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Veerle De Bosscher (1), Paul De Knop(1), Maarten van Bottenburg(2) ), Simon Shibli(3)
(1)
Faculty of Physical Education and Physiotherapy, Vrije Universiteit Brussel (Belgium)
(2)
Mulier Institute (the Netherlands)
(3)
Sport Industry Research Centre, Sheffield Hallam University (England)
Correspondence address:
E-mail : [email protected]
Running head:
ABSTRACT
Although an increasing number of nations invest large amounts of money in sport in order
to compete against other nations, there is no clear evidence that demonstrates how sports
policies can influence international sporting success. This paper provides an overview of
important determinants that can lead to nations enjoying international sporting success. The
literature reveals that more than 50% of the determinants of success are macro-level variables
which are beyond the control of politicians. The meso-level contains factors which can be
influenced by sports policies. An empirically founded theory on the policy factors that
determine elite sporting success has not yet been developed. In this paper a conceptual
framework will be presented that can be used for making trans national comparisons of elite
sports policies. Nine policy areas, or ‘pillars’ that are thought to have an important influence
comparison - benchmark
3
Competition between nations has always been a feature of the Olympic Games. Medal-
counting has been used by politicians and the media to compare international success despite
the International Olympic Committee's protestation that the Olympic medal table is not an
sport, competition has become a competition between ‘systems’ (Heinila, 1982). The success
of an athlete or team depends increasingly on the performance capacity of the national system
and its effectiveness in using all relevant resources for the benefit of elite sport. Some
nations, such as the former communist states of Eastern Europe, were very successful in
international sports as a result of making high level investment in overall national sport
systems. Some nations do not have this option as they are compelled by more basic needs,
and others simply establish different priorities. Various studies have tried to explain
wealth, population, land mass and politics. However, these factors are out of the control of
sports policies in the short term. By contrast, there are only a few references in the literature
concerning the efficiency and effectiveness of (elite) sports policies and investments. This is
no doubt, in part, due to the difficulty of measuring these effects objectively. Governments
and their agencies invest large sums of money in elite sport to compete against other nations
and to achieve improved performance in sport. However, it is not known precisely how
sports policies can influence improved sporting performance. This in turn makes it
particularly difficult for politicians to select the right priorities for their sports policy.
Although many attempts have been made to explain why certain countries are more
successful than others, the relationship between policies and success is not clear. In this
success has not yet been developed. As a first step in addressing this information deficiency,
this paper serves two functions. First, a comprehensive literature review of the determinants
4
that are important contributors for international sporting success is provided. Second, as a
logical extension of the literature review, we propose a conceptual model of the determinants
of success in elite sport policy by clustering measurable criteria into a few policy areas that
TOP-LEVEL SPORTS
There is a range of factors that lead to international sporting success. Classifying these
qualities and the environmental and physical circumstances in which people live (Seppänen,
1981). Genetic qualities can explain differences between men and women, between young
people and old people, between tall people and small people and even between races. They
cannot however explain why Norwegians are more active skiers than Italians and why
With these points in mind, we classify below factors determining top-level success in sports
1) MACRO-level: the social and cultural context in which people live: economic
2) MESO-level: sports policies and politics. This is the level where well-considered
environment (e.g. parents, friends, coaches). At the micro-level some factors can be
(such as genetics).
5
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-----------------------------------
In this study only the overall success of nations will be analysed, not the individual success of
athletes. Therefore, we now proceed with an analysis of factors at macro-level and meso-
level and to a lesser extent factors that can be controlled by sports policies at micro-level.
Inevitably these three levels interact and no factor can be totally isolated from the social and
cultural contexts within nations. Consequently, there is an overlap between the meso-level
and the macro-level. This grey zone between the meso and macro levels is termed by the
Sport Industry Research Centre as the environment of the sport system as a resource of world-
class performance in sport (SIRC, 2002). This includes, amongst other factors: the role of the
education system; the private sector as a partner in sport; the elite sports culture and the
tradition of certain sports in a country; the mass media as promoter of interest in sport; and
the audience as a sounding board for world class performances. These factors potentially
have a huge effect on elite sport development. However, as they cannot be influenced
directly by sports policies, they are not further discussed in this paper.
