Understanding Power Transmission Financing
Understanding Power Transmission Financing
Power Transmission
Financing
Since 2013, the U.S. Government’s Power Africa initiative has marshalled technical,
legal, and financial resources toward the goal of doubling access to electricity in Sub-
Saharan Africa by 2030. Through a network of public and private-sector partners, Power
Africa works alongside African governments to facilitate the development of power projects
on a scale necessary to meet the continent’s power deficit. I am particularly proud of the
leading role the U.S. private sector plays in this development effort and consider Power
Africa to represent one of the best models of collaboration between the U.S. Government
and the private sector to achieve positive commercial and policy outcomes.
One of the most important aspects of Power Africa is the free exchange of information
between public and private sector partners. As part of this effort, Power Africa has developed
a series of open-source handbooks to establish a common understanding of best practices
around successful power project development. It is my honor to present the newest addition
to the Understanding handbook series – Understanding Power Transmission Financing. In
keeping with Power Africa’s focus on accessibility, this newest entry continues a focus on
plain-language explanations of the financing structures for transmission systems. It is
intended to be a trusted resource for both seasoned professionals as well as those who are
new to these complex projects.
As with the previous editions, the development of this handbook, which was
coordinated by the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Commercial Law Development
Program (CLDP) and the African Development Bank’s African Legal Support Facility
(ALSF), was a collaborative process involving U.S. Government agencies, African
governments, multilateral institutions, and private-sector stakeholders. It is notable that the
authors were volunteers and that they collectively contributed over 2,000 pro bono hours in
a virtual setting to produce a resource that reflects their collective wisdom on how to meet
the challenges of building transmission infrastructure. I am deeply grateful for their
contribution and for the essential role the U.S. Department of Commerce played in delivering
this resource to readers around the world.
Sincerely,
Gina
Gi M. Raimondo
i d
U.S. Secretary of Commerce
C O N T E N T S
1. INTRODUCTION
Background 9
A Guide to the Guide 14
Introduction 21
Corporate Finance 22
Project Finance 22
Corporate Vs Project Finance 24
Sources of Capital 25
Commercial Banks 35
Equity 35
Summary of Key Points 37
Introduction 39
Public Sector-led Funding Structures 40
Features of Public Sector-led Funding Structures 48
Private Sector-led Funding Structure 49
Summary of Key Points 52
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4. INTRODUCTION TO PRIVATE FUNDING
STRUCTURES
Introduction 55
Key Considerations 56
Approach to Risk Allocation 58
The Role of Key Stakeholders for Privately Funded Structures 59
Introduction 63
IPT Business Models 64
Enabling Environment 67
How It Works 68
Stakeholders 73
Contractual Structure 76
Risk Allocation Matrix 77
Financing Structure 80
Other Considerations 82
Summary of Key Points 89
6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Introduction 91
Concession Models 92
How It Works 98
Stakeholders 102
Contractual Structure 105
Risk Allocation Matrix 111
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Financing a Whole-of-grid Concession 114
Other Considerations 115
Summary of Key Points 118
Introduction 120
Merchant Transmission Line 120
Industrial Demand-driven Model 124
Privatisation 127
Summary of Key Points 133
Introduction 136
Government Support 138
Sovereign Support for Termination Payments 140
Summary of Key Points 143
Introduction 145
Power System Planning 146
Integrated Resource Planning 147
Transmission Development Plan (TDP) 149
Route Identification 152
Transmission Project Selection 153
Project Preparation 155
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Funding for Project Preparation 158
Procurement and the Private Sector 159
Direct Negotiations 162
Summary of Key Points 163
Introduction 165
Planning for Rights-of-way 166
Phases for Route Identification 167
Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) 168
Acquisition of Land for Rights-of-way 171
Role of the Private Sector 173
Expropriation and Eminent Domain 174
Summary of Key Points 174
Introduction 177
Financial Risks 180
Technical Risk 183
Interface Risks 184
Technology Risks 185
Social and Environmental Risks 187
Political and Regulatory Risks 189
Dispute Resolution 193
Summary of Key Points 197
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12. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
Introduction 199
Definition of an Independent Regulator 200
How Transparency Can Be Achieved 201
Functions of a Regulator 204
Market Regulations and Compliance 209
Regulatory Implications for the Private Sector 211
Summary of Key Points 214
Deep Dive into Transmission Pricing 215
Introduction 225
What Are Cross-border Interconnection Projects? 225
Benefits of Cross-border Projects 227
Hurdles to the Development of Cross-border Projects 227
Varying Domestic Regulatory Frameworks 229
Private Sector Participation in Cross-border Projects 235
Summary of Key Points 238
APPENDIX
Acronyms 241
Glossary 245
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1. Introduction
1. INTRODUCTION
Background
The Critical Deficit of Transmission Capacity
The group of authors who donated their expertise (and time!) to this book
came together for a simple and collective intent: to address the critical
deficit of transmission capacity in Sub-Saharan Africa. It is stated that
roughly half the population of Sub-Saharan Africa (or 600 million people)
lack reliable access to electricity. The lack of electricity access is particularly
stark at a time when the global number of persons without access to
electricity is falling.
Current estimates place the total investment requirements for the period
2014-2040 at $80-$140 billion, which equates to $3.2–$5.4 billion per year.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Figure 1.1: Transmission lines per capita (Source: World Bank, 2017:
Linking Up: Public-Private Partnerships in Power Transmission in Africa)
10
1. INTRODUCTION
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
12
1. INTRODUCTION
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Similarly, India has developed more than 500 km of 400kV and 765kV
lines through private investment. Kazakhstan has a privately owned and
financed transmission system, and the Philippines privatised their existing
transmission system through a 25-year concession in 2009.
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1. INTRODUCTION
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
The authors would like to thank our Book Sprint facilitator Barbara
Rühling for her ability to adapt the Book Sprint process to a virtual format
and for her patient guidance throughout the hours of staring at our
confused faces on a computer screen. The authors would also like to thank
Henrik van Leeuwen and Lennart Wolfert for turning our rushed scribbles
into beautiful and meaningful illustrations. The tireless work of Book
Sprints’ remote staff Raewyn Whyte and Christine Davis (proofreaders),
and Agathe Baëz (book design), should also be recognised. It is also
important to recognise the considerable planning and development that
went into the conceptualisation of this handbook before the drafting
process. In particular, our deepest appreciation goes to Elizabeth Clinch
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1. INTRODUCTION
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
18
1. INTRODUCTION
The Authors
Mohammed Loraoui
Attorney Advisor (International)
U.S. Department of Commerce (USA)
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2. Financing
Structures and
Capital Sources
2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
Introduction
The business models used to finance transmission infrastructure are
heavily impacted by sources of funding for the sector. Before introducing
the different business models, it is necessary to understand the various
external funding options and their criteria, which this chapter explores.
The risks highlighted in chapter 11. Common Risks must also be considered
as these will impact sources of funding as well as business models. The
funding decision will have implications for the introduction of the private
sector or continued reliance on public sector funding, and together these
will inform the business model selected.
Below we set out the broad principles of financing that have been or could
be applied to the funding of existing and future transmission infrastructure
projects.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Corporate Finance
Many businesses, especially large businesses in capital intensive industries,
raise debt funding on the strength of their balance sheets, the stability of
their revenues, and their ability to service their debts. They do not grant
security over any part of their assets to lenders or bondholders, and they
agree with each lender that they will not grant security over their assets to
any other or future lenders. This type of financing — financing that does
not involve the grant of security over a company’s assets — is referred to as
corporate finance.
Project Finance
In a project finance context, the funding is secured against the viability of a
specific project. In this option, a project company is created for financing,
constructing and potentially operating the transmission assets and is
financed with a mix of equity and debt. In typical project finance funding
structures, the project company also retains ownership of the transmission
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Corporate Vs Project
Finance
Balance sheet flexibility
In the context of transmission infrastructure, an entity’s borrowing
capacity via corporate finance is limited by its existing balance sheet,
including how much existing debt it has (and the state of its revenues and
assets). Any existing balance sheet constraints will limit the borrowing
capacity of transmission utilities to fund transmission infrastructure using
corporate finance structures. The state utility may have the opportunity to
borrow further with government support. Project finance structures,
however, do not look at the transmission company’s borrowing capacity
because the debt capital raised is treated as off-balance-sheet financing.
Cost of funds
Under corporate finance, since repayment is divorced from a transmission
asset’s underlying economic value or performance, repayment risk will be a
function of a borrower’s existing level of leverage compared to the
financial or market value of its total assets to determine its liquidity. A
healthy balance sheet will attract a lower cost of financing (more efficient
pricing). As the credit quality of an entity decreases, the cost of funding
increases due to higher risk perception.
Under the project finance option, since repayment is secured via project
revenue, lenders will focus on mitigating all risks to those cash flows.
Project finance transactions tend to be highly structured and complex, with
emphasis placed on appropriate contractual allocation of risks that impact
the underlying revenue stream. This adds to the time and cost of pulling
together the number of stakeholders and related documentation. The
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
pricing of the project is influenced by the perceived risk of the cash flows,
the credit quality of the source of those cash flows, and if needed, the
enhancement of these cash flows.
Sources of Capital
The sources of capital for a transmission project will depend upon the
outcome of the planning, risks related to the project, and a government’s
and state utility’s balance sheets and the ability to raise finance. In chapter 3.
Common Funding Structures in the African Market, the existing model of
government balance sheet financing for these assets is discussed in more
detail, and in later chapters, we discuss some private sector finance models.
Below, we set out the typical capital sources — government budgetary
allocation, debt, and equity — and indicative terms used in most funding
models.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
Debt
Transmission infrastructure necessitates long-term funding, given the
relatively high capital expenditure required for identification, development
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
The stakeholders and financial products described below cover both public
and private sector debt financings — their application in real-world
scenarios is dealt with in later chapters.
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
financing support which get revised based on the country’s capacity for
debt and the requirements of the ministries. When the funding envelopes
may be nearing their limits, countries will have to prioritise the
infrastructure projects they want to support. Bilateral donor agencies can
be another source of grant or heavily subsidised financing which can
provide sector viability gap funding or support to an individual
transaction.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
In addition to lending, some DFIs such as the AfDB and the WBG can
offer a guarantee and insurance products to help credit enhance a project
structure by covering off certain credit or political risks. Guarantees
include partial credit guarantees (PCGs) and partial risk guarantees (PRGs)
to cover commercial lenders and investors against the risk of a possible
government failure to meet contractual obligations to a project. Please see
the Understanding Power Project Financing handbook, section 7.2 for an in-
depth discussion of PCGs and PRGs.
Some DFIs provide political risk insurance (PRI) to mitigate and manage
risks arising from the adverse action, or inactions, of governments that go
against contractual obligations. PRI can also be used to backstop
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Green/climate-backed financing
There are many clean technologies and climate change donor-backed funds which
can provide grant funding to support grid modernisation and transmission lines, if
the infrastructure can be linked to projects and initiatives which promote and
advance sustainable development and encourage the development of a more
sustainable economy, for example, renewable energy generation. Given the
emphasis that many countries are placing on decarbonisation to support countries
on their journey to a green energy transition, it is expected that the EU and other
publicly backed institutions will make more grants or highly concessional finance
available to support these activities.
The advantage of these resources is that they provide subsidised financing, which,
when combined with more commercial sources of funds, can help blend the cost of
capital to reduce financing costs for transmission infrastructure.
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
Commercial Banks
In addition to DFIs, commercial banks provide debt financing to
transmission infrastructure projects. Commercial banks are privately
owned banks that participate and provide funding to a range of projects,
including transmission projects. Commercial banks more typically lend to
projects that have creditworthy cash flows or cash flows that are enhanced
with cover via DFIs or ECAs.
