Research Opportunities and Challenges of Buy Now Pay Later Service For Commercial Banks in Vietnam
Research Opportunities and Challenges of Buy Now Pay Later Service For Commercial Banks in Vietnam
Abstract
Due to its ability to serve as an alternative to traditional credit cards and loans, the Buy Now Pay
Later service, which will be mentioned by the abbreviation “BNPL” throughout this report, has
grown in popularity. As it was used and integrated into numerous products from fintech and
digital service companies in recent years, the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) market has undergone
a significant change. This presents a good opportunity for corporate banks to help with the
integration of BNPL services into their credit cards. In this study, secondary data were processed
using both qualitative and quantitative methodologies to determine suggested guidelines for
corporate banks. According to the report, banks should take into account the hazards that BNPL
may pose in addition to opportunities. As a result, the research's findings suggest that corporate
banks in Vietnam build and standardize the BNPL credit-granting process, invest in a strong
Customer Data Platform (CDP), and provide flexible payment options for a variety of goods and
services in order to seize the opportunities.
Keywords: Buy Now Pay Later, commercial banks, retail banking, credits.
1. Introduction
The Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) service is a financial offering that enables consumers to
engage in transactions and postpone the payment for such transactions to a subsequent point in
time. This platform offers consumers the opportunity to make quick purchases of goods or
services, with the flexibility to repay the amount owed in regular installments, typically without
incurring any interest charges. In general, BNPL services provide clients with the option to
customize their payment terms, granting them the ability to select the number of installments and
the frequency at which payments are made. BNPL has gained popularity due to its provision of
an alternative to conventional credit cards and loans. This financial service offers users a
straightforward and transparent method for effectively managing their costs.
The landscape of BNPL has witnessed a significant change in recent years as it was utilized
and integrated into multiple products from fintech and digital service companies. However, there
exists a strong prospect for corporate banks to facilitate the integration of BNPL services into
their credit cards, alongside the provision of short-term unsecured loan alternatives. According to
recent statistics, a significant proportion of consumers, namely 62%, have the belief that BNPL
has the potential to supplant their credit cards (Caporal, 2023). Seeing the potential of BNPL in
the banking industry, our group decided to look into the market more carefully to best
understand the reality and potential for it, with the aim of identifying opportunities and
challenges with this emerging financial services.
In this research, we aim at assessing the possible impact of BNPL services on the banking
industry of Vietnam. By analyzing information and data, we will examine the extent to which
BNPL can enhance customer acquisition and retention, the opportunities it presents for revenue
growth as well as the challenges it may exert. This research seeks to provide valuable insights
and strategic recommendations for Vietnam’s financial institutions that look to navigate and
capitalize on this developing landscape.
Specifically, we (i) provide an overview of retail banking in Vietnam, (ii) describe the
current status of BNPL in Commercial Banks segment, (iii) state out the opportunities that BNPL
can bring to Vietnamese Banks, (iv) show the challenges it may bring to banks, and (v) analyze
real case studies and examples for better visualization. Lastly, in addition to providing the above
information, we also share our perspective towards this integration and present strategic
recommendations for Vietnamese Bank.
The spatial research scope of the project focuses on research at a number of commercial
banks in Vietnam including Techcombank, VPBank, ACB, TPBank, VIB, HDBank, Sacombank,
SahaBank (SHB), Vietnam Maritime Commercial Join Stock Bank (MSB), and SeABank. The
scope of research in terms of time involving secondary data (collected research documents,
books and newspapers) in the study is collected from 2015 to 2023. The scope of the research in
terms of content is the analysis the concept of the Buy Now Pay Later service and the retail
banking context in Vietnam to propose opportunities and prospect challenges for commercial
banks when adopting BNPL services as a service-oriented product to consumers.
