Statisztikai Alapismeretek - Bugya Titusz 2003
Statisztikai Alapismeretek - Bugya Titusz 2003
1
10000000
±
±
±
±
±
±
±
aa = Ap − Ak
aa
Ap
Ak
aa
ar =
Ak
ar
aa
Ak
Ap
aa
a!a
Ak − a!a ≤ Ap ≤ Ak + a!a
Ak
a!a
Ap
a!a
a!r =
Ak
a!r
a!a
Ak
Ak (1 − a!r ) ≤ Ap ≤ AK (1 + a!r )
1000
= 0, 0014 = 0, 14%
713000
357000 − 356000 = 1000
1000
1000 = 1 = 100%
2000kg ± 1000kg
1000
= 0, 5 = 50%.
2000
3
A = 104
B = 2m3
A = 10000 ± 500
B = 2 ± 0, 5 3
3 3
·
(A ± ∆A)(B ± ∆B)
(10000 ± 500)(2 ± 0, 5)
(9500)(1, 5) = 14250.
(10500)(2, 5) = 26250.
3
500
Ar = = 0, 05 = 5%
10000
0, 5
Br = = 0, 25 = 25%
2
Bk (Ap − Ak ) − Ak (Bp − Bk )
Bk
Ak Bk Bp
Ak A
Ap A
Bk B
Bp B
A B
Bk Bp Bk = Bp
m
M M
M
5/13 5/13
103
f1
M o = mo + h
f1 + f2
Mo
mo
f1
f2
22
Mo = 61 + 20 = 73, 2
22 + 14
1
73
0
Q1
Q2 Q3
2
0
0, 00; 2, 00
km/h l/100km
n
n
1985 = 100%
vm = .
2
P
x
a1 + a2 + · · · + ax
xA =
n
a
n
√
xG = n
a 1 a 2 . . . an
a
n
n
xH = 1
a1 + 1
a2 + ··· + 1
an
a
n
!
a21 + a22 + · · · + a2n
xQ =
n
a
n
a1 x1 + a2 x2 + · · · + an xn
xs =
A
xs
a 1 , a 2 . . . an
x1 , x2 . . . xn "n
A A= 1 ai
(10 · 254) + (10 · 501) + (10 · 859) + (10 · 1105) + (5 · 671)
As =
45
As = 678, 8
A
n
xa +xf ya +yf na +nf
+ + ···+
x= 2 2 2
N
a
f
N
100(xi − x)
∆r =
x
xi
x
"n
1 (|xi | − x)
da =
n
xi
x
n
3+2+2+1+8
= 3, 2
5
"n
∆r
dr = 1
n
∆r
n
σ
#
$ n
$1 &
σ=% (xi − x)2
n i=1
n
xi x
x
!
(1 − 4)2 + (2 − 4)2 + (2 − 4)2 + (3 − 4)2 + (12 − 4)2
= 4, 05
5
#
$ n
$ 1 &
σ∗ = % (xi − x)2
n − 1 i=1
!
(1 − 4)2 + (2 − 4)2 + (2 − 4)2 + (3 − 4)2 + (12 − 4)2
= 4, 53
4
σr σx100
4, 05
100 = 101, 25%
4
n−1
G
"n "n
j=1 i=1 |xi − xj |
G=
n2
P
92
= 3, 68
52
G
n2 − n
2 · 46
G= = 4, 6
52 − 5
1/6
A B C
A B
0
A+B
B
A
A B
A−B
A B
0
0
AB
A/B
0
+1
0 +1
0% 100% p P
0
0
1
1
A A!
(P )A! = 1 − P (A)
1 − 0, 2 = 0, 8
A1 A2 An
A B
0, 4 + 0, 65 − 0, 26 = 0, 74
A
B
A B
A B
P (AB) = 0, 4 · 0, 65 = 0, 26
B A
A B
0 1 0% 100%
0, 1−−+1
−8, 9 −8, 0
−7, 9 −7, 0
−6, 9 −6, 0
−5, 9 −5, 0
−4, 9 −4, 0
−3, 9 −3, 0
−2, 9 −2, 0
−1, 9 −1, 0
−0, 9
0, 1 − −1, 0
n k
n!
