Slide of Chapter 5 - Englishver - Interest Rate - Part 1
Slide of Chapter 5 - Englishver - Interest Rate - Part 1
Ò Interest rate is the price of using a unit of loan Ò Why should firms/investors/households/
(usually money) over a given period of time. government be concerned with changes in
interest rate?
Ò the proportion of an amount loaned which a
Ò à a trade-off between present and future
lender charges as interest to the borrower,
consumption.
normally expressed as an annual percentage. It
Ò à spending, saving, financial & physical
is the rate a lender charges to borrow its
capital allocation
money, or the rate a bank pays its savers for
Ò à geometry of the economy, distribution of
keeping money in an account.
labor & resources.
2. CLASSIFICATION 2. CLASSIFICATION
§ Rate for loan (borrowing rate) for the nominal value of the currency, not
including the inflation rate. Often published
§ Discount rate
officially in credit contracts or on debt
§ Interbank interest rate
instruments.
§ Basic interest rate
Ò Real interest rate: the interest rate adjusted by
change in expected inflation rate.
EX (FISHER EQUATION) EX (FISHER)
Ò Suppose nominal interest is 15.5%; expected Ò Suppose Sam owns an investment portfolio.
inflation rate is 5%. Please caculate real Last year, the portfolio earned a return of
interest? 3.25%. However, last year’s inflation rate was
A. 10.5% around 2%. Sam wants to determine the real
B. 20.5%
return he earned from his portfolio.
C. 10.0%
2. CLASSIFICATION
IMPLICATIONS FROM FISHER EQUATION
2.2. Based on the value of interest : (cont.)
Ò The relationship between nominal and real interest rate Ò When real interest rate is low, borrower will
is expressed by Fisher equation: (approximate version) have more incentive to borrow and lender will
i = ir + πe have less incentive to lend
Where, i: nominal interest rate Ò When inflation is expected to increase, the
ir : real interest rate nominal interest rate is needed to increase in
πe : expected inflation rate(*) order to ensure a positive real interest rates
3.1. Instruments of credit market: 3.1.2. Fixed repayment loan: is the loan method
3.1.1. Simple loan: A loan as a borrower will pay by which the borrower repays the loan by paying
the lender the principal and an interest as the the fixed amount after a fixed period of time
cost of using the loan at maturity.. throughout the loan period.
Example: borrow 100mil for 1 year, 10%/yr Example: you borrow the bank 1bil to buy
borrowing rate. After 1 year, you have to pay house for 15 years and each year you have to
110mil (100mil as the principle and 10mil as repay the bank 150mil (including part of
interest) principle and interest)
A 1 BILLION VND FIXED PAYMENT LOAN WITH PMT = A 1 BILLION VND FIXED PAYMENT LOAN WITH PMT =
263.8M IN 5Y 117.46M IN 20Y
3.1. INSTRUMENTS OF CREDIT MARKET 3.1. INSTRUMENTS OF CREDIT MARKET
3.1.3. Coupon bond: Bond that pay interest as a 3.1.4. Discound bond (zero cpupon bond): a bond
coupon periodically until the maturity. At is sold at a price lower than the face value. At
maturity, the bondholder will receive the face maturity, the bondholder will receive the face
value of the bond value. This kind of bond does not pay coupon.
Example: A 5 year bond has a face value of Example: Treasury bond has a face value of
50m, 10%/yr coupon rate, paid annually. The 10mil, sold at a price of 9mil, 1 year maturity.
bond price is 50m VND
Which would you prefer -- $10,000 today Why is TIME such an important element
or $10,000 in 5 years? in your decision?
Ò Assume that you deposit $1,000 in an Ò What is the Future Value (FV) of the deposit?
account earning 7% simple interest for 2
years. What is the accumulated interest at FV = P0 + SI
the end of the 2nd year? = $1,000 + $140
= $1,140
Ò SI = P0(i)(n)
= $1,000(.07)(2) Ò Future Value is the value at some future time of
= $140 a present amount of money, or a series of
payments, evaluated at a given interest rate.