Blended finance
Providing hybrid private sector/donor funding for IPTs, for example, can
significantly boost the availability of funding to the sector. The provision of grant
funding for a project is unlikely to impact returns for investors positively or
negatively since funding models for this asset class are typically fixed or capped.
The impact of such funding would be to increase the number of projects which can
be undertaken.
Equity
In IPT and other project finance structures, lenders generally require
project owners to invest an amount of equity in exchange for shares in the
project company, usually for at least 20-30% of the total project cost. This
form of long-term capital earns dividends over the life of the project which
are paid from the remainder of cash flows after operating expenses and
debt service obligations have been met. The capital structure and cash
waterfall are intentionally aligned so that equity owners are incentivised to
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
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2. FINANCING STRUCTURES AND CAPITAL SOURCES
37
3. Common Funding
Structures in the
African Market
3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
Introduction
The purpose of this chapter is to set out, in a non-exhaustive fashion, some
of the common methods of funding transmission infrastructure that are
currently used on the African continent and to highlight some of their
features.
Most of these funding methods are public-sector led. However, they are
akin to corporate finance structures as the financing is based on the
strength of the government or state-owned utility balance sheets and not
on the viability of the cash flows from the transmission projects
specifically. These methods include government borrowing/ECA
financing and state-owned utility borrowing. Of these methods,
government borrowing and ECA solutions (which also require a
government guarantee) are by far the most common funding structures
utilised.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
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3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Figure 3.2: Schematic of the Lake Turkana Wind Project Transmission Line
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3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
The Lake Turkana Transmission Line starts at the 310 MW Lake Turkana Wind
Power plant in Marsabit County, Kenya, and runs south for approximately 428 km
to the KETRACO substation in Suswa, Narok county, approximately 100 km west of
Nairobi. In 2010, the Spanish government offered to finance the construction of the
double circuit line. This included a concessional loan (for 30 years, with a low
interest rate) of €55m and a commercial credit in an equal amount offered by the
Spanish ECA (with commercial lending sitting behind it).
Figure 3.3: The original relationship among parties in the Lake Turkana
Transmission line project at the time of commissioning of the line
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Given the Lake Turkana Wind Power project was an IPP and fully developed by the
private sector, it raised an interesting discussion of “project on project” risk, with
the two projects entirely interdependent but financed by separate means, and the
former through commercial sources with the latter via sovereign borrowing. The
risk allocation between the various stakeholders was heavily negotiated, with the
Government of Kenya (GoK) bearing the responsibility for the timely delivery of the
transmission line. The AfDB provided a €20 million PRG to backstop GoK’s
completion risk on the transmission line, providing comfort to the Lake Turkana
Wind Power lenders that deemed energy payment obligations would be met in the
event the transmission line commissioning was delayed.
The Lake Turkana cost overruns highlight the magnitude of the interface risk for
interdependent projects. For this reason, transmission lines are often wrapped in
the financing and scope of a generation project. Further in this chapter, we discuss
generation-linked transmission projects for which it was decided to finance and
construct the transmission asset via the same project to significantly reduce the
interface risk.
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3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
An ECA and some DFIs can lend directly to the state-owned utility to fund
the capital expenditure (CAPEX) requirements of a specified transmission
infrastructure project, securing repayment against the utility’s balance
sheet. Whereas the DFI will be agnostic on sourcing, as described above,
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
the ECA will finance and disburse against invoices for a specified EPC
scope of work which shows equipment and services from the ECA
country.
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3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
This often results in significant reserves being required to meet the costs of
such obligations.
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3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
This kind of model is used to reduce the connection risk in IPP projects.
This ‘connection risk’ is the risk that the IPP or power plant is producing
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
(or able to produce) electricity but cannot deliver it to end users because of
a lack of connectivity to a transmission line. This could manifest itself in
the construction phase of the power generation project where the delay in
the construction and completion of the transmission infrastructure in turn
delays the achievement of an anticipated commercial operations date under
the power generation project.
This model allows the IPP to be in control of the interface risk between the
two projects — generation and transmission. If this risk is not managed in
this way, the typical remedy to the IPP is the inclusion of “deemed energy”
payments under the power purchase agreement. These are payments
calculated based on the loss of revenue from the energy that would have
been delivered but for the transmission line unavailability event. Where
generation is in the private sector but transmission is in the public sector,
there is an increased financial risk on the government to pay these
“deemed energy” payments (e.g., see above Case Study — Lake Turkana
Transmission Line) to the extent the government or transmission utility
does not manage or deliver the transmission infrastructure or make it
available for the IPP to use.
The extra equity investment and debt funding necessary for the
supplemental transmission work can either be repaid via a cash payment
by the transmission utility when the transmission infrastructure is handed
over or can be compensated through a higher generation tariff which
reflects the additional fixed cost incurred to connect the power project to
the national grid. The transmission asset will typically be handed over to
the transmission utility at the commercial operation date, even if the cost
of the construction is repaid to the IPP through the electricity tariff under
the PPA.
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3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
greater public good. This may still be the case if the captive line provides
reliable electricity to industrial users, who have wider economic benefits
for a country.
Facing Eskom funding constraints and the short timelines required for grid
connection, the REIPPPP was structured to allow bidders to elect to build the grid
connection facilities on a "self-build" basis as part of their bid. The option was
initially only made available for distribution facilities but in the second quarter of
2015, Eskom's transmission division introduced a self-build option to its customers,
both electricity generators and consumers.
In this option, the customer can elect to design, procure, construct and commission
the transmission assets. The customer undertakes the design, route selection and
procuring of all authorisations, with consultation and the approval of Eskom, who
ultimately ensures the transmission infrastructure aligns with existing grid
technical specifications. After successful commissioning, the customer is obliged to
transfer full ownership of the transmission assets and all environmental
authorisations, wayleaves, approvals and permits to Eskom. Eskom states in its
Transmission Development Plan published in January 2021 that the intention is to
give customers greater control over risk factors affecting their network connection.
However, it is important to note that transmission infrastructure expects that it is
open access, meaning there could be the possibility of connecting other generation
assets and other customers to the self-build transmission line after it is handed over
to Eskom.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
The self-build option has since also been expanded to allow customers to also build
associated works (such as substations) that will be shared with other customers,
based on an assessment by Eskom of the accompanying risks to the transmission
system and other customers. Since this is purely a voluntary option, the option of
Eskom constructing the generator or customer's network and paying a connection
charge also remains available to bidders and customers alike.
What is important to note with this option is that the customer bears the risk and
responsibility to finance the transmission infrastructure construction works,
including the authorisations required and the wayleave acquisition (including
compensation). These costs are recovered through the tariff over the term of the
PPA, so IPPs need to consider these additional costs when bidding into the tender.
Due to the success of the self-build option, this approach has been adopted by the
South African government in all subsequent IPP programmes.
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3. COMMON FUNDING STRUCTURES IN THE AFRICAN MARKET
53
4. Introduction to
Private Funding
Structures
4. INTRODUCTION TO PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
Introduction
The purpose of this chapter is to introduce some private sector business
models which have been applied to finance transmission infrastructure in
other parts of the world. More detailed information on the different
funding structures will be provided in the following chapters which dive
into the details of each model. This chapter aims to provide tools to ensure
that well-informed decisions can be made. More specifically, we will look
at key considerations in determining whether these business models are, or
could be, applicable in a particular country or market.
The two most applicable structures to the African context based on the
current state of its electricity supply industry are the IPT and the whole-of-
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
grid concession. For this reason, more details will be provided on these
two models than on privatisation, merchant lines, and industrial demand-
driven models.
Key Considerations
Ownership, control, and maintenance
An obstacle to privately financed transmission infrastructure is often the
perception that the national power company or transmission system
operator (TSO) will lose control over the sector. On the contrary, in many
cases, the private investor builds the transmission project and turns over
the operation of the assets to the TSO immediately upon completion of
construction and project acceptance. In other cases, the private investor
only owns and operates physical transmission assets without managing the
electrical system and coordinating generation dispatch and power flows.
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4. INTRODUCTION TO PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
Regulatory framework
There may be concerns that the legal/regulatory framework may not be
ready for some forms of private investments. Although this may be a
genuine challenge, it is not an insurmountable obstacle. It is usually
possible to put some of these models in place within existing frameworks.
If legal change is required, the project could be structured to address the
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
While each country and project have their own uniqueness which needs to
be taken into account, some important lessons learned have emerged from
the numerous transmission projects that have been implemented so far:
Consider carefully (and with an open mind!) what organisation is in the
best position to acquire land and secure “rights-of-way”; it may be the
developer or a government entity. Whoever takes the responsibility
may need support from a third organisation (e.g., a multilateral bank).
Environmental and social issues should be identified from the earliest
stage of project development and be addressed in the best way possible.
Extensive public consultation is essential and often helps to overcome
key obstacles.
Keep the project simple! For example, in the case of an IPT, an annuity
payment linked to asset availability is preferable (for all parties).
Securing a revenue stream to the project may require some creativity if
the sector is not financially viable. There is a lot of experience on how
an acceptable structure can be designed to address the specific needs of
each project. Escrow accounts, project finance waterfalls, offtaker
guarantees, and others could be deployed as necessary.
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4. INTRODUCTION TO PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
We would further note that countries that have successfully delivered IPPs
may well choose to replicate some parts of the documentation structure of
IPP models into the transmission sector. This may inform, for example,
how the risk allocation between the government and the private sector is
documented. In countries where political risks are taken by the
government by way of a put/call options agreement (PCOA) for example,
this documentation method may be replicated in the transmission sector.
In other countries, political risks are dealt with in an “implementation
agreement” or “concession agreement” and government officials may be
more comfortable with both the nomenclature and risk allocation set out
in these documents, as negotiated in the IPP space.
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Last but not least, bilateral organisations and donor agencies could play a
catalytic role too. They may help with technical assistance in project
planning activities, but also they may provide grants or concessional
lending because the projects fulfil an important role in the country’s
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4. INTRODUCTION TO PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
economy. Also, they may provide funding to close the viability gap (e.g.,
similar to KfW’s GETFiT programme). In this way, scarce grant funding
can be used in a targeted way to unlock larger sums of private sector
investment. Private sector procurement and management practices can
also benefit projects which may otherwise have been solely donor-led or
implemented by transmission utilities with capacity shortages or
governance shortfalls.
Providing hybrid private sector/donor funding for IPTs, for example, can
significantly boost the availability of funding to the sector. The provision
of grant funding for a project may not have a positive or negative impact
on investor returns since funding models for this asset class are typically
fixed or capped. The impact of viability gap funding like this would simply
increase the envelope available to multiply the number of projects which
can be undertaken.
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5. Independent
Power Transmission
(IPT) Projects
5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
Introduction
This chapter will discuss the Independent Power Transmission (IPT)
model, the scope of which involves the design, construction, and financing
of a single transmission line or a set of transmission lines and/or associated
transmission infrastructure such as substations. The IPT models described
below assume transmission assets that are connected with the country’s
wider electricity network rather than captive assets for the benefit of an
industrial offtaker (which are discussed in chapter 7. Other Private Funding
Structures). Although an IPT is typically used for the development of
greenfield assets, we will also explore how the same concepts can be used
for the refurbishment of existing transmission assets.
