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Data Set - Forcasting Techniques

The document presents regression statistics analyzing the relationship between advertising spending and sales. It includes the multiple R, R square, adjusted R square, standard error, observations, ANOVA table, coefficients, standard errors, t stats, p-values, and lower and upper confidence intervals.

Uploaded by

Ankit Chodhary
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
23 views

Data Set - Forcasting Techniques

The document presents regression statistics analyzing the relationship between advertising spending and sales. It includes the multiple R, R square, adjusted R square, standard error, observations, ANOVA table, coefficients, standard errors, t stats, p-values, and lower and upper confidence intervals.

Uploaded by

Ankit Chodhary
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 19

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9472120344 corelation coefficient
R Square 0.8972106382
Adjusted R Square 0.8956373316
Standard Error 1.6855103734
Observations 200

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 4860.323487098 1620.107829 570.270704 1.575227256E-96
Residual 196 556.8252629022 2.840945219
Total 199 5417.14875

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%


Intercept 2.9388893695 0.311908236322 9.42228844 1.26729E-17 2.323762279233 3.55401646
TV 0.0457646455 0.001394896807 32.80862443 1.50996E-81 0.043013711962 0.04851558
radio 0.1885300169 0.008611233967 21.89349606 1.50534E-54 0.171547447442 0.20551259
newspaper -0.001037493 0.005871009647 -0.176714587 0.85991505 -0.01261595318 0.01054097

