RURAL DEVELOPMENT (Lecture Notes) 2020
RURAL DEVELOPMENT (Lecture Notes) 2020
LECTURE NOTES
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
(Econ 3112)
March, 2020
WOLISO CAMPUS
Ambo University Woliso Campus Department of Economics
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Concepts of Rural Development
The concept of rural development is built of two sub-concepts; i.e. rural and development. So
it is natural to define the sub – concepts separately in order to understand the inner core of the
subject matter.
& Development: Given the lower per capita income which characterized the newly
independent nations of Africa, Asia and Latin America in the early 1950’s and 1960’s; it was
argued that the achievement of development is as simple as achievement of sustained
economic growth. Intentionally or unintentionally the economist of that time were making
general development as synonymous to economic development, in general and economic
growth, in particular. That is;
Development = Economic development = Economic growth
& The serious problem is to be found in the fact that improvement in income not only effect
improvement in other elements of rural development but also that the improvement in income
is conditioned in the achievements of other elements of rural development. For example,
education and health are a series pre-condition for improvement of productivity in both
industry and agriculture. So the two assumptions which are used to make growth as
synonymous to both economic development and general development are unrealistic; especially in
short and middle run. However, the long run is very long in which all of us can be died.
The main problem that can creep is that if a given population desires to have lower formal
education compared to other nations (regions). Does it mean they are under developed
compared to the others? If someone desires short and painful life in order to prepare him for
next life, can we say he/she is under developed compared to others. So it is logical first to
focus on quality of life as measure of development. So developments need to imply desired
change in quality of life and what is desirable will be the function of time, space and culture.
This is because the fact that what is desirable at given time, space and culture could be
undesirable at other time, area, and culture. So if we can make the definition of what is quality
Development needs to be sustainable not only over time but also over generations. It means
improvement in quality of life of the population for few years, say due to coffee price boom
or business cycle could not qualify as development. But far more important, it needs to
consider inter–generational equity.
So we can define sustainable development as desirable change in quality of life of the
current generation without compromising the ability of the future generation to do so.
& Rural:Generally, we can use an area where the majority of the population is primarily
engaged in agriculture as rural or we can use a threshold density of population to
identify a given area as rural or urban. This means if the majority of the
populationdepends on agriculture for making a living or when the density of population is
below some minimum acceptable density, we can call the area as a rural area.
Why do we care about rural area as special point of study if the identification of rural area is
simply related to population density and high dependence on agriculture?
First, given a low population density, the cost of social amenities, administrative and
distribution of private goods will be very high. So the level of market and state failures will be
very huge in rural areas.
Far worst, given a low population density, the lobbying power of the rural population will be
very weak. And this will result in urban bias in availability of infrastructure, social and
administrative services. And this will increase the level of market failures given high
transaction cost and high uncertainty. In such environment, the achievement of desired change
in quality of life of the population by the market or other development forces not only will be
very hard business but also very complicated.
Moreover, agriculture by itself has very distinct problems associated with high dependence on
nature, long gestation period, and output and price uncertainty. This coupled with the state and
market failures will make the achievement of development in low density and agricultural
oriented rural areas very hard business. This is why the process of development in addition to the
final achievement of better quality of life is needed to be emphasized in the definition of rural
development.
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Even if we focus on development of rural economy, rural economy is far wider than simple
agriculture development. But improvement in politics will need the establishment of proper
institutions, peoples’ empowerment, improvement in education and value systems and others.
Socio–cultural development will need investment in human capital, gender equality and
preservation of local identity and values. So rural development, which is aiming to improve
the quality of life of the rural mass–in its totality, need to achieve more than agricultural and
economic development.The ways to approach the scope of rural development are:
1. In terms of activitiesthat are needed to bring sustainable rural development. These are:
A. Productive activities (sectors); like on-farm and off-farm activities or sectors;
B. Enabling activities (environment), which include marketing, infrastructure, level of
market development, legal environment, government system, gender and
environmental policies;
C. Broader activities (social services), which include education, health, water and
sanitation, and so on.
2. The nature (type) of capital that is needed to bring development including:
A. Human capital: indicates level of education, health status, nutrition status, and so on.
B. Social capital: shows the level of trust and will of community members to be regulated
and coordinated by informal community rule.
C. Public physical capital: are roads, irrigation facility, ICT, and so on.
D. Institutional capital: are organizations and rules which coordinate the activities of
individuals when both state and market fail. Examplesare: MFI, land tenure, value
chain, and so on.
E. Private physical capital: shows the machinery, labor force, land, and so on.
3. The pattern of change in rural quality of life:
The scope of rural development is determined by the definition of quality of life or
functioning of rural poor. This functioning include to be well fed, well educated, well clothed,
to be healthy, to be free from any form of serfdom, to have self respect, and so on. So the
scope of rural development assuming rational agents could deal with access to wide variety of
capabilities to achieve different functioning. This include availability of educational facilities,
health facilities, income source, good working markets, political freedom, lack of any formal
or informal institutions to depress self respect, and so on. But if the level of rationality of the
people is questionable, it could deal with actual being healthy, being educated, being free,
having self-respect, being well fed, and well clothed and so on.
n is the fund which originally supplies it with all the necessaries and convenience of life’. It
was only Malthus and Ricardo who created an alarm about the effects of population growth
on the economy. But their fears have proved unfounded because the growth of population in
Western Europe has led to its rapid industrialization. Population growth has helped the growth
of such economies because they are wealthy, have abundant capital and scarcity of labour. In
such countries, the supply curve of labour is elastic to the industrial sector so that even a high
growth rate of population has led to a rapid increase in productivity. However, the impacts of
population growth on developing countries and in particular with regard to rural development
are not that much encouraging.
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The consequences of population growth on the development of rural economies are not the
same as what we mentioned above because the conditions prevailing in the developing
countries are quite different from those that in the urbanized developed world. The rural
economies are poor, capital–scarce and labour–abundant. The population growth adversely
affects their economic development in the following ways:
1. Faster population growth makes the choice scarcer between higher consumption now
and the investment needed to bring higher consumption in the future.
2. Rapid population growth tends to over use the rural economies’ natural resources. This
is particularly the case where the majority of people are dependent on agriculture for
their livelihood. With rapidly rising population, agricultural holdings become smaller
and non-remunerative to cultivate. There is no possibility of increasing farm production
through extensive cultivation, in particular in overpopulated developing countries.
Consequently, it will affect the poverty-stricken rural economies. In fact, rapid
population growth leads to the overuse of the land thereby jeopardizing the welfare of
future generations.
3. With rapidly growing population, it becomes difficult to manage the adjustments that
accompany economic and social changes. Besides, growing population threatens
permanent environmental damage through urbanization in rural areas.
In LDCs, people mostly live in rural areas and agriculture is their main occupation. With
population growth, the land–man ratio is disturbed; pressure of population on land
increases because the supply of land is inelastic. It adds to disguised unemployment and
reduces per capita productivity further. As the number of landless workers increases, their
wages fall. Thus,low per capita productivity reduces the propensity to save and invest. As
a result, the use of improved techniques and other improvements on land are not possible.
Capital formation in agriculture suffers and the economy is bogged down to subsistence level. The
problem of feeding additional population becomes serious due to acute shortage of food products.
Rapid population growth leads to environmental damage in rural areas. Scarcity of land due to
rapidly increasing population pushes large number of people to ecologically sensitive areas
such as hillsides and tropical forests. It leads to overgrazing and cutting of forests for
cultivation leading to severe environmental damage. Moreover, the pressures of rapid
population growth forces people to obtain more food for themselves and their livestock. As a
result, they over cultivate the semi-arid areas. This leads to desertification over the long–run
when land stops yielding anything. Besides, rapid population growth leads to the migration of
large numbers to urban areas with industrialization.
The GAD approach is more partial towards the contributions of men who are seen as potential
partners in the development project who share a comparable concern for gender equity and
social justice (Abeyasekere: 1999:44).Much of the early literatures on GAD converge on
unequal gender relations within the family or in the domestic sphere. However, from the mid–
1980s onwards, the literature focuses on the manner in which these same imbalances are
replicated in the public spheres of the political, social and cultural institutions. This new genre
of feminist work on gender, attempts to expose "the false impersonality and deceptive
objectivity of organizing principles based on so called neutrality of public institutions and
interactions" especially in development institutions (Miller and Razavi: 1998:2), and
demonstrate the hierarchical and unequally ‘gendered’ formations that are essentially against
the women’s gender interests. For example, Razavi (1998:27), points out this shift in
perception with reference to development policies by stating that:
Rather than focusing on how structural adjustment programs have affected the welfare of
women and children, their aim is to show how gender biases and rigidities affect adjustment
policies and can ultimately frustrate them. Today, Gender and Development has become a
project to de-institutionalize gender bias in the public sphere. To this extent, gender is an
insider approach. By promoting the “organized consciousness” of Gender, GAD also
envisions the increase in women’s access to politics and other decision-making areas and the
reorganization of gender relations in the public sphere. At the same time, GAD supports the
redefinition of the existing divisions in labor, so as to bring about a shared work culture
within the public and domestic spheres by bridging the gap between the private and the
public. As such, a positive development of the Gender debate is its heightened awareness of
the reproductive role and responsibilities of women.
The Basic needs school of rural development include: Basic needs of life
Freedom
Self respect
Basic needs of life include food, water, shelter, primary health service and primary education.
Moreover, freedom implies both economic and political freedom among other things. But the
two problems of this school are that there is no general consensus in what considered being
basic needs of life. But far worst, it does not consider that the outcome is both the function of
capability and choice. If Mr. ’X’ wants to be a priest and Mr. ‘Y’ to be a doctor and both
follow their own dreams, how in earth can we say either ‘X’ or ‘Y’ is better than the other?
Assuming that how imperfect they are, individuals are the best judges of their own welfare,
this school has a theoretical edge over both schools. This is because first the welfare school
deals only with the first capability needed for achievement of acceptable consumption of
goods and services and it is completed here. Second the lack of allowance for personal choice
which is observed in basic needs school is addressed here.
However, if the rationality of the citizens can be questioned, we may need to deal with the
actual achievement of both basic and non basic needs of life. Suppose, Mr. X may have higher
income and live in metropolitan with good infrastructure; however, he spends his money on
gambling than improving his quality of life and what this school is saying is that: he prefers
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gambling to eating because gambling is more important to him than eating. The worst is the
measurement of capability is more tedious and difficult compared to actual achievement,
which puts this school in comparative disadvantage from practical point of view.
2. INSTITUTIONS FOR RURAL DEVELOPMENT
Institutions are laws, social norms, traditions, religious beliefs and values, which determine
the relationship between economic agents (individuals, households, firms, countries and so
on) and economic agents and their environment. Institutions are sanctioned by community, by
state or/and by other economic agents to coordinate the efforts of each and every agent
towards specific goal. Institutions can be formal, as sanctioned by law, or informal, as
sanctionedby social norms. It is always important to remember that informal institutions are
as important as formal institutions. This is so, given the fact that “rules that contradict the
moral of the people would not be sanctioned socially and, if stipulated formally, would not
function effectively” (Haymai, 1997). This is because socially rejected institutions will
demand huge enforcement cost to be practical.
In simple words, institutions are needed to organize diverse economic agents into functional
body, called organization. The organization can be family, firm, ministry, market, state, and
so on. Organization is a functional body or group organized to act for specific purpose.
The two important organizations, for economics, are market and state.
Market will organize the self-motivated act of economic agents toward maximization of
social welfare, using the invisible-hand of competition. Producers are producing to maximize
profit, individuals are trying to maximize utility, workers are trying to have better paying job
with better working environment, and countries are trying to have more foreign income and
more inflow of foreign investment and so on.
Over all welfare or social welfare is maximization can be granted by invisible–hand of the
(perfect) market or market competition. That is why (perfect) market is taken as organization
of economic agents with objective of social welfare maximization. Viewed from different
angle, market is built from matrix of rules (institution), which coordinate the self-promoting
act of individuals towards social welfare maximization. This is done by competition using
prices as shooting star to guide agents toward the need direction. When people need more
bread, they will pay more for it. As result price of bread will increase. Producers, in order to
maximize profit, will start producing more bread at least cost possible. If they are not using
the least cost combination of inputs and technology, competition will force them out of
market. As a result, more breadwill be produced in least cost possible. This will result in
maximum welfare possible, given the limited resources at society’s disposal. However,
viewed from different angle, market is a complex matrix of institutions.