2. Theoretical Framework
Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL)
Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) is a type of short-term financing that allows consumers to make
purchases and pay for them at a future date. BNPL is a type of installment loan that typically
allows you to purchase something immediately with little or no initial payment and pay off the
balance over four or fewer payments. BNPL is an alternative payment method that allows
customers to purchase products and services without having to commit to the full payment. The
main difference between using BNPL and a credit card is that the credit card generally charges
interest on any balance carried over to the next billing cycle. Although some credit cards offer
0% annual percentage rates (APRs), it may only be for a limited time. BNPL service usually
don’t charge interest or fees, and they have a fixed repayment schedule. During economic times
when inflation is high and interest rates rise, BNPL may be a helpful option for people making
purchases.
BNPL options can vary depending on the provider and the retailer. Some retailers may offer
multiple BNPL payment options at checkout, while others may only offer one. Standard pay-in-
four is the most common form of BNPL services. With this form of BNPL, total payments will
be split up into four installments across six weeks. Customers need to make a payment every two
weeks until the item is paid off. Other types of BNPL service include monthly payment plans,
zero interest (a short-term financing option with 0% interest), long-term financing, variety of
payment plans, no interest, flexible payment dates.
Retail banking
Retail banking, also known as consumer banking or personal banking, is the provision of
financial services by commercial banks to individual consumers, rather than to companies,
corporations, or other banks. Retail banking is a way for individual consumers to manage their
money, have access to credit, and deposit their funds in a secure manner.
Services offered include savings and checking accounts, mortgages, personal loans, debit or
credit cards, certificates of deposit (CDs), and more. Retail banks can be local community banks
or the divisions of large commercial banks. Today, many fintech companies can provide all the
same services as retail banks through internet platforms and smartphone apps.
3. Methodology
The research uses qualitative methods to comprehensively analyze the information at hand.
The data is mainly collected from secondary sources, drawing from available reports and
esteemed articles. By utilizing a combination of qualitative methods, we aim to glean a deeper,
and more holistic understanding of the potential of BNPL in the banking industry. Qualitative
methods, such as government reports and articles, will help unearth nuanced insights and
perspectives, while quantitative techniques, like existing statistics from local and international
firms, will allow us to quantify patterns and trends. This integrative research design and analysis
enables our group to maximize the preciseness of our findings and provide a well-rounded
analysis of the subject matter.
Besides, this report is conducted under exploratory research design. To be specific, the
research utilizes secondary data as mentioned above to uncover emerging trends in Buy Now
Pay Later service as well as potential opportunities and critical challenges within the Vietnamese
banking industry, providing a foundation for further investigation and analysis.
4. Buy now pay later overview
4.1 Overview of retail banking in Vietnam
The retail banking landscape in Vietnam is dominated by state-owned commercial banks,
which are focused on physical accessibility, especially beyond the key cities of Hanoi, Ho Chi
Minh City, Danang, Hai Phong, and Can Tho. The retail banking segment in Vietnam is in its
infancy stage, with plenty of room for growth, and is experiencing dynamic competition with
other non-bank financial firms. Traditional banks have a long history in the industry and are
well-established players, offering a wide range of financial products and services, including
retail and commercial banking.
According to the Ministry of Finance, 70 percent of adults in Vietnam had bank accounts in
2020, but only about half of them had access to credit. As a result, the potential for retail banking
in Vietnam is abundant. People choose to use retail banking for access to basic banking services,
a source of credit, financial advice, convenience, and security. Retail banks in Vietnam are
enhancing their digital capabilities to offer non-cash payment options such as online banking,
mobile banking, mobile wallets, and QR codes to attract new customers and offer differentiated
experiences. Success in the retail banking sector will require investment in new technologies, an
overhaul of existing customer databases, and the ability to offer top quality customer service.
Banks in Vietnam are restructuring through mergers and acquisitions and retail banking is
being bolstered. With 60 percent of Vietnamese under the age of 35, customer group demand
more convenient, consistent and accessible financial services, especially in personal loans, credit
cards and wealth management. Retail banking focuses on consumer lending is also a growing
trend in the Vietnam banking system. This lending product, despite being interest-based, carries
many fee-based services with it and is thus associated with the trend of transformation towards a
well-diversified fee-based system of Vietnamese banking (Pham, 2020).
