Ciphertrace Crypto Crimes AML Q3 22 Report - FINAL
Ciphertrace Crypto Crimes AML Q3 22 Report - FINAL
Cryptocurrency crime
and anti-money laundering
R EP ORT
MARCH 2023
Contents
3 Opening comment
4 Executive summary
9 Cross-chain bridges
18 Conclusion
Thanks to those of you who downloaded and read our previous report,
which focused on the state of the cryptocurrency world in the second
quarter of 2022.
The prior report highlighted virtual asset service providers’ (VASPs’) and
know your customer (KYC) risk across the globe, all powered by Ciphertrace
analytics and intelligence. This report will focus on dark markets and cross-
chain bridges. We continue looking at the trends, current events, hacks,
thefts, exploits, and global regulatory developments. Our goal, as always, is
to keep you informed and to highlight emerging and ongoing trends to give
you the best possible information to keep your business running smoothly.
Dave Jevans
CEO, Ciphertrace, • At the end of Q3, the total market cap of all crypto assets, including
a Mastercard company stable coins and tokens, was approximately $1.1 trillion.
• On August 8, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned
virtual currency mixer, Tornado Cash, “which ha[d] been used to launder
more than $7 billion worth of virtual currency since its creation in 2019”.
• At the end of Q3 2022, the Internal Revenue Service seized approximately
$4 billion in virtual assets vs $3.5 at fiscal year-end 2021.
• The third quarter was plagued with bankruptcy filings throughout the
industry with Nuri, Voyager Digital, Celsius, Three Arrows Capital,
and others.
• After NFTs exploded in both market volume and dollar value in 2021,
values rapidly eroded in 2022. The top eight blockchains for NFT trading
plunged 76% in Q3 2022 ($2.3 billion) compared to Q2 ($9.2 billion) and
are down 83% compared to Q1 2022 ($13.9B).
• Total value locked (TVL) of decentralized finance in the third quarter was
roughly $54 billion. The Ethereum blockchain continues to have the largest
volume of virtual asset tokens (57%).
• Across seven major hacks/exploits, losses reached $383 million.
At the end of the third quarter, the total market cap of all crypto assets,
including stable coins and tokens, was approximately $1.1 trillion. Although
this represents an increase of 21.3% compared to the second quarter ($871
billion), virtual assets have lost almost 50% of its value at the beginning of
2022 ($2.2 trillion) and have lost 63% compared to its all-time high ($2.83
trillion at November 14, 2021). Prices indicate that we are still in a “crypto
winter” – a term used to describe the substantial declines in asset prices and
market capitalization for virtual assets – as depicted in Graphic 1, which
includes data for the last seven quarters.
$2,500
$2,205
$2,054
$2,000 $1,884 $1,925
$1,500 $1,420
$1,057
$1,000 $871
$500
$0
01/04/21 01/07/21 01/10/21 01/01/22 01/04/22 01/07/22 01/10/22
Source: Coinmarketcap
As of September 30, 2022, Bitcoin (btc) was just above $19,500 having
lost 38.6% of its value compared to Q2 (btc price dropped from $31,792).
Nevertheless, bitcoin continues to be the largest crypto asset by market
capitalization (40%). In an interesting development, Solana lost 26% of its
value compared to Q2 2022; Solana Foundation noted ties to FTX in blog
posts during Q4 2022. The price dropped from $45.77 on June 1,2022 to
$33.95 on September 30, 2022, a decline of 75% of its value compared to
its all-time high $136.78 on 4/4/2022. This may primarily be attributed
to the bear market, as well as the Slope mobile wallet exploit in early Q3
and the network outage at the end of the same quarter. Graphic 2 shows
virtual asset market caps for some of the largest individual assets; from a
total population of over 20,000 virtual assets, including cryptocurrencies,
stable coins and other tokens.
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Binance
bitcoin ether tether USD coin BNB XRP Cardano Solana Dogecoin All Other
USD
% of market cap at 4/1/2021 59% 12% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 20%
% of market cap at 6/30/2021 46% 17% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 18%
% of market cap at 4/1/2022 41% 19% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 22%
% of market cap at 6/30/2022 43% 15% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 17%
% of market cap at 10/02/2022 40% 17% 7% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 0% 1% 18%
Source: Coinmarketcap
100.00%
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
21
21
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21
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
22
4/
5/
6/
7/
8/
9/
0/
1/
2/
1/
2/
3/
4/
5/
6/
7/
8/
9/
/0
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/1
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01
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Source: DeFiLlam
$6b
$5b
$4b
$3b
$2b
$1b
$0b
Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22
The third quarter was filled with significant events, many involving or
potentially involving financial crimes compliance considerations. In July,
Voyager Digital (a digital asset brokerage), Three Arrows Capital (a hedge
fund) and Celsius (a crypto lender) filed for bankruptcy. At this time, there
is no clear and documented evidence of fraudulent or misleading activity,
but many questions seem to have remained unanswered in Q3 pertaining
to Three Arrows Capital. In August, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s
Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned virtual currency mixer
Tornado Cash. This had ripple effects in the industry and caused significant
compliance impacts to various entities within the virtual asset ecosystem,
such as Circle. In September, the Ethereum merge took place, moving
from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake, in which the network is made up
of validators instead of miners. Among some benefits from the Ethereum
merge is that proof-of-stake does not require mining equipment, it is
estimated to require approximately 99.95% less energy compared to proof-
of-work. For example, a 51% attack has an exponentially higher cost. Read
more in our articles about the Ethereum merge and Tornado Cash sanctions
on Ciphertrace’s blog.
