Feminism
Feminism
© copyright
Bu kitabın yayın hakkı Serüven Yayınevi’ne aittir.
Kaynak gösterilmeden alıntı yapılamaz, izin almadan hiçbir yolla
çoğaltılamaz. The right to publish this book belongs to Serüven
Publishing. Citation can not be shown without the source, reproduced in
any way without permission.
March 2023
Editor
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Salih BATAL
CONTENTS
CHAPTER 1
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION IN THE GRIP OF THEORIES AND
CULTURAL VALUES
Ömer ÇAMUR............................................................................................... 1
CHAPTER 2
THE ROLE OF SOCIAL MARKETING CAMPAIGNS IN IMPROVING
PUBLIC HEALTH
Ceylan BOZPOLAT, Yavuz CÖMERT........................................................ 21
CHAPTER 3
THE EFFECTS OF INFORMATION COMMUNICATION
TECHNOLOGIES ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNATIONAL
TRANSPORT TYPES
Ramazan YILDIZ........................................................................................... 45
CHAPTER 4
INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION AND ASSESSMENTS ON TURKEY
Hazal Koray ALAY......................................................................................... 67
CHAPTER 5
IS A COMMON EUROPEAN IDENTITY POSSIBLE IN THE
EUROPEAN UNION?
Akif ÇARKÇI, Recep ŞEHITOĞLU, MD Nazmul İSLAM...................... 87
CHAPTER 6
DIGITAL ACTIVISM AND HASHTAG FEMINISM
Berna GÖRGÜLÜ, Naim ÇINAR................................................................ 103
CHAPTER 7
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF THE BALKANS:
INTEGRATED BWM-BASED CoCoSo METHOD
Naci Yılmaz..................................................................................................... 121
CHAPTER 8
AN APPLICATION FOR AGGREGATING THE CRITERIA WEIGHTS
OBTAINED BY DIFFERENT OBJECTIVE WEIGHTING METHODS
AND THEIR USE IN COPRAS
Mehmet Hakan ÖZDEMIR ......................................................................... 141
CHAPTER 9
DOLLARIZATION IN TURKEY
Can MAVRUK ............................................................................................... 155
CHAPTER 10
TRANSFERABLE UTILITY GAMES AND THE EXISTENCE OF CORE
ALLOCATIONS
Mehmet KARAKAYA.................................................................................... 183
CHAPTER 11
AN ANALYSIS OF THE STRATEGIC RELATIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA
AND CHINA FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF INTERDEPENDENCE
Eylül Beyza ATEŞ ÇIFTÇI............................................................................ 199
CHAPTER 12
TALENT MANAGEMENT
Aylin AKYOL.................................................................................................. 233
CHAPTER 13
SMART GASTRONOMY TOURISM APPLICATIONS
Mahmut BARAKAZI..................................................................................... 259
CHAPTER 14
RENEWABLE ENERGY COMPANIES’ RECENT OUTLOOK ON
BORSA ISTANBUL WITH MOORA AND MABAC METHODS
Orhan Emre ELMA........................................................................................ 277
CHAPTER 15
APPROACHES TO COMPETITIVENESS AND PORTER DIAMOND
MODEL
Ayhan KULOĞLU ..................................................................................293
CHAPTER 16
MAIN MENTAL DISEASES OF IMMIGRANTS AND ASYLUM
SEEKERS
Candan OZKAN, Selami Varol ULKER...................................................... 323
CHAPTER 17
THE EFFECT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON THE BANKING
SECTOR
Zikrullah ZALAND, Hatice İMAMOĞLU................................................. 345
CHAPTER 18
THE IMPACT OF DECLINE IN MORTALITY RATE ON ECONOMIC
GROWTH IN THE LATE OTTOMAN EMPIRE
Bilal İSLAMOĞLU, İdris AKKUZU............................................................ 357
CHAPTER 19
SHORT-TERM METRIC IN TV ADVERTISEMENTS: AN
EXPERIMENTAL APPLICATION
Fatma Nur YORGANCILAR ATATOPRAK.............................................. 367
CHAPTER 20
THE EFFECT OF STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP ON PRODUCT AND
SERVICE INNOVATION: THE MODERATOR ROLE OF PERCEIVED
ORGANIZATIONAL SUPPORT
Saadet Ela PELENK....................................................................................... 377
CHAPTER 1
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION IN THE
GRIP OF THEORIES AND CULTURAL
VALUES
Ömer ÇAMUR1
1. INTRODUCTION
Theories are information put forward as a result of observing and
explaining any phenomenon. Theories, which are important in terms of
understanding and interpreting the world we live in, are common both in
social life and in social institutions created by the society. This is also true
for public administration. Public administration is a structure created to
meet the common needs of the society as the executive tool of the state.
There are many theories that have emerged in the historical process in
order for the public administration to realize what is expected from it. The-
ories are commonly used in areas such as making sense of the public ad-
ministration, interpreting it, improving the service production processes,
providing the services needed by the citizens in an effective and efficient
manner, and demonstrating a successful administration.
Theories are very important and effective in public administration’s
providing service successfully. However, some problems may occur in
successful implementation of theories in public administration. Most im-
portant of these problems are that public administration theories are not
created for every country and that theory applications are applied by dif-
ferent countries in the form of policy transfer. This situation is one of the
leading factors that prevent public administration theories from being suc-
cessful in country practices. This is because the structure and culture of
each society is different from each other.
Culture refers to all the material and spiritual values that individuals,
who are social beings and therefore have to live together, have created
in the historical process. Culture encompasses the shared, learned behav-
iours and beliefs that are passed down from generation to generation. Cul-
ture, which forms the system of social relations, is the main activity area
required for the survival of human societies. Cultural values that shape life
are effective in every area where the individual is present. This is also true
for public administration, which operates to meet social needs. In the light
of this information, this study will first explain what public administration
theories and cultural values mean. The rest of the study will provide sug-
gestions on how to solve the problems experienced by public administra-
tion, which is between theories and cultural values.
2. PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND THEORIES OF PUBLIC
ADMINISTRATION
Theories are analytical tools through which people make sense of their
experiences with the world and which are used to understand a particular
subject, explain it in detail, reveal the different dimensions of the sub-
ject, and make predictions in terms of its relation to other fields. Theories,
which encompass all of the thoughts and views about a subject, express
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .3
the systematic grouping of concepts that are connected to each other (Ateş,
2020: 4). Theories are explanations for understanding the way things hap-
pen in social life or natural events. They are the basic elements that shape
the way we perceive and interpret the world we live in and our reactions
to the events we experience (Taşçı, 2013: 4). Theories, which can be effec-
tive on social life and all social institutions created, have a very important
place in today’s modern world. This situation requires humans to live to-
gether (Denek, 2010: 33). Humans who have to live together have tried to
create effective and efficient organizations in order to meet their needs and
they have developed different management theories on the subject (Şahin,
2004: 523). Very important ideas have been put forward in order to reveal a
successful management approach within the historical process. The devel-
opment of theories in the field of management, which corresponds to the
history of humanity, is a new phenomenon. This situation is related to the
recent acceptance of management science as a discipline.
Public administration, which is a special field of management science,
expresses the organizational structure of the state as a structural concept
(Ökmen and Parlak, 2008: 4). Public administration is social structures
created to produce the basic needs of citizens. Public administration is a
field closely related to many disciplines. In this respect, it is closely related
to different disciplines such as politics, law, business, economy, psychol-
ogy and sociology (Ökmen and Çağatay, 2016: 82). This situation causes
the expansion of public administration as a concept and the increase in
knowledge about public administration. In addition, the relationship of
public administration with many different disciplines brings about being
influenced and benefiting from theories emerging in related fields. Public
administration is accepted as an art with its feature of making suggestions
to administrators and a science to the extent that it examines organization-
al problems (Ergun and Polat, 1988: 8).
Especially since the last quarter of the 20th century, the separation
of political science and public administration from each other and the ex-
amination of public administration as a separate discipline has led to an
increase in scientific studies in the field of public administration. In this
process, different studies have been carried out in the field of public ad-
ministration, both in theory and in practice, and a public administration
adventure has started until today (Bayansar and Uzun, 2022: 1837). Many
theories have been developed in the field of public administration during
this process.
The main purpose of the theories that emerge in the field of public
administration is to create an effective and efficient public administra-
tion. Theories of public administration have emerged sometimes to solve
a problem directly, sometimes to adapt the public administration to new
4 . Ömer Çamur
the 20th century, when public administration was the subject of scientific
research, to the present day. Güler divided the development of theories in
public administration into four different phases chronologically. In gen-
eral terms, it is possible to list the phases as Classical-traditional school
(1900-1925), neoclassical-behavioural school (1925-1950), modern school
(1950-1980) and neomodern school (1980-2005) (2005; 2). These stages,
which are discussed with a very general classification, contain different
theories within themselves. The theories in each classification are similar
in terms of general characteristics and public organizations are examined
from different perspectives.
It can be stated that in general sense public administration theories
criticize each other or emerge as a reaction to each other. However, it is not
sufficient to evaluate public administration theories only as a reaction. In
fact, public administration theories have emerged with different assump-
tions and conceptualizations about people, society and organization. With
a very general evaluation, classical organizational theories accept organ-
izations as “rational” systems and emphasize the importance of organi-
zational system for an efficient management. Neoclassical organizational
theories oppose considering only the organizational structure in order to
ensure organizational efficiency and emphasize the importance of the el-
ement of “human” in productivity (Aydın, 2015: 158). Modern organiza-
tional theories have led to the development of different and new theories
with the thought that classical and neoclassical organizational theories are
insufficient. Postmodern organization theories, on the other hand, have led
to a paradigm shift and the emergence of new theories in line with a ser-
vice understanding that puts people in the centre in parallel with the devel-
opment of globalization and information and communication technologies
(Seçtim and Erkul, 2020: 42).
Each public administration paradigm and each of the theories with-
in this paradigm has an origin story and an administrative problem that
needs to offer a solution. Almost all public administration theories have
adopted an approach that prioritizes the problem in whichever environ-
ment they have been developed as a solution to the problem (Ateş, 2020:
15). Therefore, each theory focuses on a different area of the organization.
Again, the concept and method preferences of each theory are different.
Some theories choose a method of analysis based on experimentation and
observation, while others prefer a more positive and empirical tradition
(Öztaş, 2015: 274). Different perspectives and analysis methods for institu-
tions have brought about the emergence of many theories.
Theories do not contain clear information about the correctness or
incorrectness of the decisions taken. Public administration theories pro-
vide a normative basis for how political decision processes should work.
6 . Ömer Çamur
The fact that different theories can predict different decision processes is
a matter of which values the theory adopts. Just as a theory may not be
enough to understand all reality, not every theory can explain every situa-
tion. Therefore, it can be stated that theories develop concepts, definitions
and metaphors (Leblebici, 2015: 56).
Public administration theories are effective in providing services ef-
fectively and efficiently, in eliminating existing problems, in providing
public services with new methods, in establishing and explaining citi-
zen-management relations, and in the transformation of public administra-
tion. For this reason, it should be stated that theories are very effective and
important in the successful functioning of public administration. How-
ever, some problems may arise in the successful application of theories
in public administration. The most important of these problems is that
public administration theories are not created for every country and that
different countries try to apply theory practices in the form of policy trans-
fer. This situation is one of the most important factors that prevent public
administration theories from being successful in country practices. This
is because the structure of each society and its cultural values are different
from each other. Culture has to be taken into account because of its impact
on management.
3. CULTURAL VALUES
Culture is a comprehensive concept studied by different disciplines.
This makes it very difficult to explain what culture means. Culture has
emerged with people, who are social creatures, living with other people.
Culture, which affects both individual and social life directly in all his-
torical periods, covers all areas of life. Therefore, it is not easy to define
culture.
Culture, which can mean different things, is defined as “all of the ma-
terial and spiritual values created in the historical and social development
process and the tools used in creating them and transmitting them to the
next generations, showing the extent of human dominance over their natu-
ral and social environment” by Turkish Language Society (sozluk.gov.tr).
Culture is everything created by human beings in line with their aims, in-
tentions and thoughts (Özlem, 2012: 183). Culture is all of the values found
in the conscience of a nation (Yılmaz, 2014: 97). According to another
definition, culture is the most general knowledge of man about humani-
ty and the intellectual activities shown in a civilization (Timuçin, 2004b:
340).
Culture, which is commonly expressed as “a lifestyle”, consists of the
values that members of a group believe in, the norms they follow, and the
material things they create (Gökalp, 2011: 28). Culture is the descriptor of
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .7
adaptation. Culture that exists in every society adapts to the natural en-
vironment and changes over time. Therefore, depending on the change,
each age carries various cultural values that develop according to its own
lifestyle (Timuçin, 2013b: 28; Güvenç, 1979: 105).
The lifestyle adopted by a society in order to meet its needs, consti-
tutes the culture together with its material and spiritual elements (Güngör,
2006: 68). Therefore, culture is generally expressed as the set of material
and spiritual values in a society (Aktan and Tutar, 2007: 2). This situation
brings about the emergence of culture in two different types as material
and spiritual culture. Material culture is the functional tools and equipment
taken from or originating from another culture. All kinds of materials pro-
duced or created by man constitute the material culture. Spiritual culture
on the other hand consists of values, attitudes, beliefs and symbols in a
society. The behaviour patterns of any society originate from the spiritual
culture. The structure of any society in a certain time period is shaped by
the relationship between the material and spiritual culture of that society
(Avcıoğlu, 2020: 316; Gümüştekin, 2011: 319).
Culture is embodied through values in individual and social life. In
other words, values transfer culture to real life. According to Tümuçin, all
cultural values are embodied in people’s beliefs, worships, behaviours, ac-
tivities and what they say (2004b: 342). Therefore, there is a very close re-
lationship between values and culture. The only source of values is culture
(Güvenç, 1979: 95). Social culture produces abstract criteria called values
in culture. Individuals who have just joined the society first internalize
values and then socialize (Yazıcı, 2014: 214). Every society needs values
to exist. Values make social culture unique and differentiate it from other
cultures. The formation and continuity of the differentiation between ‘us’
and ‘them’ is realized through values (Yapıcı et al., 2012: 130).
Values are the soul of culture (Canatan, 2011: 50). Values are deep in
the social structure and they are at the base of behaviour and habits in daily
life (Güven, 2011: 78). Human acts become concrete in the axis of criteria
such as right-wrong, good-bad, unjust, unfair-justice. Values rooted in be-
liefs are a result of this tendency to become concrete. All societies have to
set criteria in the way of making sense of the behaviours of individuals and
in the activities of transforming nature. Otherwise, social life would not be
possible. For this purpose, values that will ensure the continuity of social
life and turn into traditions and customs through repetition are accepted
as common founding elements. Thanks to values, individuals in society
produce, perceive, share and reproduce the meanings of actions without
the need to communicate directly (Ergur, 2011: 11).
The change in culture occurs through the change in values. Struc-
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .9
and creates its own norms of values and behaviour over time. Humans are
born and grown up in a ready-made culture. Therefore, human is the prod-
uct of the culture in which he/she lives (Cuche, 2013: 51; Aktan and Tutar,
2007: 2). From this point of view, culture is a phenomenon that shows itself
in human behaviour and determines how people should behave.
In a chain hierarchy, culture affects the individual and the individual
affects the institution (Gültekin and Sığrı, 2007: 275; Ören, 1999: 313).
Therefore, the general values of the society have a great impact on the ac-
tions of the personnel working in public institutions and the management
procedures and practices of the relevant institution (Okçu et al., 2020: 296).
Public administration’s being influenced by cultural values differs ac-
cording to individualistic and collectivist cultures. Individualism is valid
in societies where ties between individuals are not tight; every individual
is responsible for taking care of himself/herself and his/her family. Collec-
tivism, on the other hand, is specific to societies where there is a sense of
belonging and loyalty to strong and loyal groups from the moment individ-
uals are born throughout their lives (Hofstede, 1984: 83).
In individualistic cultures, individual’s interests are more important
than group interests, while in collectivist cultures group interests direct
the individual’s thoughts and behaviours. Individuals of collectivistic cul-
tures care more about getting group approval than individuals of individ-
ualistic cultures (Kağıtçıbaşı and Cemalcılar, 2014: 90). In individualistic
cultures, the relationship between individuals is weak. In collectivist cul-
tures, community ties are very strong and being a member of a group or
society is very important. Therefore, while the concept of ‘I’ is valid in
individualistic cultures; the concept of ‘us’ prevails in collectivist cultures
(Gültekin and Sığrı, 2007: 277). Individuals with individualistic and col-
lectivist cultural values live together in all societies. For this reason, it is
not possible to group a society into a purely individualistic culture or a
collectivist culture. The main criterion that is effective in this grouping is
the behaviours exhibited by the people who make up the society. If the ma-
jority of the society shows individualistic behaviours, it is classified as an
individualistic culture, and if it shows collectivistic behaviours, it is clas-
sified as a collectivistic culture. The effect of both cultural classifications
is different on public administration. According to Emre, the structure
and functioning of public administration are completely different between
societies with an individualistic culture and societies with a collectivist
culture. Traces of collectivist culture are clearly seen in Turkish public
administration. As a result of the collectivist culture in Turkey, family
and friendship relations are given importance. This situation creates the
expectation that individuals should help their family and friends under
all circumstances. Therefore, decisions that need to be made objectively
12 . Ömer Çamur
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International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences . 17
Ceylan BOZPOLAT2
Yavuz CÖMERT3
INTRODUCTION
Today, encouraging social marketing campaigns and communication
elements are frequently used in the public sector to improve public health.
These campaigns consist of programs designed to encourage individually
beneficial behavior change with a focus on social benefit (Grier and Bryant,
2005: 319). Most of the social marketing campaigns implemented in Turkey,
especially in the last decade, have health content. This shows that social
marketing has a significant potential in solving health problems. Although
social marketing practices in Turkey have a recent past, they have been
used in the world to correct many health problems (insufficient physical
activity, high-fat, low-vegetable diet) before the 2000s (Coreil, 2009:
329). Publicly controlled social marketing professionals deliver health
communication messages aimed at behavior change on national television
channels (as a public service announcement), billboards, and posters in
schools and hospitals. In social marketing, as in traditional marketing, it
is to offer value to the target audience by showing the positive aspects
of being healthy and adopting the targeted behavior with the campaigns
(Evans, 2008: 182). The state prefers to reduce public health expenditures
by promoting healthy life, rather than undertaking financial obligations
to cure diseases, which are the outputs of unhealthy life (Cugelman et al.,
2011: 2). Ornish (2008) stated that with the disease prevention program
he implemented, health insurance expenses decreased by 50% in the first
year and by 20-30% in the following period.
Although social marketing is based on commercial marketing
as stated above, four basic features are effective in the success of the
application (Gordon et al., 2006: 1134). The first is observing voluntary
behavior change after the campaign. Because sustainable behaviors can
be gained voluntarily. The second feature is that behavior change provides
a significant benefit to the individual (French and Gordon, 2015: 28). The
benefit that an individual will get in return for quitting his or her habitual
behavior can affect the level of motivation. While the first two features
are individual-based success criteria, the last two features are related to
the institutions or organizations that make the campaign. While managing
the campaign, the relevant institution should first research the market
potential, segment the market in line with the data obtained as a result of
the research, and then select the department that will respond the fastest to
the change in behavior and develop an appropriate marketing mix strategy.
The last feature is that social benefit is more important than corporate
benefit in social marketing.
In many countries of the world that care about the improvement of
public health, social marketing campaigns in various categories have been
organized and the effectiveness of these campaigns has been researched
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .23
2.1. Purpose
This study was conducted in order to reveal the role of social marketing
campaigns in improving public health in the context of the campaign to
fight against obesity. In addition, it was aimed to determine whether this
campaign created a behavioral change in the target audience. In other
words, the effect of the fight against obesity campaign on the behavior of
adopting philosophy of healthy diet and active life was investigated.
2.2. Sample
The population, from which the research results are generalized and
the sample is selected (Gürbüz and Şahin, 2014: 132), consists of adult
individuals in the city center of Nevşehir. The numerical data used in
determining the sample size of the study (based on the December 2014
census) were obtained from the Nevşehir Regional Directorate of the
Presidency of the Turkish Statistical Institute. According to the information
received, there are a total of 21 neighborhoods in the city center. In order
to increase the representative power of the sample, stratified sampling
method based on the ratio of neighborhoods to the total population was
preferred. The city center population being in the range of 50-100 thousand
required a sample size of at least 384 people at 5% margin of error and
95% confidence level (Altunışık et al., 2007: 127). In this direction, data
were collected as a result of face-to-face interviews from 400 people who
agreed to answer the questionnaire. The number of people to participate
in the survey in each neighborhood and their gender distribution were
determined according to their percentages in the total population.
2.3. Scales
The scale used in the research consists of three parts. In the first part,
there are 30 questions graded according to the Likert scale (1= I absolutely
disagree ... 5= I strongly agree). These questions measure how individuals
evaluate social marketing activities within the scope of fight against
obesity. The questions in this section are adapted from Develi (2008). In
addition, while developing the questions, the official website of www.
beslenme.gov.tr, which contains all the details of the campaign to fight
against obesity, was also used. In the second part of the scale, questions
about demographic characteristics such as age, gender and income were
asked, followed by questions about body weight and physical activity
in order to calculate the body mass index. In the last part, prepared by
the researchers themselves (with reference to the www.beslenme.gov.tr
official website) and there are two importance scale questions (1=Not at
all effective....... 5=Very effective), each consisting of six questions. These
questions are aimed at determining the factors that are effective in the
reflection/inability of individuals to reflect the philosophy of healthy diet
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .31
and active life on their behaviors. Content validity based on expert opinion
(Yükselen, 2009: 99) was carried out to make sure that the final version of
the scale contains a sufficient number of questions that can represent the
phenomenon to be measured. In line with the opinions of academic experts,
it has been determined that there is no problem with the content and clarity
of the measurement tool. Another analysis that should be done in case the
scale is used in different samples is reliability analysis. A reliability level
of 0.70 and above, measured by the Cronbach α coefficient, indicates that
the measurement tool is reliable (Bryman and Cramer, 1997: 78; Hair et
al., 2006). The reliability of the scale was supported in the preliminary
analysis made on the data of the pilot study conducted with 40 people.
2.4. Research Model
Descriptive researches are used in many fields when it is desired
to obtain complete and accurate information about the target audience
(Nakip, 2006). The model created for the purpose of the research is shown
in Figure 1. According to the model, social marketing practices (with the
content of fighting obesity) to improve public health have a positive effect
on the behavior of adopting philosophy of healthy diet and active life.
Under this main assumption, six sub-hypotheses were formed. These;
H1: Public responsibilities and sample practices positively affect the
behavior of adopting philosophy of healthy diet and active life.
H2: Promotion methods positively affect the behavior of adopting
philosophy of healthy diet and active life.
H3: Effectiveness of the campaign positively affects the behavior of
adopting philosophy of healthy diet and active life.
H4: Informing positively affects the behavior of adopting philosophy
of healthy diet and active life.
H5: Physical activity practices positively affect the behavior of
adopting philosophy of healthy diet and active life.
H6: Mass media positively affects the behavior of adopting philosophy
of healthy diet and active life.
32 . Ceylan Bozpolat, Yavuz Cömert
diet and active life are not statistically significant. Hence, H2, H4 and H5
hypotheses have been rejected.
4. CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS
Governments are activating social marketing practices that trigger the
necessary behavioral change to reduce the incidence of obesity. Gracia-
Marco et al. (2011) stated that the lifestyle shaped by daily behaviors is the
main determinant of obesity. The current study evaluates the effectiveness
of an intervention aimed at changing lifestyles with healthy eating and
physical activity practices to reduce the risk of obesity in the general
population. This intervention was introduced to the public as the “Fight
Against Obesity” campaign, which is a national social marketing practice
carried out in the field of health in Turkey. Although it is thought that the
campaign will have a high impact on behavior change, the results of the
research show that this change is not as much as expected. Similarly, the
Change4Life program to reduce obesity in the UK has also had a limited
impact on attitudes and behaviors, although it has raised awareness of
obesity (Llauradó et al., 2015: 10). Behavior change at a rate of 21.7%
in the campaign to fight against obesity is realized with the positive
contribution of public responsibilities and sample practices, effectiveness
of the campaign and mass media. In this context, it is important that the
government authorities regularly inform the society about nutrition and
active life, the campaign advertisements are believable, the government is
sensitive to obesity, the stories are told in the campaign advertisements, and
the effective use of mass media such as radio, newspaper and magazine.
Despite all these features that have a positive effect on behavior
change, it has been determined that promotion methods, informing and
physical activity practices do not have an effect contrary to expectations.
The theme, person or persons, sound, music, message content and viral
marketing used in the campaign advertisement have no effect on the
behavior of individuals. Mollaoğlu (2016: 50) stated in his study that
it may be more beneficial in behavior change to prepare the content of
the advertising message by determining the factors that prevent healthy
eating and living an active life with a preliminary research. In addition,
when the impact power of the visual and auditory elements used in
these advertisements made under the name of publicity is increased, it
can create emotional effects in individuals (Sözen, 2013: 167). This can
be a trigger for behavior change. Moreover walking activities organized
by official institutions and exercise equipment in parks do not have an
encouraging role in physical activity. It is recommended to take urgent
corrective actions regarding non-continuous walking activities and the use
of exercise equipment in parks that are not clearly stated how to use and
what they are for.
38 . Ceylan Bozpolat, Yavuz Cömert
Based on the results of the current research, it can be said that, like
many studies in the literature (Gordon et al., 2006; Burton et al., 2006;
Dolan et al., 2006; Gracia-Marco et al., 2011; Truong, 2014; George et al.,
2016), the contribution of social marketing campaigns to behavior change
cannot be ignored in this study. In order to increase the share of this limited
contribution, some suggestions are made to the practitioners.
First of all, it is necessary to improve the content quality of these
advertisements, which are published under the name of public service
advertisement. Remarkable, impressive, visually and audibly rich message
content should be created that is compatible with the expectations and
wishes of the target audience. On the other hand, educational cartoons and
school milk program applied within the scope of prevention of obesity in
schools should be developed. Although these practices aim to eat healthy,
unhealthy snacks and fast food-style meals in school canteens reduce the
effectiveness of the program. Continuous inspection of school canteens
and implementation of constructive policies in this area may be beneficial.
According to Hoelscher et al. (2013) in addition to providing information
on healthy nutrition in schools, reflecting the acquired knowledge
to the lifestyle is more important in preventing obesity. In campaign
advertisements, it should be conveyed with convincing messages that it
is important in sports and active life as well as nutrition. In the campaign
advertisements, which are emphasized with the slogan of 10,000 steps
a day, the exercise equipment in the walking paths and parks should be
reminded. Red walking paths and blue bicycle paths should be built in
such a way that many parts of the city can be reached. In addition, physical
and mental benefits of being active can be mentioned.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .39
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44 . Ceylan Bozpolat, Yavuz Cömert
CHAPTER 3
THE EFFECTS OF INFORMATION
COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES
ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF
INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT TYPES
Ramazan YILDIZ1
1 Öğr. Gör. Dr. Ramazan Yıldız, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, Yenice
Vocational School, Department of Management and Organization, e-mail: ra-
[email protected], ORCID ID: 0000-0001-8437-8171
46 . Ramazan Yıldız
1. INTRODUCTION
Information and communication technologies have important
contributions to the development of countries. ICT has started to play a
more important role especially in production after 1980s. ICT is not only
used for personal needs, but also makes important contributions to the
economic development of countries. Thanks to ICT, information and
documents can be easily shared within and between countries. The fact
that information can be shared easily and instantaneously means that
information can be disseminated more quickly. Thanks to the information,
people can demand the products they need from anywhere they want.
On the other hand, when it is considered from the perspective of the
manufacturer, it can determine where in the world they can produce and
sell which products, how much and at what price. Thus, human needs can
be identified and met easily and quickly (Saidi, Toumi and Zaidi: 2017).
The digital and information age is changing the way people learn,
communicate, do business and treat diseases. ICT provides great
opportunities for the economic growth of countries, providing better quality
services, creating better health services, learning with distance education
methods, and progress in social and cultural areas. Although many
countries have data for ICT use; school, business, research, government,
etc. Little is known about how and by whom they are used in the fields.
More comparative statistical analyzes are needed to determine the growth
of the ICT sector and its benefits on production and development. Thanks
to ICT, countries can establish global partnerships, harmonize information
and data exchanges, and build their statistical capacity (Word data bank,
2023).
Logistics is the element that brings together the demands of the people
that emerged thanks to ICT and the supplies of the producers. Many types
of transportation such as road, air, rail, sea and pipeline transportation
are used in logistics activities. While one of these types of transportation
can be used to deliver the products to the places where they are needed,
two or more types of transportation can also be used together. There are
intermodal, multimodal and combined transportation types among the two
or more used transportation types. With the healthy operation of logistics
activities, the desired product can be delivered on time, to the desired
location, at the desired price and quality (Yıldız, 2022).
There are many prominent domestic and foreign studies on ICT and
logistics applications. Karlı and Tanyaş (2020) worked on the integration
of ICT supported activities and logistics centers. In the study, they mention
that ICT is needed in order to improve logistics centers, increase their
efficiency and make full integration. Çeviker, Mutlu, and Sesliokuyucu
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .47
(2013) have studied the place of Middle Eastern Countries using ICT in
world trade according to their e-commerce infrastructures. In the study, the
Middle East Countries are divided into three groups. It has been observed
that there are differences in the use of ICT and income levels between these
countries. Cengiz and Çetinceli (2020) investigated the situations between
logistics performance indices and ICT development indices. They found
that there were significant differences between the sub-dimensions of both
indices. Perego, Perotti, and Mangiaracina (2010) conducted a literature
study on ICT for logistics and freight transportation. In the research,
they stated that while there is ICT work for public transport, there is less
scientific work for the private sector. They also mentioned that most of the
studies were based on questionnaires. Cuong and Tien (2022) conducted
a study on the application of ICT in logistics and supply chain after
COVID-19. In the study, it is mentioned that ICT has a great contribution
to the improvement of services in the logistics and supply chain. They also
stated that ICT has a vital importance in the social-economic development
of the society. Korpysa, Halicki and Uphaus (2021) studied new financing
methods for logistics initiatives against ICT. In the study, it is mentioned
that the first coin supply can be used. They also stated that uncertainty has
arisen due to the fact that the tokens have not gained their legal status.
Literature research is mainly focused on the effects of ICT on economic
growth. In addition, studies on the effects of ICT on logistics performance
gains are gaining weight. However, no study has been found on the effects
of ICT on the development of international logistics activities. In this
respect, this study will investigate the effects of ICT on the development
of international logistics activities (road, rail, air and sea). In addition,
by revealing that ICT affects which type of international transport is
developed more, it is to make suggestions to support the development
of other inefficient transport modes. For the research, the export and
import values of highway, railway, airway, seaway and the gross domestic
product (GDP) ratio of ICTs between 2013-2022 were used. First of all, the
stationarity levels of the data were determined by ADF unit root tests. After
the stationarity levels were determined, models were established between
the series. Specification tests were performed to determine whether the
established models were suitable. After determining the suitability of the
established models for the EKK method, analyzes were carried out.
48 . Ramazan Yıldız
Economic Growth
businesses that use ICT systems work at least 5% more efficiently than
those that do not. More efficient processes will have more economic gains
as they produce more products or services in a short time (Mouelhi, 2009).
Contribution of ICT Investments to Economic Growth: In order to
determine the impact of ICT system investments on economic growth, it is
necessary to look at per capita income. In order for the per capita income
to increase, the GDP ratios must increase gradually. This is possible by
investing in the processing of production processes to improve themselves
or by increasing their efficiency. Depending on technological and global
developments, it is very difficult to achieve economic development in the
absence of sufficient investment in the field of ICT. Embroidery works in
national and international arena under competitive conditions. Whichever
business invests more in technologies and ICT systems can increase their
efficiency and reduce their costs. Businesses that can reduce their costs can
compete more (Türedi, 2013).
Developed countries can make their investments in technologies and
ICT systems faster and easier. Developing countries find it difficult to
access these technologies immediately. In addition, it takes a long time for
these countries to access new technologies or they cannot reach them. This
means that developed countries grow more economically than developing
countries. This means that the already existing income imbalance between
countries will increase more and more (Guetat and Dine, 2007).
According to the research conducted in Egypt, they stated that the
contribution of the investment made in the telecom sector to the GDP
in a year is 4.35 billion USD. Therefore, the country has accelerated its
investments in new licenses for international submarine cables and more
fixed line operators. ICT is one of the most important tools for providing
not only economic but also health, education, logistics, production and
government services (Kamel, Rateb and El-Tawil 2009). It has been
determined that investment in ICT systems in Bangladesh has gradually
grown in domestic and export earnings (Shamim, 2022).
2.2. International Logistics
International logistics is one of the most important factors in the
realization of foreign trade. International logistics activities are needed
in order to transmit the products between the countries between the
sender and the receiver at the desired time, in the desired amount, at the
appropriate cost and without any problems. Apart from the shipment of
products between countries, the exchange of money and information is also
considered within the scope of international logistics. Accurate planning
and implementation in the field of international logistics; It will provide
advantages in reducing total costs, gaining reputation and creating new
52 . Ramazan Yıldız
Table 2: Stability Levels of Variables According to ADF Unit Root Test Statistics
Results
t-
Prob.* Stability 1% level 5% level 10% level
Statistic
Railway Export -8.405759 0.0000 I(1) -3.615588 -2.941145 -2.609066
Railway Import -6.430462 0.0000 I(1) -3.621023 -2.943427 -2.610263
Highway Export -9.296982 0.0000 I(1) -3.615588 -2.941145 -2.609066
Highway Import -6.599729 0.0000 I(1) -3.621023 -2.943427 -2.610263
Seaway Export -10.24168 0.0000 I(1) -3.615588 -2.941145 -2.609066
Seaway Import -8.528568 0.0000 I(1) -3.615588 -2.941145 -2.609066
Airline Export -6.479261 0.0000 I(1) -3.626784 -2.945842 -2.611531
Airline Import -8.834387 0.0000 I(1) -3.615588 -2.941145 -2.609066
ICT -3.962620 0.0046 I(1) -3.653730 -2.957110 -2.617434
8
Series: Residuals
7 Sample 2013Q1 2022Q4
Observations 40
6
5 Mean 7.93e-11
Median 8396.062
4 Maximum 260352.0
3 Minimum -166753.8
Std. Dev. 91622.55
2 Skewness 0.573574
Kurtosis 3.726513
1
0 Jarque-Bera 3.072951
-100000 0 100000 200000 Probability 0.215138
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64 . Ramazan Yıldız
APPENDİCES
9
Series: Residuals
8 Sample 2013Q1 2022Q4
7 Observations 40
6
Mean 3.17e-09
5 Median -519569.8
Maximum 5160326.
4
Minimum -2858715.
3 Std. Dev. 1882556.
2 Skewness 0.837584
Kurtosis 3.258436
1
0 Jarque-Bera 4.788290
-2000000 0 2000000 4000000 Probability 0.091251
6 Mean -2.87e-10
5 Median -549548.6
Maximum 6663736.
4
Minimum -3846297.
3 Std. Dev. 2609399.
Skewness 0.495010
2
Kurtosis 2.595858
1
0 Jarque-Bera 1.858142
-4000000 -2000000 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 Probability 0.394920
10
Series: Residuals
Sample 2013Q2 2022Q4
8 Observations 39
Mean -6.18e-10
6
Median -237797.9
Maximum 6148700.
4 Minimum -3599027.
Std. Dev. 2313707.
Skewness 0.769519
2
Kurtosis 3.024796
0 Jarque-Bera 3.850033
-4000000 -2000000 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 Probability 0.145873
12
Series: Residuals
Sample 2013Q2 2022Q4
10
Observations 39
8
Mean 1.55e-09
Median 153635.4
6 Maximum 5564175.
Minimum -4248582.
4 Std. Dev. 2357843.
Skewness 0.635847
2 Kurtosis 3.024755
0 Jarque-Bera 2.628952
-4000000 -2000000 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 Probability 0.268615
0 Jarque-Bera 2.663732
-4000000 -2000000 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 Probability 0.263984
Mean -2.14e-09
6
Median -429297.0
Maximum 5123500.
4 Minimum -3671661.
Std. Dev. 2244876.
Skewness 0.592578
2
Kurtosis 2.491842
0 Jarque-Bera 2.632794
-4000000 -2000000 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 Probability 0.268099
9
Series: Residuals
8 Sample 2013Q2 2022Q4
7 Observations 39
6 Mean 3.58e-10
5 Median -299836.5
Maximum 5376330.
4
Minimum -4363918.