IPTs have a proven record in many countries across the world including
Latin America and Asia. They are often described as a less disruptive
intervention in the transmission sector than the other available private
business models as they typically can be implemented with limited or no
regulatory reform. The IPT model, therefore, has the potential to unlock
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The TSA establishes the financial terms and period during which the
project company is entitled to receive payment in exchange for ensuring
the constructed transmission infrastructure is available to be operated by
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
The annuity payment will be sized to ensure the project company can
recover expenses associated with capital expenditure, financing and
operating and maintenance agreement (O&M) expenses related to
constructing, financing and, if applicable, operating the transmission
infrastructure. Depending on the IPT business model, there may be an
element of payment variability associated with asset performance linked to
O&M obligations. However, baseline payment will be sized to ensure
ongoing debt servicing. Below are the most common IPT business models:
Build-Own-Operate (BOO): The TSA grants the project company the
right to build and maintain the transmission infrastructure for an
undefined period. Theoretically, the project company is not obligated to
transfer its ownership when the TSA terminates. This can cause issues
around ownership of the assets by the project company but no clear
legal basis for the revenue streams associated with it at the end of the
term. During the term of the TSA, a portion of the annuity payment
can be conditional on the project company meeting technical
performance specifications or key performance indicators (KPIs),
ensuring the transmission infrastructure is available to be fully utilised
when required.
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
Enabling Environment
There are some countries in SSA that have the regulatory environment or
experience with IPPs to be able to implement IPT business models within
existing legislation. For countries with a track record in IPPs, IPTs could
be considered a logical next step in using private capital to develop and
expand their electricity networks. Many of the same government
stakeholders who are familiar with the process and requirements of an IPP
are likely to have the capacity and relevant experience to enable IPTs,
especially when generation and transmission are bundled under the same
utility.
A regulator will typically have a role in approving (and likely licencing) the
project company to implement a specified IPT business model. Thereafter,
the regulator is likely to be responsible for monitoring compliance with
licence conditions, which could include identified KPIs under the TSA
during the O&M phase. When the TSA includes a simplified payment
model, which eliminates demand risk, the regulator will typically wish to
understand and approve the payment model. Before a TSA is being agreed
to, the regulator needs to understand the cost and benefit to the sector but
will not need to review complex tariff methodologies periodically during
the TSA as required with power generation projects.
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How It Works
Project phases
There are three key phases of an IPT project:
1. Project development
2. Construction and
3. Operations
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Countries can also choose to carry out a certain level of preparatory work
centrally before conducting an auction or tender process to attract a
greater level of investor interest and procure the most cost-effective
construction solution and lowest cost of financing. While effective, this
approach requires more resources initially to manage the project
preparation phase until the developer is selected. Further detail on
choosing between these approaches can be found in the Understanding Power
Project Procurement handbook.
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The development phase will end when the project reaches “financial close,”
i.e. when all conditions precedent to the disbursement of the debt required
for the project have been met, and monies disbursed.
Construction phase
After a financial closure has been achieved, construction will begin. The
project company will typically be responsible for managing the project
activities required to complete the infrastructure, although in some
instances there may be a third party acting as construction manager. Even
in the case of a single contractor (EPC), an owner’s engineer will typically
be retained to supervise all aspects of the project and advise the project
developer/owner. Some financial institutions may employ their own
engineers and legal advisors to monitor construction, in particular the
environmental and social aspects. Lenders will typically disburse their
loans to fund the construction of the assets during this phase, although in
some cases the equity investor in the project company may decide to
finance the construction phase and refinance once the asset is built and
delivered.
Operations phase
Generally speaking in IPT models, the control and dispatch of power will
be the responsibility of the transmission utility acting as TSO, given the
interface with the wider network. It is possible, but rare, for the private
sector project company to take operational control of a section of the
transmission network. Maintenance of the asset, which may include some
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
Stakeholders
The roles of each relevant sector participant concerning an IPT are set out
in the table below.
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Contractual Structure
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
Please note that the table below is indicative and not meant to be
exhaustive. The precise risk allocation between the parties on any
particular transaction may be different to what is identified below as
typical. Risk allocation is always subject to the fact pattern existing in
relation to a particular transaction, investor appetite, and what risks a
government is prepared and able to take on with respect to a particular
transaction.
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Risk
Govt/ IPT
Transmission project
utility company
Financial risk
Demand risk
Credit risk
Inflation
Interest rates
Buy-out payment
Land
Land acquisition
Technical risk
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
Resettlement
Renewals, modifications
Changes in law
Changes in tax
Disputes
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Financing Structure
One of the main advantages that IPT business models bring is the ability
for transmission utilities or host governments to expand transmission
infrastructure using off-balance-sheet financing, via third-party
investment and financing, freeing up financial resources for other
purposes.
Security Arrangements
It is important to note that while asset ownership may lie with the project
company for the duration of the TSA term, in practice, the key form of
security relied upon by project lenders will be the revenue stream set out
within the TSA. As indicated above, while a project company may be
entitled to own the transmission infrastructure which it constructs
permanently, the regulatory licensing regime or the TSA itself may dictate
that the ownership of transmission infrastructure be transferred to the
transmission utility at the end of the TSA term.
The TSA term is purposely defined for a long period (15 years plus) to
spread the cost of long term transmission assets across many years and
minimise the short term impact of servicing these payments on tariff
structures. Payments are likely to follow a regular schedule over the term
of the TSA.
Payment risk
As discussed earlier, simplified payment structures based on the availability
and performance of the transmission infrastructure strip away demand risk
based on utilisation (volume or end-user fees). This has the benefit of
clearly defining a predictable revenue stream which represents a lower risk
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
for investors and therefore attracts a lower cost of capital. Any variability
to the revenue stream introduced via KPI metrics based on a split of risk
allocation between the project company and the transmission utility (e.g.,
for commissioning or O&M responsibilities) may impact revenue risk but
has the advantage of ensuring service quality, which should improve the
operating performance and “availability” of the transmission infrastructure.
If there are concerns about the offtaker’s ability to make timely scheduled
payments, the following can be pursued to provide liquidity support:
government Support Arrangements including termination payments in
the event of non-payment under a TSA;
sector collection accounts that give a degree of priority in payment
waterfalls to investors;
establishing a bank account or a letter of credit structure that maintains
6-month payment reserves; and
non-sovereign credit enhancement products. These are described in
more detail in chapter 2. Financing Structures and Capital Sources.
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15% contribution means there is still some amount of cash outlay expected
from public resources, usually in the form of a down payment. While there
could be alternative ways to finance the 15% contribution, this will take
additional time and resources to structure, which can result in other
inefficiencies.
Other Considerations
Aside from mitigating offtaker payment risk, there are a couple of other
issues worth considering when choosing to implement IPTs which deserve
special mention: land acquisition/right-of-way issues, and transmission
infrastructure ownership.
Land acquisition
Land acquisition is dealt with in chapter 10. Land Acquisition. To implement
an IPT, the party that is best placed to manage this process is best decided
on a case-by-case basis. However, the experience from around the world
suggests that land acquisition/right-of-way risk, in most cases, is best
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
Ownership of transmission
This section has focused on implementing IPT business models for
greenfield transmission infrastructure assets to raise financing that is off
the government’s balance sheet. As outlined when defining IPT business
models, the assumption is that the private sector will obtain a licence to
own the transmission infrastructure for some time, after which the
infrastructure is transferred to the transmission utility as set out in the
TSA. This could be for a period of e.g. 20 or 30 years and is sized to allow
the private sector developer to make a return on its investment.
This follows the example of how PPP business models have been applied to
raise third-party financing to build other types of infrastructure, especially
power generation assets. It is rooted in the philosophy that ownership of
the asset runs concurrently with the project company’s right and ability to
operate the relevant asset. It is typically also a lender requirement that the
project company owns the asset for the long term, so that in a scenario
where the project company has not been able to repay the debt it has
incurred (e.g., because the transmission utility has failed to make payments
to the IPT), lenders can recover their costs by selling the assets over which
they have taken security. Lenders will always take some form of security
(collateral) over the project company’s rights, title and interests — and
having security over assets ensures that lenders have recourse to
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something of value, which they can sell (or at least have the right to do so)
if things have gone wrong and the project is in default. Those rights are
tied to the private ownership of the assets themselves.
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
Reforms in the sector started in 1992, resulting in full deregulation and substantial
privatisation. Eventually, there were 70 power generators, of which 65 rivately
supplied 63% of the total energy. There are 14 transmission companies, all private,
and 23 distribution companies of which 13 are private with 67% market share.
Regulation of the power sector was well-designed and very effective in supporting
a well-functioning power market.
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An important conclusion that can be drawn from the Peruvian experience is that
privately financed projects have been implemented at a fraction of the expected
cost. The experience in other countries (e.g., Brazil and India) were similar. As an
illustration of this, Figure 5.3 below shows that the winning bids in Peru provide
significant savings to the electricity sector versus projected costs (an average of
36% lower).
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
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5. INDEPENDENT POWER TRANSMISSION (IPT) PROJECTS
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6. Whole-of-grid
Concessions
6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Introduction
Governments will consider a whole-of-grid concession when there is the
expectation that a concessionaire can (1) better maintain and operate the
existing transmission network to improve the overall availability and
ultimately utilisation of transmission infrastructure and (2) invest in
extending/upgrading the network to improve reliability and access to the
power supply.
The upfront payment owed by the concessionaire, and the form of this
payment, is covered in further detail later in the chapter. The amount the
concessionaire is required to earn in a year to cover its costs and earn a
return on its investments (the annual revenue requirement) is calculated
using performance-based rate making or cost of service regulation. In
either ratemaking method, the revenue requirement is based on the
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
regulated asset base (RAB) or rate base — a measure of the value of the
assets which are used to perform a regulated service. In a whole-of-grid
concession, the RAB would include all transmission infrastructure the
concessionaire is expected to maintain, operate or expand to deliver
services to a defined customer base (e.g., generators, bulk distributors,
large industrial customers, etc.) in a defined geographic area. In exchange
for delivering these services, the concessionaire earns and collects fees
directly from those customers.
Concession Models
There are two main ways a whole-of-grid concession may be structured:
concession for the whole existing transmission network; and
concession of a portion of an existing transmission network, which can
be limited to a territorial area or identified transmission lines and
related infrastructure.
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
In all cases, the transmission assets are transferred back to the transmission
utility at the end of the concession.
Enabling environment
Whole-of-grid concessions are suitable in jurisdictions that have an
independent electricity regulator and have a regulatory framework that
allows for third parties (such as a concessionaire) to hold a transmission
licence that permits them to construct, operate and maintain transmission
infrastructure. It is also important that the legislative framework permits
private sector parties to own or operate strategic transmission assets.
Changes to legislative and regulatory frameworks to permit whole-of-grid
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Tariff considerations
Considering the ongoing investment required in the operation and
maintenance of transmission infrastructure, it is not practical to establish a
tariff from the outset that the concessionaire may charge customers for use
of the transmission service for the entire term of the concession. To avoid
renegotiating, restructuring, or early termination of a concession due to an
insufficient or inadequate tariff, the tariff methodology the regulator
intends to use should be clearly articulated in a set of tariff guidelines or
the concession agreement. The two most common forms of regulation on
which tariff methodologies are based are the cost-of-service approach and
performance-based regulation. While these will not be covered in detail in
this book, each has its advantages and disadvantages which need to be
carefully considered.
The soundness and certainty of the RAB valuation and associated tariff
methodology are critical to the success of implementing a whole-of-grid
concession, given that the tariffs charged to customers for their use of the
transmission infrastructure are the main source of revenue (and in some
instances the only source of revenue) to the concessionaire.
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
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While the essential regulatory elements were in place since 2003, it took a few
years for the ERC to improve the rate-making methodology and impose the
necessary discipline for setting the specific revenue cap levels. As a result, there
were two unsuccessful attempts before the third successful one in December 2007.
