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CO2B Discrete Probability Distribution

This document discusses probability and statistics concepts related to discrete random variables including defining discrete and continuous random variables, constructing probability distributions, and calculating mean and variance. Key topics covered include listing possible values of a discrete random variable, illustrating discrete probability distributions and their properties, and computing probabilities and measures of central tendency and variation for discrete random variables.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
30 views

CO2B Discrete Probability Distribution

This document discusses probability and statistics concepts related to discrete random variables including defining discrete and continuous random variables, constructing probability distributions, and calculating mean and variance. Key topics covered include listing possible values of a discrete random variable, illustrating discrete probability distributions and their properties, and computing probabilities and measures of central tendency and variation for discrete random variables.

Uploaded by

RFS
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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MATH03

Statistics and Probability


DISCRETE PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTION
COURSE OUTCOME 2
Objectives
At the end of the lesson, the student should be able to :
• List the possible values of a discrete random variable.
• Illustrate discrete probability distribution and its properties.
• Compute probabilities corresponding to a given discrete random variable.
• Calculate the mean and variance of a discrete random variable

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CO2 Topics
Random Variables and Probability Distributions
Definition of terms
Discrete Random
Variables

Discrete Probability Distribution and its Properties


Probability Mass Function of a Discrete Random Variable and its
Histogram
Some Discrete Probability Distributions (Binomial, Poisson,
Hypergeometric Distributions)

Laws of Expected Value and Variance

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Applications involving Mean and Variance of Discrete Probability
Distributions

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Randomness plays dominant role in our lives. Most things happen
randomly. For example, consider the following events: getting
involved in an accident, losing a job, having COVID case in the whole
world, who will win in a basketball game? Who would have thought
that this pandemic will happen to us? All of these events are uncertain,
and they happen randomly to people.

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Random Variable
A random variable is a variable whose value is determined by the outcome
of a random experiment. It is a function that assigns a real number to each
outcome in the sample space of a random experiment.

Notation
• Uppercase letter such as X
• The measured value is denoted by a lowercase letter such as
x = 70 milliamperes
• For multiple values, subscripts are used (x1, x2, x3, …)

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Discrete Random Variable vs
Continuous Random Variable
A random variable that assumes countable values is called a discrete
random variable.
Example: Number of active COVID patients in Metro Manila, Number of
students who take the Basic Statistics exam

A random variable that can assume any value contained in one or more
intervals is called a continuous random variable.
Example: The length of the book cover , the distance travelled from
home to school

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Exercises:

Classify each of the following random variables as discrete or


continuous.
1. The regular price of a bicycle
2. The number of books in the main library
3. The time left for a student to answer the test
4. The number of typographical errors in a rough draft of a book
5. The number of cars passing through EDSA Roadway everyday

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Exercises:
Classify each of the following random variables as discrete or
continuous.
1. The regular price of a bicycle Continuous
2. The number of books in the main library Discrete
3. The time left for a student to answer the test Continuous
4. The number of typographical errors in a rough draft of a Discrete
book Discrete
5. The number of cars passing through EDSA Roadway everyday

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Characteristics of a Probability Distribution
These are the characteristics of a Probability Distribution:

1. Each probability listed in the P(x) column is in the range zero to 1.0, inclusive.

0 ≤ 𝑃𝑥 ≤ 1; 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑒𝑎𝑐ℎ 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑥

2. The sum of all the probabilities listed in the P(x) column is 1.0.

෍ 𝑃𝑥 =1

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X 0 5 10 15 20
A
P(X) 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5

VALID PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION

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X 0 2 4 6
B
P(X) -1. 0 1. 5 0. 3 0. 2

INVALID PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION

0 ≤ 𝑃(𝑋) ≤ 1
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X 2 3 7
C
P(X) 0. 5 0. 3 0. 4

INVALID PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION

෍ 𝑃𝑋 =1
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Example 1
Use the probability distribution listed in the given table, determine the
requested probabilities.
x ─2 ─1 0 1 2
P(x) 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1

a. 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2)
b. 𝑃(𝑥 > −2)
c. 𝑃(−1 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 1)
d. 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ −1 𝑜𝑟 𝑥 = 2)

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Example 1a
Use the probability distribution listed in the given table, determine the
requested probabilities.
x ─2 ─1 0 1 2
P(x) 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1

a. 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2)
= 𝑃 𝑋 = −2 + 𝑃 𝑋 = −1 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 0 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 1 + 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)
= 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1
=1

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Example 1b
Use the probability distribution listed in the given table, determine the
requested probabilities.
x ─2 ─1 0 1 2
P(x) 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1

b. 𝑃(𝑥 > −2)


= 𝑃 𝑋 = −1 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 0 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 1 + 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)
= 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1
= 0.8

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Example 1c
Use the probability distribution listed in the given table, determine the
requested probabilities.
x ─2 ─1 0 1 2
P(x) 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1

c. 𝑃(−1 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 1)
= 𝑃 𝑋 = −1 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 0 + 𝑃 𝑋 = 1
= 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2
= 0.7

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Example 1d
Use the probability distribution listed in the given table, determine the
requested probabilities.
x ─2 ─1 0 1 2
P(x) 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1

d. 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ −1 𝑜𝑟 𝑥 = 2)
= 𝑃 𝑋 = −2 + 𝑃 𝑋 = −1 + 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)
= 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1
= 0.7

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Probability Distribution of a
Discrete Random Variable
Let X be a discrete random variable. The probability
distribution of X describes how the probabilities are distributed over all
the possible values of X.

The probability distribution of a discrete random variable lists all the


possible values that the discrete random variable X can assume and
their corresponding probabilities P(X).