3 Std. Dev. 2447999.
Skewness 0.512793
2
Kurtosis 2.601342
1
0 Jarque-Bera 1.967474
-4000000 -2000000 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 Probability 0.373911
INTRODUCTION
Industrial history examines developments in industrial production,
processing and distribution technologies that began with the industrial
revolution. The industrial revolution began in England at the end of the
18th century, and human and animal power gave way to innovations such
as steam engines, weaving machines, the railway and the telegraph. In this
period, production and trade increased rapidly and this situation laid the
foundations of modern industrial society.
The industrial revolution is a global-scale development and has af-
fected all the countries of the world. The industrial revolution in Turkey
started in the last years of the Ottoman Empire and gained momentum in
the Republican period. Turkey started to implement economic develop-
ment and industrialization strategies, especially after the 1950s, and the
industrial sector greatly expanded in this period. Turkey has an important
industrial capacity, especially in sectors such as textile, food, chemistry,
automotive and defense industries. In recent years, the technology sector
in Turkey has been growing rapidly and world-renowned technology com-
panies are investing in Turkey. However, the existence of some problems
related to Turkey’s economic stability affects the industrial development of
the country (Sarı et al., 2020).
As a result, industrial history laid the foundations of the modern world
and still plays an important role today. Although Turkey has faced many
difficulties in the industrialization process, it has an important industrial
capacity and this contributes to the economic development of the country.
In this section, the historical development of the industrial revolution will
be scrutinized, especially Industry 4.0 will be detailed and evaluations
will be made on Turkey.
1. Historical Development of the Industrial Revolution
In the classification of industrial revolutions, which energy source
was used in which period was decisive. When evaluated within this frame-
work, it is known that coal and wood were used in the first industrial revo-
lution, electricity and oil were used in the second industrial revolution, and
nuclear energy was used in the third industrial revolution. Figure 1 explain
informations about industrial revolutions.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .69
the expansion of industries, such as textiles, iron and steel production, and
transportation. The industrial revolution had a profound impact on soci-
ety and the economy. It led to the growth of cities, the expansion of trade
and commerce, and the development of new forms of transportation and
communication. The changes brought about by the industrial revolution
also paved the way for the rise of capitalism and the growth of a global
economy (Loy et al., 2021).
Industry 1.0, was characterized by the invention and use of machines
powered by water and steam. The use of these machines dramatically
transformed the manufacturing industry and revolutionized the way goods
were produced. The invention of the steam engine by James Watt in the
late 18th century, for example, allowed for the mechanization of factories
and increased the production of textiles, iron, and other goods. The steam
engine also facilitated transportation by powering steamships and loco-
motives, making it easier and more efficient to transport goods and people
across long distances. The use of water power also played a significant role
in Industry 1.0, with the development of water wheels and water turbines
allowing for the mechanization of mills and factories. These machines
could generate large amounts of power and helped to increase production
capacity and efficiency. Overall, the breakthrough technologies of Indus-
try 1.0 transformed the manufacturing and transportation industries and
paved the way for further advancements in technology and industry. The
use of coal as an additional fuel source further fueled the growth of these
industries, allowing for even greater production capacity and efficiency
(Lau and Yeung, 2020).
The rapid development of technology and industry has brought with it
some problems. Reasons such as long working hours, oppression of child
and female workers, unhealthy workplace and working conditions have
come to the fore. The industrial revolution has led to more pressure, es-
pecially on workers who are seen as the lower class. These workers were
forced to work long hours and in unhealthy working conditions. This sit-
uation caused the working class to become stronger and act consciously.
Conflicts arose between the bourgeois class and the working class, which
we call the proletariat. These conflicts rang the bells of the transition to
socialist and communist societies. However, in 1833, the Factory Act was
enacted in England to ensure that high standards are observed in all work-
places and to guarantee the safety and protection of all workers (Aprili-
yanti, 2022).
1.2. Industry 2.0
The second industrial revolution, also known as Industry 2.0, started
in the 19th century, in the 1870s. The countries that pioneered my second
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .71
industrial revolution were America and Germany. With the rapid increase
in the population in Europe, the population engaged in agriculture in the
villages began to migrate to the cities. This situation has created a ready-
made workforce opportunity for developed industries. The living stan-
dards of people who migrated from villages to cities have also changed.
This situation has also increased the demand for consumer goods. In ad-
dition, many precious metals were brought to Europe with the discoveries
made in this period. When considered in this context, the second industrial
revolution refers to the social and economic changes between the years
1870-1914 (Ashton, 1997).
As mentioned before, the classification of industrial revolutions is
evaluated in relation to the energy resources used at that time. In the sec-
ond industrial period, there was a rapid increase in oil and electricity and
steel production, which allowed the development of railways. This devel-
opment affected the transportation and communication networks, and with
the ease of distribution and transportation of goods, great gains were made
in trade. The use of electricity and oil has also allowed the automotive in-
dustry to develop. In addition, thanks to the possibilities provided by the
use of telegraph and radio, stock market and stock market were formed.
While these developments were taking place, the acceptance of trade
unions and the increase in the employment rate of white-collar workers
were among the important developments of the period (De Vries, 1994;
Montagna, 1981).
The Second Industrial Revolution, which took place between the late
19th and early 20th centuries. During this time, there were significant ad-
vancements in technology, particularly in the fields of electricity, com-
munication, transportation, and manufacturing. One of the major break-
throughs during this period was the development of electric power and
the widespread adoption of electrical machinery in industry. This allowed
for the automation and mass production of goods on a scale that was not
possible before. The development of the electric motor, for example, al-
lowed factories to be more efficient, reliable, and cost-effective, leading
to increased productivity and lower prices for consumers. Other notable
technological advancements during this period include the invention of
the telephone, the expansion of telegraph networks, the development of the
internal combustion engine, and the creation of the assembly line, which
revolutionized manufacturing and made it possible to produce goods on
a much larger scale. Overall, the Second Industrial Revolution marked a
significant shift in the way goods were produced, and it paved the way for
many of the technological advancements that we still benefit from today
(Hudson, 2014).
72 . Hazal Koray Alay
Industry 4.0 is related to big data, cloud computing and artificial intel-
ligence technologies, are explained in detail below (Popkova et al., 2019):
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .77
use of robots, such as China, where the number of people is high and the
labor force is cheap, and which has started the transition to the smart facto-
ry system, will be victorious in this competition. The rapid rise of Huawei,
a Chinese company with a short history of 35 years and ahead of world
giants, in the technology market forces deep-rooted companies such as
Ericson and Cisco to review their strategies.
Turkey has been increasing its efforts to keep up with the digitaliza-
tion and automation trends brought by Industry 4.0 in recent years. These
efforts aim to help Turkey achieve greater efficiency, quality, speed and
flexibility in its production processes (Özlü, 2017). The following topics
can give information about Turkey’s Industry 4.0 development (Arucu,
2020; Tecim and Tarhan, 2020; Salğar and Dereli, 2018; Atak, 2018):
• Digital Transformation Strategy: Turkey adopted the Digital Trans-
formation Strategy in 2017. This strategy aims to accelerate Turkey’s tran-
sition to the digital economy, develop its digital competencies and facili-
tate the transition to Industry 4.0.
• New Generation Industrial Move Program: Turkey launched the
New Generation Industrial Move Program in 2018. This program aims to
make Turkey more competitive in the industrial sector by using Industry
4.0 technologies.
• Test and Application Centers: Turkey has established a number of
centers for testing and implementation of Industry 4.0 technologies. These
centers include Bursa Technology Coordination and Innovation Center
(BTM), Gebze Technology Institute (GTE) and Istanbul Chamber of In-
dustry Industry 4.0 Center.
• Smart Factories: Turkey works for the development and dissemina-
tion of smart factories. These factories aim to optimize production pro-
cesses using sensors, robots, artificial intelligence and other Industry 4.0
technologies.
• Workforce Competencies: Turkey focuses on the development of
workforce competencies required for the use of Industry 4.0 technologies.
For this purpose, various training and competence development programs
are implemented.
• Public-Private Cooperation: Turkey attaches importance to coop-
eration between the public and private sectors for the dissemination of
Industry 4.0 technologies. This cooperation aims to provide the necessary
resources to promote the use of Industry 4.0 technologies and accelerate
the dissemination of these technologies.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .81
CONCLUSION
Industry 4.0 is an industrial revolution characterized by the intensive
use of digitalization and automation technologies in production processes.
This revolution is creating significant changes in the manufacturing indus-
try and is expected to have a major impact on how production processes
will be shaped in the future. Key features of Industry 4.0 include the in-
ternet of things (IoT), big data analytics, artificial intelligence, automated
manufacturing and smart factories. These technologies provide higher ef-
ficiency, lower costs, fewer errors and higher quality in production pro-
cesses. Also, the use of these technologies can automate repetitive work to
enable people to do more creative and challenging work. The advantages
of Industry 4.0 include making production processes more flexible, faster
production, better management of the supply chain and more environmen-
tally friendly production. These technologies also enable manufacturers to
build closer relationships with customers, personalize products and better
meet consumer needs. However, the implementation of Industry 4.0 also
faces some challenges. These challenges include high costs, complexity of
technology, security risks, workforce training and regulations. Also, the
use of these technologies can cause some jobs to become too automated
to be done by humans, causing people to lose their jobs. Industry 4.0 is an
industrial revolution characterized by the intensive use of digitalization
and automation technologies in production processes. This revolution is
creating significant changes in the manufacturing industry and is expect-
ed to have a major impact on how production processes will be shaped
in the future. Key features of Industry 4.0 include the internet of things
(IoT), big data analytics, artificial intelligence, automated manufacturing
and smart factories. These technologies provide higher efficiency, lower
costs, fewer errors and higher quality in production processes. Also, the
use of these technologies can automate repetitive work to enable people
to do more creative and challenging work. The advantages of Industry
4.0 include making production processes more flexible, faster production,
better management of the supply chain and more environmentally friendly
production. These technologies also enable manufacturers to build closer
relationships with customers, personalize products and better meet con-
sumer needs. However, the implementation of Industry 4.0 also faces some
challenges. These challenges include high costs, complexity of technology,
security risks, workforce training and regulations. Also, the use of these
technologies faces some challenges as some jobs become too automated
to be done by humans. These challenges include high costs, complexity of
technology, security risks, workforce training and regulations. Also, the
use of these technologies can cause people to lose their jobs.
82 . Hazal Koray Alay
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International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .85
Akif ÇARKÇI1
Recep ŞEHITOĞLU2
Nazmul İSLAM3
1 Dr. Düzce Üniversitesi, Akçakoca Bey Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi, Dr. Öğretim
Üyesi, e-mail: [email protected], ORCID: 0000-0001-6522-7140
2 Dr. Gaziantep Üniversitesi, El-Bab İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Dr. Öğretim
Üyesi, e-mail: [email protected], ORCID: 0000-0001-6855-4841
3 Dr. Ankara Yıldırım Beyazıt Üniversitesi, Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi, Dr.
Öğretim Üyesi, e-mail: [email protected], ORCID: 0000-0002-8660-0415
88 . Akif Çarkçı, Recep Şehitoğlu, MD Nazmul İslam
1. Introduction
Europeanness identity, the idea of “identity”, which forms the foun-
dation for the concept of citizenship, has also been subjected to many de-
bates. The same debate has been made on the Europeanness identity and
EU citizenship. Considering the treaties and agreements, youth, and edu-
cation programs, even the production of common symbols and the effort to
establish a media, it is understood that an attempt is being made to create a
“Europeanness identity” within the EU. Nowadays, it is seen that there are
multiple identities, such as multiple citizenships. In other words, multiple
identities can be owned and used simultaneously under the circumstanc-
es. However, another polemic is focused on which of the national identi-
ties and the upper identity of Europeanness is the priority (Çilingir, 2007,
pp.44-52). According to Diez, although there is a “Europe”, many are Eu-
ropean. Emphasizing Benedict Enderson’s Imaginary Communities, Diez
forms the basis of today’s debates on Europeanness and identity, the ques-
tion of a nation, that is, nation or Europe (Diez, 2004, p.494).
Contrary to the geopolitical conditions in the 1950s. On the one hand,
the EU identity is based on the Union’s ideas. On the other hand, the na-
tional identity understanding, which highlights the national identities of
the nation, greatly impacted the conditions that led to the emergence of
concepts such as Europe and Europeanness, as Smith speaks of (Smith,
1992, p.60).
The EU’s effort to create a unique identity for political integration is
mainly due to the problem of legitimacy. In this sense, it can be said that
the Europeanness identity is a framework to be established for the Union
to take a more democratic and legitimate base. In addition, it would be a
good point and appropriate to add the decisions regarding the Union and
citizenship included in the founding treaties since the Maastricht Treaty
(1992) was concluded. The efforts to support the democratization of the
developing candidate countries since the 1980s (Kaya, 2017, p.27). Conti-
nental Europe had been defined for many years by its history, geography,
and various cultural characteristics. The identity of Europeanness had rep-
resented modernization before the EU was established. After the 1950s, it
was reshaped and further strengthened by the integration process within
the EU II. However, after the second World war, the idea of the EU, a civ-
ilization and culture project based on the rule of law and humanism, was
seen by many as a myth. However, with the treaties concluded between
various European states, this project turned into an international and inter-
cultural integration study in which shared values were formed and shaped
(Mayer and Palmovski, 2004, p.575).
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .89
2. What is Identity?
The fact that it is a multidimensional concept and that this multidi-
mensionality requires interdisciplinary work has made the concept of
identity one of the most complex and controversial concepts of social sci-
ences (Türkbağ, 2003, p.205). More comprehensively, identity can also be
defined as a social phenomenon and a system of relationships that take
shape through interaction between one (İnanç, 2005, p.15). The concept of
identity plays an essential role in individual lives and the life of societies.
The concept of identity plays a vital role in connecting the individuals
that build the society (Tekin, 2009, p.146). As it can be understood from
the definition, the most basic function of identity is to distinguish an in-
dividual or a group from other individuals or groups. For this purpose, it
determines the elements of the individual or group that are unique to it.
On the other hand, it also reveals the points where it is separated from
others. In this regard, identity includes two concepts: a) me/us and b) the
other(s). These two concepts are complementary concepts from the point
of identity and are the two main constituent elements of the concept of
identity. While the individual or group members reveal their common
characteristics, on the other hand, they list the issues that distinguish them
from the “other(s)”. Therefore, identity consists of the sum of the simi-
larities between those who have this identity and the points (differences)
where they differ from ‘others’ (Douven and Decock, 2010, p.60). At this
point, the third element that comes into play is that there is a consciousness
that identity exists. This element, also called subjective consciousness, is
seen not only as a complement to objective elements such as similarities
and differences that make up identity but also as a natural result of these
objective elements (Yurdusev, 1997, p.27). In other words, the emergence
of the element of consciousness is due to the existence of objective ele-
ments. The fact that people have a shared sense of identity indicates that
they share something in common, according to another opinion that em-
phasizes the importance of the element of consciousness, a belief that ob-
jective elements’ existence will be sufficient to form an identity, although
they do not exist. (Wintle, 1996, pp.5-6). In other words, the non-formation
of identity consciousness will prevent identity formation. This psycholog-
ical element appears as an ideology in politically organized communities
such as ethnicity and nation (Douven and Decock, 2010, p.61). The three
elements discussed above (us, the other, and the elements of identity con-
sciousness) are present in all types of identity.
The identity concept’s popularity and centrality are due to its multi-
plicity of meanings, codes, and naming mechanisms. The multiplicity of
identity codes, the multidimensionality of the mechanisms of naming in-
dividuals through identity, the different meanings imposed on identity, and
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .91
the different political discourses generated via this way make it difficult to
reach a theoretical compromise on the concept of identity. On the contrary,
the concept of identity plays the role of perhaps the most important strate-
gic weapon in the battles for theoretical and political positions in the world
we live in (Keyman, 2005, p.25). When examined at the epistemic level,
identity is a central phenomenon that forms the cultural basis of the meth-
od and style of explanation used to understand the world. In modern times,
this phenomenon manifests itself in contradictions such as East-West,
modern-traditional, and scientific-traditional. Nowadays, it performs as
the epistemic constituent element of discourses such as war among civ-
ilizations, enemies, terrorists, Islam as the other, and cultural globaliza-
tion. At the ontological level, identity serves as a concept that helps us
understand the problems that arise in the analysis of the understanding of
history, time, and space, especially in non-Western and different cultures
and societies. Once again, while approaching non-Western cultures and
societies, the cultural characteristic, which includes several concepts such
as the new world order, orientalism, third world, underdevelopment, and
poverty, shows us the importance of identity in the historical development
of modern international relations. Academic and public debates on the
management of a democratic world, in both today and modern times, do
not seem to be succeeded without addressing the phenomenon of identity
while searching for a democratic and just world and attempting to establish
world peace. It also cannot succeed without solving the problems of identi-
ty that we experience and without criticizing the acts of otherizing the dif-
ferent and establishing a democratic negotiation and mutual understanding
between different identities. In this regard, the phenomenon of identity is
also of central importance at the normative level (Delanty, 2004, p.56).
3. Is Europeanness Possible? Europeanness with Its Different Di-
mensions
Although discussions on Europeanness identity and the borders of
Europe began in the 1980s and intensified in the 1990s, this problem was
referenced in the context of a partnership in history, geography, and cul-
ture since the Middle Ages. For instance, the concept of “Europeanness”,
which was limited to the Mediterranean and Don rivers in the 2nd century
AD, gained the meaning of “Christian country” in the Middle Ages (Yur-
dusev, 1997, p.19). The Charlemagne era and Latin Christianity, which de-
veloped during this period, shifted the boundaries of the geographical area
expressed by the concept to the West. Charlemagne,” the King of Europe”,
Pope Jean VIII was referred to as the” European Leader” (Locksmith,
1974, p.46). Contradictions between the Ottoman Empire, which had been
economically superior in Central Asia and the Mediterranean region, es-
pecially since the beginning of the 15. century, and Europe, which dom-
92 . Akif Çarkçı, Recep Şehitoğlu, MD Nazmul İslam
inated Africa and the East by different routes following the path enabled
by geographical discoveries, left its mark on the idea of a newly formed
Europeanness. These developments led to the definition of “other” being
commercial-centred, that is, economically oriented and abandoning reli-
gious centre (Poyraz and Arıkan, 2003, p.64). Just at this time, a closed
common market, which was created by the newly enriched bourgeoisie
class and the mercantilist accumulation process in Europe, also formed the
core for nationalism within the framework of rising nation-states (Oran,
1997, pp.29-30).
In other words, as an extension of the mental map of nationalism since
the 15th century, the concepts of a foreigner or other found a response in
the mentality of communities. Of course, the other in question receives
different names depending on the dose and direction of the implicit threat.
For example, Muslim and Turkish, Islam and Turkish religion, or ‘religio
Turcia’ were synonymous in Central Europe until the Age of Enlighten-
ment” (Aydın, 1998, p.35). Of course, the intellectual foundations on which
the European identity was nurtured were important reference point in the
shaping of the other mentioned above. For instance, in Hegel’s notion, Eu-
rope, which he called the Christian-Germanic world, is where history will
end, and Europeans are the main subject of history. According to Hegel,
universal history moves from the East to the West. Europe is the endpoint
of universal history; on the other hand, Asia is the beginning point. Almost
every philosopher interested in cultures other than Europe during the En-
lightenment could compare European civilization and other “backward”
cultures, resulting in Western superiority. Of course, this superiority of
Western notions was reflected in the institutions and practices of the West.
One of the theorists who made this distinction the most acute is undoubt-
edly Montesquieu. According to Montesquieu, using climatic conditions
as a base, tropical climates cannot provide a suitable environment for de-
mocracy and the growth of individual rights and freedoms (Mukherjee
and Ramaswamy, 2011, p.468).
Similarly, John Stuart Mill, especially in his articles titled On Liberty
and Considerations on Representative Government, saw the despotic co-
lonialism of the West as the essential tool to civilize the people of the East
(Mill, 1998, pp.240-247). About 100 years later, which falls in the 1930s,
Edmund Husserl argued that the crisis Europe had at that time was purely
philosophical and reminded us of the universality of Western philosophy
and rationality (Husserl, 1970, pp.1-5). In his speech at the Vienna Cultural
Society in 1935, the limits of this universality and Europe were apparent:
“At the moment, we are asking ourselves: what are the features of the Euro-
pean soul? In other words, we do not distinguish Europe geographically but
by the characteristics of the people living in these lands. In a spiritual sense,
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .93
while lands such as the British colonies and the USA belong to Europe, the
Eskimos, Indians, or Gypsies who attract attention at fairs and constantly
travel across Europe are not European. The concept of ‘Europe’ corresponds
to the integrity of spiritual life, activities, creativity, interests, and the mea-
ningful institutions and organizations created by this integrity” (Locksmith,
1974, p.273).
This Europecenteric narrative, which was the main subject of the de-
bates about the Europeanness identity until the 1980s, has been strictly
criticized by many philosophers/thinkers inspired by post-colonial theory
since the 1990s. In this context, it can be argued that Turkey, faced with
the normative power of the EU and the economic and military superiority
of the West in general, also finds itself in a semi-postcolonial situation.
Nevertheless, this dual contradiction between the superior West and the
irrational and undeveloped East created by the Eurocentric perspective has
deciphered the identity of Europeanness since the Middle Ages (Morozov
and Rumelili, 2012, p.30).
By the 1950s, the debris left by the Second World War changed “Eu-
ropeanness”, which had been used to separate West and East culturally and
geographically for centuries, into a project that had its raison d’être from
reviving a continent that was just out of a war and from preventing coun-
tries in the continent from wringing each other’s neck forever. The concept
of “Europeanness” was reformed in the 1920s and 1930s under the roof of
a united ideal Europe (pan-Europeanism) under the leadership of anti-war
political figures such as Paul-Henri Spaak and Jean Luchaire. The concept
preserved its anti-war spirit after the Second World War and added an
essential component to its raison d’être: It aimed to keep Germany’s unbri-
dled economic rise under control and turn the “German problem”, which
primarily France suffered from, into a “European problem”. The Schuman
Declaration, May 9th 1950, the European Coal-Steel Union (ECSC) estab-
lished in 1952, and the Treaty of Rome in 1957, considered the founding
treaty of the European Union, constitute important milestones in achiev-
ing these basic goals through an elitist European organization.
Looking over the issue from an economic perspective, after the 1960s,
when constituent policies of the EU, such as the Common Agricultural
Policy (1962) and the Customs Union (1968), participated in the Union,
“Europeanness” was introduced as a remedy for the political and econom-
ic crisis of the 1970s. The economic crisis that began with the collapse of
the Bretton Woods System in 1971, the Vietnam War, and the 1973 Oil
Crisis all had the potential to snowball into an identity crisis for Europe if
it hadn’t been for the fundamental idea of “European Identity”, which was
presented for the initial time at The Copenhagen Summit Conference in
Copenhagen, Denmark in December 1973. The fall of the Bretton Woods
94 . Akif Çarkçı, Recep Şehitoğlu, MD Nazmul İslam
System was the impetus for the building of this wall. Instead of technical
concepts such as a Customs Union or parity, it emerged as a more robust
project to connect Europeans and consolidate the continent’s place in the
international arena with more “exciting” concepts such as belongingness
and identity. What 1977 Mc. Dougall Report, submitted to the European
Commission, proposed to overcome the crisis and Keynesian Econom-
ic Model to be implemented throughout Europe. This model’s need for a
group that is connected and in constant solidarity with each other also led
up to this project (Stråth, 2002, p.5). The 1980s and especially the first half
of the 1980s are remembered as a period when the European Union stum-
bled economically and therefore the ideal of a Single Market under the
leadership of the Delors commission and, of course, Jacques Delors began
to be practised. In this period, as Gill had mentioned before, the ideal mar-
ket that could stand up to the neo-liberal competition led by the USA and
that could enable the free movement of goods, services, capitals, and peo-
ple radically changed the economic understanding of the European Union
(Gill, 2003, p.3). The idea of transition to the single market envisaged in
the Single European Act (1986). The concept of “regional development”,
which was very popular in the 1980s, put the issue of European identity in
an economic context. The constituent elements uniting European regional
and local politicians, employers, trade unions and other organizations be-
came “lobbying in Brussels together” (Stråth, 2002, p.390).
When we look at the issue of Europeanness as a means of rapproche-
ment and modernization, we could speak of a different Europeanness fan-
tasy. The structure, which evolved from the Europe Community to the Eu-
ropean Union and gained a three-pillar structure with the Maastricht Treaty
signed in 1992, started questioning the concepts such as European citizen-
ship and democracy. It had the purpose of changing the state of being “eco-
nomically a giant but politically a dwarf”, from which it suffered until that
day. The “closer Union” discourse mentioned in the Constituent Treaty of
Rome (ever closer Union) although it reflected the aspiration of a federative
structure that would one day almost evolve into the United States for Jean
Monnet and other Union founders in the 1950s, by the 1990s it reflected the
Union’s goal to become a more political nature and closer to its citizens. In
other words, Europe is no longer just an institution that interferes with many
areas, from the size of vegetables sold in the market to the issuance of iden-
tity cards, but also appears as a whole of values and an area of belonging. It
can be argued that another distinctive feature of the fantasy of Europeanness
in the 1990s was that these values and the perception of identity ensured
effectiveness in the field of foreign policy as well as within the continent.
In particular, during the process where Eastern Enlargement was on the
axis of normative concepts such as democracy and modernization instead
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .95
tion process has had success and will also contribute to political integra-
tion. According to Haas, one of the theorists of Neo-functionalism that is
among the theories mentioned above, economic integration was expressed
by Mitrany’s branching theory of “spill over”. According to the branching
theory, the advantage obtained in an area will lead to similar advantages
in other areas, and integration will be reflected in the next stage. For exam-
ple, an economically integrated Europe will show the same development
politically (Ari, 2008, p.444). However, because the member states did
not compromise on nationalism, that is, on their own identity, political
integration could not occur. The most important indicator of this is that
citizens of EU member states do not feel European because they are in the
EU (Gürkaynak, 2012, pp.450-451).
It is not enough for the EU that only the heads of state and govern-
ments of member states want political integration; it is essential for po-
litical integration that citizens also feel European under the roof of the
EU. For this reason, the need for a “Constitution” was felt in line with
the identity that wanted to be created on the way to political integration.
The intergovernmental policies of the nation-states formed the EU among
themselves in the process it went through until it put forward the concept
of “Constitution”. According to Yanıkdağ (2010, 117), the creation of the
Union was carried out in a way that mirrored the wishes of each of the dif-
ferent republics. In contrast to the creation of treaties or accords that gov-
erned the relationship between different levels of government, the process
at hand when the idea of a constitution was first discussed was not simply
equivalent to that of a treaty or accord. Rather, the creation of a constitu-
tion was a distinct and unique process from that of a treaty or accord. The
people of this nation came together to create this constitution so that their
shared sense of identity may be mirrored in their interactions with one
another (Selcuk, 2004, pp.59-61). In 2004, the leaders of state and gov-
ernment of the countries that make up the European Union signed a trea-
ty that established a constitution for Europe (TCE). It was mandated that
referendums be held so that individuals of member countries could have
their voice heard on the issue. The “no” votes cast in France and the Neth-
erlands caused the postponement of the scheduled referendums in those
countries; as a result, both France and the Netherlands have now canceled
their own referendums (Yanıkdağ, 2010, 130). Consequently, the “TCE”
did not reach any fruition, and the “EU Constitution” was not approved.
The rejection of the TCE showed that the people of Europe disagreed with
the member states. Among the most constituent elements of political in-
tegration is to enable the citizens of EU member states to call themselves
“European” rather than any other country identity by reducing the influ-
ence of nation-states. In addition, there is a sense of otherizing people who
98 . Akif Çarkçı, Recep Şehitoğlu, MD Nazmul İslam
are not citizens of EU member states. Because when you look at the defini-
tion of the concept of identity, it is essential to have distinctive features that
differ from other people or groups. As seen from this definition, it is also
a fact that it creates a perception of the “other” consisting of differences.
The most dominant elements that form the cornerstones of the “European”
identity that the EU wants to create can be listed as geographical location,
religion and culture. First, if we are to talk about the geographical loca-
tion from this point of view, the place mentioned as European territory is
currently associated with the EU. Along with the number of countries that
want to become members, the definition of Europe is also given within the
EU’s enlargement strategy (Özdemir, 2007, pp.94-105).
As stated in the EU Treaty, every country that feels to be Europe-
an will also be prevented from trying to become a member of the EU
(Gürkaynak, 2012, p.451). However, the fact that the EU has accepted the
membership of the Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries also
shows the importance of being geographically located on the European
continent. However, although the geographical location positively affects
the countries that have adopted the concept of “Europe” in front of their
name, there is also a perception of a European that was put forward in
terms of culture and religion. The most significant example of this situa-
tion in Turkey. Although Turkey’s territory in Europe has been accepted,
Turkey is not European from the viewpoint of the EU. The reason for this
situation is that the religious element is to be the dominant identity de-
terminant in Europe for centuries (Özdemir, 2007, 133). In this respect,
the perception of “we” formed by the European identity, in this case,
makes the CEE countries for the EU as “one of us” and otherizes Turkey
as “them”. In this case, the result is that the identity the EU is trying to
create is inclusive for some countries while being exclusionary for some
countries in terms of protecting its essence. While it is inclusive that the
EU will accept membership after the fulfilment of the conditions such as
the recognition of the rule of law, human rights, and democracy presented
in the process of identity construction, the fact that geographically Euro-
peanness has become a condition is an otherizing term (Rumelili, 2007-
2008, p.53). In the process of building an EU identity, the September 11th
syndrome is another problem that comes up as an othering situation. As a
result of this terrorist attack on the United States on September 11thth, an
“identity” perceived as an “enemy” by the United States was created. This
identity is the religious and national identity of the terrorists believed to
have carried out the attacks.
On the other hand, religious and national identities are the strongest
determinants of identity (Kinvall, 2004, p.745). In the period after Sep-
tember 11thth, an attempt was made to form perception, especially against
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .99
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102 . Akif Çarkçı, Recep Şehitoğlu, MD Nazmul İslam
Berna GÖRGÜLÜ1
Naim ÇINAR2
whether digital movements can truly bring about social change, a question
that has been fiercely debated in relation to various movements such as
#OccupyWallStreet, #ArabSpring, #BlackLivesMatter, and #MeToo. Clark-
Parsons (2019) offers a counterpoint to the optimism of scholars such as
Yocha Benkler, Manuel Castell, and Clay Shirky, whom she dubs “techno-
optimists,” and their faith in social media’s ability to democratize access to
information and tools for building movements and staging protests. On the
other hand, techno-pessimists argue that networked activism is ineffective,
often dismissed as “slacktivism,” which provides individuals with a false
sense of achievement or moral superiority without actually requiring any
meaningful commitment or effort, and thus, detracts from real activism.
These critics also contend that networked activism is prone to surveillance
and lacks the capacity to establish enduring movements. Some critics argue
that slacktivism represents a form of “clicktivism,” where people engage
with political or social issues by merely clicking on a website, liking a post,
or sharing a hashtag, without any real commitment or sacrifice (Morozov,
2010). Others argue that it represents a form of “feel-good” activism that
provides individuals with a sense of moral superiority without actually
doing anything to address the underlying issues (Shirky, 2011). Some
activists and scholars argue that the emphasis on social media and online
activism has led to a decline in more traditional forms of activism, such as
protests, marches, and grassroots organizing, which may be more effective
at achieving real change (Bennett & Segerberg, 2012). Some go even
further, stating that digital media are not a driver of revolution (Lim, 2018,
p. 103) or social change (Papacharissi, 2015). Alongside these instrumental
perspectives, a third approach challenges the instrumentalist approach
itself by arguing that it oversimplifies the complex nature of networked
activism and fails to appreciate both its affordances and limitations. This
approach recognizes and negotiates the various dimensions of digital
movements with their affordances and constraints.
The nature of digital media, aka social media, offers many “new
dynamics for amplifying, recording, and spreading information and social
acts” (Khazraee & Novak, 2018, p. 3) as well as both structural and tactical
propositions for use in activist practices. Technological affordances that the
internet has, enable digital activism to be persistent, replicable, scalable,
and searchable (Papacharissi, 2015). Unlike traditional activism where the
presence of human bodies is crucial, the internet provides partial anonymity
(Treem & Leonardi, 2013) when it is necessary. Besides, its ability to
enable direct participation, cross geographic boundaries, and reach large
numbers of people, is also very effective in ensuring the visibility of social
movements (Kavada, 2016). The Arab Spring serves as a reminder of the
powerful role that social media can play in mobilizing large-scale protests.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .107
or at least hard to deal with by those around you, including family, friends,
and colloquies. “This means that we can, at the very least, be found ‘hard’
or unpleasant to work with, enough to cost one’s living.” (Frye, 1983).
While drawing her figure of feminist “killjoys” (the myth that feminists
kill joy because they are joy-less), as Sara Ahmed (2016) very well put
it, “You have to show that you are not difficult through displaying signs
of goodwill and happiness.” Opposed to the sexist attitudes and biases
that exist within established cultural institutions, digital spaces offer a
secure environment where feminists can share their ideas, and opinions,
and receive support, in contrast to the dismissive treatment they may face
from others in their daily lives. The discussion around the internet being
safe also reminds us of countries where women are restricted in civic
space, and physical and legal coercion on offline activism, especially street
protests, explicitly target freedom of expression, bodily integrity, and even
the lives of activists, digital spaces offer an illusion of safer environment
with the partial anonymity they provide.
These affordances such as the climate of shared understanding and
partial anonymity -and physical distance- that we can gather under the
umbrella of being ‘safe,’ encourage us to rethink the meaning of being
‘safe,’ where we encountered the terms digital repression and mediated
misogyny. Digital media provide activists with nominal anonymity as well
as important ways to expand state surveillance and a crackdown on activists.
Morozov (2012) points out that with technological advancements such as
face recognition software, user content analysis, and social media analysis,
governments have gained new tools to repress dissidents and suppress
political dissent. It is crucial to pay attention to the ways in which these
technologies are being used to monitor and control citizens, particularly
in authoritarian regimes where freedom of speech and assembly are often
curtailed. With the ability to track individuals’ movements, monitor
their online activity, and identify potential threats to the regime, these
technologies have become a powerful tool for silencing opposition and
maintaining the status quo. As such, it is important to critically examine the
ethical implications of these technologies and advocate for transparency,
accountability, and respect for human rights in their use. This repression,
which includes actions or policies aimed at increasing the cost of offline
activism, continues to exist online, even by adding new tactics and methods
to the old ones. While governments apply traditional repression methods
aiming to prevent, reduce, and/or control noninstitutional challenges such
as protests, social movements, and activism, Feldstein (2021) cautions
us that the advent of digital technology has introduced novel tactics to
the authoritarian playbook, facilitating governmental manipulation of
information that citizens consume surveillance of dissent and monitoring
110 . Berna Görgülü, Naim Çınar
also shut down the internet as it happened during the unrest and protests in
India, Zimbabwe, and Pakistan.
Contrary to the safe climate of shared understanding in digital
feminist campaigns, still, we are with Banet-Weiser who proofs us the
double-edged sword of digital affordances and argues that the internet also
makes room for popular misogyny, “as a structural force, is networked,
expressed, and practiced on multiple platforms, attracting other like-
minded groups and individuals” (Sener, 2021: Banet-Weiser, 2018).
Misogyny, the hatred of women, is a pervasive problem that has gained
traction across various media platforms. It involves the objectification and
dehumanization of women, where women are treated as means to an end,
rather than as individuals deserving of respect. This popular misogyny
is expressed and practiced in a terrain of struggle, with various groups
and individuals vying for power. Social media has enabled misogynistic
groups to infiltrate feminist conversations, derailing them through online
harassment and intimidation.
Unsurprisingly, studies have shown that a significant percentage
of women activists have experienced abuse online, with sex and gender
discrimination being the primary motivator (Barker & Jurasz, 2019). One
form of this “mediated misogyny” (Vickery & Everbach, 2018) occurs is
feminist activists being targeted as individuals. Trolling and online abuse
with a wide range of practices – from seemingly mundane, ubiquitous, or
‘low-level’ comments such as “you are fat” or “ugly” to vitriolic, violent,
and graphic rape and death threats (Mendes et al., 2018), are common
experiences for those who participated in digital feminist movements.
This mediated misogyny often takes the form of counter-narratives and
counter-hashtags that seek to silence women’s voices. For instance, the
#yesallwomen hashtag campaign was met with the #notallmen campaign,
which attempted to undermine women’s experiences by claiming that not all
men are responsible for misogyny. Similarly, when the #mencallmethings
campaign exposed the harassment that women face online, some men
deemed it offensive and attempted to shift the conversation away from
gendered violence. However, such actions depoliticize the issue and
ignore the systemic nature of misogyny (Megarry, 2017). Despite the toxic
environment created by digital violence, women continue to engage in
feminist activities on digital platforms like Twitter, as they report feeling
safer and more comfortable expressing their views. Mendes, Ringrose,
and Keller’s (2018) contributions to the conversation shed light on the
perspectives of women who participate in digital feminist movements and
their determination to resist misogyny and fight for gender equality.
