Develop Countries
Develop Countries
Tilburg University
Qi Song
263153
Abstract . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Chapter 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Trade-off theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Signaling theory. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Profitability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Growth opportunity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Tangibility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Tax . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
A short summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 7
Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Limitations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Further studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
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Abstract
in public companies from developed countries, this thesis gives a general overview on
the relationship between determinants of capital structure and leverage based on the
Chapter 1 : Introductio n
The Capital structure of is also referred to as its financial structure . It deals with the
financing of a firm's investment activities through the use of debt, owner's equity or
intermediate securities . Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe (2002) give a brief definition of
capital structure as the mix of various debt and equity securities that are maintained
proportions of short-term debt, long-term debt, and owner's equity. Since Modigliani
and Miller's (1958) (MM) seminal work, a theoretical framework has been developed,
which aims to explain the decisions of financial managers for certain capital structures
and also indicates the possible determinants of capital structure . They helped in
establishing the theoretical framework for the trade-off theory of tax benefits,
bankruptcy cost and agency problems (Borunen, De Jong, Koedijk 2005) . MM's
theory is only a basic model to understand capital structure issues and is obviously not
perfect, since the choice regarding a certain capital structure cannot be based on one
single theory. Therefore, over the past four decades, many researchers have
capital structure . The pecking-order theory describes the choice for a certain capital
structure, stating that firms prefer internal to external funds and debt to equity if
external funds are needed . Thus the debt ratio reflects a cumulative requirement for
external financing and suggests that firms do not have leverage targets and use debt
only when retained earnings are insufficient (Myers, 1984) . Another theory which is
trying to complete the analysis of the choice of capital structure is called the signaling
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theory. Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe (2002, p .930) highlight the importance of the
signaling approach in the determination of the optimal capital structure, asserting that
insiders in a firm have information that the markets lack . Therefore the choice for a
certain capital structure by insiders can signal information to outsiders and change the
value of the firm . This theory is based on the concept of asymmetric information .
Over the past four decades, capital structure theory has evolved rapidly . The theories
of trade-off, pecking-order and signaling are all well established, there are substantial
theories, which are again founded on research results of many researchers . Even
though, how firms choose their capital structure has still not been well answered . In
the traditional trade-off theory, Kim (1978) and Kraus and Litzenberger (1973) argue
that optimal capital structure involves balancing the corporate tax advantage of debt
financing against the present value of bankruptcy costs . But Bradley, Jarrel and kim
(1984) finds no clear evidence for that assumption . In the pecking-order theory,
Myers (1984) suggests that firms do not have leverage and they use debt only when
retained earnings are insufficient . Harris and Raviv (1991) state that the leverage is
positively related to non-debt tax shields, size of the firm, tangibility of assets, and
advertising expenditure and a firm's uniqueness . We can conclude that the empirical
According to data, many previous studies on the determinants of capital structure have
found strong evidence of close relations between some determinants and leverage . For
instance, Akita's (2005) empirical research has found evidence that the types of
(2001) have also found that the size of the firm positively affects the leverage ratio,
but is inversely affected by the market to book ratio, term-structure of interest rates
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and the sharc price performance in all of~ their sample countries . llowever, so many
determinants have been found by previous studies, a few articles have to be devoted to
However, studies based on one or the other of the two theories may not represent the
structure based on the three capital structure theories, pecking-order, trade-off and
signaling . This thesis will summarize the results from those studies and will give a
comprehensive review of the main determinants of capital structure in each theory and
how these determinants influence the leverage level, particularly on the aspects of
The main question of this thesis can be answered by solving the following three parts .