If institutions are well defined and enforced, they will provide optimal signals to coordinate
egocentric action of individuals to make it compatible with maximization of social welfare.
Not only institutions will guide agents’ effort in the right direction, but also will introduce
certainty on future outcome of current action. A farmer will only crop his land optimally, if
and only if he/she is assured that he/she is the sole owner of his/her effort. People will be
willing to save and lend to somebody, if and only if they know that they will be paid back
with interest. In general, institution of private property will make both saving and production
socially optimal by providing assured rules, which govern the relationship between agents and
agents, and their environment.Efficiency of market as organization, which is the main focus
of main stream economics is the result of its institutional efficiency. In simple words, market
is both organization and institution.
The market is Pareto-optimal when the following three conditions are fulfilled:
1. There is Pareto-efficiency in consumption: it is not possible to increase utility of customer
by changing the composition and quantity of goods consumed by the customer. This means
customers are generating the best possible utility that can be generated from the limited
resource that society possesses.
Thus,free market provides optimal inputs to the rural residents and will create optimal market
for their output demanded by the people. If these assumptions are right, rural and national
development could be as simple as letting the market free or getting the price right.
In reality, free market has shortcomings because it is mathematically perfect, but practically
less relevant theory of neoclassical economics. The shortcomings of the perfect market approach
can be classified into traditional market failures and non-traditional market failures.
Both cases are clear indication of the fact that private benefits and social benefits are different
due to externalities; thus market allocations will not result into Pareto-optimal or the best possible
resource allocation. Therefore, state can use tax and/or subsidy, to improve market allocation.
2. It assumes away the existence of public goods and services: private goods and services are
rival and excludable in character. If bread is consumed by you, nobody else can consume it.
So it is rival good. Moreover, you can easily exclude others from consuming your bread. That
is, why bread is a private good. However, think about a light house, which is used by direct
sailors in the mid sea towards dry land. If one person built a light house, his use of the light
house will not limit the use of the light house by others, and the vise verse. This means, light
house is not rival service or many people can use the same service without increasing cost.
Moreover, once the light house is built, it is not possible to exclude others from its use. In
other words, light house is non-excludable service. This is why light house is a public service.
Public goods and services are goods and services which are non-rival and non-excludable in
character. Public goods and services include policing, public administration, defense,
infrastructure, and so on. For these goods and servicesprivate allocation will result in sub-
optimal resource allocation and the state has to supply them by imposing mandatory taxes.
Market forces will not give an optimal incentive for each person to pay for optimal level of
public goods and services. Let assume the public good is road. And the optimal level is 10
Km; where 7 Km is demanded by Bilisuma and 3 Km by Ayansa. Now let us assume
Bilisuma built 7 Km road. What does Ayansa has to do to maximize his benefit? He can use
the 7 Km built by Bilisuma, which is more than what is demanded by him or can pay for
additional 3 Km, which has no value for him. Logically, without paying for additional road
construction, he has to move his business toward the road constructed by Bilisuma. As result,
the market will only supply 7 Km road. This can be observed in actual behavior of people.
People normally reject to pay more tax for road construction, but if road is built they will
open their business around the road. This is because road is neither rival nor excludable. Now
let’s assume Ayansa will build the first 3 Km. This will not be enough for Bilisuma, who is
looking for 7 Km. Bilisuma has to invest more, but the question is how much. One option is to
invest in the additional 4 Km (7 Km minus 3 Km), so he can have the needed 7 Km. Another
option is to invest on new 7 Km. To maximize profit, a rational action is the first option.
Ayansa will build 3 Km and Bilisuma will build 4 Km, and the economy will has 7 Km road
than the 10 Km optimal road. This means Bilisuma will use road built by Ayansa, as free
rider, and he is only adding the road needed from Ayansa’s road to his business.This is why
market allocation of public goods and services is not Pareto-optimal or the best possible
resource allocation.
The above market failures are traditional in sense that they have been known for decades.
Moreover, there is nothing special about these market failures to rural area. These are market
failures which have been widely discussed in economics. However, “these market failures
were highly circumscribed” (Stieglitz, 2001 pp. 11) and did not represent all important market
failures, that can be faced in development process.
Under the imperfect information paradigm, markets are almost never Pareto-efficient
(Stieglitz, 2001, pp 15). This means there are many ways to improve market allocation.
Unless we assume that there is complete and efficient credit, information, insurance and
future markets for farmers in rural areas; market allocation will not result on the best possible
resource allocation, under risk (Stiglitz, 1981).
3. Manipulative middle man: perfect competition assumes the existence of large number of
buyers and sellers, in which everyone is a price taker. However, in rural areas large and
unorganized rural agents are trading with small number of middle man. First, rural agents will
have neither the production capacity, nor the resource to invest in information. On other side,
traders can afford to invest in information and this will create asymmetric information, to
disadvantage of rural residents. Again farmers lacking adequate storage and financial resource
will be under stress to exchange their output at whatever price. This will create asymmetric
bargaining power in hand of manipulate middle man. Moreover, farmers will come to market
with their grain, which needs more transaction (mainly transportation) cost, and middle man
with their money, which needs less transaction cost. Under such reality, rural agents are under
more stress to sell at whatever price compared to traders. These facts will concentrate
marketing power in hand of manipulative middle man, to result on Pareto-suboptimal resource
allocation. In such reality, farmers will lack the incentive to be innovative, to be productive
and to take risks. That is why, any change which can improve this structure directly or
indirectly can improve market allocation.
4. Factor immobility under imperfect information: investment decisions, if done under
perfect information and factors of production are mobile, market allocation could be Pareto-
optimal for private goods and services. Mobility implies inputs are like Jelly, which can take
any form in process of production. If capital is invested in photocopy machine and the
photocopy business is not profitable, the photocopy machine can be changed into coffee
machine to open cafe. If not, any intervention which can improve resource allocation under
imperfect information means which can help you to start cafe than secretary service at the
start, will improve market allocation. Since most activities in developing rural areas are less
capital intensive, this shortcoming is not a series challenge into market allocation in rural areas.
Market will coordinate the action of egocentric economic agents toward maximization of
social welfare using the invisible hand of competition with incentive provided by prices.
Viewed from different angle, market allocation under its assumptions will result on best
possible resource allocation, because it uses efficient institutions which guide individual
toward maximization of social welfare. The three fundamental institutions among the diverse
matrix of market institutions are:
1. Private property will have protection under the law: this means you can’t take somebody’s
property and output without his /her consent.
2. Exchange has to be by consent of all parties involved: this is extension of the above
market institution. If private property is respected, private property can be exchanged only by
full consent of everybody involved.
3. Freely agreed contract has to be enforced by state or other third party: once people
freely sign contract, the contract has to be enforced. If not, it will increase uncertainty for
agents and this will increase production risk, to limit their efficiency.
Due to market failures and missing markets, market allocation will not result in the best
possible resource allocation. In other words, market forces alone will not result in best
possible rural development. That is why we need alternative institutions to give
complementary signal to coordinate diverse activity of many agents, with diverse and
personal objective, toward achievement of fast and sustainable development.
Market institutions are based on free exchange of property. But state institutions are based on
coercive power and mandatory transfer of property. Under some conditions, market failures
and missing markets, such institutions can do better than freewill based market
institutions.The role of state in rural development as complementary institution to market and
its rationales are given below:
1. To provide public goods and services
2. To internalize externality: if market demand is the same as social marginal benefit and if
market supply is the same as social marginal cost, market forces will result in the best
possible resource allocation. However, when there is negative externality, social marginal cost
will be higher than private marginal cost, as result market institutions will over supply the
good or the service. That is why mandatory tax has to be levied to make the private marginal
cost equal to social marginal cost.
Viewed from different direction, education, health care, sanitation and other social goods do
exert positive externality on society’s welfare. In other words, the marginal social benefit is
higher than private marginal benefit. As result, market forces will supply less than optimal
social goods. That is why state has to subsidize the supply of education, health care, sanitation
and other social goods in order to enable people to be more educated, healthy and clean.
3. To deal with imperfect information and risk: given rural areas are highly dependent on
farming and farming is dependent on random natural events, there will be high level of risk in
rural areas. As stated above, given information, insurance, financial intermediation and future
markets are either missing or highly imperfect, market forces will result in Pareto-suboptimal
resource allocation. That is why state intervention in the form of price stabilization, safety net,
drought relief and other forms can have productive impact on rural development. Moreover,
given public nature of information, state investment in collection and dissemination of
information is very critical for efficient allocation of resources by market forces. State can
work either in reduction of risk faced by economic agents or creation of risk management
capability within economic agents or both. A classic example for the first one is oil price
stabilization through buffer fund implemented in Ethiopia. Drought relief, safety net and
income diversification efforts are good example for the second one. Moreover, state
intervention to improve the functionality of financial intermediaries and risk management
institutions (like insurance companies) is example of risk management capacity building.
4. To create egalitarian society: even if markets are efficient, in which you can’t make some
one better off without making some body worse off, the final distribution of benefits may not
be egalitarian. If the initial distribution of capabilities (education, wealth, asset, social
network and so on) is unfair, the final distribution of economic benefits will not be fair.
If market is working under perfect conditions, it is distribution neutral. As result, it does not
matter if land, labor, capital and other resources are owned by X or Y. If you have land, the
value of the land for you is the market price. When you use the land for production purpose,
the opportunity cost that you are facing is equal to price of the land. And if you buy it from
others, the cost of the land is equal to its price. So the cost of production will not be affected
by distribution of resources if markets are perfect. Under such reality assuming X is capably
poor and Y is not; capability can be distributed from Y to X. This can be done by taxing Y
and investing on X’s capability or actual redistribution of assets. In other direction, you can
tax the rich in order to subsidize the poor. This means, even if markets are working perfectly,
there is role for government to distribute capability and consumption.
If markets are imperfect, skewed distribution of wealth and living standard could result from
market power of the better off than from its contribution to social good. In such case
redistribution of wealth is advocated, even by those who accept market allocation of wealth
and living standard as legitimate and moral. If markets are imperfect, they will not be
distribution neutral. If there is efficient but land constrained farmer, in otherwise perfect
market, he/she can buy or rent land at existing market price. So whether he/she own land or
not will not make any difference in cost of production. Under imperfect market, however,
he/she may not have access to land at existing market price. Under such realty, redistribution
of land to favor him/her can improve efficiency and redistribution which disfavors him/her
can reduce efficiency. So redistribution under imperfect market can lead to more or less
efficiency depending on local condition.
5. The need to create rural urban balance: missing markets, missing public goods (services)
and missing administrative services are common reality of rural areas within developing
economies. These facts coupled with low organizational capital of rural population, can make
development highly urban biased phenomena. To solve this challenge, state intervention to
organize rural population into functional political body and to improve the provision of goods
and services is critically needed in rural areas.
6. Need for leap forging or to compress the gestation period of development: the important
point about market is that it will tend to solve its own failures in the very long run. Not only
market forces will self-perfect in the long run, but also complementary local institutions will
spontaneously emerge to solve the problem of market failures. This means, market forces if
they are left for themselves, in very long run can solve their own problems and can lead to
economic development. Unfortunately, the implication is that we have to wait 200 to 300
years in order to achieve the level of development attained by developed economies.
With appropriate and selective use of the visible hand of the state, government can
possiblyshorten the gestation period of development into maximum of 50 years (as was
the case in Japan) or to minimum of 20 to 30 years (as was the case in East Asia countries).
In developing countries like Ethiopia, where majority of the population is living in rural areas,
any leap forging effort ignoring rural is a faulty business. The need for leap forging will call
for optimal government intervention in rural areas, where series market failures and missing
markets are widely observed.
State failure
No rational mind can deny the complementary role of that state in rural development. This is
because in mixed economy, in which the invisible coordinating hand of market is
supplemented by the visible coordinating hand of the state, wide spread state failures are norm
than an exception. These state failures include:
1. Information asymmetry and managerial diseconomies from the state side: if state is going
to produce goods and services by itself, as was/is the case in communist countries, it will face
series managerial diseconomies and asymmetric information problem related to demand
dynamics. In market economy, demand dynamics is communicated to producers through
dynamics in market prices. When market and its prices are eliminated, the state will normally
face asymmetric information related to demand dynamics. As result, state will fail to organize
production to meet every changing customer demand.
