Lac Thesis
Lac Thesis
% to
10 YEAR TARGET PRICE Price Target Target
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 1 OF 3 (P/R) $ 132 199% 2023
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 2 OF 3 (P/E) $ 55 53% 10 year avg
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 3 OF 3 (DCF) $ 99 99%
AVERAGE OF ALL 3 'JUST RIGHT' PRICE TARGETS $ 107 140%
Alpha
-69.26%
-27.99%
Additional Valuation Methodologies
$ Values are in $'000s
Price to Revenu
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 1 OF 3: P/R
2023E 2024E 2025E
Revenue $87 $1,284 $1,331
Yearly Growth % #DIV/0! 1375.9% 3.7%
Price % to
12 MONTH TARGET PRICE Target Target
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 1 OF 3 (P/R) $ 50 147%
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 2 OF 3 (P/E) $ 27 33%
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 3 OF 3 (DCF) $ 38 84%
AVERAGE OF ALL 3 'JUST RIGHT' PRICE TARGETS $ 42 105%
Price % to
10 YEAR TARGET PRICE Target Target
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 1 OF 3 (P/R) $ 132 547%
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 2 OF 3 (P/E) $ 55 171%
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 3 OF 3 (DCF) $ 99 385%
AVERAGE OF ALL 3 'JUST RIGHT' PRICE TARGETS $ 107 423%
$37.56
% to
SPX Target Price Target Target
Current $21.26 10654.5178
12 Month $ 42 98.89%
10 year 106.044808365 420% 10654.5178
Price to Earnings Multiple Valuatio
VALUATION METHODOLOGY 2 OF 3: P/E
2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E
EPS $ 0.27 $ 2.00 $ 2.10 $ 3.27 $ 4.55
Yearly Growth % (104.1%) 649.4% 5.2% 55.8% 39.1%
m other tabs
10.4%
+
0.8720%
=
11.31%
NPV = $2,286
Tax Rate 27%
Long Term Growth = 2.0%
Terminal Value = $10,308
TV Discounted = $3,930
5.3% 8.3%
1% $51 $28
Growt
2% $66 $33
h
3% $94 $39
Green = Bullish
2026 2027 2028
$268.84 $399.98 $532.80
Cost of Equity:
4.30%
+
1.58 * (9.5% - 4.3%)
=
12.5%
Cost of Debt:
7% * (1-0.30)
=
5.3%
5,277.5
4.4%
5,375.9
8.0%
Balance Sheet
$ Values are in $'000s
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents $ 75.0 $ 349.0
Short-term investments $ 7.0 $ -
Accounts receivable $ 56.0 $ 145.0
Accounts Receivable as a % of revenue #DIV/0!
Inventory $ 45.0 $ 34.0
Inventory as a % of revenue #DIV/0!
Total Current Assets $ 205.0 $ 558.0
Long Term Assets
**Equipment we own, net of accumulated depreciation and inclusive of capex. $ 31.0 $ 38.0
Here is How We Calculate Capex (same as Purchase of Equipment)
Depreciation (linked to the Income Statement) $ (36.0) $ (40.0)
Capex (we need to calculate this here as it feeds into the C.F. Statement) $ (33.0)
Capex as a % of revenue #DIV/0!
Machine
Total Long Term Assets $ 133.0 $ 162.0
TOTAL ASSETS $ 338.0 $ 720.0
Current liabilities
Accounts payable $ 9.0 $ 15.0
Accounts Payable as a % of revenue Err:509
Short-term debt $ - $ -
Total Current Liabilities $ 108.0 $ 166.0
Long Term Liabilities
Long-term debt $ - $ -
Other
Total Long Term Liabilities $ 63.0 $ 86.0
TOTAL LIABILITIES $ 171.0 $ 252.0
Cash Flow Statement: $ Values are in $'000s 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Operating Activities
Net Income 13.0 29.0 1.0 (1.0) (60.0)
Increase in depreciation (+) 6.0 6.0 6.0 10.0
Increase in Accounts Receivable (-) (89.0) (40.0) (108.0) (208.0)
Increase in Inventory (-) 11.0 (5.0) (51.0) (19.0)
Increase in Accounts Payable (+) 6.0 11.0 (2.0) 8.0
Net Cash From Operating Activities 18.5 63.9 65.7 38.5 124.5
% of revenue 462.50% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Investing Activities
Purchases of equipment (same here as 'Capex') (11.4) (11.7) (16.3) (72.7) (50.3)
% of revenue -285.00% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Net Cash From Investing Activities 18.5 63.9 65.7 38.5 124.5
Financing Activities
Increase in Short Term Debt (+) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase in Long Term Debt (+) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase in Common Shares (+) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Cash From Financing Activities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0