P (k, n) = pk (1 − p)n−k
k!(n − k)!
n
p
k n
p n k
5!
P (3, 5) = 0, 493 (1 − 0, 49)5−3 .
3!(5 − 3)!
P (3, 5) = 0, 306
n k
(np)k e−np
P (k, np) =
k!
n
p
k n
e
e
n=5
p = 0, 01
k=3
e = 2, 72
Mx = −0, 36
σ = 2, 73
−0, 36 1, 1
1, 46/2, 73 = 0, 53
δ
1 − 0, 7 = 0, 3.
x
n k
k=2 k=3
n = 100
n k
k
n k
−40%
x − Mo
Ap =
σ
x
Mo
2na
Ak = 1 −
n
na
n
−1 +1
0
(Kf − M e) − (M e − Ka ) Kf + Ka − 2M e
Af = =
(Kf − M e) + (M e − Ka ) Kf − Ka
Kf
Ka
Me
−1 +1
−1 +1
−1 +1
"
(xi − x) · (yi − y)
r = '" "
(xi − x)2 · (yi − y)2
r
xi
x
yi
y
'" '"
(x − x)2 (y − y)2
+1 −1
+1
−1
0
r=0
r %= ±1
r=0
+1 −1
r 0
r
−1
−640, 52
r= √ .
1610, 25 · 1172, 25
r = −0, 47
x = 60, 25 y = 58, 25 = −640, 52 = 1610, 25 = 1172, 25
P P P
x
y
x−x
y−y
(x − x) · (y − y)
(x − x)2
(y − y)2
u
v
u−v
re =
u+v
re −1 +1
"n 2
6 i=1 di
rs = 1 −
n3 − n
n
di
n
6 · 228
rs = 1 −
193 − 19
rs = 0, 8
r = 0, 8
n
di
di 2
r = 0, 8
szf = (n1 − 1) + (n2 − 1)
r
24 − 2
r
f = 17
K 0 1
G
K=
2x
10592, 63
K2001 =
14443, 6
K2001 = 0, 73
5591, 85
K2001 =
8442, 4
K2001 = 0, 66
2
Sk − Sz
n−1
Sk
Sz
n
x y
y = ax + b
y x x
a, b
& &
y = na + ib
& & &
iy = ia + i2 b
y
i i
a
b
n
y
a b
y = ax + b y
x
y i i2 iy i2 y i3 i4 log y i log y
P
y i
a b
a b
a = 200, 425
b = −25, 85.
y = 200, 425x − 25, 85.
y1920 y1960
y1930 y1970
y1940 y1980
y1950 y1990
x
y
x y x
a b
σy
a=r
σx
b = y−x·a
a b
r σy , σx y x
'
σR = σy 1 − r2
a
−0, 47 x y
(x − x)2 (y − y)2
σx = 11, 58 σy = 9, 88
a
9, 88
a = −0, 47 · .
11, 58
a = −0, 4
b
a x = 60, 25 y = 58, 25 a = −0, 4
b = 82, 35
y = −0, 4x + 82, 35
x
y
x1 = 40
y1 = −0, 4 · 40 + 82, 35
y1 = 66, 35
x2 = 55
y2 = −0, 4 · 55 + 82, 35
y2 = 60, 35
x3 = 70
y3 = −0, 4 · 70 + 82, 35
y3 = 54, 35
'
σR = 9, 88 1 − (−0, 4)2
σR = 6, 97
x y
y y
x
σR
x y
x
y
x
y
a b
y = a · bx
y = a · bx
log y = Y
log b = B
log a = A
Y = A + Bx
& &
log y = n log a + i log b
y
i i
a
b
n
log2 8 = 3 23 = 8
14, 26 = 8 log a + 36 log b
57, 31 = 36 log a + 204 log b
log a log b
a b
log a = 2, 5175
y1920 y1960
y1930 y1970
y1940 y1980
y1950 y1990
log a log b
a
b
y = 329, 23 · 06865x
y = a + bx + x2 c.
