Course of Financial Analysis
Course of Financial Analysis
I am passionate about the stock market and spend more than 60 hours per week researching
stocks and have probably read over 500 investment books.
As a kid, I always wanted to become a teacher. It’s the reason why I love to teach people
about investing via this course and my Substack (https://qualitycompounding.substack.com/).
If you want to join more than 50.000 other members in our Compounding Quality Family,
you can start your journey here: My Quality Investment Philosophy.
This means that you can create a BIG advantage for yourself if you read 10-Ks.
Successful investing is hard work. The best way to outperform the market is by becoming a
learning machine.
What is a 10-K?
Every year, companies must publish their 10-K. It’s the most important document a company
publishes. The better you know how to read an annual report, the better you’ll be able
to understand the companies you invest in.
A 10-K is an official document that contains a lot of information about the company. The
SEC requires US listed companies to publish this report to inform (potential) investors about
their financial conditions. You’ll learn about the company’s history, it’s organizational
structure, financial statements, executive compensation and so on.
Structure of a 10-K
The beautiful thing about a 10-K is that they all have the same structure.
This means that the more 10-Ks you read, the faster and the better you’ll get at it.
1. Business: an overview of the company’s main operations including its products and
services. This section shows you how the company makes money
2. Risk factors: shows the major risks of the company. The risks are typically listed in
order of importance
3. Financial statements: specific financial information about the business
4. Management discussions and analysis (MD&A): Management's view on the
business results of the past fiscal year
We’ll now dig into each section using Visa as an example. You can find Visa’s 10-K on the
Investor Relations section of their website.
1. Business
It's a good place to start as it tells you how a company makes money.
It’s very important to always invest within your circle of competence. If you don’t
understand the business model, you can skip the company right away.
The business segment can usually be found at the beginning of the 10-K.
2. Risk factors
This section shows the risks a company faces, usually listed in order of importance.
Going through this section is very important. As Benjamin Graham once said:
“The essence of investment management is the management of risks, not the management of
returns."
When a company has a lot of goodwill on its balance sheet, generates a significant percentage
of its revenue from a few clients, has low margins, or is active in a highly competitive
market, it increases the risk for you as an investor.
3. Financial statements
As an investor you want to buy financially healthy companies with high margins and
plenty of reinvestment opportunities.
That’s why the Financial Statements are one of the most important sections of a 10-K.
• Balance Sheet: gives you an overview of a company's main assets and liabilities. You
want to invest in companies which don't have too much debt
• Income Statement: shows the company's revenues and expenses over a certain
period. You want to invest in profitable companies which can grow their revenue
organically at an attractive rate
• Cash Flow Statement: gives an overview about how much cash goes in and out a
company over a certain period. You want to invest in companies that are cash flow
positive
This section shows the view of management on the business results of the past fiscal year.
It’s always important to look at the qualitative factors behind the numbers. That’s why
it’s important that management can tell its story in its own words.
You want to invest in companies with an integer management with skin in the game.
Management should always give you a reliable view about the performance of the company.
Conclusion
• If you read the 10-K of a company you’ll learn a lot and create a BIG advantage over
other investors
• A 10-K is an official document that is published every year
• The 10-K can usually be found under the Investor Relations section of a company’s
website
• Every 10-K consists of 4 parts: business, risk factors, financial statements and
management discussions & analysis (MD&A)
Learn everything you need to know about a balance sheet this article.
1. Assets
2. Liabilities
3. Shareholders equity
In child language, a balance sheet shows you what a company owns and owes.
This is a fundamental difference compared to an income statement and cash flow statement as
these statements are measured OVER a period of time.
This also means that a management with bad intentions could try to fine tune their balance
sheet to look more healthy. That’s why I prefer to invest in companies with an integer
management and skin in the game.
Assets
The assets of a company show you everything the company owns.
• Current assets: assets that can be converted into cash within 1 year
o Examples of current assets: cash and cash equivalents, short-term
investments, accounts receivable and inventories
• Non-current assets: assets that are harder to convert into cash
o Examples of non-current assets: buildings, stores, goodwill (premium paid
to make an acquisition) and patents
A company’s assets are always ranked from most liquid to least liquid:
1. How much cash and cash equivalents does the company have (the more, the better)?
2. How much goodwill does the company have (the less, the better)?
3. Does the company have a lot of intangible assets?
Liabilities
The liabilities of a company show you how much the company owes.