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted sales Residuals


1 20.52397441 1.576025590285
2 12.337854821 -1.93785482089
3 12.30767078 -3.00767077999
4 17.597829512 0.902170488311
5 13.188671857 -0.28867185683
6 12.478347634 -5.27834763404
7 11.729759952 0.070240048436
8 12.122953166 1.077046834498
9 3.7273408629 1.072659137138
10 12.550848723 -1.95084872293
11 7.0322992006 1.567700799441
12 17.285129183 0.1148708174
13 10.577120734 -1.37712073363
14 8.82630048 0.873699519967
15 18.434366384 0.565633616439
16 20.819299516 1.580700483505
17 12.823656744 -0.3236567437
18 23.224957159 1.175042841201
19 9.9516820591 1.348317940881
20 14.166072932 0.433927067727
21 18.100767277 -0.10076727708
22 14.7405382 -2.24053820036
23 6.4891503036 -0.88915030356
24 16.545932895 -1.04593289513
25 8.1465188718 1.553481128177
26 15.610038605 -3.61003860457
27 14.989514288 0.010485711596
28 17.051673435 -1.15167343516
29 19.410538027 -0.51053802657
30 9.1440238932 1.355976106831
31 21.633933803 -0.2339338027
32 11.346092904 0.553907095689
33 7.6388831418 1.961116858173
34 18.864268293 -1.46426829286
35 7.5748305147 1.925169485288
36 17.006826182 -4.20682618185
37 23.405900517 1.99409948269
38 15.623477789 -0.9234777887
39 9.9086810345 0.191318965488
40 20.447610394 1.052389606253
41 16.377664671 0.222335328689
42 17.295983199 -0.19598319939
43 21.595803256 -0.89580325632
44 13.96385684 -1.06385683997
45 8.8878799564 -0.38787995645
46 15.161523139 -0.26152313852
47 8.8733867327 1.726613267318
48 21.722629895 1.477370104971
49 16.263620181 -1.46362018141
50 8.1681656044 1.531834395595
51 12.631211325 -1.23121132462
52 9.3398129606 1.360187039357
53 20.662975627 1.937024372986
54 19.94469957 1.255300430357
55 20.374430078 -0.17443007846
56 21.292610604 2.407389396251
57 8.5277125447 -3.02771254473
58 12.774588021 0.425411979191
59 21.898051983 1.901948017101
60 18.133486981 0.266513019296
61 5.7421555841 2.357844415949
62 22.89067208 1.309327920061
63 16.784260729 -1.08426072911
64 13.210692017 0.789307983049
65 16.977735564 1.022264436166
66 7.8490453195 1.450954680517
67 9.0160316328 0.483968367201
68 12.037007298 1.362992702323
69 18.976579242 -0.07657924235
70 21.108912436 1.191087563857
71 17.779497817 0.520502183418
72 10.626938153 1.773061847054
73 10.36684881 -1.56684881025
74 9.9029820556 1.097017944408
75 17.329311967 -0.32931196697
76 11.858321739 -3.15832173898
77 4.4775890406 2.422410959427
78 13.811902228 0.3880977722
79 8.8133135262 -3.51331352617
80 9.6753032833 1.324696716726
81 11.445923639 0.354076360879
82 14.647940926 -2.34794092576
83 10.178407992 1.12159200819
84 14.421842119 -0.82184211916
85 20.781364637 0.918635363166
86 15.18140789 0.018592110154
87 11.598707394 0.401292605723
88 15.593784748 0.406215252033
89 11.711271005 1.188728994733
90 16.922255107 -0.22225510677
91 9.9992296517 1.200770348277
92 4.4963159845 2.803684015541
93 19.156396162 0.243603837647
94 21.227573785 0.972426215238
95 10.482123854 1.017876145939
96 16.314921125 0.585078875006
97 12.635717162 -0.93571716171
98 15.337077823 0.16292217749
99 24.11860723 1.281392770247
100 16.94035021 0.259649790131
101 13.875958438 -2.17595843797
102 23.242486849 0.557513151416
103 17.644093846 -2.84409384583
104 14.762211416 -0.06221141606
105 20.301108784 0.398891215896
106 17.936414673 1.263585326743
107 6.1260221486 1.073977851417
108 7.1085024851 1.591497514883
109 3.5872584098 1.712741590195
110 19.692931062 0.107068937866
111 14.759874095 -1.35987409512
112 21.14027498 0.659725019665
113 13.880609853 0.219390146789
114 16.40377623 -0.50377622987
115 15.305095926 -0.70509592588
116 12.919688952 -0.31968895196
117 11.978747437 0.221252563106
118 6.5707773988 2.829222601242
119 15.566093479 0.333906521479
120 6.8200676671 -0.22006766714
121 14.410106047 1.089893952847
122 7.8380764218 -0.83807642181
123 13.626457101 -2.02645710061
124 15.082790897 0.117209103338
125 19.454413064 0.245586935821
126 9.127349583 1.472650416995
127 10.577174114 -3.97717411418
128 6.599668999 2.200331001008
129 22.255491615 2.44450838546
130 7.8841064915 1.815893508511
131 10.427687102 -8.82768710177
132 15.577798192 -2.87779819247
133 8.4491501161 -2.74915011607
134 19.266923071 0.3330769289
135 11.836803896 -1.03680389622
136 14.001413849 -2.40141384925
137 11.453486268 -1.95348626763
138 20.851251985 -0.0512519849
139 9.7684279549 -0.16842795485
140 19.675476319 1.024523681301
141 9.4896409732 1.410359026753
142 18.399029319 0.800970680937
143 19.249869268 0.850130732251
144 8.7648026199 1.635197380133
145 10.091334033 1.308665966694
146 9.7085387216 0.591461278386
147 15.294223677 -2.09422367733
148 23.260861031 2.139138968578
149 12.263359411 -1.36335941136
150 9.8272711011 0.27272889887
151 18.367205341 -2.26720534138
152 10.009537701 1.590462299493
153 16.360000304 0.239999695563
154 18.22390132 0.77609868008
155 15.501616959 0.098383040946
156 5.3075589017 -2.10755890174
157 15.384851915 -0.08485191502
158 10.0143112 0.085688800261
159 10.38419866 -3.08419866005
160 12.399148228 0.500851772039
161 14.21383298 0.186167019669
162 13.559145684 -0.25914568366
163 14.946782058 -0.04678205759
164 17.351636075 0.648363924507
165 11.068294603 0.8317053969
166 14.223721376 -2.32372137627
167 10.82439531 -2.82439530952
168 13.363246773 -1.16324677259
169 17.186142801 -0.08614280058
170 17.941556296 -2.94155629629
171 7.3949799665 1.005020033501
172 14.35827373 0.141726269751
173 7.6076923787 -0.00769237872
174 11.970938873 -0.27093887332
175 13.744357417 -2.24435741741
176 24.786870314 2.213129685816
177 19.979372703 0.220627297252
178 12.162046403 -0.46204640283
179 16.010997221 -4.21099722077
180 12.384554949 0.215445051492
181 10.5871997 -0.08719969951
182 13.928099183 -1.72809918346
183 6.5546699971 2.145330002875
184 24.133100129 2.066899870535
185 18.538520955 -0.93852095512
186 20.803010587 1.796989412806
187 9.6913731311 0.608626868914
188 17.076442228 0.223557771835
189 18.644306481 -2.74430648061
190 6.051624107 0.648375893008
191 12.489159101 -1.68915910064
192 8.4240193258 1.475980674196
193 4.4662295605 1.433770439485
194 18.486957967 1.113042032969
195 16.495300438 0.804699561834
196 5.3703424845 2.229657515533
197 8.1653123606 1.534687639387
198 12.785920817 0.014079183068
199 23.767321492 1.732678508237
200 15.173195536 -1.77319553568
regression eqn is y=a +b1x1 +b2x2 +b3x3
b1, b2 , b3 coefficient
x1, x2 are indedendent variables
alpha0.05

