HR Forecasting
HR Forecasting
The Human Resource Planning is a process of forecasting the organization’s demand for and supply
of manpower needs in the near future.
1. Determining the Objectives of Human Resource Planning: The foremost step in every
process is the determination of the objectives for which the process is to be carried on. The
objective for which the manpower planning is to be done should be defined precisely, so as
to ensure that a right number of people for the right kind of job are selected.
2. Analyzing Current Manpower Inventory: The next step is to analyze the current manpower
supply in the organization through the stored information about the employees in terms of
their experience, proficiency, skills, etc. required to perform a particular job.
3. Forecasting Demand and Supply of Human Resources: Once the inventory of talented
manpower is maintained; the next step is to match the demand for the manpower arising in
the future with the supply or available resources with the organization.
4. Employment Plan/Action Plan: Once the manpower gaps are evaluated, the action plan is to
be formulated accordingly. In a case of a deficit, the firm may go either for recruitment,
training, interdepartmental transfer plans whereas in the case of a surplus, the voluntary
retirement schemes, redeployment, transfer, layoff, could be followed.
5. Training and Development: The training is not only for the new joinees but also for the
existing employees who are required to update their skills from time to time.
What is HR forecasting?
HR forecasting is the process of predicting how a company's staffing needs change with time so that
it can remain prepared to operate successfully. Organizations use HR forecasting to decide to hire
more people, reduce their staffing or adjust how they divide responsibilities.
Why is HR forecasting important?
HR forecasting is important because it ensures organizations can operate responsibly, avoiding costs
associated with lost productivity or over-staffing.
Process
1. Inaccuracy:
Human resource planning involves forecasting the demand for and supply of human
resources. Projecting manpower needs over a period of time is risky.
Factors such as absenteeism, labour turnover, seasonal trends in demand, competitive
pressures, technological changes and a host of other factors may turn the rest of
manpower plans into fashionable, decorative pieces.
Uncertainties:
Technological changes and market fluctuations are uncertainties, which serve as
constraints to human resource planning. It is risky to depend upon general estimates of
manpower in the face of rapid changes in environment.
3. Lack of support:
Planning is generally undertaken to improve overall efficiency. In the name of cost
cutting, this may ultimately help management weed out unwanted labour at various
levels.
Numbers’ game:
In some companies, human resource planning is used as a numbers game. There is too
much focus on the quantitative aspect to ensure the flow of people in and out of the
organisation. Such an exclusive focus overtakes the more important dimension, i.e., the
quality of human resources.
HR planning, in the final analysis, may suffer due to an excessive focus on the
quantitative aspects.
5. Employees Resistance:
Employees and trade unions feel that due to widespread unemployment, people will be
available for jobs as and when required. Moreover they feel that human resource
planning increases their workload and regulates them through productivity bargaining.
6. Employers Resistance:
Employers may also resist human resource planning feeling that it increases the cost of
manpower.
7. Lack of Purpose:
Managers and human resource specialists do not fully understand human planning
process and lack a strong sense of purpose.