Digital platforms have fundamentally transformed the nature of
collective action, prompting scholars to approach digital social movements
112 . Berna Görgülü, Naim Çınar
more just and equitable world for all women. Centering the experiences of
marginalized women: Transnational feminism Since it seeks to center the
experiences and voices of women from the Global South, who have been
historically marginalized within mainstream feminist discourse, it has the
potential to help to amplify their voices and work towards greater social
and political change.
Taking into account both transnational feminism’s promises and the
contradictions themselves, we do believe in the potential of its roots for
shedding light on our discussion. During the 1980s, in contrast to the
universal sisterhood approach of Robin Morgan, Grewal and Kaplan (1994)
worked on conceptualizing the theory of transnational feminism. Grewal
and Kaplan (1994) critique Morgan’s perspective in their book Scattered
Hegemonies: Postmodernity and Transnational Feminist Practices, arguing
that it romanticizes and idealizes women’s experiences globally while
presenting a singular, homogeneous understanding of gender issues and
oppression. Similar to some of our critics on #MeToo not embracing diversity
and lacking intersectionality, they argued that Morgan’s work addressed the
power differences, economic realities, ethnicity, sexuality, and oppressions
among women across different regions in only limited ways.
Grewal and Kaplan (1994) also criticized Robin Morgan’s view of
women’s liberation as a universalized, Western perspective that idealizes
individuality and modernity. According to Grewal and Kaplan, gender
oppression, power structures, and inequality are complex and diverse
phenomena that cannot be understood through a single, homogenous lens.
They argue that a one-size-fits-all approach to social change may have
limited impact, as the needs and circumstances of women around the world
are diverse and multifaceted. Judith Butler (2013) builds on this critique,
highlighting how neoliberal feminism has historically privileged white,
Western women and overlooked the problems faced by other marginalized
communities. Transnational feminism, on the other hand, has the potential
to address this limitation by embracing the diversity of experiences
and perspectives among women around the world. By recognizing and
valuing the distinct struggles and aspirations of different communities,
transnational feminism can offer a more inclusive and intersectional
approach to feminist activism and advocacy.
While the term “transnational” implies a critique of the nation-state
and the violence perpetrated in its name, the concept has also sparked
debates around contradictions in the practices that have been applied
over time. Despite its original intention to critique globalizing forces,
transnational feminism has been appropriated as a positive label to
celebrate globalization. As a result, it may inadvertently be complicit
in the very systems it sought to challenge. Moreover, as transnational
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .117
REFERENCES
Naci YILMAZ1
Introduction
The Balkans or Balkan Peninsula is a geographical and cultural
region located in the southeastern part of the European continent, east of
the Italian Peninsula, west and northwest of Anatolia. Another term used
for it is the Southeast Europe. The Balkans is a peninsula surrounded by
the Adriatic Sea and the Ionian Sea in the southwest; the Mediterranean
Sea in the south; the Aegean Sea and the Sea of Marmara in the southeast;
and the Black Sea in the east. Despite the current consensus on the eastern,
southern and western borders of the Balkans, or the Balkan Peninsula by
geographical name, the northern borders are disputed. Some geographers
consider the northern border to be the Danube and Drava rivers, others
consider the border to the east of the Carpathian Mountains. The borders
of the region from the northwest (the Gulf of Trieste) to the south and east
are surrounded by seas: the Adriatic, the Ionian Sea, the Mediterranean
Sea, the Aegean Sea, the Dardanelles, the Marmara, the Bosphorus, the
Black Sea. The northwestern border, which continues from the Krka River
in the village of Čatež ob Savi, runs west of the river's mouth, Gradiček,
over the Vipava River, and crosses into Italy. The border, which joins the
River Soča near Gorizia, connects to the Adriatic near Monfalcone on the
shores of the Gulf of Trieste. The total area of the Balkans is 504,884 km²
(tr.wikipedia.org, 2023).
Most of the countries in the region were not yet national and
independent, as they were ruled under the Ottoman Empire for about 4
centuries until World War I. Later, with the exception of Greece and
Turkey, a significant part of the region was included in the group of
"Second World" countries, also called the "socialist bloc" after World War
II. Today, there are 13 independent countries in this region. These countries
are Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Kosovo,
Montenegro, North Macedonia, Hungary, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia and
Turkey. While the entire territory of seven of these countries is located
within the region, only a certain part of the territory of the others is located
in the region. The countries whose complete territory is located in the
Balkans are Bulgaria, Greece, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina,
Kosovo, Albania and North Macedonia. The countries whose small
territory is a part of the Balkans are Croatia, Hungary, Slovenia, Serbia and
Turkey. Of these countries, the exception of Greece and Turkey, were the
countries that had not yet switched to a market economy before 1989 and
had a socialist economic system based on central planning. With the
dissolution of the Soviet Union in the late eighties and the acceleration of
economic globalization, these countries that abandoned the socialist
economic system were called "transition economies". The aim of these
countries was to be able to move from central planning and a socialist
economic system to a capitalist economic system and a free market
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .123
economy as soon as possible. In line with this goal, countries in the region
have taken important steps to transform into a market economy since the
1990s. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo, North Macedonia,
Montenegro and Serbia are independent countries that emerged with the
dissolution of the former Yugoslav state. As of 2016, the most populous
country in the region is Turkey with a population of 79.8 million, followed
by Romania with a population of 19.7 million, Greece with a population of
10.8 million, Bulgaria with a population of 7.1 million and Croatia with a
population of 4.1 million.
1. Literature Review
There is no study in which the analysis of economic and financial
performance of the Balkan countries is carried out by the integrated BWM
and CoCoSo method. Both of these methods are regarded as multi criteria
decision making (MCDM) techniques. Below is a summary of some of the
studies in the literature on the financial economic situation of the Balkan
countries conducted by different methods other than the integrated BWM
and CoCoSo method.
In the literature, it is seen that the comparative analyses on the
macroeconomic structure and characteristics of the Balkan countries are
quite limited. A summary of the comparative analyses of the
macroeconomic structure and characteristics of the Balkan countries is
given below.
Akyol (2014) investigated the extent to which the Balkan countries,
which are members of the European Union (EU), are affected by the
financial crisis. Since 2009, the effects of the crisis have started to be felt
in the Balkan countries of the EU. With the exception of Bulgaria, Greece,
Romania and Croatia have been the countries most influenced by the crisis.
124 . Naci Yılmaz
In particular, the Greek economy shrank throughout 2008-2013 and the
Croatian economy in 2009-2013, entering a long recession phase. The
Romanian economy contracted in 2009-2010 and the Bulgarian economy
in 2009, but there was no strong recovery after 2010. It has been observed
that Bulgaria follows a more moderate policy. In contrast, Romania and
Greece have implemented much harsher austerity policies, which have led
to a short-term improvement in fiscal balances, but this improvement has
been temporary.
In order to test the Lucas Paradox, Demiral et al. (2015) investigated
the factors affecting foreign direct investment in 9 Balkan countries for the
years 2000-2012. The shooting model was estimated through balanced
panel data set. The outcome of the research supported the Lucas Paradox.
Regulations, country risk and China's growing attraction for foreign direct
investment have hampered the performance of Balkan countries. However,
the developments achieved by these countries in human capital,
infrastructure and logistics have increased their share in foreign direct
investment.
Eken et al. (2015) compared the extent to which banks operating in
twelve Balkan countries were affected by the global financial crisis. In the
study, 213 banks were examined. The research covered the years 2006-
2012. Credit, liquidity, interest, operation risks were analyzed. Banks were
examined on the basis of EU and non-EU countries, as well as on the basis
of asset size, operating region and countries. Montenegro, Bosnia and
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .125
Herzegovina and Macedonia have recovered better after the crisis. Kosovo,
Greece, Slovenia, Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Serbia, Turkey, Albania and
Macedonia saw deterioration in bank ratios in the post-crisis period.
Konat (2021) examined if the Balkan countries faced with the trap of
middle income in 2000-2019 by panel data analysis. The stationary test of
the national income per capita series was applied by structural fracture
panel unit root test. As a result of the research, it was determined that the
Balkan countries were in this type of trap. Thus, it has been seen that there
has been a horizontality in income per capita and a decline in the economic
competitiveness of these countries.
Some of the studies carried out with the BWM or CoCoSo method in
the literature are shown below.
Çilek (2022) used the CoCoSo method when analyzing deposit bank
groups (public, private and foreign banks) in Turkey. In the study, the
period of 2019-2021 was examined. The criterion weights were made by
SV method and the performance ranking was made by CoCoSo method.
As result, it was seen that the best performance was exhibited by domestic
private banks. The lowest performance was exhibited by foreign banks in
2019 and 2020 and by public banks in 2021.
This study contributes to science as the first study in which the
economic and financial performances of the Balkan countries is analyzed
by employing the integrated BWM and CoCoSo method.
2. Methodology
Below, the steps of BWM, CoCoSo techniques are explained.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .127
a. BWM Method
According to the Best Worst Method (BWM), first the best (most
important, most desired) and worst (least important, least desired) criteria
are determined by decision makers. Binary comparisons are then made
between each of these two criteria (best and worst) to the other criteria.
Here, it is aimed to find the consistency of optimal weights and matrices
with a simple optimization model created using the comparison system.
The application steps of the Best Worst Method are as follows (Rezaei,
2015; Rezaei, 2016; Akyüz et al., 2020; Koca & Akçakaya, 2021; Şimşek
et al, 2023):
Step 3: Determining the preference of the best criterion according to
all other criteria.
An odd number between 1 and 9 (1: equally important, 3: moderately
important, 5: strongly important, 7: very strongly important, 9: absolutely
very important) is used in the preference of the best over others (which can
also be even numbers such as 2-4-6-8). Here, the AB vector is obtained as
a result of the preference of the best over the others (Equation 1):
Here, aBj is the preference value of the best criterion (B) relative to
criterion j, and aBB=1.
Step 4: Determination of the preference of all other criteria according
to the worst criterion. Here an integer value between 1 and 9 (1: equally
important, 3: moderately important, 5: strongly important, 7: very strongly
important, 9: absolutely very important) is used in favor of all other criteria
over the worst criterion. (which can also be intermediate values such as 2-
4-6-8). Here, the AW vector is obtained as a result of the preference of the
others according to the worst criterion (Equation 2):
128 . Naci Yılmaz
Step 5: Determination of the optimal weights of the criteria. The
optimal weights of each criterion (w1∗ , w2∗ ,...,wn∗ ) are determined. To
determine the optimal weights of the criteria, the maximum absolute
differences {|wB−aBjwj|, |wj−ajWwW|} for all j. criteria should be
minimized.
It is formulated as follows in Model 1:
minmaxj= {|wB−aBjwj|,|wj−ajWwW|} s. t. Σwj=1 j (Model 1)
wj≥0, for all j's
This is transferred to the following linear programming model (Model
2):
minξL s. t. (Model 2)
|wB−aBjwj|≤ξL for all j's
|wj−ajWwW|≤ξL for all j's
Σwj=1j, wj≥0 , for all j's
The Model 2 is linear and has only one solution. By decoding the
model, the optimal weights (w1∗ ,w2∗ ,...,wn∗ ) and ξ𝐿𝐿∗, which is the
optimal value of ξL and is considered as the consistency ratio (CR), are
obtained.
After finding out the solution, the overall consistency is checked by
the Consistency Index Table. Consistency ratio (CR) is calculated by
Equation (3). A small CR value near to zero shows a high consistency, a
high value closing to 1 means there is a low consistency (Ren et al., 2017).
ξL∗
𝐶𝐶𝑅𝑅 = Equation (3)
consistency index.
b. CoCoSo Method
CoCoSo (COmbined COmpromise Solution) performance ranking
method, which is one of the MADM techniques, was first designed by
Yazdani, Zerate, Zavadskas and Turksis in 2019. The method is based on
the consensus of alternatives and the determination of the best alternative.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .129
The five implementation steps of the method are described below (Yazdani
et al., 2019; Ulutaş, Karakuş and Topal, 2020; Özdağoğlu, Ulutaş and
Keleş, 2020; Ecer and Pacamur, 2020; Ulutaş and Topal, 2020; Akbulut
and Hepşen, 2021; Akgül, 2021; Deveci, Pamucar and Gokasar, 2021).
x11 ⋯ x1n
𝐾𝐾 = [xij ] =[ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ] Equation (4)
mxn
xm1 ⋯ xmn
𝑛𝑛
Si, which is included in the equation, shows the weighted comparison
sequence of the alternative i, and wj denotes the weight of the criterion j.
Step 4: The sum of the weight strength of the weighted comparison
sequence of each alternative (Pi) is calculated using Equation (8).
𝑛𝑛
The values can be combined with three different addition ways. The
addition ways are shown by Equation (9), Equation (10) and Equation (11),
respectively.
kia: An addition way is for the alternative.
Pi+Si
𝑘𝑘𝑖𝑖𝑎𝑎ൌ∑𝑚𝑚 Equation (9)
𝑗𝑗=1(Pi+Si)
According to the CoCoSo method, the alternative with the biggest
final value is considered the best performing one in the selection problem.
3. APPLICATION
The statistics used in the study were compiled from the EBRD
Transition Report Archive (web address:
https://www.ebrd.com/publications/transition-report-archive). The aim is
to compare economic and financial performances of the Balkan countries
with each other and to find the most successful country. The number of
Balkan countries is 13 by the end of 2022. Since Kosovo is the last
independent country of these countries, analysis was made on the basis of
11 years of data instead of 14 years for this country. The countries included
in the performance ranking are shown in the table below (Table 1).
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .131
In the study, the criteria that determine economic and financial
economic performance were chosen as annual change in GDP and annual
change in consumer price, the ratios of “government balance to GDP”,
“current account balance to GDP”, “Net FDI to GDP”, “external debt to
GDP”, “gross reserves to GDP”, “credit to private sector to GDP”. In the
table below (Table 2), the performance criteria and whether these criteria
are benefit or cost oriented and their weight can be seen. Criterion weights
were calculated according to the BWM method. How they are calculated
is explained in the following section.
According to the table above, among the 8 selected criteria, the
Consumer Price Change (%) and External debt/GDP criteria coded c2 and
c6 are cost oriented. In other words, the fact that these criteria are small
shows that the country's performance is high. In other criteria, it is aimed
that the criterion is as high as possible.
In the first stage of BWM method, the decision matrix was created by
taking the averages of 8 criteria values related to economic and financial
performances of the Balkan countries between 2008-2021. This matrix is
shown in Table 3.
In this matrix, the rows represent alternatives (countries) and the
columns show the criteria. This matrix includes 13 countries and 8 criteria.
The values in the matrix refer to the 14-year arithmetic averages of the
countries in the relevant criteria. All values are percentages.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .133
Consumer Price
Balance/ GDP)
Net FDI/GDP
GDP Change
reserves/GDP
Balance/GDP
Names of
Government
Change (%)
Criteria
sector/GDP
debt/GDP
Credit to
Account
External
Current
private
Gross
(%)
GDP
Select the Change
Best (%)
Gross
Select the reserves/
Worst GDP
Consu Govern Credit
mer ment Current Externa to
GDP Price Balance account Net l Gross private
Best to Change Change (of balance/ FDI/G debt/G reserves/ sector/G
Others (%) (%) GDP) GDP DP DP GDP DP
GDP
Change
(%) 1 6 4 5 2 7 8 3
Gross
Others to reserves/
the Worst GDP
GDP
Change
(%) 8
Consumer
Price
C.(%) 3
Governm
ent
Balance
(of GDP) 5
Current
account
balance/G
DP 4
Net
FDI/GDP 7
External
debt/GDP 2
Gross
reserves/
GDP 1
Credit to
private
sector/GD
P 6
Consu Govern Credit
mer ment Current Externa to
GDP Price Balance account Net l Gross private
Weights Change Change (of balance/ FDI/G debt/G reserves/ sector/G
(%) (%) GDP) GDP DP DP GDP DP
0.33 0.07 0.10 0.08 0.20 0.06 0.03 0.13
0.066
Ksi*
In Table 3a, the criterion weights are determined according to the
BWM method. For this, excel program was employed (BWM-solver.xls.
Excel Solver https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfy8fxnZEWk)
134 . Naci Yılmaz
According to the table, the most important criterion among the criteria
selected in measuring the financial and economic performances of the
Balkan countries is the GDP Change (%) criterion, which has a weight of
33 percent. It is followed by the External Debt/GDP criterion, which has a
weight of 20 percent. The third most important criterion is the Credit to
Private Sector/GDP criterion, which has a weight of 13 percent. According
to the table, the least important criterion is the Gross reserves/GDP
criterion, which has a weight of 3 percent. According to the table,
Consistency ratio (Ksi*) is calculated by Equation (3) as 0.066. This value
closes to zero that indicates there is high consistency.
The CoCoSo method was used to rank economic and financial
performance of the Balkan countries. This method is one of the relatively
new MADM methods. In the first stage of this method, the matrix in Table
3 was arranged by taking the arithmetic average of the values of the Balkan
countries between 2008-2021 to 8 criteria.
In the second stage, depending on whether the criterion is benefit or
cost oriented, the decision matrix is standardized (normalized) by using
Equation-5 or Equation-6. Thanks to the normalization process, all the
values in the matrix are converted to any number between 0 and 1, making
them comparable to each other. Equation-6 was used for the minimum
directional (c2, c6 coded) criterion and Equation-5 was used for the other
6 criteria with maximum direction. The normalized decision matrix is set
up in Table 4.
At the third stage, the weighted Comparability Sequence and Si
Matrix is arranged. The importance of the 8 criteria used in the analysis
was determined by BWM method. This matrix was obtained by
multiplying the criterion weights by the normalized values. It is presented
in Table 5.
Criterion C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8
Weights 0.33 0.07 0.10 0.08 0.20 0.06 0.03 0.13
Alternatives max min max max max min max max Pi
a1 0.92 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.98 0.66 4.5458
a2 0.85 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.99 0.87 4.6990
a3 0.84 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98 1.00 0.88 4.6989
a4 0.73 0.99 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.98 0.99 0.89 5.5830
a5 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.0000
a6 0.83 0.98 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.97 0.99 0.84 5.6093
a7 0.95 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.96 0.74 4.6366
a8 0.85 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.98 0.88 4.6361
a9 0.80 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.98 0.82 4.5868
a10 0.88 0.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.98 0.00 3.8234
a11 0.83 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.99 0.78 4.5554
a12 0.79 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.88 0.88 4.5155
a13 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.96 0.88 3.8290
Source: Author.
In the fifth stage, after the performance scores were calculated, the
financial economic performance sequence of the mentioned countries was
carried out. At this stage, first of all, the sum of the elements in the
Weighted Comparability Sequence and Si Matrix is used by employing
Equation-7 for each country. Then, Exponentially Weighted
Comparability Sequence and Pi Matrix was calculated using Equation-8.
The values can be integrated with three different addition strategies. Then
3 different sums (kia, kib, kic) were calculated using Equation-9, Equation-
10 and Equation-11 respectively. These 3 different totals were then
converted into final performance points (K) with Equation-12. According
to the performance score, the financial economic performance of the
countries is ranked. All of these processes are summarized in Final
Aggregation and Ranking in Table 7.
The above order, which is arranged by country code, is shown
more clearly by converting the country code to the country name in Table
8 below.
Conclusion
In the study, GDP change, Net FDI to GDP, Consumer Price change,
Government Balance to GDP, Current Account Balance to GDP, External
Debt to GDP, Gross Reserves to GDP, Credit to Private Sector/GDP ratios
were selected as the criteria determining financial and economic
performance. According to the BWM method, the most important criterion
among the criteria selected in measuring the financial and economic
performances of the Balkan countries is the GDP Change (%) criterion,
which has a weight of 33 percent. It is followed by the External Debt/GDP
criterion, which has a weight of 20 percent. The third most important
criterion is the Credit to Private Sector/GDP criterion, which has a weight
of 13 percent. The least important criterion is the Gross reserves/GDP
criterion, which has a weight of 3 percent. According to the CoCoSo
method, the best performing countries among the 13 Balkan countries in
terms of economic and financial aspects between 2008-2021 were
Hungary, Croatia and Kosovo, respectively. Greece has the worst place in
the performance ranking. Hungary, the best country, has been influenced
by the fact that it has achieved to have the best results in the majority of
the criteria. Croatia's success has resulted in that it has higher values in the
Government Balance/GDP, Current Account Balance/GDP, Net FDI/GDP
ratios than other countries.
Since the preferred evaluation criteria for the study and their degree
of importance directly affect the result, it is useful to compare this study
results with other multi-criteria decision-making techniques and different
criterion weights.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .139
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CHAPTER 8
AN APPLICATION FOR AGGREGATING
THE CRITERIA WEIGHTS OBTAINED
BY DIFFERENT OBJECTIVE
WEIGHTING METHODS AND THEIR
USE IN COPRAS
1. Introduction
Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) refers to a group of
techniques for assessing a set of alternatives in light of several, usually
conflicting criteria. Thus, given a set of alternatives (options) and a number
of decision criteria, the purpose of MCDM is to provide a choice, ranking,
description, classification, sorting, and, in most instances, an order of
alternatives, from the most preferred to the least favored option. (Mulliner
et al., 2016). Assigning weights to criteria is a crucial step that needs to be
reconsidered in the majority of MCDM models. However, one of the main
issues with MCDM is figuring out how to weight the various criteria
(Pamučar et al. 2018; Vinogradova et al., 2018). The assessment of the
criteria weights can be subjective, objective or hybrid (Ginevičius and
Podvezko, 2005). The subjective methods calculate weights in accordance
with the preferences of decision makers for the criteria. The opinion or
intuition of the decision maker is reflected in weights created using
subjective methods. Due to lack of information or experience, the decision
maker may impact the findings of analyses or the rankings of alternatives
based on weights (Ma et al., 1999). Furthermore, determining the
subjective weights for the criteria takes a lot of time, particularly when
there is disagreement among the decision makers regarding the issue at
hand (Odu, 2019). On the contrary, the objective methods calculate
weights on the basis of objective data (e.g. decision matrix). However, by
using mathematical models to generate weights, objective methods
frequently ignore the decision maker's subjective judgment (Ma et al.,
1999). The question of how completely and objectively the small sample
of alternative traits conveys the value of the criteria is also left unanswered
for these methodologies. Obviously, the decision matrix entirely
determines the outcome (Mukhametzyanov, 2021). In hybrid methods,
subjective and objective weighting methods are combined. The decision
matrix data and the preferences of the decision makers can both be used in
the hybrid methods (Keshavarz-Ghorabaee et al., 2021).
Since only objective weighting methods will be used in this study, a
few studies in the literature using objective weighting methods will be
discussed below.
Using the weights obtained by the CRITIC (CRiteria Importance
Through Intercriteria Correlation), equal weights (mean weight), and
standard deviation methods, Diakoulaki et al. (1995) evaluated firms with
regard to three ratios indicating the profitability, the market position, and
the labor productivity in their study where they introduced the CRITIC
method.
Zavadskas and Podvezko (2016) aggregated the entropy method and
the CILOS (Criterion Impact LOSs) method to create a new method called
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .143
addressed. The third section includes the application and the results. The
study ends with the discussion and conclusion in the fourth section.
2. Methodology
The three objective weighting methods used in the study's application
section are discussed in this section, followed by an explanation of the
COPRAS method for ranking the smartphones. It is assumed that there are
𝑚𝑚 alternatives and 𝑛𝑛 criteria for the decision matrices in the explanations
of the weighting methods.
2.1. Entropy method
This method was proposed by Shannon (1948). For quantifying
contrast intensity and subsequently determining objective weights of
criteria, the entropy measure has been suggested. The more distinct the
scores of the examined alternatives are, the higher the weights that this
method assigns. The same reasoning, when viewed from the opposite
perspective, affirms that a criterion where all alternatives perform equally
does not provide any additional information and should not be used in the
decision making process (Diakoulaki et al., 1995). This method computes
the weights of the criteria by using the following steps (Alinezhad and
Khalili, 2019; Huang, 2008):
1) The decision matrix is created by using Eq. (1).
𝑥𝑥11 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥1𝑗𝑗 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥1𝑛𝑛
⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮
𝐗𝐗 = 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖1 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚, 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (1)
⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮
[𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚1 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ]
2) By using Eq. (2), the decision matrix is normalized.
𝑥𝑥
𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = ∑𝑚𝑚 𝑥𝑥 ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (2)
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
3) Eq. (3) computes the degree of entropy for each criterion.
𝑒𝑒𝑗𝑗 = −
1
ln(𝑚𝑚)
∑𝑚𝑚
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 · ln(𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ) ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛; 0 ≤ 𝑒𝑒𝑗𝑗 ≤ 1 (3)
4) Eq. (4) calculates the degree of variation for each criterion.
5) By using Eq. (5), the weights are calculated.
(1) 𝑑𝑑𝑗𝑗
𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 = ∑𝑛𝑛 (5)
𝑗𝑗=1 𝑑𝑑𝑗𝑗
2) Using Eq. (7), the decision matrix is normalized.
𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 −𝑥𝑥𝑗𝑗−
𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 =
𝑥𝑥𝑗𝑗+ −𝑥𝑥𝑗𝑗−
; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚, 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (7)
3) The correlation coefficient among criteria is calculated by using
Eq. (8).
𝜌𝜌𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 = ∑𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚 2 𝑚𝑚
𝑖𝑖=1(𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − 𝑟𝑟̅𝑗𝑗 )(𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − 𝑟𝑟̅𝑘𝑘 )/ √∑𝑖𝑖=1(𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − 𝑟𝑟̅𝑗𝑗 ) ∑𝑖𝑖=1(𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − 𝑟𝑟̅𝑘𝑘 )
2 (8)
146 . Mehmet Hakan Özdemir
where 𝑟𝑟̅𝑗𝑗 and 𝑟𝑟̅𝑘𝑘 are the means of the 𝑗𝑗th and 𝑘𝑘th criterion,
respectively. 𝑟𝑟̅𝑗𝑗 is calculated by using Eq. (9), and 𝑟𝑟̅𝑘𝑘 is computed
similarly.
𝑚𝑚
1
𝑟𝑟̅𝑗𝑗 = ∑ 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … 𝑛𝑛 (9)
𝑚𝑚 𝑖𝑖=1
4) The standard deviation for each criterion is computed by using
Eq. (10).
𝑚𝑚 2
1
𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 = √ ∑ (𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − 𝑟𝑟̅𝑗𝑗 ) ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (10)
𝑚𝑚−1 𝑖𝑖=1
The index (C) is calculated by using Eq. (11).
𝑛𝑛
𝐶𝐶𝑗𝑗 = 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 ∑ (1 − 𝜌𝜌𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 ) ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (11)
𝑘𝑘=1
5) Eq. (12) is used to calculate the weights of the criteria.
(2) 𝐶𝐶𝑗𝑗
𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 = ∑𝑛𝑛 (12)
𝑗𝑗=1 𝐶𝐶𝑗𝑗
2.3. MEREC
MEREC was introduced by Keshavarz-Ghorabaee et al. (2021). The
removal effects of each criterion on the aggregated performance of
alternatives are used by MEREC to calculate the weights of criteria, in
contrast to other methods. In MEREC, a criterion is given more weight
when removing it has a greater impact on the overall performance of the
alternatives. In addition to weighting each criterion, this viewpoint may
help decision-makers leave out some criteria from the decision-making
process. A fresh viewpoint on choosing the weights of criteria can be
gained by taking into account the variations and the performance of an
alternative based on eliminating criteria. In other terms, MEREC is built
on the idea of causality. This method computes the weights of criteria by
using the following steps (Keshavarz-Ghorabaee et al., 2021):
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .147
1) The decision matrix is created by using Eq. (13).
𝑥𝑥11 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥1𝑗𝑗 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥1𝑛𝑛
⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮
𝐗𝐗 = 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖1 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚, 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (13)
⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮
[𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚1 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ]
min 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝑖𝑖
; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚, 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (14)
𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = ; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚, 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (15)
max 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑖𝑖
1
𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 = ln (1 + ( ∑𝑛𝑛𝑗𝑗=1|ln(𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 )|)) ; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚 (16)
𝑛𝑛
4) By removing each criterion, Eq. (17) calculates the performance
of the alternatives.
′
𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
1
= ln (1 + ( ∑𝑛𝑛𝑘𝑘=1,𝑘𝑘≠𝑗𝑗|ln(𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 )|)) ; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚, 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛
𝑛𝑛
(17)
5) The effect of removing 𝑗𝑗th criterion is calculated by using Eq. (18).
𝐸𝐸𝑗𝑗 = ∑𝑚𝑚 ′
𝑖𝑖=1|𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − 𝑆𝑆𝑖𝑖 | ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (18)
6) The weights of the criteria are determined using Eq. (19).
(3) 𝐸𝐸𝑗𝑗
𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 = ∑𝑛𝑛 (19)
𝑗𝑗=1 𝐸𝐸𝑗𝑗
2.4. COPRAS
COPRAS was proposed by Zavadskas et al. (1994). This method uses
following steps to rank the alternatives (Alinezhad and Khalili, 2019):
148 . Mehmet Hakan Özdemir
1) The decision matrix is created by using Eq. (20).
𝑥𝑥11 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥1𝑗𝑗 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥1𝑛𝑛
⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮
𝐗𝐗 = 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖1 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ; 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (20)
⋮ ⋱ ⋮ ⋱ ⋮
[𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚1 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ⋯ 𝑥𝑥𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ]
2) Using Eq. (21), the decision matrix is normalized.
𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = ∑𝑚𝑚 ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1, 2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (21)
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
3) Eq. (22) is used to weight the normalized decision matrix.
𝑟𝑟̂𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 ; 𝑖𝑖 = 1, 2, … , 𝑚𝑚 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … , 𝑛𝑛 (22)
where 𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 is the weight of the 𝑗𝑗th criterion.
5) Using Eq. (25), the relative significance value of each alternative
is computed by
∑𝑚𝑚
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑆𝑆−𝑖𝑖
𝑄𝑄𝑖𝑖 = 𝑆𝑆+𝑖𝑖 + 1 (25)
𝑆𝑆−𝑖𝑖 ∑𝑚𝑚
𝑖𝑖=1
𝑆𝑆−𝑖𝑖
6) The relative significance values of the alternatives are ranked from
greatest to lowest, with the highest final value having the highest
rank.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .149
The radar charts for the weights found using the entropy method,
CRITIC method, and MEREC are shown in Figures 1, 2, and 3,
respectively.
where 𝐾𝐾 is the number of available objective weighting methods. In
this study, 𝐾𝐾 = 3, as three different objective weighting methods are
applied.
𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗
̂𝑗𝑗 = ∑𝑛𝑛
𝑤𝑤 (27)
𝑗𝑗=1 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗
The aggregated weight for each criterion is given in Table 3, and
Figure 4 shows the radar chart for the aggregated weights. Internal storage
has the highest weight, whereas screen size has the lowest weight.
Table 3. Aggregated weights for the criteria
CR1 CR2 CR3 CR4 CR5 CR6 CR7
0.2019 0.0274 0.0448 0.0484 0.0627 0.1950 0.4198
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .151
Figure 4. Radar chart for the aggregated weights
The degree of discrepancy between a set of estimated values and
actual values can be measured using a variety of error metrics, such as
mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared
error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and symmetric
MAPE (sMAPE). These error measures can also be used to evaluate the
precision of the data produced by various MCDM methods. Typically, the
accuracy of a method increases with decreasing error values. Any error
metrics must be used with a collection of actual values. To compare the
three methods, sMAPE for each method was then calculated using Eq. (28)
by taking these aggregated weights to be the actual weights. As opposed to
MAPE, which penalizes negative error (when the estimated value is greater
than the actual value) more severely than positive error, sMAPE was
chosen out of a variety of metrics (Krishnan et al., 2021).
(𝑘𝑘)
|𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 −𝑤𝑤
̂ 𝑗𝑗 |
𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 (𝑘𝑘) =
100%
𝑛𝑛
∑𝑛𝑛𝑗𝑗=1 (𝑘𝑘)
(𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 +𝑤𝑤
̂ 𝑗𝑗 )/2
; 𝑘𝑘 = 1,2, … , 𝐾𝐾 (28)
Table 4. sMAPE for each objective weighting method
As can be seen from Table 4, the lowest sMAPE belongs to MEREC.
Table 5 shows the ranking obtained by COPRAS using the aggregated
weights in Table 3. Since SP1 has the greatest relative significance value,
SP1 is ranked first.
152 . Mehmet Hakan Özdemir
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Huang, J. (2008). Combining entropy weight and TOPSIS method for information
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Krishnan, A. R., Kasim, M. M., Hamid, R., & Ghazali, M. F. (2021). A modified
CRITIC method to estimate the objective weights of decision
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Sałabun, W., Wątróbski, J., & Shekhovtsov, A. (2020). Are mcda methods
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& Decision Making, 15(02), 267-283.
Can MAVRUK1
INTRODUCTION
Dollarization is primarily due to a lack of confidence in monetary
policy. The ineffective and unsuccessful policies of central banks cause
high unpredictable rates of inflation. The most important policy tool of
monetary policy that supports the preservation of the value of the domestic
currency in cross transactions is interest. On the other hand, inflation is the
most basic indicator of savings when real and legal persons create their
portfolios and make investments. All rationally expect their assets to be
appreciated above inflation and to generate real returns. In a fragile
economy like Turkey with high exchange rate volatility, unstable monetary
and fiscal policies, it has become inevitable for people to accumulate assets
and enter into debt relations with a currency with a more predictable future
and a stronger economy. Economists and financiers call this phenomenon
"Dollarization".
In 1971, with the end of fixed exchange rate system, a new system
was sought. In the 1980s, the liberal trend that spread to the world from the
United States of America, globalization and liberalization of capital
mobility caused an intensification of dollarization in developing countries
such as Turkey, which made inflation an integral part of its economy. The
return of domestic and foreign currency to savings and investment cost
have been important factors in dollarization.
Previous studies attributed the reason for dollarization to domestic
dynamics. The causes of dollarization were inflation and exchange rates
(Saraç, 2010; Darıcı, 2004; Us & Metin-Özcan, 2005; Terzi and Kurt,
2007; Sarı, 2007; Hekim, 2008; Yalta & Yalta, 2021; Aktaş & Aydınlık,
2022). Other important determinants of dollarization were interest rates
(Yalta & Yalta, 2021), domestic and foreign currency interest margins
(Sarı, 2007), political events (Bărbuță-Mișu, Güleç, Duramaz and
Virlanuta, 2020), import, export, CDS premiums (Aktaş & Aydınlık,
2022).
This study aims to examine short run and long run relationships
between dollarization (FED/(M1+M2)), USD/TL exchange rates, inflation
and USD interest rates in the period of aformentioned events. The research
focuses on causal effects of these macroeconomic variables. Based on
availability of monthly data, econometric analysis covers the 2013m1-
2022m8 period. Dickey Fuller test for unit root and bound test (Pesaran,
Shin and Smith, 2001) for cointegration are used. Stability of the
coefficients in the models is tested using cumulative sum (CUSUM)
squared of residuals.
1. BACKGROUND
Political developments in the last decade had tremendous impact on
Turkish economy. Brunson crisis (2015-2018) and F35 bargain of Turkish
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .157
government with the US government to release Brunson had mobilized
exchange rates upwards in Turkey. Election of Trump had further elevated
the issue. Dollarization increased from 58 percent 72 percent from Trump’s
election in November 2016 to his inauguration in January 2017. Trump had
announced that they would hit Turkish economy which followed by
Biden’s statement to support Turkish opposition parties against the
government. Extremely high volatilities in exchange rates and interest rates
were observed after USD/TRY shock in August 2018 when Brunson was
not released. USD/TL exchange rate went up about one TRY, USD interest
rate 1.55 percent and dolarization rate 25 percent (CBRT, 2022a). Covid
19 pandemic also contributed to negatve effects on Turkish economy.
USD/TRY exchange rate increased from 6.04 in March 2020 to 8.00 in
November 2020. Over the same period, consumer price index increased
from 57 percent to 230 percent and dollarization rate increased from 91
percent to 105 percent (CBRT, 2022a). And finally the expected war in
Ukraine broke out in February 2022. A dramatic increase in energy prices
were experienced months preceding the war due decline in energy flow to
Europe. This has increased transportation cost at most in Turkey and an
inflation shock was experienced in December 2021. Consumer price index
in this month increased from 3.51 percent to 13.58 percent in a month. The
most important determinants of high inflation were food and
transportation. These were two extremely important future indicators of
food and energy crisis for Turkey. USD/TL exchange rate increased from
9.14 to 13.53 and dollarization rate increased from 107 percent to 154
percent in two months (2021m10-2021m12). Monthly USD interest rate
also increased from 2 percent to 3 percent which then went up to 8 percent
in August 2022 (CBRT, 2022a).