Y=2.93+0.04X1+0.18X2+-0.001X3

Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0% intercept


2.3237622792 3.554016
0.043013712 0.048516 less than alpha, so tv facrtor is significant
0.1715474474 0.205513 less than alpha, so radio facrtor is significant
-0.012615953 0.010541 more than alpha, so newspaper factor is not significant
TV radio newspaper sales
230.1 37.8 69.2 22.1 here tv , radio , newspaper are IDV/ fe
44.5 39.3 45.1 10.4 Sales are response/ DV
17.2 45.9 69.3 9.3
151.5 41.3 58.5 18.5 Distribution of features- Boxplot
180.8 10.8 58.4 12.9
8.7 48.9 75 7.2
57.5 32.8 23.5 11.8 This chart isn't available in your version of
Excel.
120.2 19.6 11.6 13.2
8.6 2.1 1 4.8 Editing this shape or saving this workbook
199.8 2.6 21.2 10.6 into a different file format will permanently
66.1 5.8 24.2 8.6 break the chart.
214.7 24 4 17.4
23.8 35.1 65.9 9.2
97.5 7.6 7.2 9.7
204.1 32.9 46 19
195.4 47.7 52.9 22.4
67.8 36.6 114 12.5
281.4 39.6 55.8 24.4
69.2 20.5 18.3 11.3 Normal dist, symmetrical
147.3 23.9 19.1 14.6
218.4 27.7 53.4 18
237.4 5.1 23.5 12.5
13.2 15.9 49.6 5.6
228.3 16.9 26.2 15.5
62.3 12.6 18.3 9.7
sales
262.9 3.5 19.5 12 30
142.9 29.3 12.6 15 25
240.1 16.7 22.9 15.9
248.8 27.1 22.9 18.9 20
70.6 16 40.8 10.5
SALES

15
292.9 28.3 43.2 21.4
112.9 17.4 38.6 11.9 10

97.2 1.5 30 9.6 5


265.6 20 0.3 17.4
0
95.7 1.4 7.4 9.5 0 50 100 150 200 250
290.7 4.1 8.5 12.8 TV
266.9 43.8 5 25.4
74.7 49.4 45.7 14.7
43.1 26.7 35.1 10.1 tv and sales are highly corelated
228 37.7 32 21.5
202.5 22.3 31.6 16.6
177 33.4 38.7 17.1 30
293.6 27.7 1.8 20.7 25
206.9 8.4 26.4 12.9 20
25.1 25.7 43.3 8.5 15
175.1 22.5 31.5 14.9 10
89.7 9.9 35.7 10.6 5
0
0 20
20
15
10
5
239.9 41.5 18.5 23.2 0
227.2 15.8 49.9 14.8 0 20

