Development Bank of Ethiopia: Research Andproject Data Management Directorate
Development Bank of Ethiopia: Research Andproject Data Management Directorate
Prepared By:
Revised By:
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
List of Figures.............................................................................................................................................iv
List of Tables..............................................................................................................................................iv
1. INTRODUCTION...............................................................................................................................1
1.1. Background..................................................................................................................................1
1.2. Objective of the study..................................................................................................................1
1.3. Methodology................................................................................................................................1
1.4. Scope and limitation....................................................................................................................1
2. COMMODITY DESCRIPTION......................................................................................................2
2.1. Definition of Corn-Soya Blend plus plus (CSB++)..................................................................2
3. MATERIALS AND INPUTS DATA......................................................................................................3
3.1. List of Raw materials........................................................................................................................3
3.2. Description raw materials.................................................................................................................4
3.3. Source of raw materials and inputs...................................................................................................5
3.4. Domestic production (supply) of and demand..................................................................................5
3.4.1. Domestic production maize grain...........................................................................................5
3.4.2. Domestic production soya- bean....................................................................................................6
3.4.3. Domestic production – Sugar.....................................................................................................7
3.5. Demand for major raw materials......................................................................................................7
3.6. Packaging materials..........................................................................................................................9
3.7.1. Labeling.....................................................................................................................................9
3.7.2. Storing.......................................................................................................................................9
3.8. Marketing Arrangement....................................................................................................................9
3.9. Price Trend.......................................................................................................................................9
4. TECHNICAL DATA........................................................................................................................10
5. MARKET DATA AND INFORMATION........................................................................................11
5.1. MARKET SEGMENTATION..................................................................................................11
5.2. Demand-side Data for Ethiopian Market...................................................................................11
5.3. Supply-side Data........................................................................................................................11
5.3.1. Domestic production.........................................................................................................11
5.3.2. Import................................................................................................................................12
5.4. Market Arrangement and Channel.............................................................................................12
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6. Problems and Constraints..................................................................................................................13
6.1. Problems....................................................................................................................................13
7. PARAMETERS, TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS AND ASSUMPTIONS......................................14
7.1. Basic assumption.......................................................................................................................14
7.2. Revenue estimation....................................................................................................................14
7.3. Investment cost..........................................................................................................................15
7.3.1. Machinery and equipment......................................................................................................15
7.3.2. Vehicles.............................................................................................................................15
7.4. Operational Expenses................................................................................................................15
7.5. Uniform &Protective Equipment...............................................................................................16
7.6. Insurance....................................................................................................................................16
7.7. Overhead expense......................................................................................................................17
7.8. Working capital determination...................................................................................................19
REFERENCE............................................................................................................................................20
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List of Figures
List of Tables
iv
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background
DBE one of governmental financial institution established to provide financial support for viable
projects. In line with the newly vested responsibility by the management, the Directorate avail
raw data and information that facilitate financing of a given project on snacks, flakes, granola
bar, and granola cereal production. Hence, this is raw data and information consolidated to
provide an up-to-date data for appraising of related projects.
1.3. Methodology
Both Primary and secondary data were collected. Primary data were collected from operational
firms engaged in the same line of business while secondary data were collected from Ministry of
Industry, CSA, ITC and ERCA.
The document covers production and marketing of CSB++ from the blend of corn and soy bean
as a major raw material. Absence of historical price both for raw material and selling price to
trace trend could be mentioned as a limitation of the document.
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2. COMMODITY DESCRIPTION
CSB Plus Plus is a fine flour very palatable to young children and has higher protein and fat and
lower fibre levels than CSB Plus.CSB Plus Plus includes higher and more digestible levels of
essential macronutrients (fats and proteins), a reduction in fibre content and enhanced inclusion
of vitamins and minerals.
CSB is used mostly for emergency relief programs, children below the age of 10 and HIV/AIDS
patients.
The Nutritional value of CSB++ is 420 kcal/100 g dry product, 16% protein, 9%fat and 3% max
crude fibre.
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3. MATERIALS AND INPUTS DATA
CSB plus with Sugar shall be manufactured from fresh maize grain and soy beans of good
quality, free from foreign materials, substances hazardous to health, excessive moisture, insect
damage and fungal contamination and shall comply with all relevant national food laws and
standards.
This section of the document encompasses identification of major raw materials, packaging
materials, source of supply, availability of major raw materials and marketing arrangements of
associated materials and inputs for the production of Corn –Soya Blend Plus Plus (CSB++).
Auxiliary materials and additives are different based on the product type and test and preference
of consumers and other influencing factors; however, the following are commonly applied
additives and inputs used in the production of corn –soya Blend Plus Plus (CSB++):
Sugar -for palatability and energy
Dried skim milk powder – to improve Protein quality DSM is not only a source of
animal protein, but specific peptides (proteins components) may have a
positive impact on immune and digestive systems.
