Report Angel Investing
Report Angel Investing
STARTUP INVESTING
Topics
Why invest in startups?
Informed decision-making
The high expected returns are an These figures are past returns, and they’re
taking only the US into consideration. But a
important reason why people
general outperformance of private markets,
invest in startups, but that’s not compared to public ones, intuitively makes
the only motivation. sense since venture capital is a more illiquid
(meaning that investors can’t sell their
There are several reasons why people are investments whenever they want) and riskier
attracted to investing in startups. First, asset class than equities. For this reason,
there’s the allure of financial returns, which investors are expecting higher returns from
means how many times investors get their venture capital. Otherwise, they wouldn’t
investment back. Unlike the returns in the bother.
public markets, which are measured in What the average return figure hides is a big
meager percentage points, business angels difference between the best and the worst
talk about multiples – 10x or even more. funds in the sample. Looking at the funds
Then, there lies satisfaction in learning that started in 1997, for example, the best
about emerging technologies and new 25% of them returned an astonishing 64%
business models way before mainstream annually on average, while the worst 25%
investors hear about a “trend” packaged into were a failure – they lost 1% every year. The
thematic funds. Furthermore, investors like reason for this discrepancy is that a large
helping young entrepreneurs realize their part of the returns in venture capital stems
ambitions, especially if their startups tackle from backing the rare companies that
society’s biggest problems. produce outsized returns. The returns from
venture capital follow a power-law curve,
which means that the bulk of returns are
Attractive financial returns produced by just a few companies.
The average financial returns from startup According to venture capital (VC) firm
investing are higher than those from public Andreessen Horowitz, 6% of the investments
equity markets. Over 20 years, venture made between 1985 and 2014 account for
capital returned 11% annually (net of fees 60% of the returns. If a fund doesn’t pick a
and carried interest) versus 7.5% for listed star startup, its performance will be
equities, according to Cambridge lackluster at best.
Associates.
Most private investors don’t have access to Others might find the valuations of the
venture capital funds because they lack the public markets becoming increasingly hard
large investment sums (usually a million or to justify, and they turn to startups to find
more) to get into these funds. But there are high-growth companies at more attractive
opportunities for private investors to make valuations. Startup investing also offers the
direct investments in startups, be it through rare opportunity to achieve outsized returns
business angel networks, microfunds with that are less common in public markets and
smaller entry tickets, or investment measured by multiples instead of meager
platforms like Verve Ventures. percentage points. Furthermore, with
One lesson that the return distribution in VC companies staying private for longer and the
teaches is to build a diversified portfolio – number of listed companies in decline,
the chance of backing a startup that will be a investing in private companies before they
highflier is lower with just one or two go public is a logical next step from an
investor’s point of view.
investments than with 10 or more. However,
But it’s safe to assume (and this assumption
it’s also important to have some quality
rests on hundreds of investor onboarding
standards and invest in high-potential
calls Verve Ventures did) that many people
candidates only. Just adding more
are driven to investing in startups because
investments of doubtful quality isn’t
they expect not only a return premium over
diversification; it’s “diworsification.” Some
listed companies but also non-financial
investors see startups as a way to diversify
benefits, even if the possible financial
because the returns from startups aren’t
returns remain their main driver. What are
closely correlated to those from the public
these benefits?
markets.
No seasoned investor buys just one or two According to a study of more than 20,000
stocks and hopes for the best. If there’s one venture returns in the US (see below), almost
generally accepted investment principle in two-thirds of the investments failed to pay
the financial world, it’s diversification, which back even the initial investment (which
means to spread one’s investment over a lot means a complete loss in most cases). A
of different stocks (and asset classes). This quarter made a return of 1x to 5x and around
tried-and-tested method reduces the risk of 6% brought back 5x–10x the invested capital.
individual investments and is bound to Very few investments (only 4%) have
increase long-term returns. It applies to achieved spectacular returns of much more
startup investments even more so. than 10x. This clearly shows how seldom
such exciting outcomes are. But still, 0.4%
The reason why diversification is essential in of the observed investments achieved a
the startup world has to do with the return multiple of above 50x, a massive return on
distribution of venture investments, which investment. With such a wide discrepancy
follows a power-law curve. It’s skewed to one between multiples, what can be said about
side. the total distribution of returns?
Average annual
manager return, IRR
Source: Monte Carlo Simulation by the magazine “Insitutional Investor” with 2’000 funds created by randomly picking deals using the deal-by-deal returns
distribution probability of Correlation Ventures. Gross IRR shown, without fees, as of June 30 2019
With startups, everyone is trying to pick the rare deals on the right side of the return
distribution (those with high multiples in the chart above) and avoid the ones on the far
left, and still, two-thirds of ventures fail (even the ones that are backed by VCs). It’s
also evident that the more investments one makes, the higher the probability that one’s
startup portfolio will include some of the great successes. How many investments
represent a meaningful diversification in the startup world? A simulation run by the
magazine “Institutional Investor” shows an interesting result with 500 investments
versus “only” 15 investments.
As the picture shows, broad diversification If an investor with a net worth of EUR 2
significantly reduces the breadth of the million is comfortable with investing 10% of
return distribution, eliminating the money- that sum in startups, this person could do
losing strategies and positively affecting the four tickets of EUR 50,000 each or back 20
median return. Diversification also makes different startups with EUR 10,000. From a
achieving an impressive result impossible, diversification perspective, the second
though. But this strategy still compares well approach makes more sense than the first
to returns from global equities and to many one. There’s also a third strategy that could
other asset classes, for that matter. prove to be successful, which consists of a
staggered approach.