It goes without saying that you don’t want to invest in companies which have too much
debt.
Just like a company’s assets, liabilities are also ranked from most liquid to least liquid:
• Does the company have more short-term than long-term liabilities (bad sign)?
• Does the company have more cash than short-term debt (good sign)?
• Are total liabilities increasing or decreasing? And why?
Shareholders equity
The shareholders equity shows you how much money the owners (shareholders) have
invested in the company.
You can calculate the shareholders equity of a company yourself very easily:
• Contributed capital: the amount shareholders have invested in the company to buy
their stake
• Retained earnings: profits a company has reserved to reinvest in the business
• Treasury stock: cash the company uses to buy back its own shares
Just like Terry Smith, I like to look at 2 ratios to determine the healthiness of a balance
sheet:
1. Interest coverage
2. Net debt / free cash flow
Interest coverage
This ratio shows you how easily a company can pay back the interests on its outstanding
debt.
The higher this ratio, the better. I prefer to invest in company’s with an interest coverage
of at least 10x.
This ratio shows you how many years it would take the company to pay down all its debt
when it would use all available free cash flow.
Net Debt / Free Cash Flow = (Net Debt / Free Cash Flow)
The lower this ratio, the better. Personally I prefer companies with a Net Debt / Free Cash
Flow lower than 4.
Conclusion
That’s it for this article. Here’s what you should remember:
As an investor, you want to buy profitable companies which make money for you while
you sleep.
Learn everything you need to know about Income Statements in this article.
The income statement provides you with a lot of insights as it tells you how much revenue is
translated into net income, the efficiency of management, and much more.
I will show you step by step how you can go from revenue to net income.
Revenue
For a company, it all starts with its revenue or sales.
Revenue is the money a company receives from selling its products and/or services.
Let’s say that a fictional company Drink Inc sells 2,179,050 drinks at a price of $2 per drink.
In this example, the company’s revenue is equal to $4,358,100 ($2 * 2,179,050 drinks).
When Drink Inc. would need $1.25684 to produce a drink, its COGS would be equal to
$2,738,714 million (2,179,050 million drinks * $1.25684 per drink).
Gross profit
After you know the revenue and COGS of a company, you can calculate the company’s gross
profit:
Gross margin
Now you know the gross profit, you can also calculate the gross margin:
A gross margin of 37.2% means that a company needs $0.628 to produce its products while it
can sell them for $1.
When a company has a very stable and high gross margin, it is often an indication that the
company has pricing power.
In our example Drink Inc. has $560,430 in selling and operating expenses and has $293,729
in general and administrative expenses. As a result, OPEX is equal to $854,159.
Operating income
Now you’ve taken a look at the operating expenses, you can calculate the operating income
or EBIT of a company.
The operating income shows you how much money a company earns from its normal
business activities.
• Other income
• Gain (loss) on financial instruments
• Gain (loss) on foreign currency
• Interest expenses
Drink Inc. gained $5,513 from financial instruments as well as $960 from the sale of a fixed
asset (other income). Drink Inc. also made a loss on foreign currency of $12,649 and has
interest expenses of $18,177. This mean non-operating expenses are equal to $24,353 ($5,513
+ $960 - $18,177 - $12,649).
All other costs have now already been taken into account .
Drink Inc. needs to pay 34,7754% in taxes (rounded). With an income before taxes of
$740,874, this is equal to $257,642.
Net income
The bottom line or net income of an income statement shows you how much money the
company has made after subtracting all costs and taxes.
You want this number to be positive as this means the company is making money.
Furthermore, the company should be able to grow its earnings at an attractive rate.
Profit margin
You can now also calculate the company’s profit margin:
Why? Because you want to invest in companies that manage to translate most sales into
earnings.
Looking at the earnings per share of a company is handy as it allows you to take a look
a the valuation by comparing the stock price with its earnings per share.
Let’s say that in our example Drink Inc. has a stock price of $90.
Learn more about valuation here: everything you need to know about valuation.
