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ATFM Daily Plan - Tuesday 07 November 2023

ADP Version 1
Total Ground
Airport Planned GDPs Total Arr/Dep Affected Flights
Delay
Av. Ground Delay 36 Hr Synoptic Forecast

YSSY NONE 831 n/a 0 0.00

YMML YMML GDP-A 1900-1200 679 230 2,442 10.60
YBBN NONE 583 n/a 0 0.00
YPPH-A YPPH GDP-A 0030-1400 559 199 1,570 7.90 Synoptic not AVBL
YPPH-D YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030 114 2,032 17.80 Please see BOM Website
Totals 2652 543 6,044 4.38
* denotes a revision has taken place

ATFM Daily Plan Summary Notes

Nil significant network risk/s identified at this stage.
YSSY

Strong winds anticipated to persist throughout most of the day with a chance of thunderstorms within the terminal area from mid-afternoon leading to a heavily compacted GDP.
YMML

Nil significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

YBBN

IMC conditions anticipated for morning departure peak resulting in a compacted departures program. Nil other significant network risks identified at this time.
YPPH

Refer NOTAM for latest estimated airborne traffic delay advice.

Other Significant

Change Summary: [05:40pm] Version 1: Initial.

Teleconference Details
1800 062 923 CAP THREAT: Nil. PRM: NOT REQ
Participant Code 7207 9651
Guest Code 3064#

NCC: 1800 020 626 YMEN SLOT SCHEME: NO

[email protected]

Issues expected to impact service delivery

Location Issue/NOTAM Details

YSSY C2764/23 RWY 07/25 CLOSED DUE WIP EXC WITH 40MIN PN FM 10 082000 TO 12 230600 MON-FRI 2000/0600

YMML C1962/23 RWY 09/27 CLSD DUE WIP FM 072300 to 080500

Report generated by the NCC at 7:24 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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Network Weather Overview

From now to +72 hours
Tuesday 07 November 2023
Weather Overview
Mean Sea Level Pressure Satellite Picture Rainfall Outlook for tomorrow

Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website

Weather impact risk assessment Major Airports

Brisbane Melbourne Perth Sydney

Cloud 2000-3000ft, lifting to 3500ft Chance of a high-based shower or Early fog patches N/E TMA. Cloud
late morning. Chance of light thunderstorm. Moderate N to NE 1200-1500ft, lifting and clearing to
showers along the coast, easing winds becoming fresh and gusty CAVOK by late morning (slight Cloud 3500-4000ft. Light NW winds
AM Tuesday and moving inland late morning. during the morning. N to NE winds chance 500ft cloud early). Light S becoming ENE late morning.
Light S to SE winds becoming ENE 25-35 knots aloft. Turbulence, risk to SW winds becoming moderate
late morning. of wind shear. SW late morning.

Cloud 3500-4000ft lowering to High-based showers and

Patchy cloud 4000ft, few 2500-
2500ft late evening. Light afternoon thunderstorms. Moderate N to NE Cloud 3000ft clearing early
PM Tuesday showers inland. Light to moderate winds, fresh and gusty at ties in afternoon. Moderate SW winds.
3000ft in the evening. Moderate to
fresh NE winds.
E’ly winds. the early afternoon and evening.

Cloud 2000-3000ft. Chance of light Chance of high-based showers and

showers along the coast, moving thunderstorms W/S TMA. Moderate Likely CAVOK. Light to moderate Likely CAVOK. Light N to NW
AM Wednesday inland late morning. Light E to SE to fresh and gusty N’ly winds, ESE winds turning SW late winds turning moderate NE late
winds turning E to NE during the reaching 25-40 knots aloft. morning. morning.
morning. Turbulence.

Cloud 1500-2500ft developing,

lowering during the evening.
Likely CAVOK at the airport. High-
Showers and thunderstorms,
Cloud 3000-3500ft. Moderate NE Likely CAVOK. Moderate SW based showers and thunderstorms
PM Wednesday winds.
clearing east in the evening.
winds. inland. Moderate to fresh NE
Moderate N to NW winds turning
winds.
SW during the afternoon and SE in
the evening.

Cloud 500-1500ft, lifting to 1500-

Cloud 3000-3500ft. Light S to SE Cloud 1500-2500ft, lifting to 3000ft Showers and thunderstorms
2000ft late morning. Chance of
AM Thursday winds becoming E to NE during the
light showers/drizzle. Light SSW to
late morning. Light to moderate S developing over the W/S TMA late
morning. to SW winds. morning. N to NE winds.
SE winds.

Cloud 2500-4000ft, lowering to

Cloud 3500-5000ft. Showers and
1000-1500ft late evening. Chance of Patchy cloud 3000-4000ft.
Patchy cloud 3500-4500ft. thunderstorms, easing in the
PM Thursday Moderate NE winds.
a shower. Chance of Moderate to fresh and gusty SW
evening. Moderate to fresh N to NE
thunderstorms N TMA. Light SW to winds.
winds.
SE winds.

Significant other phenomena potentially affecting Australian FIRs

Volcanic Ash (VA) ≥ FL200 Nil current.

A Coronal Mass Ejection arrived at Earth at 8:03 pm AEDT on Sunday 5 November 2023. The resulting Geomagnetic Storm has now
eased but an HF COM advisory remains current. During the space weather event, expect reduced performance of HF radio, particularly
Space Weather
at higher frequencies. A slight risk also remains of intermittent degradation in GNSS performance over the next day or two. Refer to
http://www.bom.gov.au/aviation/space-weather-advisories/ for current advisory products.