State engaged in production of diverse goods and services will face managerial diseconomies,
too. Given the fact that civil servants are known for their inefficiency, it is impossible for
central planning commission staffed with inefficient workers and bureaucratic procedure to do
such impossible job. This is the main reason why communist system was a complete failure
everywhere.But even within mixed economy, where the state is concentrating on solving
externality and public goods (service) problems, state will face series information asymmetry
related to economic agents actual income, wealth and use of public goods (services). If the
state lacks adequate information on income, expenditure, wealth and demand for public goods
(services), it can’t fix optimal tax to supply optimal public goods (services). The reason why
state in developing economies is highly dependent on indirect than direct tax is because it has
better information related to indirect tax base than direct tax base. Under such reality, state
intervention which is planned to avoid free riders in the allocation of public goods (services)
will fail to tax all individuals either according to their ability or their benefit. This means
some public goods and services will not be supplied, because the state needs high
administrative cost to enforce tax laws under asymmetric information.
Lack of information about the occurrence and extent of externality will destroy state capacity
to internalize externality. Since the state does not have all necessary information needed in
order to internalize externality, it will face more administrative cost. If the administrative cost
is higher than the benefit of solving the externality problem, it would be rational for state to
ignore the externality problem.
2. Information asymmetry from public side: in democratic system, where there is higher
accountability of government to the people’s choice, asymmetric information faced by voting
population will result in suboptimal state policy. If public choice, about government action, is
reflected by peoples’ capacity to vote into office individuals who do their wish, they need to
know the application of each and every policy and their possible outcomes. Unfortunately,
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due to need for state secrecy, there will be imperfect disclosure of state policy and actions.
This will give higher freedom for politicians to divert from their electoral choice and stay in
office. Even if, each and every, information is made public, voters will not have the capacity
to understand the net impact of all state policies. When economists can’t even agree on the net
impact of any policy, how can a layman do better? This is why state intervention is not
granted to be productive.
3. The failure of voting to consider intensity of want:in democratic system every person is
given equal voting right. If 10 people are expected to lose 100 birr each, due to proposed new
policy, social welfare will decline by 1000 birr. But if 500 people are going to be benefitted 1
birr each, the expected social gain is 500 birr. Given the fact that 500 people are for the new
policy and only 10 are against the policy, the new policy will be implemented with support by
significant majority. This is despite the fact that total welfare will decrease by such action.
This means voting, which does not consider intensity of want, can’t necessarily lead to
maximum social welfare.
4. Lack of incentive and high inefficiency in public sector: the bureaucratic system, which is
used in public offices, is less flexible to changing conditions and the incentive system used in
public sector is loosely linked to efficiency. That is why development, which needs dynamic
and flexible decision making, will face rigid bottlenecks from the public sector.
First, decisions will take longer time and such bureaucratic rigidity will negatively affect
efficiency of the public sector. Second, the public sector facing highly asymmetric
information will have less capability of works, which normally work less than their full
capacity.
There is a tendency for state to pay lower salary, everywhere in the world, which will create
adverse selection problem. This implies only option less workers, who can’t find alternative
employment, will be employed at low paying public sector. Most often, these people are the
less productive part of the labor force. To make things worse, since reward in public sector is
not directly related to productivity, there will be series moral hazard problem among the
civil servants. This means, there is no adequate incentive for civil servants to be as efficient
as private sector employees. Even if there are exceptional workers within the public sector,
social capital among civil servants will be used to ostracize/exclude the efficient ones.
Observing that civil servants are inefficient, the state has rational base to pay low salary,
keeping the vicious circle ongoing!
In general, state can solve some market failures, but it is not a magic institution that can
solve every market failure problem, everywhere. This means, state is a critical institution for
rural development, but it is not also a magic fairy or a silver bullet which can be used to
achieve rural development, in all cases. The logical question left is “do we have another
option”? The answer of institutional economists is; yes ended!
2.4. Evolution of alternative institutions
If market is perfect on coordinating diverse and self promoting act of rational agents on
production, consumption, and distribution of private goods and services, and the state is
perfect on internalizing externalities and on supplying public goods and services; all that is
needed for efficient attainment of development is just perfect mix of market and state
institutions. Unfortunately, imperfect market and state, which we have in real world, will face
high cost of doing things, which will hinder their efficiency. That is why complementary
institutionsare needed to give complementary signal in order to improve the efficiency of
the invisible hand of the market and the visible hand of the state. These alternative
institutions include:
1. Share cropping: If market is perfect and transaction cost is zero, a landowner, who faces a
production technology and perfectly elastic supply of labor, fixed somewhere and he/she will
employ an optimizing level of labor. But, the assumption of zero transaction cost implies that
there is no screening, monitoring and supervision cost of labor. In other words, the employer
has perfect information about the capacity and actual efficiency of each worker. Moreover, it
implies the employer has function (at best perfect) financial intermediaries, which can supply
him/her capital at market clearing interest rate. This capital will be used to hire labor and
purchase other inputs.
The problem is that in real than assumed world, high transaction cost is a norm than an
exception. First, the landlord will not have adequate information about the production
capability of each worker and use of his/her capability. This will result on asymmetric
information problem. The existence of asymmetric information in turn will create adverse
selection problem. If more efficient and less efficient workers are competing for the same job
and the employer does not know who is who, he/she will end up with less efficient worker,
who is willing to accept a low wage rate. Again given farming is land extensive, land labor
ratio will be very high. This will create asymmetric information related to actual labor
efficiency. The workers know better how efficiently they are working compared to the
employer, which can’t easily monitor them. Or there will be moral hazard problem. These
facts, adverse selection and moral hazard, are why if landlord has to hire labor, there is need
for costly supervision. The supervision cost is part of a transaction cost incurred in exchange
of labor power for wage rate. Additional transaction cost is related to the interest rate that has
to be paid for informal money lender, in facing dysfunctional or missing credit market.
Agricultural production, in form of plant share cropping and animal husbandry, will become
option less way of life, in order to provide food items and means of survival for ever
increasing population. This in turn will need investment in technology and capital to make
farming possible. Hunter and gatherers need to develop all necessary knowhow of farming
methods and need to invest in farm tools. Unfortunately, the older institutions, which make all
resources and products a common property, will not encourage such optimal reaction to
change in factor endowment. This means the existing institutions, which use to provide
optimal rules for earlier factor endowment, will become fetter of development with changing
conditions. So in order to create conducive conditions and incentives needed for technological
progress and capital accumulation, new institutions will be developed.
2. Service cooperatives
If the transportation, storage and information costs are a determinant factor for efficiency of a
marketing system, small scale farmers, which are falling to benefit from storage,
transportation and information economies, will be effected the most. Moreover, given
financial stress related to obligations to pay debit and tax or to cover expenditure needs, small
scale farmers will be forced to sale their output at whatever terms. Additional stress will be
also created from lack of proper storage facility. As result, having low transaction cost and
better information, manipulative middle man can develop unfair trading relationship with
small scale farmers. The negative effect of these market failures on farmers’ incentive to be
productive, efficient and innovative is inversely related to their size. This means the intensity
of the problem is directly related with smallness of the farmer production system. The
natural solution for market failure related to smallness is cooperation.
One possible way that can be used to improve the bargaining capacity of small scale farmers
is to organize them into service cooperatives. Collective action under service cooperatives
is a natural reaction for problem related to smallness. This will enable them to have more
market power that can balance the power of manipulative middlemen of scale on
transportation, storage, information collection and so on. This will reduce the transaction cost
they face in exchange.
By changing the institutional setup from anonymous exchange into contract farming,
much better outcome can be generated under imperfect market setting. In contract farming a
buyer, could it be a manufacturer, wholesaler or exporter, will supply credit, new input
(technology), extension, irrigation facility and other inputs to the small scale farmers. For
doing that he/she will has exclusive right to purchase their output, at predetermined price. In
such arrangement farmers will not only have cheap access to agricultural inputs, but also
assured market for their output. The buyer will also have assured access to reliable quantity
and quality of agricultural products.
In contract farming market failures are managed by interlinking input and output markets.
Any input cost or unpaid credit can be easily recovered from income of the farmer. Adverse
selection and moral hazard problems will be avoided, first by using the information in cash
flow of the farmer and second by beneficial transaction cost advantage of contract farming.
4. Micro finance institutions (MFI)
People facing asymmetric information, that can generate adverse selection and moral hazard
problems, will reject to lend to someone, who is willing to pay them acceptable level of
interest rate. This is because they are not sure about the actual riskiness of the exchange.
Actually, asymmetric information has a tendency to increase the risk faced by the lender. As
the same time the search cost for potential borrower or lender, the cost of signing a contract
and enforcement cost of a contract will be very high. Enforcement cost is very high, because
the legal system is less efficient, less predictable and more sluggish in developing economies.
Given these facts, direct financial market, in face of high transaction cost, will exist in the
form of informal money lenders, only.
The informal money lender will use his multifaceted relationship based social capital and
local knowledge to reduce transaction cost, moral hazard and adverse selection problems.
First, be living and working in the area, the money lender will have better local knowledge
compared to bankers. This knowledge will be used to screen borrowers at low cost. Second,
moral hazard can be easily managed, given the money lender is important trader, civil servant
or landlord in the area. This implies borrowers are dependent on him/her both only for loan,
but also for land, merchandise and other services.
However, rural areas will create their own special problems to result on missing financial
intermediaries. First, rural areas are dependent on risky agriculture. This is because of high
dependence of agriculture on erratic nature and high quantity elasticity of demand faced by
agricultural products. Second, rural population will have less marketable asset to serve as
collateral. This will increase both moral hazard and adverse selection problems. Third, banks
will face high level of diseconomies of scale on transaction cost. In simple words the bank
will face huge transaction cost, if it wants to serve the rural population. Given this cost will be
higher than the interest rate it can possibly charge, the bank will normally ignore the rural
population, resulting in missing financial intermediaries.
MFI lend not to individuals but to a group of individuals. The idea is to use social capital,
local knowledge and peer-pressure for productive purpose. People living in the same
community will have better understanding of each others’ behavior than outsider. Since under
group lending default by any member is recovered from income and asset of other group
members, they will use their local knowledge to screen potential group members. People will
form group with trustworthy community members only. This will reduce adverse problem and
moral hazard problem, too, will be reduced due to two factors. In one side, community
members have better capacity to monitor each other than an outsider banker. In other side,
give multifaceted nature of their relationship, economic agents under imperfect market will
care more for social than legal sanction. So fear of social sanction and peer pressure will
farther reduce the level of moral hazard. By depending on social incentive and local
knowledge of a community, MFI can reduce the transaction cost of lending to make the rural
poor bankable.
MFI can also give additional banking service to rural poor by using locally available cheap,
but somehow educated labor force with minimum office facilities. It could be costly to open
10 modern bank branches in rural areas, but is not costly to open 10 rural MFI offices staffed
with cheap local labor. This will enable the MFI to rise saving and implement its frequent
repayment requirement without having high transaction cost. Some MFI also demand
mandatory saving from its customers to rise saving and introduce culture of saving.
However, MFI is not a silver bullet that can solve financial problem of every poor rural
population, everywhere. First, the poorest of the poor have less probability to be selected as
group member. This means the benefit of MFI will occur to the average poor and better off
poor, but not be effective. Third, if risks are unavoidable and systematic in nature, group
lending will not reduce the risk of lending. Systematic risk is a risk which affects all economic
agents at the same time. These include drought, war, and political instability and so on.
5. Warehouse receipt system
Due to lack of proper storage facility, small scale farmers will loss significant portion of their
output due to spoilage, rodents and insects. To avoid this problem, the only option available
for small scale farmers is to sell their output just after harvest. The stress sell is made very
urgent by the need to pay for tax, debit and other monetary expenditures, under dysfunctional
or missing financial markets. When large numbers of small scale farmers sell their grain just
after harvest, market price will collapse. Even when prices are getting lower, the only option
for small scale farmers is to supply more in order to satisfy their financial constrain. This will
create vicious cycle of poverty.