MACRO-LEVEL
Factors determining international success have been discussed in many studies on the
Olympic Games. Predictions and evaluations of performance in the Olympic Games were
largely based on macro-level factors . Some studies tried to find an economic explanation for
6
success, while others took a more sociological approach. Data at the macro-level is readily
available in the public domain and this is perhaps why there are so many studies in this field.
By contrast, at the meso-level data is often not readily available and is difficult to quantify.
This makes it particularly difficult to analyse and compare sport policies. Consequently,
Table 1 below gives an overview of the main studies conducted at the macro-level. The
table shows for each study which independent variables were correlated to success and in
which events. Most studies use simple correlations or regression analysis. During the last
decade, some authors have tried to improve the methodology of these studies (see for
example Baimbridge, 1998; Bernard & Busse, 2000; De Bosscher, De Knop & Heyndels,
2003 a & b; De Koning & Olieman, 1996; Den Butter & Van der Tak, 1995; Johnson & Ali,
--------------------------------
---------------------------------
sporting talent throughout the world. Every nation has equal opportunities to produce
competitive elite athletes (Grimes, Kelly & Rubin, 1974; Levine, 1974; Kiviaho & Mäkelä,
1978; Morton, 2002). Many studies exclude the distribution of talent argument and highlight
the impact of two independent macro-economic variables: the Gross National Product (per
capita) of a nation and its population (Bernard & Busse, 2000; De Bosscher, De Knop &
Heyndels, 2003 a & b; Jokl, 1964; Johnson & Ali, 2002; Kiviaho & Mäkelä, 1978; Levine,
1974; Morton, 2002; Novikov & Maximenko, 1972; Suen, 1992; Van Bottenburg, 2000).
These two variables consistently explain over 50% of the total variance of international
sporting success. Less consensus exists on the influence of other factors such as land mass,
7
the political system, the religion, the degree of urbanisation, and cultural factors. Johnson
and Ali (2002) undertook the same analysis on the macro variables with the number of
athletes participating in the Olympics instead of medals won. From this, they concluded that
these macro variables explain the number of participants just as much as the number of
medals won. Shaw and Pooley (1976) discovered that economic factors are more important
determinants of sporting success in developing nations (they suggest 94%) than in Western
nations (64%) and socialist nations (32%). According to Bernard and Busse (2002) and
Stamm and Lamprecht (2000 & 2001) the importance of factors at the macro-level has
decreased during the last two decades. In the latter study for example, the authors found they
could explain 57% of international sporting success using macro-level factors in the period
1964-1980; whereas, they could only explain 45% of sporting success using these factors post
1980. Nevertheless, the impact of these macro-level factors on elite sporting success remains
high. None of these macro-level variables can be influenced by sports policies in the short
term, nonetheless they should be taken into account when international comparisons are
made. In this respect De Bosscher, De Knop and Heyndels (2003 a & b) demonstrate a
method to measure the relative success of nations by controlling for these macro-economic
determinants.
Despite the consistency with which the rich and populous countries dominate the Olympic
medal tables, there is a constant need for their governments to ensure the continued
availability of the basic resource, namely athletes (Green & Houlihan, 2005). This leads
LEVEL
Factors at the meso-level are fully or partially determined by sports policies and politics.
All things being equal, elite athletes will have a greater chance of success subject to the
effectiveness of policy and investment decisions made in elite sport. Taking into account all
the various factors that determine elite sports success, meso-level factors are the only ones
that can be influenced and changed. Surprisingly, however, only a few studies have focused
on organisational factors at this level (Eising, 1996; Stamm & Lamprecht, 2000 & 2001; van
Bottenburg, 2000). National sports organisations worldwide spend large sums of money in
the quest for superior sport performance, although little is known about the reasons why some
nations excel in specific sporting events. As it is our aim to create a framework containing a
success, we provide below an overview of literature at the meso-level. These studies can be
classified into three broad types. In addition to reviewing these meso-level studies, Flemish
athletes, coaches and performing directors working for federations have been surveyed in
order to involve primary stakeholders in elite sport in the determination of the policy areas.
