Toll Road Financial Model
Toll Road Financial Model
Timing Assumptions
Model
Months per Period Days in Year Months in Year
Dev.& Constr.Period
Dev.& Constr.Starts
Dev.& Constr.Period (Months) Dev.& Constr.Ends
OperatingPeriod CommercialOperationStarts (COD) Operation Period (Years) CommercialOperationEnds (COD)
FinancingAssumptions
365
12
1-01-23
50
28-02-27
1-03-27
26
31-12-52
Revenue A"umptions
Vehicles
Daily Passing Vehicles # 200.000
AnnualVehicles Growth % 5,0%
Vehicle Types
Motorbikes % of Doily Cars 30,0% Cars % of Doily Cars 60,0% BusesITrucks
TollRates
Motorbikes $ / vehicle 2,0
Cars $ /vehicle 3,5
Depreciation
CapEx Depreciation % of CapEX Depr.Rate ClmA 2% 5% ClmB
Clm c 3% 8%
Class D 12% 10% ClmE 77% 25%
lnit1alFunding of Reserve Accounts
Loan Amount 756.000.000
Loan Term years 20
MaximumSizing(% of CapEx) % 60,0%
Interest Rate on Term Loan % 7,0%
Lender's Fee(% of totalLoan) % 3,0% Minimum AnnualDSCR X 1,50x
BusesITrucks $ / vehicle 9,5
AnnualRatesIncrease % 2,0%
Other Revenue
Display Advertisement $ /month 200.000
Other Revenue $ /month 50.000
Annualother Revenue Growth % 3,0%
Debt Service Reserve
#of months of Debt Service months
InitialDebt Service Reserve $ 29.799.315
O&M Reserve/Working capital
n of months of O&M Expense months
InitialO&M and we Reserve 42.946.750
Interest on AllReserves % 2,0%
Year lkginning
1-Jan-23 1-Jan-24 1-Jan-25 1-Jan-26 1-Jan-27 1-Jan-28 1-Jan-29 1-Jan-30 1-Jan-31 1-Jan-32 1-Jan-33
Year Ending
31- c-23 31- c-24 31- c-25 31- c-26 31-c-27 31-c-28 31-c-29 31-c-30
31-c-31
31-c-32 31-c-33
Totalvehicles
Oays in Year 365 366 365 365 365 366 365 365 365 366 365
Year Period Year 1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year S Year9 Year 10 Year 11
73.000.000 76.860.000 8 0 482.500 84.506. 625 88.731.956 93.423.810 97.826.982
Toll Revenue
Motorbikes 65.700.000 70.096.320
EBITDA
254.556. 500 263.843.417 28 3 897.957 306.328.617 330.33 2 782 357.189.902 383.504.764
Interest Expense (2 1 168.000) (39. 626.294) (48.756.059) (47.414.276) (46.072.493) (44.858.014)
otal Adjustments (39 609.052) (60. 612.800) (69.742. 565) (68.40 0 782) (67.059.000) (65 844.520)
T
(39. 609.052) (60. 612.800) (69.742. 565) (68.40 0 782) 187.497.500 197.998.896 219.522.523 243.294.965 268.64 0 913 296.726.660
Net Pre-Tax cash Flow to Equity (599.426.065) (39.609.052) (60.612.800) (69.742.565) (68.400.782) 187.497.500 197.998.896
Running IRR (Cash Only) NA NA NA NA -32,5% -1S,S%
Depreciation (66.497.760) (66.497.760) (55.497.760) (55.497.760) (8.285.760) (4.655.960) (4.655.960) (4.656.960) (4.65
Taxable income 239.466.157 279.240.997 301.671.657 325.675.822
Taxes payable (59.855.539) (59.810.249) (75.417.914) (81.418.9
Running IRR (After Tax) Running Cosh- NA NA NA NA -32,5% -19,1%
on-Cash ·1,07x ·1,17x ·1,28x ·1,40x -1,08x -0,8Sx
Supporting Schedules
,, , -· ·
Toll Road Financial l\llodel
AU A n><>U•" "' tl"-1> l"'l
Cash F lo\N & Pro ecw: Ret:urns 70J/ J J/074 70;r. 70Jtb 7077 J/OJ/8 707'9 7o o JIOn. 70l7 J/Oll
D""Kinnlng Ba an .,..