a b c
a = 246, 38
b = −53, 41
c = 3, 06
y1920 y1960
y1930 y1970
y1940 y1980
y1950 y1990
y − lin y − exp y − par (y − lin)2 (y − exp)2 (y − par)2
y − lin
y − exp
y − par
(y − lin)2
(y − exp)2
(y−par)2
xi
yi
x − xi
y − yi
xi +xi+12 +xi+24 +xi+36
4
yi +yi+12 +yi+24 +yi+36
4
χ2
t
z√
t! = n.
S
z
"
(yi − xi )
z=
n
yi
xi
n
S
!"
(z − zi )2
S=
n−1
zi i yi − xi
n
szf = n − 1.
szf
x = 5, 0 σ = 1, 53
x = 5, 53
σ = 1, 25
12
z= = 0, 5
24
S
!
16 '
S= = 0, 7 = 0, 837.
23
z S
0, 5 √
t! = 24 = 2, 939
0, 837
szf = 24 − 1 = 23
x y yi − x i (z − zi )2
−1
−1
x
y
szf = 23 t!
σx 2
F =
σy 2
σx 2
σy 2
szfx = nx − 1
szfy = ny − 1
σ1 2 ) = 0, 4
σ2 2 ) = 0, 31
σ3 2 ) = 0, 28
n
σ1 2 0, 4
F = = = 1, 2903
σ2 2 0, 31
szf = n − 1 = 15 − 1 = 14.
szf1;2
σ1 2 0, 4
F = = = 1, 4286
σ3 2 0, 28
szf
szf1;3
x−y
t= (
S n11 + 1
n2
x
y
S
n1
n2
S
)
(n1 − 1)σ1 2 + (n2 − 1)σ2 2
S=
n1 + n2 − 2
σ1
σ2
n1
n2
szf = n1 + n2 − 2
n1
n2
pk
t
|t| ! pk
|t| > pk
t
x = 11, 49 σ = 0, 63 σ 2 = 0, 4 n = 15
x = 11, 43 σ = 0, 55 σ 2 = 0, 31 n = 15
x σ = 0, 53 σ 2 = 0, 28 n = 15
)
(15 − 1)0, 632 + (15 − 1)0, 552
S=
15 + 15 − 2
S = 0, 59.
S
11, 49 − 11, 43
t= (
0, 59 151
+ 151
t = 0, 28.
)
(15 − 1)0, 632 + (15 − 1)0, 532
S=
15 + 15 − 2
S = 0, 58.
S
11, 49 − 10, 87
t= (
0, 58 151
+ 151
t = 2, 92,
t
szf = 15 + 15 − 2 = 28.
t
szf = 28 t = 0, 28
t = 2, 92
χ2
χ2
& (xi − yi )2
χ2 =
y
xi
yi
t = 0, 28 t = 2, 92
χ2
χ2
szf = (s − 1)(o − 1)
s
o
χ2
χ2
χ2
szf = (2 − 1)(5 − 1) = 4
χ2
x y x y
χ2
2
χ
χ2
χ2
x i − yi (xi − yi )2
a−b
tf = (
Sn 2 Sm 2
n + m
a a
b b
n a
m b
Sn 2 a
Sm 2 b
(n − 1)(m − 1)
szf =
(n − 1)c2 + (m − 1)(1 − c)
c
Sm 2
c= Sn 2
m
Sm 2
n + m
x y
y
x
x
y
x y
x y
x y
x y
x y
x y
x y
x
y
x y
y x
x
x
y
α
y
y
x
−4
−4
x
y
2
2
100 × 100 = 10000
log10 20 = 1, 3010
log10 30 = 1, 4771