These results are compared to similar research studies conducted in other nations.
organisational context of nations. A key characteristic of these studies is their search for
similarities and differences among nations’ elite sport systems. In this regard considerable
research has been conducted on various aspects of practice in the former communist states
(see for example Broom, 1986 & 1991; Buggel, 1986; Douyin, 1988; Krüger, 1984; Riordan,
1989 & 1991; Sedlacek, Matousek, Holcek et al., 1994; Semotiuk, 1990). Common
characteristics of these elite sport systems were found by these authors to be:
The former Eastern bloc countries have undoubtedly played an important role in the current
developments of elite sport. As Houlihan (1997) notes, “countries like Australia and Canada
have both adopted policies of elite squad development which are very close to the Soviet
model in a number of key respects…” (1997, p6). This phenomenon can be illustrated by a
general globalisation process identified by Oakley and Green (2001) who analysed elite sport
development systems in five nations: Australia, Canada, France, Spain and the United
Kingdom. Their key finding was the discovery of an increasing tendency to develop common
sporting strategies in those nations. However, despite the broad homogeneity of sport
strategies, there is room for diversity and increasing variation (Green and Oakley, 2001).
Digel (2001) compared the system of talent detection and talent development in China,
Russia, United States, Italy and France. Currently, a large scale research project on elite
sports systems in eight countries is being finalised in Germany by Helmut Digel et al. (2003
& 2004). The countries are: China, Russia, Italy, United States, United Kingdom & Northern
Ireland, France, Austria and Germany. Digel et al's study is likely to provide interesting new
insights into how elite sport structures operate in relation to international sporting success.
Pioneering research in the field of elite sport policies was recently published by Green and
Houlihan (2005). They explored the process of elite sport policy change in three sports
(swimming, athletics and yachting) and three nations (Canada, the United Kingdom and
Australia). They used the Advocacy Coalition Framework1 (ACF) as a tool for understanding
10
the rise in the political priority given to elite sport. Although different in focus from this
paper, the Green and Houlihan (op. cit.) study looks for similarities among the nations and
offers in depth analysis in four areas of elite sport policy: (1) development of elite level
facilities, (2) emergence of ‘full-time’ athletes, (3) developments in coaching, sports science
and sports medicine and (4) competition opportunities for elite level athletes.
Only a few studies give an overview of pre-requisites for international success (Clumpner,
1994; Larose & Haggerty, 1996; Oakley & Green, 2001). This second type of study makes
use of the previous research on sport systems to define the key factors factors required to
achieve international sporting success. Larose and Haggerty (1996) found nine categories of
important factors thought to determine success and presented these to fifteen Canadian
experts, who concluded that a single model of factors leading to success does not exist. There
was certainly no model that would cover all nations, nor one that would cover all sports.
Clumpner (1994) used Broom’s (1991) work as a foundation and suggested three major
factors responsible for international success: (1) financial support for training centres and
personnel, (2) an ongoing integrated Olympic sport system and (3) athletic talent. He goes on
to expand these three major factors with subsidiary factors which can be found at micro level
(motivated athletes), macro level (large diverse population) and meso level: time for training,
well trained full-time coaches, sports medicine back up, international competition, early
spotting of talent, access for all, a good communication network and an unbroken line up
Finally, Oakley and Green (2001) identified ten items that could be regarded as uniform
1. A clear understanding about the role of the different agencies involved and an
3. An effective system for the statistical identification and monitoring of the progress of
the team (athletes, coaches, managers, scientists) can interact with one another in a
6. Well developed and specific facilities with priority access for elite athletes;
9. A recognition that developing excellence has costs, with appropriate funding for
These three studies (Larose & Haggerty 1996, Clumpner 1994; Oakley & Green 2001)
provide a basis for the creation of a universal model of factors explaining international
sporting success. However, none of these authors has worked up this information into a
theoretical model with coherent factors put into operational criteria that can be empirically
tested. According to Oakley and Green (2001) “further research is required to better
understand ‘how’ and ‘why’ this tendency occurs” (2001, p 100). Nevertheless, they
recognise that this is complicated and that a long-term study is required. This latter point is
one of the main characteristics of Green and Houlihan’s study (2005) as they analysed policy
The one crucial element missing in all of the previous attempts to model sport policy
influences on success has been the involvement of athletes and coaches, as the key
stakeholders responsible for delivering success for their nation. This third type of study is
12
situated at the micro-level. Although they focus on personal genetic qualities, they give