In general outlook, Turkish government claimed that interest rate
causes inflation and lowered lending rates from 12 percent in October 2022
to 10.50 percent in November 2022 (Trading Economics, 2022) whereas
TSI inflation rate was 83.50 percent (CBRT, 2022b). This move flowed
the cash to the banks and according to BRSA increased bank profits by 400
percent only in the first half of 2022 (Bloomberg, 2022a). As of October
22, weighted average consumer loan interest rates (flow data) ranged
between 26.00-33.72 percent (CBRT, 2022c). On the other hand, weighted
average of interest rates for one month timed deposits had a range of 16.83-
19.11 percent in the 2022m1-2022m10 period (CBRT, 2022d). Profits of
energy companies increased by about 524 percent (Bloomberg, 2022b).
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
Aktaş & Aydınlık (2022) used fixed and random effects for the
2007Q4-2019Q1 period and found that inflation, import, export, exchange
rate and CDS premiums were determinants of deposit dollarization.
158 . Can Mavruk
Yalta & Yalta (2021) used maximum entropy bootstrap method for
2013-2021 monthly data to investigate the relationship between
dollarization, consumer price index, real exchange rate and volatility of
interest rate. The impact of inflation rate on deposit dollarization showed
variations before and after the new presidential system. The effect of
inflation rate and exchange rate on deposit dollarization had weakened
over time. Furthermore, interest rate volatility and economic confidence
were important determinants of deposit dollarization.
Tufaner (2021) used regression and causality for the 2013m1-2021m2
period to examine the relationship between international reserves, the
difference between domestic and foreign interest rates, the returns of
financial investment instruments and the exchange rate. One-sided
causality was found from international reserves and returns of financial
investment instruments to dollarization.
Bărbuță-Mișu, Güleç, Duramaz, Virlanuta (2020) used iterative
cumulative sum of squares and markov switching dynamic regression
structural break models for the 2012m12-2018m12 period to examine the
relationship between interest rates, exchange rate and dollarization. The
authors found that speculative trading was not the cause of the dollarization
of deposits in Turkey. Political events had a stronger influence over
dollarization compared to economic events. Domestic citizens dollarized
their deposits with the motivation to protect against political ambiguity
rather than economic volatility. Dollarization could be averted in the short
run with an increase in interest rates.
Hekim (2008) used OLS method for the 1992m1-2007m12 period and
found the change in inflation and real exchange rates as the most important
determinants of dollarization (FED/M2Y).
Sarı (2007) used VAR model for the 1990m01-2006m12 period and
found that the exchange rate, domestic and foreign currency interest
margins mutually affect the risk variable dollarization.
Terzi and Kurt (2007) used VAR model in the 1990m1-2006m4
period and found that the main reason for dollarization (FED/M2Y) was
determined as inflation, exchange rate and money supply variables. Using
OLS method for the 1992m01-2007m12 period.
Us and Metin-Özcan (2005) used ARDL model for the 1990m1-
1999m12 period to show that the inflation rate was an important
determinant of persistance in currency substitution.
Darıcı (2004) found that real exchange rate and inflation trigger
currency substitution based on LS method for the 1990m3-2002m3.
Acar Balaylar & Abuk Duygulu (2004) used Granger causality test to
analyze the relationships between M2 annual deposit interest rate,
inflation, real exchange rate, nominal GNP, quarterly treasury bill interest
rate for the 1987m01-2000m12 period, and found no long run relationship
between the variables.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .159
3. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
In its broadest sense, dollarization is the use of foreign currency
instead of the national currency to fulfill all the functions and use of money
in any country. The use of foreign currency in commercial, financial
transactions with a means of calculation, store of value against the official
national currency is called both dollarization and currency substitution.
Dollarization and currency substitution are used as synonyms in the
literature. However, the domestic currency has lost all its functions in
currency substitution and left these features to foreign currency, while
dollarization has emerged as a result of the loss of the domestic currency's
ability to store and calculate value. Residents of countries experiencing
chronic inflation are first starting to use foreign currency as a tool to
160 . Can Mavruk
accumulate assets or as a unit of calculation function. Since the exact
amount of foreign currency in circulation cannot be known, the
dollarization rate of the country is considered as an indicator of the rate of
currency substitution.
to protect their savings and assets against inflation (asset dollarization), on
the other hand, foreign currency borrowing (liability dollarization) caused
by the faulty works and failures of the market and institutions. (Yılmaz,
2005). The risk of fragility in the financial structure along with capital
flows in developing countries has made financial dollarization a research
topic.
As economists examine economic crises, how the currency mismatch
of economic units due to liability dollarization, how imbalances in balance
sheets threaten financial stability and how important it is in crises are
observed. Looking at the sectors one by one, the assets of the companies
that went into crisis and went bankrupt are mostly in domestic currency
and their liabilities are mostly in foreign currency. The reason for this is
not because of the firm's indebtedness, but in case of sudden and high
depreciation of the domestic currency as a result of the high dollarization
of the country. The real debt stock in foreign currency increases compared
to its assets, and as a result, it is expected that the investments decrease
with the contraction in domestic production. Foreign currency liabilities of
all sectors operating domestically, including the public and banks, are
among the important indicators that show the level of dollarization (Akıncı
et al., 2005).
deteriorates as a result of the inability to allocate confidence, the expected
inflation increases, and in parallel, the dollarization hysteria increases.
debt of a country will cause the debt level to increase in terms of domestic
currency. Borrower countries will have difficulty in rebalancing to
domestic exchange rates, but will have to borrow new money to pay off
their debt or hold foreign currency in their reserves to repay their debts.
Countries whose national currency is not seen as a reserve currency
in the international financial system will have to use foreign currency or
gold to pay off their foreign debts.
There is a difference in meaning between external liability and
external debt. External debt is the borrowing made out of national
currency, which flows from countries with surplus funds to countries with
fund deficits. If the maturity of these borrowings is less than one year, it is
called “short-term external debt”. External liabilities, on the other hand,
refer to liabilities such as external debt, foreign loans and deposits in the
form of foreign exchange deposits to real and legal persons not resident in
Turkey (Eğilmez, 2021).
Foreign currency borrowing has increased continuously since 2012.
There are two ways in which the central government can pay off its debts
that are due, by re-borrowing or using its reserves. The reserves are able to
meet the short-term debts. The ratio of short-term external debt has the
largest share in debt liabilities (CBRT, 2022). Since 2012, the debt
coverage ratio of reserves has been decreasing. We know that the rise in
2019 increased with the 3rd quarter of 2018 and with swap agreements in
2019.
As a result of cheap foreign exchange, low inflation and low interest
rates applied to the currency, the central government stopped borrowing in
its own currency and started to borrow in foreign currency. Considering
the amount of this borrowing, with the view that the foreign exchange
prices will stay at these levels and the interest rates will not rise in the short
term, the use of reserves and borrowing, as well as FX open positions have
increased day by day.
The central government does not have large items of income other
than Central Bank that issues the national currency and the taxes it collects
on the local currency. Therefore, it will pay its foreign currency liabilities
with the foreign currency it will purchase using the local currency. As the
real exchange rate depreciates, the central government will have to buy
using more domestic currency for the level of foreign currency owed.
The real exchange rate is a basket exchange rate index that is weighted
based on certain criteria from various foreign currencies. It is formed as a
result of calculating the real exchange rate index as an average without
taking into account the high volatility during the year. The domestic
currency has been in a downward trend since 2010. This loss of value in
the domestic currency forces the state, companies and households who
want to pay their debts to exchange more local currency and buy foreign
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .165
currency. Increasing money supply to meet the domestic money demand
will cause inflation after a while.
When we look at the CPI-based real exchange rate index (CBRT,
2022a), there is a downward trend line, as well as volatility on some dates,
and the overhanging of the line shows that there is an excessive
depreciation in the domestic currency. It is observed that the TL has lost
more than 20% of its value during the sagging dates. Along with these
value losses, it has been determined that real and legal persons evaluate
every exchange rate decrease in the direction of purchase.
It is clearly seen in the graphs that real and legal persons lose their
foreign currency savings when the USD/TL exchange rate rises, and
replace the foreign currency they sell when the exchange rate decreases. A
stable exchange rate and anti-inflationary policies will reduce the rate at
which savers resort to arbitrage, and then they will stop using it as an asset
storage tool, although they do not need it. Akcay et al. (1997) investigated
the effect of deposit dollarization on exchange rate stability in Turkey
using the EGARCH-M model and found that currency substitution
increases exchange rate instability.
There was a rapid change in savings as a currency in deposits. The
negative divergence continued for a while with the balance reached in mid-
2019, and then reverse dollarization started with the change in the
economic management in November 2020. However, dismissal of the
Central Bank President by the executive and deteriorated stability by the
markets spoiled the positive atmosphere. Since the allocation of trust is a
long-term event, it is necessary to ensure the continuity of the right
policies, to use the communication channels effectively and to manage the
money market in line with the policy in order to regain the lost gains.
It is possible to analyze the confidence of real and legal persons in
monetary policy by looking at the maturity structure of foreign currency
deposit accounts.
According to BRSA FX deposit maturities data in the 2015-2021m3
period, foreign currency deposits have increased continuously throughout
the process. However, during this period, we see that there is a decrease by
half in maturities of 1 year and above, and the demand accounts held for
arbitrage doubled. The definite conclusion that we can draw in general is
to say that the maturity of the deposits has shortened. This result means
that savers lose their confidence in the economy over time and their
expectations are realized in a shorter time.
The fact that deposits are short-term and foreign currency loans are
long-term creates difficulties in obtaining loans, increases the costs of the
loans given, and causes inconsistency in the balance sheets in foreign
currency in the banking sector (Gençay, 2007). Oya Gençay, in her study
in 2007, stated that financial dollarization has decreased in the Turkish
economy since 2001, the share of one-month FEDs has decreased, and
medium and long-term foreign currency loans have increased.
If we look at the domestic short-term loans in February 2021 period,
we see that while the long-term loans increased by 1.307 million US dollars
in the January 2021 period, the long-term loans decreased by 249 million
US dollars. While short-term loans obtained from abroad increased by
USD 20 million, long-term loans increased by USD 415 million.
The share of short term liabilities in total liabilities decreased from
43% in 2008 to 25% in 2015, subsequently increased to 33% in 2020 and
decreased to about 32% in February 2021.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .167
According to CBRT January 2021 data, assets increased by USD
1.182 million, while liabilities increased by USD 1.493 million. Net FX
Position Deficit was realized as USD 155,343 million and increased by
USD 311 million compared to January 2021 period.
The fact that liabilities and assets do not increase at the same rate
causes deterioration in the balance sheets and an increase in the current
account deficit. In case the savings cannot meet the liabilities, foreign
borrowing will increase. After a while, with the increase in exchange rates,
economic actors with foreign exchange surplus will not want to sell their
foreign currency speculatively. Companies that want to pay their due
foreign currency loans will choose to allocate a larger share of their
profitability and buy foreign currency.
If we look at the past 5 years today, after the increase in exchange
rates experienced in 2018, a decrease is observed due to foreign currency
loan utilization rates or lending rates. Likewise, it is understood that this
demand shifted to domestic currency loans despite high interest rates. The
share of foreign currency loans in total loan made a wide bump from USD
160 million in January 2017 to USD 185 million in August 2018.
Subsequently declined to steady at about USD160 million over the last two
years when total loan was about USD 640 milyon.
Portfolio flows of non-residents, which we call hot money and which
are generally short-term, are important foreign currency inputs of the
country. The most frequently used instruments are stocks and GDS.
This review was based on the part of Kal's (2019) study, which deals
with capital inflows. Partnering with companies with stocks is due to their
expectations that the company has a future. GDS (Government Domestic
Debt Securities) is an investment made in line with the expectations of the
country's future financial structure and economy.
Markets are not entities with emotions. Markets price negative news
and expectations without waiting for their realization. If it happens, it takes
time for the exiting foreign investor to return. In our country, it has been
observed that foreign investors have made a net portfolio exit for the last 3
years. For this reason, we are faced with constantly increasing exchange
rates in our country. Because when the foreign investor sells the securities
in their hands, they exit the market by buying foreign currency. This causes
the exchange rates to rise from the general level, the debt stock to increase
and the residents to lose their confidence in the stability of the domestic
currency.
Who covers the foreign exchange demanded after these portfolio
sales? We can answer this question by looking at the trends in portfolio
flow of non-residents (net movements) the first 5 months of 2021 (CBRT,
2022a).
After the change in the economic management in November, the
capital flow has taken place. This positive expansion was reflected first on
168 . Can Mavruk
stocks and then on GDS. As a result, with hot money inflow, the new
administration's determined attitude and a stable outlook with the right
policies, there was a decrease in foreign USD/TL exchange rates from
November 2020 to March 2021 and regressed to July 2020 prices.
As a result of the deterioration in domestic, international portfolios
and domestic capital outflows with the change of the President of the
Central Bank in March 2021, the exchange rate prices reached the lowest
level of 7.28 in this period, but rose to 8.34 in one night.
Domestic residents evaluated the declining exchange rate prices with
the change in economic management on November 8, 2020, as a buying
opportunity and evaluated them in the direction of purchase until January
8, 2021.
According to BRSA, the rising exchange rate prices with the change
of the Governor of the Central Bank on March 20 caused a dissolution of
approximately 10 billion dollars in foreign currency deposits in one week
(March 19-26, 2021 based on real persons+commercial
institutions+official and other institutions data).
The fact that official institutions do not sell any foreign currency, on
the contrary, the increase in deposits as a result of purchases shows that the
foreign exchange demand of foreign residents is met by domestic real and
commercial institutions. Real persons and commercial institutions
provided foreign currency to this demand by melting 3.55 percent of their
deposits.
4. METHOD
4.1. Data
The overview of dollarization in the first part of the study is based on
the data extracted from Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency
(BRSA), Central Bank of Turkey Economic Data (CBRT) and TR Ministry
of Treasury and Finance.
For short run and long run regression analysis, monthly USD
exchange rate, CPI, FED and TRY deposits and weighted average interest
rates applied to USD deposits (flow%) all were obtained from CBRT
Electronic Data Distribution System (EVDS). Since M2Y was not
available, asset dollarization (AD) data is calculated by FED/(M1+M2)
where FED is foreign exchange deposits (demand and time deposits) and
TRY is TL deposits, M1 is the sum of currency outside banks, demand
deposits (TRY and FX), CBRT and banks, and M2 is the sum of FX and
TRY time deposits. USD interest rates and TRY interest rates show similar
behavior in the 2013m1-2021m6 period.
Table 1 demonstrates the codes of the variables to be used in the
models.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .169
Table 1: Variable codes and definitions
Variables Codes Definition
Asset Monthly total foreign exchange deposits divided by the
AD
dollarization sum of M1and M2.
Exchange rate EXCR Monthly CPI based USD/TRY exchange rates
Weighted average interest rates applied to monthly USD
Interest rate USDIR
deposits (flow %)
Inflation CPI Monthly consumer price index
Behaviors of dollarization and CPI variables are observed in Figure 1.
In Figure 1a, monthly CPI has two temporary shocks in the 2013m1-
2022m8 period. It shows a level stationary behavior about one percent up
to 2021m6 before the second shock in 2021m12. The two shocks in the
same months were also observed in dollarization time series
(FED/(FED+TRY)). But they were not evident in FED/(M1+M2) time
series. Dollarization in either form seems to follow an upward drift in the
same period. The second is used in this study.
Since monthly level CPI includes negative values (see Figure 1a) and
logarithms of the negative values are undefined, logarithms were not taken.
Instead, new monthly CPI series (2003=100) of Turkish Statistics Institute
was used (see Figure 1b) and logarithms were taken. Logarithms are taken
to more flatten or linearize the series (compare Figure 1a and Figure 2a).
15
1000
.6
.7
10
.6
800
.5
Dollarization
Dollarization
CPIm
.5
CPI
600
5
.4
.4
400
0
.3
.3
200
-5
2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1 2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1
date date
120
1000
.7
100
100
.6
800
Dollarization
CPIEXCR
CPIEXCR
.5
CPI
600
80
80
.4
400
60
60
.3
200
40
40
2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1 2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1
date date
1.5
-.4
2.5
1
-.6
lnExchangeRate
6.5
lnusdir
-.8
.5
lnCPI
lnAD
1.5
-1
0
-1.2
1
5.5
-.5
-1.4
.5
2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1 2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1
date
months
lnAD lnCPI
lnfx lnusdir
Graphs of first differences are demonstrated in Figure 3. First
difference of lnAD in Figure 3a looks like white noise with zero mean. In
Figure 3b and Figure 3c, first differences of lnCPI and ln EXCR seem to
have nonzero means.
.15
.15
.1
.1
lnCPI, D
lnAD, D
.05
.05
0
0
-.05
2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1 2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1
date date
.2
lnCPIEXCR, D
D.lnusdir
0
-.05
-.2
-.1
-.15
-.4
2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1 2012m1 2014m1 2016m1 2018m1 2020m1 2022m1
date date
Table 2: ADF Test Results and Stationarity
Optimal Test %5 CV McKinnon p
Variables Stationarity
lag statistic Interpolated DF value for z(t)
lnAD 2 -6.019 -2.889 0.0000 I(1)
lnEXCR 3 -7.098 -2.889 0.0000 I(1)
lnUSDIR 3 -3.573 -2.889 0.0058 I(1)
lnCPI 2 -2.991 -2.889 0.0357 I(1)
Table 3: Cointegration and Specified Models
Dependent variable Opt Lag F-stat Cointegration Model
lnAD 1 1 0 2 3.93 No ARDL-SR
lnCPI 4 4 2 0 3.02 No ARDL-SR
lnEXCR 2 4 4 3 8.97 Yes ECM-LR
lnUSDIR 3 1 4 2 2.36 No ARDL-SR
Table 3 shows bound test results for the variables of the study. F-stat
was less than I(1) upper bound except for EXCR. Thus, ECM long run
model was specified for lnEXCR as dependent variable and ARDL short
run model was specified for the other variables as dependent variables. The
results are shown in Table 3. Since all models are not ECM, VECM cannot
be run.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .173
Bound test results for dollarization as dependent variable show an F-
value (3.91) to be less than the upper bound critical values at 5, 2.5 and 1
percent. But the F value was greater than the upper bound critical value at
10 percent. Thus, there is no levels of relationship (no cointegration) and
the short run ARDL(1 1 0 2) regression model is run. In this model, optimal
lags (1 1 0 2) means p=1, q1=1, q2=0 and q3=2. The estimated coefficients
and statistics of the short run regression model is shown in Table 4.
Table 4: Short run ARDL model results for dollarization
lnAD Optimal lag Coefficient se t
lnAD L1 p=1 .888 .049 18.06*
lnEXCR q1=0 -.535 .067 -7.96*
lnEXCR L1 q1=1 .378 .079 4.81*
lnCPI q2=0 -.030 .024 -1.29
lnUSDIR q3=0 -.072 .026 -2.80*
lnUSDIR L1 q3=1 .122 .043 2.81*
lnUSDIR L2 q3=2 -.050 .027 -1.86
constant .769 .283 2.72*
All significant short run coefficients are in line with theory. The
coefficient of the first lag of lnAD is positive and significant. A percantage
change in the first lag of AD is associated with a 0.888 percent increase in
AD whereas a percentage increase in EXCR decreases AD by 0.535
percent.
Diagnositics showed that there was no evidence of serial correlation
based on DW d-statistics (1.81) which was confirmed by Beuch-Godfrey
LM autocorrelation test (p-values are shown in Table 5). Breusch-
Pagan/Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity did not reject the null
hypothesis of constant variance. The variables had no unrestricted
heteroskedasticity based on Cameron-Trivedi’s decomposition of IM test
and White test. There was no autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity
(ARCH) effect based on LM test. Residuals were normally distributed
based on JB test.
174 . Can Mavruk
Table 5: Diagnostics for dollarization model
Chi2(df) p-value
White Test 46.91 .0860
Breusch-Godfrey LM (lags) 1.409(1) .2352
1.765(2) .4138
1.836(3) .6071
3.887(4) .4215
Figure 4 indicates that the short run model is not stable because there
is divergence from the five percent stability bounds.
CUSUM squared
1
CUSUM squared
2013m6 2022m8
date
Table 6: Short run ARDL model results for inflation
lnCPI Coefficient se t
lnCPI L1 1.55 .094 16.58*
lnCPI L2 -.626 .177 -3.54*
lnCPI L3 .361 .159 2.27**
lnCPI L4 -.335 .079 -4.24*
lnAD -.055 .042 -1.30
lnAD L1 .179 .057 3.12*
lnAD L2 -.160 .060 -2.68*
lnAD L3 -.000 .061 -0.00
lnAD L4 .064 .043 1.47
lnEXCR -.141 .040 -3.51*
lnEXCR L1 -.007 .060 -0.12
lnEXCR L2 .102 .043 2.38**
lnUSDIR -.004 .002 -1.42
constant .497 .188 2.64*
Table 6 shows the results of Model (4). All short run coefficients are
significant except for interest rate. Every 10 percent increase in the first lag
of CPI is associated with a 15.50 percent increase in current CPI whereas
for every 10 percent increase in the first lag of dollarization, inflation
increases by about 1.79 percent in the short run. For every 10 percent
increase in EXCR, CPI decreases by 1.41 percent in the short run. For
every 10 percent increase in the second lag of EXCR, CPI increases by
1.02 percent in the short run.
Diagnositics showed that there was no evidence of serial correlation
based on DW d-statistics (1.87) which was confirmed by Beuch-Godfrey
LM autocorrelation test (in which p values are 0.09, 0.245, 247, 387 for
lags 1, 2, 3, 4). Variables were homoskedastic based on Cameron-Trivedi’s
decomposition of IM test and White test. There was no autoregressive
conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) effect.
Cusum squared graph showed divergence from five percent stability
bounds, thus the model was not stable.
In Table 7, error adjustment term is negative and significant. Thus, the
model is expected ro be stable. To observe stability, CUSUM square graph
is generated. Significance of adjustment term implies that there is long run
convergence among the variables and previous errors will be corrected in
the present period. The speed of adjustment is 23.6 percent which means
that 23.60 percent of errors will be corrected in one period. Only long run
coefficient of lnCPI is significant. This implies that there is long run
causality from CPI to EXCR, i.e., CPI Granger-cause EXCR in the long
run. On the other hand, short run model indicates significant coefficients
for dollarization, exchange rate and cpi. This implies short run causality
from these variables to EXCR.
For every 10 percent increase in CPI, reel effective exchange rate
decreases by 7.86 percent in the long run. For every 10 percent increase in
the first and third lags of CPI, real effective exchange rates increases by
11.12 and 5.34 percent in the short run. For every 10 percent increase in
dollarization, real effective echange rate decreases by 5.67 percent in the
short run. For every 10 percent increase in current USD interest rates, real
effective exchange rate decreases by about one percent and for every 10
percent increase in the first lag of USD interest rates, real effective
exchange rate increases by 0.79 percent.
Table 7: Long run EC model results for exchange rates
lnEXCR Coefficient se t
Adjustment
lnEXCR L1 -.236 .060 -3.94*
Long Run
lnAD .198 .283 0.70
lnCPI -.786 .197 -4.00*
lnUSDIR .022 .025 0.89
Short Run
lnEXCR LD .171 .106 1.62
lnCPI D1 -.529 .206 -2.56**
lnCPI LD 1.112 .221 5.06*
lnCPI L2D -.353 .243 -1.47
lnCPI L3D .534 .207 -2.25**
lnAD D1 -.567 .082 -6.88*
lnAD LD -.141 .106 -1.33
lnAD L2D -.130 .097 -1.35
lnAD L3D -.211 .099 -2.13*
lnUSDIR D1 -.098 .027 -3.58*
lnUSDIR LD .079 .027 2.86*
lnUSDIR L2D .040 .030 1.34
Constant 2.12 .378 5.61*
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .177
Diagnositics showed that there was no evidence of serial correlation
based on DW d-statistics which was confirmed by Beuch-Godfrey LM
autocorrelation test and variables were homoskedastic based on Cameron-
Trivedi’s decomposition of IM test and White test. There was no
autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) effect.
Although cusum squared graph in Figure 5 shows divergence from
five percent stability bounds, the model is not stable although there is a
reversion back to stability strip.
CUSUM squared
1
CUSUM squared
2013m6 2022m8
date
Table 8 shows model estimation results which indicate that short run
coefficients of two previous lags of USDIR, AD and EXCR are significant.
CPI is not significant, thus inflation does not cause interest rates. Every 10
percent increase in the first lag of USDIR is associated with a 12 percent
increase in current USDIR in the short run. For every 10 percent increase
in real effective exchange rates, USD interest rates decreases by 10.68
percent in the short run.
178 . Can Mavruk
Table 8: Short run ARDL model results for USD interest rates
lnUSDIR Coefficient se t
lnUSDIR L1 1.204 .095 12.72*
lnUSDIR L2 .092 .153 0.60
lnUSDIR L3 -.327 .091 -3.57*
lnCPI -.263 .736 -0.36
lnCPI L1 .662 1.31 0.50
lnCPI L2 .002 1.36 0.00
lnCPI L3 1.895 1.19 1.58
lnCPI L4 -2.337 .657 -3.55*
lnAD -.500 .331 -1.51
lnAD L1 .524 .336 1.56
lnEXCR -1.068 .331 -3.22*
lnEXCR L1 .153 .487 0.31
lnEXCR L2 1.024 .338 3.02*
constant -.223 1.26 -0.18
Diagnositics showed that there was no evidence of serial correlation
based on DW d-statistics (2.02) which was confirmed by Beuch-Godfrey
LM autocorrelation test. Breusch-Pagan/Cook-Weisberg test for
heteroskedasticity did not reject the null hypothesis of constant variance.
The variables were homoskedastic based on White test. There was no
autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) effect based on LM
test. Residuals were normally distributed based on JB test.
Cusum squared graph showed divergence from the five percent
stability bounds. Thus, the model was not stable although there was a
reversion back to stability.
CONCLUSION
This study investigated the relationship between macroeconomic
variables, namely dollarization, real effective exchange rate, consumer
price index (inflation) and USD interest rate. The signs of the coefficients
were in line with the theory.
We showed that there was short run causality from exchange rate and
interest rate to dollarization; from dollarization, inflation and interest rate
to exchange rate; from exchange rates to interest rates; and from
dollarization and exchange rates to inflation. Inflation does not cause
interest, but it causes exchange rates in the long run. It seems that no model
is stable. However, CPI based real effective exchange rate seems to be
more stable despite high CPI. A monetary policy lowering CPI would
stabilize exchange rates.
The reason for the residents of Turkey to accumulate their assets in
foreign currency is due to interest rates and exchange rate volatility in the
short run. Dollarization in previous period had the stongest effect on
dollarization in current period. For every 10 percent increase in previous
lag of dollarization, dollarization increased by about nine percent. The
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .179
effect of exchange rate was less. For every 10 percent increase in previous
lag of real effective exchange rates, dollarization increased by about four
percent. Although the effect of inflation did not show significance on
dollarization, the upward trend of inflation caused foreign currency
deposits to remain intact. The effect of USD interest rates was lower than
that of real effective exchange rates.
Domestic residents' evaluation rates of these interest rates are very
low. High TRY interest rates provided only a periodical hot money flow
from outside. In the interest rate hike in September 2018, when the policy
rate was increased from 17.75 to 24 percent, there was a decrease in foreign
currency deposits ($1.70 billion), but the foreign exchange sold in a two-
week period was replaced.
When non-residents wanted to convert their cash, which was
generated by selling their securities with the decision to withdraw their
capital from the markets, exchange rates increased. However, domestic
residents did not meet this demand, but there was a limited decrease in
deposits. There were purchases due to the decrease in the exchange rate.
The percentage meltdown in deposits of domestic residents was a much
higher exchange rate level than expected. The fact that foreign currency
purchases at the highest exchange rate in history, when the study was
conducted, showed no positive views on the future. As of the first week of
June 2021, more than half of domestic residents' deposits was in foreign
currency.
The rate of short-term liabilities of the economy administration should
be reduced as soon as possible and steps should be taken to reduce
borrowing interest rates. By using interest, one of the monetary policy
tools, a permanent decrease in the exchange rate cannot be achieved, and
volatility cannot be narrowed. Turkey is a country that can produce a
current account surplus by closing all its liabilities together with the asset
stock of its residents. First of all, the economy management has to present
a strong and stable Turkish Lira in the future projections of the savers.
180 . Can Mavruk
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Yeyati, E.L. & Sturzeneger, F. (Ed.). (2003). Dollarization debates and policy
options. Macssachussets: MIT Publishing.
Mehmet KARAKAYA1
1. Introduction
For a given transferable utility game it is assumed that the grand
coalition (which contains the set of all agents) forms. The assumption that
the grand coalition forms is plausible if it is considered that larger
coalitions have bigger values. Then, the main concern is how the value of
the grand coalition will be distributed to the set of all agents. A distribution
of the value of grand coalition is called an allocation. We want that an
allocation to be stable in the sense that no coalition of the player set blocks
it. An allocation which is not blocked by any coalition is called a core
allocation.
A transferable utility game may not have a core allocation. So, the
conditions guaranteing the existence of core allocations have been studied
in the literature. We focus on the existence of core allocations in this paper
and revisit conditions (convexity and balancedness) that guarantee the
existence of core allocations. Convexity is a sufficient but not a necessary
condition. Balancedness is both a necessary and sufficient condition for the
existence of a core allocation.
that is, every convex transferable utility game is balanced but the converse
is not true.
The paper is organized as follows: In Section 2, we first introduce the
formal definitions of transferable utility game and give examples of
unanimity game, majority game, and gloves game, and then we provide the
core concept with examples. In Section 3, we introduce convexity
condition with examples of convex and non-convex transferable utility
games. In Section 4, the necessary and sufficient condition, balancedness,
is introduced and examples of balanced and non-balanced transferable
utility games are given. Section 5 concludes.
We provide the definition of a core allocation and give some examples
of transferable utility game with empty and non-empty core allocations in
this section.
Let (𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) be a TU game and 𝑥𝑥 = (𝑥𝑥1 , 𝑥𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑥𝑛𝑛 ) ∈ ℝ𝑛𝑛 an
allocation, a coalition 𝑆𝑆 ⊆ 𝑁𝑁 blocks the allocation 𝑥𝑥 if
𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) > ∑𝑖𝑖∈𝑆𝑆 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖 = 𝑥𝑥𝑆𝑆 .
Note that for an allocation 𝑥𝑥 to be a core allocation 2𝑛𝑛 − 1
inequalities (one inequality for each coalition) have to be satisfied.
Moreover, for a core allocation 𝑥𝑥 = (𝑥𝑥1 , 𝑥𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑥𝑛𝑛 ) we have that
∑𝑖𝑖∈𝑁𝑁 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖 = 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁), i.e., a core allocation must be efficient. We also note that
a core allocation is individually rational, that is, no singleton player can
block a core allocation.
A transferable utility game might not have a core allocation as shown
in the following example.
An allocation 𝑥𝑥 = (𝑥𝑥1 , 𝑥𝑥2 , 𝑥𝑥3 ) ∈ 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) if the following
inequalities are hold:
𝑥𝑥1 ≥ 0, 𝑥𝑥2 ≥ 0, 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 0, 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 ≥ 3/4, 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 2/3,
𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 2/3, and 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 = 1.
Inequalities 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 ≥ 3/4 , 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 2/3 , and 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 2/3
imply that 2(𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 ) ≥ 25/12.
So, we have that 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 25/24 which is impossible since we
have 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 = 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁) = 1. Hence, there is no core allocation for this
game, i.e., 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) = ∅.
The following example shows that the majority game with three
players has no core allocations.
An allocation 𝑥𝑥 = (𝑥𝑥1 , 𝑥𝑥2 , 𝑥𝑥3 ) ∈ 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) if the following
inequalities are hold
𝑥𝑥1 ≥ 0 , 𝑥𝑥2 ≥ 0 , 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 0 , 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 ≥ 1 , 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 1 ,
𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 1, and 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 = 1.
We now see that a glove game with three players has a unique core
allocation.
The value function 𝑣𝑣 is as follows:
𝑣𝑣({1}) = 𝑣𝑣({2}) = 𝑣𝑣({3}) = 0, 𝑣𝑣({1,2}) = 0,
𝑣𝑣({1,3}) = 𝑣𝑣({2,3}) = 1, and 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁) = 1.
An allocation 𝑥𝑥 = (𝑥𝑥1 , 𝑥𝑥2 , 𝑥𝑥3 ) ∈ 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) if the following
inequalities are hold
𝑥𝑥1 ≥ 0 , 𝑥𝑥2 ≥ 0 , 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 0 , 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 ≥ 0 , 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 1 ,
𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 ≥ 1, and 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 = 1.
Then 𝑥𝑥1 = 0, 𝑥𝑥2 = 0, and 𝑥𝑥1 + 𝑥𝑥2 + 𝑥𝑥3 = 1 imply that 𝑥𝑥3 = 1. So,
there exists a unique core allocation which is (𝑥𝑥1 , 𝑥𝑥2 , 𝑥𝑥3 ) = (0,0,1), i.e.,
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) = {(0,0,1)}.
3. Convexity
We see that a core allocation might not exist for some transferable
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .189
Definition 3. Convexity
A transferable utility game (𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) is convex if for any coalitions
𝑆𝑆, 𝑇𝑇 ⊆ 𝑁𝑁 we have
𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ 𝑇𝑇) + 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∩ 𝑇𝑇) ≥ 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) + 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇), (1)
or, equivalently, for each player 𝑖𝑖 ∈ 𝑁𝑁 and each 𝑆𝑆 ⊆ 𝑇𝑇 ⊆ (𝑁𝑁\{𝑖𝑖}) we
have
𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇) ≥ 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆). (2)
In order to get the inequality 2 from inequality 1, we consider
coalitions 𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖} and 𝑇𝑇 where 𝑆𝑆 ⊂ 𝑇𝑇 ⊂ 𝑁𝑁 with 𝑖𝑖 ∉ 𝑇𝑇 , then from
inequality 1 we have that
⏟ ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) ∪ 𝑇𝑇) + 𝑣𝑣 ⏟
𝑣𝑣 ((𝑆𝑆 ((𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) ∩ 𝑇𝑇) ≥ 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) + 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇),
(𝑇𝑇∪{𝑖𝑖}) 𝑆𝑆
𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) + 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) ≥ 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) + 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇),
𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇) ≥ 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆).
The difference between 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) and 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇) is the marginal
contribution of agent 𝑖𝑖 to coalition 𝑇𝑇 and the difference between
𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) and 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) is the marginal contribution of agent 𝑖𝑖 to coalition
𝑆𝑆. Then, since 𝑆𝑆 ⊂ 𝑇𝑇, inequality 2 means that an agent has higher marginal
contribution to larger coalitions.
In order to show that this TU game is convex, we will show that
inequality 2 is satisfied for each player 𝑖𝑖 ∈ 𝑁𝑁.
Remember that this game has no core allocations (see Example 4),
i.e., 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) = ∅ . So, a transferable utility game with no core
allocations is not a convex game.
We showed that there is no core allocation for this game, i.e.,
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) = ∅ (see Example 5). We now show that this game is not
convex, that is, the inequality 2 is violated for an agent 𝑖𝑖 ∈ 𝑁𝑁 and
coalitions 𝑆𝑆 and 𝑇𝑇 such that 𝑆𝑆 ⊂ 𝑇𝑇 ⊂ (𝑁𝑁\{𝑖𝑖}).
Let 𝑖𝑖 = 2, 𝑆𝑆 = {1} and 𝑇𝑇 = {1,3}. We now show that
𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇) < 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆).
𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇) = 𝑣𝑣({1,3} ∪ {2}) − 𝑣𝑣({1,3}) = 𝑣𝑣({1,2,3}) −
𝑣𝑣({2,3}) = 1 − 1 = 0,
𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) = 𝑣𝑣({1} ∪ {2}) − 𝑣𝑣({1}) = 𝑣𝑣({1,2}) − 𝑣𝑣({1}) =
1 − 0 = 1, and 0 < 1. So, this game is not a convex game.
We now provide an example to show that the convexity condition is
not necessary for a transferable utility game to have a core allocation. So,
we will provide a non-convex game with non-empty core allocation.
We show that this TU game is not convex, i.e., inequality 2 is violated
for an agent 𝑖𝑖 ∈ 𝑁𝑁 and coalitions 𝑆𝑆 and 𝑇𝑇 such that 𝑆𝑆 ⊂ 𝑇𝑇 ⊂ (𝑁𝑁\{𝑖𝑖}).
