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This document provides an overview of a lecture on systems thinking and dynamics taught at the National University of Singapore. The lecture introduces key concepts of systems thinking including defining a system, system boundaries, and examples of systems. It emphasizes that systems thinking allows one to understand complex systems as a whole rather than individual parts. The learning outcomes of the course are also summarized and include building skills in causal loop diagrams, stock-flow diagrams and system dynamics simulation.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
33 views

Lec 1

This document provides an overview of a lecture on systems thinking and dynamics taught at the National University of Singapore. The lecture introduces key concepts of systems thinking including defining a system, system boundaries, and examples of systems. It emphasizes that systems thinking allows one to understand complex systems as a whole rather than individual parts. The learning outcomes of the course are also summarized and include building skills in causal loop diagrams, stock-flow diagrams and system dynamics simulation.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Lecture 1 –

Fundamentals of Systems Thinking


IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics

Dr. LI Haobin, Senior Lecturer


Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management (ISEM)
College of Design and Engineering
National University of Singapore

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore
1.1 – Why Learn Systems Thinking?

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 2
Industrial Systems Engineering
and Management

Who are we?


Industrial Engineers
System Engineers
IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 3
Who are Industrial & Systems Engineers?

▪ Various roles of Designers and Engineers

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 4
Industrial Systems Engineering
and Management

Who are we?


Industrial Engineers
System Engineers
IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 5
Why to Learn Systems Thinking?
▪ Example of urban transportation in mega cities

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 6
Why to Learn Systems Thinking?
▪ Interdisciplinary consideration

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 7
Why to Learn Systems Thinking?
▪ Good system solutions, E.g.
▪ COE with validity period, road and fuel tax, ERP
▪ Well designed road network
▪ Shared parking facility
▪ Subsidised public transit

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 8
What is Systems Thinking?
Systems thinking is the ability to understand and analyse complex
systems as a whole, rather than focusing on individual
components or parts.

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 9
Importance for Designers and Engineers

▪ Understanding complex systems


▪ Considering system functionality and goals
▪ Dealing with dynamic changes in systems
▪ Optimizing decision-making and solutions
▪ Promoting interdisciplinary collaboration

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 10
Highlights on Learning Outcome
▪ Concepts and Principles of Systems Thinking
▪ Behaviour-Over-Time Graphs (BOTGs)
▪ Causal Loop Diagrams (CLDs)
▪ Stock-Flow Diagrams (SFDs)
▪ System Dynamics (SD) Simulation
▪ System Case Studies
▪ System Dynamics Team Projects
IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 11
1.2 – Definition of Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 12
What is a System?
▪ A system is a group of interacting or interrelated elements that
act according to a set of rules to form a unified whole.
▪ A system, surrounded and influenced by its environment, is
described by its boundaries, structure and purpose and
expressed in its functioning.

Source: Alexander Backlund (2000). "The definition of system". In:


Kybernetes Vol. 29 nr. 4, pp. 444–451.
IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 13
How to Define a System?
▪ Elements / Parts
▪ Interaction / Interrelation / Structure
▪ Boundaries / Environment
Elements / Parts
▪ Purpose / Functions
Boundaries
▪ Input / Output
Input Output

(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)


Surroundings)

Interaction / Interrelation / Structure


IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 14
Examples of Systems
▪ Human Body Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 15
Examples of Systems
▪ Computer Systems

Software System Hardware System


IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 16
Examples of Systems
▪ Industrial Systems

Container Port System Warehouse System


IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 17
Examples of Systems
▪ Natural / Technological Eco-Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 18
Examples of Systems
▪ Social Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 19
Systems vs. Collections
▪ Collection is a set of items or amount of material procured or
gathered together while system is a collection of “organized” things

Elements / Parts Elements / Parts

Boundaries Boundaries

Input Output

(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)


Environment)

Interaction / Interrelation / Structure


System Collection

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 20
Systems vs. Collections
▪ Collection is a set of items or amount of material procured or
gathered together while system is a collection of “organized” things
▪ Examples of Collections:

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 21
1.3 – Boundary of Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 22
Boundary of Systems
▪ A limit to the system’s internal components and processes
(i.e., elements and their interactions).
▪ Internal to which it has integrity
▪ Integrity gives the system autonomy Elements / Parts

(consideration of feedback) Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore
Interaction / Interrelation / Structure 23
Example – Boundary for IE2141
Specific time, location, and Group of participating
content range students

IE2141 Course

Input Output

Teaching methods, activities Entire lifecycle

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 24
Inputs of System
The material, energy, information, or other resources that flow
into the system from the external environment.
orvallsets .
inter/constrat
Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 25
Example – Inputs for IE2141

Students

Teachers IE2141 Course

Teaching Materials Output

Objectives and Content

Environment and Demands

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 26
Outputs of System
The material, energy, information, or other products that flow out
of the system to the external environment

Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 27
Example – Outputs of IE2141

Learning Outcomes

IE2141 Course Assessment Results

Input Feedback and Improvement

Teaching Experience

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 28
Elements and Boundaries
▪ PESTLE
▪ Political
▪ Economic / Financial
▪ Socio-Cultural / Societal Elements / Parts
▪ Technological Boundaries
▪ Legal
▪ Environmental Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore
Interaction / Interrelation / Structure 29
Elements and Boundaries
▪ Political Factors relate to the pressures brought by political
institutions
▪ Elections and political trends
▪ Internal political issues
▪ Inter country relationships
▪ Local commissioning processes
▪ Corruption, Bureaucracy
▪ Wars, terrorism and conflicts
▪ Government policies
▪ Lobbying and pressure groups

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 30
Elements and Boundaries
▪ Economic Factors relate to economic policies and structures
▪ Local economy
▪ Taxation, inflation, interest
▪ Economy trends seasonality issues
▪ Industry growth
▪ Import / export ratios
▪ International trade
▪ International exchange rates

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 31
Elements and Boundaries
▪ Social Factors relate to the cultural aspects that affect the demand of
products and how business operates
▪ Demographics
▪ Media views of the industry
▪ Work ethic
▪ Brand, company, technology image
▪ Lifestyle trends
▪ Consumer buying patterns
▪ Ethical issues
▪ Advertising and publicity

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 32
Elements and Boundaries
▪ Technological Factors relate to the technological aspects,
innovations, barriers and incentives
▪ Emerging technologies
▪ Maturity of technology
▪ Technology legislation
▪ Research and Innovation
▪ Information and communications
▪ Competitor technology development
▪ Intellectual property issues

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 33
Elements and Boundaries
▪ Legal Factors relate to the laws, regulation and legislation that will
affect the way businesses operate
▪ Current legislation
▪ International legislation
▪ Employment law
▪ Consumer protection
▪ Health and safety regulations
▪ Tax regulations
▪ Competitive regulations
▪ Industry specific regulations

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 34
Elements and Boundaries
▪ Environmental Factors relate to the aspects of climate and
natural environment
▪ Environmental regulations
▪ Ecological regulations
▪ Reduction of carbon footprint
▪ Sustainability
▪ Impact of adverse weather

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 35
Elements and Boundaries
▪ PESTLE
▪ Political
▪ Economic / Financial
▪ Socio-Cultural / Societal Elements / Parts
▪ Technological Boundaries
▪ Legal
▪ Environmental Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore
Interaction / Interrelation / Structure 36
Setting Clear Boundaries
▪ First Step in understanding and analysing a system
▪ Help us focus on key factors, avoiding over-complexity in the analysis
▪ Outputs – Identify the main goals and outcome
▪ Inputs – Identify dependency, potential improvements and
optimizations
▪ Facilitate
▪ development of simulation model,
▪ formulation and analysis

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 37
1.4 – Elements of Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 38
Identify Elements of Systems

As our understanding of the system deepens, we will gradually


uncover its internal structure. Over time,
▪ Discover additional elements Elements / Parts

▪ Remove insignificant elements Boundaries

▪ Interactions undergo reassessment


Output
Input

Interaction / Interrelation / Structure


IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 39
Clues for Identifying Elements of Systems

▪ Constituent Units: The constituent units are the fundamental


components of a system.
Elements / Parts

Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

Interaction / Interrelation / Structure

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 40
Clues for Identifying Elements of Systems

▪ Functions and Roles: Every component has a specific function or


role within the system.
Elements / Parts

Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

Interaction / Interrelation / Structure

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 41
Clues for Identifying Elements of Systems

▪ Hierarchy and Levels: Units or elements of a system can be


organized and categorized according to a hierarchical structure.
Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 42
Clues for Identifying Elements of Systems

▪ Dependencies and Interactions: Dependencies and interactions


exist between the elements of a system, where changes in some
elements are determined by the states and trends of others.

Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 43
Clues for Identifying Elements of Systems

▪ Material and Information Flow: By considering the flow of


materials and information in a system, we can define and
delineate its elements more comprehensively.

Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 44
Filtering and Selection
▪ Do these elements fall outside the boundaries we previously
delineated?
Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)
Is interaction
minor enough?
New
input? Or, Extend the boundary?

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 45
Filtering and Selection
▪ Although certain elements may exist within the boundaries we
defined for the system, their interactions with the remaining
elements might be very weak.

Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 46
Quantifying System Elements
System Elements Quantifiable Numerical Values
By quantifying system elements, we can
▪ describe the system's composition and structure more precisely
▪ observe and summarize the trends of these elements over an
extended period
▪ reduce subjectivity and speculation in the analytical process

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 47
Quantifying System Elements
▪ In system modeling, various system variables can be employed
to represent the system. Here are a few common examples of
system variables:
▪ Component Quantity
▪ Component Size or Complexity
▪ Intensity or Correlation
▪ Performance Metrics
▪ Cost or Resources

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 48
Interaction among Elements
▪ Clarifying the interactions between them and prominently
marking these on a diagram
Elements / Parts

Boundaries

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)

Interaction / Interrelation / Structure

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 49
1.5 – Sub-Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 50
Sub-Systems
▪ A system that is part of a larger system.

Elements / Parts

Boundaries
Sub-System 1

Input Output

(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)


Environment)

Interaction / Interrelation / Structure Sub-System 2


System (Parent)
IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 51
Sub-Systems
▪ A system that is part of a larger system.

Indifferent
IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 52
Sub-Systems
▪ A system that is part of a larger system.

Boundaries
Sub-System 1
Boundaries Input
Output
Input Output Output Input

(Dependency on
Input
Environment)
Sub-System 2

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 53
Characteristics of Sub-Systems

▪ Relative Independence
▪ Functional Consistency
▪ Interface Definition
▪ Scalability and Maintainability

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 54
Why Sub-Systems?
In summary, defining sub-systems contributes to improving
▪ modularization,
▪ maintainability,
▪ distribution of work scope and collaboration,
▪ extensibility, and
▪ fault isolation,
in a system.

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 55
Steps in Identifying Sub-Systems

1. Understand Functions and Requirements of Parent System


2. Identify less-dependent Modules within the System
3. Define the Boundaries of Sub-Systems
4. Determine the Interfaces Between Sub-Systems
5. Define the Functions and Responsibilities of Sub-Systems

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 56
Hierarchical Structure

Source System
Wider System

Target System

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 57
Feedback and Control Systems
▪ A control system possessing monitoring feedback, the deviation
signal formed as a result of this feedback being used to control the
action of a final control element in such a way as to tend to reduce
the deviation to zero (Mayr, Otto 1970).

Environment Parent System

𝑋′ 𝑡 Goal Deviation Action 𝑋 𝑡 𝑌 𝑡 𝑌′ 𝑡


Controller Sub-System
System
(Discrepancy) (Decision)

Perceived State Feedback


Observer

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 58
Feedback and Control Systems
▪ Example – Air-Con System

Room
Environment (outdoor temperature) Air-Con

𝑋′ 𝑡 Goal Deviation Action 𝑋 𝑡 𝑌 𝑡 𝑌′ 𝑡


(temperature
IC Chip Compressor
System
(specific room (electricity/ (cool
temperature) difference) power) air)
Perceived State Feedback
(sensible temperature) Sensor (room temperature)

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 59
Coupling of Sub-Systems
▪ A coupled system consists of sub-systems, including control
systems, connected in series or in parallel
S6 S5

C2 C1 S1 S2 S7

S3
S4

O1

O2

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 60
1.6 – Stakeholder

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 61
Sub-Systems of Persons and/or Groups

Source System
Wider System

Target System

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 62
Stakeholders
▪ Stakeholders are persons, groups, and organizations who may be
affected by or have an effect on a system, or its sub-systems.

Who may have 𝑋 𝑡 System / 𝑌 𝑡 Who may be


an effect on a affected by the
system input Sub-System output system

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 63
Stakeholders
▪ Types of stakeholders of a system

Beneficiary
Sponsor / Implementer
Payer
Monetary
input /output
Orders /
instruction Orchestrator
System /
Regulator
Rules Sub-System
Ideas / opinions
Interests
Advisor /
Marginalized Consultant
Interested
Groups Parties

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 64
Stakeholders
▪ Examples of stakeholders of a system
Society / A Wider System
Governments Community Owners

Consumer
Suppliers Advocates

Environ- Industry /
mentalists
System / Associations
Sub-System
Financial
Competitors
Institutions
Special Interests
Media
Groups
Union / Labor Management

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 65
Stakeholders & Audience
▪ Typically, the audience for system study is ONE of the key
"stakeholders" of the system.
▪ They might provide significant inputs to the system, receive
important outputs from it, or be a crucial sub-system essential
to the system's functionality.

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 66
Boundary by Stakeholders
▪ Which stakeholders are included in the system and which
stakeholders remain outside its boundaries?
Input

Input Output
(Dependency on (Purpose / Functions)
Surroundings)
Output
IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 67
Let's protect the environment
Lecture notes are subject to change before
the class for further improvement

THANK YOU
The preparation of this module has been made possible by
the support from IE2141 teaching team, and the past
teaching materials developed by A/Prof. Aaron Chia.

IE2141 Systems Thinking and Dynamics – ISEM Department, National University of Singapore 68

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