pathway to reaching the top. It is also less complex to question athletes and coaches than it is
to compare nations at the meso-level. A number of surveys attempt to understand factors that
influence the individual success of athletes, both positively and negatively (Conzelmann &
Nagel, 2003; De Bosscher & De Knop, 2003 & 2004; Duffy, Lyons, Moran et al., 2001;
Gibbons, McConnel, Forster et al., 2003; Greenleaf Gould & Diefen, 2001; Nys, De Knop &
De Bosscher, 2002; Unierzyski, Wielinski & Zhanel, 2003; Van Bottenburg, 2000; Van
Bottenburg, Roques & Smit, 2004). As stated by Chelladurai (1987) and Chelladurai and
Chang (2000), one should focus on the group for whose benefit an organisation primarily
organisations, endorses measures based on the preferences and values of internal and external
leading to international sporting success has not yet been devised, the opportunity was taken
to use a broader but related Flemish study on the elite sport climate2 to identify the
determinants of success according to the main stakeholders in elite sport. In total 140
Flemish athletes, 119 coaches and 26 performance directors from federations were asked to
state the five most important internal and external factors that have had the greatest influence
on the personal success of athletes. An inductive analysis led to the identification of ten
areas, of which eight can be categorised as sport policy areas (De Bosscher & De Knop,
2004). The results were broadly comparable with two similar micro-level studies in other
nations, also using open-ended questions to identify what athletes themselves considered to
be the determinants of success. In Gibbons et al. (2003), 760 US Olympic athletes were
surveyed and in Duffy et. al. (2001) the research was based on the views of 207 Irish
athletes. These latter two studies, both developed from a micro-level perspective, did not
13
distinguish internal from external factors. The results of these three studies are presented in
Table 2.
------------------------
INSERT TABLE 2
-------------------------
In all of the studies cited in Table 2, the common theme is that the most important and
necessary condition for success is the personal dedication and motivation of the athlete.
Other consistently cited factors which can be categorised as 'an athlete's personal
environment' include variables such as parents, partner and coach. At the meso-level, the
quality of coaching exceeded all other factors in terms of its importance. The perceived
facilities and competition appears in all studies. Therefore, from a policy perspective, support
micro-level are therefore also interesting, because there can be a knock-on effect at the meso-
level.
In summary, this literature review at the meso-level from different authors and different
perspectives makes it likely that a range of factors have contributed to the elite sporting
success of nations and individual athletes. However, none of these studies gives an overview
in such a way that the variables are clearly defined and measurable for use in trans national
comparisons. This is the purpose of the next part of the paper. We do not claim to be
exhaustive in this overview, nonetheless our main aim is to condense in one place the many,
unrelated sources reviewed. This in turn may prevent researchers in the future from having to
'reinvent the wheel' when attempting to identify the factors which lead to international
sporting success.
14
On the basis of (1) the existing literature and secondary sources on elite sport systems, (2)
a few studies on the determinants of success at policy level and (3) prerequisites for success
according to athletes and coaches as main stakeholders in elite sport, it is possible to cluster
all sources into a few policy areas that have an important influence on international sporting
success. Table 3 below provides an overview of criteria mentioned in these studies from
different authors and different perspectives. Nine clusters of policy areas or ‘pillars’ can be
identified, each containing several sub-criteria that should be compared on a trans national
------------------------
INSERT TABLE 3
-------------------------
When we go into greater depth on these nine policy areas, we can see that pillars three, four
and five are a logical progression. The sequence starts when an athlete is introduced to a
certain sport (initiation phase – pillar 3). If the athlete is subsequently identified as ‘talented’
he or she may receive special attention during the talent development phase (pillar 4). For
those who remain in the system, some may finally reach the top and start to perform at
international level (perfection phase – pillar 5). This career path has the form of a pyramid
because many athletes drop out during these stages (pillars 3,4, and 5) and only few reach the
very top (De Smedt, 2001). Although this pyramid theory is often criticised as some talents
are not selected from a sport's participant base, and we acknowledge there are exceptions,
most athletes tend to find their roots in sport for all. This is presented graphically Figure 2
below. The three phases of athlete development as defined by Bloom (1985) are similar in
sports, arts and science. Wylleman, De Knop & Sillen (1998) add a fourth stage, the
15
discontinuation phase, which is reached when the athletic career comes to an end. These
transitions in the sporting career of an athlete are often accompanied by psychological, social
and academic transitions all taking place at different times (Wylleman & Lavallee, 2003).
