Unit 6
Unit 6
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6.2 INTRODUCTION
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C Y
Where, C = current consumption, Y = current disposable income.
Following are the main features of Keynesian consumption function.
The real consumption expenditure is a positive function of the real current
disposable income.
The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) ranges between zero and
1, that is 0 < MPC < 1 (0 and 1 excluded).
The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is less than the average
C C
propensity to consume (APC) that is,
Y Y
The average propensity to consume (APC) declines as income increases.
Diagrammatic Presentation:
Figure 6.1: Absolute Income Hypothesis
Illustration of diagram: In this diagram, the 450 line (C=Y) shows that
consumption is always equal to current income. This is hypothetical example
that shows that if Y = 0 then C = 0. This is not realistic proposition because
even if income is zero, people consume by begging, borrowing and stealing.
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C 8800
APC 0.80,
Y 11000
Here, MPC APC 0.80
C 500
MPC 0.5
Y 1000
C 7500
And, APC 0.83
Y 9000
Note that MPC has decreased from 0.8 to 0.5 and APC has
increased from 0.8 to 0.83.
Diagrammatic Presentation: Duesenberry's consumption
function has been shown with the help of Figure 6.2
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along with CLR. The short run consumption is subject to 'the ratchet
effect'. If ratchets up following an increases in income levels, but it
does not fall back downward in response to fall in income.
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Q 2: What is meant by the Ratchet effect? Answer in about 60 words.
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Ym = Yp + Ytr ……………………(3)
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Cm = Cp + Ctr…………………….(4)
R1 (YtrYp) = 0 ……………………..(5)
R2 (CtrCp) = 0 ………………………….(6)
R3 (YtrCtr) = 0 ………………………….(7)
Ypt Yt 1 Yt 1 1 2
Y
t 2 ..... 1 n Yt n .......(8)
Where,
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worth. Modigliani won Nobel prizein Economics in year 1985 for his work
on life cycle hypothesis.
This hypothesis explains the conflict between average propensity to
save (APS) from cross section data and data from time series.
Life cycle hypothesis assumes that an individual earns relatively low
income at the beginning and at the end of his life. But the flow of income
remains high during the middle of his life. The individual maintains increasing
level of consumption in his entire life. But the present value of his total
consumption would not exceed the present value of total income during his
life time.
The life cycle hypothesis also observes that in order to avoid the
fluctuations in income, people save their income especially during the high
income and dissave during the time of low income. If the probability of
future income increases, consumption also increases.
The life cycle hypothesis also suggests that an individual is a net
borrower at the earlier stage of his life. During the middle of his life, individual
save more and also puts aside a sum for his retirement. In the later years,
a person will dissave and consumer more than his income.
In life cycle hypothesis individual smoothen out the consumption pattern in
the lifetime and this process has independent of current level of income.
Life cycle hypothesis states that early stage of life of an individual,
consumption expenditure is likely to exceed income. Because individual
may purchase a new home to start his family life at eh initial stage of his
career. In order to support these consumption need, individual is likely to
borrow from future.
In the mid-career life, individual's income increases. Individual is in a
position to repay and of his past borrowing and also begins to save for her/
his retirement. At the stage of retirement, consumption expenditure may
decline but decline in income is more drastic. At the retirement stage of life,
the individual is dis-saver.
While highlighting the pattern of consumption behavior of an individual,
the life cycle hypothesis emphasise on three factors, viz.:
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Lifetime income = YL (R - B)
Where, YL = annual labour income, and R-B = number of
working years.
Assuming R-B = EL to the earning life, we may redefine
lifetime labour income as lifetime income = YL X EL.
Life-cycle hypothesis states that an individual plans his
lifetime consumption in such as way that his lifetime consumption
equals his lifetime income. Here the term 'lifetime' means working
life = N -B. Given the individual's expected life of N years and his
planned constant (annual) consumption (C), the consumption
hypothesis can be written as-
C X N = YL X EL………………………………(2)
Let's divide both the sides by N, we get the lifetime
consumption (C) as
EL
C XYL .............................................(3)
N
Equation (3) reveals that not only a fraction of labour income
is consumed annually and the rest is saved and accumulated. We
will return to the savings aspects shorts. Let us first explain the life-
cycle hypothesis through a numerical example in Indian context.
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EL 42
C XYL X5,00,000
N 60
0.7X5,00,000
3,50,000/
The major criticisms levelled against the life cycle hypothesis are:
This theory is strongly criticized on the basis of the very
assumptions of this theory. For example- this theory assumes
that individual has definite vision and idea about his future
income, life time income, future credits, future emergencies,
opportunities and social pressures, etc. These assumptions are
rather strong and unrealistic.
This theory assumes that individual is rational, he knows the
entire market information he needs; individual can make fine
and complex calculations about the future etc. It is difficult to
assume that all individuals in the community really have this set
of information while making decisions.
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