Potential Tropical Cyclones Nil current.

Report generated by the NCC at 7:24 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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Weather risk assessment provided by NCC Meteorological Unit – Bureau of Meteorology

Contact NCCMET for further detail or advice

Phone: 02 6268 4448

Email: [email protected]

Detailed advice from major Airport MET CDM products available at Airservices NOC Portal, https://www.airservicesaustralia.com/noc/

Report generated by the NCC at 7:24 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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SYDNEY - Nil GDP Tuesday 07 November 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-2359: Fine weather on Tuesday with a very slow-moving high pressure system in the Tasman Sea directing northeasterly flow over NSW. Light WNW winds in the morning with a little
cloud around 4000ft.
[2] 0000-1159: Moderate NE sea breeze in the afternoon, fresh at times with some wind gusts to 25kt possible, then easing to light NNE in the evening. Cross winds generally 16-20kt on RWY
34 during the peak of the seabreeze 03-07Z. CAVOK.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[1] 2000-0359: Rostered Staff
GDP Notes
Nil significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 061900 062000 062100 062200 062300 070000 070100 070200 070300 070400 070500 070600 070700 070800 070900 071000 071100 0

Runway Mode 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA 34 IVA

Rate 34 34 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 37

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 7:24 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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MELBOURNE - YMML GDP-A 1900-1200 Tuesday 07 November 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-2159: An unsettled day around Melbourne on Tuesday with a surface trough over western Victoria and an upper trough approaching as well. Strong northerly flow in the morning with moderate NNE
surface winds, and a risk of wind shear with 35-40kt winds aloft. There is also a risk of high-based showers and storms at this time, mainly in the southern TMA and further south over Bass Strait. RWY 34 is
planned, with an x-factor taken off VMC rates given the combined risk of wind shear, turbulence and also possible storm activity near the southern approaches.
[2] 2200-0359: Surface winds increasing mid-morning as the atmosphere mixes, with wind gusts over 35kt possible. High based storms clearing to the east, with CAVOK conditions likely across the TMA. A
smaller x-factor remains given the gusty winds.
[3] 0300-1059: Thunderstorms developing across the TMA in the afternoon, this time surface-based and heavier. Cloud bases well above 5000ft. There is some uncertainty on where storms will form, depending
on the position of the surface trough to the west/south. In general storms are more likely in the eastern TMA, and with 20kt NW steering winds these cells would only impact eastern approaches. However there is
also a risk of storms forming just to the west, with more direct impact on the aerodrome. Winds should ease in general, and variable winds are a risk with storms nearby, but RWY 34 ops continue given the
prevailing N to NE winds aloft. X-factors are applied to account for storm risk starting from 02Z, peaking 04-08Z. If storms pass over the aerodrome and/or the city, winds at YMML could tend SE for an hour or two
before returning to the N/NE.
[4] 1100-1259: Thunderstorms clearing in the evening. Northerly winds increasing again above the surface to 25-30kt, so RWY 34 is maintained.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Strong winds anticipated to persist throughout most of the day with a chance of thunderstorms within the terminal area from mid-afternoon leading to a heavily compacted GDP.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 061900 062000 062100 062200 062300 070000 070100 070200 070300 070400 070500 070600 070700 070800 070900 071000 071100 071200

Runway Mode 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC 34 VMC

Rate 22 22 22 23 23 23 23 22 21 20 20 20 20 21 22 23 24 24

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2&3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 7:24 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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BRISBANE - Nil GDP Tuesday 07 November 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 2000-2359: Light showers clearing on Tuesday as the slow-moving high pressure system in the Tasman pushes drier air ashore over SEQ. Light S to SE winds at first with the risk of a few
showers coming ashore (x-factor applied to VMC rates for this reason). More likely, Brisbane will remain protected by the bay islands, and the showers will only be coming ashore to the north.
Cloud bases 2500-3000ft, slight chance of some lower cloud 1800-2000ft but again more likely offshore/north.
[2] 0000-1259: Showers moving inland by late morning. Winds tending moderate ENE. Cloud lifting to 3000ft. VMC rates planned. Change to RWY 01 planned from 00Z.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Nil significant network risk/s identified at this stage.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 062000 062100 062200 062300 070000 070100 070200 070300 070400 070500 070600 070700 070800 070900 071000 071100 071200

Runway Mode 19 VMC 19 VMC 19 VMC 19 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC

Rate 33 33 33 33 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 7:24 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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Arrivals - YPPH GDP-A 0030-1400

PERTH Arrivals - YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030
Tuesday 07 November 2023
ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 2200-0159: Moist southwesterly air flowing into a heat low well inland on Tuesday. This air mass will bringscattered low cloud around 1200-1500ft across the TMA, and a 10% chance of fog
lifting into 500-800ft cloud in the early morning. Light southerly surface winds. IMCB rates planned on RWY 21/24. Fog is more likely in the northern TMA up the Swan Valley.
[2] 0100-1359: Cloud lifting quickly to be CAVOK by mid-morning, with VMC rates planned throughout the day. Southwesterly winds increasing during the afternoon, with wind gusts above 25kt
possible in the mid-afternoon.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
IMC conditions anticipated for morning departure peak resulting in a compacted departures program. Nil other significant network risks identified at this time.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 62100 062200 062300 070000 070100 070200 070300 070400 070500 070600 070700 070800 070900 071000 071100 071200 071300
21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24 21/24
Runway Mode
IMCB IMCB IMCB VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC
Rate-Arrs 22 22 22 24 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26

Rate-Deps 35 35 35 40

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1&2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 7:24 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.