The cumulative effect of these transitions often creates tensions for athletes and therefore
strong support structures are required to develop an optimal micro climate in which the
athlete can develop effectively (De Smedt, 2001). The athlete has a central place in elite
sport development and all the other pillars focus on what is best for the athlete’s
“How should elite sports policies function so that elite athletes can train and perform
in optimal circumstances at each stage of their careers, with access to good facilities,
---------------------------------
----------------------------------
development (pillar 2) are necessary conditions for the development of sport and athletic
careers within a given sport. The financial and human resources (pillar 1) are the inputs of
sport policy. Nations that invest more in (elite) sport can create more opportunities for
athletes to train under ideal circumstances. There are many examples of nations that have
improved sporting performance after increasing investment in elite sports. This has occurred
often after failure at important international events. As Chalip (1995) points out, these events
focus policy makers' attention on proposals towards improved elite sports plans. Having the
means may enhance the chances of success but it certainly does not guarantee it. The
processes behind policy, or the throughput, refers to the efficiency of sports policies, that is,
16
the optimum way that inputs can be managed to produce the required outputs. Thus a strong
organisational structure is necessary. This is reflected in the second pillar, the umbrella of the
system and clear task descriptions are more important than the precise nature of the delivery
vehicle. Furthermore, Oakley and Green (2001b) indicate the importance of simplicity of
administration through common sporting and political boundaries as another important item.
Investments in four other pillars in the throughput stage are essential for the development
of elite athletes: training facilities (pillar 6), the provision and development of coaches (pillar
7), national and international competition structures (pillar 8), and, scientific research and
sports medicine support (pillar 9). As stated in the literature review in Table 3, pillars 6, 7
and 8 require special attention both at the development level (sport for all) and the elite level
as noted in Green and Houlihan’s (2005) research. Sufficient facilities of high quality,
sufficient qualified coaches at club level and a good national competition structure will allow
young talents to become skilled in their sport, to train and compete at their own level and to
develop their skills in the period before or during the time they are identified as being
talented. Once athletes perform at a higher level and train regularly, there is a need for more
specialised equipment and facilities with appropriate accessibility, coaches with expertise and
knowledge at the elite level, and sufficient opportunities for athletes to participate in
international competition. In addition, many authors noted that the staging of international
sporting events (pillar 8) has a positive effect on the success of the host nation (see among
others Bernard & Busse, 2001; Clarke, 2002; Johnson & Ali, 2002; Kuper & Sterken, 2003).
Therefore a proactive approach to hosting international sports events can also be regarded as
a factor which influences international sporting success. Applied research and a network of
17
sports medicine (pillar 9) are crucial factors for nations who want to outperform others, as
pointed out by Shibli (2003) who suggests that as competition for success increases the 'price'
Pillar 1 is an indicator of the input, pillars 2-9 are indicators of throughput. As revealed in
each stage of the input, throughput and output cycle (Chelladurai, 2001). Outputs in elite
sport can be clearly defined, for example, the number of medals won during the Olympic
Games or other events, top six or eight places, the relative success or even the number of
The model generally shows that the development of more athletes with medal winning
capabilities (outcome) requires an holistic approach to elite sport. Elite athletes are
increasingly the product of a long-term strategic planning process. It is a rule of thumb that
8-10 years and 10,000 training hours are necessary to become an expert in either music or
sports (Bloom, 1985; Grimbel, 1976; Starkes, 2000). Nations might not increase their
chances of success by investing in a few pillars, rather they need to find the most suitable
blend of all pillars for their specific circumstances. As stated by Marcel Sturkenboom,
Director of the Dutch National Sport Federation and Olympic Committee (NOC*NSF):
“If you have the ingredients, you still don’t have a good recipe; how you bring the
Finally, as is also stated in the literature review in Table 3, some less controllable
variables are also important indicators for success. This is the environment within which elite
sport exists and includes issues such as sponsorships, media portrayal of sport, the tradition of
sport in a nation, the tradition of success, sport culture generally and elite sport culture