To solve this warehouse problem, a warehouse provider can charge very low fee to provide
storage facility to small scale farmers. Given the existence of dimensional economies of scale
in storage, large storage facility is much cost effective than small scale storage facility.
After storing grain in certified warehouse, farmers will be given a warehouse receipt. The
receipt is certificate of deposit and it will show the type of grain stored and its quantity and
quality. This receipt can be used as collateral in accessing bank loans at discount base. Grain
depositors can borrow some percentage of their grain value from banks. This is known as
discounting. This will also solve the credit constrain of small scale farmers. If the market is
well developed, the warehouse receipt can be also used in market. Not only people can
borrow by using their deposit of grain as collateral, but can also trade on the deposited grain.
So warehouse receipt system is an integrated solution for storage and liquidity problem of
small scale farmers. But again is not a silver bullet, which can solve all credit and storage
problems of small scale farmers.
6. Commodity exchange
Commodity exchange is an integrated solution under imperfect market, with objective of
building macro trust. In other words, commodity exchange will do what networks or
socioeconomic groups are supposed to do and at the same time will solve the problem created
by them. Moreover, storage problem, grade and standard related challenges and other
problems not fully addressed, either by networks or socioeconomic groups will be also
effectively. Addressed by commodity exchange that is why it is an integrated solution for
market failures, widely observed in developing economies.Commodity exchange will develop
appropriate grade and standards. Since grade and standards are public good in character, it is
cost effective to supply them by central body, like commodity exchange.
7. Social capital
As was seen above, otherwise perfect market, if we avoid the perfect information assumption
there will be moral hazard problem. This is reflected in breach of agreed terms of contract;
labor inefficiency, unless intensively supervised; lack of incentive to minimize risk by insured
agent and so on. Ideally these problems could be dealt, by the judicial system. Unfortunately,
given low efficiency of developing economies judicial system, the cost will normally
overweight the expected benefit such process.
Viewed from socio-cultural dimension of life, however, ideologies like religious codes, norms
and values can easily suppresses moral hazard problems. The incidence of moral hazard
problem should be lower among people; whose personal interaction is so intense, in which
one can easily predict the action of the other even without having complete information. This
will result in mutual trust among community members.
Mutual trust, nurtured through close personal interaction, should work as effective break on
committing moral hazard. Community is a group of people tied by mutual trust, based on
intense personal interactions and fear of losing multifaceted relationship.
8. Civic societies and NGOs
A good alternative to state is Civic Society, in general, and Non Governmental Organizations
(NGO), in particular. Civic societies are established by value oriented individuals with high
value for civic duty. A group of doctors may organize themselves to eradicate malaria. A
community in one location may organize themselves to clean the street. These are examples
of Civic societies. This means, if a group of people organize themselves, under civic society,
to improve the life of street children, they tend to have more efficiency than civil servants.
Moreover, their value orientation will reduce the importance of hierarchy in decision making.
Since a leader can’t benefit anything by blaming the failure on others, he will collaborate with
others like close community for achievement of their common value. A salary oriented
medical doctor can blame the failure on others and still have his salary. So if the nurse was
absent, if the medical instruments are not there or if there is shortage of finance, he rationally
will seat ideal. But a value oriented doctor or a doctor with sole objective of saving lives will
do everything, on his power, to solve whatever problem that may come in his way.
Additionally, salary oriented boss may reject good ideas coming from the bottom, simply to
preserve his prestige. However, value oriented boss will be extremely flexible to all ideas
coming from all people with similar value orientation. This will not only improve efficiency,
but also will create community kind relationship, where everyone is cooperating and
supervising each other for common goal. By avoiding hierarchy, civic society can supply the
needed high level of flexibility in solving market failure problems. In general, a civic society
established by value oriented individuals has structural advantage at micro development.
salary, compared to public sector, will reduce the occurrence of moral hazard and adverse
selection problem. Since they can pay more than average salary, they have capacity to attract
efficient workers. The higher salary that they pay will reduce moral hazard problem from two
directions, too. First, the felling of being fairly treated will create incentive to be hard worker.
Second, the increase in life time income, once people join NGO, will increase the opportunity
cost of losing current job. This will reduce moral hazard problem. If you are paid market
average or below market average, you will not loss much by losing your current job.But if
you are paid more than average, the life time opportunity cost of being fired will be very high.
Under such reality, even if the probability being discovered is low, still workers will try to
avoid development of moral hazard. The negative effect of salary on moral hazard will be
stronger, if there is high level of unemployment, which is the case in developing economies.
In general, NGOs can reduce moral hazard and adverse selection problems by paying
efficiency wage than market wage rate.
Small NGOs specializing in micro development can also have more flexibility than state
bureaucracy. Small NGOs does not need to build a complicated hierarchy and this will make
them very flexible and efficient for micro development. This is why many international
organizations, like World Bank (WB), insist for leading role of NGOs and Civic society on
rural development.
One thing you will learn in institutional economics is that any institution is not a perfect
solution to all problems everywhere, in line with the popular tale: “nothing is perfect under
the sun”. Practically, it is safe to assume anything extreme is always wrong. This is because of
the following problems that can be created by expansion of NGOs and Civic Societies:
1. The first problem is that all civic societies, in general, or all NGOs, in particular, are not
established by value oriented individuals, in all cases. If all NGOs or civic societies are
assumed to be efficient by default, salary or corruption oriented individuals will have
incentive to establish either NGO or Civic societies a perfect solution for all rural
development problems, the other extreme do assume all NGOs and Civic societies are useless
corruption machines. The practical truth lies in the middle, in which some NGOs and Civic
Societies are extremely productive, but majority of them are nothing but a corruption machine.
2. Social capital like any capital can be used either for productive or destructive purpose. NGO
or civic society workers can use their social capital for productive or mutual shirking and back
scratching. Unfortunately, the second use of social capital is observed to be the most dominate
use of social capital in NGOs and Civic societies.
3. Rural development needs an integrated strategy at both sectoral and spatial level. However,
civic society and NGOs are efficient under micro development only. If Civic Societies and
NGOs increase in size, they will develop bureaucratic system of management losing their
advantage in terms of flexibility. In a way they will lose their advantage at micro
development. As result rural development can’t be managed by either civic societies, in
general, or NGOs, in particular, only. State is needed to integrate the effort of civic society,
NGOs and other institutions of rural development.
4. The popular say: “one who controls the pocket controls the mind” did work here too. If
government is not working in line with people with, people can vote them out of office. If a
trader fails to supply goods and services demanded by customer, they can vote him out of
market through their market demand. If NGOs or Civic Societies work against the peoples
wish, what can the society or state do then? They are funded by international donors and the
donors mostly having their own agenda. That is why when the international agenda or agenda
of the donors’ is changing, everything in the process is abandoned and civic societies and
NGOs will start the new song of the donors. If you want to know what NGOs and Civic
Society are doing everywhere in the world, just read the manifesto of the donors! Unless we
assume the best donor is the smartest of all human being and he/she has interest of developing
economic welfare on mind, it is never, at best, or stupid, at worst, to assume NGO’s or civic
society everywhere are promoting social welfare of recipient community.
5. Even though efficiency wage is acceptable under asymmetric information, there is need for
cost benefit analysis, as anything in economics. Wages which are fixed very high, by taking
international wages into account, through can attract international and domestic best expertise,
NGOs will not have enough finance left for their development effort then after. In other words
NGOs have tendency to spend significant portion of the budget on wages and salary of
workers.
In general, NGOs and Civic societies are very important institutions, but are not a fairy
which can solve every state failure problem everywhere. They have to be evaluated case by
case not by name. Moreover, the integrating role of the state in rural development process
can’t be ignored, though state is not also a magic formula in development process can’t be
ignored, though state is not also a magic formula in development process, either. As
aforementioned before, the problem with economists, in particular, and social scientists, in
general, is that in order to prove the imperfect thing as perfect, they will open door for series
criticism which can easily show imperfection on it. Under such reality the good will become
enemy of the perfect. Researchers will search for other perfect thing ignoring what is good
within the imperfect theory or institution they have.
Since the marginal productivity of labour in the capitalist sector is higher than the ruling wage
rate, there results a capitalist surplus. This surplus is used for capital formation, which makes
possible employment of more people from the subsistence sector. The increase in investment
by the capitalists raises the marginal productivity of labour, which induces capitalist
employers to increase their labour force till the marginal productivity of labour falls to a level
equivalent to the ruling wage rate. This process goes on till the capital-labour ratio rises to the
point where the supply of labour becomes inelastic. Some critics have pointed out that Lewis’
optimism concerning development by absorption of disguised unemployment from agriculture
is unfounded, because it is not possible to transfer a large number of workers permanently and
on a full-time basis from agriculture to industry, without a drop in agriculture output, that is,
the marginal productivity of labour in Agriculture is not zero.
The Lewis theory can be explained with the help of Figure given below; where OS represents
average subsistence wage in the subsistence sector, and OW the capitalist wage. At OW wage
in the capitalist sector, the supply of labour is unlimited, as shown by the horizontal supply
curve of labour WW. In the beginning, when ON 1labouris employed in the capitalist sector,
Lecture Notes (2020 A. Year) Rural Development Page 32
Ambo University Woliso Campus Department of Economics
its marginal productivity curve is P1L1 and the total output of this sector is OP1Q1N1. Out of
this, workers are paid wages equal to the area OWQ 1N1. The remaining area WP1Q1 shows
surplus output. This is the capitalist surplus or total profit earned by the capitalist sector.
When this surplus is reinvested, the curve of marginal productivity shifts upward to P 2L2. The
capitalist surplus and employment are now larger than before being WP 2Q2 and ON2
respectively. Further reinvestment raise the marginal productivity curve and the level of
employment to P3L3 and ON3 and so on, till the entire surplus labour is absorbed in the
capitalist sector. After this, the supply curve WW will slope from left to right upward like an
ordinary supply curve, and wages and employment will continue to raise development.
Wage/ P3
Marginal Product P2
P1
Q1 Q2 Q3
W W
S S
L1 L2 L3
O N1 N2 N3
Quantity of Labour
Figure- Lewis unlimited labour Model
Lewis model seems to provide a good framework to understand the process of economic
development in labour-surplus developing countries. Its basic premise is that labour
productivity in agriculture must increase substantially in order to generate surplus in the form
of food to be used for development of the non-farm sector, and to release the surplus labour
from agriculture for meeting the growing needs of the non-farm sector. However, the
relevance of the model is constrained by a number of factors.
i. Labour unions may push the wage rate up as labour productivity increases, and keep the rate
of profit and rate of capital formation lower than expected.
ii. The capitalist employers may use the surplus for speculative or non-productive purposes.
This is, in fact, what has been happening these days in developing countries.
iii.To meet their rising expectations, rural people may consume more and save less than
predicted by the model, and thereby dampen the pace of development.
Human capacity theory of development emphasizes the importance of human capital for
achieving both economic and social developments so the focus is on the totality of human
potential and the need to harness it for the good of the people. In this view point human
capital implies the mental and physical quality of people and this can be improved by
education, training, health care or other spiritual methods.
And given most of the employment positions that were once held by former colonial rulers
were left open on the newly developing economies there was huge investment on education
by developing economies governments. And some of them insist that development as simple
as human development process. That is, the more human development you have the more
effectively your economy can run, so for them development process was as simple process of
human capital accumulation. And until recently no body dears to question such kind of think.
economy but it is fertile ground for any political disturbance and revolution. And the problem
is going to get worst due to wrong kind of employment and promotion structure and
politically motivated supply. Employment are related to educational achievement, the more
educated get the job first it does not matter if his/her education can add to the productivity.
And promotion is done in the same manner. So when people get unemployed the only way
they can find job on the formal sector is if they get more education. So shortage of demand
will result in increase of supply of educated workers. Moreover, given the high government
subsidy, individuals will purist higher education until it is overcrowded and again they have to
search for higher level.
The point is given the employment and promotion structure which is not related to
productivity but educational achievement, the shortage of demand will create in increase, than
decrease, of supply intensifying the problem further. And this is made easy by high subsidy
given by government. Moreover, a youth which will work in manual employments will reject
to work such kind of work once he/she got educated so the marginal contribution of education
to productivity could be zero if negative. Moreover, the analysis that development is as simple
as human development is falsified by the fact that despite many developing economies
investment on education for many years they remained poor. So once the minimum level of
educational capacity is built which is critical to fill the gap left by the former colonial powers
it would be wise if education supply was made to go in line with educational demand or
observing capacity of the economy.
