Value Enhancement Strategies: Aswath Damodaran
Value Enhancement Strategies: Aswath Damodaran
Strategies
Aswath Damodaran
Aswath Damodaran 1
The Objective Function In Corporate Finance
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How Corporate Financial Decisions show up In
Classical DCF valuation
Determine the business risk of the firm (Beta, Default Risk)
Cost of Capital
Current Expected Growth = ROC * RR 12.22%
EBIT(1-t) = = .50 * 20%= 10%
$3,558 million
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Alternative Approaches to Value Enhancement
n Maximize a variable that is correlated with the value of the firm. There
are several choices for such a variable. It could be
• an accounting variable, such as earnings or return on investment
• a marketing variable, such as market share
• a cash flow variable, such as cash flow return on investment (CFROI)
• a risk-adjusted cash flow variable, such as Economic Value Added (EVA)
n The advantages of using these variables are that they
• Are often simpler and easier to use than DCF value.
n The disadvantage is that the
• Simplicity comes at a cost; these variables are not perfectly correlated
with DCF value.
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Economic Value Added (EVA) and CFROI
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In Practice: Measuring Capital Invested
n Many firms use the book value of capital invested as their measure of
capital invested. To the degree that book value reflects accounting
choices made over time, this may not be true.
n In cases where firms alter their capital invested through their operating
decisions (for example, by using operating leases), the capital and the
after-tax operating income have to be adjusted to reflect true capital
invested.
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In Practice: Measuring Return on Capital
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In Practice: Measuring Cost of Capital
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Estimating Nestle’s EVA in 1995: Return on
Capital
n Return on Capital
• After-tax Operating Income = 5665 Million Sfr (1 - .3351)
= 3767 Million Sfr
• Capital in Assets in Place1994 = BV of Equity + BV of Debt
= 17774+(4180+7546) = 29,500 Million Sf
• Return on Capital = 3767 / 29,500 = 12.77%
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Nestle’s Cost of Capital
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Estimating EVA for Nestle
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Discussion Issue
n Assume now that the Book Value at Nestle had been understated at
14,750 Million. Assuming the Operating Income remains the same,
estimate the EVA.
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EVA for Nestle in U.S. Dollar Terms
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EVA for Growth Companies
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Estimating Tsingtao’s EVA in 1996
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Discussion Issue: Reading the EVA
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Things to Note about EVA
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An Equity EVA
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J.P. Morgan’s Equity EVA: 1996
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Increasing Equity EVA at J.P. Morgan
n Assume now that you are the CEO of J.P. Morgan and that your
compensation next year will depend upon whether you increase the
EVA or not. What are the three ways in which you can increase your
EVA?
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Divisional EVA
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Things to Note about EVA
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DCF Value and NPV
Value of Firm
∑ NPV
j=1
j
= ( I + NPVAssets in Place ) +
where there are expected to be N projects yielding surplus value (or excess returns) in the future and I
is the capital invested in assets in place (which might or might not be equal to the book value of these
assets).
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The Basics of NPV
(EBITt (1 − t) + Deprt )
t=n
∑ (1+ WACC) t
- Initial Investment
NPVj = t =1 : Life of the project is n years
t= n
WACC (Initial Investment) Initial Investment
∑ (1+ WACC)
t +
( 1 +WACC)
n
Initial Investment = t =1 : Alternative Investment
t =n
(EBITt (1 − t) + Depr t ) t=n
WACC (Initial Investment) Initial Investment
∑t =1 (1+ WACC)
t - ∑
t =1 (1 + WACC)
t -
( 1 +WACC)
n
NPVj =
t =n
EBITt (1 − t) t =n
WACC (Initial Investment) Initial Investment t =n
Deprt
∑ (1+ WACC)
t - ∑ (1 + WACC)
t -
(1 + WACC)
n + ∑ (1 + WACC) t
= t =1 t=1 t =1
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An Aside on CFROI and NPV
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NPV to EVA
• Define ROC = EBIT (1-t) / Initial Investment: The earnings before interest and taxes are assumed
to measure true earnings on the project and should not be contaminated by capital charges (such
as leases) or expenditures whose benefits accrue to future projects (such as R & D).
t =n
Initial Investment Deprt
n
= ∑ (1+ WACC) t
• Assume that (1 + WACC) t =1 : The present value of depreciation covers the
present value of capital invested, i.e, it is a return of capital.
