63e3d96ecd160 Ebook
63e3d96ecd160 Ebook
Ranging
BOS vs CHoCH
HH
In this example here we can see that there's series of HH's and HL's
being printed this tells us we are in an uptrend now if you pay
HH attention every time a high is broken it price prints a HH then pulls
back printing a HL then continues to break the high. We label each
time it breaks these points as BOS this is to tell us that price is still
LH continuing its move up and buyers are still in power
LH
HH HL
HH
As you can see price was in an uptrend , then the low failed to hold
and price then printed a LL that's our first sign that sellers are
coming into power when price broke through the last low that's an
indication that there can be a shift in the trend, so you identify that
HH
break as a CHoCH. Once you have anticipated the CHoCH and price
printed a LL you can expect price to pull back and now form a LH
LH and then sell off forming more LL's.
LL
LH
MARKET STRUCTURE
LESSON 2 | - ORDER BLOCKS
All of these terms refer to the same idea, although traders use different
words to describe it. To put it simply, market inefficiency occurs when
the wicks are separated by a distance or a gap and they don't meet .
An efficient market, on the other hand, is one in which the wicks do not
have a gap between them and actually meet.
If you take a look at the this example here , notice
Inefficient / imbalance
wicks dont meet how there is a gap between the wicks on the 1st
candle and the 3rd , the wicks don't meet ,
therefore this is identified as an imbalance or
inefficient price action.
When there is inefficiency in a price range, it means that the move was caused by large orders placed. For
example, if the price made an impulse move to the upside and left behind an imbalance, it means that a lot of
buyers have come into power, causing inefficiency, and vice versa.
WE NOW KNOW THAT THE WICKS WILL MEET IN AN EFFICIENT SCENARIO. BUT WHAT DOES THIS TELL US?
It shows us that price is giving both buyers and sellers a fair chance at accessing liquidity, so
when the wicks meet in a bullish example, it provides buyers access to get in and profit on the move up.
when an inefficient scenario occurs, we can now expect price to eventually pull back to fill in the gap it
created, giving us a fair opportunity to liquidate the market.
If we find a region of imbalance, we can expect price to pullback to that point to fill in the gap it had left
behind, giving us an opportunity to enter a trade to continue the move in the direction it was intended to
move towards. Keep in mind that this does not always mean every single imbalance you find gets filled .
1. price was in a downtrend and then it broke
above the previous high creating a higher high.
Liquidity is just an area where there is stop losses and pending orders waiting,
essentially we are all liquidity in the markets, however that does not mean every single
order must be targeted and taken out by the market makers as some areas are simply
not liquidated enough for it to be worth the grab for the institutions.
Popular areas where retail trader tend to set their stops and pending orders are at levels:
support / resistance
double tops / double bottoms
trendlines
Therefore these popular areas where retail traders tend to execute their trades will have
a lot of stop losses making it a nice level of liquidity for market movers to target.
DOUBLE TOP BULLISH TREND SUPPORT LEVEL
STOP LOSS
ENTRY
ENTRY
STOP LOSS
ENTRY
STOP LOSS
This is a double top , retail This is a bullish trend line , This is a support level ,
traders would identify a high retail traders would identify a retail traders would identify
and enter a sell if price tests channel/trend that price a level that price tests
that high again and they set continues to retest and would multiple times and would
there stops above it. execute a buy position if price execute a buy position if
tests the trendline again, price tests that area again
setting there stops below. and they set there stop losses
below that level.
TRENDLINE LIQUIDITY
Supply and demand zones are defined when an imbalance in the buyers and sellers occurs. Think of supply as a product such as cherries.
We can also think of demand as people who like buying cherries. Assume that this was an excellent year for cherry growers. They've
produced a large number of cherries and there is a greater supply of cherries than there is a demand for them.
Farmers would have to lower the price of cherries and put them on sale, buyers will consider buying more since its a good price. The price
will keep dropping until all of the cherries have been sold. That would be the equilibrium point, or the point at which there are enough
buyers to meet the market's supply of cherries.
Farmers clean their inventory as the cherry season draws to a close, and a lower supply of cherries is now available on the market.
Cherry demand has has lowered and with the same amount of shoppers buying them as before. Because there are fewer cherries to sell, the
price will increase. It will rise to the point where the buyer wanting to pay a greater price will be able to purchase a cherry That level is the
equilibrium level in these market conditions. The price of that commodity will remain within a restricted price range as long as there is
demand of buyers.