Refined soya bean oil-provides energy density,
Vitamin/mineral FBF-V-13,
Dicalcium phosphate anhydrous,and
Potassium chloride.
Packaging materials & utilities
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The product is packed in small bags (1.5 – 6 Kg)
Utilities
Electricity
Water
Main ingredients CSB plus with Sugar shall be manufactured from fresh maize grain and soy
beans of good quality, free from foreign materials, substances hazardous to health, excessive
moisture, insect damage and fungal contamination and shall comply with all relevant national
food laws and standards. Requirements for the raw materials are should be:
o Maize:
o Sugar
Refined sugar shall conform to Codex STAN 212-1999. Sugar must be milled to meet particle
specification: 100% through a 1000 microns screen, 95% through a 600 micron screen.
Complete premixes must be purchased from a approved supplier and used at the following rate
per metric ton of finished product:
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o Requirements for KCl and Ca (H2PO4)2. H2O are:
De-hulled Soybean
Sugar
Dried skim milk powder
Vitamin/mineral FBF-V-13
Potassium chloride
Packaging materials
Primary packaging PE60/Met polyester 12 (PP Bag)
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Table 3. 2: Maize grain production in Ethiopia
Total domestic production soybeans are emanating mainly from two source; peasant farms and
commercial farms. The lion share of domestic production is covered by peasant farms.
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Table 3. 4: Soya beans production in Ethiopia
As exhibited on the source of materials and inputs, sugar could be recruited from the domestic
market. There are a number of sugar factories being operational and under implementation stage.
Past five years sugar production data is indicated below.
Table 3. 5: Annual Sugar Production
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Table 3. 7: Percent utilization of maize grains production in Ethiopia
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Nepal 220
Thailand 264
Yemen 21
3.7.1. Labeling
The label of the product should contain the following information: Name of the product; List of
ingredients; Quantities of ingredients; Batch number / lot number; Expiry date; Storage
conditions; Directions for use; Manufacturer name and address.
3.7.2. Storing
Super cereal (CSB+) with 10% sugar must be stored under dry (<30°C), ventilated and hygienic
conditions.
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4. TECHNICAL DATA
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5. MARKET DATA AND INFORMATION
5.1. MARKET SEGMENTATION
There is no prior experience in exporting of such products to foreign market;
Unsatisfied increasing demand satisfied through import;
Market destination: Domestic one
In general organizations like GOE, WFP, Plan International, UNHCR, WHO, etc are direct
possible purchasers and can be categorized as potential demanders/end users for corn-soy
blend (CSB++) products.
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5.2.1.2. Target groups:
According to the data obtained from concerned gov’t and non gov’t organs, the target groups to
be benefiter is those children aged to 6-23 months and recommended for treatment and
prevention service/program.
The GOE is reported to the purchaser and supplier of these operations with the necessary pre-
mix of minerals and vitamins for this locally-contracted amount.
The demand for CSB in Ethiopia is skyrocketing due to the emergency food needs resulting from
the country’s drought situation, to address moderate acute malnutrition needs, and satisfy the
demand for CSB as food assistance is expected to remain high.
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5.3.2. Industry Experience
According to the information obtained from Ministry Of Industry, Food, Beverage And
Pharmaceuticals Industry Dev’t Institute (FBPIDI), Currently there are seven major food
processors in Ethiopia that have been contracted by the government to produce CSB. The
existing Seven Factories have a total of 5,300 quintal/24hours installed production capacities,
with varying processing capacity as indicated on table 5.2.
However, due to the demand derived production based that most of the firms are operating, the
issue of availability of major raw materials throughout the year, computation of the raw material
from soya bean crop exporters, and lack of product diversification for most of the existing firms
are the major reason most of the factories are operating below their designed production
capacities and exposed to long time idle of the factories without production.
Above all, as per the information obtained from the above mentioned institute and field data
collection, currently there is no CSB++ producing firm in Ethiopia yet.
Production Certification
S.
Name of company Location Type of products capacity (ISO:),
No-
quintal/day quality/HACCP
CSB+(famix), Baby
1 Fafa food share company Addis Ababa 800 22000፡2005
foods & d/t snacks
2 Norish business group Addis Ababa CSB+(famix) 500 22000፡2005
3 Kidan industrial plc Addis Ababa CSB+(famix) 1,000 22000፡2005
4 Abay international plc Addis Ababa CSB+(famix) 1,000 22000፡2005
CSB+(famix),
5 Guts agro industry plc SNNPR, Hawaasa 500 22000፡2005
Odized salt,
Pakana food
6 Oromia, Bishoftu CSB+(famix) 1,000 22000፡2005
Manufacturing PLC
7 East African brand line Oromia, Bishoftu CSB+(famix) 500 22000፡2005
Total Production Capacity/day 5,300
Source: Ministry of Industry, Food, Beverage & Pharmaceuticals Industry Dev’t Institute (FBPIDI),
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5.3.3. Import
For the period covered from 2013-2017, Ethiopian import of supplementary grain foods (in pre-
cooked form), has grown from 51 tons in 2013 to 1,903 tons in 2017, from different countries as
shown below in the table 5.3.