t= n t= n
ROC (Initial Investment) WACC (Initial Investment)
NPV j = ∑ - ∑
(1 + WACC) (1 + WACC)
t t
t =1 t =1
t= n t= n
(ROC - WACC) (Initial Investment) EVA t
NPV j = ∑ = ∑ (1 + WACC)
+
t t
t =1 (1 WACC) t= 1
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DCF Valuation, NPV and EVA
j= N
∑ NPV
j=1
j
Value of Firm = ( I + NPVAssets in Place ) +
t=n
(ROC - WACC) I A j=N t = n (ROC - WACC) I j
IA + ∑ + ∑ ∑
t
j = 1 t=1 (1+ WACC)t
= t =1 (1+ WACC)
t= n
(ROC - WACC) I A j=N t= jn (ROC - WACC) I j
A ∑
I + + ∑ ∑
j=1 t = 1j (1 + WACC)
t t
=
t= 1 (1+ WACC)
t= n
j = N t = jn EVA j
A ∑
+ ∑ ∑
EVA A
I + t
t = 1 (1+ WACC)
t
j=1 t = j1 (1 + WACC)
=
Firm Value = Capital Invested in Assets in Place + PV of EVA from Assets in Place + Sum of PV of
EVA from new projects
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A Simple Illustration
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Firm Value using EVA Approach
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Firm Value using DCF Valuation: Estimating
FCFF
Base 1 2 3 4 5 Term.
Year Year
EBIT (1-t) : Assets in Place $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00
EBIT(1-t) :Investments- Yr 1 $ 1.50 $ 1.50 $ 1.50 $ 1.50 $ 1.50
EBIT(1-t) :Investments- Yr 2 $ 1.50 $ 1.50 $ 1.50 $ 1.50
EBIT(1-t): Investments -Yr 3 $ 1.50 $ 1.50 $ 1.50
EBIT(1-t): Investments -Yr 4 $ 1.50 $ 1.50
EBIT(1-t): Investments- Yr 5 $ 1.50
Total EBIT(1-t) $ 16.50 $ 18.00 $ 19.50 $ 21.00 $ 22.50 $ 23.63
- Net Capital Expenditures $10.00 $ 10.00 $ 10.00 $ 10.00 $ 10.00 $ 11.25 $ 11.81
FCFF $ 6.50 $ 8.00 $ 9.50 $ 11.00 $ 11.25 $ 11.81
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Firm Value: Cost of Capital and Capital
Invested
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Firm Value: Present Value of FCFF
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Implications
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EVA Valuation of Nestle
0 1 2 3 4 5 Term. Year
Return on Capital 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77%
Cost of Capital 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85%
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Discussion Issue
n What would the firm value be if the book value of the assets were
understated at 14,750 Mil Sfr?
n What if the valuation were done in dollars?
n Would the value be much lower?
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DCF Valuation of Nestle
0 1 2 3 4 5 Terminal
Year
EBIT (1-t) 0.00Fr 4,066.46Fr 4,390.06Fr 4,739.37Fr 5,116.40Fr 5,523.38Fr 5,689.08Fr
+ Deprec’n 2,305.00Fr 2,488.02Fr 2,685.58Fr 2,898.83Fr 3,129.00Fr 1,273.99Fr 1,350.42Fr
- Cap Ex 3,898.00Fr 4,207.51Fr 4,541.60Fr 4,902.22Fr 5,291.48Fr 2,154.45Fr 2,283.71Fr
- Change in WC 755.00Fr 814.95Fr 879.66Fr 949.51Fr 1,024.90Fr 417.29Fr 442.33Fr
FCFF -2,348.00Fr 1,532.02Fr 1,654.38Fr 1,786.46Fr 1,929.03Fr 4,225.62Fr 4,313.46Fr
Terminal Value 151,113.54Fr
WACC 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85%
PV of FCFF -2,348.00Fr 1,407.40Fr 1,396.19Fr 1,385.02Fr 1,373.90Fr 51,406.74Fr
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In summary ...