First of all, this thesis is based on the three capital structure theories, with the first
the determinants of capital structure, this thesis summarizes the results fróm those
studies . Third, I will compare listed determinants with the three main theories of
capital structure, and find the capital structure theories and empirical evidence on the
This thesis is structured as following ; Chapter 2, starts with defining trade-off theory,
pecking-order theory and signaling theory from the prior theoretical literatures in
structure choice in the past decades . Chapter 3 gives a list of determinants that affect
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literatures . The chapter will examine these determinants on the choice of capital
2 .1 Trade-off Theory
The trade-off theory is explained in several ways . In the beginning, Modigliani and
Miller (1958) state that increasing firm leverage always increases a firm's, implying
that firms should maximize debt, but it is inconsistent with the real world . So, the
static trade-off theory predicts a trade-off between the tax benefits of debt and the
costs of financial distress and bankruptcy (Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe, 2002) . Fischer,
Henikel and Zechner (1989) develop the dynamic trade-off theory which includes the
fixed costs of adjustment, implying that firms allow leverage to fluctuate until it
becomes too extreme, and only then releverage. This dynamic theory is different from
static theory ; an important distinction is that the firm is always at an optimal point
(Frank and Goyal, 2004) . The second distinction is that Bradley, Jarrel and Kim (1984)
state that it differs whether the benefits of debt stem from tax savings or from control
of agency conflicts (Morellec, 2004) . Some researchers also provide cash flows as
external, but in general investment is not separable from leverage (Frank and Goyal,
The idea that an interior leverage optimum is determined by a balancing of the tax
savings advantage of debt against the deadweight costs of bankruptcy (Frank and
that firms have to be highly leveraged, above realistic levels and the deadweight
bankruptcy must be immature for the tax savings to be large and certain. Myers (1984)
argues that there is no powerful empirical evidence supporting tax variables, and
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The agency theory of leverage has undergone fewer tests by researchers . Morellec
(2004) suggests that agency conflict provides some aspects of leverage, when conflict
According to theory, it states trade-off between the tax benefits of debt and the costs
of financial distress and bankruptcy. The literature by Frank and Goyal, (2004) has
that the financial distress costs are lower and the desire for tax shield profits is higher .
The profitable firms will issue more debt than book assets . Therefore, the high
market-to-book ratio means higher growth opportunities but also increases the
financial distress costs . In this case, we can conclude that the financial distress cost is
more expensive in high-growth firms . It also means the firm should not issue more
debt in order to keep profits . Frank and Goyal (2004) also find a higher marginal tax
rate increases the tax shield benefit of debt . Non-debt tax shields are a substitute for
the interest deduction associated with debt and should be negatively related to
leverage .
Another empirical evidence has been found by Brounen, De Jong and Koedijk, (2005) .
They investigated European public companies for the determinants of leverage based
on static trade-off theory which are tax benefits and bankruptcy cost . The result shows
and U . S firms .
2 .2 Pecking-Order Theory
There are many prior researchers that have contributed lots of theoretical and
was clearly articulated by Myers, which was a big step forward in this theory . He
states that firms prefer internal to external funds, and debt to equity if external funds
are needed, thus the debt ratio reflects the cumulative requirement for external
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financing . The behavior of the pecking-order theory follows simple asymmetric
information (Myers, 1984) . The pecking-order theory compares with trade-off theory
in some points . Firstly, firms prefer internal finance . Secondly, if external finance is
required, firms issue the safest securities first . That is, they start with debt, then
possibly hybrid securities and then equity as a last resort . Thirdly, they separate their
target dividend payout ratio to their investment opportunities, although dividends are
sticky and target payout ratios are only gradually adjusted to shifts in the extent of
conclude that when external financing is required, debt should be issued before equity .
On the other hand, firms also issue debt when the firm is overvalued, and when stock
In the literature of Frank and Goyal (2004), pecking-order theory is defined by the
assumption that equity is subject to serious adverse selection, debt has less adverse
selection problems and retained earnings avoid problems . In this case, outside investor
will think equity is strictly riskier than debt, because of adverse selection, risk
premium will become larger on equity and outside investors will demand a higher rate
of return on equity than on debt . The point of view is that retained earnings are better
than outside financing, therefore retained earnings are used when possible . Equity is
only used in extreme situations . The empirical evidence on firm size has two sides .
On the one hand, large firms might have large assets in place and thus a greater
damage is inflicted by adverse selection (Myers and Majluf, 1984) . On the other hand,
Fama and French (2002) suggest that large firms might have less asymmetric
information and thus will suffer less damage by adverse selection . This suggestion is
also tested by Graham and Harvey (2001) . The result is that larger and dividend firms
Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe (2002, p .440) demonstrate the implication associated with
pecking-order theory which are at odds with trade-off theory . Firstly, there is no target
amount of leverage, the theory does not imply the target amount of leverage, and each
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firm chooses its leverage ratio according to financial needs . The firms should lower
the percentage of debt in capital structure, because the profit raises the book value and
market value of equity. Secondly, profitable firms use less debt, as they need less
outside finance, but generate cash internally . More profitable firms create more debt
capacity through higher cash flows . The debt capacity can capture the tax shield and
the other benefits of leverage . Thirdly, companies experience financial slack . The
pecking-order theory. If the manger issues more stock, it will mislead the skeptical
public investors who think that the stock is overvalued . However, firms can only issue
that insiders in a firm have information that the market does not . Therefore the choice
of capital structure by insiders can signal information to outsiders and affect the value
of the firm (Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe, 2002) . What kind of information is passed to
outsider from inside the firm is an important suggestion in the signaling theory .