Using “wrapped” tokens is one of the most popular ways to transfer the value
of digital assets from one blockchain to another. The initial coin, Bitcoin for
example, is set aside into a centralized address, where it is programmatically
wrapped and stored — similar to a bank safe-deposit box. On the other side
of the bridge, a new token is then created, or “minted” so that it can be used
on the native chain of other networks in the wrapped derivative form (such
as Wrapped Bitcoin on Ethereum). This technological advantage permits
the ability for the transfer of previously isolated assets created on different
blockchains to be interoperable on many chains thanks to wrapped tokens.
“Smart contracts leave The vulnerabilities of bridges are not so different from the basic cryptocurrency
fundamentals of understanding the difference between custodial and non-
investors susceptible custodial ownership. Custodial bridges require the involvement of a centralized
to the possibility of actor, and therefore do not meet the requirements of actors committed
exploits within the to an end-to-end decentralized process. The trust in any centralized entity
opens the possibility of hackers to direct their energy to single points of
code itself.” failure. Meanwhile, non-custodial bridges rely on self-executing code in a
permissionless environment that carries out smart contracts. These smart
contracts leave investors susceptible to the possibility of exploits within the
code itself. Therefore, it is important that non-custodial bridges undergo
extensive audits of their code before consumer trust and regulatory compliance
can be achieved.
Q3 2022 hacks/exploits
Nomad
Bridge hacks and exploits were very active in the past year. However, in Q3
the most notable bridge exploit was Nomad being plundered of $190 million
due to hundreds of users opportunistically taking advantage of a single typo
in the code. The issue in Nomad’s armor was in the way the code prevented
itself from accurately authenticating a message was accepted before the
transaction was executed. Once the hack was pulled off, it was easy for users
to replicate the original theft by copying the transaction call data and changing
it to their own personal address. In the case of Nomad, code exploits are a
reminder that protocols are only has strong as the code underwriting them.
While it is encouraging that there was only one major bridge exploit in Q3,
bridges seem to have a way to go before they are accepted to be as safe as
cryptocurrency exchanges in the court of public opinion.
Wintermute
Wintermute, a leading global algorithmic trading firm in digital assets, was
hacked for approximately $160 million on September 20, 2022 potentially due
to a wallet compromise via a vulnerability in Profanity, a customized vanity
address generator which is speculated to have played a massive role that
was disclosed by 1inch (an exchange aggregator that searches for the lowest
crypto prices by scanning decentralized exchanges) days prior. The attacker
exploited the bug in Profanity to recover the private key to the Wintermute hot
wallet. A hot wallet is connected to the internet.
Acala
Acala is a DeFi platform. It issues the aUSD stablecoin and operates by
leveraging the functionality of the Polkadot blockchain. It allows for DeFi
operations on the Polkadot network, including borrowing, lending, and
stablecoin activities. An on-chain setup error allowed attackers to mint
aUSD (amount of loss $52 million). The vulnerability caused aUSD to lose
its peg to the U.S. dollar, initially falling to $0.60 and hovering around $0.90.
Acala suspended the protocol shortly after the attack (August 14, 2022) and
disabled the transfer of the stolen aUSD.
Crema Finance
Crema Finance a centralized liquidity DeFi application on the Solana chain
announced a $8.8 million hacker flash loan attack. Hackers bypassed contract
checks by creating a fake price change data account (Tickaccount) and then
used fake price data and flash loans to steal huge fees from the fund pool
(July 3, 2022). Following a long negotiation, Crema Finance attackers agreed
to collect 45,455 SOL (~$1.7 million) as a white hat bounty (eventually the
amount of loss) and returned 6,064 Ethereum and 23,967.9 SOL (~$8.1 millino).
Crema Finance has now upgraded to v2.0.
Nirvana
Nirvana, a stablecoin project on the Solana chain, was attacked by a flash
loan. The attacker used a flash loan to borrow $10,250,000 USDC from Solend
by deploying a malicious contract, and then called the Nirvana contract buy3
method to acquire a large amount of ANA tokens. Eventually the hacker sold
the ANA tokens and passed all the dirty money through the cross-chain bridge
transfer before it could be detected as a flash loan.