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Year-by-year EVA Changes
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Year-to-Year EVA Changes: Nestle
0 1 2 3 4 5 Term. Year
Return on Capital 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77% 12.77%
Cost of Capital 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85%
EBIT(1-t) 3,766.66Fr 4,066.46Fr 4,390.06Fr 4,739.37Fr 5,116.40Fr 5,523.38Fr 5,689.08Fr
WACC(Capital) 2,612.06Fr 2,819.97Fr 3,044.38Fr 3,286.61Fr 3,548.07Fr 3,830.29Fr 3,945.20Fr
EVA 1,154.60Fr 1,246.49Fr 1,345.69Fr 1,452.76Fr 1,568.33Fr 1,693.08Fr 1,743.88Fr
PV of EVA 1,145.10Fr 1,135.67Fr 1,126.30Fr 1,117.00Fr 1,107.76Fr
29,787.18Fr
PV of EVA = 25,121.24Fr PV of 590.67 Fr growing
at 3% a year
Value of Assets 29,500.00Fr
in Place =
Value of Firm = 54,621.24Fr
Value of Debt = 11,726.00Fr
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Discussion Issues
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When Increasing EVA on year-to-year basis
may result in lower Firm Value
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Firm Value and EVA tradeoffs over time
0 1 2 3 4 5 Term. Year
Return on Capital 12.77% 13.27% 12.27% 12.27% 12.27% 12.27% 12.27%
Cost of Capital 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85%
EBIT(1-t) 3,766.66Fr 4,078.24Fr 4,389.21Fr 4,724.88Fr 5,087.20Fr 5,478.29Fr 5,642.64Fr
WACC(Capital) 2,612.06Fr 2,819.97Fr 3,044.38Fr 3,286.61Fr 3,548.07Fr 3,830.29Fr 3,948.89Fr
EVA 1,154.60Fr 1,258.27Fr 1,344.84Fr 1,438.28Fr 1,539.13Fr 1,648.00Fr 1,693.75Fr
PV of EVA 1,155.92Fr 1,134.95Fr 1,115.07Fr 1,096.20Fr 1,078.27Fr
28,930.98Fr
PV of EVA = 24,509.62Fr PV of 590.67 Fr growing
at 3% a year
Value of Assets 29,500.00Fr
in Place =
Value of Firm = 54,009.62Fr
Value of Debt = 11,726.00Fr
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EVA and Risk
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Nestle’s Value at a 9.95 % Cost of Capital
0 1 2 3 4 5 Term. Year
Return on Capital 12.77% 13.77% 13.77% 13.77% 13.77% 13.77% 13.77%
Cost of Capital 8.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85%
EBIT(1-t) 3,766.66Fr 4,089.94Fr 4,438.89Fr 4,815.55Fr 5,222.11Fr 5,660.96Fr 5,830.79Fr
WACC(Capital) 2,612.06Fr 2,843.45Fr 3,093.20Fr 3,362.79Fr 3,653.78Fr 3,967.88Fr 4,384.43Fr
EVA 1,154.60Fr 1,246.49Fr 1,345.69Fr 1,452.76Fr 1,568.33Fr 1,693.08Fr 1,446.36Fr
PV of EVA 1,134.68Fr 1,115.09Fr 1,095.82Fr 1,076.88Fr 1,058.25Fr
21,101.04Fr
PV of EVA = 18,669.84Fr PV of 590.67 Fr growing
at 3% a year
Value of Assets 29,500.00Fr
in Place =
Value of Firm = 48,169.84Fr
Value of Debt = 11,726.00Fr
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EVA: The Risk Effect
1,400.00Fr
1,200.00Fr
1,000.00Fr
Value Per Share
800.00Fr
600.00Fr
400.00Fr
200.00Fr
0.00Fr
7.85% 8.85% 9.85% 10.85% 11.85% 12.85% 13.85% 14.85%
Cost of Capital
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Advantages of EVA
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Implications of Findings
n This does not imply that increasing EVA is bad from a corporate
finance standpoint. In fact, given a choice between delivering a
“below-expectation” EVA and no EVA at all, the firm should deliver
the “below-expectation” EVA.
n It does suggest that the correlation between increasing year-to-year
EVA and market value will be weaker for firms with high anticipated
growth (and excess returns) than for firms with low or no anticipated
growth.
n It does suggest also that “investment strategies”based upon EVA have
to be carefully constructed, especially for firms where there is an
expectation built into prices of “high” surplus returns.
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When focusing on year-to-year EVA changes
has least side effects
1. Most or all of the assets of the firm are already in place; i.e, very little
or none of the value of the firm is expected to come from future
growth.
• [This minimizes the risk that increases in current EVA come at the
expense of future EVA]
2. The leverage is stable and the cost of capital cannot be altered easily by
the investment decisions made by the firm.
• [This minimizes the risk that the higher EVA is accompanied by an
increase in the cost of capital]
3. The firm is in a sector where investors anticipate little or not surplus
returns; i.e., firms in this sector are expected to earn their cost of
capital.
• [This minimizes the risk that the increase in EVA is less than what the
market expected it to be, leading to a drop in the market price.]
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When focusing on year-to-year EVA changes
can be dangerous
n 1. High growth firms, where the bulk of the value can be attributed to
future growth.
n 2. Firms where neither the leverage not the risk profile of the firm is
stable, and can be changed by actions taken by the firm.
n 3. Firms where the current market value has imputed in it expectations
of significant surplus value or excess return projects in the future.
• Note that all of these problems can be avoided if we restate the objective
as maximizing the present value of EVA over time. If we do so, however,
some of the perceived advantages of EVA - its simplicity and
observability - disappear.
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