But the problem with such analysis is that education demand and supply does not work in
perfectly competitive environment with perfect adjustment. You can’t produce 1000 engineers
when demand increase over time (say month due to foreign direct investment). And normally
investment decision which creates demand for educated labour force will depend on
availability of educated human power, hard and soft infrastructure, and
conducivemacroeconomic environment among other things. So given the fact that in
imperfect market of human development demand is influenced by supply, the existence of
educated labour force supply over current demand is very important. But still cost and benefit
analysis among those overheads which include education, health expenditure, hard and soft
infrastructure will be unavoidable, given the shortage of resources. And it is important to be
given due attention to quality of education than quantity of education.
capital, there will be increase in saving and investment. And this in turn will create a fertile
ground for takeoff.
c) The take off- the precondition will create a responsive environment for any technical, trade
related or political stimuli to growth. And with any such change growth will be the normal life
of the people. Take off needs more than 10% growth in rate of investment, development of at
least one industrial sector with huge growth and existence of pro-growth, political, social and
institutional set up.
d) Drive to maturity- this is the period where the society has applied range of modern
technology to its bulk resources. In this period they have a technical and entrepreneurial
capacity to produce everything they want, but the leading sector (s) which initiated the take
off, will lose its (their) impulse. On social life the share of agricultural laborer in total
population will go down and people will start to ask about the human cost of achieving take
off and questions will be asked if the high capacity should be used for improving overall
welfare or for making the nation strong.
e) Period of high consumption–growth will be taken for granted, so policies & peoples thinking
will be highly inclined toward welfare improvement & making the nation super power.
If we observe the time before takeoff and post take off the main difference is related to high
saving, investment and technology. And every country is supposed to pass through the same
stages as the developed countries did. And this was further solidified by macro analysis of the
H-D model.
dY/Y = income growth or economic growth
(dY/dC)/(Y/dC) = (dY/dC)/(Y/I) = (dY/dC)/(Y/S)
Economic growth = saving rate/capital output-ratio
So the economy can grow faster if it can save more of its income or introduce new
technology which can reduce the capital-output ratio. Therefore, for backward economies
what is needed, according to this model, is transfer of western technology and augments as
well as should substitute the domestic saving by foreign aid.
In general the model emphasis that development has to be achieved by transfer of western
technology, capital and rationality. Moreover, it demands removal of all social, cultural and
ideological obstacles to such process. So the traditional, political and social institutions have to
be replaced by modern institutions and the form of government must be a democratic one.
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Ambo University Woliso Campus Department of Economics
This school predicts that development can be only achieved through industrialization and
urbanization with technical transformation of agriculture. And it visualizes the American way
of doing things and life as ultimate destination of life.
But the school has three important contributions to rural developmental thinking. They are
a) there is need to introduce new technology to rise agricultural production
b) there is need to replace out dated and inefficient local institutions by better one, and
c) there is need to shift the view point of individuals toward scientific temper & norms
and dominance relationship with the former colonial countries. Within this school three
stream of thoughtcan be identified:
a) The neo-colonial dependency model–this attributed the existence and continuous of
underdevelopment primarily to the historical evolution of rich country- poor country
relationship of the international capitalist system. In such relationship the poor country is
given the duty of supplying cheap primary commodities and to purchase expensive
manufactured products. And even if the country is industrializing the MNC, technology
&R&Dis controlled by the rich countries which lead to exploitation in form of profit
repatriation. This relationship is sustained by elite groups within LDC’s which include land
lords, entrepreneurs, military rulers, merchants, salaried trade union and government officials
which benefit and are rewarded by such kind of exploitive relationship. These elites stop any
reform effort which can improve the quality of life of the whole nation and by doing so they
serve as agents of underdevelopment. In general underdevelopment is assumed to be
externally induced situation.
b) The false paradigm model – this school states that underdevelopment is result of wrong
policy prescriptions given by foreign scholars which does not know the local reality. And
local analysts and policy makers are trained in western universities which make them simple
proponents of such models despite very limited relevance. Moreover, the local elite group will
benefit from such prescriptions and will push for their application using their political power.
The problem is that the prescriptions how elegant on their analysis and presentation are based
on wrong assumptions so are simple use less.
c) The dualistic development thesis – this school insists that underdevelopment is not a
temporary situation that can be reversed in time, but it is a normal occurrence. As there is
developed countries there will be underdeveloped countries, so development and
underdevelopment are the two sides of the same count (reality). Given that fact the superior
element will do nothing to help the inferior element let alone to trickle down to it. Actually it
can work hard to develop the under development of the inferior.
Given thesefacts all dependence schools insist for new international order and socialist mode
of production and ownership of means of production. And some of them insist that if the
international relation cannot be altered, countries have to cut any trade ties with the capitalist
world. But this school has the following shortcomings:
a) It failed to explain how development will be initiated and sustained once the international
relation is modified.
b) Countries which follow state ownership means of production and nationalization of private
property did end up with economic down turn and poverty. Moreover, countries like Albanian
which applied the policy in its crude form did end up being the poorest nation in Western Europe.
c) Experience of the four tigers (Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong) did show that
there is an immense potential for developing counties to catch up with the rich countries with
proper selection of domestic and trade policy.
d) Moreover, it neglects the importance of domestic factors in explaining under development
like large population size, low human development, and depletion of natural resource and so
on. Important implication of this school is that there is need for understanding the power
relationship in rural areas in case where the assumption of large number of buyers and sellers
assumption is violated.
The models at this stage can be understood as a vertical slice of the whole rural development
system (including the central system and one (any) particular local system), thus it tries to
explain the process from the perspective of a single rural locality.
All these can lead to unbalanced development where, in a certain rural locality, access
(especially physical access) improves much faster and further than production capacity. Here
we end up in a vicious circle. If there is nothing to sell, then rural areas cannot withstand the
competition brought by improved access, and finally most values that have been preserved by
rural area are likely to be lost. In this case, rural development is not successful and central
policies fail to fulfill their role.
In an integrated system, local and central development systems should work in a dynamic
cooperation with each other. Control, resources and responsibilities should be dispersed
throughout different levels of the system. The existence of advanced local development
institutions is a necessary condition in this model.
1. Redistributed resourcesare still channeled through the central system, although their
allocation is quite different.
2. A significant share of resourcesis still directly spent on tackling access type (mainly physical)
disadvantages.
3. However, those resources, allocated for supporting local economic development directly from
central sourcesrepresent a much smaller share of the budget. They are still normative
payments, but rather aiming at the maintenance of public goods (Agri-environmental
schemes, for example) than simply subsidizing conventional agricultural production.
4. A significant part of central resources is devoted to the reinforcement of the local
development institutions and the unlocking of local resources. As a result, the local
development system is well advanced and institutionalized.
5. It is able to invest in the protection of rural values and their utilization in the development
process.
6. Like this, local resources can be exploited and can contribute with considerable added value
to the development process.
7. This value flows into the economic resource base of the local area, creating marketable
products and greatly reducing resource-type disadvantages.
8. At the same time, the local development system can also make a significant contribution
against access-type disadvantages, primarily improving business and policy access, for the
benefit of the local area.
All this can lead to a much more balanced development. The production capacity of the
locality is reinforced and a two way access (from as well as into the locality) is provided.
Thus the rural area, utilizing its resources and finding its segment of the market can become
independent, keep its population and sustain its values for the future.
Therefore, there are three main differences can be highlighted between integrated and non-
integrated models.
1. The flow of resources,
2. The flow of information, and
3. The level of advancement and/or institutionalizationof local development systems.
The difference concerning resource-flows is quite obvious. In the non-integrated model the
central system distributes the vast majority of the budget directly through its administrative
institutions, applying strict bureaucratic control and simple indicators all the way down to the
beneficiaries. The inevitable result is low effectiveness, since much of the money cannot
reach those places where it is most needed. At the same time, lacking central financial
resources and technical/political support, local systems are not reinforced and there is often
insufficient capability to unlock local development resources, or even to absorb central aid.
Consequently, the value added of the local system to the development process remains small.
In an integrated model, a significant part of the budget is not delivered directly by central
policies, but channeled through the local development system. This strengthens this system
and allows for the reinforcement of local institutions and social networks, etc. It can also
directly provide financial aid for the exploration and exploitation of local resources for local
economic development. All this can result in the rapid growth of local added value and the
expansion of available development resources, for the development system as a whole.
By including the flow of information in the model, the differences of effectiveness between
integrated and non-integrated development can be partly explained. Accurate and detailed
information about problems and possibilities, disadvantages and resources is the key starting
point for any action in rural development. For making appropriate strategic and operational
decisions about development, information has to be collected, processed and analyzed
centrally. For tackling resource-type or some non-physical-access-type disadvantages, masses
of very diverse information should be handled from a large number of rural localities.
Information would be needed not only about access- and resource-type disadvantages, but
also on many other aspects, such as conditions of social networks, local development
institutions, condition of the local value bases, and so on. Moreover, taking this logic further,
different level institution of the central system should monitor and control each of the
development projectsas well. This would involve huge diversity, large number of decisions
and huge transaction costs, creating enormous difficulties for normal bureaucratic institutions.
Possible (usual) solutions are: fighting mainly those disadvantages, which are easier to grasp
without detailed information of a qualitative nature (problems of physical access, for
example); supporting large projects instead of small ones; or to give normative payments
based on simple quantitative indicators and political decisions, rather than detailed, quality
information. Nevertheless, all these result in low effectiveness, significant gaps in the
development process and the exclusion of certain activities, social groups and geographic
areas from central aid.
Prior to this century, almost all increase in food production was obtained by bringing new
land into production. By the end of this century almost all of the increase in world food
production must come from higher yields -from increased output per hectare. In most of the
world, the transition from a resource-based to a science-based system of agriculture is
occurring within a single century. In a few countries, this transition began in the nineteenth
century. In most of the presently developed countries, it did not begin until the first half of
this century. Most of the countries of the developing world have been caught up in the
transition only since mid-century. The technology associated with this transition, particularly
the new seed-fertilizer technology, has been referred to as the “Green Revolution”.
During the remaining years of the twentieth century, it is imperative that the poor countries
design and implement more effective agricultural development strategies than in the past. A
useful first step in this effort is to review the approaches to agricultural development that have
been employed in the past and will remain part of our intellectual equipment. The literature on
agricultural development can be characterized according to the following models: (1) the
frontier, (2) the conservation, (3) the urban-industrial impact, (4) the diffusion, (5) the high-
payoff input, and (6) the induced innovation.
Similar processes had occurred earlier, though at a less dramatic pace, in the peasant and
village economies of Europe, Asia and Africa. The first millennium A.D saw the agricultural
colonization of Europe north of the Alps, the Chinese settlement of the lands south of the
Yangtze, and the Bantu occupation of Africa south of the tropical forest belts. Intensification
of land use in existing villages was followed by pioneer settlement, the establishment of new
villages, and the opening up of forest or jungle land to cultivation. In Western Europe, there
was a series of successive changes from Neolithic forest fallow to systems of shifting cultivation
of bush and grass land followed first by short fallow systems and later by annual cropping.
Where soil conditions were favorable, as in the great river basins and plains, the new villages
gradually intensified their system of cultivation. Where soil resources were poor, as in many
of the hill and upland regions, new areas were opened up to shifting cultivation or nomadic
grazing. Under conditions of rapid population growth, the limits to the frontier model were
often quickly realized. Crop yields were typically low-measured in terms of output per unit of
seed rather than per unit of crop area such as Egypt and south Asia, and the wet rice areas of
East Asia. In many areas, the result was increasing misery of the peasantry.
There are relatively few remaining areas of the world where development along the lines of
the frontier model will represent an efficient source of growth during the last two decades of
the twentieth century. The 1960s saw the “closing of the frontier” in most areas of Southeast
Asia. In Latin America and Africa the opening up of new lands awaits development of
technologies for the control of pests and diseases (such as the tsetse fly in Africa) or for the
releases and maintenance of productivity of soils problem.