specifically. These issues can only be impacted on by sport policies to a limited extent and
It was the aim of this paper to present a composite performance model of sports policy
factors that are important for international success. Literature in this area is scarce
particularly when it comes to the creation of a model regarding elite sports policies, yet
rival nations. Much research has been conducted on the elite sport systems in successful
nations, but little is known on the relationship between systems and success. In this paper we
have proposed a model that categorises the literature into nine pillars of important policy
determinants. Financial inputs (pillar 1) are important, but it is the way the resources are used
via the throughput (pillars 2-9) that might lead to increased production of athletes with medal
stakeholder in elite sport systems. Each pillar can be operationalised into clearly defined,
Although this pillar framework aims to give an overview of main sports policy areas that
are important for international success, its function is not deterministic: rather it aims to
identify pivotal issues and to generate crucial questions in a benchmark study of elite sport
systems. It can be assumed that all the conditions identified in the literature review outlined
above can be classified under one of the nine pillars. In an increasingly competitive
environment, nations may develop innovative strategies and thus our proposed model may be
subject to change over time. Furthermore it needs to be tested applied empirically rather than
just in theory. This is the subject of the subsequent research project, SPLISS, that has been
established recently. “SPLISS” stands for “Sport Policy Factors Leading to International
Sporting Success”. In this large-scale study, elite sports policies and the elite sports climate
in different countries will be compared at national level (SPLISS, 2004). The nine pillar
model is used as a basic framework. The study aims to improve knowledge about the sports
19
policy determinants that are important for international success. The end result may be an
improved insight into how to operationalise the criteria for trans national comparisons,
especially for the throughput stages of the model. Whereas inputs and outputs can be
measure and often indirect methods will have to be used. Therefore some throughputs may
remain analysed at a descriptive level only. This is also the reason why in the SPLISS study,
athletes, coaches and performance directors in six nations have been involved, as they are the
primary stakeholders who can evaluate validly the throughputs in each pillar. This research
strategy is, as acknowledged in the effectiveness literature, essential in order to fill in the
‘gap’ between observed and perceived quality. However, researchers and policy makers must
be aware that uncertainties over the relationship between policies and international sporting
success will always remain. The reason for this is that it is impossible to set up an experiment
trying to explain a causal correlation of one factor leading to success whilst other factors are
sports policies statistically due to a lack of reliable data on the one hand, and data that can not
be quantified on the other hand. This makes statistical analysis particularly difficult to
undertake.
So far, six nations are involved in the SPLISS research: Belgium, the Netherlands, the
United Kingdom, Canada, Norway and Italy. These are all Western capitalist and democratic
cultures. It is quite conceivable that this framework will need adjustment before it can be
used meaningfully in nations with different cultures and different sport systems, such as
developing countries, the United States and China. It is impossible to create one single model
for explaining international success. A system leading to success in one nation may be
doomed to fail in another. Therefore it needs to be emphasised that the combination of the
nine pillars may be specific to a given nation’s context and that different systems may all be
20
successful. This view is partly driven by the fact that sport is a reflection of the cultural
system in which people live (Lüschen, 1970). There are plenty of inexplicable variables,
which we all believe are important but no-one can explain why. Social phenomena such as
Australia’s passion for sport may be a stronger explanation for success than any other
variable. The Dutch are more achievement oriented, more inclined to long-term thinking,
better planners, less likely to avoid uncertain situations and find it easier to run risks than
Flemish people (Van Praet, Rooms, De Bosscher et al., 2005). These characteristics are
embedded in a culture and may, to a large, but unquantifiable extent, explain why the
complex process. Indeed, much discussion has taken place as to whether nations are
appropriate units for comparison. However, given the complexity of the problem of
identifying factors that affect international sporting success and the current lack of data
available, trans national comparison seems to be the only way to do this. We could refer to
the view cited by Hofstede (1998) that every comparison of values and norms between