Perfect and costly information flows often lead to the conclusion that corporate
financial decisions are inconsequential to the vale of the firm (Fama, 1978) . After
the optimality of financial decisions . The asymmetry is assumed to exist between the
corporate insiders who possess superior information about the firm's future earning
prospects and the outside investors (Bhattacharya, 1979) . The signaling theory can
change the value of the firm by helping firms avoid moral hazard or discover useful
information . Talmor (1981) concludes that signaling can highlight the intrinsic value
of the firm and has a real impact on the firm's cash flow . Therefore, the signaling
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Firms can signal to investors using their capital structure decision based on signaling
models of capital structure have been suggested . Ross (1977) suggests managers use
leverage to signal firm prospects to poorly informed outside investors who believe
theses signals because they are prohibitively costly for weak firms to mimic .
Chapter 3
Through a review of previous studies on theory and empirics, we summarize six main
structure, namely profitability, size of the firms, growth opportunities, tangibility, tax,
non-debt tax shields and cost of financial distress all influence the capital structure
choice .
3 .1 Profitability
The pecking-order theory suggests that firms that want to raise capital, initially prefer
to use internal financing, and then move to external financing . They issue debt, and
only lastly issue new capital (Myers, 1984 and Myers and Majluf, 1984) . This means
that profitable firms that have more internal funds to support, should have a lower
debt ratio in order to reduce their leverage ratio . The supply side is supported by this
positive relationship . Rajan and Zingales (1995) argue that creditors like to give loans
to high current cash flow firms . The proxy for profitability is operating income scaled
by total assets . Therefore, they both predict the negative relationship between leverage
and profitability. Antoniou, Guney and Paudyal (2002) investigate European firms
which are based in France, Germany and the UK and find significant negative
relationships between profitability and leverage in France and the UK . Akita (2005)
of choice . The result provides negative conelation between profitability and leverage
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for both inultination and doinestic cornpanies . The evidence is consistent with pecking
On the other hand, Modigliani and Miller (1963) argue that, according to the tax
deductability of interest payments, firms may prefer debt to equity in trade-off theory .
In this case, the argument suggests that highly profitable firms would choose the high
debt ratio in order to get attractive tax shields . Therefore, the prediction is that
DeAnglo and Masulis (1980) argue that the interest tax shield may not be important to
firms with other tax shields . But Huang (2004) states that a firm with more cash
should afford more debt, since in this case a firm can get more tax benefits . He also
provides empirical evidence that is consistent with trade-off theory prediction . Bowen,
Daly and Huber (1982) also provide empirical evidence on positive relationships
Alternatively, according to the free cash flow theory (Jensen, 1986) debt reduces the
agency cost of free cash flow. Harris and Raviv (1990) state that debt financing
ensures that the management is not affected by their individual purpose in order to
make efficient investment decisions, because management pursuing their own purpose
the profitable firms increase the debt ratio to signal the financial situation to outsiders .
Therefore, the free cash flow theory implies the positive relationship between
There are a number of previous studies suggesting that the leverage ratio may relate to
firm size . Rajan and Zingales (1995) argue that "larger firms tend to be more
diversified and fail less often, the size is an inverse proxy for the probability of
bankruptcy" . Warner (1977) and Ang, Chua and McConnell (1982) also state that
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direct bankruptcy costs decrease with firm size . Both of the two research groups
proved that the size of firms have a positive impact on the supply of debt . According
to the trade-off theory, large firms are expected to have a higher debt capacity and aze
The size of firms is also related to the cost of issuing debt and equity securities . Smith
(1977) suggests that small firms issuing new equity will pay more than large firms
and also more when issuing long-term debt . Therefore, this suggests that small firms
may have lower long-term debt ratios and higher short-term debt ratios . Mazsh (1982)
concluded that large firms more often chose long-term debt and small firms chose
short-term debt . Since the probability of bankruptcy is negatively related to the size of
firms, the cost of raising debt capital might be less important for large firms . Thus,
theory. Another possibility is that large firms have less control over individual
managers because of more dilute ownership . Managers may then issue debt in order to
reduce the risk of personal loss in bankruptcy . Rajan and Zingales (1995) proved that
size of firms is positively related to leverage based on data from developed countries
with Germany being an exception . Antoniou, Guney and Paudyal (2002) also found a
positive relationship between size of the firm and leverage in the UK and France .