Bidders were very interested to invest in the Philippines mainly because of the
following three factors: (1) there was promising growth prospect in the economy
and the power sector; (2) there was a clear and steadily improving regulatory
framework; and, (3) there was a vibrant domestic private sector which was
interested to participate.
Eventually (in 2007), there were a sufficient number of eligible bidders, who were
convinced of the quality of the regulatory framework and the integrity of the
competitive process. The National Grid Corporation of Philippines (NGCP), a
corporate vehicle of a group of local and international companies, won the
concession.
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
For the second (2006-2010) and third (2011-2015) regulatory periods, the revenue
cap methodology still applied. However, the regulatory uncertainty remained high
in 2006, as the specific revenue cap levels were still debated. The continued
uncertainty undermined the bidders' confidence, and the government finally
decided to drop the third tender in February 2007 when only one bidder remained.
At this point, the government preferred to announce a new auction rather than
negotiate directly with the sole remaining bidder. The ERC used the opportunity to
better prepare for the next auction. The regulatory asset base (RAB), a key
component in the estimation of the maximum allowable revenue, was established
and could be used by investors in preparing their bids. This set the tone for
transparency and predictability of ERC's regulatory process.
The payment of the initial concession fee was made easier by requiring an upfront
payment of only 25 per cent and the deferred payment of the balance under precise
terms and conditions set before the final bid. In the new auction in December 2007,
the successful bid by NGCP yielded $3.95 billion, well above the RAB level that was
set around $3.0 to 3.2 billion.” (World Bank, 2015, p. 8)
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How It Works
Procuring a whole-of-grid concession
Host countries that seek to implement a whole-of-grid concession may
procure them (1) by conducting an international competitive tender or (2)
through direct negotiations. In both cases, the process would likely be
subject to laws governing the procurement and/or public-private
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
For more information on how to procure projects in the power sector, see
the Understanding Power Project Procurement handbook.
Planning
The implementation of a concession will impact the process of planning
the development of the transmission system. Given the duration of a
whole-of-grid concession and the concessionaire’s role in investing in
network expansion, the concessionaire will likely become a key
stakeholder in system planning. Under traditional cost of service
regulation, a concessionaire may have a strong desire to obtain some form
of commitment from a regulator that the regulator will include the capital
costs associated with a future project in the rate base when the project is
placed into service. Under performance-based rate-making, a
concessionaire may be required to submit periodic business plans to the
regulator which outline the new projects it intends to undertake. Those
business plans are in turn used to establish the annual revenue
requirements for the period that is covered by the business plan.
Concession fees
A concession agreement typically provides that the concessionaire will pay
upfront or ongoing concession fees to the transmission utility. A
concession fee provides a source of revenue to the transmission utility
which it can use to fund its ongoing costs. A balance must be struck
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between how much the transmission utility needs to recover against the
impact on transmission fees to the system: generally, higher concession
fees will lead to higher transmission charges.
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Option Description
Option 1 Under this option the concession fee would consist of:
1. An up-front payment calculated as the value of the RAB
(or a significant portion thereof); and
2. Ongoing payments that are sized to enable the
transmission utility to cover its ongoing costs during the
term of the concession.
The transmission utility would use the up-front payment to
retire its debts and would use ongoing payments to fund the
ongoing expenses for the term of the concession.
The regulated asset base of the concession would initially be
established as the amount of the up-front payment. That
portion of the regulated asset base would depreciate at a
specified rate designed to balance the competing interests of
reducing the regulated asset base and reducing the
depreciation charge recognised in each annual revenue
requirement.
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Stakeholders
Identifying and mapping stakeholders and their likely interests, concerns
and objectives is an essential first step in determining groups of
stakeholders that may support or oppose a whole-of-grid concession, with
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
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Table 6.2: The potential effects of the whole grid concession model
on sector actors
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Contractual Structure
The participants in a concession and their contractual relationships are
shown in Figure 6.2. The structure presented in Figure 6.2 assumes that
the state-owned transmission utility does not act as a single buyer. If the
state owned transmission utility does act as a single buyer then additional
contracts will be necessary to separate rights and obligations related to
transmission from rights and obligations related to supply.
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Concession agreement
The concession agreement will typically provide that:
The transmission utility will retain ownership of the existing
transmission system but will concede and/or lease the existing
transmission system and related immovable assets that are useful for
operating and maintaining the network and are used by the
transmission utility for that purpose to the concessionaire for the life of
the concession.
The transmission utility will lease or sell to the concessionaire all of the
transmission utility’s moveable property, equipment, and inventory of
spare parts.
The transmission utility will transfer its right, title, and interest in some
contracts to which the transmission utility is a party, which may include
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Termination payments
The concession agreement and/or the relevant government support
agreement will include a termination payment or “buy-out price”, which is
payable at the end of the term of a concession or earlier, upon certain early
termination events.
This payment amount, if paid at the end of a concession, may often be set
to equal the regulated asset base as of the end of the last year of the
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Transmission licence
The concession agreement and Government Support Agreement may
contain only a part of the obligations of the concessionaire. Other
obligations the concessionaire will need to perform are likely to be set out
in the wider legislative framework, including any implementing
regulations issued under the regulatory framework, and any licences issued
to the concessionaire by the regulator.
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Please note that the table below is indicative, and not meant to be
exhaustive. The precise risk allocation between the parties on any
particular transaction can vary from what is presented below. Risk
allocation is always subject to the fact pattern existing with a particular
transaction, investor appetite, and what risks a government is prepared
and able to support on a particular transaction.
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Risk
Govt/
Conces-
Transmission Consumers
sionaire
utility
Financial risk
Demand risk
Credit risk
Inflation
Interest rates
Termination payment
Land
Pre-existing environmental
conditions
Technical risk
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
Resettlement
Renewals, modifications
Changes in law
Changes in tax
Disputes
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Financing a Whole-of-grid
Concession
Financing models for whole-of-grid concessions
Network industries require ongoing investment. Ongoing investment
requires ongoing increases to the equity invested in the business and
ongoing increases (and repayments) of debt. Project finance structures are
not well suited to ongoing and open-ended borrowing. For this reason,
network utilities with ongoing investment requirements are, as a general
rule, financed using corporate finance, not project finance. This has several
implications. For example:
the range of debt-to-equity ratios that can reasonably be achieved using
corporate finance is lower than the range of debt-to-equity ratios that
can be achieved using project finance;
the tenor of corporate loans are significantly shorter than the tenor of
project finance loans;
unless a corporate borrower issues bonds, the interest rates on its debt
obligations are, as a general rule, floating rates; and
corporate borrowers have a constant need to borrow to roll over their
debt obligations.
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
year. This should not be surprising, given that project financing techniques
were developed in part to increase debt-to-equity ratios, increase tenors,
and enable borrowers to hedge their exposure to floating interest rates.
A whole-of-grid concession does not preclude donors and MDBs from still
financing new transmission infrastructure build, nor does it change the
role of DFI or ECA lending for new transmission assets. Transmission
assets that continue to benefit from donors or other external financings
can still be operated by the concessionaire.
Donor funding can also provide viability gap funding to help support a
concessionaire’s acquisition of a regulated asset base, with the remainder of
the funding being financed by the concessionaire. The concessionaire
would earn a return on the portion of the asset base it has self-financed,
but not a return on the donor portion of the financing. The blending of
donor or concessional capital in this way helps subsidise the cost to the
concessionaire of operating and maintaining sections of the transmission
network which may be less commercial or in a poor state.
Other Considerations
This chapter has discussed the whole-of-grid concession in the context of
concessioning the operation, maintenance, and expansion of the
transmission network on a standalone basis. In reality in Sub-Saharan
Africa, there are only a handful of examples where the transmission
network has been concessioned, and generally, this has been the case when
it has been bundled along with generation and distribution services. At the
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6. WHOLE-OF-GRID CONCESSIONS
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7. Other Private
Funding Structures
UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Introduction
In this chapter, we describe other private sector-led models of
procurement for transmission infrastructure, namely:
merchant transmission lines
industrial demand-driven model, and
privatisations
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7. OTHER PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
How it works
The assets of a merchant line/system are entirely owned by the private
party who invests or finances its construction. Merchant lines are generally
new construction, though it is conceivable that an existing line/system is
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privatised and sold to a private party for them to maintain and operate.
The state-owned utility responsible for transmission infrastructure has no
financial interest in the merchant line.
Despite the private ownership, merchant lines are still subject to technical
compliance with grid code (if in place) and regulations in the same manner
as all power system assets. This includes approvals on siting/permitting,
design and technology to ensure safety, alignment, and efficiency in the
national power system. The extent to which a merchant line is subject to
regulation is primarily a function of the regulatory framework of the host
jurisdiction(s).
Merchant line developers are responsible both for the initial capital costs
to purchase the rights-of-way, design and construction of the project, and
for ongoing operations and maintenance costs. The commercial viability of
a merchant line rests entirely on its ability to capture value through power
pricing arbitrage across markets or by selling its capacity to third parties. In
promoting this model, advanced transmission network planning and
coordination is important. Also, there will be requirements to review
policies that do not accommodate a decentralised competitive wholesale
market.
To secure a revenue source, there are three potential avenues for securing
customers in the merchant model.
Bilateral negotiation with a potential anchor credit-worthy customer;
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and environmental and social risk. These risks, coupled with the market
demand risk, pose a challenge to most private investors, which return
expectations alone will not be able to overcome.
In places where there are no markets like SAPP, the regulations for cross-
border trades involving private participants are unlikely to have been fully
developed. Without regulatory certainty, it is difficult for the private
sector participants to develop a project on a merchant basis, as regulatory
certainty is required for long-term investments.
Industrial Demand-driven
Model
In the industrial demand-driven model, transmission expansion is driven
by the electricity needs of one or more large industrial consumers. The
transmission line will be financed, built, and operated to serve the
industrial area where the large consumer(s) conduct their businesses. The
relevant transmission line, once built, could remain in the hands of the
private sector or could be handed back to the transmission utility
responsible for the ownership and maintenance of transmission assets
(often in countries that consider transmission infrastructure a public
good).
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7. OTHER PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
Industrially driven development may not have initially been part of the
government’s overall strategic plan to electrify and connect its population
to the power grid. The same pattern is reflected in other forms of
infrastructure such as roads and railway lines. Particularly where
commodities are involved (e.g., mines or extractive industries) or where
there is a burgeoning industry (often based on a natural resource), the
private sector may engage the government to obtain the relevant
rights/licences to construct and sometimes operate the relevant power
and/or transmission infrastructure. Such lines may also be initially
constructed by the government and transferred to the private sector as part
of privatisation.
How it works
One or several large industrial network users located within the same area
will typically establish or be approached by a project company that will be
responsible for financing and constructing transmission assets used to
wheel power generated outside the industrial area. The power generator
may be a state-owned utility, the project company or another generator
that has entered into a standard power purchase agreement with members
of the consortium. The project company will prepare a transmission
expansion proposal for submission to the government regulator.
Depending on the structure of the transaction, the costs of the network are
allocated to (or among) the industrial user(s) either based on a method
established by the regulator or a method agreed upon between the project
company and the industrial user(s) at the time the project company was
established.
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However, unlike the merchant line model, the business case for the
industrial demand-driven models is based on the creditworthiness of the
industrial users of the network. Hence, the demand risk associated with the
merchant line model is reduced in the industrial demand-driven model —
the line is built primarily by or for the demand.