nations is, in a way, a comparison between apples and oranges. It is important to find a
common language for those factors that can be compared. “Popular wisdom deems that one
cannot compare apples with oranges. But what do we mean by ‘compare’? Scientifically
speaking, apples and oranges come under the general category of ‘fruits’ and can be
compared on many criteria, such as availability, price, colour, vitamin content or keeping
quality. Comparing apples with oranges, cross-cultural psychologist Harry Triandis once
A consensus is building among researchers that macro level factors such as population
and GDP are becoming less accurate predictors of nations' performance in elite sport than
they have been historically (Stamm and Lamprecht, 2001). The principal reason for this view
21
is that as nations become strategic in the way in which they produce elite athletes, they rely
less on uncontrollable variables. Australia is a good example of a nation which has recently
been able to improve its performance in elite sport dramatically with (in relative terms) a
modest increase in population. However, macro-level determinants still account for more
than 50% of Olympic success and this may be even higher in developing countries (De
Bosscher et al., 2003). Taking into account all the various factors that determine elite sports
success, those at the meso-level are the only ones that can be influenced and changed by
policies. More nations are adopting strategic approaches towards the development of elite
athletes (Shibli & Bingham, 2005). As stated by Oakley and Green (2001) as sporting
systems are moving increasingly towards uniformity globally, it will become harder for
nations to win more medals with a static level of investment. Therefore in international
sporting competition, standing still could mean going backwards if those nations taking a
strategic approach develop a competitive advantage over those nations that do not plan for
success (SIRC, 2002). It is clear that, for nations to be successful in the future, much more
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Author’s notes
Veerle de Bosscher works at the department of Sports Policy and Management (faculty of
Physical Education) in the Vrije Universiteit Brussels, Belgium. She graduated in Physical
Education and earned a Masters degree (GGS) in sports management in Brussels and also in
training/coaching in Leuven. She is currently studying for a Ph.D. on “Sports Policy factors
international comparative study (SPLISS), together with United Kingdom and the
Netherlands. She is involved in courses on sports policies and sports management and her
research interests are in sport- and elite sport systems, international comparisons, youth and
Paul De Knop has a Ph.D. in Physical Education from the Faculty of Physical Education of
Vrije Universiteit Brussels, Belgium. He graduated in leisure studies from the same
university and earned a Master Degree in Sports Sociology and Sports Management from the
University of Leicester (UK). He is a full time professor at the VUB and dean of the faculty
administrative body) since 1999, Chairman of the RAGO (Council of the Community
Education of Flanders) since 2002, and deputy chief of cabinet to the Flemish minister of
Sport since 2004. Furthermore, he is co-ordinator of a “Top Level Sport and Studies” –
program at the Vrije Universiteit Brussel and project manager of two sport centres. His
areas of teaching include sport, leisure and physical education from a socio-pedagogical
perspective. Research interests are: youth and sport, sport and ethnic minorities, sport and
Maarten van Bottenburg studied sociology at the University of Utrecht and Amsterdam in the
Netherlands. In 1994 he obtained his doctorate in the social sciences cum laude with a thesis
on the differential popularisation of sports. Since 2002, he has been research director of
W.J.H. Mulier Institute – Centre for Research on Sports in Society, a joint venture of the
appointed professor of sport studies at Utrecht University and professor of sport business at
Fontys University of Professional Education. Van Bottenburg published several books and
reports in the field of the sociology of sport and sports management. In his most recent study,
he analysed trends in and key drivers of sport participation in the European Union.
Simon Shibli is a graduate in Physical Education, Sport Science and Recreation Management
accountant. His areas of research interest are the finance and economics of the sport and
leisure industries. His recent work has been focused on five key areas:
• Monitoring the performance of local authority sport and leisure facilities via the Sport
Simon has a long track record of conducting monitoring and evaluation exercises for UK
Sport, Sport England, national governing bodies, local authorities, Regional Development
Agencies and private sector clients. He has a detailed knowledge of major sport and cultural
34
events and has been involved in their evaluation since 1997. Since 2002 he has collaborated
with the other authors of this paper on the SPLISS project He is a regular presenter at major
sport and leisure conferences and has also had numerous articles published in peer reviewed
journals.
