is as we expect:
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This use of should isn't usually used for negative events. Instead, it's a better idea to use will:
Can
Can is used for something that is generally possible, something we know sometimes happens:
Will and won't / will not + have + past participle are used for past certainty (compare with
present use of 'will' above):
Should + have + past participle can be used to make an assumption about something that has
probably happened, if everything is as we expect (compare with present use of 'should' above):
Could
We can use could + infinitive to talk about a general possibility in the past (compare with the
use of 'can' above):
This is not used to talk about specific possibilities in the past (instead we use could + have +
past participle):
• He could have been working late (not: 'could be'. As this is a specific possibility,
'could be' is present tense)
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