Wald (1999) also supports their results . All of this empirical evidence is consistent
However, the positive relationship may not be very strong if the costs of financial
asymmetries between insiders in a firm and the capital market are lower for larger
securities like equity (Chen, 2004) . Therefore, the prediction is a negative relationship
between the size of the firm and its leverage based on pecking-order theory . Bevan
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3 .3 Growth Opportunity
The firm's potential growth might affect the capital structure of choice . Myers (1977)
states that the possibility of shareholders to undertake actions is severe for firms who
have valuable future investment opportunities . It will be difficult for such firms to
borrow money. Growing firms may also have difficulty to take debt, so firms could
lose their future opportunities if the debt interest is too high . In other words, the firms
expropriate wealth from the firm's debt holders to its shareholders . Growth
opportunities imply a conflict between debt and equity interests . Therefore, the
based on trade-off theory. To support this, Rajan and Zingales (1995) find empirical
different for short-term and long-term debt . The agency problem is mitigated if the
firm issues short-term rather than long-term debt . This suggests that short-term debt
might have a positive relationship with growth opportunities . But long-term debt is
the market-to-book ratio ( MBR) can also measure growth opportunities . So, there is a
positive relationship between growth opportunity and leverage . However, Rajan and
Zingales ( 1995) found evidence that the MBR is negatively related to leverage . The
reasons for this are that firms prefer to issue equity when stocks are overvalued and
the increase of MBR is also an increase in the cost of financial distress . Thus, the
showed the relationship on growth opportunity and leverage is rather mixed based on
pecking-ordertheory .
According to signaling theory, high value firms are able to use more debt financing
because debt has its dead weight costs, which make less valuable companies more
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likely to fall into bankruptcy . The theory also predicts that firms with more growth
opportunity will employ the most leverage (Chen, 2004) . Therefore, signaling theory
predicts the positive relationship between growth opportunities and leverage . Bevan
and Danbolt (2000) investigate companies in the UK and found evidence to support
the positive relationship . Titman and Wessels (1998) also found evidence to support
this result .
3 .4 Tangibility
Many researchers have proved that tangibility is positively related to the level of
leverage . The reason is that tangible assets are easy to collateralize for debt. It could
reduce the lender's risk when collateralizing tangible assets for debt (Williamson,
1988) . The lender may face risks of adverse selection and moral hazazd due to the
conflict between lender and shazeholder interests . But, if firms aze unable to
collateralize tangible assets, lenders may require higher lending terms . Thus, debt
financing is more expensive than equity financing . However, Myers (1977) states that
this asset substitution problem occurs less often when firms have more tangible assets .
Scott (1977) comes from the different argument, but his conclusions aze essentially
the same as Myers . Therefore, higher tangible assets will bring the firms a higher
leverage ratio . The agency cost of equity increases the underinvestment problem .
Issuing secured debt through tangible assets reduces agency costs . This confirms the
positive relationship between tangibility and a firm's leverage . It indicates that asset
tangibility is very important in banks' credit policy . According to both the trade-off
and pecking-order theories, this result is consistent with both predictions . Rajan and
Zingales (1995) find a significant positive relationship between the leverage and
tangibility in most developed countries . Antoniou, Guney and Paudyal (2002) found a
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3 .5 Ta x
The main theme of study by Modigliani and Miller ( 1958) is the impact of tax on the
capital structure of choice . The view of MM indicates that the tax rate is directly
influenced by the debt-to equity ratio of the firms . The debt-equity ratio of the frm
increases with the tax rate . Nowadays, almost all of the researchers believe that tax is
important for the firm's capital structure . If the firm wants to obtain a better tax-shield
gain, it should use more debt and the firm needs a higher effective marginal tax rate .
Many previous studies have failed to find a significant tax effect on the behavior of
explain this by stating most tax shields have a small effect on the marginal tax rate in
most firms . They focus on the effect of taxes and find a positive relationship between
debt financing and the effective marginal tax . This evidence is consistent with MM
theory. Trade-off theory predicts a trade-off between tax advantages and bankruptcy
costs of debt . The tax benefit is one of the prevailing determinants of leverage .