4.2 Overview of Buy Now Pay Later
Buy now, pay later (BNPL) is a type of short-term financing that allows consumers to make
purchases and pay for them over time, usually with no interest. BNPL is available at most major
retailers and can be a smart, low-interest way to break up an expense. BNPL is becoming
increasingly popular in Vietnam due to the rise of modern retail trade and e-commerce, which
promote non-cash payments. The BNPL sector in Vietnam is expected to grow steadily over the
next few years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.2 percent between 2022-
2028. It also reported that 62 percent of individuals were comfortable utilizing BNPL to make
purchases.
Thus far, fintechs have taken the lead, to the point of diverting $8 billion to $10 billion in
annual revenues away from banks, according to McKinsey’s Consumer Lending Pools data.
Digitization trends and increasing repeat usage among younger consumers foster an expanding
set of players to target lending at point of sale, a service also known as “Buy now, pay later".
BNPL has great potential to participate in a growing value pool. BNPL attract new customers to
retail banks who are looking for flexible payment options and short-term financing. 56% of
consumers who have used BNPL services say they prefer them to credit cards mainly because
they’re easier to pay and offer more flexibility. In fact, the proportion of the Vietnamese
population who own a credit card is relatively low, at approximately 5-6 percent of the
population. Moreover, it can help retail banks increase customer loyalty. A 2014 survey by Ernst
& Young revealed that Vietnam had the highest percentage of bank customers looking to switch
of the entire APAC region, with 65-77% ready to shut their bank account and move to another
bank. Therefore, BNPL can increase customer loyalty by providing a convenient and flexible
payment option that meets their needs. 38% of BNPL users say that these services will
eventually replace their credit cards.
4.3 External analysis on BNPL service and retail banking (PEST)
Political
Government policies and initiatives can influence the growth and adoption of BNPL
services. Vietnam’s government issued strategies which aimed to ensure efficient management
of monetary policies, inflation control, and increase support for economic stability. Vietnam’s
political situation is stable, creating advantages for the growth of the banking industry. However,
the current regulatory framework in Vietnam poses constraints for BNPL providers, in that it
restricts who can and cannot offer credit. Several challenges exist in ensuring fairness,
transparency, and protection of consumer interests.
Economic
Vietnam's economy is thriving post COVID-19, with a 3.72% GDP expansion in the first
half of 2023, predicted to grow by 6.5% this year (VGSO, 2023). GDP per capita reached
approximately $4163.5 at the end of 2022 (World Bank, 2022) and is predicted to continuously
grow until 2023, signaling positivities in Vietnamese economic growth (Figure 1). Inflation is
consistently under 4.5% (Figure 2).
Figure 1. GDP per capita in Vietnam from 2017 - 2023 and forecast
Source: Statista (2023)
Figure 2. Inflation rate growth in Vietnam from 2017 - 2023 and forecast
Source: Statista (2023)
The unemployment rate in Vietnam decreased by 0.5 percentage points (-21.01%) in 2022 in
comparison to the previous year. Nevertheless, the last two years recorded a significantly higher
unemployment rate than the preceding years as a consequence of COVID-19 pandemic (Statista,
2023). In contrast, average monthly income has been observing an upward trend.
Figure 3. Average monthly income of Vietnamese from 2020 - 2023
Source: Statista (2023)
Social
According to a report by McKinsey in 2021, from 2021 - 2030, Vietnam could add 36
million people to the consuming class. In parallel, household size is shrinking due to the drop of
fertility rate and urbanization. Notably, spending by seniors who aged above 60 and are
predicted to account for 17% of Vietnam’s population by 2030, accounts for an increasing share
of consumption in various sectors such as pharmacity, education, or real estate. Directly related
to BNPL, it was recorded that Millenials (26 - 40 years old) and Gen Z (14 - 25 years old)
accounted for the largest portion of BNPL adoption in 2021 worldwide (Figure 4). The
popularity of BNPL among younger generations suggests that it may eventually become the
main form of payment.