European agriculture during the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. During the English
agricultural revolution more intensive crop-rotation systems replaced the open-three-field
system in which arable land was allocated between permanent crop land and permanent
pasture. This involved the introduction and more intensive use of new forage and green
manure crops and an increase in the availability and use of animal manures. This “new
husbandry” permitted the intensification of crop-livestock production through the recycling of
plant nutrients, in the form of animal manures, to maintain soil fertility. The inputs used in
this conservation system of farming –the plant nutrients, animal power, land improvements,
physical capital, and agricultural labor force-were largely produced or supplied by the
agricultural sector itself.
Agricultural development, within the framework of the conservation model, clearly was
capable in many parts of the world of sustaining rates of growth in agricultural production in
the range of 1% per year over relatively long periods of time. The most serious recent effort to
develop agriculture within this framework was made by the people’s republic of china in the
late 1950s and early 1960s. It became readily apparent, however, that the feasible growth
rates, even with a rigorous recycling effort, were not compatible with modern rates of growth
in the demand for agricultural output-which typically fall in the 3-5 remains an important
source of productivity growth in most poor countries and an inspiration to agrarian
fundamentalists and the organic farming movement in the developed countries.
Initially, the urban-industrial impact model was formulated in Germany by J.H. Von Thunen
to explain geographic variations in the intensity of farming systems and the productivity of
labor in an industrializing society. In the united states, it was extended to explain the more
effective performance of the input and product markets linking the agricultural and
nonagricultural sectors in regions characterized by rapid urban-industrial development than in
regions where the urban economy had not made a transition to the industrial stage. In the
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1950s, interest in the urban-industrial impact model reflected concern with the failure of
agricultural resource development and price policies, adopted in the 1930s, to remove the
persistent regional disparities in agricultural productivity and rural incomes in the united states.
The rationale for this model was developed in terms of more effective input and product
markets in areas of rapid urban-industrial development. Industrial development stimulated
agricultural development by expanding demand for farm products, supplying the industrial
inputs needed to improve agricultural productivity, and drawing away surplus labor from
agriculture. The empirical tests of the urban-industrial impact model have repeatedly
confirmed that a strong non-farm labor market is an essential prerequisite for labor
productivity in agriculture and improved incomes for rural people.
The policy implications of the urban-industrial impact model appear to be most relevant for
less developed regions of highly industrialized countries or lagging regions of the more
rapidly growing LDCs. Agricultural development policies based on this model appear to be
particularly inappropriate in those countries where the “pathological” growth of urban centers is a
result of population pressures in rural areas running ahead of employment growth in urban areas.
The diffusion model has provided the major intellectual foundation of much of the research
and extension effort in farm management and production economics since the emergence, in
the latter years of the nineteenth century, of agricultural economics and rural sociology as
separate sub-disciplines linking the agricultural and the social sciences. Developments leading
to establishment of active programs of farm management research was making only a midst
Insights into the dynamics of the diffusion process, when coupled with the observation of
wide agricultural productivity gaps among developed and less developed countries and a
presumption of inefficient resource allocation among “irrational tradition–bound” peasants,
produced an extension or diffusion bias in the choice of agricultural development strategy in
many LDCs during the 1950s. During the 1960s, the limitations of the diffusion model as a
foundation for the design of agricultural development policies became increasingly apparent
as technical assistance and rural development programs, based explicitly or implicitly on this
model, failed to generate either rapid modernization of traditional farms and communities or
rapid growth in agricultural output.
The enthusiasm with which the high-payoff input model has been accepted and translated into
economic doctrines has been due in part to the proliferation of studies reporting high rates of
return to public investment in agricultural research. It was also due to the success of efforts to
develop new, high-productivity grain varieties suitable for the tropics. New high-yielding
wheat varieties were developed in Mexico beginning in the 1950s, and new high-yielding rice
varieties were developed in the Philippines in the 1960s. These varieties were highly
responsive to industrial inputs, such as fertilizer and other chemicals, and to more effective
soil and water management. The high returns associated with the adoption of the new varieties
and the associated technical inputs and management practices have led to rapid diffusion of
the new varieties among farmers in a number of countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America.
These limitations in the high-pay off input model led to efforts to develop a model of
agricultural development in which technical change is treated as endogenous to the
development process, rather than as an exogenous factor operating independently of other
development process. The induced innovation perspective was stimulated by historical
evidence that different countries had followed alternative paths of technical change in the
processes of agricultural development.
participation in, and control of, project activities is the primary performance indicator of this
strategy.
4.1.4. Integrated or Holistic Strategy
The rural and agricultural centered development will be integrated approach not only on
injecting new and more productive technology but also on promotion of human development,
infrastructure building, market development, and others.
Therefore, this strategy combines all the positive features of the earlier three strategies, and is
designed to simultaneously achieve the goals of growth, welfare, and equity and community
participation. This paradigm takes a very comprehensive but integrated view of the basic
problem of poverty, unemployment and inequality, and seeks to address the physical,
economic, technological, social, motivational, organizational and political bases of these
problems. The multiple goals of this strategy are sought to be achieved by building the
capacity of the community to involve itself in development in partnership with the
government.
Elements of Policy
Policy involves planning based on certain beliefs, values and goals, taking into account the
resources that may be available for reaching the goals, and the benefits and costs of using one
plan or another. The basic elements of policy involve the following.
a) Goals that may be established,
b) Means that may be used to reach these goals,
c) Implementers such as agents or agencies that activate and control the means, and
d) Constraints that are applied to the plan or programme.
Therefore, the basic concept of policy is that of deliberate action or activity involving these
above four elements.
Agricultural Policy:
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level of output prices increases returns to all inputs in production, encouraging higher use
of variable inputs”.
Income distribution: it follows from the implication that high farm prices raise producer
income and lower the real incomes of consumers.
Determination of the level of investment and capital formation in agriculture: this looks
into the long-run cumulative effects of high farm output prices – high farm prices relative
to those in other sectors increase the rate of return to capital in agriculture and encourage
investment in various ways. Besides, it permits saving at farm household level across
seasons, encourages the flow of credit into agricultural activities.
output prices can be altered by government intervention in many different ways. Instruments
are grouped here according to their type of impact on the level and stability of farm prices.
a) Trade policy instruments
These instruments affect domestic agricultural prices by operating on the prices or quantities
of either imports or exports. They include:
Import taxes or subsidies, which increase or decrease domestic prices by
raising/lowering the cost of imports in domestic currency;
Quantitative restrictions on imports, which raise the domestic price above the
import prices;
Export taxes, which are taken out of the FOB export price and which lower the
domestic price passed back to producers.
b) Exchange rate policy instruments
The official conversion rates between the national and foreign currencies have a major impact
on the domestic prices of trade-able agricultural commodities, and this impact is the same in
direction for both import substituting and export commodities.
A higher exchange rate (when less domestic currency can be purchased for a given
amount of foreign currency) results in a lower domestic currency equivalent of the
world market price for both food and export crop.
A lower exchange rate (i.e. more domestic currency for a unit of foreign currency)
results in a higher domestic currency equivalent of world market price.
c) Taxes and subsidies Instruments
In addition to import/export taxes, farm output price levels can be affected by many types of
domestic tax or subsidy imposed at different points in the marketing chain. Some examples are:
Local government levy on producers when they sell through specified marketing
agents, this levy being deducted from the farm-gate price;
Tax on the unprocessed commodity at the point of entry into processing;
Consumption tax levied on the commodities in wholesale markets or at retail outlets;
Consumption subsidy applied to the commodities at retail outlets;
Deficiency payment, i.e. the difference between target farm-gate price and actual
farm-gate price covered by the government;
d) Direct interventions
In addition to fiscal or exchange rate policies, governments frequently seek to influence prices
by direct controls on the price formation, marketing, and storage of agriculture commodities.
These controls require the creation of public marketing agencies in order to secure control
over part or all of the marketed supply of designated commodities. Some examples are:
Marketed output confined to sale through state channels at fixed prices;
Enforced procurement by the state at fixed prices;
Fixed or minimum retail prices for staple foods, with supplies being confined mainly
to state outlets and penalties for illegal pricing by private traders;
Fixed minimum prices to producers (floor prices) linked to state procurements;
Fixed floor prices to producers and ceiling prices at wholesale or retail, linked to the
operation of a buffer stock authority which buys at the floor during harvest season and
sells at the ceiling price at times of seasonal shortage.
Impact and effectiveness of price policy
Price policy and stabilization
From many empirical studies across the world, free markets in farm products are notoriously
prone to volatile price changes. These occur due to variability in the natural conditions
(rainfall, winds, floods, pests, disease) and due to the lag between planting decisions and
harvesting of outputs.
Governments seek to stabilize prices for two main reasons. The first is in the production side,
which is expected to reduce risk, increased market supply, stabilize farm incomes. The second
reason is in the consumption side, which is expected to stabilize wage costs, protect urban
poor from malnutrition/starvation welfare effects of price stabilization when supply
changes.Figure below shows the welfare effects of price stabilization.
Price
P2 A
ab
Pe
cd ef
P1 B
gh D
0Q2QeQ1 Quantity
Where:
The traditional starting point for analysis of markets is the concept of adding utility to a
commodity. This is achieved in three ways:-
i) Form utility: changes in the physical attributes of the commodity between farmer and
consumer (grain to bread) as compared to its sale by farmers through grading (sorting,
cleaning, labeling, packaging, etc)
ii) Place Utility: at a different place from its point of sale by farmers through transporting a
product from one place to another. Transport distances may be local, medium, or long
distance.
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iii) Time utility: at a different time from its harvests and sale by farmers through storing a
produce. This refers to all aspects of storage across seasons and across years.
Then, if a product passes through any or all of these stages and adds utility its price is
expected to vary at various levels. The overall difference between the purchase price of a
commodity by consumers and its sale price by producers is called the marketing margin. The
marketing margin covers part or all the above utilities/dimensions of marketing and can
sometimes be used as the sum of seasonal margin, a spatial margin, and a form margin
respectively.
The seasonal margin refers to all aspects of storage across seasons (inter seasonal storage)
and across years (inter-year storage). Storage has costs and risks. Storage costs consist mainly
of the money tied up in the stocked commodity, the quantity and quality losses of commodity
that rise over time, and the accounting costs of capital invested in storage facilities. Storage is
risky because future prices may not rise sufficiently to compensate for the costs involved.
The spatial margin refers to all aspects of the transport commodities from location of sale to
location of final purchase. Transport distances may be local, medium distance, or long
distance. Distances and costs depend on the location of surpluses and deficits, and on the type
of commodity (for example, light versus bulk commodities, durable versus perishable
commodities). Like storage, transport involves risks concerning price differences between
origin and destination, and, for perishables, the condition of the commodity on arrival.
The form margin refers to all changes in the physical attributes of the commodity between
farmer and consumer. It includes not only direct processing but also cleaning, sorting,
labeling, packaging, canning and others. The form margin varies greatly between
commodities, and is also the one that changes most as development proceeds due to changing
demand patterns as incomes rises.
The marketing systems are more typically thought of as vertical commodity systems or
marketing channels, in which the commodities passes through a sequence of stages/events.
The main sequential stages in marketing are: -
a) Primary procurement (assembly), in which the commodity is purchased from farmers
and assembled at local village, or district level stores, or mills;
b) Processing, in which the commodity is milled or transformed prior to onward
distribution;
New seeds, fertilizers and irrigation water are complementary input – meaning the highest
levels of yield are only achieved by the simultaneous increase of all variable inputs in the
correct proportions. If one is missing the intended result will not be achieved. The
complementarities of the variable inputs lead to the idea of delivery of an input package to
farmers to achieve desired output. The package approach envisages a major role for the state:
investment in public irrigation schemes, delivery to farmers of certified seeds together with
the appropriate quantities of fertilizers and other farm chemicals, provision of credit, and
advice concerning the proper agronomic practices to put into effect.The package approach to
inputs has become less prevalent because of high overhead cost per farmer, insensitivity to
local variations in soil and climate, insensitivity to pre-existing farming systems, failure of
credit repayment and input delivery.
Objectives of input policy
In line with the preceding discussions, the objectives of state intervention in input markets can
be distinguished between general and specific, and betweenfarmers, input market, and input
supply dimensions as:
General: to accelerate and make more uniform the adoption of new technology by farmers.