35
Footnotes
1
the advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) was defined as “… people from a variety of
positions (elected and agency officials, interest group leaders, researchers) who (1) share a
particular belief system – i.e. set of basic values, causal assumptions and problem
perceptions- and who (2) show a non-trivial degree of coordination over time (Sabatier and
Jenkins-Smith, 1999: 138)”, cited by Green and Houlihan (2004: 389). A key feature of the
ACF is its focus on the policy process as a whole over ‘periods of a decade or more’.
2
What is meant by the term 'elite sports climate' is defined by Van Bottenburg (2000) as:
“The social and organisational environment that provides the circumstances in which athletes
can develop into elite sports athletes and can continue to achieve at the highest levels in their
3
Flanders is the Northern, Dutch speaking part of Belgium
36
Table 1: Overview of important studies on the factors leading to international success: macro-
level
Table 2: Main factors of success according to elite athletes in three nations (Ireland, USA,
Flanders**), using an open ended question.
Table 3: a literature overview of success determinants at the meso-level, clustered in nine policy areas
- a coordinated sport system and coordination of elite sport initiatives Duffy, Lyons, Moran et al., 2001
- an unbroken line up through the system De Bosscher & De Knop, 2002 & 2004; De
- a communication network which maintains the system Knop, De Bosscher & Leblicq, 2004; De
- good communication/relationship with National Governing bodies Bosscher, De Knop, van Bottenburg et al., 2004.
(NGBs) and clubs Wells, 1991
- a clear understanding about the role of the different agencies involved Oakley & Green, 2001 and Green & Oakley,
- comprehensive planning for the needs of each sport 2001
Multidisciplinary support staff and specialist advice from sports Sturkenboom & Vervoorn, 1998, cited by van den
science and sports medicine: Berg, 2001; Duffy, Lyons, Moran et al., 2001 ;
Oakley & Green, 2001 and Green & Oakley,
- (para)medical, exercise physiological, material and environment,
2001
social psychological, nutrition and media training;
Nys, De Bosscher, De Knop, 2002; De Bosscher
- lifestyle management, time management, career development;
& De Knop, 2002 & 2004; Greenleaf, Gould,
- preparation for life after sport; Diefen, 2001; Conzelman,& Nagel, 2003;
Training opportunities:
- intense training (fulltime) and with athletes of similar/higher
standard; Duffy, Lyons, Moran et al., 2001; Broom, 1991 ;
Gibbons, McConnel, Forster et al., 2003; Van
- sufficient training camps
Bottenburg, 2000
- providing athletic talent with the necessary time to train - easy access
Clumpner, 1994;
to sport at college (US)
Douyin, 1988;
- specialised training systems and training methods, long-term and the Krüger, 1984;
application of optimal training loads (principles of periodisation, Nys, De Bosscher, De Knop, 2002; De Bosscher
interval training, endurance training,…) & De Knop, 2002 & 2004
- multidisciplinary training: technical, tactical and physical training;
- sufficient international competition opportunities for elite level Clumpner, 1994 competitions
athletes Duffy, Lyons, Moran et al., 2001 ; Gibbons, Mc
- competition support (financial) connel, Forster et al., 2003 ; Van Bottenburg,
2000; Nys, De Bosscher, De Knop, 2002; De
Knop, De Bosscher & Leblicq, 2004; De
Bosscher, De Knop, van Bottenburg et al., 2004.
Environment of
Media & sponsorship Nys, De Bosscher, De Knop, 2002; Van elite sport
- Quality of media attention Bottenburg, 2000
7
Figure 1: Model showing the relationship between factors determining individual and national
success (De Bosscher & De Knop, 2003)
National success
Environment of
sport systems
Macro-level Factors that can not be
influenced
Factors easily
Meso-level influenced by sports
policies
Individual success
Micro-level
Athlete
Personal
Environment
National success
Policies/politics Factors easily
influenced by sports
policies
Social/cultural Factors that can not
context be influenced
2
OUTPUT
Elite sport Environment Media
& Sponsoring OUTCOME
Pillar 5
INPUT
Athletic &
National governing bodies
Pillar 8
(Inter)national competition
THROUGHPUT
Pillar 7
Pillar 4
Coaching provision & coach
development Talent identification &
Pillar 6 -development system
Training facilities
Pillar 3
INPUT
Foundation &
participation
Pillar 1 INPUT
Financial support
Pillar 2
Integrated approach to policy development