Figure 6. Top reasons why consumers prefer Buy Now Pay Later
Source: C+R research (2021)
Commercial banks have competitive advantages to deepen customer relationships
BNPL also supports commercial banks in building strong customer relationships to ensure a
sustainable development. However, traditional organizations have an advantage if they wish to
compete over non-bank providers in the BNPL space: their existing customer base has already
trusted them to keep their money and data safe. Furthermore, research on well-known BNPL
providers of the world also show that customers who used at least one BNPL providers still
chose to put more trust on traditional banks (Allchin, 2023).
\
Figure 7. Proportion of consumers trust different financial institutions
Source: Allchin (2023)
The rationale behind this preference is the special characteristics of traditional banks. Banks
have brand equity and are generally viewed as trustworthy by consumers. They are regulated,
which can provide consumers and retailers with a sense of security when breaking purchases into
payment agreements. They have an understanding of the financial strength and spending habits
of customers, multiple interaction channels, and existing relationships with retail organizations.
With BNPL, banks stand a better chance of leveraging customer relationships with the existing
base by demonstrating their understanding of customers' financial needs and providing them with
a convenient and flexible payment option. BNPL empowers individuals to manage their finances
more effectively, ensuring they can afford desired purchases without straining their budgets. This
increased financial flexibility can foster a sense of trust and loyalty, as customers appreciate the
support provided by the bank during their purchase journey.
Additionally, by integrating BNPL services into existing banking platforms and mobile
applications, banks can ensure a smooth and user-friendly experience, allowing customers to
easily access and manage their BNPL transactions. By providing transparency, clear terms, and
proactive communication regarding BNPL offerings, banks can further build trust and loyalty
with their customers.
Nurturing this loyalty, Vietnamese commercial banks can cultivate potential cross-selling
opportunities for other financial products and services. Based on a recent report issued by the
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in March 2023, it has been observed that
individuals who availed of BNPL services have a notably higher likelihood of being burdened
with debt and experiencing issues such as bank overdrafts, payday loans, pawn loans, as well as
other financial services characterized by elevated interest rates. This behavior can push them to
use other loan and credit facilities of traditional banks, resulting in higher retention rates and
long-term relationships with their customers.
Table 3: Percent of BNPL users and non-users with various high-interest credit
Percent of consumers with at BNPL Users BNPL Non - users Difference (Users
least one - Non - users)
Overdraft 42.8 17.3 25.5***
Payday loan 11.5 2.9 8.6***
Pawn loan 8.6 1.6 6.9***
Auto title loan 7.2 5.0 2.1
Any alternative financial service 20.1 8.7 11.5***
Revolving credit card debt 68.9 41.6 27.2***
Observations 415 1621
Souce: CFPB (2023)
With all the above-mentioned opportunities, BNPL solutions have the likelihood to grow
revenue for commercial banks. As proven above, the product fits the market potential and stands
the chance of expanding a larger customer base, thus driving up transaction volumes. The world
statistics has projected that BNPL offerings will account for an impressive $680 billion in
transaction volume worldwide in 2025 (Insider Intelligence, 2022). This is attributed to the
ability to encourage consumer purchasing power offered by BNPL. Customers are likely to
explore new product categories and make higher-value purchases, such as electronics,
appliances, or even vehicles. According to the survey by Forbes Advisor, BNPL can impact how
people spend, with 70% of those surveyed saying that they spend more than otherwise planned
since it makes it even easier to spend money you don’t have.
Besides, strengthening customer relationships is a driving factor for the diversification of
revenue streams. First, although this payment solution may offer deferred payment options, some
BNPL providers charge interest rates or fees if customers take out longer-term or larger loans.