Audius
The community treasury of Audius, a web3music streaming service platform,
was hacked, losing 18.5 million AUDIO Tokens (amount of loss: $1.1 million), due
to contract vulnerabilities. The hackers exchanged the funds for about 705 ETH
on Uniswap. Audius officially stated that the problem has been found and is
currently being repaired.
“Dark markets function A Dark market is a commercial website that operates via darknets such
as Tor or I2P. They function primarily as black markets, selling or brokering
primarily as black transactions. Dark Markets include crypto addresses associated with individuals
markets, selling or and organizations who sell or traffic in human beings, illicit arms, counterfeit
brokering transactions.” currency, forged documents, illegal narcotic drugs and psychotropic substances,
unlicensed or out-of-region pharmaceuticals, steroids, sexually exploitative
materials, counterfeit products, wildlife, grey market, counterfeit, or pirated
products, stolen goods or other illicit items.
Tor network
A significant amount of criminal dealings involving cryptocurrency is conducted
on the darknet. Criminal markets, forums, shops, ransomware blogs, etc. are
generally hosted on the darknet. The most significant darknet network is Tor;
others being I2P, freenet, and zeronet.
The end of Q3 2022 was turbulent for the Tor network. It appeared there may
have been a network wide attack beginning mid-September that eased at the
end of October. Ciphertrace researchers noticed darknet markets suffering from
the attack with extensive downtime in mid-September.
The Tor Project provides metrics, including time to complete a static file
download over the network. The graph below is the time to complete a 1MiB
request to a public server. The graph shows the disruption to the network
occurred around when our researchers identified criminal sites struggling to stay
online. The disruption continued until the end of October. Indeed, our researchers
have concluded that criminal sites seem to be struggling less to stay online.
“Ciphertrace researchers During this disruption, many criminal sites and their users pushed for I2P
mirrors. The I2P network is more resilient, and it’s likely to gain more traction
consider OMG!OMG! to over time. However, the Tor network is more well-known and easier to use for
be the most significant the average user. This makes it unlikely for the I2P network to gain as much
Russian darknet market traction, even if it is better. This is particularly true for darknet markets, as a
large portion of the customer base are average users, and for ransomware
currently running.” sites, their users are normal individuals.
AlphaBay was the largest darknet market in 2017 with over 400,000 users
before the site was seized on July 5. In the Summer of 2021, Desnake,
a former AlphaBay admin, resurfaced on a criminal forum to announce
the relaunch of the market. The new AlphaBay is more security-focused,
particularly as the market is Monero-only. In mid-September 2022,
AlphaBay’s self-reported statistic on the number of buyer accounts on the
site surpassed 1 million. This would make it one of the largest markets of its
kind, vastly surpassing its own peak.
“Geographic intelligence The following are some of the most significant fraud entities currently active:
Benumb, Biden Cash, Brians Club, Genesis Market, HGN01, and Rescator. Most
is difficult to identify for are carding sites, while Genesis Market is the long-running market for “bots”.
criminal entities, as they
attempt to obfuscate • Carding sites assist in the buying and selling of stolen credit card
information. Often, the larger carding sites are “autoshops”. An autoshop is
this information, until a carding site that allows buyers to check if a stolen card is still active and,
they’re seized by law if it isn’t, automatically get a refund.
enforcement.” • On Genesis Market, “bots” refers to digital identities for sale. Genesis
Market mainly sells cookies, digital fingerprints, stolen login info, etc. to aid
criminals in impersonating individuals and accessing their accounts. There
are typically over 400 thousand different digital identities for sale at any
one time.
3%
3%3%
3%
3%
International
(English speaking)
58% Russia
28%
China
Source: Ciphertrace
In the above data, what qualifies as a darknet market is a darknet site that
Ciphertrace can help you understand allows multiple/any vendor(s) to list their items for sale and that facilitates
and mitigate your crypto risk. the sale of those items to buyers. A site that is hosted by an individual vendor
Reach out to learn more about to advertise and sell their own goods does not qualify as a market. That would
Ciphertrace products and services. instead qualify as a vendor shop. Furthermore, there are numerous fake
darknet markets that aim to scam would-be buyers, which are not included in
these numbers.
Below we’ve highlighted key regulatory and legislative updates and related law
enforcement activity around it.
For those reading this in VASPs, banks, payment processors and both federal
and local law enforcement, Ciphertrace has considerable expertise and tools
to help monitor the movement of cryptocurrency and can assist. Get in touch
with us at ciphertrace.com. Sign up for email alerts to stay up to date on
trends, our latest reports and significant changes to the industry.
Disclaimer
Ciphertrace is a wholly-owned Mastercard company that delivers
cryptocurrency AML and counter terrorism financing (CTF) tools, blockchain
forensics, and regulatory monitoring solutions. Further details about
Ciphertrace can be found at www.ciphertrace.com. This publication is
intended as a general overview and discussion of the subjects herein, and is
not intended to be, and should not be used as, a substitute for taking legal
or financial/investment advice in any specific situation. Mastercard will
accept no responsibility for any actions taken or not taken on the basis of
this publication.
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