Table 5. 3: Product: 19049000 Cereals (excl. maize [corn]) in grain or flake form or other
worked grains, pre-cooked or otherwise...
Year Import (in tons)
2013 51
2014 55
2015 47
2016 3,127
2017 1,903
Source: ITC Trade map
The products were largely imported from United Arab Emirates, Italy, Belgium, Egypt, United
Kingdom, and USA. In 2017, Ethiopia has imported 1,139.15 tons, 726.41, and 22.27 tons of the
products from Italy, Belgium, and Egypt respectively, as shown below in the table 5.4:
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4.1. Market Arrangement and Channel
The marketing arrangement of current domestic market of CSB++ is that the customers invite all
interested and eligible bidders for the supply.
Based on the bid result contractual agreement is made between the buyer and the seller. The
successful bidder for the production and supply of CSB++ will be expected to supply the
required amounts in accordance with stipulated requirements and delivery schedule of the
customer.
Products are expected to be sold directly from the Factory, mostly on advance order by local and
international organizations.
Demand driven product rather than a kind of product produced in each day continually.
This means that the product is produced as need arises from MAM (Moderate Acute
Malnutrition) and disaster in the country. As a result, the down time per year is an
enormous one.
There is an ample idle manufacturing capacity in the industry and expects that there will
be sufficient supplies of corn. However, in order to have enough soy, exports will need to
drop unless and otherwise it disrupts the normal operation. CSB imports are expected to
become increasingly important as local supplies of soybeans run tight. In the meantime,
domestic production of CSB ++ will depend on the availability of the pre-mix of vitamins
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and minerals. The addition of the pre-mix is essential for the product to have the desired
nutritional value and impact on target beneficiaries.
The stringent quality of the end product in line with international standards.
Unless and other wise there is product diversification, it will be difficult to sustain the
business venture as intended.
This part is devoted on the assessment of the coefficients and parameters, which are to be used
on the determination of costs and revenue and caution has to be there since the parameters and
coefficients are being an indicative ones where the real coefficients rely on.
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15-20% Soya dehulled
9% Sugar
57-62% Corn
3% Refined soya bean oil
8% DSM
Vitamins and minerals
Source: WFP
NB: Required number of vehicles is variable according to the size of the factory.
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1. Maize Quintal 900
2. De-hulled soy bean* Quintal 1,275
Source: Field survey
*The price varies following international market dynamics as an exportable cash crop. Hence,
please refer ECX official website for the current price.
Sr.
No. Packing materials UoM Price in Birr/ UoM
1. Packet of 250 gram Pcs 4.50
2. Carton Box Pcs 11.25
3. Scotch tape Piece 0.50
4. Laminated PP Bag* Piece 8.50
Source: Field survey
*PP Bag is used for CSB++ meant for disasters.
Price in Birr
Sr. No. Packing materials UoM / UoM
1. Overall PCS 180
2. Safety Shoes Pairs 950
3. Cape PCS 80
4. Hand glove Pairs 25
Source: Field survey
6.6. Insurance
Table 7. 6: Insurance Charges (Rates)
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3. Class one 1.19%-5.95%(per mill)
4. Class two 1.19%-5.95%(per mill)
5. Class three 1.79%-6.12%(per mill)
6. Contractors plant and machinery (CPM) including vehicles 5%-12% (per mill)
Marine
During transportation either on ocean transport or from port to project location insurance paid.
Fire
- Based on the building type class one means made of block and standardize which is not
easily exposed to fire
- Class two means less than the class one but easily exposed for fire comparing with class
one
- Class three means building made of wood and other cheap materials which is very easy
for fire
Life insurance
Working hrs and work man composition for employee and 24 hrs personal and work
team for managers
A. Utilities
Electricity Cost/KWh: will depend on the specification of the proposed technology
choice.
Water Tariff Rate
The tariff rate will depends up on the water requirement for the meant project. Hence the
appraiser has to refer Research and Project Data Management Directorate’s Cross Cutting
Project Supporting Data, 2019.
Fuel cost:
For Automobile: 13-15 Km per liter
For Truck:
Table 7. 7:Fuel consumption
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Vehicle travelled in one Consumption Km for each ton of
Weight liter per Km load lit/km/ton
7.5 TON 3.124 ton 5.840 km/lit 0.171 lit/km 0.055 lit/km/ton
12 TON 6.311 ton 5.500 km/lit 0.182 lit/km 0.029 lit/km/ton 0.035
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Generator 10% of original cost
*Remark: If the auxiliary materials such as sugar recruited from the domestic market, the
holding period will be one month .On the other hand, if it is imported one, the holding period
will be one month.
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REFERENCE
CSA, Reports
FAFA Food Complex
ITC Trade map
WFP
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