🔍 How to analyze a
Statement of Cash Flows
EBITDA is an opinion, cash flow is a fact.
The Cash Flow Statement is one of the most important statements in a 10-K.
In this article, I’ll teach you how to analyze a Statement of Cash Flows in a few minutes.
The purpose of this statement is to track how much cash is moving through a business.
You want to invest in companies that generate cash and manage their cash position very
well.
A balance sheet and income statement use ACCRUAL ACCOUNTING. This is a method
where revenue and expenses are recorded when an accounting transaction occurs.
A cash flow statement uses CASH ACCOUNTING. As a result, the cash flow statement
only records transactions when money effectively enters or exits the company.
Now you know the difference between accrual accounting and cash accounting, we’ll dig into
each section of the Cash Flow Statement.
In other words: it shows you all the cash a company earned from selling its normal
products and/or services.
When a beer company generates $2 per beer in operating cash flow and sold 2 million beers
in a certain year, its cash flow from operating activities would be equal to $4 million.
The cash flow from operating activities is comparable to net income, but it filters out a
few income and expense posts that didn’t cause actual cash to enter or exit the
company.
You can calculate the cash flow from operating activities as follows:
Cash Flow from operating activities = net income + non-cash charges +/- changes in
working capital
Non-cash charges
A non-cash charge is a write down or accounting expense that does not involve a cash
payment.
Working capital
Working capital is the money a company has available to meet its current, short-term
obligations.
Why? Because it means that a company doesn’t need much cash to fund its ongoing
business activities.
A few companies even have a negative working capital. This means that its clients are
funding the ongoing business activities of the company as the accounts payable are larger
than the accounts receivable + inventories.
Remember that from going to net income to operating cash flow, you only needed to take the
changes in working capital into account.
Net cash provided by operating activities = net income + non-cash charges +/- changes in
working capital
Why do you only need to take the changes in working capital into account? Because when a
company needed $5 million to fund its operations last year and it also needs $5 million to
fund its operations this year, there were no cash changes.
An example will make everything a lot more clear. Let’s use these numbers:
Net cash provided by operating activities = net income + non-cash charges +/- changes in
working capital
You can calculate the cash flow from investing activities as follows:
Cash flow from investing activities = Sale of marketable securities + divestments - CAPEX
- Mergers & Acquisitions - purchase of marketable securities
Cash flow from Investing Activities = Sale of marketable securities + divestments - CAPEX
- Mergers & Acquisitions - purchase of marketable securities +/- other
The free cash flow of a company is one of the most important financial metrics.
If you want to learn more about free cash flow, take a look at this article: What you need to
know about free cash flow.
This section gives you an insight about how the company is financing its business
activities.
You can calculate the cash flow from financing activities as follows:
Cash Flow from financing activities = Debt issuance + issuance of new stocks - dividends -
debt repayments - share buybacks
Now you know the formula to calculate the Cash Flow from Financing Activities, we can
calculate it for our example:
Cash Flow from financing activities = Debt issuance + issuance of new stocks - dividends -
debt repayments - share buybacks +/- other
Cash at the end of the year = Cash at the beginning of the year + CF from operating
activities + CF from investing activities + CF from financing activities
In our example:
Cash at the end of the year = cash at the beginning of the year + operating cash flow +
investing cash flow + investing cash flow
Cash at the end of the year = $10,746 + $53,666 - $33,774 - $16,379 = $14,259
It is a good sign when the cash at the end of the year is higher than the cash at the
beginning of the year.
Why? Because it means that there is a positive difference between the cash that has
entered the company and the cash that has left the company over a certain period.
Conclusion
That’s it for today. Here’s what you should remember:
• The cash flow statement shows how much cash goes in and out a company over a
certain period.
• It consists of 3 parts: Cash Flow from Operating Activities, Investing Activities
and Financing Activities
• Cash Flow from Operating Activities: cash that enters and leaves the company from
its normal business activities (selling its products and services)
• Cash Flow from Investing Activities: cash the company needs to (dis)invest to
maintain its normal business activities
• Cash Flow from Financing Activities: cash movements between a company and its
owners (shareholders) and its debtors (bondholders)
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o Examples: How to think about free cash flow, investment lessons from
Warren Buffett, …