Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability
Department of Education
Division of Eastern Samar
CAN- AVID NATIONAL HIGH SCHOOL
Can- avid, 6806
B. Lesson Proper
1. Activity
Problem 1
A mathematics teacher gave her class two tests. Twenty- five percent of the class passed both tests and 42% of the
class passed the first test. What percent of those who passed the first test also passed the second test?
Solution: This problem involves a conditional probability since it asks for the probability that the second test was
passed given that the first test was passed.
Solution Problem 1:
3. Abstraction
In word problems, conditional probabilities can usually be recognized by words like “given”, “if,” or “among”
(e.g., in the context of samples). There are, however, no hard rules, and you have to read the problem carefully and
pay attention to the entire context of the problem to determine whether the given probability represents an
ordinary probability (e.g., P(AB)) or a conditional probability (e.g., P(A|B) or P(B|A)). For any two events A and B with
P(B) > 0, the conditional probability of A given that B has occurred is defined by
P ( A ∩B)
P( A│B) =
P( B)
Practice 1.
A Statistics class of 40 students was categorized by gender and by grade, i.e. passed or failed. The counts are shown
in the table below.
If we were to select a student at random, what is the probability that the student failed if the student is a female?
Solution:
Let P be the event that the student passed
P’ be the event that the student failed
Let M be the event that the student is male
Let F be the event that the student is female
3
(𝑃′) = students failed
40
17
(F ) = female
20
P ( P' ∩F ) 1/40 1 40 1
P(P’F)=
P (F)
= 17/40
= x
40 17
= 17
1
Therefore, the probability that a student chosen at random failed if the student is a female is .
17
4. Application
A company has 200 employees: 120 are women and 80 are men. Of the 120 female employees, 30 are
classified as managers, while 20 of the 80 male employees are managers. Suppose that an employee is chosen at
random.
1. Suppose you throw a pair of fair 6-sided dice. One is white and the other is black. Let T=total showing on both
dice, and B = number showing on the black die.
a) Find P(T 5| B 2)
2. In Bulihan National High School 65% of students like pork chops. Two students from the school are picked at
random. Given that at least one of them likes pork chops, what is the probability that both like pork chops?
3. Box X contains 2 red and 3 white marbles. Box Y contains 1 red and 3 white marbles. A marble is randomly chosen
from Box X and put into box Y. A marble is then randomly chosen from box Y.
a) What is the probability that the marble chosen from box Y is red?
b) If the marble from Y is red, what is the probability that the marble moved from X was white?
V. ASSIGNMENT
1. Follow-up Two boxes contain coins. One box has 1 silver and 3 gold coins, the other box has 2 silver coins and 1
gold. A box is randomly chosen, and a coin is randomly selected. The coin is silver. If a second coin is selected from
the same box, what is the probability that it will be silver also?
2. Study : Measures of Position Give the ways of how to determine the measures of position in a set of data.
Prepared by:
GRETCHEN VANESSA G. GENISTON
Subject Teacher
Checked by:
MARIDEL A. ROMERO
Assistant Principal II