Eru:lngtJ..I..,......
Debt closing
o&rv /wo rk ngca p tlReserve
Periodic;: Malntftnanc. Rftse,....,.,.
lnt vr•1on Reerv•
AnnuotlcontribUtions to/(LQI Uidat ions of) Reserves
Depreciation Year
Deprec ation oepreclat.lon Rate M
5%
To\alDepre.., aUon
To lta Co sl R Bil liln COO!
Dep. -l tlon •vallable tor year
Ta.. Sc h•dul•
"·••-•hiP ln.-nn P
operating tncoone / (LO&s, ( 66...,7.760)
ln o:oo·n oe Tat• Carry-Fo.-wa.-d
Op-.r•tlng l.o•,. C..rry•ll'orwa rd.B-.glnnlng Ba l an.:. Add it ional Op•.-attna: Lo•C..r-rt•d- Foa .-d Utilization of operiiO tlnv; l.oss carry-Forward
Operatins Loss carry-r:oo-ward,l:ndlng Ba ance
(6 0 477.760)
( Z46.Z70.740) (.1,.720.300)
I 01 Ill
2.000.000
1.800.000
1.600.000
1.400.000
- Re enue --- TotoiVehicles
1.400.000
1.200.000
1.000.000
- Cosh Flow --- Cosh-on-C,.h Mutople
1.200.000
1.000.000
800.000
600.000
400.000
200.000
_: tnntltltHUU
800.000
600.000
400.000
200.000
........1.a1-11HI I
_ ..
I
(200.000)
Operating Expenses (COO's)
Project Investment (COO's)
•Profit IR R
9.000.000
1.600.000
8.0821. 40 1.355.426
8.000.000 1.400.000
7.000.000 1.200.000
6.000.000
5.000.000
1.000.000
800.000
756.000
4.000.000 3598.266
600.000
3.000.000
2.000.000 400.000
1.000.000 200.000
limited Partner General Partner •O&M •G&A •Royatties Initiat Investment
Debt
Equity
fC P•of>t .,1,.,<>., F""'<> n< al Se'"< e AH "l:ht s •e ><..ve'd
Business Name
PrimaryIndustry Project Start Date Project Life
Road Length
Development & ConstructionPeriod
Concession Period
TotalVehicles (OOO's) TotalRevenue (OOO's)
70 miles
4 Years
26Years
3.734.128
s 22.364.026,83
Project Return Metrics (Levered)
AfterTax EquityIRR Project Cash on Cash TotalCashInvested TotalRevenue TotalProfit
Payback
Net Present Value
19%
Charts & Graphs
Tolls Revenue (OOO's) Investors IRR (%)
14.000.000 --umtted Partner --General Partner
30,0%
12.000.000
10.000.000 19,2%
20,0%
8.000.000
14.000.000
12.000.000
10.000.000
8.000.000
Project Retums (OOO's)
6.000.000
10,0%
6.000.000
-
4.000.000 10,0%
2.000.000
4.000.000
2.000.000
Motorbikes Car> BusesI Trucks
0,0%
Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier3 Total Cash Flow
Cash Invested Total Revnu e
Total Profit
ping the user's needs and comfort in mind.
USD & Construction Cost Project Start Date 1-Jan-23 TotalCosts Pre-Financing
324.496.461
599.426
400.000
200.000
20.010.41 8 1 8.653.918
92) Ending Ba lance 119.885.21 3 1 39.795.545 1 65.897.659 196.435.938 229.759.689 21 5. 236. 157 209. 33.302 200.104.177 186.539.185 167. 748.712