Let 𝑖𝑖 = 1, 𝑆𝑆 = {3} and 𝑇𝑇 = {2,3}. We have
𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑇𝑇) = 𝑣𝑣({1,2,3}) − 𝑣𝑣({2,3}) = 1 − 1 = 0,
𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆 ∪ {𝑖𝑖}) − 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) = 𝑣𝑣({1,3}) − 𝑣𝑣({3}) = 1 − 0 = 1 , and 0 < 1 .
So, this game is not convex.
Recall that this game has a unique core allocation (see Example 6),
i.e., 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) = {(0,0,1)}. So, convexity is not a necessary condition
for a transferable utility game to have a non-empty core allocations.
192 . Mehmet Karakaya
4. Balancedness
We first define a balanced collection of coalitions and have some
examples of balanced collections of coalitions.
A family of coalitions ℬ = {𝑆𝑆1 , … , 𝑆𝑆𝑘𝑘 } ⊆ (2𝑁𝑁 \{∅}) is balanced if
for each 𝑆𝑆 ∈ ℬ, there exists a non-negative weight (balancing weight) 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆
such that
for each 𝑖𝑖 ∈ 𝑁𝑁, ∑ 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 = 1.
𝑆𝑆∈ℬ:𝑖𝑖∈𝑆𝑆
Every partition of player set 𝑁𝑁 is balanced where the balancing
weight for each coalition in the partition is one. For instance, let 𝑁𝑁 =
{1,2,3}. Consider the family of coalitions ℬ̂ = {{1}, {2}, {3}} which is a
partition. This collection is balanced where 𝛿𝛿̂{1} = 𝛿𝛿̂{2} = 𝛿𝛿̂{3} = 1.
We note that the union of balanced collections of 𝑁𝑁 is balanced. For
̂ = {{1}, {2}, {3}} and ℬ
instance, for 𝑁𝑁 = {1,2,3} , we know that ℬ ̃=
{{1,2}, {1,3}, {2,3}} are balanced collection of coalitions. We now
consider their union ℬ′ = ℬ̂ ⋃ℬ̃ = {{1}, {2}, {3}, {1,2}, {1,3}, {2,3}}. The
collection ℬ′ is balanced where the balancing weights are as follows:
̂ {1}
𝛿𝛿 1 ̂{2}
𝛿𝛿 1 ̂ {3}
𝛿𝛿 1
𝛿𝛿′{1} = = , 𝛿𝛿′{2} = = , 𝛿𝛿′{3} = = ,
2 2 2 2 2 2
̃{1,2}
𝛿𝛿 1 ̃{1,3}
𝛿𝛿 1 ̃{2,3}
𝛿𝛿 1
𝛿𝛿′{1,2} = = , 𝛿𝛿′{1,3} = = , 𝛿𝛿′{2,3} = = .
2 4 2 4 2 4
For agent 1, we have
∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ′:1∈𝑆𝑆 𝛿𝛿′𝑆𝑆 = 𝛿𝛿′{1} + 𝛿𝛿′{1,2} + 𝛿𝛿′{1,3} = 1/2 + 1/4 + 1/4 = 1,
for agent 2, we have
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .193
We note that the balancing weights (𝛿𝛿′𝑆𝑆 )𝑆𝑆∈ℬ′ for the collection of
coalitions ℬ′ is not unique. That is, we can find other balancing weights
(𝛿𝛿′′𝑆𝑆 )𝑆𝑆∈ℬ′ for the collection of coalitions ℬ′. Let 𝛿𝛿′′𝑆𝑆 = 1/3 for every
coalition 𝑆𝑆 ∈ ℬ′. Then, since every player is a member of three coalitions
in ℬ′, we have for each 𝑖𝑖 ∈ 𝑁𝑁 that ∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ′:𝑖𝑖∈𝑆𝑆 𝛿𝛿′′𝑆𝑆 = 1/3 + 1/3 + 1/3 =
1.
A balanced collection of coalitions is minimal if it does not contain a
proper sub-collection which is balanced. For instance, the balanced
̂
collection ℬ′ is not minimal since it contains proper sub-collections ℬ
̃ that are balanced. The balanced collections ℬ
and ℬ ̂ and ℬ̃ are minimal
since none of them contains a proper sub-collection which is balanced.
Definition 4. Balancedness
A transferable utility game (𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) is balanced if for each balanced
family of coalitions ℬ (with balancing weights 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 for each 𝑆𝑆 ∈ ℬ),
∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) ≤ 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁). (3)
In order to show that this game is not balanced, we will find a balanced
family of coalitions ℬ (with balancing weights 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 for each 𝑆𝑆 ∈ ℬ) such
that the condition ∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) ≤ 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁) is violated.
Let ℬ = {{1,2}, {1,3}, {2,3}}. This collection of coalitions ℬ is balanced
where the balancing weights are 𝛿𝛿{1,2} = 𝛿𝛿{1,3} = 𝛿𝛿{2,3} = 1/2. We now
have that
∑ 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) = 𝛿𝛿{1,2} 𝑣𝑣({1,2}) + 𝛿𝛿{1,3} 𝑣𝑣({1,3}) + 𝛿𝛿{2,3} 𝑣𝑣({2,3}),
𝑆𝑆∈ℬ
= (1/2)(3/4) + (1/2)(2/3) + (1/2)(2/3),
= 3/8 + 2/6 + 2/6,
= 25/24.
That is, ∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) = 25/24 > 1 = 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁), so this game is not
balanced.
We showed that there is no core allocation for this game, i.e.,
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) = ∅ (see Example 5), and this game is not a convex game (see
Example 9). So, by Bondareva (1962) and Shapley (1967), we can say that
this game is not a balanced game.
In order to show that this game is not balanced, we will find a balanced
family of coalitions ℬ (with balancing weights 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 for each 𝑆𝑆 ∈ ℬ) such
that the condition ∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) ≤ 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁) is violated.
That is, ∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) = 3/2 > 1 = 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁) , so this game is not a
balanced game.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .195
We showed that this TU game is not convex (see Example 10) and it
has a unique core allocation where 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶(𝑁𝑁, 𝑣𝑣) = {(0,0,1)} (see Example
6). Since this game has a non-empty core allocation, we can say that this
game is balanced by Bondareva (1962) and Shapley (1967).
In order to show that this game is balanced, we will show that for all
minimal balanced collection of coalitions the balancedness condition is
satisfied (i.e, the inequality 3 holds).
We know that every partition is a trivially minimal balanced collection
of coalitions, and a non-trivial and minimal balanced collection of
coalitions is ℬ = {{1,2}, {1,3}, {2,3}}. So, the set of all minimally balanced
collection of coalitions are ℬ = {{1,2}, {1,3}, {2,3}} (with balancing
weight 1/2 for each coalition) and the set of all partitions ( ℬ1 =
{{1}, {2}, {3}} , ℬ2 = {{1,2}, {3}} , ℬ3 = {{1,3}, {2}} , ℬ4 = {{1}, {2,3}} ,
ℬ5 = {{1,2,3}}).
For ℬ5 = {{1,2,3}}, we have that
∑𝑆𝑆∈ℬ5 𝛿𝛿𝑆𝑆 𝑣𝑣(𝑆𝑆) = 𝛿𝛿{1,2,3} 𝑣𝑣({1,2,3}) = (1)(1) = 1 = 𝑣𝑣(𝑁𝑁).
196 . Mehmet Karakaya
So, for every minimal balanced collection of coalitions, the inequality
3 holds. Hence, this game is balanced.
Recall that this game is not a convex game (see Example 10). So, a
convex game is balanced, but the converse is not true (i.e., a balanced game
might not be convex).
5. Conclusion
We study the existence of core allocations for transferable utility
games. A transferable utility game is defined by a pair that consists of a
finite set of players and a value (characteristic) function assigning a value
to each coalition of the set of players. For a given transferable utility game,
the main concerns are what coalitions will be formed and how the value of
each coalition will be distributed among the players of the coalition. It is
implicitly assumed that the grand coalition forms and then the main
concern is how the value of the grand coalition will be distributed among
the set of all players. A distribution of the value of grand coalition is called
a core allocation if it is not blocked by any coalition, that is, the sum of the
individual allocations for every coalition is as big as the value of the
coalition. So, no coalition has an incentive to block the allocation of the
grand coalition by leaving society and distributing the value that they
generate in the coalition among themselves.
We see that some transferable utility games has no core allocations,
e.g., Example 4 and Example 5 (majority game with three players). So, we
revisit the conditions that guarantee the existence of core allocations for
transferable utility games.
The convexity condition is a sufficient condition for the existence of
a core allocation. Convexity condition means that a player’s marginal
contribution to a coalition does not decrease as the coalition gets larger.
We see in Example 8 that majority game with three players is not a convex
game and it has no core allocations. Convexity condition is too strong to
be a necessary condition for the existence of a core allocation. So,
convexity is a sufficient but not a necessary condition for a transferable
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .197
utility game to have a core allocation. So, there exists non-convex
transferable utility games with non-empty core allocations, e.g., Example
10 (a glove game with three players).
A necessary and sufficient condition for a transferable utility game to
have a non-empty core is the balancedness condition. So, majority game
with three players is not a balanced game since its core is empty (Example
12), and a glove game with three players is a balanced game since its core
is nonempty (Example 13). Moreover, every convex transferable utility
game is balanced but a balanced transferable utility game might not be
convex.
A majority game with three players (Example 5) is neither a convex
game nor a balanced game, and it has empty core allocations. The glove
game with three players (Example 6) is a balanced game (hence it has
non-empty core allocations) but it is not a convex game.
198 . Mehmet Karakaya
References
Bondareva, O. (1962). Theory of the core in the n-person game. Vestnik
Leningradskii Universitet, 13, 141–142 (in Russian).
Shapley, L. S. (1967). On balanced sets and cores. Naval Research Logistics
Quarterly, 14, 453–460.
Shapley, L. S. (1969). Utility comparisons and the theory of games. G.Th.
Guilbaud (Ed.), La Decision (pp. 251-263). Paris: CNRS.
Shapley, L. S. (1971). Cores of convex games. International Journal of Game
Theory, 1, 11–26.
CHAPTER 11
AN ANALYSIS OF THE STRATEGIC
RELATIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND
CHINA FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF
INTERDEPENDENCE1
1 This study has been prepared on the basis of PhD thesis. Eylül Beyza Ateş
Çiftçi, “Asya’daki Güç Mücadelesi Bağlamında Gelişen Rusya-Çin İlişkileri”,
Advisor Prof. Dr. M. Lutfullah Karaman, İstanbul 2022.
2 Dr., Orcid: 0000-0003-0655-6846, [email protected]
200 . Eylül Beyza Ateş Çiftçi
Introduction
The fact that while obtaining their current strong positions in the
international environment, the mutual relations of Russia and China, which
were in a weaker position following the Cold War, became the strongest.
This was analyzed based on the theory of interdependence by this study. In
this article, it is argued that the two countries need to maintain cooperation
in terms of satisfying their national and regional interests, and they enter
a cycle of interdependence due to their inability to maintain the continuity
of power in situations where they cannot show cooperation. In addition
to the cooperation and strategic partnerships that emerged between the
two countries, the fields of competition that developed during the process
were also re-evaluated within the framework of the change in the level of
interdependence between the parties. As the levels of interdependence in
the aforementioned process are examined, it has been found that there is a
shift from vulnerability to sensitivity and from symmetry to asymmetry
between the two parties.
In the light of the analyzes performed, it has been concluded that the
mutual relations and interactions of both countries, which started as a
result of the search for a multipolar order in the international sense, still
continue to the extent that they avoid serious competition in the current
situation, and despite the changes in the level of interdependence, they
will continue to develop their relations based on interdependence for their
interests in the matters where they feel lack of power.
The fluctuating Russian-Chinese relations over the course of history
entered a new period of relations after the collapse of the Soviet Union,
which has also shaped the subject of this study. Russia-China relations
have shown significant improvement in the post-Soviet period. Both sides
expressed their dissatisfaction with the unipolar world order following the
Cold War and placed the discourse of multipolar world ideologies in their
political centers on the way to the steps taken for cooperation between
Russia and China. In the new world order based on multipolarity, in which
China and Russia want to be involved, the most important partners of
these two countries are seen to be themselves. Both countries are quite
uncomfortable with the current political conjuncture, and they want to
consolidate their superpower positions through the power fields they are
developing. It is so natural for these two actors acting in this way to show
cooperation to enhance their mutual political interests. Considering the
geographical proximity of Russia and China, the need for each other’s
resources and the possibility of rapid access to these resources provide
abundant areas of cooperation between them. The biggest reasons why
the two countries tend to cooperate with each other and develop their
partnerships are to balance the influence of USA in the region and the global
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .201
Methodology
This research is based on the theory of interdependence. In this study,
a qualitative approach was used to analyze connection between China-
Russia relations and interdependence theory. The data collected were
secondary data obtained from sources that are related directly to the theme
of the research. In addition, studies in the field of scientific research were
synthesized. Hence the literature was analyzed very carefully.
Theoretical research involves the identification, analysis and
presentation of convenient theoretical information to clarify the subject
under discussion. Within the scope of this study, both a theoretical
framework has been drawn on the research subject and an evaluation
has been made based on secondary data. Empirical studies require the
collection of primary data sources as they present a concrete and verifiable
type of research. However, secondary data provides more opportunities
for periodic research. Through secondary data the relationship between
Russia has been discussed over a 50-year period and analyzed in a context
based on theoretical research. The earlier studies have contributed a lot to
knowledge by providing the related information and determining the ways
to findings. By and large, the existing literature and the material collected
from different resources help to develop a rationale for the study to develop
the findings and conclusion of the study in an advanced way.
Theoretical Perspective
According to the realist theory, which dominated the international
system as a dominant approach after the end of the second world war, the
national interests and sovereignty of the states became the actors of the
international system, and their importance has always been emphasized.
However, starting from the 1980s, especially with the end of the Cold
War, the ‘needs of the actors felt each other’ rather than the sovereignty,
transformed into a process and was expressed in the term interdependence,
which was formulated by Robert O. Keohane and Joseph S. Nye in the 1970s.
The theory of interdependence has begun to take its place on the world
stage since then (Keyman 2006: 1-20). While this process has directed the
actors existing in the international system to cooperation and integration,
it has also led the states to determine their foreign policy tendencies based
on these dynamics. These and similar movements, starting on the basis of
economy, began to appear in the international system with the terms such
as free market economy and free trade by blending political systems and
security areas, and developed in the international system (Öztekin 2018:
284).
The theory of interdependence was introduced and brought to the
literature following the book “Power and Interdependence”, published
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .203
single source on the world stage, has become allies in line with their own
interests in terms of ensuring their security and the continuity of their
economic interests with international organizations. As a result, they
created a relationship of interdependence (Abdullah, 2019: 52).
Political interdependence: First of all, the most important factor that
has given rise to the fact that the two countries became closer has been their
common foreign policy understandings, emerging against the unipolar
world threat of the United States. Although China, which lost its room to
maneuver between the poles as the bipolar system ended at the beginning,
had to maintain good relations with the United States, it has always been
in search of finding different alliances that can provide support concerning
the problems it experiences in its relations with the United States. Russia,
on the other hand, in an effort to regain its power and in order to exist
as a superpower in the international system, has favored a foreign policy
complying with the interests of the West and specifically the United States.
However, Russia has never thought of adapting to the unipolar order and has
favored forming different alliances. As a matter of fact, Keohane and Nye
states that in an international order where states are becoming increasingly
dependent on each other on the basis of the principle of interdependence, it
is highly unlikely that states will take decisions completely independently
of each other in contrast to what realists think, (Akçadağ Alagöz 2016: 36).
In the period after the collapse of the Soviet Union, there were a couple
of US actions that annoyed Russia and China, which were also disturbed
by the unipolar world led by the United States. The 1999 intervention in
Yugoslavia, which was carried out by NATO under the leadership of the
United States by bypassing the United Nations Security Council, the
2003 US invasion of Iraq carried out jointly by the United Kingdom by
bypassing the UN, and the unilateral withdrawal of the United States from
the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty fueled the common security concerns of
Russia and China (Çolakoğlu 2004: 186). On the other hand, the tariffs
and quotas imposed within the scope of the trade wars initiated by the US
have limited imports made by Russia and China (Çolakoğlu 2004: 188)
and therefore mutual trade relations completely deteriorated. The goal of
balancing these unilateral actions imposed by the United States has formed
the basis of the process leading to the strategic partnership between Russia
and China.
From China’s point of view, another problem experienced in mutual
relations with the US has dealt with the issue concerning Taiwan. In spite
of China’s claim that Taiwan belongs to China’s territory, the U.S. policy
on Taiwan has always been presented to support Taiwan’s independence,
recognize the Taiwanese government and encourage its international
acceptance, and even arms sales to Taiwan are performed by the U.S.
208 . Eylül Beyza Ateş Çiftçi
(Çolakoğlu 2004: 187). China has perceived the arms sales to Taiwan as
an interference in its internal affairs and even in its territorial integrity. As
a result of these attitudes of the United States, China felt a threat imposed
on itself in terms of mutual relations and turned to seeking alliances in the
regional sense.
From Russia’s point of view, the most important problem it has faced
in mutual relations with the US results from the policy of encircling
Russia through the eastward expansion conducted by the EU and NATO
(Çolakoğlu 2004: 187). The possibility that the borders perceived as its
backyard by Russia might be dominated by the West results in frequently
strained mutual relations and this situation leads Russia, like China, to
forming cooperation with regional institutions or forming alliances.
There are some similar characteristics these two countries show
concerning the patterns in their partnership relations and in their attitudes
towards the United States. First, Russia and China regard decisions
concerning political freedom on human rights as the issues dependent on
states, see Western states’ concerns about the status of freedoms as a cause
for intervention and sanctions as an ideological intervention. Russia and
China hold the assumption that the West-led campaigns for human rights
will result in similar opposition movements within their own territories or
in nearby countries and eventually lead to domestic instability and have
announced that they condemn the Western-supported colored revolutions
taking place in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan (Giray Bozkurt 2006:
118-138). Russia and China are highly sensitive about national unity
and believe that the internal threat is more destructive than the external
threat. They have supported each other in the acts of force directed against
Chechnya and the Tibetans, which are examples of colored revolution.
Second, both states are against NATO enlargement. In terms of
security, NATO enlargement is an issue that makes Russia worried more
than it does China, but with this threat that Russia is facing today on the
Western front, China is also worried that it may face this threat in one
of its own circles in the near future. As a matter of fact, the US forces
deployed in Central Asia after September 11 became a justifying incident
reminding of this concern. In this sense, what both countries want to
achieve by using the discourse of the multipolar world is to balance the
dominant power of the United States in the power distribution order to
be created with other states. The best examples of why Russia and China
try to promote a balancing policy are the 1995 intervention in Bosnia, the
1999 intervention in Serbia and the 2003 invasion of Iraq by NATO, led by
the United States. Because of all these US-centred actions, Russia has seen
NATO’s expansion into Eastern Europe as a threat. In addition, China has
described the pressure U.S. imposed on it due to the violations of human
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .209
rights in China and the trade and political relations of US with Taiwan as a
disturbing threat and has placed these points on its political agenda.
From the U.S. point of view, Russia’s second Chechnya military
operation in 1999 and China’s rights violations in minority regions such as
Tibet and Xinjiang are some of the main examples exhibiting that Russia
and China violate human rights, disturbing the United States. On the other
hand, the US also has a distrust of the existing regimes in Russia and
China. Although Russia has adopted a democratic regime and a model
with a free market economy, it is thought that Russia has not been able to
meet the desired standards in terms of effective international cooperation
due to its old and strong authoritarian past (Çolakoğlu 2004: 188). China,
on the other hand, cannot erase its negative image in the eyes of the United
States. Several reasons for this arise due to the political issues. For example,
it is ruled in a completely authoritarian way by the Chinese Communist
Party, and even political opposition is completely forbidden in the country.
Concerning the economic level, although China has made all efforts to
integrate with the international economy, the US has the assumption that
it has not yet completed its transition from a central planning economy to
a real free market economy (Çolakoğlu 2004: 188).
Despite all these historical discomforts that the three powerful
countries have felt from each other, it would not be wrong to say that the
relations are based on cooperation from time to time. The United States,
which began to need the support of regional powers such as Russia and
China in terms of cooperation against terrorism especially after September
11, has been the witness of the most concrete cooperation during the
Afghanistan operation. Therefore, it would be correct to say that all three
countries pursue a relatively balanced foreign policy by staying away from
conflict and using cooperation opportunities, taking into account each
other’s potentials. The goal of balancing the United States, which emerged
independently of a certain hierarchical order between Russia and China
against the United States and their actions in this direction are the state of
political interdependence that the two countries exhibit.
The best example of the common foreign policy stance and political
interdependence of Russia and China, which intersect against the United
States, is as Norman Angell mentions in the relationship of necessity based
on working in need and harmony: One of the two people in a boat that is
sinking in an open sea, far away from the shore, has to paddle and the other
has to drain the leaking water. The parties have entered into a relationship
of interdependence in which one does not dare to throw the other out of the
boat because they need each other (Özpek 2014: 140). Therefore, neither
China nor Russia has little chance of balancing the United States alone and
gaining political influence in Central Asia independently of each other.
210 . Eylül Beyza Ateş Çiftçi
of a new concept for itself, and the desire of some countries in the
Commonwealth of Independent Nations (CIS) to form a separate union
have also taken shape as a result of the SCO member countries’ coming
together on this platform and seeking answers to the problems mentioned.
In the light of all these developments, common security concerns
experienced has forced the countries to form a regional integration. In
addition to the border disputes that initiated the interactions of Russia and
China, the dissatisfaction felt with the presence of the US in the region led
these two countries to show cooperation in which they would gradually
develop and deepen their interdependence although they previously
saw each other as a threat for themselves. Notwithstanding all possible
differences of these both parties, this cooperative integration brings Russia
and China to a closer common political harmony, and it is an example of
multidimensional interdependence, not just political or economic one. In
this sense, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization represents a rational
cooperation structure established under the criteria set by interdependence,
in which the interests of Russia and China are taken into consideration on
the cost-benefit level.
The most important reason for the rapid growth of the organization
after its establishment was the desire to quickly liquidate the United States
for security conditions from the region, which was seen as sensitive by
both Russia and China. Taiwan is a sensitive issue for China as Taiwan
is supported and used as a natural base by the US. This poses a serious
security threat to China, which claims that it will eliminate this problem
by including Taiwan in its territory if deemed necessary. For Russia, it
is understood that it will be in similar tendencies with China in terms of
feeling threatened by the power and regional security it has established
through the region it defines as its immediate environment. For this reason,
Russia and China, which are disturbed by the policies carried out by the
United States and exhibit a common attitude towards these activities,
have united under the roof of the SCO within the scope of security and
multifaceted cooperation in terms of their interdependence. Thus, the
adventure of security-based interdependence between Russia and China
and the future of the SCO have always been closely related to the U.S.
presence in the region.
Economic Interdependence: Despite the harsh power policy and its
strategic practices that have maintained their dominance in international
relations for many years, with the increasing effects of globalization,
there has been a change in the center of power and the military policies
in practice have started to shift towards the field of economic policy. The
meaning of real power is not limited to countries with military potential
and their regional control, but has tended to have a character integrated
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .213
into the global economy. It is noteworthy that within the scope of the post-
Cold War security concept, economic diplomacy has become a source
of economic security. On the way to economic security, processes such
as the establishment of the WTO, the liberalization of trade, and the
increase in the trade shares of developing countries have become some
indicators of the development of economic diplomacy. Indicators of
economic diplomacy, such as national trade, peaceful development and
the establishment of prosperity, have also been the determinants of a real
process of interdependence in which countries are intertwined. If it is
accepted that trade is the alternative in the scenario where costly modern
wars and military gains are excluded, the most natural solution for Russia
and China in terms of strategic partnership has been to enter into a
relationship of economic interdependence.
In addition to the previous titles, another important pillar of the strategic
partnership of Russia and China constitutes the last point, namely the
trade relationship and economic interests between the two countries. The
leading indicator of the interdependence between Russia and China is the
dimension of economic and commercial relations in terms of representing
the most active, continuous and effective item in their overall relations.
As the commercial relations of states increase in the international system,
states becoming mutually dependent on each other for different products
emerge as a result of this situation, and this two-way dependency between
states is called economic interdependence (Kaya 2019: 43).
In terms of considering the relations between the two countries and
the level of economic interdependence of these relations there arise two
important features that cannot be ignored in the commercial dimension.
Firstly, as an export-oriented country, Russia maintains stability in
its economy based on its sources of energy and defense industry, and
secondly, China represents a large market for these issues that Russia
needs (Knutsishvili 2019: 50). In other words, the two countries constitute
dynamic and stable market, trade partner and investment center for each
other. Russia can find a a safe export gateway as China is an import-
oriented country in the energy and defense industry. The parties become
economically interdependent in cases where the powers of the two states
are almost equal to each other and on condition that the two countries
become highly sensitive due to the mutual interactions formed (Kaya 2019:
62). Based on the initial example given in commercial relations, Russia-
China relations in the phenomenon of interdependence appear both in a
sensitive structure and in a symmetrical direction.
What initiated the basis of mutual relations of Russia to China was
Russia’s military equipment sales to China followed by Russia’s military
budget decline after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Modernizing its
214 . Eylül Beyza Ateş Çiftçi
cannot maintain stable trade relations with the West, China is a reliable
market for Russia. These issues denote the strategic partnership between
the two countries and they are the indicators of economic interdependence.
China’s low-cost access to high-tech Russian weapons is achieved
by Russia’s arms sales to the country. This is an especially critical trade
item as it balances Taiwan, receiving weapons from the US and the West.
Russia also continues its trade with China mutually in favor of China’s
surplus goods. In addition to the increasing arms trade between the
two countries, the first joint military exercise in 2005 brought up a new
dimension of concern in their stance against the United States, pointing
out that military relations would also be improved. The official Russian-
Chinese partnership is not limited to the military exercise relationship. It
has also involved the field of energy in the commercial sense within the
framework of the agreement signed in 2006. An agreement, valid since
2011, has also been signed concerning the annual transfer of 60-80 billion
cubic meters of Russian natural gas into China through two pipelines
which pass through Eastern and Western Siberia (politikaakademisi.org,
2012).
The biggest joint platform of action of Russia and China, which is
working in harmony in Central Asia in all these matters, is the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization, whose security they also guarantee. While
Russia and China are getting closer in order to protect their mutual
economic interests, the Central Asian countries have also believed in the
power of economic relations to be established with Russia and China in
order to protect, develop and safely transport the underground resources of
their regions to world markets. For all these reasons, the SCO, established
in 1996, has been equipped with purposes such as protecting the borders
between member countries, developing economies and solving basic
problems with other countries. The function of the organization has been
mutually expanded to many purposes (Abdullah 2019: 55).
China is the country that is constantly and fastest developing within
the SCO. Since 1978, this spectacular growth in economic terms, except
for some intermediate periods, has been a threat for other countries in
the regional and global sense. Despite this, China’s growth does not turn
into a competition among the countries that are dependent on China
within the scope of the principle of interdependence, which is one of the
basic arguments of the liberal understanding (Yantur – İşeri 2021: 41-
49). China has cheap labor and market. However, despite the economic
power potential it has achieved, it has not reached its target point in terms
of military power capacity and energy supply. In this sense, in order to
maintain its rapid development in the economic and military fields, it
avoids international conflicts and applies the win-win understanding in
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .217
Source: “Rusya Batı’nın Yaptırımlarını Çin’le Aşabilir mi?”, BCC News Türkçe,
(Retrieved On: 30.07.2022)
218 . Eylül Beyza Ateş Çiftçi
Figure 13 illustrates Russia’s trade volume data with China for 2021
and previous years. According to the figure, the trade volume of Russia
with China developed and increased in a balanced way. On the other hand,
being the country that imports the most from Russia, China constitutes
almost equal to the sum of the imports of the European Union countries. It
should be noted that Europe still represents Russia’s largest energy market
(see Figure 14).
Discussion
Based on an inclusive overview of the three interactions of China and
Russia, it is seen that we have divided them into political interdependence,
security-based interdependence and economic interdependence in the
literature section. The mutual relations between Russia and China are
so unique for the United States that they cannot be compared with the
relations of other states in any sense because these two countries are
strong enough to pose a threat to the United States. In addition, these two
countries have a constitutive relationship with all the countries in Asia and
they can have a formative effect on these Asian countries because they are
geographically connected. The two countries have consistently based their
policies on the United States because the partnership between Russia and
China has matured and developed to challenge the interests of the United
States at the end of the Cold War. In this regard, Russia and China are
working both separately and together to deal with the power and influence
of the United States in all political, economic and security-oriented areas
in the international arena. These two allies against the United States are
making joint decisions to challenge the US’ regional order, global norms
and coercive expansions by supporting each other.
Russian-Chinese cooperation weakens the United States. While this
cooperation implies a deepening dependence on China for Russia and
accelerates tensions between Russia and the West, China’s constructive
communication with the United States puts China in an advantageous
position in this triangular relationship. While China’s constructive
relations with the United States pose no threat, there is a perceived threat
that can result in regime change in domestic politics due to the attitude
of the Russian elite in Russia. However, the country’s security, economy
and prosperity may become stronger if Russia gets closer to the West.
However, since there is no need for Russia getting closer to China to make
its political system more open, to switch to a transparent and orderly
investment regime, and to open its economy to more competition, there is
not any threat for Russia in establishing close relations with China.
Although there is mostly an agreement on many international issues
between the two countries, it is possible that there arise some differences
in their opposition to the United States. While Russia does not avoid taking
risky measures against the international order imposed by the United
States, China obeys existing orders that may provide benefits to its country
and refrains from risky-costly attempts to confront the United States.
In the period after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the periods of
development and change in the economies of the countries gathered under
the roof of the Commonwealth of Independent States are very important
220 . Eylül Beyza Ateş Çiftçi
third in the line. In addition, it is stated that China has a clear advantage in
terms of conventional defense forces and other important security forces.
Therefore, although the relations between Russia and China are observed
to be stable, they are not static in the long run. The faster-than-expected
growth of China affects the relations between the two countries on a daily
basis owing to the changing balances in their power potential.
In this sense, interdependence is not considered as a relationship
in which every absolute interest is kept in balance mutually (Akçadağ
Alagöz 2016: 37). The symmetrical and asymmetrical characteristic of
interdependence especially in Russia-China relations has manifested itself
over time. If mutual relations are damaged in the period when the dependency
relationship is symmetrical, both sides are negatively affected, while the
country that is more dependent on the other party in the asymmetrical
relationship dimension is more negatively affected (Akçadağ Alagöz 2016:
37). In every example of dependency where the needs of the parties to
each other are not maintained equally, an asymmetrical picture emerges
(Kazimov 2020: 42), and in the case of Russia-China interdependence,
their relation has shifted from symmetrical to asymmetrical as a result of
the developments carried out by China.
It can be clearly evaluated that Russia and China are still both in
cooperation and competition concerning the occupation of Ukraine, which
is the most up-to-date action of Russia. Although most countries boycotted
at the very beginning of the Beijing Winter Olympics held in China on
February 4, 2022, Putin participated in the opening of the Olympics, which
revealed that Russia and China had very good diplomatic relations as of
that date (McDonell, www.bbc. com). Following Putin’s visit to China
accompanied by a delegation of 54 people from various sectors and the
contracts worth 117 billion dollars for oil and natural gas supply signed
during this visit, Putin announced this situation as a natural integration
between the two countries (Huseyni, Independent Türkçe). However, there
are some scenarios such as China could be informed about the invasion of
Ukraine on February 24, 2022, taking place right after the Olympics and
even Putin might take this decision during his Beijing visit as a result of
the economic agreements with China and China could demand that Russia
wait until the end of the Olympics (Bulut, Independent Türkçe). It is also
among the scenarios mentioned that the purpose of China’s support of this
plan is that Russia’s ongoing historic Ukraine problem is resolved in favor
of Russia as soon as possible (Huseyni, Independent Türkçe). However,
contrary to China’s expectations, Russia’s inability to reach a quick result
despite long weeks due to encountering a strong Ukrainian resistance has
put China to a great test concerning ignoring and not condemning Russia
(Huseyni, Independent Türkçe).
224 . Eylül Beyza Ateş Çiftçi
makes attempts to distance the two countries from each other, also causes
the two countries to get closer on an endless dimension, similar to the
search for multipolarity at the very beginning of the process. As a result,
new dynamics will continue to emerge while developments occur in the
international conjuncture, especially in the relations between Russia and
China, where cooperation and competition are mixed.
In the current situation, it has been inferred that Russia and China are
still interdependent on many issues, they will continue their cooperation
relationship unless there is an important and fundamental development,
they will avoid turning into ambitious rivals, they see themselves as
inadequate and need mutual cooperation for their interests even though
there are differences in the status of their interdependence; and they will
develop their relations at the level of interdependence for their interests when
they need mutual cooperation. As evidenced by the current conclusions, it
is seen that bidimensional and multidimensional cooperation agreements
are continuing to be made between the countries in question, Russia and
China, which will increase cooperation in political sense, in their security
concerns and in many other fields, especially in economic issues. These
developments gain importance in terms of supporting the conclusion
presented in the study. Considering a scenario in contrast to the additional
cooperation to be established on the dimension of interdependence
between Russia and China, it is also evaluated that China and Russia can
follow separate and independent policies if the reasons giving rise to the
interdependence of the two countries are to be eliminated. In the case
of this possibility, it is expected that Russia and China follow different
political and economic interests and that new alliances led by each country
are formed.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .229
REFERENCES
Aylin AKYOL1
INTRODUCTION
Most firms must learn to successfully compete in this complicated
and dynamic environment created by the global economy in order to
experience sustained growth (Anand, 2011: 25). Businesses must manage
talent as a source of competitive advantage in today’s complicated global
economy (Wright & Kehoe, 2008). The primary factor influencing
corporate performance is generally acknowledged to be organizational
talent management (Meyers, 2020: 1). In recent years, there has been
significant progress in the relevant literature focusing on talent management
(Valverde, Scullion, & Ryan, 2013: 1832). Talent management is a limited
research area that contributes to the current literature on the management of
human resources. Talent management is becoming more and more crucial
for corporate performance and individual talent development in order to
maintain a competitive advantage (Kaliannan, Darmalinggam, Dorasamy,
& Abraham, 2023:1). In recent years, theoretical and methodological
studies have been conducted in order to conceptualize the scope of talent
management (Makarem, Metcalfe, & Afiouni, 2019: 181).
The concept of talent expresses the whole of the skills, experience,
knowledge, talents, intelligence, and competencies needed by the employees
to resolve various situations and problems faced by the organization
(Michaels, Handfield-Jones, & Axelrod, 2001; Ugboego, Edeh, Amarachi,
Ikechukwu, & Adama, 2022: 29). The methodical explanation of base
positions that contribute in different ways to the company’s sustainable
competitive advantage is part of the talent management process, as is the
creation of a talent pool of high-potential and high-performing officers to
fill positions. It has to do with enhancing a differentiated human resources
architecture to make it easier to hire qualified candidates and ensure
their dedication to the company (Collings & Melahi, 2009: 305). Talent
management, decided at the top management level, is regarded as a priority
for any firm since it promotes competitiveness, performance, effectiveness,
and productivity (Bloom, Lemos, Sadun, Scur & Van Renen, 2014 as cited
in Basco, Bassetti, Dal Maso, & Lattanzi 2021: 2).
Today’s talent supply, composition, and movement in companies are
shaped by a variety of complex and fluid dynamics and processes. Most
businesses compete on a worldwide scale and grow operations across
borders. It is referred to as a macro talent management system and is
present in numerous external scenarios. Macro talent management can
either directly or indirectly strengthen or weaken a company’s ability to
attract, hire, and retain talent which is essential to achieving competitive
business goals. Economic, political, governmental, technological, and
cultural factors all have an impact on macro talent management (King
& Vaiman, 2019: 194). Macro talent management refers to activities
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .235
and in job advertising (Ewerlin, 2013: 279). For a long time, international
corporations have faced significant difficulties in the competition for
talent. There are various reasons for this situation. The need for qualified
human resources has increased as a result of globalization and the resulting
escalation of competitiveness. Demographic changes that increase the
migration of skilled workers to different countries increase the labor
supply in developed countries. With the increase in the relocations of
enterprises, the country’s markets are faced with the rapidly increasing
demand for talent that cannot be met due to the inadequacy of the existing
qualified workforce. With the increasing importance of knowledge as a
resource, talented employees are becoming the foundation of the struggle
for competitive advantage worldwide. As a concept encompassing
organizational actions to recruit, choose, develop, and integrate the best
individuals in strategic roles at the global level, global talent management
is crucial for human resources (Scullion & Collings, 2011: 6 as cited in
Ewerlin, 2013: 280).