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Example of Discrete Probability Distribution

Example 1: Construct a probability distribution for rolling a single die.

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Example of Discrete Probability Distribution

Example 1: Construct a probability distribution for rolling a single die.

Outcome (X) 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability P(X) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6

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Example of Discrete Probability Distribution
Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the sample space
for tossing three coins where X represent the number of heads.

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Example of Discrete Probability Distribution
Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the sample space
for tossing three coins where X represent the number of heads.
The possible outcomes for such an
experiment will be: TTT, TTH, THT,
THH, HTT, HTH, HHT, HHH.
Thus, the possible values of x (number
of heads) are
x=0: TTT
x=1: TTH, THT, HTT
x=2: THH, HTH, HHT
x=3: HHH

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Example of Discrete Probability Distribution
Example 2: Construct the probability distribution for the sample space for
tossing three coins where X represent the number of heads.

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Mean and Variance of a
Discrete Random Variable
The mean or expected value of the discrete random variable X, denoted by 𝜇
or 𝐸(𝑥), is
𝜇 = 𝐸 𝑥 = ෍ 𝑥𝑃(𝑥)

The variance of X, denoted as


𝜎2 = 𝑉 𝑋 = 𝑥−𝜇 2
= 𝑥−𝜇 2
𝑃(𝑥)
𝐸 ෍

𝜎2 = 𝑉 𝑋 =෍ − 𝜇2
𝑥2𝑃
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𝑥

The standard deviation of X is 𝜎 = 𝜎 2

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Example 1
Given the probability distribution for the sample space for tossing three
coins where X represent the number of heads, find the mean and
standard deviation of the distribution.

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Example 1
Given the probability distribution for the sample space for tossing three
coins where X represent the number of heads, find the mean of the
distribution.

𝑚𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝜇 = ෍ 3 3 1
= 𝟑
𝑋 = 01 + 18 + 28 + 8 � = 𝟏.𝟓
𝑋𝑃 8
3

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Example 1
Given the probability distribution for the sample space for tossing three
coins where X represent the number of heads, find the mean of the
distribution.

𝑋𝑃(𝑋) 3 6 3
0 8 8 8
𝑋2𝑃(𝑋) 3 12 9
0 8 8 8

𝜎 2 = ∑𝑥2𝑃 3 129
𝑥 − 𝜇 = 0 ++
2
8 + − 1.52 = 3 − 2.25 = 0.75
88
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𝜎2 =0.75 = 0.87

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Example 2
The probability distribution shown represents the number of trips of
five nights or more that American adults take per year. (That is, 6% do
not take any trips lasting five nights or more, 70% take one trip lasting
five nights or more per year, etc.) Find the mean.

Number of trips (X) 0 1 2 3 4


Probability P(X) 0.06 0.70 0.20 0.03 0.01

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Example 2
The probability distribution shown represents the number of trips of five
nights or more that American adults take per year. (That is, 6% do not take
any trips lasting five nights or more, 70% take one trip lasting five nights or
more per year, etc.) Find the mean.

Number of trips (X) 0 1 2 3 4


Probability P(X) 0.06 0.70 0.20 0.03 0.01
𝑿(𝑷 𝑿 ) 0 0.70 0.40 0.09 0.04

𝜇 = ෍ 𝑋𝑃𝑋 = 0 + 0.70 + 0.40 + 0.09 + 0.04 = 𝟏. 𝟐𝟑

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Example 3
A talk radio station has four telephone lines. If the host is unable to
talk (i.e., during a commercial) or is talking to a person, the other
callers are placed on hold. When all lines are in use, others who are
trying to call in get a busy signal. The probability that 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4
people will get through is shown in the distribution. Find the variance
and standard deviation for the distribution.

X 0 1 2 3 4
P(X) 0.18 0.34 0.23 0.21 0.04

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Example 3
X 0 1 2 3 4
P(x) 0.18 0.34 0.23 0.21 0.04
XP(X) 0 0.34 0.46 0.63 0.16
𝑋 2𝑃(𝑋) 0 0.34 0.92 1.89 0.64

𝜇 = ෍ 𝑋𝑃𝑋 = 0 + 0.34 + 0.46 + 0.63 + 0.16 = 𝟏. 𝟓𝟗

෍ 𝑥 2𝑃(𝑥) = 0 + 0.34 + 0.92 + 1.89 + 0.64 = 3.79

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Example 3

𝜎 2 = ∑ 𝑥 2𝑃(𝑥) − 𝜇2 = 3.79 − 1.59 2


≈ 𝟏. 𝟐𝟔 Variance

𝝈 = 1.262 ≈ 𝟏. 𝟏𝟐 Standard Deviation

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Example 4
One thousand tickets are sold at $1 each for four prizes of $100, $50, $25,
and $10. After each prize drawing, the winning ticket is then returned to
the pool of tickets. What is the expected value if you purchase two
tickets?

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Example 4
One thousand tickets are sold at $1 each for four prizes of $100, $50,
$25, and $10. After each prize drawing, the winning ticket is then
returned to the pool of tickets. What is the expected value if you
purchase two tickets?
Gain X $98 $48 $23 $8 - $2
2 2 2 2 992
Probability P(X)
1000 1000 1000 1000 1000

E  X  $98  2
 $48  2
 $23  2

 1000 1000 1000

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 $8  2
  $2   992
 $1.63
1000 1000

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Resources
• Mann, P. (2015). Introductory Statistics, 9th Edition. John Wiley
and Sons, Inc.

• Bluman, A. (2017). Elementary Statistics: A Step By Step


Approach, 10th Edition. McGraw-Hill Education

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End of Presentation

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