Second, by capitalizing on the trust and familiarity established with existing customers, banks
tend to leverage cross-selling as a strategic approach to maximize revenue since it encourages
customers to explore a broader range of financial products and services. “Banking Brand Beat
Score Report” of MiBrand has also shown that 61% of customers only use one bank, 39% of
customers use two or more banks (a significant decrease compared to 74% of customers using
two or more banks in 2021). The result implied that commercial banks increasingly put focus on
diversifying services to harness their customer base and there is still room for BNPL in banks to
push the cross-selling. As a result, banks can generate revenue through these fees or cross-selling
to other financial services.
Figure 8. Proportion of customers using services of more than a bank
Source: MiBrand (2023)
The diverse revenue streams and higher transaction volumes translate into greater cash
inflow for commercial banks and more funds available to lend to borrowers. This can increase
banks’ liquidity and expand their lending activities, facilitating banks to grow their loan
portfolios and generate more revenue. Additionally, banks can achieve economies of scale,
which means that the cost per transaction decreases as the volume of transactions increases.
Banks stand more chance of reducing their costs and improving their efficiency, contributing to
increased profitability for the bank
5.2. Challenges for Vietnamese Banks
Consumers are unfamiliar with using credits
The general retail sales of consumer goods and services in Vietnam are estimated to have
increased by 19.8 percent in 2022 compared to 2021 based on (VGSO, 2023). However, most of
these sales weren't made using credit. In actuality, just 5 to 6 percent of the Vietnamese people
own credit cards, which is a comparatively low percentage (Nguyen, 2023). The major barrier of
customers when using BNPL is the trust deficit (Finezza, 2021). Some BNPL services may have
hidden fees, interest charges, or penalties that customers are not initially aware of. These
unexpected costs can create financial burdens and fear for customers, making them more hesitant
when borrowing loans
Commercial banks' credit activities are not keeping up with the development speed of non-
bank BNPL providers
Several BNPL non-bank companies including e-wallets such as Momo, ZaloPay,
TrueMoney, and fintech companies like Finhay, PineLabs, and Hype Finance have emerged
since COVID-19, providing the BNPL for consumers. Around 19.2 million people in the country
used e-wallets in 2020, and it was predicted that between 2020 and 2025, that figure will
virtually triple. A survey carried out in 2021 revealed that about 60% of respondents in Vietnam
used e-wallets (Statista, 2022). During six years from 2015 to 2021, there were more than 40
new e-wallet providers in Vietnam as stated in the research by DecisionLab (Mai, 2021). E-
wallets primarily came into existence to make transactions and online payments easier, which is
true for two thirds of Vietnamese consumers. Promotions are the second most important factor in
choosing E-wallets over other payment options (65%), followed by the ease of bill payment
(61%).
Figure 10. Year on Year credit growth rate of banking industry in Vietnam from 2017 to 2022
Souce: Statista (2022); SBV (2023); Đào (2022)
Compared to banks, non-bank institutions also have explicit competitive advantages of
agility and accessibility to underbanked customers. Fintech businesses can perform better than
traditional banks in terms of lax regulatory framework, start-up culture, and lack of legacy
technology infrastructure (Deloitte, n.d.). Non-bank service providers frequently offer user-
friendly digital platforms and mobile applications, making it simple for customers to access. In
addition, account registration procedures on e-wallets are also easy and require fewer legal
documents than banks. They can also serve clients who might not have access to conventional
banking services or credit, making BNPL services more inclusive.
Credit risk and delinquencies management face many barriers
Credit risk, one of the main contributors to the economic downturn and a key sign of
financial susceptibility, accounts for the majority of banking risks (Koju, Koju and Wang, 2019).
According to a 2022 report by the VBA, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for BNPL loans in
Vietnam is 3%. This is higher than the NPL ratio for traditional loans, which is 1.8% (CEIC,
2023). In banking industry, TPBank, one of institutions that have applied BNPL service, is the
unit that recorded the strongest increase of up to 188% to more than 3,900 billion VND in bad
debts growth (Nhật, 2023). This can take a toll on banks’ profitability, net working capital, and
availability to issue new credits (Fredriksson and Frykström, 2019). Hanoitimes reports that
household debt in Vietnam has been rising rapidly, from 25% of total loans in 2013 to 46% in
2020 (Ngoc, 2021), together with the rising unemployment rate, posing threats on the debt
recovery ability of banks.