Contemporary economic realities characterized by intense
competition, high dynamics of change in the business environment, and
declining demand caused by the Covid-19 pandemic lead to a significant
increase in risk and uncertainty in corporate governance. Trends weaken
the ties between employers and employees facing challenging market
conditions and are unable to provide stable, long-term employment to their
employees. Employees’ satisfaction, and commitment to work decrease,
and their desire to change workplaces increases. In response to the
economic challenges of the 21st century, managers decide to implement
talent management programs to reduce the loss of talented employees and
meet the current and future human capital needs of the business (Gajda,
2022: 92).
Talent management and development have gained popularity over the
past 20 years, as first and foremost, human resources are seen as strategic
partners for effective business strategies. The discipline of human resource
management has seen a significant increase during the past 20 years.
Personnel management is the first step of HRM, which leads to strategic
human resources management. Strategic human resource management
aims to improve company performance, whereas traditional HRM
concentrates on individual performance (Kaliannan et al., 2023: 2).
Though talent management has garnered attention recently, the
majority of current research is being put into creating concepts, processes,
and definitions. Regarding various organizational styles, talent management
has not been thoroughly researched. In this context, the need for highly
qualified employees considered as talent in organizations is emphasized
(Ingram & Glod, 2016: 339). Anand (2011: 25) states that there is a need
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .237
(2012). What is talent, who qualifies as having talent, and what does talent
management entail? When the traditional human resources management
system is unable to satisfy the demands of the international corporate
environment, talent management comes to the fore. The talent management
structure and the extent of the talent management system of representative
enterprises are both limited and shaped by organizational culture, which
also plays a crucial role in this process (Tatoğlu, Glaister, Demirbağ, 2016;
Yıldız & Esmer, 2021: 2-6).
Talent management is commonly understood to be a particular set of
human resources (HR) techniques intended to recruit, choose, develop, and
keep high-performing or high-potential workers in critical organizational
positions (Collings, Melahi, & Cascio, 2018; Meyers, 2020: 1). According
to Anand (2011: 25), talent management is a crucial step in ensuring that
firms have enough qualified people resources to achieve their present and
future business needs. The procedure encompasses all significant facets of
an employee’s lifecycle, including recruitment, training, and performance
evaluation.
Talent management encompasses a variety of tasks and procedures,
some of which include building a talent pool of high-potential and effective
employees to fill the roles, designing a differentiated human architecture to
make it simpler to hire qualified candidates, ensuring loyalty to the business,
and systematizing the explanation of key roles that contribute in various
ways to the organization’s sustainable competitive advantage (Collings &
Melahi, 2009: 304; Liu et al., 2021: 2). According to Makarius and Srinivasan
(2017: 495), employers continue to be interested in talent management as
they grapple with difficult issues related to the unpredictability of talent
supply and demand in industries. In particular, employers often talk about
the talent gap between the abilities of candidates and the skills needed in
businesses. The importance of developing good relations with suppliers
is emphasized in talent management. Individuals are promoted to take
control of careers but do not know definitively what skills are required or
how to cope with the challenges of a fluctuant workforce. The importance
of the responsibility issue is increased by uncertainties surrounding the
labor supply and demand for skills and certifications.
A common workforce strategy has always been talent management.
In today’s new normal post-pandemic, HR professionals focus more on
talent management. The main objectives are to train a growing, agile,
and self-motivation workforce in rough times. Businesses find it crucial
to retain and manage their talent globally. For centuries, it has been seen
the source of helping firms cope with crises is human resources. Firms
should help their capabilities be efficient and effective during the crisis
(Wadhwa, Gujrati & Uygun, 2022: 51). The management of talent is noted
242 . Aylin Akyol
as one of the most significant issues with human capital that enterprises in
the twenty-first century must deal with (Dries, 2013: 272). In recent years,
there has also been a question about those responsible for talent acquisition
and development (Makarius & Srinivasan, 2017: 496).
Managers must make important decisions about the quantity and
quality of talent they need to operate their organization on a daily basis,
but they frequently lack the complete and accurate information they need
to do so. Because of this, it is challenging for them to manage their talent
portfolio so that they can implement their business strategy with the right
people in the right place at the right time. Businesses can facilitate talent
management by implementing strategic workforce planning. This approach
is used by firms based on different innovations explained as human capital
planning (Ruse & Jansen, 2008: 38).
Anand (2011: 29) uses the following broad parameters to examine how
the organization views talent management:
Integration of talent management as a process,
Talent management develops talent retention in the organization,
Talent that encourages growth and provides opportunities,
Talent management as a link to pay and monetary reward.
Alziari (2017: 379-380) states the following issues regarding talent
management practices in large international companies:
• 1.Human capital management is a challenging concept when
applied carefully,
• 2.Talent is not general,
• 3.Talent management does not refer to the same subject as people
management,
• 4.Talent decisions are not HR made by business leaders,
• 5.The decision moment of HR is related to who will take the job.
There is a competitive perspective that supports the belief that
talent management is related to identifying talented people and finding
and fulfilling their aspirations. Professional service firms often adopt
a competitive approach, as job offers are based on employee skills. In
addition, using the same personal development approach for everyone in
the organization while shortening the time for high-potential employees,
a developmental perspective suggests talent management for accelerated
development paths for individuals with the highest potential. In this
context, it focuses on developing high potentials or talents faster than
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .243
others (Agrawal, 2010: 483). Basco et al. (2021: 1) mention how limited
industry competition tends to lead risk-averse family businesses to invest
less in talent management strategies. The study revealed an intermediary
relationship between the degree of risk aversion, the level of investment in
family companies, and talent management as a decision from the senior
management level.
The talent management process is widely adopted and adapted by large
and multinational enterprises. Businesses are facilitating their operations
to gain strategic advantages by using talent management. When firms are
successful by making their talent management processes effective for the
entire workforce, they contribute to rapid growth and development for
businesses and employees, thus increasing the motivation of employees.
Adopting talent management processes brings substantial challenges to
businesses (Anand, 2011: 26).
Identifying and evaluating new and existing talents,
Organizing the talent pool,
Maintaining a high level of commitment as an employee
throughout his/her tenure,
Retaining the talent pool,
Maintaining sufficient reserve power.
Business strategy and the required specialized skills determine
talent. The goal of talent management is to have individuals who are truly
excellent at everything that the win-win business requires. Strategies
describe capabilities and abilities. The skills required to acquire a business
strategy are described. These capabilities guide the definition of talent and
the decisions about how it will be positioned organizationally (Alziari,
2017: 380). The process of training and integrating new hires, advancing
and keeping on board current employees, and luring highly qualified
candidates to a company is referred to as talent management (Agrawal,
2010: 484).
Tarique and Schuler (2010: 124) defined talent management globally.
Accordingly, he defines global talent management as practices that
attract, develop, and retain individuals with high levels of human capital.
Talent management is a concept that businesspeople define critically
for organizational success. However, there is no consensus on talent
management and ability definition (Crane & Hartwell, 2019: 82-83).
Employees are significantly impacted by the rapid changes in
globalization, technology, and demographics. The talent management
practices that have been used over the previous 20 years are altering due
244 . Aylin Akyol
to the new context. The demands of their employees today are not being
met by talent management strategies, as leading companies across all
industries are realizing. To find and nurture the talent they need, employers
concentrate on creating meaningful employee experiences. To boost HR
competencies, practitioners of the new generation of talent management
are creating an HR component that incorporates management frameworks
like design thinking, agile management, behavioral economics, and
analytics (Claus, 2019: 207). Leading HR companies are reimagining
talent management and improving the lives of both employees and
employers. The new and improved talent management strategy places a
strong emphasis on adaptability, personalized solutions, and identifying
sustainability options (Claus, 2019: 213).
Worldwide talent management refers to all organizational efforts
to find, hire, train, and keep top personnel in the most critical positions
required to meet business strategic goals on a global scale (Scullion,
Collings, & Caligiuri, 2010: 106; Froese et al., 2020: 1). According to Tamaş
(2022: 472), the fact that information technologies are more on the agenda
during the pandemic period also means a new obstacle in the race to hire
people with great potential or talent. Talent identification, attractiveness,
and retention are talent management research applications that can provide
firms with a definite competitive advantage.
The definition of talent management in the managerial literature, from
a resource-based approach, is the enhancement of high-performance and
high-potential employees in key organizational roles. A strong conceptual
framework is lacking in talent management research, which is still in
its infancy. It emphasizes talented individuals without regard to their
organizational or specialized position (Thunnissen, Boselie & Fruytier,
2013 as cited in Basco et al., 2021: 5).
While businesses adopt different approaches to talent management,
academics and businesspeople agree:
1.Talent management is both a process and a collection of activities.
2.Talent management refers to talents in an organization, and
outstanding refers to skilled workers.
3.Talent management includes different human resource management
practices, including talent acquisition, development, and retention, covers.
4.The process is implemented as an element of talent management and
activities must be integrated.
5.Talent management processes designed to meet the needs of firms
lead to particular results as achieving business goals (Gajda, 2022: 93).
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .245
that the bank’s human resources and talent management practices have a
positive effect on the bank.
CONCLUSION AND EVALUATION
This research has aimed to examine talent management at the
theoretical level. Despite the rapid developments in the scope of talent
management, current debates on the understanding and conceptual
boundaries of talent management continue (Collings & Melahi, 2009).
Talent management is under development at the theoretical level, and new
studies on conceptualization are constantly required (Makarem et al.,
2019: 190). Talent management is usually understood to be a particular set
of human resources (HR) procedures designed to recruit, select, develop,
and keep high-performing or high-potential workers in key organizational
positions (Collings et al., 2018; Meyers, 2020: 1)
The fourth industrial revolution is revolutionizing businesses with
amazing results for their personnel, driven by demography, technology,
and globalization. It offers HR the chance and the task to reimagine
and restructure talent management. By discovering, forecasting, and
examining trends that affect personnel acquisition and performance,
academic research can assist professional talent management practice
(Claus, 2019: 213).
The dynamic capability of the company to find, nurture, retain, and
empower personnel to realize objectives and carry out business plans is
known as talent management. Talent management is a skill that is influenced
by working conditions, workplace culture, and talent development.
Besides, firms that increase investments in information technology can
develop expertise in managing talent (Benitez-Amado, Llorens-Montes,
& Fernandez-Perez, 2015: 214-215). Talent management represents a
decisive element that supports the field of human resources. Success,
on the other hand, depends on keeping the existing human resource of
the business, motivating it, and developing it according to its potential.
Talent management programs help the information technology sector to
find qualified and competent professionals and invest in performance by
advancing them in digital training (Tamas, 2022: 481-482).
In general, adopting a strategic approach to talent management
contributes to being perceived as attractive by potential candidates by
developing mechanisms due to the nature of the human resources process
(Orel et al., 2022: 1526). Pagan-Castano et al. (2022: 528) emphasized the
importance of talent management as a source of competitive advantage
toward the transition to human capital decisions with the bibliometric
analysis they conducted within the scope of literature review study.
248 . Aylin Akyol
and indirectly, affect the job engagement of talented employees and that
perceived procedural justice regulates the relationship between perceived
distributive justice and job engagement. Managers can implement talent
management programs to increase the job engagement of talented
employees. It is substantial that the employees nominating and selecting
program process is objective and obvious, and all candidates have equal
opportunities. In addition to developing talents, managers must consider
all employees. When businesses invest in human resources, they can create
a sense of organizational support in all employees. In another research,
Omotunde and Alegbeleye (2021: 1) concluded in their research with
librarians working in Nigeria that talent management practices affect job
performance.
Employees participating in talent management programs gain a
unique status and more development opportunities, additional incentives,
and the possibility of rapid promotion related to preferential treatment
(Gajda, 2022: 100). A transition to a people-oriented and participatory
management pattern can be achieved instead of a rigid and hierarchical
management approach with the understanding of the importance of talents
in management. Through the transformation, employees perceived as a
passive and ordinary business source are beginning to be an indispensable
element of competitive advantage with their behavioral and mental abilities.
Talented employees contribute to creativity and can make the business
different and inimitable. The support of the senior management level is
substantial in the process. The main task of management in a competitive
environment is to identify authentic talents. After determining the actual
capability with objective evaluation criteria, a profile is developed for
talent then the relevant ability for the optimal job is assigned in suitable
amounts. Discovered and developed abilities should be institutionalized
and identified with the business (Altuntuğ, 2009: 457-458). Discovered
and developed skills must be institutionalized and linked to the company.
An encouraging culture in work environments values employees
by recognizing their talents, providing the opportunity to use talent,
and encouraging talent to increase their skills to develop organizational
commitment. A strategic approach in human resources policies in the form
of flexible working hours will strengthen the employee’s work-life balance
and emotional commitment to the organization. Leveraging innovative
practices followed by leading businesses in the form of competency-
based assessment, creating chances for lifelong learning, and outsourcing
recruiting and development will increase corporate commitment and talent
retention.(Durai & Viji, 2022: 148).
According to Ewerlin (2013: 300), personality plays a substantial role
in shaping the individual’s needs, and in this context, more research on
250 . Aylin Akyol
healthcare industry. The motto of “Right person for the right job” has been
embraced, and the central context within the talent management system
that reflects the talent management construct is commonly acknowledged
as the identification of critical positions and the methodical placement
of talents in these positions based on competency and potential. It is
suggested that empirical research on the theoretical development of talent
management and the definition of the elements of the concept in the field of
application should be increased (Yıldız & Esmer, 2021: 21-22).
De Vos and Nicky Dries (2013: 1816) argue that the talent management
literature can be built on self-awareness reached from the career literature
about the mechanisms of individual career retention and inclusion in a
study in Belgium with human resources managers of 306 firms. By
acknowledging careers as an organizational concern linked to more
comprehensive strategic human resource management methods, the career
management literature can learn from the talent management literature
(cited in De Vos & Nicky Dries, 2013: 1828).
Research conducted in Spain by Benitez-Amado et al. (2015: 207)
has revealed that the firm’s ability to benefit from information technology
infrastructure improves talent management and ensures the implementation
of an environmentally sustainable operation strategy to improve the firm’s
performance. Through information technology, managers and firms
provide beneficial insights from the market on recruiting and onboarding
outstanding talent to design and integrate the talent base. The research
demonstrates to managers how to more effectively utilize information
technology foundation for improving profitability and competitive
position through personnel management and operational environmental
sustainability (Benitez-Amado et al., 2015: 215-216).
Internalizing talent management as a process and not being limited
to a small group of employees are the two most crucial success factors
for the organization’s growth and development. Global consistency is
essential in the talent evaluation processes of a business. Managers must
have confidence in all employees that the same standards are being met.
Positive participation of the employees and providing timely feedback to
the employees ensure an advantage to the company. Developing existing
talents for base positions within the organization and aligning individual
goals with organizational goals and plans ensures that talent management
is welcomed both as policy and practice. The practice of talent management
still has challenges with regard to talent assessment. Every business adopts
appropriate strategies to retain the best talent (Anand, 2011: 29). According
to Altınöz’s (2018: 93-94) research results, it is necessary to pay attention
to the employee’s perceptions of the management of talented employees. In
the study, it was revealed that the perception of talent management is low in
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .253
REFERENCES
Agrawal, S. (2010). Talent management model for business schools: Factor analy-
sis. Indian Journal of Industrial Relations, 45(3), 481-491. Retrieved from
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Aina, R.A. & Atan, T. (2020). The impact of implementing talent management
practices on sustainable organizational performance. Sustainability, 12,
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Alayoğlu, N. (2010). İnsan kaynakları yönetiminde yeni dönem: Yetenek yöneti-
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Altınöz, M. (2018). Yetenek yönetiminin algılanması üzerine karşılaştırmalı bir
araştırma. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 39, 82-95.
Altunoğlu, A.E., Atay, H. & Terlemez, B. (2015). İnsan kaynakları bakış açısından
yetenek yönetimi: Bankacılık sektörü uygulama örneği. Marmara Üniver-
sitesi İ.İ.B. Dergisi, 37(1), 47-70. doi: 10.14780/iibd.43915
Altuntuğ, N. (2009). Rekabet üstünlüğünün sürdürülmesinde yeteneklerin rolü:
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İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 14(3), 445-460.
Alziari, L. (2017). A chief HR officer’s perspective on talent management. Journal
of Organizational Effectiveness: People and Performance, 4(4), 379-383.
doi: 10.1108/JOEPP-05-2017-0047
Anand, P. (2011). Talent development and strategy at telecom major Bharti Airtel.
Strategic HR Review, 10(6), 25-30. doi: 10.1108/14754391111172797
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family firms invest less in talent management? The suppressor effect of risk
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International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .255
Mahmut BARAKAZI1
1. Introduction
As a result of the development of technology in all areas of human
life, its increasing importance is increasing in all sectors, especially in the
service sector. Individuals, who started to have more free time and labor
rights after the industrial revolution, are also interested in technological
opportunities that make their lives easier. Technological developments,
which were used in mass production and defense industry in the beginning,
have managed to enter public spaces and private houses over time. With
the widespread use of small household appliances and electronic devices,
the relationship between behavior and informatics continues to strengthen
(Bhattacherjee, 2001).
Meeting the need for communication, which is one of the most
important innovations brought by technology, has brought great benefits
to information and communication. In addition, by equipping the
infrastructures with technological devices in the field of transportation,
it has made it possible to go beyond national borders and facilitate global
travel. This situation has led to very positive developments for sectors that
require high competition and physical facilities such as tourism in the
services sector (Li et al., 2017).
With the continuous growth of the relationship between tourism and
technology, the concept of smart tourism applications has emerged. In
this process, sub-tourism applications such as accommodation services,
travel services, recreation services, food and beverage services, which are
managed with a traditional approach, have started to move to innovative
and smart tourism applications by establishing a close relationship with
technology. All the possibilities of technology are used, especially in the
modernization of the vehicles used in travel and the renewal of the facilities
involved in hospitality services. In addition, the use of smart tourism
applications is becoming widespread in recreational activities carried
out to provide entertainment, meeting and leisure experience. Similarly,
technological developments are observed in gastronomic tourism activities,
which include food and beverage services (Hall & Mitchell, 2003).
Technology-based smart applications used within the scope of
gastronomic tourism faced a significant prejudice in the early periods
and the changes in the preference of traditional methods were viewed
negatively. The reason for this can be shown as the attachment to the
culinary culture and the habits experienced in eating and drinking habits.
However, as in every service sector, it is not possible to avoid technological
developments and to stand against innovations in the field of gastronomy
tourism (Camisón & Monfort-Mir, 2012). Because, in order to provide up-
to-date services for human demands and to provide customer satisfaction,
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .261
provide comfort and ease of use to tourists (Tavitiyaman et al., 2022). When
we look at the smart applications used during the gastronomic tourism
experience, first of all, internet connection (Wi-fi) and smart menus (tablet,
mobile and desktop menus, etc.) that serve in food and beverage businesses
come. These technological tools are shown in Figure 2.
transfer their experiences and share their satisfaction levels to those who
will visit the destination after them can also give them psychological
pleasure. On the other hand, they raise awareness by pointing out their
complaints and service failures through smart applications and by drawing
attention to their ability to solve the problems of the business. Tourists
can also show an indirect advertising and promotional activity by sharing
the experience they have gained during the whole process of participating
in gastronomic tourism on their social media accounts. They can share
various ideas about the dining experience through social media tools such
as Instagram, Facebook, Youtube and Whatsapp (Figure 4b).
Figure 4: Online Payment & Sharing Media
REFERENCES
1. Introduction
The process of examining, measuring and evaluating the relationships
between the items in the financial statements is called financial analysis.
With financial performance, the position of companies in a given sector
can be determined. In this way, financial stakeholders can observe in which
areas a company has advantages and disadvantages compared to its
competitors. Different approaches can be preferred for performance
analyses using financial ratios that provide important information about the
financial health of the company. In recent years, especially with the
development of the internet and increased interaction between countries, it
has become possible to access more information more readily. In
performance analyses, where statistical methods were mostly preferred
before, techniques such as big data analysis and machine learning have
started to be used at an increasing rate. In performance analyses, which
essentially involve multiple criteria, multi-criteria decision-making
analyses (MCDA) are also increasingly preferred in the finance literature.
Capital markets are financial institutions shaped by the behavior and
decisions of millions of investors. The dot-com crisis in 2000, the global
financial crisis in 2008 and the pandemic that spread around the world in
2020 have significantly affected capital markets. In times of such increased
volatility, investor behavior also changes and as a result, financial
stakeholders may make less rational decisions. For this purpose, financial
performance analyses, which can help to make the right investment
decisions, are more needed in such processes.
The renewable energy sector has accelerated its development
especially after the concept of sustainability term entered the agenda of the
countries following the global warming problem was faced after the new
millennium. In 2015, 17 sustainable growth targets were approved at the
United Nations (UN) General Assembly with the participation of 193
countries. The seventh of these goals is affordable and cheap energy.
Electric power generation is the fastest attracting investment among
renewable energy alternatives. Changing trends have also changed the
automobile preferences of consumers, and the number of electric vehicles
sold worldwide exceeded 1 million in 2017 (Justus, 2018). In 2022, the
number of electric vehicle sales exceeded 6.6 million (Bibra et al., 2022).
In the new millennium, the Turkish energy market has attracted more than
$60 billion in investments. In 2018, a $10.9 billion energy investment plan
was announced to be realized over a 5-year period (Bayraktar, 2018).
In this study, the financial performance of 12 renewable energy
companies traded in Borsa Istanbul will be analyzed with MOORA and
MABAC methods. The 7 periods covering from the beginning of 2021 to
the last quarter of 2022 will be analyzed with 6 criteria. Return on assets
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .279
(ROA), earnings per share (EPS), market-to-book (MB) ratio, debt ratio,
net sales growth (NSG) and market value added (MVA) are used as
criteria.
The outline of the study is as follows. In the second section, previous
studies on financial performance literature will be analyzed. In the third
section, MOORA and MABAC methods and CRITIC weighting technique
used in this study will be explained thoroughly. In the fourth section, the
findings of the study will be explained, and the conclusion will be
discussed in the fifth and final section.
2. Literature Review
Making the right investment decisions in capital markets depends on
the ability to evaluate many criteria in a timely and appropriate manner
with the right methods. In this sense, MCDA methods have been
increasingly used in financial performance studies especially since the
early 2000s (Zavadskas et al., 2004).
Although the renewable energy sector has shown a significant
development in the last quarter century, it is clear that renewable energy
sources should be used more widely, considering the problems such as
global warming caused by the uncontrolled increase in mass production in
the same period. Experts in this field state that the energy transition will
not be efficient unless global barriers are overcome and visionary strategies
are put forward (Cozzi, 2014).
In a study analyzing the 10-year performance of 9 foreign banks
operating in Turkey between 2005 and 2014, MOORA method was used
and performance rankings were made for each period accordingly (Özbek,
2015).
In another study, the performance of 10 deposit banks traded in Borsa
Istanbul and 2 other banks operating in Turkey were analyzed for 9 periods
between 2007 and 2016 with the MOORA method (Altunöz, 2017). Banks
were evaluated according to their calculated annual performance rankings,
based on the financial ratios taken from their financial tables.
In a study analyzing the factors that should be implemented in order
to increase performance and efficiency of production in manufacturing
companies, MOORA method was preferred (Jain, 2018). In the study
where 6 performance factors were measured and ranked, productivity was
calculated as the most important factor.
In a study examining supplier selection in creating a green supply
chain which is aiming to increase sustainability in India, MOORA method
was preferred when ranking the potential suppliers (Chand et al., 2018). In
280 . Orhan Emre Elma
A study analyzed the potential financial performance of an investment
bank in China for 4 internet companies that it can invest in (Peng et al.,
2016). In this study, the performance ranking of the companies was carried
out with the MABAC method
3. Methodology
The performance criteria to be selected in the calculation of the
financial performance of the companies undertake a pivotal role since they
affect the final results and thus the firm rankings. For this reason, ratios
that can reflect the sector to be analyzed in general should be selected.
ROA is one of the most popular ratios preferred in financial performance
analyses and shows how much each unit of invested money is converted
into return (Palepu et al., 2020). MVA is defined as the difference between
the market value of the company and its invested capital (Akalu & Turner,
2002). It is integrated into the analysis as a valuation-based ratio in order
to show how much value the company created. The ratio that measures a
company's indebtedness compared to its capital is the debt ratio (Shim &
Siegel, 2022). It is used in financial performance studies on energy (Makki
& Alqahtani, 2023). EPS is obtained by dividing all the returns that a
company has achieved in the relevant period by all its shares in circulation
(Siew et al., 2018). In a study calculating the financial performance of
construction companies, EPS was among the criteria implemented (Lam et
al., 2021). The MB ratio is a parameter that shows the extent to which the
company has improved its market value compared to the capital invested
(Ghosh, 2021). In a study measuring 118 companies' corporate social
responsibility, MB as a performance metric was included in the criteria of
the analysis (Bilbao-Terol et al., 2019). Since among one of the most
important activity of companies in generating positive income is sales,
sales growth is also the focus of attention in performance calculations. In
a study analyzing the financial performance of cement companies
operating in Iran, NSG was included among the calculated criteria
(Moghimi & Anvari, 2014).
The MCDA methods and weighting technique used in this study will
be explained in detail below together with the application steps.
At this method first and foremost, vector normalization is used with
the equation (1) in order to create a normalized objective matrix.
𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝐹𝐹𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = (1)
2
√∑𝑚𝑚
𝑘𝑘=1 𝑓𝑓𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘
Right after that, with the help of equation (2) a weighted normalized
objective matrix is obtained.
𝑣𝑣𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝐹𝐹𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 × 𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 (2)
Last but not least, the performance (𝑃𝑃𝑖𝑖 ) scores of alternatives are
computed with the equation (3):
𝑔𝑔
𝑃𝑃𝑖𝑖 = ∑𝑗𝑗=1 𝑣𝑣𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − ∑𝑛𝑛𝑗𝑗=𝑔𝑔+1 𝑣𝑣𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ∈ {1,2, … , 𝑚𝑚} (3)
𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 − 𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖+
𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = (5)
𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖− −𝑥𝑥𝑖𝑖+
The calculated weights are applied to the normalized decision matrix
with the equation (6), in order to create weighted and normalized decision
matrix.
𝑣𝑣𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝑤𝑤𝑘𝑘 (𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 + 1) (6)
Right after that, the boundary approximation area should be
determined. And this can be calculated with the equations (7) and (8).
𝑔𝑔𝑘𝑘 = (∏𝑚𝑚
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑣𝑣𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 )
1/𝑚𝑚
(7)
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .283
Afterwards, correlation density is calculated with the formula (13).
𝐶𝐶𝑗𝑗 = 𝜎𝜎𝑗𝑗 ∑𝑚𝑚
𝑖𝑖=1(1 − 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ) (13)
𝐶𝐶𝑗𝑗
𝑤𝑤𝑗𝑗 = ∑𝑚𝑚 (14)
𝑖𝑖=1 𝐶𝐶𝑖𝑖
Table 1. Decision matrices consisting of 6 criteria obtained by dynamic
calculations for all periods
ROA Debt EPS MB NSG MVA
AKSEN -0.58042 -0.12119 -0.56649 0.419989 -0.45629 6.222565
AKSUE -0.53773 -0.43504 -0.71741 -0.53776 -0.5725 -0.20265
AYDEM -1.04069 0.202313 -1.04109 -0.05875 -3.26105 0.584823
AYEN -1.11353 -0.03663 -1.12186 0.311487 11.74799 0.825871
CANTE -5.26671 0.370348 -5.29977 0.091705 -176.048 0.144458
ENJSA -0.52413 0.132594 -0.5109 -0.08234 -0.83961 -0.21057 2021/I
NATEN 2.029369 -0.08696 4.773133 -0.40797 -0.67455 -0.49878
NTGAZ -0.99268 -0.36068 -0.99048 -0.01711 8.98144 -0.02106
ODAS -0.22777 0.440706 -0.21528 0.169828 9.745042 -0.04369
PAMEL -0.71688 -0.17128 -0.46655 -0.28828 -9.51592 0.374177
ZEDUR -7.51692 -0.67138 -5.80879 -0.40615 -2.85833 0.015781
ZOREN -1.87617 0.307995 -1.90127 0.033371 0.588619 -0.14479
AKSEN 0.87622 0.275122 1.294957 -0.07485 1.324343 -0.15258
AKSUE -0.04118 -0.04567 -0.06255 0.160784 0.137515 0.197626
AYDEM 1.519529 -0.02982 1.443585 -0.06621 -0.11368 0.399966
AYEN 2.398464 -0.06961 2.531109 -0.49237 -0.01341 -0.80462
CANTE 0.087427 -0.34136 0.102005 -0.15571 -0.35381 -0.36057
ENJSA 0.861569 -0.10188 0.822705 -0.09318 3.077022 -0.15036 2021/II
NATEN 0.009868 -0.02288 0.032074 -0.15659 1.399359 -0.64451
NTGAZ 6.73207 -0.13861 5.827251 -0.01967 -0.41977 -0.023
ODAS 0.091614 -0.42214 0.131392 -0.75387 -0.40273 -1.09989
PAMEL 1.405252 -0.05174 0.338673 1.066872 -0.45859 1.327482
ZEDUR 0.769037 -0.84828 0.042801 -0.64374 -0.64972 -0.5836
ZOREN 0.168471 0.187123 0.272688 -0.22263 2.449522 -0.43115
AKSEN 0.56482 0.009451 0.683578 -0.44557 0.549674 -1.54011
AKSUE -0.83541 -0.16262 -0.83527 0.489397 0.224521 0.749697
AYDEM -0.86181 0.180104 -0.85188 0.183606 -0.21145 -0.73535
AYEN 0.919951 -0.04935 0.939133 0.025733 0.053095 0.177112
CANTE -0.32897 -0.04285 -0.30883 0.354281 0.638617 0.585998
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .285
Table 2. Criteria weights calculated according to CRITIC technique
for each period
2021/I 2021/II 2021/III 2021/IV 2022/I 2022/II 2022/III
ROA 0.130885 0.13486 0.162274 0.126611 0.158215 0.12752 0.161734
Debt 0.229754 0.202796 0.13963 0.262788 0.174317 0.187637 0.151674
EPS 0.128711 0.147708 0.172656 0.120562 0.158311 0.129876 0.160914
MB 0.216995 0.132692 0.209309 0.150042 0.176379 0.195427 0.212954
NSG 0.138976 0.247614 0.116155 0.169608 0.189307 0.15959 0.140701
MVA 0.154679 0.13433 0.199974 0.170389 0.143471 0.199951 0.172023
The final results for the MOORA method, whose application stages
are shown in the equations (1) to (3) above, are given in Table 3. The
highest performing companies are shown in italics in the table below.
According to this method, Aksa Energy (AKSEN) was the highest
performing company in the first period analyzed. Afterwards, Natürelgaz
(NTGAZ) in the second and third periods, Naturel Renewable Energy
(NATEN) in the fourth period, Ayen Energy (AYEN) in the fifth period,
Zedur Energy (ZEDUR) in the sixth period, and Aksu Energy (AKSUE) in
the seventh and last period became the highest performers, respectively.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .287
Table 3. Final MOORA performance results calculated for each
period
2021/I 2021/II 2021/III 2021/IV 2022/I 2022/II 2022/III
AKSEN 0.250359 0.049681 -0.07385 0.031946 0.108248 0.242885 0.050962
AKSUE -0.04993 0.039449 0.061622 0.14033 0.028695 -0.125 0.3353
AYDEM -0.06929 0.076788 -0.10729 0.031209 -0.1627 -0.00817 0.026725
AYEN 0.073627 0.020798 0.118657 0.023807 0.234273 0.042926 0.187173
CANTE -0.33016 0.01363 0.08879 0.029372 0.176843 0.264684 0.116052
ENJSA -0.06387 0.204741 0.094155 0.032124 -0.02401 -0.00112 0.052367
NATEN 0.008138 0.029979 -0.19466 0.178774 -0.01723 0.057669 -0.01201
NTGAZ 0.048884 0.24793 0.203611 0.017523 -0.04659 0.031738 0.276807
ODAS -0.05149 -0.06799 -0.04092 -0.05511 -0.27244 0.110966 0.031314
PAMEL -0.04146 0.186639 0.124508 0.086731 0.075388 0.182578 -0.06283
ZEDUR -0.13162 0.049021 -0.329 0.025532 -0.03582 0.318069 -0.09972
ZOREN -0.10816 0.063717 0.100458 0.037651 -0.02577 0.175879 0.273417
The final results for the MABAC method, whose application stages
are shown above with the formulas (4) to (11), are given in Table 4.
According to the MABAC method, AKSEN was the highest performing
company in the first period. Afterwards, NTGAZ, NTGAZ, NATEN,
AYEN, ZEDUR companies showed the highest performance, just like they
did in the MOORA method. However, for the MABAC method, the
company with the highest performance in the last period differed from the
MOORA method and became Zorlu Enerji (ZOREN).
Table 4. Final MABAC performance results calculated for each
period
2021/I 2021/II 2021/III 2021/IV 2022/I 2022/II 2022/III
AKSEN 0.313121 0.010435 -0.07094 0.009043 0.13909 0.185124 -0.05374
AKSUE 0.011768 -0.02627 0.103273 0.074319 0.063632 -0.21789 0.276897
AYDEM -0.00608 0.01768 -0.07646 -0.00124 -0.11161 -0.10931 -0.05402
AYEN 0.141841 -0.02142 0.145421 -0.00325 0.301704 -0.04251 0.084353
CANTE -0.25445 -0.0528 0.124127 0.001527 0.240629 0.177619 0.033195
ENJSA -2.1E-06 0.181596 0.108741 0.00586 -0.00251 -0.10139 -0.05252
NATEN 0.064351 -0.01289 -0.19397 0.150542 -0.00953 -0.01946 -0.08625
NTGAZ 0.116057 0.210688 0.227682 -0.00575 -0.05828 -0.03524 0.206292
ODAS 0.012807 -0.12516 -0.03255 -0.06445 -0.26161 0.025395 -0.04
PAMEL 0.021051 0.10264 0.15671 0.059223 0.077482 0.100014 -0.1772
288 . Orhan Emre Elma
The ranking results obtained according to both methods are presented
comparatively in Table 5. Although the company rankings are very close
to each other for both methods, they change only 2 or 3 times on average,
in a total of 7 periods.
Table 5. Company rankings according to the final MOORA (MO)
and MABAC (MA) performance results for each period
2021/I 2021/II 2021/III 2021/IV 2022/I 2022/II 2022/III
MO MA MO MA MO MA MO MA MO MA MO MA MO MA
AKSEN 1 1 6 6 9 9 6 5 3 3 3 2 7 8
AKSUE 6 7 8 10 7 7 2 2 5 5 12 12 1 2
AYDEM 9 9 4 5 10 10 7 9 11 11 11 11 9 9
AYEN 2 2 10 9 3 3 10 10 1 1 8 9 4 4
CANTE 12 12 11 11 6 4 8 7 2 2 2 3 5 5
ENJSA 8 8 2 2 5 6 5 6 7 6 10 10 6 7
NATEN 4 4 9 7 11 11 1 1 6 7 7 7 10 10
NTGAZ 3 3 1 1 1 1 11 11 10 10 9 8 2 3
ODAS 7 6 12 12 8 8 12 12 12 12 6 6 8 6
PAMEL 5 5 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 11 12
ZEDUR 11 11 7 8 12 12 9 8 9 9 1 1 12 11
ZOREN 10 10 5 4 4 5 4 4 8 8 5 5 3 1
respect and help financial decision makers to determine an optimum
investment route.
The renewable energy sector has also accelerated its development as
sustainability-oriented production has become widespread. In particular, it
has been determined that the energy sector affects the greenhouse gas
emissions of the European Union by more than 75%. For this purpose, a
40% reduction is planned for 2030 compared to the greenhouse gas level
in 1990. The realization of this depends on the more intensive use of
renewable energy sources (Prada et al., 2020).
The renewable energy sector in Turkey continues to develop in line
with the global developments. The target to become among the top 10
countries in the world in renewable energy production by 2027 shows the
potential of this sector (IEA, 2022). In Turkey, companies operating in the
relevant sector realize their investments mostly through energy-oriented
power plants. Especially in the last 2 years, the number of these power
plants has increased rapidly and the share of renewable energy in total
power has increased significantly.
In this study, the financial performance analysis of 12 firms traded in
Borsa Istanbul, an emerging market, and operating in the renewable energy
sector, which is also an emerging sector, was carried out with MOORA
and MABAC methods. The analyses conducted for 7 quarterly periods
covering the pandemic process, which has a high level of uncertainty and
volatility, have produced consistent results. In 6 out of the 7 periods
analyzed, both methods have produced the same companies as the top
performers. For this purpose, both methods are recommended as a decision
support system for financial decisions to be taken by financial
stakeholders.