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7. OTHER PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
Privatisation
Privatisation, otherwise called full divestiture in the context of this
handbook, relates to the transfer of full ownership in the transmission
infrastructure to a private-sector party. Privatisation may occur on a single
transmission corridor, by region or even in respect of the entire
transmission system operation in a country. Once privatisation has taken
place, the transmission company is typically restructured, management
processes are re-aligned, technology and infrastructure investments are
planned and the government influence on the operation and management
is limited to regulatory activities.
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7. OTHER PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
How it works
Privatisation can be implemented in at least three ways:
A sale of shares — where all or a majority of the shareholding of the
existing transmission company is transferred to a private entity. In this
option, the existing transmission company and its licences remain
unchanged and the transfer occurs at the shareholding level;
The government and the new owner may also enter into a government
support agreement, which protects the new private sector owner from
certain risks such as change-in-law, expropriation and foreign exchange.
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7. OTHER PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
CEC currently owns a network of more than 1,000 kilometres of transmission lines
at 220kV and 66kV, 43 high voltage substations and a transmission interconnection
between Zambia and the DRC. The company purchases electricity from ZESCO, the
Zambian national power utility, and sells this across its transmission network to
many Zambian mining customers with a combined average demand of approx. 450
MW. CEC also operates 6 gas turbine generators for emergency power supply with
a total installed capacity of 80MW.
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The business model of CEC is not solely focused on transmission line assets as the
company diversified its activities in recent years and has also developed generation
projects and conducts power trading activities. Nonetheless, CEC is a good example
of an industrial-led funding model as it was set up to address specific needs of the
mining industry in the Copperbelt region. Hence, the funding required for the
acquisition, maintenance, upgrade, and expansion of the network was provided on
the basis of the mining companies’ ability to pay for electricity and the strength of
the commodity sector. Moreover, the characteristics of some of the world’s deepest
copper mines required consistency of supply to guarantee the safety of the mines’
workers. The reliability standards of the network and the readily available
emergency power supply were therefore specifically designed to respond to the
specificities of the mining activities.
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7. OTHER PRIVATE FUNDING STRUCTURES
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Privatisations
Privatisation relates to the transfer of full ownership in the
transmission infrastructure to a private-sector party. Privatisation
may occur on a single transmission corridor, by region or even in
respect of the entire transmission system operation in a country.
Once privatisation has taken place, the transmission company is
typically restructured.
Challenges to this model include a government's concerns about
loss of ownership of its natural monopoly and control, the fear that
privatisation will result in increased tariffs and the risk of significant
job losses with the public utility.
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8. Government
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Enhancement
UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
Introduction
Sovereign support and additional credit enhancements, when needed, will
be required for the IPT, network concession, and privatisation funding
structures. As is the case for the financing of other types of infrastructure
assets, the need for additional credit enhancements and sovereign support
for the financing of transmission infrastructure will be largely defined by
the type of financing procured, and the country’s and power sector’s
economic viability. The sector’s solvency will be instrumental in defining
lenders’ requirements for providing financing, including which credit
enhancements are necessary and whether a sovereign guarantee will be
requested.
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To protect Transener from revenue losses arising from the volatility of the variable
network charges, the government guaranteed Transener $55 million per year in
variable network charges for the first five years of the concession. Any shortfall
from the guaranteed amount would be covered by a corresponding surcharge on
the line availability charges.
This case illustrates the importance for the government to ensure the stability of
the revenues in private sector-led funding structures. While in the Transener case,
the government did not undertake to cover the revenue shortfall directly, it
provided initial support against the risk by a regulatory mechanism established in
the concession agreement.
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Government Support
Before issuing a sovereign guarantee, governments should carefully
consider all available options and assess the magnitude of the payment
obligations, the related contingent liabilities and the impact these
obligations will have on the country’s overall debt sustainability.
Nonetheless, providing government support in favour of transmission
infrastructure financing can result in many potential benefits for the host
government. In making decisions about the support needed from the
government, all stakeholders should have an appreciation of the various
factors the government must balance when weighing the benefits and
challenges of granting credit enhancement.
The need for credit support from a host government may be required both
to address continuing payment risks and/or to address the ability to satisfy
termination payments. A sovereign guarantee can backstop routine
payments and give direct protection for termination payments and other
obligations affecting the transmission utility’s ability to repay the
financiers.
For the IPT model, the need for government support should be anticipated
since the model will use project finance to raise the debt necessary for the
transmission project. For the whole-of-grid concession and the
privatisation models, the government is also likely to be requested to
provide support although the scope may vary significantly depending on
the level of capital investment required to be made and the specificities of
the transaction. Furthermore, for the privatisation model, more
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Direct Agreements
Direct agreements are agreements that give the lenders a right to "step into the
shoes" of the project company with the key project contracts if the project company
— or another contractual counterparty — defaults in some way. While the
counterparties to the government support agreement will be the project company,
the lenders will enter into a direct agreement with the government related to the
government support agreement. This direct agreement will enable the lenders to
step into the shoes of the project company and directly enforce the rights of the
project company in the government support agreement in an event of default.
This type of agreement is also common in a project finance context for the IPT
business model. It will enable lenders to take possession of the project they have
financed if there is a material default by the developer. The lenders may then decide
to select a new operator to avoid complete failure of the project.
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9. Planning and
Project Preparation
9. PLANNING AND PROJECT PREPARATION
Introduction
Transmission systems play a crucial role in moving electricity from power
plants to the end users. The farther the plants are from load centres, the
more important it will be to plan carefully the development of the
transmission infrastructure. With a growing focus on cheaper and greener
energy sources that are frequently located in less populated areas, it is
becoming even more imperative to efficiently transmit electricity across
the grid. In this chapter, we will discuss the following:
The power system planning process;
The process for developing a Transmission Development Plan (TDP);
The need for the planning process to result in the selection of a project
with an appropriate financing structure; and
The process for procuring private sector participants.
This chapter will discuss the various steps from the power system planning
phase to the procurement of a transmission asset.
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The typical process flow for developing a new transmission line is depicted
below. This chapter will expand on each of these processes:
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Integrated Resource
Planning
Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) is usually done by the Government.
This is done at a national level to develop a plan to meet all the country’s
national energy demands with available and planned supply. It is a
planning and selection process for electricity infrastructure development,
which assesses all options for providing adequate and reliable electricity
service to end users at the least system cost.
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and cogeneration. The IRP process considers the impact of any of these
options on the efficiency and reliability of the electricity network. An IRP
will provide a country with an energy plan for a long period, usually 20
years. Although the IRP has a strong focus on power generation
requirements, it does account for high-level transmission costing to
connect generation power plants and load to main collector substations.
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Transmission Development
Plan (TDP)
The TDP is developed by the transmission utility. In some instances, there
may exist an independent system operator but this is not common in
Africa.
The TDP utilises the IRP as an input. The TDP is needed to identify
specific transmission projects which are required to ensure that the
electricity generated reaches the end users and satisfies their needs. The
TDP is crucial to the current and future viability of a country’s power
sector.
The planning process, as depicted in Figure 9.2, identifies the gap between
the capacity of the existing transmission system and the infrastructure
needed to meet current and projected demand. This process takes into
account several key factors including the historical demand, the quality of
power supply, the economic growth and development goals, regulatory
requirements, connections to new power plants, system losses, undesirable
voltage profiles and new industrial customers with high demand.
Regulatory requirements can include the need to meet the quality of supply
or system reliability standards or technical loss limits set by the regulator.
Regulations including the grid code may also impose obligations on the
transmission utility to connect, for instance, renewable energy plants
which are typically located in undeveloped parts of the country and away
from load centres. All these factors serve as inputs into the analysis of
options for transmission system development.
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Figure 9.2: Graphical illustration of the planning process. The figure is adapted
from the process employed by Chile
Stakeholders
A wide range of public and private stakeholders with different interests
may be involved in the transmission planning process, depending on the
structure of the power system and the market operations. The sector’s
stakeholders will typically include the Ministry of Energy, the economic
planning ministry, power generators, utilities, industrial customers,
regulators, the investment community, and the transmission utility(ies).
While some of these stakeholders may play active roles in the process (e.g.,
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For best results, the team of experts will be composed of different experts
such as economists, environmental specialists and engineers experienced in
planning, design, operations and maintenance. Existing and prospective
power producers must be consulted during this phase of the planning
process. The output of the analytical work is a list of projects required to
satisfy the evolving needs of the power system, more specifically to ensure
that generated electricity is transmitted to end users in the most efficient
manner and satisfies the demand needs of end users.
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Route Identification
At an early stage, satellite images and available topographical data may be
used to identify one or a few feasible routes for further analysis and
investigation. Routes that have little chance of success such as routes close
to communities and nature reserves, can be avoided. When one or a few
viable routes are selected, further investigation may warrant on-site
activities such as “walking/driving/flying” the route to confirm initial
findings. At this stage, environmental screening activities may also start
and community consultations are essential. The main outcome of this
phase will be the specification of a few routes from identified substations,
which are low cost and have low or manageable environmental and social
impacts. More detail on route identification, land acquisition and
environmental and social impact studies is provided in chapter 10. Land
acquisition.
Figure 9.3: Some activities are undertaken for route identification and selection
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Transmission Project
Selection
The next phase of the transmission planning process is the selection of
specific projects. In this context, the relative merits of the options and
alternatives generated from the analytical work are evaluated and ranked.
Considerations other than electrical parameters come into play, including
critical factors such as the environmental and social impacts. The options
and alternatives are therefore not only compared based on technical
efficiency and cost but also according to their environmental, social and
regulatory impacts. The set of viable, economical, and environmentally
feasible projects selected at the end of this phase constitute the TDP.
The output of the TDP is a list of viable project alternatives for meeting
the identified needs of the power system. Out of this list, the projects to be
developed are selected. The case study below provides an example of a
TDP.
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To achieve this, Eskom has to carry out many assessments such as conducting
strategic Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs) and strategic servitude
acquisition, working closely with the government on the IRP development,
independently determining its own national and regional forecast at the Main
Transmission Substation (MTS) level, and merging planning data with operational
data to ensure that reliability is improved. All of Eskom's planning is also designed
to meet the South African Grid code and to ensure that the new generation is
integrated. More than 10000 MW of new generation has been integrated into the
grid over the last 10 year with a substantial increase expected for the next ten
years. Eskom also develops a strategic long-term Transmission Plan that is updated
every 2 to 3 years based on long term strategic assumptions over 20 years (instead
of the 10-year planning horizon for the TDP which is updated annually).
Project Preparation
The planning process for transmission infrastructure will provide the
utility or a ministry with a list of projects for implementation. At this stage,
a project can be identified for concept definition and initial design. A
typical project will follow the following phases:
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Pre-feasibility analysis
The pre-feasibility analysis will focus on confirming several assumptions of
the TDP route identification process and high-level environment and
social impact assessment (ESIA) to confirm (or adjust) the preliminary
analyses or conclusions made in the context of the TDP. The pre-feasibility
analysis is considered a high-risk phase of a transmission project. It is
therefore important to keep costs as low as possible. The project will
progress toward a full feasibility study if the outcome of the pre-feasibility
is satisfactory.
The private sector is rarely involved at this stage of the project preparation
process because of the significant uncertainty surrounding the project’s
viability and business case. For this reason, the Government or
transmission utility should always budget or seek funding to provide for
the cost of the pre-feasibility studies for the projects identified.
Feasibility study
The feasibility study will be conducted on the route selected by the pre-
feasibility study and confirms or refines its conclusions through detailed
analysis and technical designs. Examples of activities carried out at this
stage may include power system analysis to establish the technical
feasibility, estimated power flows and scenario simulation for losses under
different operating conditions. Other activities include in-depth data
gathering, site reconnaissance activities including visual inspection of the
route and development of a digital terrain model, alternate route analysis,
geotechnical and other advance studies, substation site selection and
layout, risk assessment, stakeholder engagement and route selection
workshops.
