lec3 Project Management - (Compatibility Mode) (Repaired) 22 - 081844 - ٠٦٣٠١٤
lec3 Project Management - (Compatibility Mode) (Repaired) 22 - 081844 - ٠٦٣٠١٤
CPM/PERT network
1
Introduction
2
The Project Network
Network consists of branches & nodes
arrow Node
1 2 3
0 Activity A 1 Activity B 2
Start A Stop A Stop B
Start B
Activity-on-node (AON)
nodes represent activities and arrows show precedence
relationships
A B C
4
CPM/PERT
5
CPM/PERT
6
Critical Path Method CPM
B
(2)
A D(1)
(1)
C(1)
9
Step 2: Compute ES and EF.
1 3
B
ES EF
(2) 3 4
0 1
D
A (1)
(1) 1 2
C 2 3 ignore
(1)
The Project takes 4 days.
11
Step 3: Compute the latest finish and start time.
LS = LF – activity duration
12
Late Start/Finish
The latest times the activities can start and finish.
1 3
B
ES EF (2) 3 4
0 1
1 3 D
A (1)
(1) 1 2
3 4
0 1 C
LS LF
LS LF (1)
2 3
13
Slack Time and Critical Path
14
Step 4: Compute the slack time.
B A 3
C - 6
D C 3
E B,D 2
17
Step 3: Compute the latest finish and start time.
0 7 7 10
A, B,
7 3 10 12
0 0
0 7 7 10 E,
Start 0 6 2
6 9
C, D, 10 12
6 3
1 7 7 10
18
Step 4: Compute the slack time..
B - 11
C B 8
D A,C 9
E C 8
F C 7.5
G D,E,F 7
20
Step 1: Construct the Network Diagram
D,9
A,6
B,11
F,7.5
21
Step 2: Compute ES and EF
ES EF 19 28
0 6
A (6) D(9)
A(6)
0 0 11 19 19 27 28 35
B(11) 19 26.5
F(7.5)
22
Step 3: Compute LF and LS
ES EF
19 28
A,6 0 6
D,9
LS LF A,6
0 0 11 19 19 28
28 35
13 19 19 27
Start C,8 G,7
0 11 E,8
0 0 11 19 28 35
B,11 20 28
Critical path 19 26.5
0 11
F,7.5
20.5 28
23
Step 4: Compute the slack time.
Start 0 -------------
A 2 Start
B 12 A
C 5 B&D
D 6 Start
E 7 D
F 3 E
Finish 0 C&F
Three-point estimates
PERT uses three estimates to define an approximate range
for an activity’s duration
Most likely: Most likely: the duration of the activity,
based on resources likely to be assigned for this activity.
Optimistic: the activity duration is based on analysis of
the best-case scenario for the activity.
Pessimistic: the activity duration is based on analysis of
the worst-case scenario for the activity
25
PERT: 3 Steps
26
PERT
o + 4m + p
Mean (expected time): t=
6
where
o = optimistic estimate
m = most likely time estimate
p = pessimistic time estimate
27
PERT Formula and Example
Example:
where optimistic time= 8 days,
most likely time = 10 days, and
pessimistic time = 24 days
PERT weighted average =
8 workdays + 4 X 10 workdays + 24 workdays = 12 days
6
Therefore, you’d use 12 days on the network diagram instead
of 10 when using PERT for the above example
28
Example 1
A start 2 4 6
B A 3 5 7
C start 4 7 10
D B ,C 4 5 6
29
Step 1: Expected duration
Expected duration
Activity Predecessor (O+ 4*M +P)
6
A start 4
B A 5
C start 7
D B ,C 5
30
Step 2: Construct the network diagram
Step 3: Determine the earliest completion time of the project.
B 4 9
0 4 5
A
0 0 4 9 14
0 7
start C D
Finish
7 5
Expected Project duration = 14
31
Example 2
Immediate
Task Predecesors Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic
A None 3 6 15
B None 2 4 14
C A 6 12 30
D A 2 5 8
E C 5 11 17
F D 3 6 15
G B 3 9 27
H E,F 1 4 7
I G,H 4 19 28
32
Expected Time Calculations
Immediate Expected
Task Predecesors Time ET(A)=42/6=7
A None 7
B None 5.333 ET(A)= 3+4(6)+15
C A 14
D A 5 6
E C 11
F D 7
G B 11
H E,F 4
I G,H 18
C(14) E(11) 32 36
0 7
A(7) H(4)
D(5) F(7) 36 54
7 12 12 19 I(18)
0 5.3
5.3 16.3
B G(11)
(5.333)
9-37
SCHEDULING PROBLEMS
9-38
Assignment # 2 CPM
You are the project manager for project with the following
network diagram
E 7 D
F 3 E
Finish 0 C&F
35
You are the project manager for project with
the following network diagram
Finish
Start
36
Critical Path Method (CPM), Backward Pass
Late Finish =
Lowest of successor’s Late Start Times
0 2 2 14 14 19
A B C
0 2 2 14 14 19
0 0 19 19
Start Finish
6 Days 7 Days 3 Days 19 19
0 0
0 6 6 13 13 16
D E F
3 9 9 16 16 19
Assignment # 3 PERT
project take? D 4 5 6
E 5 3 4
F 8 5 6
G 9 6 7
37
Assignment # 3 PERT
figure Q
Lay foundations Build house
B D
Finish work
0 0
G
Start A
Design house F
and obtain
C
E
financing
Select carpet
Order and receive
materials Select paint
38
Assignment # 4 Gantt Chart
sheet 2
Original
activity Predecessor
How long will this Duration
Code Logic
WEEK
project take?
Activity A 2 START O
B 12 A
C 5 B&D
D 6 START 0
E 7 D
F 3 E
Time
39
Good Luke