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Conditional Probability

This document is a lesson plan for a Grade 10 Mathematics class on conditional probability. The lesson plan outlines the objectives, materials, procedures and assessment for the lesson. The objectives are to identify conditional probability, solve problems on conditional probability, and appreciate its application to real life problems. The procedures include an activity solving a sample conditional probability problem, analyzing the problem, abstracting the concept, and applying it to additional practice problems. Students are then assessed through additional conditional probability problems.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
78 views

Conditional Probability

This document is a lesson plan for a Grade 10 Mathematics class on conditional probability. The lesson plan outlines the objectives, materials, procedures and assessment for the lesson. The objectives are to identify conditional probability, solve problems on conditional probability, and appreciate its application to real life problems. The procedures include an activity solving a sample conditional probability problem, analyzing the problem, abstracting the concept, and applying it to additional practice problems. Students are then assessed through additional conditional probability problems.

Uploaded by

chen
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Republic of the Philippines

Department of Education
Division of Eastern Samar
CAN- AVID NATIONAL HIGH SCHOOL
Can- avid, 6806

Grade / Section: Grade 10 – DRAGONFRUIT, GRADE 10- POMELO


Date : March 20, 2023
Time : 7:30- 8:30/ 9:45- 10:45
Subject : Mathematics 10

Lesson Plan in Grade 10 – Mathematics


I. OBJECTIVES
a. Identify conditional probability.
b. Solve problems on conditional probability.
c. Appreciate conditional probability in solving real life problems.
II. SUBJECT MATTER
Topic: Conditional Probability
Materials: pictures, chalk-board, pen and paper
References: Grade 10 Mathematics Teacher’s Guide, pp. 300 - 306 Grade 10 Mathematics Learner’s Module,
pp. 346 - 352 Exploring Mathematics 10 by Baccay, Elisa S., et.al., pp. 328 – 332
III. PROCEDURE
A. Preliminary
1. Greetings
2. Arranging chairs, picking up of dirt
3. Checking of Attendance
4. Review
Identify whether the following is a dependent or an independent event. Write the answer on your show - me board.
1. A drawer contains 3 red paperclips, 4 green paperclips, and 5 blue paperclips. One paperclip is taken from
the drawer and then replaced. Another paper clip is taken from the drawer.
2. Two cards have been drawn from the deck of 52cards without replacing the first one back.
3. A box contains 9 pieces of paper with 5 pieces having an O and 4 pieces having an X. Suppose you
randomly choose a piece of paper from the bag, you get an O, and you don’t put it back. Then you randomly
choose a second piece of paper.
4. Two balls are drawn successively without replacement from a box which contains 4 white balls and 3 red
balls.
5. A dresser drawer contains one pair of socks with each of the following color: blue, brown, red, white, and
black. Each pair is folded together in a matching set. You reach into the sock drawer and choose a pair of
socks without looking. You replace this pair and then choose another pair of socks

B. Lesson Proper

1. Activity

Problem 1

A mathematics teacher gave her class two tests. Twenty- five percent of the class passed both tests and 42% of the
class passed the first test. What percent of those who passed the first test also passed the second test?

Solution: This problem involves a conditional probability since it asks for the probability that the second test was
passed given that the first test was passed.

Solution Problem 1:

P (first ∧second ) .25


(second /first) = = = .60 or 60%
P(first ) .42
2. Analysis

a. In the given problem do you notice any condition given?

b. How does the given condition affect the probability of an event?

3. Abstraction

In word problems, conditional probabilities can usually be recognized by words like “given”, “if,” or “among”
(e.g., in the context of samples). There are, however, no hard rules, and you have to read the problem carefully and
pay attention to the entire context of the problem to determine whether the given probability represents an
ordinary probability (e.g., P(AB)) or a conditional probability (e.g., P(A|B) or P(B|A)). For any two events A and B with
P(B) > 0, the conditional probability of A given that B has occurred is defined by

P ( A ∩B)
P( A│B) =
P( B)
Practice 1.

A Statistics class of 40 students was categorized by gender and by grade, i.e. passed or failed. The counts are shown
in the table below.

If we were to select a student at random, what is the probability that the student failed if the student is a female?
Solution:
Let P be the event that the student passed
P’ be the event that the student failed
Let M be the event that the student is male
Let F be the event that the student is female
3
(𝑃′) = students failed
40
17
(F ) = female
20
P ( P' ∩F ) 1/40 1 40 1
P(P’F)=
P (F)
= 17/40
= x
40 17
= 17
1
Therefore, the probability that a student chosen at random failed if the student is a female is .
17
4. Application

Answer the following questions

A company has 200 employees: 120 are women and 80 are men. Of the 120 female employees, 30 are
classified as managers, while 20 of the 80 male employees are managers. Suppose that an employee is chosen at
random.

a. Find the probability that the employee is female.


b. Find the probability that the employee is a manager.
c. Find the conditional probability that the employee is a manager given that the employee is female.
d. Find the conditional probability that the employee is female given that the employee is a manager.
IV. ASSESSMENT

Answer the following questions.

1. Suppose you throw a pair of fair 6-sided dice. One is white and the other is black. Let T=total showing on both
dice, and B = number showing on the black die.

a) Find P(T  5| B  2)

b) Find P(B  2|T  5)

2. In Bulihan National High School 65% of students like pork chops. Two students from the school are picked at
random. Given that at least one of them likes pork chops, what is the probability that both like pork chops?

3. Box X contains 2 red and 3 white marbles. Box Y contains 1 red and 3 white marbles. A marble is randomly chosen
from Box X and put into box Y. A marble is then randomly chosen from box Y.

a) What is the probability that the marble chosen from box Y is red?

b) If the marble from Y is red, what is the probability that the marble moved from X was white?

V. ASSIGNMENT

1. Follow-up Two boxes contain coins. One box has 1 silver and 3 gold coins, the other box has 2 silver coins and 1
gold. A box is randomly chosen, and a coin is randomly selected. The coin is silver. If a second coin is selected from
the same box, what is the probability that it will be silver also?

2. Study : Measures of Position Give the ways of how to determine the measures of position in a set of data.

Prepared by:
GRETCHEN VANESSA G. GENISTON
Subject Teacher
Checked by:
MARIDEL A. ROMERO
Assistant Principal II

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