At the end of the feasibility study, the project should have complete initial
design and cost estimates, a financial and an economic business case, an
ESIA, recommendations of contract procurement packages, legal structure
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options and an approach for the financing of the capital works. All of these
activities will set the scene for project structuring to affirm the bankability
of the project.
At this stage, the inclusion of the private sector will be easier and can be
considered. However, to attract greater interest, the government or utility
can also consider conducting the feasibility study before approaching the
private developers. If private participation does not gain traction at the
feasibility stage, it should consider alternative public funding options.
Some of these fund sources also support capacity building, facilitate and
support the enabling environment to support infrastructure investment by
the public and private sectors, or a combination of both. It should be noted
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that multiple funds may be used for the same project. For example, a fund
may be used to develop and conclude the ESIA study while another may
fund the technical feasibility report.
When the decision has been made to include the private sector, the
government needs to consider the procurement approach. This is
discussed in the following sections.
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Procurement framework
The applicable procurement framework is closely linked to the source of
funding for that particular project. If the government or the transmission
utility conducts the project preparation (pre-feasibility and feasibility
studies) then the sovereign laws, guidelines, and regulations become
applicable. If the feasibility studies are funded by grants from donors, then
there will be a requirement to waive the local requirements for the
procurement and adopt the donor’s requirements. This is often captured in
a grant agreement between the government and the donor.
It should be further noted that funding for the capital works must be kept
in mind. If funding is sought from DFIs for the capital works, a review of
all procurement activities will be conducted. If the local procurement
guidelines and regulations do not provide for competitive procurement
then it is advisable to adopt AfDB or World Bank guidelines to avoid
further challenges in raising finance.
Procurement structure
Having developed a TDP and completed project preparation activities, the
government and the procuring entity need to identify a procurement
approach. The government must decide earlier on which entity will
manage procurement. Below we will briefly discuss different types of
procurement that can be considered. The procurement approach, planning
and structure are discussed in great detail in the Understanding Power Project
Procurement handbook.
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Competitive tenders
A competitive tender (also called an auction or competitive bidding
process) is a process initiated by a procuring entity to select the sponsors
that will develop a project through a competitive process. A competitive
tender requires investors to compete directly against each other, on the
same terms, for the opportunity to develop a project (or projects). This
procurement structure harnesses the power of competition to achieve the
objectives of the procuring entity. Bids are therefore evaluated primarily
on price, but may also include additional evaluation criteria.
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Direct Negotiations
Negotiating a project with single or multiple developers without inviting
other interested parties to engage in a procurement process is referred to
as either a negotiated deal, a direct negotiation, or a sole-sourced power
procurement. A direct negotiation may be initiated by the procuring entity
or by the sponsors. In either case, the procuring entity must ensure that
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10. Land Acquisition
10. LAND ACQUISITION
Introduction
A transmission line may be hundreds of kilometres long. The route may
cross land that is owned by the national government, state or regional
governments, public authorities, private landowners, or it could be tribal
or community-owned land. In many cases, it will be a combination of all of
these types of landownership. In addition to the transmission lines
themselves, substations are likely to be located along the line. Before
financing can be disbursed or construction can begin, rights-of-way,
wayleaves or easements must be acquired along the length of the route and
ownership interests over the land on which substations will be constructed
must be acquired. These are all forms of “access right” or ownership
interest, that enables the contractor to build along a pre-identified route
and are usually granted by the relevant landowner (whether this be a
governmental authority or private individual).
When it comes to substations, not only must the land on which it is built
be secured, it also needs to be accessible by road to get construction
materials to the site and for ongoing operations and maintenance. If they
are not, additional rights-of-way or easements must be procured to
provide access to the substations.
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The land acquisition process can present one of the most significant
impediments to implementing greenfield transmission infrastructure
development. The key is careful, methodical and early planning to
implement an efficient and expeditious land acquisition strategy. The
stakeholder best placed to negotiate and finance land acquisition will
depend on how that stakeholder is empowered to execute this activity, to
implement a project on time and at the lowest cost. With varying land
rights at stake, the matter is unlikely to be simple, and coordination with
stakeholders at all levels (from individual landowners to communities, to
the relevant lands ministry) will be fundamental to ensure a smooth and
successful process.
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For transmission lines and land acquisition, the screening and scoping
stages are critical. Screening is a quick high-level analysis to determine
whether a full ESIA is required. If a full ESIA is required, scoping
determines which impacts are likely to be significant and become the main
focus of the ESIA.
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The ESIA process must start at the concept stage or sooner as part of the
planning process. With an early start to the ESIA, the challenges faced by
projects can be managed and addressed. Transmission line developments
will be assessed against:
The process to prepare ESIA has been performed to the appropriate
level, with a plan to finance and implement identified mitigation plans,
including managing biodiversity;
Stakeholder consultation, including time and process allocated for
stakeholder engagement;
The process to prepare, finalise, and obtain agreement on the RAP,
including evaluating the adequacy of economic compensation and/or
physical relocation for identified affected individuals and/or
households; and
Availability of sufficient budget required for resettlement planning and
implementation.
By initiating the ESIA process early, the utility or government can make
informed decisions on the most optimal line route with due consideration
of these challenges. Some of these may be avoided through strategic
acquisitions as described above or can be avoided through alternative
routes.
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To the extent that the land acquisition is moved to the private sector, the
private sector may be able to fund the acquisition out of development costs
but are less likely to exercise the same leverage or bargaining power than
the government (local or national). The appetite they will have to do this
will depend upon how certain they are about having the rights to execute
the rest of the transaction (i.e., have they been awarded a tender or
concession to develop the project). In any event, the private sector will
need to work closely with the government at both a local and national level
to ensure adequate compensation is being paid to affected peoples and
landowners.
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For some IPP projects, the risk for the transmission connection to the grid
can be passed on to the IPP (e.g., generation-linked transmission project
discussed in chapter 3. Common Funding Structures in the African Market).
The IPP will need to acquire the land rights and conduct all the associated
studies to ensure that the power generation project can evacuate the
power. It should be noted that these are usually shorter transmission lines
that simply allow for the connection to the existing grid.
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When this right is exercised, it is expected that the government will pay a
fair market value for the right. Typically the land value includes the value
of any agricultural assets or use of the land as well as the price of having to
move any dwellings or other fixtures, but this will be dependent on each
country’s laws — and — if funding is being provided by a DFI or MDB or
donor agency, is likely to need to meet the international standard of
adequate economic compensation.
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11. Common Risks
11. COMMON RISKS
Introduction
The purpose of this section is to identify the most common risks associated
with private transmission projects/investments. The risks summarised
here are universal and should be considered regardless of the business
model which may be selected for each specific project. How each risk is
mitigated, however, may differ based on the business model (see chapters
5, 6, and 7 for the discussion of risk mitigation for each business
model). Understanding the detailed risk allocation will be an important
part of the assessment of a project for a government, transmission utility,
or transmission investor. Such understanding will also inform the policy
case and the commercial case and impact the availability or cost of
financing for a project.
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To differentiate amongst the common risks, they have been grouped into
six categories: financial, land, technical, social and environmental, political
and regulatory, and dispute resolution. A diagrammatic summary of what
falls into these categories is set out below.
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Financial Risks
The financial risks detailed below arise from private participation in
transmission infrastructure.
Demand risk
A substantial risk for any transmission project is demand risk. Demand risk
is the risk that there will not be enough demand for electricity from end
users in a prescribed period to enable the private investor to recover the
capital costs of building the transmission infrastructure. The risk is
characterised as an under-utilisation of the transmission assets such that,
over time, the transmission assets do not generate enough revenue to
cover their construction and operating costs.
Private investors are very unlikely to accept any exposure to demand risk:
such exposure arises when the payment terms of a project are linked to the
use of the relevant transmission infrastructure (often termed a “utilisation
factor”). For example, the main private transmission business models
discussed in this book — independent power transmission projects (see
chapter 5) and concessions (see chapter 6) — allocate demand risk to the
transmission utility, the host government, or electricity consumers.
Regardless of who bears this risk, the best way to mitigate it is to ensure
that the project includes assets that are essential and necessary for the
country’s requirements, as demonstrated by comprehensive planning and
feasibility studies. Hence, the focus for a private investor is on how to build
this asset as efficiently as possible and on time, and to use the most efficient
operating model.
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Credit risk
The ability of existing utilities to make payments to private transmission
companies under long-term contracts is referred to as “credit risk”. This
type of risk is significant in the African market since few utilities on the
continent generate enough cash themselves to recover their operational
and capital expenditure costs. This is due to a combination of high costs
and low revenues. In extreme cases, utilities may become functionally or
legally insolvent. As a result, utility credit risk is one of the most important
risks which need to be managed.
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Different business models for transmission investment deal with this risk
differently. However, the majority of investors, including international
lenders, with a mandate presently suitable for the sector in Sub-Saharan
Africa will be unable to take currency risk. Even where this risk is
mitigated by a pass-through to the utility or government, an investor will
need to consider the impact of foreign exchange risk as part of the overall
credit risk assessment described earlier in this chapter.
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Land
Transmission infrastructure, especially transmission lines, can cover
several hundreds of kilometres, adding to the complexity of securing
financing. Unlike power generation assets that are location-specific,
acquiring the rights-of-way requires considerable political, community,
social, economic, and environmental considerations for each community
or geographic terrain along the transmission line route. Resettlement and
the security of the infrastructure — from both a public safety perspective
and against vandalism or theft — increases the risk of delays in, and
escalates the costs of, developing and delivering transmission
infrastructure.
Please see chapter 10. Land Acquisition for further details on the land
acquisition process.
Technical Risk
Transmission projects involve many technical risks. Identifying these and
apportioning them between a host government or transmission utility and
a private investor is an important part of agreeing to the terms of any
project. Private investors will then seek to mitigate and pass through many
of these risks by contracting with EPC contractors and/or O&M providers,
or through insuring against these risks where suitable. In many cases,
transferring some of these risks to a private investor is a key benefit for a
host government or transmission utility and may form part of the rationale
for introducing private investment.
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Interface Risks
Private transmission projects may be as simple as a single transmission line
or may include multiple lines. They may include new substations or the
expansion or refurbishment of existing ones. They may link to new or
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Technology Risks
New technology risk is not common for transmission projects, as the
technology is relatively standard. However, soon new technologies will be
developed including smart grid capabilities and battery storage. IPTs will
not usually take on new technology risk as they are difficult to finance
without a proven track record. However, whole-of-grid concessions and
privatisation models do allow private sector operators to experiment with
new technology within their wider business. Encouraging innovation and
improvements is a possible benefit of network concession models.
Technology risks are reduced or eliminated by ensuring that the specific
technology has demonstrated good performance and reliability in other
projects of scale and similar operating conditions. Risks associated with
new technologies can also be mitigated through appropriate supplier
guarantees.
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11. COMMON RISKS
Resettlement
If resettlement of persons is required to build and operate the transmission
project, a very thorough assessment is needed to ensure that it is handled
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Climate change
Finally, it should be mentioned that assessment of greenhouse gases as a
result of the transmission project is becoming more and more common.
Certainly, energy losses in the transmission line could be linked to
greenhouse gases. However, investments in transmission reduce losses.
Transmission is a key enabling infrastructure for renewables and green
power sources and as a result, investments in transmission may contribute
substantially to the reduction of emissions of greenhouse gases.
