Technical Report 12th September 2011
Technical Report 12th September 2011
Formation
We are observing a Horizontal Line resistance at 17300 / 5177 level which was the crucial swing low made in February 2011. Last Weekly candle resembles a Spinning Top
Source: Falcon
formation near above mentioned resistance of 17300 / 5177. This pattern needs a confirmation. The Daily chart depicts a Rising Wedge continuation The breakdown will be confirmed if indices sustain below Fridays low of 16830 / 5046. Subsequently, indices may correct to test support level of 16488 / 4942. In addition, we are observing a candlestick pattern which resembles a Spinning Top. The said pattern will be confirmed ONLY if
momentum oscillators viz., the RSI and the Stochastic is still intact which cannot be ignored.
Trading strategy:
Markets moved higher during the initial part of the week but showed some positive momentum to register a weekly high of 17210 / 5169. However, indices could not sustain near this level as they were nearing strong Horizontal Line resistance of 17300 / 5177. On Fridays session after reversing from mentioned resistance level, mainly due to sell off in Banking, Metal and Oil & Gas counters, we are now witnessing a Rising Wedge continuous pattern. This pattern has a negative implication.
indices break and sustains below 16488 / 4942 level. In this case, indices can test recent bottom of 15765 / 4720. This pattern will get negated once prices break high of the pattern which is 17210 / 5169. However, the positive crossover in Weekly RSI and Stochastic oscillator is still intact. The impact of this crossover may be nullified once indices break 16488 / 4942 level. On the upside, last week high of 17210 / 5169 would act as strong resistance. A move beyond this level, indices may test 17300 17600 / 5200 5280 levels.
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni Sameet Chavan Sacchitanand Uttekar Mehul Kothari Ankur Lakhotia Head - Technicals Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst
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