But there are some lessons to be learned
from these observations. The first one is Only half of the money is invested at first
generally applicable: As with listed equities, (say, in 10 startups with a EUR 10,000 ticket
diversification is your friend. One should do each), while the other half is kept in reserve.
several smaller investments (say, a dozen) The investor then waits and sees how the
instead of just a few larger ones (just one or startups develop. It will become clearer over
two). This principle can guide investors even time which companies are on an impressive
when making the first investment because, in growth trajectory and merit follow-on
reality, most people will have a finite amount investments in later financing rounds. This
of money that they can invest in startups approach leads to a lower diversification
over their lifetime. Consequently, it seems than spreading investments across 20
prudent to start investing with small startups, but it increases the amount
amounts. What this means in terms of invested in those that turn out to be
numbers varies according to one’s total successful over time.
assets and an investor’s risk appetite, which
in turn determines the percentage of wealth
earmarked for startup investments.
A cognitive bias that leads to suboptimal Sometimes, investors say that they don’t
results while investing is the tendency to invest in X or Y because they don’t
invest only in what is close to what one understand it, and this is perfectly fine. If
knows (geographically or from a topical investors still would like to add a few
perspective), termed familiarity bias. Now, in investments outside of their comfort zone to
the context of startup investments, this bias avoid a strict industry focus, they can rely on
is a more tricky one, because especially for Verve Ventures to present them with such
active investors, it makes sense to invest cases.
close to what one knows best. If investors
are industry experts, they can help startups Diversification can also be applied in a
from this industry with their network and temporal dimension and in regards to the
advice. With such specific knowledge, one phases that startups are in. Take someone
also should have the necessary insight to who likes to invest early in startups: By
judge if a startup has a good chance to do making a few investments year after year,
well. If some industries or topics don’t the portfolio consisting of several vintages
interest a person at all, forcing onerself to will start to pay back capital from exits so
look at them isn’t fun. And investing close to that this money can be reinvested. Since
where investors live and where their network Verve Ventures offers investment
is based seems like a good start. opportunities from different stages, it allows
investors to also choose startups that have
This being said, there are arguments why found their recipe for success and already
broadening one’s topical and geographical make several millions of sales. These
investment horizon could be beneficial. startups are far less risky to invest in than
Europe has several startup hotspots, and it those that are earlier in their development,
might simply be that a startup in an industry but also offer less residual upside potential.
one is interested in comes from another In this regard, the risk-return profile of later-
country. As a pan-European investment stage growth startups is similar to that of
network, Verve Ventures can give this
listed small-cap equities.
access. If someone doesn’t have a strong
preference for a specific startup industry or
In conclusion, the dynamics of venture
their professional skills don’t readily
capital as an asset class make diversification
translate into one of them, these investors
a necessity, not an option. The more
might enjoy looking at as many investment
different startups an investor is able to back,
opportunities as possible and learning about
the better. Diversification should be taken
different topics.
into account when thinking about how much
to invest in a single startup.
Some of the startups that get financed by As the most active Swiss investor and
business angels are successful enough to one of the most active in Europe, Verve
raise later financing rounds (called Series A, Ventures has a strong visibility in the
Series B, Series C, etc.) that amount to market.
several million, or tens of millions, and this With an investment team of more than a
money comes mainly from venture capital dozen people in different countries,
firms. Seed investors get a chance to invest Verve Ventures identifies promising
again in these financing rounds. However, for startups early and builds a relationship
those who missed the early entry point, with them.
there’s usually no way to get into such a Verve Ventures combines the financial
financing round. The reason is that firepower of our private and institutional
entrepreneurs want to get financing rounds investors and is able to invest from EUR
done in an efficient way, which means talking 0.5 million up to several million in a single
to a few venture capital firms that are eager financing round.
to contribute millions and also play a Verve Ventures has partnered with
significant role in follow-on rounds. This is several leading venture capital firms in
why business angels seldomly play a role in Europe to share deal-flow, which
these transactions. There are notable ensures that Verve Ventures hears about
exceptions, such as people who are upcoming financing rounds.
strategically relevant for the startup, e.g., a Verve Ventures have proven that it
new board member with industry expertise or systematically creates value for its
someone who can write large checks. If portfolio companies, which makes it an
someone can chip in EUR 5 million, people investor startups want to work with.
will usually hear them out. Verve Ventures has become the
investment platform of choice for many
For investors who might want to participate successful entrepreneurs who refer
with EUR 10,000 or more but missed the Seed investment opportunities to it.
round of a startup, Verve Ventures offers
access to later and bigger financing rounds.
The reason why Verve Ventures has access
to these investment opportunities and can,
hence, offer them to private investors are:
120+
Financing rounds
150 m+
Total invested CHF
40+
Number of employees
JOIN US
Verve Ventures is the leading European
startup investment platform for qualified and
institutional investors. A team of investment
professionals screens thousands of FREE OF CHARGE TO BUILD A
companies and presents the best investment DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO WITH
opportunities on a digital platform after a INVESTMENTS STARTING AT
rigorous due diligence process. investiere CHF 10'000.
focuses on European tech startups.