Ò When Albert Einstein was once Simple interest is interest on the principle
asked what mankind's greatest
invention was, he replied: amount.
"Compound interest." There's
even one claim that Einstein
called compound interest the "8th Compound interest is when your principle and
Wonder of the World.” any earned interest both earn interest.
FUTURE VALUE
SINGLE DEPOSIT (GRAPHIC)
$1,000
FV2
nt
⎛ r⎞
A = p ⎜1 + ⎟
⎝ n⎠
A—Total amount
p —principle
r —interest rate
n —number of compounding periods
t —time in years
177.16
72 / 12% = 6 Years
[Actual Time is 6.12 Years]
EX 4 EX 5
Ò Ms. Anh wants to buy an Emerald apartment
in Thu Duc City. Real estate staff advises Ò You won the lottery and you have two
Ms.Anh with 2 payment options as follows: options to receive the monetary reward
Ò (1) Upon purchase, pay immediately 600m Ò (a) receive 1.5 billion VND immediately
VND, then 240m VND each year in 2 years Ò (b) Receive 150 million per year for 20
later. years.
Ò (2) Pay upon purchase 1 billion VND.
Ò Suppose the interest rate is 8%
Ò Knowing that interest rate is 14%, all else
(average expected return rate)
constant . Which option should you
recommend for Ms. Anh?. à Which option should you go with?
0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3
Cash flows occur at the end of the period Cash flows occur at the end of the period
0 1 2 n 0 1 2 3 4
i% . . . 7%
$1,145
$1,225
(1+ i)n − 1
FVA = PMT PMT PMT PMT
i
PMT = Periodic
Ò Annuity due Cash Flow
PVAn
(1+ i)n − 1 PVAn = PMT/(1+i)1 +
FVAD = PMT (1+ i) PMT/(1+i)2 + ... + PMT/(1+i)n
i
PV OF AN ANNUITY PV OF AN ANNUITY DUE
Cash flows occur at the end of the period Cash flows occur at the beginning of the period
0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 n-1 n
7% i% . . .
Maturity
Ò A 10-year coupon bond has a par value of 5m VND YTM
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
and norminal interest rate (coupon rate) of 9%.
Ò a. If the buying price is equal to the par value, 8.50% 100.46 100.89 101.28 101.64 101.97 102.28 102.56 102.82 103.06 103.28
what will YTM be? 8.75% 100.23 100.44 100.64 100.81 100.98 101.13 101.27 101.40 101.51 101.62
Ò b. If the purchase price is 4.5 million dong, 9% 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
calculate YTM?
Ò c. If the purchase price is 5.5 million dong, 9.25% 99.77 99.56 99.37 99.19 99.03 98.89 98.75 98.63 98.52 98.41
calculate YTM? 9.50% 99.54 99.13 98.75 98.40 98.08 97.79 97.53 97.28 97.06 96.86
9.75% 99.32 98.69 98.13 97.61 97.14 96.71 96.32 95.96 95.64 95.34
IMPLICATIONS ABOUT YTM, BOND PRICE AND
ITS PAR VALUE PRACTICE
Ò When YTM = idn, Pbond = Par Value Ò Firm A issues ten-year bonds with a par value of
Ò When YTM > idn, Pbond < Par Value USD $1,000 and the coupon rate of 15%. Assuming
the market interest rate is 15%, calculate the bond
Ò When YTM < idn, Pbond > Par Value
price? If after 1 year, the market interest rate drops
to 10%, how much is the bond price? Similarly, if
Ò Bonds have an inverse relationship to interest rates the required rate of return increases to 20%,
calculate the bond price?
Ò As the bond nears its maturity date, the bond
price naturally tends to move closer to par value
Ò A 5-year coupon bond is sold at 100m VND, par 3.3. Yield to maturity:
value of the bond is 120 million dong. The 3.3.2. Yield to maturity of coupon bond :
bond’s yield is 10% per year. Calculate the
Ò Perpeptuity:
coupon of this bond.
i* = C/P
Ò Note: nominal rate of bond calculated as follow
i = C/FV
Ò A frequently used approximation for the yield to Ò Discount yield calculates the investor's percent of
maturity on a long-term bond (often >20 years) return based on the bill's face value.