The first limitation of the study is that it only analyses companies in
the Turkish renewable energy sector. Secondly, two important MCDA
methods are used in this study. Thirdly, the analysis only focuses on the
financial performance during the pandemic period. In future studies,
comprehensive and comparative analyses can be carried out by examining
more countries, with more methods and over a longer time period, which
includes pre-pandemic period.
290 . Orhan Emre Elma
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CHAPTER 15
APPROACHES TO
COMPETITIVENESS AND PORTER
DIAMOND MODEL1
Ayhan KULOĞLU 2
1 This study is derived from the doctoral thesis titled “Porter Model
Analysis Of Competitiveness: Kayseri City Industrial Measurement
and Structural Equaion Modeling Approach” prepared by Ayhan
KULOĞLU in April 2016 at Erciyes University Institute of Social
Sciences (Supervisor: Prof. Dr. Faik BILGILI).
2 Ayhan KULOĞLU, Asst. Prof., Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli
University, Orcid ID: 0000-0003-0027-2893
294 . Ayhan Kuloğlu
Introduction
In a globalized world, countries are striving to increase their levels of
prosperity through economic, technological, and sociological interactions.
With the advent of technology, globalization, changes in trade patterns, and
modes of production have all had an impact on countries’ trade structures.
As a result, changes have occurred in the competitive advantages that
countries have over each other. Nowadays, a country’s competitive
advantage is closely related to the activities of the industries and firms in
which it excels.
The concept of “Absolute Advantage Theory” was introduced
by Adam Smith in his 1776 work “The Wealth of Nations” to explain
countries’ competitive advantages. This labor-value approach suggests
that a country should specialize in producing goods in which it is more
efficient than others and purchase goods it cannot produce from other
countries. The theory posits that differences in labor productivity lead
to competitive advantages among countries. In today’s globalized world,
with the involvement of various factors such as trade patterns, this theory
has become a complex structure.
The rapid changes in technology have led to significant shifts in
workforce, capital, and production methods, posing a challenge for
countries to establish and maintain sustainable international competitive
advantages. In today’s rapidly evolving economic landscape, a country’s
competitive advantage cannot be explained by factors such as resource
superiority or differences in labor productivity alone. Instead, a multitude
of factors such as institutions, infrastructure, innovation, market size,
work culture, technological adaptation, financial market development,
macroeconomic environment, health and basic education, efficiency of
goods and labor markets, and higher education all play a critical role in
determining a country’s competitive position in the world, as highlighted
in “Global Competitiveness Report 2014-2015” by World Economic
Forum (2015).
Michael Porter conducted a three-year study on over 100 sectors in
10 countries to investigate how nations achieve competitive advantage
in his 1990 work, “The Competitive Advantage of Nations”. In Porter’s
“Diamond Model”, countries’ competitive advantages are evaluated based
on the competition of the industries they possess, and are connected to
six factors, four of which are internal and two of which are external, that
encompass the factors mentioned above. The internal factors include
demand conditions, input conditions, related and supporting industries,
and firm strategy and structure, while external factors such as the role of
the state and chance are evaluated for their indirect impact on a country’s
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .295
dropped two places to 40th with a score of 60.501 out of 100 in the scoring
system. IMD determines this evaluation based on 331 variables, which are
related to the subcomponents mentioned above (International Institute for
Management, 2015).
1.3. Competitive Industrial Performance Index
The Competitive Industrial Performance (CIP) Index is published
annually by the United Nations Industrial Development Organization
(UNIDO) since 2005. In the 2009 report, the CIP index was created based
on four indicators, which are industrial capacity measured by the value
added in manufacturing, export capacity measured by manufacturing
exports, industrialization intensity measured by the share of medium
and high technology activities in manufacturing value added, and export
structure measured by the share of medium-high technology products
in manufacturing exports (Çelik, 2011; United Nations Industrial
Development Organization, 2014).
UNIDO stated that our country experienced an increase in regional
concentration and cooperation among middle-income countries across 116
countries, in published report at 2014. The report also indicates that Turkey
has a dynamic economy and ranks among the top 16 countries. However,
the added value created by the industry is lower than that of the service
sector. Furthermore, Turkey’s share of medium-high technology sectors
in the manufacturing industry is lower compared to developed countries,
although it has been increasing. The CIP Index values for 2013 show that
Turkey ranks 30th among 133 countries and ranks second in the Middle
East region after Israel. It is also ranked 5th in the middle-upper income
group and among developing industries for industrial competitiveness.
The competitiveness can be measured with a single indicator or a
composite indicator, such as the Global Competitiveness Index, which
combines multiple indicators for firms, industries, and countries. For
instance, in the “Global Competitiveness Index 2014-2015” report
published by the World Bank, our country (Turkey) ranked 45th with a
value of 4.46, down one spot from the previous year’s ranking of 44th with
a value of 4.45, among 144 countries. In addition to the general index, sub-
indices (institutional framework, infrastructure, macroeconomic stability,
health and primary education) have been created. The most widely used
method for measuring multi-dimensional micro-level competitiveness is
Diamond Model proposed by Porter (1990b). Similarly, OECD and IMF
also develop competitiveness indicators. OECD examines competitiveness
indicators under three headings: production market indicators, sector
indicators, and regulatory indicators.
300 . Ayhan Kuloğlu
Chicago School Wealth maximization, social TOWS Strengths and weaknesses, potential
Approach values, efficiency Approach threats and opportunities, internal
and external factors
Harvard School Marginality, viable Orthodox Domestic characteristics of national
Approach competition, characteristic of Approach economies, performance of national
industry environment industries, international competitive
equilibrium diversification and
concentration based on export
structure.
Karl Marx’s Negative power, cheaper National Technology innovation, learning
Approach production of goods, falling Innovation new technologies, innovation
profit rate System ability
Approach
Functional differentiation, price, Robert Reich Qualification structure of people,
Approach quality, increasing sales, Approach knowledge, knowledge generation
cost reduction, poor market
conditions
Fordist Poor quality production Institutional Competitiveness indices created
Approach of homogeneous goods, Approaches by WEF and IMD and updated
stockpiling, post-production annually
quality control, source-
directed production vertical
integration, small traditional
production
Schumpeterian New production methods, New Foreign Free trade, price strategy, skilled
Approach new forms of industrial Trade labor, economies of scale, product
organization, new market, Approaches cycles, technology gap
new transportation methods,
social policies, creative
destruction technology
development
produce goods and services at an appropriate cost and trade them with
other countries. In this process, consumers will benefit from both more
affordable and higher-quality products, leading to an increase in societal
welfare level (Yücel, 2012). It is suggested that this increase in welfare
is a result of the relationship between division of labor, productivity, and
technological development (Arıç, 2013).
The theory of comparative advantage explains the trade that occurs
when a country has an advantage in producing two products. According
to this theory, in a situation of free trade, countries should specialize in
producing the product in which they have a comparative advantage, i.e., the
product that they can produce at a lower opportunity cost (Ricardo, 1819).
The classic example of this theory involves England and Portugal. England
needs 100 units of labor to produce cloth for its domestic consumption and
120 units of labor to produce wine. Portugal, on the other hand, needs 90
units of labor to produce cloth for its domestic consumption and 80 units
of labor to produce wine. Portugal has an absolute advantage in producing
both goods. According to Smith, in this case, trade would not take place.
However, Ricardo argued that when comparing the relative advantage
of Portugal in producing wine compared to cloth, Portugal should
specialize in wine production (Arıç, 2013). In this way, the country should
continue to produce the good in which it has a comparative advantage
while purchasing the good in which it has a comparative disadvantage.
Therefore, countries can increase the welfare of consumers and contribute
to global prosperity by effectively utilizing their resources through free
trade channels (İyibozkurt, 2001).
The theory, also known as the Heckscher-Ohlin theory, posits that the
reason for international trade is due to differences in factor endowments
between countries resulting in differences in factor prices (Yücel, 2012).
According to the theory, two countries with different factor endowments,
two goods with different factor intensities (one capital-intensive and one
labor-intensive), and constant returns to scale assumptions are valid.
Under these assumptions, countries have a comparative advantage in
producing goods that contain relatively abundant production factors.
Therefore, countries should specialize in these goods and export them.
Scarce factor-dependent products can be imported at a lower cost (Ohlin,
1963). If a country is labor-intensive, it should produce labor-intensive
goods, whereas if a country is capital-intensive, it should produce capital-
intensive goods (Arıç, 2013).
In the theory of comparative advantage, while labor is the only
production factor taken into account, capital is also included here.
Although Ricardo stated that international differences in labor productivity
cause cost differences, he could not explain where the differences in labor
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .303
productivity come from. Heckscher-Ohlin has pointed out that the theory
assumes that countries have different factor endowments, some countries
have labor-intensive and some countries have capital-intensive resource
endowments. Another assumption of the theory is that the production
of goods varies in terms of factor intensity. That is, the production of
some products requires more capital than labor, or vice versa (Utkulu,
2005). In this theory, competitiveness will enable countries to gain a
competitive advantage by producing products that are appropriate for their
factor intensity and factor endowments, thereby providing cost and price
superiority to countries.
While the concept of competition in classical economists is expressed
as a dynamic process used to achieve equilibrium in the economy,
neoclassical economists consider it as a “market structure” (Aktaş, 2003).
Supporters of this theory show that there is no institutional competition
because firms cannot influence market prices and accept the prices that
occur in the market. Therefore, it is stated that there is no price competition
due to the validity of assumptions belonging to a perfectly competitive
market (Swan, 1956). Similarly, it is argued that there is no advertising
and service competition because products are homogeneous and there
is symmetric information about products (Solow, 1956). Neoclassical
economics is essentially based on the assumptions of homo economicus,
market mechanism, atomized society, and perfect competition in markets.
In theory, the fundamental reason for markets to be in perfect competition
is efficiency and productivity. Therefore, the theory has argued that perfect
competition brings efficiency and productivity (Swan, 1956). However,
due to excessive abstractions made in theory when markets are in perfect
competition, firms have expressed that there is no competition since they
are price-takers and products are homogeneous (Altay, 2006).
The Post Keynesian approach emerged as a response to the Neo
Classical approach. While the Neo Classical approach views competition
statically, this approach considers competition as a dynamic structure.
The foundation of this approach is that firms exist in the market with the
motive of making profits, and if they cannot make profits, they will have to
withdraw from the market. Therefore, the firms that remain in the market
continually seek ways to reduce their costs to remain competitive (Altay,
2006). The way to reduce costs is to introduce new inventions into the
market through R&D. Firms argue that financing for R&D should come
from profits that are not distributed or from the firm’s capital, emphasizing
that competition is a dynamic process (Eichner & Kregel, 1975). The
Post Keynesian approach argues that competition is not only about price
competition but also about production, investment, and institutional
aspects. In this way, firms strive to achieve cost advantage through
304 . Ayhan Kuloğlu
methods has both biological and legal limits (Altay, 2006). At the same
time, competition among the bourgeoisie will result in commercial crises
and fluctuations in workers’ wages. Faster growing mechanization will
make workers’ lives more unstable, and conflict between the bourgeoisie
and women will become more pronounced. Therefore, workers will try to
establish unions and defend their rights to protect their wage rates (Marx,
1848).
2.2. Modern Approaches to Competitiveness Theories
Since the 1990s, the concept of competitiveness, pioneered by Michael
Porter, has been analyzed at the firm and industry levels to evaluate
national and international competition. Classical approaches based on cost
superiority have been replaced by a competitiveness understanding that
is based on skilled labor, technological advancement, and productivity
improvements (Ayaş, 2002).
Dunning’s work, which focuses on researching the sources of
national competitive advantages, suggests that the Porter Diamond Model
is insufficient and needs to be more comprehensive. The model ignores
multinational corporations (MNCs) and considers the state as an internal
variable. While Porter’s model rejects state intervention, he adds it as an
external variable to his Diamond Model. According to Dunning, the state
affects the factors that create the business environment, and thus, should be
considered an integral part of the diamond (Dunning, 1992). In his work,
Dunning argues that Porter’s model does not provide any new insights,
and that there are other scholars who have conducted more comprehensive
studies on the sources of national competitive advantage. Dunning
points out that these studies not only focus on the four determinants of
competitiveness, but also take into account the concepts of investment
and entrepreneurship, which Porter’s work overlooks (Dunning, 1992).
Additionally, Dunning notes that there is no econometric study that proves
the accuracy of Porter’s model in his work (Rugman & D’Cruz, 1993).
“Double Diamond Model” developed by Rugman and D’Cruz was
successful for countries such as Canada but failed for countries like
Korea and Singapore. At this point, Moon, Rugman, and Verbeke (1998)
showed in their study that the “Diamond Model” was inadequate for small
economies such as Singapore and Korea because multinational corporations
were not included, and they demonstrated the validity of their developed
“Generalized Double Diamond Model” in their econometric analysis.
This model is different from the “Porter Diamond Model” in that it
involves both domestic and international firms in creating competitiveness
and emphasizes the importance of the government in the model (Baltaci,
Burgazoglu, & Kilic, 2012).
306 . Ayhan Kuloğlu
India in 2006 and identified the challenges and opportunities of the sector.
Sterns and Spreen (2010) applied the Diamond Model comparatively on the
processed citrus industry in Sao Paulo, Brazil and Florida, United States
and revealed that although they used the same production techniques, they
applied different company management strategies.
Oz (2002) applied Porter’s model to Turkey and stated that the results
confirmed the model. However, He also mentioned that the hypotheses
of the model were not supported regarding internal competition and the
role of the government. Ulengin et al. (2014) conducted on the Turkish
automotive industry using the competitiveness indicators of the World
Economic Forum (WEF) and the Bayesian Causality methodology, it
was stated that Turkey’s automotive industry has a competitive structure
among developing countries. Karacaoglu (2009) applied Porter’s model
using YEM model on ISO 500 and stated that the manufacturing industry’s
competitive advantage comes from new entrants to the industry and
substitute products. Aric (2012) applied the Diamond Model on Kayseri
furniture sector and stated that the sector met the factors of the model
and had a positive effect on competitiveness. Eraslan, Bakan, and Kuyucu
(2008) stated in their study on the international competitiveness analysis
of the Turkish textile and ready-to-wear industry that the industry has
sustainable competitive power. Bulu, Eraslan, and Kaya (2006) analyzed
the competitiveness of the electronics sector in Turkey using Porter’s
model and suggested that R&D investments should be prioritized as
the competitiveness potential is strong. Bulu, Eraslan, and Sahin (2004)
conducted a competition analysis of the informatics cluster in Ankara using
Porter’s model and stated that the competitiveness level was weak, and the
sector continued with government support. Policy recommendations were
listed to address the sector’s shortcomings and gain sustainable competitive
advantage. Aricioglu, Gokce, and Koras (2013) collected data from 175
companies in Konya casting cluster and conducted Porter’s competition
analysis. They stated that the sector would increase innovation and gain
long-term competitive advantage by involving relevant and supporting
organizations. Keskin (2013) analyzed the Western Mediterranean forest
products sector using Porter’s model and found that it had strong factor
conditions, moderate firm strategy and competition, moderate demand
conditions, and low competitiveness in relevant and supporting industries.
Conclusion
The fundamental condition for the economic development of countries
and the increase of their welfare level is to specialize in the production
of relatively superior goods and services. Michael Porter introduced
“Diamond Model” in the early 1990s, focusing on the competitive
advantages of countries. In developing this model, Porter drew upon other
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .315
2.Demand Conditions:
• Implement policies that support domestic consumption, such as
subsidies for low-income households or investment in public infrastructure
projects.
• Encourage the creation of new markets for products and services,
such as through trade agreements, strategic partnerships with other
countries, and market research.
• Provide training and support for small and medium-sized
enterprises to help them enter new markets and expand their customer
base.
3.Related and Supporting Industries:
• Encourage the formation of industry clusters that bring together
companies, suppliers, and research institutions, which can promote
innovation, knowledge sharing, and collaboration.
• Provide access to financing and resources for startups and small
businesses, which can help to catalyze new industries and support job
growth.
• Establish partnerships between universities and businesses to
foster research and development, which can lead to new innovations and
business opportunities.
4.Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry:
• Encourage competition and prevent monopolies by enforcing
antitrust laws and promoting fair competition.
• Support entrepreneurship and innovation by providing incubators,
accelerators, and mentorship programs for startups and small businesses.
• Encourage collaboration and knowledge sharing among firms to
promote learning and the exchange of best practices.
Overall, policies that support innovation, investment, and collaboration
can help to strengthen the factors that make up the Porter Diamond Model
and enhance a country’s competitiveness in a particular industry. It
is important to consider the unique circumstances of each country and
industry when developing policy recommendations.
318 . Ayhan Kuloğlu
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CHAPTER 16
MAIN MENTAL DISEASES OF
IMMIGRANTS AND ASYLUM
SEEKERS
Candan OZKAN1
Selami Varol ULKER2
Introduction
In the last ten years, there have been wars in which a large number of
deaths have occurred in Syria. Millions of Syrians had to migrate to other
countries and take shelter in neighboring countries. Because of this, many
material and moral losses were experienced by the Syrian society. People
who leave their countries are classified into two groups: immigrants and
asylum seekers. While immigrants make a councious decision to leave
their countries, for example to improve their wealth, asylum seekers are
obbliged to leave their countries under the danger of war, discrimination
or political and religious reasons. Asylum seekers can be investigated by
the authorities of the host country (Akıncı et al., 2015).
Syrian immigrants experienced psychological issues in relation
to war and consequent migration (Kaya, 2019). Post-traumatic stress
disorder and depression have been documented in the literature. A study
conducted with Syrian migrants shows that the continued hardship has
many effects on the mental health and the psychosocial status of adult and
child migrants (Karataştan, 2021). Other adverse events related to the war
further complicate the stress they experience with migration. (Karataştan,
2021).
In a research conducted on 310 Syrian immigrants in the Reyhanlı
region of Hatay in Turkey, it was stated that around 80% of the migrants
participating in the sample showed signs of post-traumatic stress disorder
(Cengiz et al., 2019).
Many migrants face a traumatic situation before and after migration,
which will negatively affect their mental health. Pre-migration risk factors
are linked with difficult economic conditions, poor educational and
professional status, political situations, and deterioration of social relations
(Kirmayer et al., 2011). In this context, many asylum seekers may be
subject to torture, rape, imprisonment, and physical trauma before leaving
their country behind (Lee et al., 2012).
Uncertainty, unemployment, and social status expose migrants to
additional trauma after they move to a different country. At the same time,
language, difficulty to adapt to a different culture adversely affect the
psychological health of migrants (Teodorescu et al., 2012).
Sleep disorder, attention deficit, suicide, claustrophobia,
psychosomatic disorders, depression, post-traumatic stress disorder have
been documented in the literature (Lee et al., 2012).
People diagnosed with post-traumatic stress disorder have more
disturbing symptoms, such as sleep problems, nightmares, and constant
replay of bad memories. In addition, these people often repeat their past
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .325
his/her home country or who does not want to benefit from it because of
fear (Lomo, 1951).
Immigrants who migrate voluntarily or for economic reasons leave
their country of citizenship and migrate to another country because they
are in search of a better life for themselves. However, asylum seekers are
mostly forced to leave their country due to the pressure and intimidation.
The most important distinction between immigrants and economic asylum
seekers is that immigrants do not benefit from state protection compared to
economic asylum seekers (Karadağ and Altıntaş, 2010). Refugees who are
affected by conflicts or fights in their countries may have a serious risk of
psychological, physical and religious trauma leading to death (Kaya, 2019).
In the researches, the trauma rate of immigrants varies according to the
type of trauma experienced. Factors such as exposure to torture and loss
of a family member are among the most important factors determining
depression and post-traumatic stress disorder (Alpak et al., 2015).
Exposure to torture is the most important factor found with both post-
traumatic stress disorder and depression according to a study conducted
by Steel et al. (2009). Other studies indicate injuries, death and forced
distance from their families as the biggest factors determining post-
traumatic stress disorders.
Psychological Conditions of Immigrants
The psychological conditions, and the challenging events that
immigrants and asylum seekers face, vary according to the stage of
migration they are in. These are pre-migration, during migration, and after
migration (Patricio, 2016).
1- Pre-migration period: death of family members, witnessing
violent one-on-one situations, insufficient livelihoods and loss of personal
properties, stampede in society, unintentional involvment in serious violent
situations.
2- During Migration: Asylum seekers embark on a difficult journey
with uncertainty about the future. Being hosted in refugee camps or
detention centers can cause traumatic stress.
3- After Migration: establishing in resettlement areas in the host
countries, adapting linguistically and culturally to the new country can
cause post-traumatic stress disorder and depression.
According to the study conducted by Bhugra (2004), the migration
period consists of three stages: the pre-migration period, the migration
period and the post-migration period. In the pre-migration period, the
traumatizing situations include violence experienced among family
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .327
III-R (1987), DSM IV (1994), DSM IV-TR (2000) - the definition was
expanded. In the most recent DSM V (2013), the definition was moved
from the “Anxiety Disorder” category into the newly created “Trauma and
Stress-Related Disorders” category. There are four basic characteristics of
post-traumatic stress disorder, the criteria of which are explained in this
DSM-V book:
1- Seeing and experiencing a certain traumatic event;
2- Having bad dreams and /or re-living symptoms;
3- The desire to avoid the place where a traumatic event is experienced
or to stay away from people who remind of it;
4- Attention disorders, irritability such as overstimulation and sleep
problems.
There are many cırcumstances that lead to post-traumatic stress disorder.
The most important of these are wars and conflicts, natural disasters like
floods, earthquakes, traffic and plane crashes, torture of a person, staying
in the camps of immigrants, or being hostage in the hands of an enemy,
experiences that can be called severe traumatic stress for everyone (Öztürk,
2011). Assisting the injury or the death of a person, having a serious accident,
being involved in a natural disaster or being threathened with weapons are
regarded as the most common trauma that human being are exposed to
(Sareen et al., 2014). Epidemiological studies in the world show that most of
the people in the society have experienced at least one traumatic situation
that can meet the stress level of post-traumatic stress disorder (Keesler,
1995). The National Comorbidity Survey conducted in the United States
also emphasized that 64% of the population had experienced at least one
traumatic event during their lifetime. In another study conducted with 2,181
volunteer participants in the United States, the frequency of experiencing
any trauma during their lives was reported as 89.6% (Breslau et al., 1998).
Although the frequency of experiencing trauma leading to post-traumatic
stress disorder is also very high, sometimes some people are not diagnosed
with the disease. However, in the research, it was found that the rate of post-
traumatic stress disorder was also very high among people who were in a
conflict environment, people who were exposed to sexual assault or similar
traumatic events like natural disasters (Sareen, 2014). In another study
conducted in Europe, it was stated that the diagnosis of post-traumatic stress
disorder by people who experienced trauma was 7.8%.
Depression
When we look at the literature, there are many different definitions
about depression. However, these definitions have something in common.
Depression is known as an emotional disorder that shows symptoms such
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .331
Education Level
As with other socio-demographic factors, the relationship between the
education level of migrants or asylum seekers and post-traumatic stress
disorder and depression is not very clear according to the literature. Studies
in which a low degree of education is correlated to post-traumatic stress
disorder or depression are found in the literature (Bogic et al., 2012). There
are also other studies that show no relationship (Alpak et al., 2015). When
a low level of education is associated with post-traumatic stress disorder
and depression, migrants and asylum seekers have more difficulty to learn
the language in their new country, (Delic-Ovenia et al., 2010).
Having a Mental Problem Before Migration
One of the most important elements determining post-traumatic stress
disorder and depression in migrants and asylum seekers is whether they
have any mental problems themselves or in their family. If they have a
history of illness, this will affect them negatively (Alpak et al., 2015).
5.3 Pre-Migration Factors (Factors Related to War)
War-related traumas before migration have been found to be important
factors in depression and post-traumatic stress disorder (Bogic et al., 2015).
In a study on Vietnamese immigrants, Mollica et al. (1998) found
that 90% of those who experienced an average of twelve traumatic events
had PTSD and 49% had depression. On the other side, 79% of those who
experienced an average of 2.6 traumatic events, used as a control group,
had a rate of 15% with PTSD and depression.
In another similar study on 993 Cambodian immigrants, Mollica et al.
(1998) found a significant correlation between the number of traumas and
variables in depression and post-traumatic stress disorder.
Beiser (2006) found that asylum seekers staying in a refugee camp
were associated with post-traumatic stress disorder and depression.
The relationship between the torture experienced by migrants and
post-traumatic stress disorder and depression has been proven in many
similar studies (Basoglu et al., 2005).
Post-Migration Factors
After migration, asylum seekers are now in safer places, but they face
new challenges. Asylum seekers also have concerns about many issues,
such as the cultural barriers, legal rights and legal status in the new the
country; at the same time, problems such as finding a job, meeting their
physiological needs, meeting their security needs are also important stress
factors (Craig and Jajua, 2006). Unemployment, low salary, poverty, not
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .335
knowing the native language of the country they are in, insufficient social
support, not being married, and the period of time spent as an immigrant
are the most discussed factors in the field of post-traumatic stress disorder
and depression. These factors can be grouped under four main categories
(Kaya, 2019):
1- Socio-demographic factors (such as poverty and housing
problems);
2- Inability to use language/Lack of speaking skills;
3- Immigration process and immigration policies;
4- Interpersonal communication and social factors.
Language Skills
In a survey of immigrants in the United States, 77% of immigrants
stated that the stress that affected them the most in their first year in the
United States was not being able to speak English proficiently (Blair, 2000).
Similarly, many studies have found that the lack of language proficiency
is an important stress factor for immigrants and that this is also associated
with depression and post-traumatic stress disorder (Bhugra, 2004).
Steel et al. (2002) conducted a large sample of 1,413 Vietnamese
immigrants using the CIDI interview and found a significant relationship
between poor English language skills and psychological problems.
Asylum Process and Immigration Policies
With an increasing affluence of refugees in many countries, more
restrictive policies are enforced. These include: increasing mandatory
detention periods, prolonging the asylum process, and issuance of
temporary visa applications instead of permanent ones. Refugees therefore
face greater uncertainty and more complex legal processes (Li et al., 2016).
In a study conducted in Australia, Silo et al. (1998) stated that the
process of admission to the country is an important stress factor for
immigrants. In another study conducted with Iraqi asylum seekers in the
Netherlands, it was stated that the long duration of immigration was also
related to psychiatric disorders (Laban et al., 2004).
Interpersonal Communication and Social Factors
Refugees who migrated from wars and conflicts are in foreign
environments. They have to cope with physical and cultural difficulties.
Lack of family unity, leaving their loved ones, friends and relatives behind,
social withdrawal, loneliness, facing discrimination, and lack of social ties
are among the major problems that immigrants have to deal with (Li et al.,
2016).
336 . Candan Ozkan, Selami Varol Ulker
In the studies conducted with immigrants, it was found that factors like
lack of social support, discrimination against immigrants, being away from their
families, loneliness, not being married were the most important post-migration
factors for post-traumatic stress disorder and depression (Perrin et al., 2014).
Research on Immigrants and Asylum Seekers
In a study conducted with asylum seekers, after standardizing according
to age, it was found that immigrants may be ten times more likely to show
PTSD symptoms than in the local population (Fazel et al., 2005).
An epidiomological study conducted in Norway found pathologies of
depression and anxiety as well as physiological signs of somatization in
asylum seekers. It is stated that these complaints are common (Dalgard et
al., 2006). In a similar Finnish study, it was again found that the incidence
of depressed mood and sleep problems was one and a half times to twice
higher in asylum seekers than in the local community (Molsa et al., 2014). In
these cases, migrants seriously need to benefit from mental health services;
however, it has been observed that language and cultural barriers, as well
as lack of institutions providing such services, represent an impediment
for the improvement in refugees’ conditions. For this reason, it is stated
that special studies should be carried out and medical structures should
become a priority (WHO, 2015).
In a study conducted in China, social inequality, poor living conditions,
and discrimination caused by forced migration were identified as factors
increasing the risk of depression and suicidal behavior (Jing et al., 2015).
In China’s Wuhan province, people living in the countryside and people
living in urban areas migrated to urban settlements, and it was found that
women had more stress than men. In another case, it was also seen that men
left their wives in rural areas and migrated to other cities alone. In this case,
the stress factor on the women increases and the tolerance level is low. Male
immigrants work overtime and work with low salaries in jobs that people
are less interested in, such as transporting chemical and sewage wastes
and transporting corpses. In these conditions, individuals feel that they are
discriminated, and this leads to depression (Guo et al., 2016).
Babaoğlu (2013), in studying the psychological problems of Turkish
immigrant women in Germany, reported that immigrant women who have
been in the country for more than 10 years carry a risk depression and
psychosomatic disorders.
Rieceken (2001), in his clinical study on immigrants in Germany,
shows that factors such as loneliness, inadequacy of the support systems,
heavy working conditions, and low wages generate depressive conditions
among immigrants.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .337
Conclusions
The migration process is multidimensional and has become an
important phenomenon in psychology and psychiatry and has also been
supported by national and international studies and multidisciplinary
research. It is known that there are irregular dynamics in communities
where there are already immigrants and asylum seekers. It is seen that
the immigrants migrate to the nearest country or region voluntarily
or compulsorily due to the violence-based events such as war/conflict,
which can change at any time, and the problems related to the level of
security and peace of the societies they belong to. Today, the importance
of psychosocial support professionals such as psychologists, psychiatrists
and social workers working with immigrants has increased considerably
due to the fact that migration is perceived as a significant crisis experience
338 . Candan Ozkan, Selami Varol Ulker
and the negative effects of this process on mental health are perceived as a
devastating human experience (Öztürk et al., 2019).
Accordingly, various awareness-raising activities should be
carried out in cooperation with public institutions, non-governmental
organizations and universities on the psychological support immigrants
need. Psychological support services for refugees and asylum seekers
should be expanded. Psychiatrists, clinical psychologists and academics
who are interested in immigration are mainly responsible for immigrants
who are forced to act against their will. It is known that this group is
one of the most exposed and risky groups in terms of diagnoses such as
dissociative disorders, somatic disorders, depression, schizophrenia, and
post-traumatic stress disorder (Bhugra et al., 2014).
In addition, the employment of Syrian health personnel initiated by
the Turkish Ministry of Health, within the framework of SIHHAT, should
be expanded and continued. In Turkey, there is a need for activities that
will increase the health literacy of asylum seekers in all fields, particularly
in the promotion and development of health. Asylum seekers who need
general and mental health services should be better guided. These trainings
can be made through various public services, as well as using printed
material prepared in Arabic such as brochures, posters, etc. that can be
displayed in migrant health centers.
Intervention methods to be adopted by countries are important to treat
the traumas of immigrants and asylum seekers resulting from migration,
as well as facilitating their adaptation to the society and culture that opens
their doors to them (Derin, 2020). Awareness-raising activities can be done
with public announcements on mental health both on television and radio
channels followed by refugees and asylum seekers. In addition, similar
messages can be sent to mobile phones. Awareness-raising activities
should explain what these psychological problems are and how to deal
with them. Policies and strategies followed by many States regarding
immigrants are planned and implemented on the basis of ensuring the
integration of the asylum seeker and immigrant group with the society as
soon as possible and providing them with psychological assistance under
appropriate structures (Derin, 2020). Immigrant Health Centers (GSM)
and Strengthened Migrant Health Centers (GGSM) can be used effectively
to reach refugees and asylum seekers who also need psychological health
services as primary and secondary health care services. Psychological
and social support services for refugees and asylum seekers should be
strengthened by employing psychologists and social workers in the care
centers. On the other hand, when the society accepts the immigration
policies, the immigrants and asylum seekers will be a part of that society
and, eventually, a more understanding social structure will be formed.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .339
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Kirmayer LJ, Narasiah L, Munoz M, ve ark. (2011) Common Mental Health Prob-
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Laban CJ, Gernaat HB, Komproe IH, Schreuders BA, De Jong JT. Impact of a
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Lee YM, Shin OJ, Lim MH (2012) The Psychological Problems of North Korean
Adolescent Refugees Living in South Korea. Psychiatr Invest, 9: 217-222.
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CHAPTER 17
THE EFFECT OF THE COVID-19
PANDEMIC ON THE BANKING
SECTOR
Zikrullah ZALAND1
Hatice İMAMOĞLU2
INTRODUCTION
This paper provides some basic historical information about the
banking sector and its evolution through time. It also investigates the
effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the banking sector. For the first
time, bank-established empires demanded a means to pay for foreign
products and services with a currency that was easily traded, and this is
when banking first developed. Over time, fragile, impermanent paper
bills gave way to coins of various shapes and materials. Roman Empire’s
banking industry; in this empire, skillful founders and managers arranged
banking inside of separate structures and separated it from such temples.
Like loan companies today, moneylenders benefited during that time;
however, the majority of legitimate traders for all of those government
expenditures used an established bank. And finally, European monarchs
understood the significance of the banking sector. Because banks operated
on the kindness, purpose, and specific laws and agreements of the ruling
authority, the royal powers started to accept loans, frequently under the
king’s circumstances, to make up for bad periods at the royal treasury. This
easy funding encouraged kings to invest in unnecessary extravagances,
expensive wars, and arms races with nearby kingdoms, which frequently
resulted in crushing debt. However, Adam Smith explained his inaccessible
hand theories and models when he created the first free-market bank in the
Empire of British in 1776. The government’s involvement in the banking
industry and the economy at huge was confined by money - lenders and
bankers due to their belief in a self-regulating economy. This competitive
banking and free-market capitalism found lucrative regions around the
world, where America would grow. So after that, merchant banks gain
power, and the national banking system handled the majority of these banks’
economic activities. Following that, in the 1800s, J.P. Morgan rescued the
banking sector, which was associated with the global financial center and
had significant political power in America. Through the revolutionary
use of trysts and a disregard for the Sherman antitrust act, he established
American Steel, AT&T, and International Harvester, along with duopolies
and approaches in the train and shipping sectors. During the Second
World War, the banking sector became modern, which saved the banking
sector from destruction. The war demanded financial strategies requiring
billions of dollars for banks and the Federal. This huge financing process
produced firms with huge credit demands, prompting banks to combine
to satisfy the demand. These massive banks had a global market. Despite
this, the banking industry during the 1980s, particularly the 1990s, when
the internet first appeared, was the most significant development time for
the banking industry’s digitalization system. The growing popularity of
smartphones and phone banking speeded up the trend still further. While
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .347
Loans.
Deposits
The income sources of traditional banks:
Net Interest income
The competitive environment of traditional banks
Restricted
The strategic focus of traditional banks:
Assets size and growth
Source: Introduction to banking by Casu, et al., (2006).
MODERN BANKS
The modern bank; is a modern banking institution, as well referred
to as an electronic banking structure, and is a windows-accessible, full-
featured level on-premise business offering fundamental data processing
approaches, item seize, imaging solutions, and information management
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .349
Modern Banking
The services and products: which is universal in modern bank
the following: loans, deposits, banking investments, securities, retirement benefits, and
insurance
The income bases of modern bank
LITERATURE REVIEW
The reason for conducting this investigation is to contribute to the
effect of the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic on the banking industry
by finding banking industry strategies employed throughout health
crises, to demonstrate in the preview research paper as literature the
different kinds of carrying out the study, services, and operations that
have been accomplished in the banking industry during the Coronavirus
crisis. In terms of 2008 and the 1930s, the banking industry was at the
center of the crisis, but each crisis is unique, and this crisis is associated
with health problems (Theo Notteboom, et al. 2021). Banks were viewed
as a contributing factor in the run-up to the crisis, but instead, they are
regarded as part of the solution. The condition of the coronavirus crisis
improves the financial sector’s significance, and the strategies adopted
by banks have an impact on the entire economy. The coronavirus has
altered the worldwide economy and had a major effect on the majority
350 . Kemal Özdemir
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Notteboom, T., Pallis, T., & Rodrigue, J. P. (2021). Disruptions and resilience in
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Stiroh, K. J. (2004). Diversification in banking: Is noninterest income the
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Xu, J., Haris, M., & Irfan, M. (2022). The impact of intellectual capital on bank
profitability during COVID-19: a comparison with China and Pakis-
tan. Complexity, 2022, 1-10.
CHAPTER 18
THE IMPACT OF DECLINE IN
MORTALITY RATE ON ECONOMIC
GROWTH IN THE LATE OTTOMAN
EMPIRE1
Bilal İSLAMOĞLU2
İdris AKKUZU3
1 This chapter was produced from a part of the master thesis written by
Bilal İslamoğlu at the Institute of Social Sciences of Maltepe University
2 Maltepe Üniversitesi, YL, [email protected], Orcid: 0009-0002-
4217-7368
3 Dr. Öğ. Üyesi, Tekirdağ Namık Kemal Üniversitesi, [email protected].
tr, Orcid:0000-0003-1069-9719
358 . Bilal İslamoğlu, İdris Akkuzu
Introduction
Many academicians see two problems in developing and least developed
countries, the first is a lack of capital and the second is the inability to
follow the technological developments made by Europe (Cıpolla, 1980; p.