66.9 11.7 36.8 9.7


199.8 3.1 34.6 11.4 IT is like a cloud so relationship is very weak to n
100.4 9.6 3.6 10.7
216.4 41.7 39.6 22.6
182.6 46.2 58.7 21.2
262.7 28.8 15.9 20.2
198.9 49.4 60 23.7 TV
7.3 28.1 41.4 5.5 radio
136.2 19.2 16.6 13.2 newspaper
210.8 49.6 37.7 23.8 sales
210.7 29.5 9.3 18.4 from this metrics find corelation
53.5 2 21.4 8.1 here relation between tv and sales is 0
261.3 42.7 54.7 24.2 corelation bw radio and sales is 0.57
239.3 15.5 27.3 15.7 diagonal seems 1 as relation of tv with
102.7 29.6 8.4 14 corelation bw newspaper and sales is
131.1 42.8 28.9 18
69 9.3 0.9 9.3
31.5 24.6 2.2 9.5
139.3 14.5 10.2 13.4
237.4 27.5 11 18.9
216.8 43.9 27.2 22.3
199.1 30.6 38.7 18.3
109.8 14.3 31.7 12.4
26.8 33 19.3 8.8
129.4 5.7 31.3 11
213.4 24.6 13.1 17
16.9 43.7 89.4 8.7
27.5 1.6 20.7 6.9
120.5 28.5 14.2 14.2
5.4 29.9 9.4 5.3
116 7.7 23.1 11
76.4 26.7 22.3 11.8
239.8 4.1 36.9 12.3
75.3 20.3 32.5 11.3
68.4 44.5 35.6 13.6
213.5 43 33.8 21.7
193.2 18.4 65.7 15.2
76.3 27.5 16 12
110.7 40.6 63.2 16
88.3 25.5 73.4 12.9
109.8 47.8 51.4 16.7
134.3 4.9 9.3 11.2
28.6 1.5 33 7.3
217.7 33.5 59 19.4
250.9 36.5 72.3 22.2
107.4 14 10.9 11.5
163.3 31.6 52.9 16.9
197.6 3.5 5.9 11.7
184.9 21 22 15.5
289.7 42.3 51.2 25.4
135.2 41.7 45.9 17.2
222.4 4.3 49.8 11.7
296.4 36.3 100.9 23.8
280.2 10.1 21.4 14.8
187.9 17.2 17.9 14.7
238.2 34.3 5.3 20.7
137.9 46.4 59 19.2
25 11 29.7 7.2
90.4 0.3 23.2 8.7
13.1 0.4 25.6 5.3
255.4 26.9 5.5 19.8
225.8 8.2 56.5 13.4
241.7 38 23.2 21.8
175.7 15.4 2.4 14.1
209.6 20.6 10.7 15.9
78.2 46.8 34.5 14.6
75.1 35 52.7 12.6
139.2 14.3 25.6 12.2
76.4 0.8 14.8 9.4
125.7 36.9 79.2 15.9
19.4 16 22.3 6.6
141.3 26.8 46.2 15.5
18.8 21.7 50.4 7
224 2.4 15.6 11.6
123.1 34.6 12.4 15.2
229.5 32.3 74.2 19.7
87.2 11.8 25.9 10.6
7.8 38.9 50.6 6.6
80.2 0 9.2 8.8
220.3 49 3.2 24.7
59.6 12 43.1 9.7
0.7 39.6 8.7 1.6
265.2 2.9 43 12.7
8.4 27.2 2.1 5.7
219.8 33.5 45.1 19.6
36.9 38.6 65.6 10.8
48.3 47 8.5 11.6
25.6 39 9.3 9.5
273.7 28.9 59.7 20.8
43 25.9 20.5 9.6
184.9 43.9 1.7 20.7
73.4 17 12.9 10.9
193.7 35.4 75.6 19.2
220.5 33.2 37.9 20.1
104.6 5.7 34.4 10.4
96.2 14.8 38.9 11.4
140.3 1.9 9 10.3
240.1 7.3 8.7 13.2
243.2 49 44.3 25.4
38 40.3 11.9 10.9
44.7 25.8 20.6 10.1
280.7 13.9 37 16.1
121 8.4 48.7 11.6
197.6 23.3 14.2 16.6
171.3 39.7 37.7 19
187.8 21.1 9.5 15.6
4.1 11.6 5.7 3.2
93.9 43.5 50.5 15.3
149.8 1.3 24.3 10.1
11.7 36.9 45.2 7.3
131.7 18.4 34.6 12.9
172.5 18.1 30.7 14.4
85.7 35.8 49.3 13.3
188.4 18.1 25.6 14.9
163.5 36.8 7.4 18
117.2 14.7 5.4 11.9
234.5 3.4 84.8 11.9
17.9 37.6 21.6 8
206.8 5.2 19.4 12.2
215.4 23.6 57.6 17.1
284.3 10.6 6.4 15
50 11.6 18.4 8.4
164.5 20.9 47.4 14.5
19.6 20.1 17 7.6
168.4 7.1 12.8 11.7
222.4 3.4 13.1 11.5
276.9 48.9 41.8 27
248.4 30.2 20.3 20.2
170.2 7.8 35.2 11.7
276.7 2.3 23.7 11.8
165.6 10 17.6 12.6
156.6 2.6 8.3 10.5
218.5 5.4 27.4 12.2
56.2 5.7 29.7 8.7
287.6 43 71.8 26.2
253.8 21.3 30 17.6
205 45.1 19.6 22.6
139.5 2.1 26.6 10.3
191.1 28.7 18.2 17.3
286 13.9 3.7 15.9
18.7 12.1 23.4 6.7
39.5 41.1 5.8 10.8
75.5 10.8 6 9.9
17.2 4.1 31.6 5.9
166.8 42 3.6 19.6
149.7 35.6 6 17.3
38.2 3.7 13.8 7.6
94.2 4.9 8.1 9.7
177 9.3 6.4 12.8
283.6 42 66.2 25.5
232.1 8.6 8.7 13.4
dio , newspaper are IDV/ features
esponse/ DV

