Semiconductor
Semiconductor
markets have boomed, with sales growing by more than 20 percent to about
$600 billion in 2021.(mckinsey,2023)
● McKinsey analysis based on a range of macroeconomic assumptions suggests
the industry’s aggregate annual growth could average from 6 to 8 percent a year
up to 2030.(mckinsey,2023)
● Worldwide semiconductor sales increased from $139.0 billion in 2001 to $574.0
billion in 2022, a compound annual growth rate of 6.67 percent per year.
According to the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) Fall 2022
Semiconductor Industry Forecast, worldwide semiconductor industry sales are
forecasted to decrease to $556 billion in 2023 and increase to $602 billion in
2024.(semiconductor.org,2023)
● In 2001, the Asia Pacific market surpassed all other regional markets in sales, as
electronic equipment production shifted to the region. It has multiplied in size
since then, from $39.8 billion to over $330.94 billion in 2022. By far, the
largest country market in the Asia Pacific region is China, which accounted for
55 percent of the Asia Pacific market and 31 percent of the total global
market.(semiconductor.org,2023)
● The Indian semiconductor market was valued at approximately $23.2 Bn
and is projected to reach $80.3 Bn by 2028, growing at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.10% during the forecast period.
(investindia.gov.in,2023)
● Further, to support semiconductor research and development (R&D) in
India, the Ministry of Electronics and IT (MeitY) has announced a $10
Bn investment in the India Semiconductor Mission (ISM),demonstrating
the government’s intention to establish a foothold in the semiconductor
market. (investindia.gov.in,2023)
● India exported US$ 160 Mn in Semiconductor Devices in 2021, Sales of
semiconductors from India decreased by 54% in value terms compared
to 2021, making it the 19th largest exporter of Semiconductor Devices in
the world, while India imported US$ 2.17 Bn in 2021 as sales of the
commodity to India decreased by 32% in value terms compared to 2021,
becoming the 9th largest importer of Semiconductor Devices in the
world.(maximizemarketresearch.com,2023)
● In 2022, semiconductor scarcity was felt all across the globe, including
India. This is why the country opted to become self-sufficient in
semiconductor chip manufacturing so swiftly, allocated US$ 10 billion in
production-related incentives (PLI). Over the next six years, the goal is
to establish over 20 semiconductor design, component production, and
display fabrication units in India.(maximizemarketresearch.com,2023)
● The geopolitics of the semiconductor supply chain has undergone a rapid shift
with the introduction of export-control measures by the United States.
Semiconductors were not initially entangled with the larger issues driving the
U.S.-China trade war.Outcomes that may result from the export-control
measures include a stoking of China’s efforts to wean itself off the U.S.-
controlled chokepoints in the supply chain.(carnegie india.org,2023)
● Given the geopolitical nature of the U.S.-China battle to secure key
chokepoints in the semiconductor supply chain, semiconductor companies will
be looking to reconcile these different outcomes to ensure that their supply
chains do not have to be significantly recalibrated.(carnegie india.org,2023)
● In the long term, India is likely to introduce policies that help attract some
semiconductor manufacturing and design capabilities to the country, especially
if the hollowing of China’s semiconductor industrial base continues to take
place. (carnegie india.org,2023)
● Semiconductor companies have experienced supply disruptions in the past,
such as the 2011 Fukushima earthquake, tsunami, and subsequent nuclear
disaster and flooding later that year, COVID-19 has had many more lasting
impacts than these singular traumatic events (Raskob, 2020). According to
various economic analysts, the total losses faced by the automotive sector
worldwide due to semiconductor shortages from the COVID-19 pandemic
totaled $61B in 2021 with some citing totals of $210B.
(digitalcollections.sit.edu,2023)