When one side's volume surpasses the other's — for example, if there is more supply than demand — an imbalance occurs, causing prices to
fluctuate until the two sides are in balance again. On the price charts, this imbalance can be seen as a large shift away from the current
price level.
In the financial markets, the asset is the product and the value is the demand. If the price is cheap, it means there is more supply
than there are willing buyers. If the product is expensive, that means there is more demand (buyers) for less supply.
By understanding the supply and demand concept, it will be very simple to spot S&D zones on charts. Although this would be a
hindsight observation, it will give us a good hint of where to look for our trades in the future. It is critical to recognize that the
supply and demand trading is based on analyzing and finding these zones in the past then these zones will help us predict how
the price will behave in the future.
Let's return to the topic of cherries and buyers. If you could buy cherries for $1 and we only have five packs to sell, but buyers
are requesting ten packs. As a result, five packs were sold for $1 each, and no buyers were located for the remaining five orders.
Keep these five unfulfilled orders in mind for later.
Obviously, the price would rise to $1.50 per pack of cherries in order to attract additional growers and increase supply. Later,
when supply outnumbers the buyer's willingness to pay for the pricey cherries , the price lowers back to $1. Now the five orders
that were unfulfilled at $1 per pack are still assumed to be there waiting.
Their request will now be filled immediately, as they are first in line for cherries at the rate of $1.
Something similar happens in the trading market.
When the price changes, we can assume a high likelihood of unfilled orders. These orders are waiting and they will be the first to
be executed once the price returns for the first time to the demand level of $1.
There are #2 TYPES OF SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES.
CONTINUATION ZONE
is formed when there is a rally then a base then another rally (RBR) and in a
bearish example a drop then a base then another drop (DBD)
REVERSAL ZONE
is formed when there is a rally then a base then an impulsive drop (RBD) and in
a bullish example we have a drop then a base then an impulsive rally (DBR) .
CONTINUATION ZONE
These type of zones form, when price moves in one direction ,
consolidtaes and then continues moving in that same direction .
DROP
RALLY
BASE
BASE
DROP
RALLY
CONTINUATION ZONE
RALLY
BASE
DEMAND ZONE
RALLY
CONTINUATION ZONE
DROP
DROP
REVERSAL ZONES
Are formed when price reverses direction and sets of a new swing
RALLY
RALLY
DROP BASE
REVERSAL ZONES
BASE
DROP
RALLY
REVERSAL ZONES
RALLY
DROP
BASE
THE SECRET | INDECISION CANDLE
High of wick
open
close
Low of wick
INDECISION CANDLE
stop loss
entry
LESSON 6 | - CORRECTLY LOCATING YOUR ZONES
YOU MUST LEARN WHAT EQUILIBRIUM , DISCOUNT & PREMIUM PRICING IS.
Equilibrium is the midpoint of a price range or you can say the midpoint of a swing, it is the
level at which an asset is neither expensive or cheap. Therefore when price is a level of
equilibrium it wouldn't be of interest to execute an order of this level.
When executing we want to be buying in at a cheaper rate which is below the equilibrium,
this is what we would call our discount pricing , and we would want to be selling at a more
expensive area which is above the equilibrium that area is what we would call premium pricing.
SWING HIGH PREMIUM
These levels can easily be identified using our
fibonacci tool .The levels we are interested in
are 70 | 80 percent.
EQUILIBRIUM 50%
WHICH ZONE?
As you can see the one at the 50% did not hold , price
pulled back into a deeper level which was the 70%
discounted level , then it reversed at that level.
WHICH ZONE?
Price pulled back very nicely into this premium level of supply which
alligned nicely with our 70% and 80% FIB level and completely broke
through supply at the 50% level.
LESSON 7 | - THE MARKET CYCLE
CONTRACTION
REVERSAL EXPANSION
RETRACEMENT
ELEMENTS TO THE MARKET CYCLE
EXPANSION
3) Price has now retraced back after expanding out and taking out a low,
filling in the imbalances that it had left behind
.
4) The supply that was created prior to the expansion has also been
mitigated after the imbalances has been filled in.
HTF 8 HR
CONTRACTION ZONE
RETRACEMENT
EXPANSION
5. Now, following the retracement, price has reversed, and the target is the liquidity
below or the previous supply and demand zone.
6. Here we identified some Equal Lows (double bottoms) which is liquidity. Remember what
the task was for the reversal cycle 'to seek out any LIQUIDITY', as you can see those EQLs were
mitigated.
REVERSAL
EXPANSION
CONTRACTION
RETRACEMENT
EXPANSION REVERSAL
SMART-MONEY TRADER
www.smartmoneytrader.co