Specific:Farmers:
& To overcome risk-averse behavior by farmers
& To avoid mistakes in input use by farmers that might happen on a trial-and error basis.
& To avoid the adoption of wrong/dangerous inputs by farmers.
Input markets:
a) To provide a delivery system for inputs under conditions where private markets in
farm inputs are non-existent, unevenly developed, or non competitive.
b) To combine input delivery with credit provision in order to alleviate the working
capital constraint on the adoption of new inputs.
c) To regulate and control the market for improved seeds, in order to ensure the genetic
quality of named varieties in seed replication and seed delivery to farmers.
d) To regulate and control the market for improved pesticides or disease-control
chemicals in the context of measures designed to contain the spread of pests and
diseases in crops grown under monoculture or near monoculture conditions.
Input Supply:
e) To maximize the use of domestic rather than imported supplies of farm inputs.
f) To provide a sales outlet, perhaps at subsidized price, for a high cost domestic industry
that is protected from import competition by import taxes or an import ban.
b) Information on inputs
Lack of practical and relevant information has long been recognized as a significant
barrier to rapid and widespread adoption. The traditional methods of conveying new
information to farmers relies on the government extension services through extension
officers each of whom is allocated a district with in which to provide device and carry out
training for farmers.
Credit transactions are not costless, and there is no single rate of interest that covers the costs
of and returns to the three principal actors- borrowers, lenders and savers in the system.
Instead, each type of participant faces what are calledtransaction costs, and the rates of
interest diverge in order to allow for the recoupment of these costs by the intermediary.
and to purchase modern variable inputs (fertilizer, pesticides, fuel, feeds, etc);
To replace the fragmented and incomplete rural financial market represented by private
moneylenders, these credit sources supposedly having the effect of impoverishing their clients
rather than assisting them to improve productivity;
To accelerate the adoption of new technology by peasant farmers, by providing working
capital for the seasonal purchase of variable inputs, and then optimizing the
complementarities between inputs.
To assist small farmers to overcome their inability to borrow from commercial or informal
credit sources, due to lack of collateral and lack of information;
To provide short-term credit in order to bridge seasonal and temporal cash shortfalls of small
farmers, compared to the medium and long-term lending preferences of commercial financial
institutions;
To achieve equity goals, whether these are related to intra-rural, inter-regional, or rural-urban
income distribution;
To offset the disincentive effects for small farmers of policies unfavorable to them including
low output prices, over-valued exchange rates, and inefficient market interventions by state;
To gain favor with farmers for political purposes, including forthcoming elections, and so on;
To take advantage of the sometimes-overwhelming generosity of foreign aid donors, who
seem to be, prepared to pump large amounts of money endlessly into rural credit project.
(ii) Credit targeting: the orientation of credit policy towards small farmers involves
extensive use of targeting devices. In more general credit schemes, the target group may
be defined according to various criteria such as farm area or family income.
(iii) Loan portfolio regulations: governments to restrict the decision-making flexibility of
financial institutions or to try to enforce compliance with state objectives may use various
devices. These types of device are usually associated with state regulation of private
banking system, but some of them may be applicable also to state credit agencies. The
devices are first to set a minimum to the proportion of agricultural sector loans out of
total loans; second to stipulate maximum permissible loan sizes; and third to place
restrictions on the term structure of the loan portfolio, such that the major proportion of
total loans are short-term loans.
(iv) Miscellaneous: governments can use many other instruments in order to try to fulfill
specified goals related to the provision of credit to farmers. Sometimes credit is provided
in kind. This is in order to overcome the problem of fungibility, but it is unlikely to be
successful, because if the farmer really wants to realize money for other purposes, the
physical credit will be sold for cash.
Irrigation may be defined as the use of human technology to increase and to control the
supply of water for crop production. In most cases, irrigation is supplementary to the
naturally occurring supply of water to crops from rainfall. However, there are important
examples - in arid and desert regions - where there would be no crop production at all in the
absence of irrigation.
(a) Irrigation reduces risk by diminishing the adverse impact of rainfall variation on crop
growth and yields.
(b) Irrigation increases crop yields directly, by reducing the incidence of water stress in
plants caused by uneven water supply, and by its complementary impact in raising the
productivity of other variable inputs.
(c) Irrigation permits farm output to be increased, because the household can switch to a
higher value crop mix, or because higher yielding varieties that are more responsive to
high levels of complementary inputs can be cultivated.
(d) Irrigation permits a rise in the multiple cropping indexes the average number of crops
that can be grown sequentially on a given area of land during an annual cycle by
providing a supply of water in dry seasons, and by permitting greater flexibility in the
timing of sowing.
(e) Irrigation permits previously uncultivated land to be brought into cultivation, by
extending the margin of cultivation into semi-arid or arid regions, provided that soils
are capable of sustaining crop production in the presence of sufficient water.
Irrigation methods are classified in the first instance according to whether they make use of
available surface water, or whether they draw up water that is held in the ground, called
groundwater. The main technology for utilizing surface water iscanal irrigation,and the main
technology for utilizing groundwater is tube-well irrigation.
fanning families;
Family or individual farming: This arrangement, with full ownership or life time tenure rights, or
with various forms of short-term tenancy, predominates in a number of less developed nations;
Integral or cooperative farming: The income from the firm is distributed on the basis of the
ownership of the three sets of productive resources: land, labor and capital;
Collective farming: This is done with assumption that greater agricultural productivity, more
equal income distribution, and better control of “agricultural sector are achieved by
transferring land to collective ownership and operation. The income of the collective is
distributed to members based usually on some measure of labor contributed.
The true commune: The arrangement provides the most social control, with all production
under group control and a large amount of goods and services provided on the basis of need
through group-operated central dining halls, nurseries, recreational facilities, and public
housing, with small individual cash allowances to members for personal needs. These types
communal ownership require special conditions and motivation.
Food policy is broader than agricultural policy as it also focuses on consumption and
nutritional issues. A major concern in policy reform dialogue has been the reduction or
elimination of consumer subsidies, which have frequently reflected an urban bias. Key
elements of the discussion have focused on the need to reduce consumer subsidies in the
process ending systems that were frequently unable to provide guaranteed supplies of low cost
food.
Rural development policies are designed to improve the conditions under which rural people
work and live. The goals of policies are governed by what people desire, and the measures of
policies by what people think the government can and ought to do to bring about the desired
change. This is the theory of public policy. Changes are desired only when people do not like
the way things are going. Pressure for public action arises when people feel that they,
individually, cannot bring about the desired adjustments. They have in mind some ‘norm’,
some image of an ideal situation towards which they strive. These norms become the goals of
policy towards which objectives of specific programmesare directed.
There are two dominant goals of economic policy; first, increasing the national income, and
second, improving the distribution of national income among the members of society. To
achieve these, following goals are to be attained.
i. Priority to agriculture and rural development, with a view to generate adequate
productive employment and eradication of poverty.
ii. Accelerating the growth rate of the economy with stable prices.
iii. Ensuring food and nutritional security for all, particularly the vulnerable sections of
society.
iv. Providing the basic minimum services of safe drinking water, primary health care
facilities, universal primary education, shelter, and connectivity to all in a time bound
manner.
v. Containing the growth rate of population.
vi. Ensuring environmental sustainability of the development process through social
mobilization and participation of people at all levels.
vii. Empowerment of women and socially disadvantaged groups.
viii. Promoting and developing people’s participatory institutions like Local
Governments, cooperatives and self help groups.
ix. Strengthening efforts to build self-reliance.
The above objectives, which seek to achieve ‘growth with equity’, need to be seen in the
context of the following four important dimensions.
Quality of life of the rural population
Generation of productive employment
Regional balance
Self-reliance
All these objectives seem to be worthwhile, and therefore deserve serious pursuit by policy
makers. However, to be of any use to society, these objectives should be translated into
specific programmes and projects that are manageable under the existing conditions. Many
rural development policies are complex combinations of various goals, different sets of means
or instruments, and are limited by various conditions. To understand such policies, we should
divide them into several programmes or projects. For each programme, a clearly defined
objective may be designated, which a particular government agency should pursue. The
programme measures can then be identified and appraised as to whether they are appropriate
and efficient in serving the objective, and adapted to the conditions outside the influence of
that particular programme. These conditions are often the decisive factor determining whether
or not a certain programme is administratively feasible.
The agricultural development lead industrialization strategy insists that developing economies
are characterized by scarcity of capital and abundance of labor. So any rational and
sustainable strategy must focus in sectors which can make the intensive use of the abundant
factor (land and labor) and must make efficient and selective use of the scarce factor. The
good candidate is agriculture, which makes intensive and extensive use of land and labor and
is the major saver of capital.
The application of modern agricultural technology will increase farm production and income.
And the level of increase in both output and income will need less resource in agriculture
compared to other sectors. This is so because of the fact that the shadow cost of land and
especially labor which is intensively used in agriculture is lower than capital. The increase in
agricultural production will stimulate agricultural input producing industries. Moreover, cheap
and reliable supply of raw material and food items will not keep real wages rate and cost of
production down, stimulating other sectors expansion.
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So the increased supply of cheap agricultural food and raw material will effectively create the
much need capital to sponsor non agricultural sector. But the problem of non agricultural
sectors especially manufacturing is that it needs huge imports of machinery and some raw
material from foreign countries. But foreign exchange will be the major bottle neck on this
side. Fortunately the growing agriculture sector is where developing economies comparative
advantage lays. So if they want to improve their foreign exchange position there is no other
sector which can provide the maximum foreign exchange at least cost, compared to
agriculture.
In short, the increase in agricultural production, export and income through technological and
institutional innovation will create a necessary condition for efficient expansion of other
sectors and structural transformation. And the development of each sector will create
reciprocal forward and backward linkages. Over long time, given inelastic demand for food
items and agricultural goods and decreasing income elasticity of demand with income
increase: the relative importance of both service manufacturing will dominate agriculture in
the long run. So the development of agriculture needs to be processed in order to create a
fertile ground for development of other sectors (especially industrialization) in most cost
effective and sustainable manner. This is a strategy commonly known as the Agricultural
Development Lead Industrialization (ADLI).
The focus of the strategy is to make the engine of the economic development on agriculture
because the fuel (resource) that is needed to initiate motion is less costly in agriculture. But
other sectors need to follow the lead of agriculture until their capacity is improved so they can
take the lead by themselves.
1. Is it possible to increase agricultural production?
2. Is it possible to create increasing demand for agricultural production?
3. Is it possible to create increasing demand for non-farm sector?
But in Ethiopian context two factors also need clear understanding. These are:
4. Is it possible to create productive employment for the increasing labor force in
agriculture?
5. Is it possible to relay on static comparative advantage or do we need to think about
dynamic comparative advantage in terms of product cycle and technological gap?
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The answer to these questions can’t be the same everywhere; as one shoe can’t fit all the foot,
but the logic behind these questions need to be explained at this point. Questionone is
important because given fixed land the only way we can increase output in sustainable
manner is through technological progress. But the implicit question is related to the fact if it is
possible to replicate the green revolution in countries like Ethiopia. But technological
progress needs to be institutionalized, because what is needed is attained in face high output
in sustainable manner? Question two is important because the agricultural demand is price
inelastic means technological treadmill works fast and harshly in agriculture. 1% increase in
output will result more than 1% decline in price means total revenue will decline when
farmers adopt new technology. The only way out is if there is increase in non-farm income to
shift the demand curves upward continuously. Given low per capital income, increase in
income will result in tremendous increase in demand, which can affectivity counter the effect
of technological treadmill.
The agriculture sector has very weak backward linkage. This is because chemical fertilizers
and insecticides are very capital intensive so are not economic to produce them in domestic
economy. The little backward linkage that can be extorted into elementary farm implements
can’t be expected to sponsor the industrialization process. So the forward linkage toward
industries which produce consumer goods using labor intensive technology must be strong, if
structural transformation is going to be initiated and sustained. The fourth point is related to
declining land-labor ratio and asks if it is possible to initiate sustained output and market
surplus increase from the very tiny land that families must depend on. And this is related to
the first question. But most importantly the fifth question focus on the theoretical issue and
application of comparative advantage.