Empirical research by Brounen, De Jong and Koedijk (2005) indicates that tax
they find that firms with higher leverage and target debt ratio are considered tax
advantages through debt as an important factor. They find that tax advantages are
Non-debt tax shields (NDTS) refer to the tax deduction for depreciation and
investment tax credits . DeAngelo and Masulis (1980) indicate that impact of
Non-debt tax shield, personal taxes and corporate taxes all incorporated constitutes an
optimal capital structure model . They argue that tax deductions for depreciation
together with investment tax credits are substitute for the tax benefits of debt
financing. Therefore, firms with higher NDTS are expected to use less debt, which
also means less leverage . The following researchers provide empirical evidence to
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confirm this prediction . Based on NDTS is highly correlated with tangibility . Wald
(1999) use the depreciation ratio divide total assets to measure NDTS and Chaplinsky
and Niehaus (1993) use the sum of depreciation ratio and investment tax credits over
total assets to measure . Prowse (1990) obtain significant empirical results for the
negative relationship between debt and non-debt tax shields based on investigation in
US and Japanese firms . DeMiguel and Pindado (2001) investigated Spanish firms
positive relationship between firm leverage and non-debt tax shields . The reason for
this is that the tangibility that also affects the firms' leverage is ignored and tangibility
is also correlated with non-debt tax shields . Therefore, according to both studies, we
Myers (1984) states that the legal, administrative costs of bankruptcy, subtler agency,
moral hazard, monitoring and contracting costs are both belonged to cost of financial
distress . He denotes that "Risk firms ought to borrow less, other things equal . The
threatened or actual default caused the costs of distress, safe firms ought to borrow
more before expected costs of financial distress offset the tax advantages of
borrowing . The growth opportunities are more likely to less value in financial
distress ." Same idea support by Prowse (1990), the firms with greater business risk
tend to have low debt ratios and he also provide the empirical evident from US and
Japanese firms . Bhadual (2002) states that debt is one type of periodic payment,
distress . The firms should be less leverage if with volatile income . Both of studies
showed the negative relationship between leverage and cost of financial distress .
DeMiguel and Pindado (2001) investigated the relationship between cost of financial
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distress and leverage from Spanish firms, they found the significant negative
correlation between leverage from all data in Spanish firms . Therefore, the empirical
evidence is consistent with negative prediction between cost of financial cost and
leverage.
supportive capital structure theories, along with some empirical evidence found by
previous studies, we have found that profitability, size of the firms, growth
opportunities, tangibility, tax, non-debt tax shields and cost of financial distress have
influence on the capital structure decisions . However, for some determinants, the
In the following table, a"~" means the determinant presented in row has a positive
relationship with leverage according to the theory presented in column, while a"-"
Profitability ~ - ~
Tangibility f ~- No relation
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Chapter 4 : Conclusion, limitation and further studies
4.1 Conclusio n
in public companies from developed countries, this thesis gives a general overview on
We had a review on the three main theories that have the most influence on capital
structure decisions over the past several decades . Trade-off theory states that the
capital structure is decided by taking the maximum benefit from the trade-off among
tax benefits, bankruptcy cost and agency problems (Borunen, De Jong, Koedijk 2005) .
The pecking-order theory describes the choice for a certain capital structure, stating
that firms prefer internal to external funds and debt to equity if external funds are
needed . Thus the debt ratio reflects a cumulative requirement for external financing
and suggests that firms do not have leverage targets and use debt only when retained
earnings are insufficient (Myers, 1984) . And signaling theory, based on the concept of
asymmetric information, stating that the choice for a certain capital structure by
insiders can signal information to outsiders and change the value of the firm (Ross,
Based on the above three theories and the empirical evidence on the previous studies,
size of the firms, growth opportunities, tangibility, tax, non-debt tax shields and cost
leverage based on the three theories are presented in the table on the previous page .
decisions .
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4.2 Limitatio n
There are some noticeable limitations in this thesis . First, the determinants presented
in this thesis may not complete . This thesis only summarize the main determinants
found by previous studies, some other determinants either not found by anyone yet or
have not much influence on capital structure are not presented in this thesis . Second,
for some determinants, the relationship between the determinant and level of leverage
trade-off theory, the firm's profitability should be positively related to the level of
leverage, while pecking-order theory suggests the opposite . This is probably due to
the basic difference among the three capital structure theories, and the fact that the
previous studies on these aspects used empirical data in different countries, resulting
making decisions about capital structure in practice . Managers have to choose the
inconsistence also brings us an interesting topic for further studies . Finally, a general
model for capital structure decisions is not achieved based on these determinants . This
is due to the inconsistency problem we have stated above, and the lack of research on
4 .3 Further studies
Further studies can be made on explaining why some determinants influence the lever
research based on the same group of sample should be made . Finally, further studies
can also be made on the correlation among the determinants we have presented in this
thesis .
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