Figure 11: Non-Performing Loans Ratio to Total Loan of Vietnam in 2020 – 2023
Source: Non Bank of Vietnam (2023)
There are many reasons behind this credit risk.
Firstly, BNPL platforms have no connection with the Credit Information Centre (CIC), so
that banks have to assess the creditworthiness of borrowers based on past transactions (VNA,
2023) or income verification. The lack of a regulatory framework and underdeveloped credit
scoring system in Vietnam may also make it more difficult for banks to control the risks
involved with BNPL services.
Secondly, consumers’ financial illiteracy together with aggressive marketing practices of
BNPL providers may lead customers to overspend and borrow more than they can afford to
repay.
6. Recommendation and Conclusion
6.1 Recommendation
Buy now pay later is soon becoming widespread worldwide, requiring Vietnamese banks to
take careful consideration on effective and sustainable development strategies:
Firstly, banks must work closely with the State Bank of Vietnam to build and standardize
the BNPL credit granting process soon and conduct credit check on BNPL users before granting
the service. In addition to standard credit ratings, they can use social media and internet
purchasing data to get a fuller picture of a borrower's spending patterns. BNPL businesses can
more accurately assess a consumer's capacity for managing debt and making on-time payments
by looking at their internet presence and shopping habits. This method makes it possible for a
more thorough and accurate assessment, which is especially useful for people who have little or
no credit history. By extending credit to a wider spectrum of customers, BNPL providers are
fostering financial inclusion and enhancing access to their services.
Secondly, educating customers about financial literacy is also of paramount importance to
banks. It is essential for encouraging good financial conduct. BNPL businesses may assist clients
in making wise decisions by providing information and resources on setting up budgets,
managing debt, and comprehending the repercussions of late payments. This instructional
component may be disseminated through emails, digital platforms, or even collaborations with
groups that promote financial literacy. BNPL providers may make sure that their clients use their
services properly and stay out of a debt cycle by promoting the value of good financial
management.
Thirdly, in order to safeguard their clients' financial security, BNPL providers should place a
high priority on responsible lending. A crucial component of this obligation is establishing
reasonable credit limits for borrowers. It's critical to consider each customer's financial status and
extend credit that they can afford. Companies offering BNPL services responsibly shouldn't
encourage impulse shopping or tempt customers with high credit limits. BNPL providers may
increase client trust, lower the chance of defaults, and develop long-term partnerships based on
sound finances by continuing to emphasize ethical lending practices. Banks should also establish
clear and effective standards for the industry that require cooperation between BNPL providers
and regulatory agencies. These rules support consumer protection, uphold the integrity of the
market, and guarantee that BNPL services continue to be a reliable and long-lasting source of
funding.
Forthly, in order to utilize opportunities, banks should offer flexible payment options for a
wide range of commodities and services to attract a diverse customer base and tap into different
market segments. Whether it is purchasing consumer electronics, furniture, travel packages, or
even educational courses, providing customers with the option to spread payments over time can
significantly increase their purchasing power and drive sales. By partnering with popular
merchants across various industries, banks can create a comprehensive ecosystem that
encourages customer acquisition and loyalty. Besides, BNPL is not only a zero-interest loan for
shopping but also a payment method included in the customer journey; therefore, customer
centricity is vital.conclusion, this report has shed light on the opportunities and challenges of
implementing Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) services in commercial banks in Vietnam. It has
revealed that while the BNPL situation in Vietnam is relatively nascent, there are significant
opportunities for banks to expand their customer base, deepen customer relationships, and
promote revenue growth and profitability. However, these opportunities are accompanied by
challenges such as competition with non-bank BNPL providers, regulatory considerations, and
efficient delinquency management. To address these challenges and utilize opportunities, it is
recommended for banks to conduct thorough credit checks, invest in robust Credit Decision
Platforms (CDPs), and offer flexible payment options.