Ò The current yield is defined as the yearly coupon Ò YTM of 1-year bond:
payment divided by the price of the security. Ò i = (FV – PV)/PV
Ò The current yield and the yield to maturity always Ò Discount yield:
move together.
Ò The current yield is a good estimate of the maturity idb: discount yield
yield when the bond price is approximately equal to PV: price fo discount bond / T-bill
the par value and when the maturity of the bond is
large enough. FV: face value of discound bond / T-bill
n: number of days remaining until the maturity date
of T-bill
5. RATE OF RETURN
Ò A Rate of Return (ROR) is the gain or loss of an Ò The rate of return will be less than the bond's
investment over a certain period of time. current yield when:
Ò A.The selling price of the bond is smaller than its
par value
Ò B.The selling price is greater than its par value
Ò C.The selling price is smaller than the initial
Ò à RET = ic + icg purchasing price
Ò ic: current yield, icg: capital gain Ò D.The selling price is greater than the initial
purchasing price
PRACTICE – EX 1
Ò The rate of return may be equal to the YTM, but Ò Write an equation to calculate the maturity yield
it may also be different from the YTM of a home loan installment loan agreement.
Knowing that the house price is 600 million
Ò YTM: The percentage rate of return for a bond dong, the customer must immediately pay 30%
assuming that the investor holds the asset until of the value of the house, the rest will be paid in
its maturity date 10 years, each month 5 million dong
installments. The first payment is 1 month from
the time of purchasing? (If the first installment
(pmt) is on purchase, how would your answer
change?)
EX2 EX3
Ò A $1000 5-year coupon bond has a periodic Ò A) A $1000 5-year coupon bond that has a
coupon of $80. The YTM of equivalent bonds coupon rate of 7%. Calculate the price of this
is 8%. bond, knowing that its YTM is 10%
Ò A) Calculate norminal interest rate of the Ò B) An investor buys this bond and sells it right
bond. after receiving the first coupond payment.
Ò B) Calculate the bond price. Calculate the rate of return that the investor
receive, knowing that when selling it off, the
bond’s YTM is 7%.
EX4 EX5
Ò A $1000 3-year coupon bond has a nominal Ò Jessica is in the market for a new car. She has narrowed
her search down to 2 models. Model A costs $27,000
interest rate of 12%. The coupon payment is and Model B costs $18,000. With both cars she plans to
paid every 6 months. Calculate the price of a pay cash and own them for 3 years before trading in for
a new car. Her research indicates that the trade in value
bond knowing that its YTM is 6% for Model A after 3 years is 52% of the initial purchase
price, while the trade in value for Model B is 33%.
Jessica has no emotional attachment to either model
and wants to make a strictly financial decision. The
interest rate is 7%. For simplicity assume that operating
and maintenance costs for the models are identical
every year. Which model is the better decision and how
much "cheaper" is it than the alternative?
EX6 EX7
Ò College tuition has been rising at a rate of 6% per Ò Mr.An purchases a 20-year bond, pays $ 100
year. Currently the average tuition of a state
college is $9,500 per year. Andrea's son Trevor will at t = 1, $ 500 at t = 2, $ 750 at t = 3, and
begin college in 13 years. Andrea's portfolio is fixed payment X at the end of each year for
making 3% annually. How much does Andrea need the remaining 17 years. The bond price is $
to have set aside today/now to pay for 4 years of
college for Trevor? (Note: Tuition will continue to 5,544.87. Similar investments with the same
change annually and Andrea's portfolio balance risk has a return rate of 9%. Find X?
will continue to accrue interest while Trevor is in
school. Also, tuition is due at the beginning of
each year.)
14/12/2021
Interest rate is
predicted to
Buy short-term bond decrease
Buy long-term
bond
Interest rate is
predicted to
raise
Investment decision
14/12/2021