128); (Kaku, 2011; p. 296). However, Pamuk states that population decline
due to continuous wars was the most important factor in the decline of
the Ottoman Empire in the last centuries (1984; p. 85). Moreover, Zürcher
compares the Ottomans with Russia, France, Germany, Great Britain and
Austria-Hungary in terms of income, population, coal production and
railways. He states that the Ottomans lagged behind European countries
in all of the above factors (2010; pp. 63-66).
In this research, we take Zürcher’s approach one step further and
defend the idea that the limiting factor in Ottoman economic growth,
which hindered coal production, the spread of railways, and the rise in
income, was neither the lack of capital nor the lack of technology transfer,
but the lack of labor.
Foreign Debt in the Industrialization Process
If the limiting factor in economic growth is a lack of capital, we should
expect that borrowing money should help to solve economic problems.
However, foreign debt in Ottomans did not help to solve economic
problems. Ottoman Empire took its first foreign debt in 1854 and went
bankrupt in 1875. In 1881, in exchange for forgiving 44% of the debt, the
Ottoman Public Debt Administration was established and thus part of its
income was diverted to pay the foreign debt (Tezel, 2002; pp. 81, 83).
This money was used to buy modern European weapons instead
of investing in long-term economic growth (Zürcher, 2010; p. 65). The
Ottoman Empire faced urgent military threats. Naturally, they spent the
money they borrowed to buy weapons. Shabbir notes that a country cannot
develop only with borrowed debt; the Ottomans learned this from their own
experience (2008; p. 16). Trying to solve economic problems by borrowing
foreign debt did not end well, but the Ottoman Empire continued to
struggle for its existence. Ottomans with foreign direct investment started
coal production and railway investment that enabled the economic growth
process.
Coal Production and Railways
The Ottoman Empire had plenty of lands. They hoped that there might
be coal mines. The Ottoman Navy showed coal samples to discharged
soldiers and asked them to look for these mines in their villages, and in this
way, coal was found in 1829. Production with modern technology started
through foreign direct investment from Britain in 1848 during the Crimean
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .359
War (Güney, 1966; pp. 106-107). Coal preserved its strategic importance
for a long time (Müftüoğlu and Taniş, 2010; p. 196). However, the coal
mines could not operate at full capacity due to the lack of both qualified
and unqualified workforce (Özeken, 1948, p. 70).
In 1867, the Ottoman Empire tried to overcome the shortage of
workforce with “involuntary servitude” (Makal, 2006; p. 72). Once
coal production started in Anatolia, Ottomans learned this technology,
but it was not able to utilize the full capacity of the mine because of
the shortage of workforce. Moreover, the reason for the failure of the
Ottomans to industrialize at the level of Germany or Japan was also the
lack of manpower. Even if Ottomans had been able to raise capital and
transfer technology to build factories, it would have been an impossible
task to find enough workforce for the mines. What if Ottoman Empire had
concentrated its population in one region or one city to have a workforce
for factories? Ottomans realized this possibility with Istanbul.
The primary reason for the stagnation of the population was the
high death rate of the Ottomans (Pamuk, 1984; p. 85); (Zürcher, 2010; p.
64). Obviously, only decreasing the death rate would solve this problem.
Müderrisoğlu states that with special permission from the Sultan, Istanbul
residents were not conscripted into the army (1988; p. 10). In this way,
the Ottoman Empire tried to prevent the population of Istanbul from
diminishing due to war casualties. In the first metropolitan area of
London, the concentration of population and industrialization happened
simultaneously with the construction of railways and waterways around
the city (Oren, 2002; p. 2, 6-7); (Stearns et. al., 2008; p. 631). Istanbul was
already located between sea routes. Further concentration of population in
Istanbul could be achieved only by connecting Istanbul with the Balkans,
Anatolia and Arabia by railways.
“The first railway line was opened in Britain in 1825” (Yıldırım, 2002;
p. 312). The first railway line in the Ottoman Empire was built in 1856 with
the help of foreign direct investment from Britain. Istanbul, like Rome
at the height of the Roman Empire, was a city with a huge population
that was the capital of the empire. It needed food in huge quantities to
feed its residents. The wheat was coming from overseas provinces such
as Egypt. However, when the Ottoman Empire lost its overseas provinces,
it became dependent on wheat imports from Europe and the USA despite
having immense agricultural production capacity in Central Anatolia,
which the Ottomans could not utilize due to high transportation costs. In
1893, the Baghdad railway line was built with German direct investment
so that the Ottomans could feed the population of Istanbul with food from
central Anatolia (Ortaylı, 2006; pp. 143-144); (McEvedy, 2004; p. 92);
(Boratav, 2013; p. 28). The Ottomans crowned this process with the Hejaz
360 . Bilal İslamoğlu, İdris Akkuzu
Railway. The most important feature of the Hejaz Railway was that it was
completed without the use of foreign capital. Moreover, Turkish and foreign
engineers worked together for its construction. Furthermore, the shortage
of manpower was overcome by hiring one thousand five hundred of Italian
unqualified workers and soldiers. The last part of the Hejaz Railway was
completed by Turkish engineers and workers in 1908 (Aksay, 1999; pp. 12-
13); (Hülagü, 2008; p. 92); (Gülsoy, 1994; pp. 126, 141); (Yıldırım, 2002; p.
313); (Ortaylı, 2006; pp. 143-144).
Ottomans had rapid economic growth at that time (Pamuk, 1984; p.
79-80); (Ortaylı, 2006; p. 144). Unfortunately, the only challenge Ottoman
Empire faced was not Industrial Revolution. Another issue was that most
of Asia and Africa was colonized by European Powers and their next target
was the Ottoman Empire (Öke, 1983; p. 130).
Population Development
Gallup and Sachs draw attention to the role of a country’s geography
in high mortality rates from a malaria perspective. According to this
perspective, countries with tropical climates lose the battle against
malaria. Widespread malaria increases mortality and slows economic
growth (1998; pp. 1-2).
The most important effect of the industrial revolution in Europe
was to reduce mortality, which allowed rapid population growth. Japan
experienced the same process in its industrialization. Japan finally
established its nation-state after a hundred years of civil war, and
between 1603-1867, it isolated itself from the rest of the world, where its
main goal was political stability (Vansteenburg, 2006; p. 1). This era of
political stability decreased the death rate, so the population increased
and the economy grew rapidly (Boserup, 1965; p.50). However, Ottoman
Empire, unlike Japan, an archipelago far away from Europe, was next to
the European imperial powers. Ottomans had many wars with European
powers to protect its territorial integrity, which increased the death rate,
thus, did not allow population increase and economic growth.
In the 1850s, the Ottoman Empire had more population than Austria-
Hungary and Great Britain, and less population than France, Germany, and
Russia. While in 1901, it had the lowest population among these countries
(Zürcher, 2010; p. 64); (McEvedy, 2003; p. 9). In the Ottoman Empire,
continuous wars were the reason for the decline in average life expectancy.
In 1913, the average life expectancy was only 30 years (Pamuk, 2007;
p. 267). Because of the low average life expectancy, economic growth
through increased productivity was not possible. Chakraborty states that
this situation reduces the returns on investment in education (2003; p. 128).
Under these circumstances, even if Ottomans had been able to increase
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .361
1983; p. 128). It meant the end of the Ottomans on paper, just like Poland.
Under these circumstances, the neutral Ottoman Empire would have a
dark future after the First World War.
The Ottomans took this condition into consideration and adopted a
balancing policy. The main goal of this policy was to prevent Ottoman
Empire from becoming like Poland. Finally, the Ottomans achieved their
first goal. They lost their empire but managed to build a nation out of
regions with dominant ethnic Turks, and in a large part of these lands,
independence was protected uninterruptedly.
Poland won its independence, but both its borders and its regime
were decided by the winners of the Second World War. Part of Poland was
annexed by Russia and part of Germany was given to Poland. Germans
living in the newly created Poland were forced to migrate to Germany,
and Poles living in the land annexed by Russia were forced to migrate
to Poland (Pavlovic´, 2008; pp. 44-45). On the other hand, the only loss
for modern Turkey was Mosul in Iraq, which had a significant Turkish
population (Değerli, 2007; p. 138).
The second important strategy was the integration of immigrants into
society. There was a continuous and dense Muslim migration from the
lands lost by the Ottoman Empire to the remaining part of the empire
(Kazgan 1974, cited by Pamuk, 1984; p. 190). Integration policies were
implemented in parallel with railway investments. Migrants settled along
the nearby railway line and increased agricultural production in these
regions (Ortaylı, 2006; p. 144). In this way, the problem of labor shortage
in agriculture was partially solved.
Genç summarizes three important characteristics of the Ottoman
Empire: low productivity, difficult and expensive transportation, and
limited production for the market economy (2000; p. 50). After the 1850s,
with the increase in transportation, the Ottoman Empire transformed itself
and had rapid economic growth. The Ottomans closely followed European
technological development, especially in railways and coal production.
Moreover, its agricultural production and export increased rapidly (Pamuk,
1984; pp. 79-80). The biggest problem of the shortage of workforce in both
coal and agricultural production fell during the peace period, thanks to
low death rates (Zürcher, 2010; p. 64).
The lack of hygiene in moving armies and the economic damage of
war cause the spread of epidemics (Dağlar, 2008; p. xi). Epidemics, if they
are widespread, could cause a large decrease in the total population. Before
the industrial revolution, the biggest cause of death was an epidemic (Riley,
2008; p. 23). After the industrial revolution, there were huge improvements
against the epidemic fight. This provided a stable increase in the number of
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .363
both workers and consumers. Even developing countries like the Ottomans
took advantage of this development. Increased demand in industrialized
countries increased production and exports in the Ottoman Empire, which
had strong economic ties with Europe. Unfortunately, wars reversed these
developments. “The population of Turkey decreased from 17 million in
1914 to 13 million in 1924” (Cem, 1995, Eldem 1970, cited by Pamuk, 2007;
p. 275). Not only war, but also epidemics, harsh climate, and war-induced
famine caused huge human losses.
Conclusion
When the Industrial Revolution began in 1800, not all nations were
in the same condition. Poland was missing from the map. At a time
when nationalist ideas were spreading, Ottomans were trying to keep an
empire together. Under these circumstances, the Ottomans identified their
priorities. It defended itself against threats to its territorial integrity with
a policy of balance. Moreover, the Ottoman Empire prevented Istanbul’s
dependence on food imports by building the Baghdad Railway, and
brought Muslim migrants to Anatolia from the Caucasus and the Balkans,
from territories that the Ottoman Empire had lost, thus increasing the
population and production in Anatolia. In addition to all this, it achieved
technology and capital transfer in many sectors through foreign direct
investment (Ortaylı, 2006; p. 144); (Armaoğlu, 1987; p. 43); (Güney, 1966;
p. 107); (Pavlovic´, 2008; p. 41).
The Ottomans followed the technological developments in the West
in the two areas we have closely examined, railways and coal mines.
Ottomans did not have huge capital accumulation, but the problem with
increasing production in agriculture and coal mine was a shortage of
workforce. Similarly, the low population density was the reason for the
limiting factor in the spread of railways.
Ottoman historians, Zürcher and Pamuk state that continuous wars
in the Ottoman Empire did not allow any increase in population. Finally,
the curtain of catastrophe knitted by high death rates ended a period in
Anatolia.
364 . Bilal İslamoğlu, İdris Akkuzu
REFERENCES
McEvedy C. (2003), Yakınçağ Tarih Atlası, (A. Anadol, Çev.), İstanbul: Sabancı
Üniversitesi
Mcevedy C. (2004), İlkçağ Tarih Atlası, (A. Anadol, Çev.), İstanbul: Sabancı Üni-
versitesi
Müderrisoğlu A. (1988), Sarıkamış Dramı, İstanbul: Kastaş A.Ş. Yayınları
Müftüoğlu B. G. & Taniş B. (2010), 21. yüzyılda Zonguldak Maden İşletmele-
rinde Çalışma Hayatı: Bir Kesit-Tek Gerçek, 11. Ulusal Sosyal Bilimler
Kongresi, December 9-11, Ankara
Öke M. K. (1983), İngiliz Casusu Prof. Arminius Vambery’nin Gizli Raporlarında
II. Abdulhamit ve Dönemi, İstanbul: Üçdal Neşriyat
Oren H. (2002), The Early History of British Railroads, Erişim Tarihi: 12.8. 2015;
http://www.orenstransitpage.com/otplondonpics/history.pdf.
Ortaylı İ. (2006), Osmanlı İmparatorluğu’nda Alman Nüfuzu, İstanbul: Alkım Ya-
yınevi
Özeken A. A. (1948), Türkiye’de Sanayi İşçileri, Sosyal Siyaset Konferansları
Dergisi, 1: 56-81
Pamuk Ş. (1984), Osmanlı Ekonomisi ve Dünya Kapitalizmi 1820-1913, Ankara:
Yurt Yayınları
Pamuk Ş. (2007), Economic Change in Twentieth Century Turkey: Is the Glass
More Than Half Full?, in The Cambridge History of Turkey, Turkey in the
Modern World Vol 4, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 266-300.
Pavlovic´ Z. (2008), Poland, Chelsea House, New York
Riley J. C. (2008), Low Income, Social Growth, and Good Health: A History of
Twelve Countries, University of California Press,
Shabbir S. (2013), Does External Debt Affect Economic Growth: Evidence from
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Stearns P. N. & Adas M. & Schwartz S. B. & Gilbert M. J. (2008), World Civiliza-
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Tezel Y. S. (2002), Cumhuriyet Döneminin İktisadi Tarihi 1923-1950, İstanbul:
Tarih Vakfı Yurt Yayınları,
UN Report (2014), The World at Six Billion, http://www.un.org/esa/population/
publications/sixbillion/sixbilpart1.pdf, date of access: May, 2014
Vansteenburgh M. (2006), Eda Period Japon: 250 years of Peace, https://www.
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access: 02.01.2023
Yıldırım İ. (2002), Osmanlı Demiryolu Politikasına Bir Bakış, Fırat Üniversitesi
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toman Empire To Atatürk’s Turkey, New Yok: I.B.Tauris & Co Ltd.
CHAPTER 19
SHORT-TERM METRIC IN TV
ADVERTISEMENTS: AN EXPERIMENTAL
APPLICATION1
1 In this study, the part of conceptual framework was produced from the
doctoral thesis titled “’Tüketici Davranışı Nörolojisi: Nöroekonomi-EEG
Yöntemiyle Nöromarketing Uygulaması / Neurology of Consumer Behavior:
Neuromarketing Application with Neuroeconomics-EEG Method”, which was
carried out at Selçuk University, Institute of Social Sciences and published as
a book by Çizgi Bookstore.
2 Assoc. Prof. Dr., Selçuk University, Konya, Türkiye. E – mail: fnyorgancilar@
gmail.com
ORCID ID: 0000-0002-0016-9899
368 . Fatma Nur Yorgancılar Atatoprak
gives the meaning of those read and spoken as basic function. In related to
hearing center in temporal lobe, emotional behavior and memory, audial
interpretation and speaking and memory patterns also occur in this lobe
taking place in the lower part of the brain. In addition, this lobe, due to the
fact that it is a place, in which there is primary audial cortex, is important
in interpreting the voices we hear and language. Again, due to the fact that
hippocampus takes place in temporal lobe, this section of the brain is the
place, where the sorts of memory are brought together.
Occipital lobe (O1, 02) is a part making connection with the centers
of brainstem and enabling the eye to be focused on the point to be paid
attention, and where facial recognition function actualizes via seeing
function.
Frontal lobe (AF3, AF4, F3, F4, F7, F8):. Frontal lobe forming
one-third of total cortex takes place in front of Sulcus Centralis and in
upper part of Sulcus Lateralis. Frontal lobe is a cerebral center arranging
the functions such as basic motor, speaking center, effective functions
based on experiences –learning, ritualistic behavior, foresight, kindness,
personality development, processing and maturing thought. Control of all
voluntary muscles takes place in frontal lobe.
Frontal eye field, independently from seeing sense, controls voluntary
movements of the eyes. Broca area, thanks to its connection with primary
motor field, plays role shaping words. Sending proper impulses to the
mouth, tongue, soft palate and inhalation muscles, it forms motor speaking
function. This lobe taking place in the frontal part of the brain is also
related to reasoning, motor skills, high level cognitive abilities, and
speaking language. In the back part of the frontal lobe, motor cortex lies
down. This area of the brain receives the information coming from the
various lobes from the brain and utilizes this information to complete body
movement.
Prefrontal lobe (FC5, FC6): This part that developed well in humans
covers the areas 9,10, 12, 46 of Brodman. This part of the cortex, which
more evolved phylogenetically, has much more afferent and efferent
connections with thalamus, limbic system, hypothalamus and the other
sections of cortex. Planning and starting such as motor movements
connotation, abstract thinking, integration of idea activities, foresight,
memory, ability to make decision, mature thinking, supplementary motor
areas form as a result of arranging emotional reactions according to the
conditions. As a result, these are the areas, in which the complex responses
such as frenzy, calmness, sorrow, happiness, friendship, bad temper in a
person emerges. Automated responses (such as blood pressure , variation
in inhalation rate) in emotional states are provided by the ways, projected
370 . Fatma Nur Yorgancılar Atatoprak
In the range of 2nd and 4th seconds, In nightfall, in a foggy and scaring
atmosphere, in front of the bushes, a mysterious man looking at a three-
storey house is seen. The light reflecting from the third floor of the house
stands out foggy weather. It is seen that the entrance door of the house is
open.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .373
In 43rd and 44th seconds, along with the fact that the priest hesitates
to open the door in indecisiveness, still continuing suspense music cause
decreases of 3 each units. In 46th second, that the priest kisses the cross and
lowers to the floor cause an increase of 2 units.
In 49th second, in company with the suspense music, that the priest
still stay indecisive about opening the door leads to a decrease of 2 units. In
52nd and 54th seconds, along with opening the door, the shadow of the priest
appears, and a painting in the room stands out. In this case, a decrease of
3 units are experienced.
In 55th second, increase in the intensity of suspense music causes an
increase of 3 units. In 57th and 58th seconds, suspense music quickly ends,
and attention is attracted to the bed. Along with opening the door, the
pages of the book on the nightstand are begun to be opened one by one in
view of the wind. As a result of this case, decrease of 3 units occurs.
At the beginning of 59th second, that a totally decrease of 9 units is
remarkable. It is observed that the cause of this is that the sound of wind
reflects a scaring atmosphere. In 60th second, when the priest appears
with his beetle brow and bemusedly, a decrease of 5 units occurs. In 62nd
second, along with the fact that the priest raises his head, that he sees the
girl, whose arms are spread, whose hairs are flown to the front, who has
indistinct face and wears nightclothes, and who exposed to the devil in the
way attached to the wall as in the film “Exorscict” causes a decrease of 2
units.
At the beginning of 63rd second, the priest seeing the girl exposed to
the devil opens his mouth in fear. This case causes an increase of 2 units.
The range in 64th and 67th seconds are steadily proceeding. In the range of
68th and 70th seconds, decreases of 2 each units.
In 73rd second, along with the fact that the third floor of the house
slowly appears, a decrease of 4 units is experienced. In 74th second, along
with the fact that the image becomes clear, somebody in the upper floor of
the house appears to sweep the room by means of vacuum cleaner. In this
case, an decrease of 3 units occurs.
In 76th second, when it is seen that the aged woman sweeps the room
with a great pleasure in company with the foreign music, taking the
vacuum cleaner forwardly and backwardly, a decrease of 2 units more
is experienced. In 77th second, along with the fact that the aged woman,
whose face is not full clearly seen from the side profile continues to sweep
the room with a pleasure in company with the music, a decrease of 3 units
more experienced.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .375
At the beginning of 78th second, along with the fact that the face
expression of the aged woman, whose face appears, reflects her happiness,
an increase of 5 units is experienced. 79th second, when the aged woman
sweeps the room with a great pleasure and accompanies with the playing
song, causes an increase of 6 units. In 80th second, the aged woman go
out from the angle of objective and the edge part of the vacuum cleaner
appears. In this case, an increase of 9 units more occurs.
In 81st second, as a result of that the edge of vacuum cleaner goes
forwardly and backwardly, and that the brand of vacuum cleaner attracts
attention, an increase of 4 units is seen. In 82nd second, in fact, in company
with the music, along with understanding that the aged woman sweeping
the room with a great pleasure pulls upward the girl in lower floor, who
screams as if she exposed to devil, thanks to the suction power of vacuum
cleaner, an increase of 4 units occurs.
In the range of 86th and 88th seconds, a decrease of 5 units is seen. The
cause of this decrease is attributed to that the voice of devil appears in
company with the music and writing, that the writing “you know when the
devil it is” is also a reflected state of the girl hung on ceiling as a result of
suction power of vacuum cleaner, and soon after that the brand of vacuum
cleaner appears. While an increase is seen in the range of seconds specified
in the scores of confusion, in short-term score variations, a decrease is
observed. At the beginning of 89th second, that the plug of vacuum cleaner
is plugged to the triple socket attracts attention.
This case leads to a decrease of 5 units. In 90th second, following that
the plug of vacuum cleaner is removed from the socket, along with the fact
that the sound of falling comes, a decrease of 3 units occurs. In 91st and
92nd second, along with the fact that black display appears, a decrease of
2 units occurs.
AS A RESULT…
In this study, using the EEG method; The mental change processes of
the people participating in the experiment in the face of the TV commercial
were examined. At the end of the commercial, which resembles a horror
movie and contains religious elements, there are elements that make you
smile and surprise.
To evaluate in general; Fear, curiosity and music are very important
on people’s short-term memory metric.
On the other hand, it would be appropriate to state that religious
themes are not effective at the desired level.
376 . Fatma Nur Yorgancılar Atatoprak
REFERENCES
1. INTRODUCTION
The rapid environmental changes and increasing competition caused by
globalization make it difficult for businesses to survive. At this point, innovation
is no longer a luxury for businesses, on the contrary, it becomes a necessity
(Pelenk, 2016: 4). Innovation refers to both a process and an outcome. It is
possible for businesses to increase their productivity by gaining competence
in innovation. In this context, innovation is transforming new ideas into
value-creating outputs. In a way, it is combining creativity with commercial
mastery (Emiroğlu, 2018, p. 2). Innovation can happen in the company’s
products or services. Product innovation refers to taking existing products
to the next level (incremental innovation) or introducing a completely new
product (radical innovation) (Kırım, 2006 & Durna, 2002). In this context, the
business can add different features to its existing product or service or create
original new products or services that were not previously in the market. On
the other hand, environmental business conditions, economic uncertainties,
competition, increasing customer expectations, conscious consumers have
made it necessary for businesses to adapt to innovation and change in terms of
quality and functionality of products and services.
Innovation was first cited by the economist and political scientist
Joseph Schumpeter (1934) as the driving force of development and defined
it as “the introduction of a product that customers do not know yet, or a
new feature of an existing product; the introduction of a new production
method; opening of a new market, finding a new source for the supply of
raw materials or semi-finished products, and having a new organization of
an industry” (Emiroğlu, 2018: 4). In addition, innovation is a factor that
increases product and service quality and functionality. However, many
businesses do not realize or are yet to realize the importance of innovation.
Businesses that are aware of innovation successfully implement this change
in product, service, marketing, financial or organizational and reflect it on
company performance.
According to OECD literature, innovation plays a central role in
the growth of productivity and production. Thanks to the faster flow of
information and technological advances, knowledge has become the main
driver of economic growth and innovation. Along with the importance of
knowledge, the pioneer of innovation, J. Schumpeter has largely formed the
theories of innovation. In this context, economic development takes place
through creative destruction, a dynamic process where “new technology
replaces old one”. According to Schumpeter (1934), radical innovations
create significant destructive changes, on the other hand, incremental
(gradual-incremental) innovations move the change process forward (Oslo
Guide, 2005: 33). However, the trigger, driver and complement of the
innovation process is the leader.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .379
A leader is the person who creates awareness for innovation, locks all
other managers and employees to a common goal, ensures that the roadmap
in the business plan is drawn with the contribution of everyone, allocates the
necessary resources and creates an atmosphere that encourages innovation
(Emiroğlu, 2018: 64-65). Especially in uncertain sector conditions, the
enterprise needs a leader-manager who takes effective decisions and gives
confidence in line with its goals and objectives. On the other hand, it is
only possible for the business to adapt to change by producing innovative
products and services. However, innovation is a risky and expensive
process with a high success rate. In this process, it is important to provide
both physical (machine-equipment, technological infrastructure, R&D,
finance, etc.) and motivational support to employees. In this context,
it is believed that organizational support perceived by employees is a
trade-off between the organization and employees. Therefore, perceived
organizational support is the belief to what extent the organization values
the employee’s contribution to the organization and the extent to which
the organization attaches importance to the employee’s welfare (Ahmed
& Nawaz, 2015: 867-868). In order for the employee to contribute to the
business, the leader must recognize and evaluate the employee’s talent,
motivate the employee and direct him to the right job. Because leaders
are the biggest force behind successful business. The leader and his
team provide the necessary dynamics to initiate and maintain change
with strategic business plans. Leadership in innovation is the process of
directing and coordinating the actions of team members to achieve goals.
Therefore, the leader has a significant influence on the behavior of the
individual in the team. At this point, the leader makes the employees
willing to do the job beyond giving orders (Göktepe, 2004: 5-4). However,
the leader must have some characteristics in terms of effective thinking
and decision making. For example, the leader must be not only a strategic
planner but also a creative strategic thinker. Because plans, goals, tactics
and actions vary depending on the internal and external environment
or other possibilities. However, the purpose of strategic thinking is to
maintain a sense of purpose and directionality in the ups and downs of
institutional demands. Thinking strategically is done by focusing on the
values, vision and mission of the organization. In other words, this way of
thinking is about maintaining the internal order in the seeming disorder
of organizational life (Bouhali et al., 2015: 78). In this context, as a result
of sectoral difficulties, economic crises, changes in customer demand, and
chaos, the strategic leader ensures the stable progress of the enterprise and
the preservation of its internal order.
Strategic leadership studies have gained weight since the mid-1980s.
Strategic leadership focuses on managers with overall responsibility for
380 . Saadet Ela Pelenk
aware of the new product and service process in terms of its importance
and results, and the effect of this process on success when organized with
organizational support.
2. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
2.1. Strategic Leadership
Leadership is organizing a group of people to achieve a common goal.
In this social impact process, a person can get the help and support of
his colleagues to fulfill a common task (Slimane, 2015: 218). In order for
managers to be qualified as a strategic leader, they must have basic qualities
such as being able to manage strategic change, making strategic decisions
in an environment of uncertainty, being innovative, having strategic
flexibility, and being able to lead in a crisis environment (Akgemci, 2015:
559). In this context, it is important for the strategic leader to adapt the
change to the business by observing and internalizing it.
Leadership perception combines with values to form the basis for
strategic choice. Values are treated as elements that can enter into a strategic
choice while influencing perceptions. At this point, the heterogeneity
of management will eliminate limited production and evaluation. In the
related model, psychological and observable top management features
such as product innovation, reaction time, etc. is the precursor of strategic
choices. In addition, these features are shown as factors that can affect the
profitability, profitability variation, development and performance of the
enterprise (Hambrick & Mason, 1984: 195-198). In this context, strategic
leadership is a set of activities related to the development and management
of the organization as a whole to reflect long-term policies (Akgemci, 2015:
556), while focusing on human, structure and social capital capabilities
to respond to opportunities and threats, it is a roadmap that develops the
business by making sense of chaos and uncertainty. (Akgemci, 2015:
557). Therefore, the strategic leader evaluates the current resource of the
organization and also plans the future business success. The ability of the
strategic leader to be a guide that improves the business by making sense
of the uncertainty is an ability to support innovation. Strategic leaders
differ from traditional leaders with their ability to design the future and
turn crisis into opportunity.
The innovation manager focuses on the target, recognizes
opportunities before anyone else and comes up with striking ideas, has
high self-confidence and self-discipline, attaches importance to quality
communication and cooperation, is flexible and constructive in adapting
to change, manages risk well by creating an innovation climate, believes
and empowers the employee. Managers use the competencies of inquiry,
observation, networking, experimentation, and association. At this point,
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .383
profit margin? What basic form should our strategies take? The leader
should ask definite questions and get clear answers (Emiroğlu, 2018: 85-
87).
According to Lightfoot and Gebauer (2011), businesses implementing
an after-sales service strategy should focus on a narrow set of determinants
for service innovations. In addition, customer needs compliance, product
functionality and market competitiveness play an incremental role in after-
sales service. In the related study, it has been determined that innovation
culture and managers are among the antecedents that affect innovation
success. Accordingly, managers need to be open and creative, creating
a culture of innovation that encourages current norms to go beyond
technical boundaries. Team culture is necessary for the information
sharing behavior of the employees and the performance of the business
in the service delivery process and in the new service that meets the
demands of the customers (Yurt, 2021: 72). In the research conducted with
120 employees of innovative enterprises, it was determined that as the
applications for knowledge management increased, business innovation
increased (Pelenk, 2018: 12). Hu et al. (2008: 41) found a significant and
strong relationship between knowledge sharing, team culture and service
innovation in their research with 621 people working in an international
tourist hotel. In this context, in order to achieve high service innovation
performance, organizations first need to develop knowledge sharing
behaviors and a better team culture. Effective teams for innovation can be
established by an expert and idealistic manager.
Managers can create a culture of innovation by taking risks, breaking
resistance to change, and encouraging their employees to support new idea
generation. In the study conducted with 101 middle and senior managers,
the relationship between individual innovativeness and job satisfaction
was investigated. As a result of the research, it has been determined
that opinion leadership and risk taking from individual innovativeness
dimensions increase job satisfaction, and resistance to change reduces
job satisfaction of managers. In this context, managers can do their jobs
more efficiently as they lead innovation, take risks and resist change. The
satisfaction of the managers with their job will also reflect on the motivation
of the employees (Pelenk, 2019: 1149). In another study conducted with 126
managers working in medium-sized enterprises, it was determined that the
most important management style that affects the innovation performance
of the enterprise is charismatic and strategic management, and the variable
that has the highest positive effect on strategic management is competitive
advantage.
Along with strategic management and perceived organizational
support, employee behavior is important in terms of innovation speed
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .387
and effectiveness. The innovative behavior of the employees can affect the
perception and way of working even in situations of economic crisis and
dismissal. As a result of Pelenk’s (2020: 214) study with 125 personnel
working in a large-scale automobile factory, the moderator role of innovative
behavior in the relationship between job insecurity and task performance
was determined. At this point, innovative behavior with the support of
the leader can also increase task performance towards innovation. But
leaders’ rationality is limited because the leader’s strategic thinking
is a mix of rationality and insight. Therefore, strategic thinking should
explore both rationality and intuition that can support business innovation
(Calabrese & Costa, 2015: 24). In this context, innovation consists of a
strategic combination of all resources in order to bring competitiveness to
the business.
In the study conducted with 102 managers working in manufacturing
companies in terms of competitive strategies, which is a fundamental
issue in strategic management, it was determined that competitive
strategy is the variable that determines product quality. In this context,
competitive strategy can affect product quality. In the related study, it
has been determined that the strategy of differentiation from competitive
strategies has a positive and significant effect on product quality, and
the cost leadership strategy has a regulatory effect. Accordingly, as cost
leadership increases, product quality also increases (Prajogo, 2007: 76-78).
Cusumano et al. (2015: 560-564) evaluated the competitive strategies of
manufacturing companies according to service. In the related article, an
example of Xerox company that has been applying the same service policy
since 1960 is given. Xerox company does not hold real users responsible for
maintenance, repair, insurance, rental costs. In this respect, the company
has broader service agreements for the rental of basic computers and office
machines. Therefore, the investment made in the service determines the
position of the product in the market. In this context, the quality and
diversity of the service can give businesses a competitive advantage.
In addition, it can be stated that strategic leaders and managers turn to
product and service innovation to gain competitive advantage and ensure
the permanence of innovation with strategic decisions.
Makri and Scandura (2010: 83), in their study investigating the effect
of creative CEO leadership on innovation in high-tech companies, found
that creative and operational leadership behaviors were associated with
innovation quality, but creative leadership behaviors were more effective
in using science in innovation. At this point, innovation is a planned and
scientific process under the coordination of the leader and is based on
teamwork.
388 . Saadet Ela Pelenk
managers may not take this risk for their business. For this reason, a good
strategy should be applied in the implementation of an innovative idea.
The concepts of strategy and innovation intersect at the point of predicting
the future and forward-looking decisions. Strategic leaders are a guiding
and motivating factor for employees to adopt the aim of innovation and
work efficiently. On the other hand, the innovation success of any business
cannot be realized without support. Therefore, perceived organizational
support can provide the necessary resources to employees in this difficult
process. The moderator effect of organizational support has been examined
in various studies in the literature. Shehzad, Zhang, Alam, Cao, Boamah
and Ahmad (2022) showed that perceived organizational support improves
the effects of collective culture on knowledge management processes
and has a moderator effect. In the study of Cheng and Yi (2018), with
355 hotel employees, the moderating effect of perceived organizational
support on the relationship between job resourcefulness, burnout and job
satisfaction was determined. Qi et al. (2019: 9), identified the mediating
role of organizational support in the effect of inclusive leadership on the
innovative behavior of employees. When employees perceive that ideas,
technologies and processes are more covered by leaders in the study,
they feel more valuable and important, and thus their innovative behavior
increases. In a way, the leader’s appreciation of employees, valuing their
ideas and increasing their participation in the work positively affect
innovation. Based on the literature, the third and fourth hypotheses of the
research are as follows:
H3: Perceived organizational support has a moderator role in the effect
of strategic leadership on product innovation.
H4: Perceived organizational support has a moderator role in the effect
of strategic leadership on service innovation.
Based on the research hypotheses, the model of the research is shown
in Figure 1:
3.METHOD
3.1. Scales of the Research
The first part of the questionnaire consists of questions about gender,
education, position, marital status and age to measure demographic infor
mation. 283 people participated in the survey. 45% of the participants
(127 people) are women and 55% (156 people) of the participants are men.
65% of the participants (184 people) have a university graduate.15% of
the participants (42 people) have a master’s degree. 10% (28 people) of the
participants are doctoral graduates. The remaining participants (10% of the
participants) are vocational high school graduates. 55% of the participants
(156 people) consist of middle and senior employees. 40% (113 people) of
the remaining participants are civil servants. 5% of the participants are
security personnel. 62% of the participants (175 people) are married. The
average age of the participants is 36.
In the second part of the questionnaire, a questionnaire consisting of
twenty-eight questions was used to measure the perception of strategic
leadership, product innovation, service innovation and perceived
organizational support. In order to measure strategic leadership in the
survey, the strategic leadership scale consisting of 10 questions used
by Ergen (2011) was used. The Cronbach Alpha coefficient of the scale
was determined as 0.62. One of the scale questions is “I encourage my
subordinates to participate in decision making”. In this study, the Cronbach
Alpha coefficient of the strategic leadership scale was determined as 0.97.
In order to measure product innovation in the questionnaire, the product
innovation scale consisting of 5 items and one dimension used by Guijarro
(2001), Vila and Kuster (2007) was used. The Cronbach Alpha coefficient of
the scale was determined as 0.75. One of the scale questions is “The product
has perceived technological sophistication”. In this study, the Cronbach Alpha
coefficient of product innovation is 0.94. The 5-item service innovation scale
used by Avlonitis et al.(2001), Hsu et al. (2018) in their studies was used to
measure service innovation in the survey. The Cronbach Alpha coefficient
of the scale was determined as 0.88. One of the scale questions is “There
are extended service lines available”. In this study, the Cronbach Alpha
coefficient of service innovation is 0.970. Eisenberger et al.’s (1986) perceived
organizational support scale, consisting of 8 items and one dimension, was
used to measure perceived organizational support in the questionnaire. The
Cronbach Alpha coefficient of the scale was determined as 0.87. One of the
scale questions is “The organization is proud of my achievements at work”.
The Cronbach Alpha coefficient of perceived organizational support in this
study was 0.972. A 5-point Likert scale was used in the study, and the answers
were scored from strongly disagree (1) to strongly agree (5).
392 . Saadet Ela Pelenk
AUTHORS’ CONTRIBUTIONS:
All processes including conceptualization, original draft writing,
editing, data collection, methodology, formal analysis, final approval and
accountability were done by the corresponding author.
International Academic Research and Reviews in Social, Human and Administrative Sciences .403
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