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Change in law
The transmission utility and the host government will likely require the
project company to contractually commit to comply in all material respects
with the laws of the host country. The project company should in turn be
able to commit to doing so, at least by reference to applicable laws at the
outset of the project based on legal due diligence and advice. The project
company (and by extension its lenders) will, however, find it difficult to
give an unqualified commitment to comply with laws to the extent that
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laws may change over time. This risk arising from the impact of a
changing legal environment over the life of the project is referred to as a
change in law risk.
The scope of change in law risk has evolved to include (a) the introduction
of a new law, (b) modification of existing law, and/or (c) changes in the
interpretation of the law by any court, tribunal, governmental entity or
other authority which has applicable jurisdiction or regulatory oversight
concerning the project or the project company. “Law” in this context is
often defined as covering a comprehensive range of legislative, statutory
and regulatory instruments, orders, guidelines, and so on.
The general principle behind the allocation of change in the law risk is that
the project company should be left in no better or worse position than if
the relevant change in law had not occurred. This protection is often
subject to limits, such as the need for a “material” impact on the project
economics or exclusions for changes in law related to human rights or
environmental protection.
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to pay for or reimburse the project company for such cost or revenue
shortfall, or (b) an appropriate tariff increase. Conversely, if the project
company benefits from a change in law, then an appropriate downward
adjustment in the tariff will typically apply. If a change in law renders
performance under the project agreement impossible, the project company
will generally be entitled to trigger the termination payment provided for
in the agreement.
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Dispute Resolution
Unfortunately, disputes do sometimes arise, even in the context of well-
structured transactions that have been implemented by parties that were
well advised by legal, technical, financial, and other specialist advisors. The
contracts that are discussed in this handbook are all long-term contracts
and the parties to them cannot always anticipate the circumstances that
may arise over a period that may sometimes exceed 30 years.
When a dispute arises, all parties will have an interest in resolving the
dispute as quickly, efficiently, and amicably as they can. The purpose of
dispute resolution mechanisms is to ensure that disputes are resolved
quickly so that the parties can put the dispute behind them and continue to
perform their obligations and enjoy their rights under the contracts they
have entered into.
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It is worth noting that the legal frameworks that support the validity and
binding nature of arbitration are well developed. In contrast, the legal
frameworks related to the determination of disputes by technical experts is
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less well developed and that a decision may not be final and binding even if
a project agreement indicates that it will be if applicable law does not
provide that such decisions are final and binding. Care is necessary in the
context of cross-border projects because the laws of multiple countries
must be considered.
Independent engineers
If the transaction involves the appointment of an independent engineer,
the independent engineer may issue recommendations or opinions that
can help the parties resolve disputes. The list of issues that can be
submitted to an independent engineer can be agreed upon during the
negotiation of the project agreements. An independent engineer is
mandated in a separate agreement among the independent engineer and
the parties to the project agreement in relation to which the engineer is
being appointed. If the parties intend for an independent engineer to play a
role in resolving disagreements as they arise, it is advisable to appoint an
independent engineer at the outset of the project. This avoids delays and
disagreement as to the identity of the independent engineer after a
disagreement arises. It also means that the independent engineer will have
more background knowledge about the project and may be able to issue
well-informed recommendations and opinions more quickly as a result.
Arbitration
Arbitration is used to resolve disputes that cannot be resolved through
informal processes or processes that involve a technical expert or
independent engineer. Unless the project agreements include a provision
that requires the parties to resolve disputes by binding arbitration, the
dispute would be submitted to courts that have jurisdiction over the
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The parties to a contract may choose from various sets of arbitration rules
to resolve disputes. Those rules include rules issued by the International
Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), the
International Chamber of Commerce (the ICC), the United Nations
Commission on International Trade Law (UNCITRAL), and the London
Court of International Arbitration (the LCIA). Other arbitration rules also
exist, including under OHADA law. Each set of rules addresses issues such
as the qualifications of arbitrators, the number of arbitrators, the method
of appointing arbitrators, the confidentiality of the proceedings, the fees
and costs of the arbitrators, and many procedural issues.
The law of the seat can even influence the ultimate enforceability of any
award. Prudent contracting parties would undertake some due diligence of
the chosen seat.
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12. Regulatory
Framework
12. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
Introduction
Regulatory frameworks are fundamental to the effective operations of the
electricity sector in any country. A predictable regulatory framework is of
particular importance to private funding structures since the existing
framework forms the assumptions upon which the investment is made at
the outset of the project and ongoing regulation represents a risk over the
life of the project.
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Regulation by Contract
For certain private investments where the transmission project will operate largely
on an independent basis (e.g., whole-of-network concessions and IPT models), it
may be possible to finance a project even if the regulatory framework is not fully
developed. Both the economic and technical regulations described in this chapter
can be defined directly in the project agreements, which is referred to as Regulation
by Contract. This does not foreclose the possibility of developing a regulatory
framework as that legislative process may continue in parallel with the
implementation of the project. There are many cases in the power sector where one
or two projects have led the way and provided useful lessons learned that are
translated into long-term regulations. It is important to note, however, that the use
of Regulation by Contract should be limited as a widespread use would result in a
market with widely divergent regulation of different projects. Any plan for wide-
scale investment from the private sector will require an independent and stable
regulatory framework that governs all market actors on equal terms.
Definition of an
Independent Regulator
The independence of the regulator is a primary concern for transmission
project investors given the significant possibility for political influence in
the energy sector. As a regulated asset that supports the broader public
benefit of energy access, there is often an incentive for political actors to
artificially lower transmission and other energy costs to generate goodwill
with consumers (particularly ahead of elections). In its basic ideal form, an
independent regulator will not be subject to any political influences or
special interest groups and will be autonomous in its governance of the
energy sector. Some of the characteristics of an independent regulator are:
an independent board that has a duty of care to all sector stakeholders;
independent funding mechanism via licensing fees;
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Accountability to stakeholders
To avoid abuse or the perception of abuse of its autonomy, a good
regulatory framework should create the framework for stakeholders to
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Stakeholder participation
Broad stakeholder participation in the regulatory process enhances
transparency and the legitimacy of the regulatory framework and bolsters
consumer confidence that the regulatory system will protect them from
unreasonably high prices or poor quality of service. Typical stakeholders
will include regulated entities, non-regulated ones, consumers,
policymakers, and other public authorities. These stakeholders should be
encouraged to participate actively in the regulatory decision-making
process, to provide regulators with as much information as possible about
their views and about the impact that a regulatory decision would have on
them.
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Functions of a Regulator
Economic regulation
Economic regulation is needed in areas where no functional competition is
possible. Electricity networks are a prime example of this lack of
constitution since they typically constitute a natural monopoly and require
regulation to limit monopoly pricing and to set incentives for efficient
performance.
Rate of return (ROR) regulation: At the basic level this method allows the
regulated entity to recover its justifiable prudent cost and is allowed a return
on the regulated assets (or rate base). Under this method of regulation,
regulators evaluate the firm's rate base, cost of capital, operating expenses,
and overall depreciation to estimate the total revenue needed for the firm to
fully cover its expenses. It makes room for clawbacks and claims for over- and
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This model can take either of two approaches: the price cap and the
revenue cap approaches.
Revenue cap regulation: This method allows the utility to change its prices
as long as its revenue remains below the cap set.
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the electricity end user. The transmission tariff will be designed using
principles that enable fair allocation of the cost of transmission between
generation and consumption, reduce the investor’s risk of cost recovery,
incentivise network users to make the best decisions on the location of
new generation and load, and reduce system operating costs.
When the transmission costs are clear and fairly allocated, it becomes
easier to attract financing through any of the available business models
discussed in this handbook.
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12. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
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Licensing
Another function that a regulator performs is to issue licenses. Some of
these licenses, permits, and consents apply to virtually any type of business.
A business license may be required by the localities in which a business
owns property, operates, or has an office, for example. Planning, location,
and construction permits are likely to be required to construct
transmission facilities, substations, offices, and other facilities. At the other
end of the spectrum, some licenses, permits, and consents are specific to
the power sector, and to transmission in particular. A transmission license
is a good example of a license that is specific to the transmission sector.
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The business models discussed in this book are only possible if the
electricity laws and regulations are drafted to allow private entities to hold
“transmission licenses''. These licensees can coexist with state-owned
utilities who may also provide transmission and/or system operator
functions. However, the licensing regime must ensure that private entities
which undertake strictly transmission activities allow non-discriminatory
connection to the installations they own and operate. The licensing
framework should also clearly establish the steps for obtaining a
transmission license and the costs involved.
Currency risk
As discussed later in this book within the context of financing, privately
financed transmission projects often require that the investor borrow
funds in either local currency or reserve currency. The local currency is the
currency of the jurisdiction in which the project is to be constructed and
operated, and reserve currency is a currency held in significant quantities
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Dispute resolution
With the introduction of private participation in the transmission segment
of a domestic power market, it is often necessary for the regulatory
framework to accommodate the need for alternative forms of dispute
resolution to quickly and fairly resolve any issues that arise at the contract
or operational level. For example, as new technologies and operational
standards are introduced by private parties, the regulatory framework may
authorise the appointment of independent engineers to help reconcile any
conflicts between legacy and modern systems. Similarly, if a major dispute
were to arise between public and private parties, it would be expected that
a neutral dispute resolution system, such as commercial arbitration, could
be utilised to resolve the dispute, an option that would need to be
specifically authorised in the regulatory framework (public entities may
also be required to waive their sovereign immunity protections to enable
the enforcement of any arbitration awards). For additional detail on
dispute resolution, see chapter 11. Common Risks.
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12. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
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A key feature of the revenue models for private transmission projects is the
periodic regulatory review of the tariffs. At the outset of a project, the
tariff will be established, based upon the allocation of existing assets to the
private operator (in a privatisation or concession model). However, over
the life of the project, as the need for additional investments in the
transmission network/segment are identified, the regulated tariff will need
to be reviewed. Additionally, between reviews, the existing regulated tariff
may be allowed to increase by an escalation factor that reflects inflation or
other changes in economic growth. The investment agreement may also
include key performance targets for the private transmission project,
which may also be adjusted over time as the assumptions underlying those
performance targets evolve with appropriate rewards or penalties attached
to the performance targets.
Tariff Methodologies
In general, the process for transmission tariff design is divided into three
phases:
Establishing the allowed costs (annual revenue requirement) of the
transmission utility through any of the revenue regulation models for
network monopolies.
Deciding how the transmission utility’s revenue requirement will be
allocated among network users in the form of connection and use-of-
system charges.
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The methods for establishing the allowed costs have been briefly described
in the main chapter ‘Regulatory Framework’. These include the cost of
service model and the performance-based regulation model. However, the
various considerations and calculations in these models are not discussed
in detail in this book.
Connection charges
Connection charges are designed to recover the transmission utility’s costs
for constructing and maintaining the connections and associated
transformers required by individual generators and wholesale buyers.
Regulators typically take various approaches to recover the connection
costs. These approaches depend on whether new facilities are needed to
connect the network user and the extent to which the new connection
facilities will benefit other users of the transmission network.
If new facilities are not needed, then there is typically no network charge.
However, if new facilities are needed, whether the connection charge will
be separated from the TUOS charge depends on whether the connection
costs are shallow or deep.
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Deep connection costs cover facilities that benefit existing network users or
future network users. For instance, system upgrades or reinforcements
may be necessary because the network is congested at a certain connection
point. New lines and associated transformers may also be needed when
there is a long distance between the new IPP, distribution company, or
industrial consumer and the preferable network connection point. In this
case, the new facilities may be deemed part of the transmission network
instead of a connection. Regulators typically include deep connection costs
as part of the TUOS charge.
