Trading 8.14 Eva Wu
Trading 8.14 Eva Wu
14tue
(economic performance , material and non-material living standards experienced in this coun
try and make comparisons with Australia compare all measures)
Short answer questions comparing Australia and two trading partners(China & USA)
● Compare and contrast Australia’s economic performance to each country
Potential questions:
Examine the effects of trade on Australia(refer to 3 media articles to support your answ
er)
● Economic growth
-
● Export - orientation
● Exchange rate
● Employment and labour market
● Foreign investment
● Standard of living
● Environmental effect
● Gdp
● Positive / negative effects
● short/long term
Trade has significantly and multifacetedly affected Australia's economy and society. As
a geographically isolated country heavily reliant on international trade and for its econo
mic well-being, its engagement with global markets has played a crucial role in shaping
various aspects of its development. Trade has been an essential driver of economic gr
owth and development in Australia for many decades.
Trade is central to the Australian economy, which benefits significantly, with one in five
workers engaged in trade-related activities. Australian exports represent over 20% of G
DP. Some economists worry Australia's export profile may lack diversity and sophistica
tion, potentially exposing the economy to trade tensions and global commodity price flu
ctuations.
However, Australia’s export profile often also has significant upsides for government bu
dgets and economic growth.
The Centre for International Economics estimates that Australia's liberalisation of merc
handise trade has increased GDP, real wages, and exports, resulting in an estimated $
8,448 higher average family income. Research by CIE (2018) shows lower-income hou
seholds gain more from liberalisation, highlighting Australia's prosperity relying on free t
rade, open markets, and liberal international order. Therefore, trade increases jobs, wa
ges, and living standards and reduces risk.
Global trade disruptions have occurred in recent years,the COVID-19 pandemic further
exacerbated and an economic slowdown in China. These disruptions will depress both
demand for Australian goods and global commodity prices .
with simple value chains now accounting for 30% of global trade. Around 70% involves
global value chains, with protectionism causing a slowdown in trade from 60% to 54%
between 2011 and 2016. Australia has experienced a complete reversal in its current
account deficit over the past five years. This shift began before the pandemic and has c
ontinued over the last two years. Between December 2019 and February 2022, goods
exports increased from $32.1bn to $44bn, while imports increased from $26.4bn to $35.
4bn. On the services side, services exports fell from $8.77bn to $5.5bn, while imports f
ell even further. The most recent trade balance reached $7.5bn, a peak of $13bn in Jul
y 2021. Saving and investment have increased as a share of GDP over the last few ye
ars.
Iron ore, coal, and natural gas are Australia's top 3 exports. As the mining construction
boom ended, foreign direct investment declined, with less reinvestment by mining com
panies and increased portfolio equity outflows. Australia's current account surplus has i
ncreased due to high commodity prices, with exports of iron ore, coal, and natural gas
contributing $154.4 billion, $63.5 billion, and $49.8 billion, respectively, in 2021, with so
me positive flow-through to the broader economy and Australian Government revenue.
Australia's current account surplus indicates it has become a net lender to the rest of th
e world, with net foreign liabilities at 37% of GDP, the lowest level in over 30 years.
China remains the largest trading partner, accounting for over 40% of goods exports an
d a trade surplus with China. However, geopolitical rivalry and increased tariffs on good
s and services may derail trade. Supporting domestic mineral and manufacturing projec
ts could reduce reliance, but reduced trade could impact living standards and increase t
ransportation costs.
The OECD grouping of 38 advanced economies is the biggest trading partner, with bila
teral trade totalling $327bn in 2020. Resources dominate exports, with iron ore, coal, a
nd LNG Imports are more diversified, with imports from OECD countries nearly 60% hi
gher than China's and 60% of services imports. Capital inflows have declined since the
GFC, and OECD economies, including the US, UK, Europe, and Japan, have accounte
d for most foreign investment in Australia over the past decade.
Trade has had a profound impact on Australia's economy and society, contributing to e
conomic growth, job creation, and a higher standard of living, While it has provided sign
ificant benefits, it also poses challenges that require thoughtful policy considerations an
d strategic management.
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