ibution of features- Boxplot

This chart isn't available in your version of Excel.


version of This chart isn't available in your version of
Excel. Editing this shape or saving this workbook into a
different file format will permanently break the chart.
workbook Editing this shape or saving this workbook
ermanently into a different file format will permanently
break the chart.

symmetrical newspaper is rightly skewed as it has long tail towards rig


positivelyskewness

sales
sales
30

25

20
SALES

15

10

0
0 10 20 30 40 50
150 200 250 300 350
RADIO
TV

weak relation between radio and sales

sales
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
20
15
10
5
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120

ationship is very weak to no relationship between newspaper and sales

TV radio newspaper sales


1
0.05480866446583 1
0.056647874965057 0.354103750761175 1
0.782224424861606 0.576222574571055 0.228299 1
metrics find corelation
on between tv and sales is 0.78 , if we see horizontally so we see vertically strong positive corelation
bw radio and sales is 0.57 moderate positive corelation
eems 1 as relation of tv with tv is 1
bw newspaper and sales is 0.22 weak positive corelation
sion of Excel.

kbook into a
y break the chart.

has long tail towards right

40 50 60
sitive corelation
positive corelation

tive corelation
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8567538835855 this is corelation coefficient, it shows strong positive corelation
R Square 0.7340272170388 this shows score 73% variance of score is explained by independent vari
Adjusted R Square 0.7027363013963
Standard Error 5.36570326077178
Observations 20

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 1350.757 675.3784 23.45816 1.292E-05
Residual 17 489.4431 28.79077
Total 19 1840.2

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


Intercept 67.6735255413327 2.815802 24.03348 1.458E-14 61.7327 73.61435 61.7327
hours 5.55574829525063 0.899192 6.178603 1.011E-05 3.65862 7.452877 3.65862
prep exams -0.6016868046417 0.914385 -0.658023 0.519335 -2.530871 1.327497 -2.530871

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted score Residuals


1 72.6275870319416 3.372413
2 76.9799617179089 1.020038
3 76.9799617179089 8.020038
4 86.8880846991267 1.111915
5 77.5816485225506 -5.581649
6 72.0259002272999 -3.0259
7 94.8505802129441 -0.85058
8 89.2948319176935 4.705168
9 78.785022131834 9.214978
10 88.0914583084101 3.908542
11 87.4897715037684 2.510228
12 82.5357100131595 -7.53571
13 99.8046417035531 -3.804642
14 93.045519799019 -3.04552
15 81.9340232085178 0.065977
16 87.4897715037684 -2.489772
17 97.9995812896279 1.000419
18 78.1833353271923 4.816665
19 73.2292738365833 -11.22927
20 78.1833353271923 -2.183335
regression eqn
67.67+5.55hours-0.60prep exam
ng positive corelation
explained by independent variable

Upper 95.0%
73.61435
7.452877
1.327497
hours prep exams score
1 1 76
2 3 78
2 3 85
4 5 88
2 2 72
1 2 69
5 1 94
4 1 94
2 0 88
4 3 92
4 4 90
3 3 75
6 2 96
5 4 90
3 4 82
4 4 85
6 5 99
2 1 83
1 0 62
2 1 76

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