TUOS charge
Since the TUOS charge covers the cost of network investments other than
shallow connection costs, operation and maintenance of the network, and
the corporate and administrative costs of running the transmission
business, the TUOS is the main transmission charge which the regulator
must determine how to allocate among network users.
In allocating the cost of the network, the regulator aims to ensure that the
method used is simple and transparent, non-discriminatory, fair, enables
recovery of the cost from both present and future users of the network,
and sends proper location signals to users in the network. There are
various approaches used globally by regulators or suggested by academics
for transmission cost allocation, and no approach is foolproof. Some of the
common approaches used are postage stamp, wheeling, and distance-based
methods.
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1. Postage stamp method: this is the simplest and most common method of
transmission cost allocation. Using this method, the regulator allocates
the TUOS costs among all network users through a uniform charge
that applies regardless of the location of the user or the transactions
involved. Thus, every generator and/or distributor receives the same
charge per MW or MWh injected into the system, or per hour of the
availability of the transmission network. In some countries, the
regulator divides the charge into proportions between generators and
distributors/bulk purchasers. Hence, generators may be responsible
for a certain percentage (say 60%) of the TUOS charge divided among
all generators uniformly, while the remaining percentage is shared
uniformly among distributors/bulk purchasers. In Nigeria, the postage
stamp method is used to apply uniform TUOS charges only to
distributors/retailers.
2. Wheeling charge method: this method is based mainly on the
transactions between two users and is commonly used in bilateral
electricity trade between two countries. It involves the determination
of a fictional transmission path, by parties to a power sale transaction,
in which the electric flow will pass from the point of injection by the
seller to the point of delivery by the buyer. The charge is computed as
a fraction of the cost of the network path (lines and associated
infrastructure) where the transaction “flows”. In a very simplified form
of applying this method, the regulator computes the cost of respective
lines in the network and the estimated total annual flow on these lines.
The wheeling charge is then simply expressed as:
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Then, removing any particular transaction, the regulator repeats the above
process and calculates the resulting total MW-km amount. The
difference between the second sum and the first sum is the amount of
MW-km flow on the line allocated to the transaction removed. The
transmission charge is then calculated as:
Nodal pricing
In some liberalised or wholesale electricity markets, the cost allocation
methods described above are used to determine fixed charges that
supplement other charges known as variable network charges. The
variable network charges are implicit charges derived from the differences
in marginal prices among different nodes in the electricity network. Such
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Using a model that calculates the impact of each user on the transmission
losses, each generator’s marginal costs, the demand level at each node, and
active transmission constraints, the regulator assigns loss factors or node
factors to various nodes in the system. These factors are used to determine
the electricity prices at each node. The loss factor estimates the losses
associated with injecting or receiving an additional unit of electricity at any
particular node. It is also used to calculate the marginal cost of meeting
electricity demand at any node. For instance, if the loss factor at a
particular bulk supply node is 5% and a generator has a contract to deliver
100 MW to that node within an hour, the generator must supply 105 MW
to meet its delivery contract to the node and the associated losses. Thus, if
there is a bulk supply connected to the generator’s node, the marginal cost
of meeting demand at the generator’s node will be less than the marginal
cost of meeting demand at the other bulk supply node — there will be
fewer or insignificant losses at the generator’s node.
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223
13. Cross-border
Interconnection
Projects
13. CROSS-BORDER INTERCONNECTION PROJECTS
Introduction
This handbook has largely focused on the funding of domestic
transmission infrastructure. Another important topic is the features of
cross-border transmission infrastructure development and the complexity
of funding such regional projects.
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Cross-border projects are not new to the African continent. There are
many successful interconnector projects. These include:
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13. CROSS-BORDER INTERCONNECTION PROJECTS
Benefits of Cross-border
Projects
The benefits of undertaking a cross-border transmission project
interconnecting neighbouring countries are numerous, some of which are:
interconnecting neighbouring countries’ power systems;
increasing regional supply across a regional network;
increasing grid stability;
improving system control;
creating reliable and accessible power supply; and
facilitating electricity trading amongst members of power pools.
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Funding constraints
Challenges in raising funding for cross-border projects can arise for many
reasons, relevant to one or more of the countries, being the limited ability
of the utility or government:
to borrow due to existing financial constraints;
to provide the appropriate collateral for the funding; and
to "guarantee" to any funder any consistent revenue flows from the use
of transmission infrastructure.
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Varying Domestic
Regulatory Frameworks
As described earlier in this handbook, each country has a unique regulatory
framework governing the transmission sector, including the national
electricity legislation, the licensing regime, and the grid code. In most
instances, there also exists a PPP or other procurement regime for the
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13. CROSS-BORDER INTERCONNECTION PROJECTS
The “anchor” customer was the Mozal aluminium smelter plant, 20 km outside
Maputo. The aluminium plant had significant electricity demands and was willing to
pay MOTRACO a wheeling charge for the reliable energy it received. The
aluminium plant paid the cost of electricity purchased from ESKOM. The fixed
portion of the wheeling charges relating to the energy transmission covered debt
service and operational expenditure of MOTRACO. The management, maintenance,
and control of the MOTRACO network were outsourced to Eskom.
EDM and EEC also have independent wheeling contracts with MOTRACO. This
allows the utilities to participate in SAPP and trade power in both directions (i.e.
import power from the market when supply is constrained and export to the market
when surpluses are available).
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The initial phase of the investment, worth US$ 93 million, was completed in mid-
2000. MIGA issued guarantees to Eskom to cover loan guarantees to the European
Investment Bank and the Japan Bank of International Cooperation for their
investments in MOTRACO to cover the investment against the risks of
expropriation, war and civil disturbance. The French development agency AFD
provided additional financing for later stages.
The deal has subsequently grown to link to the wider Southern African Power Pool.
The transmission interconnection benefited both Mozambique and Eswatini by
improving the quality of electricity distributed to the population in those countries.
Of note was the fact that there was an “anchor” customer, thereby reducing
“demand risk” (see Chapter 11. Common Risks for a further explanation of demand
risk). It further benefited from a guarantee from Eskom. At the time of granting this
guarantee, Eskom had a stand-alone investment-grade credit rating. The MIGA
cover was taken to protect the Eskom balance sheet against political risk.
The project provided the industrial company Mozal with a reliable supply of
electricity to meet its increased production and industrialisation of Mozambique
post-civil war, at the same time as strengthening the energy supply networks of
Eswatini and Mozambique. For EEC and EDM, the transmission infrastructure
helped lower the cost of energy and increase its availability, as well as to increase
the reliability and security of interconnected systems in the region. By becoming
active trading partners in the SAPP, both countries benefited from low-cost power
purchase in the SAPP market.
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13. CROSS-BORDER INTERCONNECTION PROJECTS
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IPT Models
The concept of an independent transmission project, as described in
chapter 5. Independent Power Transmission (IPT) Projects above, can also apply
to cross-border transmission infrastructure. In the earlier discussion, it was
assumed a single local government or country defines the structure. For a
cross-border project, the complexity of resolving the requirements for
private participation extends to multiple governments. An example of this
will be land acquisition. This will need to be agreed upon with multiple
governments and the leasing structure for the rights-of-way will need to
ensure that the long term titles are valid across all jurisdictions.
The key risk to be addressed to allow IPT financing to take place is that of
payment risk. An analysis will be required of the various users of the
infrastructure. The tariff applicable to all jurisdictions would need to be
considered. The payment risk for the transmission use of system charges
or the capacity charges will also need to be addressed and this will get
especially complex in default scenarios. One of the ways this can be
resolved is for all of the government utilities to adopt joint and several
liabilities with a defaulting utility. This may be possible although it will
require complex inter-government negotiations.
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13. CROSS-BORDER INTERCONNECTION PROJECTS
239
Appendix
APPENDIX
Acronyms
A
AfDB — African Development Bank
B
BOO — Build Own Operate
C
CAPEX — Capital Expenditure
D
DFI — Development Finance Institutions
E
EPC — Engineering, Procurement and Construction
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
G
GSA — Government Service/Support Agreement
I
IFC — International Finance Corporation
K
KPI — Key Performance Indicators
M
MWh – Megawatt Hour
O
OECD — Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
242
APPENDIX
P
PCOA – Put and Call Option Agreement
R
RAB — Regulated Asset Base
S
SAPP — Southern African Power Pool
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
T
TDP — Transmission Development Plan
244
APPENDIX
Glossary
A
Annual Revenue Requirement — the total revenue to be collected in a
given year through the transmission of electricity over the transmission
infrastructure, including associated technical losses, to compensate the
transmission operating company for all expenditure incurred in the same
year and provide the basis for sound economic operation of the
infrastructure.
B
Balance Sheet Financing — the financing of a project which is provided
in full by a sponsor.
C
Concession — a right to develop, construct, operate and maintain an
infrastructure project and to earn the revenues generated by the project.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
D
Deemed Energy Payments — payments made concerning deemed
generation.
E
Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) contract — one
or more contracts to be entered into between the EPC contractor and the
project company for the purpose of setting out terms and conditions for
the design, engineering, procurement of materials and equipment, the
construction and commissioning of the power plant.
246
APPENDIX
mechanism in which the EPC contractor also arranges financing for the
project, through tie-ups with financing institutions. It is useful when EPC
contractors have better access to low-cost financing, including EXIM
financing.
F
Force Majeure Event — an event beyond the control of the affected party
that prevents it from performing one or more of its obligations under the
relevant contract. Events constituting force majeure are generally further
classified into political force majeure events and non-political force
majeure events, with different financial and contractual consequences to
the contracting parties. Natural force majeure events fall within the latter
category.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
G
Government Support Agreement — an agreement entered into by a
host country and a project company established to undertake an
infrastructure project or hold a concession to provide certain identified
types of support to the project company in respect of the project or
concession.
H
Host Country — the country in which a project, concession, or part
thereof is located.
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APPENDIX
I
Independent Power Producer (IPP) — a special purpose company
established for the sole purpose of developing, financing, constructing,
owning, operating and maintaining a power plant.
J
Joint Venture (JV) — a joint venture is a commercial enterprise
undertaken jointly by two or more parties that otherwise retain their
distinct identities. These can be conducted either by way of incorporating a
special purpose vehicle (called the JV company) or by way of contract
alone (in which case it is called an “unincorporated” joint venture).
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
K
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) — set of performance indicators
used to evaluate the performance of a project or system.
L
Lenders — the providers of loan financing to the project company.
M
Megawatt (MW) — a measurement of power meaning 1,000,000 watts.
N
New York Convention — the Convention on the Recognition and
Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards (also known as the New York
Convention) allows for the enforcement by a contracting state of
arbitration awards issued by another contracting state, subject to limited
defences.
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APPENDIX
O
Offtaker — the party to a PPA whose obligation is to purchase the
capacity made available and the electricity generated by the power plant,
subject to the terms and conditions of the PPA. Also referred to as the
Buyer.
P
Partial Credit Guarantee (PCG) — a guarantee that covers interest and
principal defaults, up to a pre-agreed amount — expressed either as a fixed
sum or as a percentage of the credit balance. See Chapter 2 on Funding
Options and Constraints.
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
R
Regulated or Regulatory Asset Base — this is a system of long-term
tariff design aimed primarily at encouraging investment in the expansion
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APPENDIX
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UNDERSTANDING POWER TRANSMISSION FINANCING
S
Sponsor — a commercial entity active in developing and investing in
power projects. Typically, it is a shareholder of the project company. Also
known as the investor or developer.
T
TransCo — a state-owned utility that owns a transmission network.
W
Wayleaves — rights-of-way granted by a landowner, generally in
exchange for payment and typically for purposes such as the erection of
transmission lines, telecommunications infrastructure or for the laying of
pipelines.
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