Most of the successful stories of the 21 st century was not only using their comparative
advantage but was also creating their own new comparative advantage in line with dynamic
comparative advantage theories of product cycle and technological gap theories.So it is
logical question to ask can we create our comparative advantage or comparative advantage is
something we follow and have no say on it?
The strategy assumes that “basically these days citizens engaged in agriculture do not think of
the existence of alternative jobs and they basically practice traditional farming methods
inherited from their ancestors. They are fully prepared to be engaged in agriculture. This
preparedness is not only because of absence of other alternatives but also love and
appreciation of the profession, which has been inherited from generation to generation, is not
underestimateable. Therefore, the traditional farmer possesses adequate interest to be
engaged in agriculture. It is possible to assume that work preparedness of the farmer is
assured”. The main problem is retention of education youth in rural areas.
Special works needs to be done in drought prone areas to generate productive employment
from farm and off farm sector. But given the lower potential in other alternative, most of the
work have to be done in agriculture Proper management of water, proper use of land and other
natural resources, with introduction of new technology can solve the problem in the long run.
But until then we have to use drought relief and other welfare measures to achieve food
security. And use of food for work in environmental conservation practices expect for those
who are not able to work can reduce the dependence problem and can improve their
livelihood in the long run. Another option on the table is resettlement. However, resettlement
programs can be effective if they:
& are done within the same region
& are with full consent of the individual
& are gradual starting with head
& approached in integrated manner
& full care is given for sustainable utilization of natural resource.
This will solve the food insecurity of the resettles directly. But the area that is left by re-
settlers will also benefit first due to decrease in labor land ratio and second due to remittance
that can be sent from re-settlers to their family. Moreover, the integration of agro-forestation
(which can generate income), livestock husbandry and other activist like expansion of honey
bee can be effective. But there is need to improve the local breed’s productivity by
crossbreeding, improve the availability of vaccination and animal feeder. But there is also an
urgent need for effective utilization and management of the available water, with technical
help of the government and improved access to credit. These will enable farmers to produce
goods that are highly demanded on the market like cash crops and animal feeder from their
fragmented and small land.
In high potential areas with adequate water supply the government focus will be on intensive
farming using rain water so to produce surplus products which are important for food security.
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But private incentives for irrigation will be encouraged but they will not government focus.
Note that livestock and natural resources management in addition to irrigation are needed in
these places too. But the urgency is not as drought prone areas. Moreover areas with small
land but reliable water the focus should be on cash crops but government will not force them
then helping them technically and financially to choose that path.
In pastoral areas the first emphasis should be on provision of water for both animal and
human population. This will reduce the concentration of animal population in few areas
where there is better access to water and grazing land currently. This in turn will cause
associated natural resource depletion observed in these areas. As the emphasis is on livestock
production a livestock extension system and animal health services must be provided
explicitly recognizing the nomadic nature of their livelihood. Moreover the use of elected and
traditional leaders for coordinating sustainable livelihood and sustainable natural resource
management should be emphasized. Additionally the production extension must fully
recognize the local knowledge and must work harder to improve the local knowledge.
However, real improvement in pastoral community quality of life on the long run needs
permanent settlements. The settlement of pastoral community to sedentary agriculture is hard
business. This is so because it does not only need change in location but also change in
culture. But sedentary agriculture among pastoral community needs irrigation facility which
is expensive to build on low lands. Additionally it needs to be not only with in the same
region but also with in the same tribe.
In sparsely populated areas, the settlement of large scale private farms with integrated supply
of infrastructure and social services is needed to benefit from the high potential areas. And
with conscious understanding between sending and receiving regions interregional settlements
can be implemented in the long run, too.
On land policy, we saw that small scale farmers are more efficient than large scale farmers as
they will use intensively the most abundant factor (land and labor) and will save the scarce
capital (in line with uni-modal theory). So it is preferable in country like Ethiopia if land
concentration is avoided. So collective ownership of land will make sense if farmers are
granted use right but not transfer right (by sale). But the problem is related to.
1. Land improvement which is critically needed at current age of population explosion
will not happen unless some form of land security is created.
2. The land tenure institution which grants use right for adults is behind the population
explosion problem, itself.
3. Factor mobility of both land and labor is hindered and this will have series negative
consequence on economic efficiency
4. The fourth question is related to the fact that if farmers need any nanny or patron
(state) to tale them how they should live their life.
The strategies promotion of farming and technology development, which reflects the special
condition of the area, is a very interesting diversion from current practice. And will probably
solve the central problems of the current practice on technology dissemination and adoption.
The main problems of the extension package which are applied in Ethiopia are two kinds.
First the technology is provided as blanket technology to be applied in all areas although it
does not work everywhere.
Second, when we see the ‘integrated’ nature of the rural development policy, it is hardly
possible to call it integrated. It is integrated in sense different problem are solved at the same
time. But the inter linkage effects are very different on different areas. As result the needed
priorities are not the same in all areas. In such reality providing similar social services in all
areas does not make the strategy an integrated strategy. If in some areas agriculture is
productive but the problem is related to health sector; but in other areas alternative
employment and education is needed more than health care, providing the same level of
school and health service does not make it an integrated solution than egalitarian solution
(from crude sense).
In long run, the strategy states that, the farmers will specialize and will create reciprocal
demand for each other. But in short and medium term the towns of the country must create
the demand. And given the low urbanization and per capital income, breaking in to
international market will be needed if the full potential of agriculture is to be realized. So
agriculture production must be domestic market lead in short run and international market
lead, in medium and long run. So production decision must be done by observing market
demand first and the producer must have the capacity to adopt his production pattern to very
unstable international market. The farmer needs to produce goods which generate high
consumer value at a least cost and acceptable selection of outputs that can be produced at
acceptable quality, but also includes the use appropriate farm management and post harvest
management like processing, packaging and marketing.
But to make sure that the farmer is producing to supply consumer value, the extension
package need to include all necessary inputs from production to post production and
marketing activities, which can generate him/her high income. If he/she is provided with this
complete package he/she will adopt the technology and will produce goods which posses a
higher consumer value. “The main thing here is that the research and extension system
should be able to develop an attitude and capacity leading to a market, especially international
market-led agricultural development”. Moreover, “establishing efficient marketing system
which enables to maintain the quality and competitiveness and improving the system
continuously is important to ensure rapid and sustainable agricultural development”.
An important element in the market development is the need for national standards based on
international standards (for those products which are new at international market, we can
introduce our own grade) which does not only increase market penetration capacity but it also
reduces the transaction cost of marketing. Moreover, the dissemination of marketing
information and the establishment of commodity exchange which facilitate spot and future
(forward) markets are critical.
But the establishment of service or general cooperative is given the higher priority on the
strategy. The strategy states that “if there are strong cooperatives in country, there can be a
high rate of agricultural development and growth and improvement of agricultural marketing
system, whereas it will not be an exaggeration to say high rate of agricultural development,
growth and improvement of agricultural marketing system is impossible without
cooperatives”. This is related to consolidated sell to reduce marketing cost and high
bargaining power of the farmer which can save them from any exploitive middle man. But
cooperatives need to be created by free will of the members to solve their problem. There is
need for financial, technical, managerial (through hired professionals) and other support in
addition to promotion of cooperative formation by persuasion. But there is need to avoid
political intervention by government official.
But the strategy calls for complementary than competitive role of private sector with
cooperatives. It states that in “saying that cooperatives will and have to play decisive role in
our agricultural marketing system does not mean that this will be done by them alone or that
the private investors will not have any key role in this respect. Rather, unless the key role of
the private investors is included, the system may not work at all because there are many holes
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that cannot be closed by the cooperatives. This role may express itself in the form of retail
and whole selling as well as in collecting agricultural products and processing them in
factories.” Although for efficient value chain management cooperatives have to take the lead
role, the private sector can also play its own complementary role in retail and other miner
activities. Moreover private sector can participate in wholesale trade between cooperatives
and final consumer or input producers and cooperatives. For exported products the use of
brand name and promotion by internationally proclaimed companies is critical in order to
enjoy the high price that come with branded product.
The first problem of the marketing strategy is that it assumes a fairytale that the first increase
in output will be for home consumption that for market. Based on that assumption, the policy
argues that the first few round increases in output will not need any market development or
market at all. In real world of Ethiopia, first if there is subsistence farmer isolated from the
market, it is an exception than a norm. Secondthe increase in agricultural production is to be
made by using science based modern inputs which have to be bought in the market.
Commercialization on input side which by itself needs market development will also need
commercialization on output side to cover the financial needs of modern inputs. So
technological progress or technological adoption and market development can’t be isolated
from one another at any level.
The second short coming of the policy is related to grade and standards. If customer can
differentiate 40 to 45 grain qualities, how are you going to enforce 10 or 15 grades of grain?
This is like forcing all Ethiopian people to dress traditional cloth in order to attract foreigners.
But people have a much larger life than getting truest money beings a show case of a
foreigner. In order to encourage export of Teff you need grades which meet international
standard but this have no real relationship with domestic grades, how can you force such
grades into the economy? If we know there are 5 types of maize how are you going to
convince me there are only 2 types? The right path was to understand the scientifically. This
may lead to 40 or 45 grades, but over time introduce HVY which have most of the necessary
characteristics. If these grains can fetch higher price (given they have all the good quality)
and are cost effective (due to R & D done on them) they will be accepted by both customer
and producer. Over time few grains will be able to dominate all other grain varieties and the
economy will end up with few grains will be able to dominate all other grain varieties and the
economy will end up with few grains will be able to dominate all other grain varieties and the
economy will end up with few grades and standards. This is the pattern of grade and standard
formation followed on more developed economies. These economies started from large
number of grade and standards. But now we are trying to adopt such grades in to domestic
economy without considering the local reality. In short run export of grain can be done by
using international standards but you can’t force it to domestic economy. It is neither needed
nor possible.
One cooperatives side, even though cooperatives are an institutional solution to some market
failures they are not a magic formula which corrects all market failures. The problems need
to be seen from the development of appropriate institutions by choosing from the different
menu of institutions than simply focusing on one institution. Second to create efficient
cooperatives and to make sure they are efficiently managed the existence of competition on
all levels and voluntary membership are necessary. But the strategy even though accepts
voluntary membership it pushes for complementary than competitive role by the private
sector. But the efficiency of the cooperatives is conditioned on the existence of competitive
private sector to serve as check on their inefficiency and vise verse.
The policy does not have any deep analysis about role of NGO (Civil society) in rural
development. It simply insists that the NGO (civil society) could be used in fund raising and
implementing projecting projects selected by kebele but which are behind their capacity.
NGOs (civil societies) have to fit themselves into the priority of the kebeles decision. They
are assumed as instrument to access funds and complement kebeles.
Moreover, vertical coordination of farming and marketing by using contract farming can
improve the market failure that farmers face in extension, credit, inputs, insurance and output
market. And it should be done with clear contractual agreement between both parties. “Even
though the relationship is only between the two independent parties, that is the farmer and the
investor, the government can play a major role in a way that will not violet the major
principle. It can and should make the two parties meet by looking for interested investors and
coordinating farmers. It can advise to make the contract keeps the benefits of both; it can
prepare model contact for this purpose. It must clarify for both parties the obligation of each
one of them has according to the contract and strengthen their readiness to implement the
contract. If any one of the parties proves to be a defaulter, it must make legal measures to be
taken quickly. It must also make them have prior understanding on this”.
Reflection:
The two important issues that need to be assessed are that the use of social capital and role of
NGO. Social capital and its importance for coordinating development are appreciated on
pastoral areas only. But we can’t assume that social is to be found in pastoral areas only as
there is large number of social capital that can be used for development purpose on other
areas, too. The second problem is related to role of NGO and general civic society which is
defined as additional source of finance and safety net for the kebeles (their administrates).
After kebele’s made the decision of what to do civic society are supposed to help them on
areas which the kebeles are lacking capacity. This is like wasting a valuable resource, when
you made value oriented, professionals and flexible workers under kebele officials, which are
simply no more than lower level politicians! But we know that all civic societies are not
efficient compared to state. When you think about value orientation in dynamic sense it is
highly possible wage oriented individuals society performance could be needed if necessary
but can’t define all civic society to be inefficient and put them in secondary role after kebeles.