Market Structure For Trading
Market Structure For Trading
Structure:
Wholesale / Retail
Market Structure - Wholesale / Retail:
This is a chance to
3. Move to next catch this move on a
SH lower TF.
highest SH between
the two points
New SH
SL
1. On-close break
New SL
As new data appears, each new level becomes the level to break and then assume continuation.
Example:
1. Lost structure;
Assume continuation
to the downside
2. Look for SL
1. Lost structure;
Assume continuation
to the downside
After a reversal break it is ok to look for Longs in a
2. New Repeat: Lost
type of mean-reversion play, but take profit on
your counter and expect continuation in the value Swing Low SFP
End up getting a swing
structure
zone and start looking for Shorts. failure on the other side.
(See pink notes to the right)
You can expand this
dramatically and go into
Lower TFs and look at how
a Swing Failure on this side
can also lead you to type
of Mean Reversion type of
bounce. You can get very
advanced but Mr.A advises
✓ Set your Fibonacci Retracement at your SH and SL not to go down that road
until you have it on such a
deep level where you see it
DUMP
✓ 50% to 100% Retracement (Value Zone)?
automatically, like in the
Matrix.
SUSCEPTIBLE
All you should see is Blond, ZONE
Brunette, Redhead, etc.
✓ Look for reasons to buy/sell in the Wholesale Zone… Want to see… Value Zone,
Range, Multi-TF analysis.
SFP with no
follow-through
And instead you get a
Bleed-Up is INTEL!
LOOK CLOSELY, THIS IS NOT THE SAME RANGE AS THE PREVIOUS SLIDE.
The previous was a bear trend and this is a Bull BoS.
VALUE ZONE
SFP
TOPSIDE
PUMP
SUSCEPTIBLE
ZONE
4H
SFP
SFP
Hidden
Reversal
2H
SFP cluster
SFP
Longer the consolidation the better.
DOESN’T mean trend reversal, Consolidating in a wholesale zone is good,
is a momentum shift
look for a break on a lower TF and hold.
SPF + TV Signal
Instead you break the range
for a reversal and expect
SPF downward continuation
BUT no follow-through.
You would want to see the next day’s
candle take out the high of this hammer.
Local SFP cluster
Worst place to reject
in the Golden Pocket
The higher TFs hold more importance, so if it’s holding the Value Zone and the Daily flips back to assume continuation
to the upside and the Weekly was already in the Wholesale Zone you are now a trader.
Now you understand the confluence element of how do I stack chips. It’s about taking a normal management position
at a good spot and capitalizing on that over and over again. Having the patience to wait for those particular setups.
🔨 🔨Rejections and back down
Fight continues
2W Buy signal
SFP
“So, it’s not possible for #BTC to blow right through $52k?”
This is a great question because it's important to understand the psychological side to why you will be best
served (over time) by consistently taking profits on any big run into resistance (unless it's meant to be a long
term cycle type of hold /hodl).
Imagine yourself running near full speed and after that having to suddenly run uphill at a faster speed...
That's what breaking resistance is like.
Buyers stepped in, shorts covered to help the run, early buyers are naturally taking some profits so it's always
a big ask for an asset to then find the kind of additional late buyers needed to overcome those that had their
"take profits" placed there and skilled shorts placed there...
Now, can it happen? Sure, and when it does it doesn't bother me at all.
In fact, it's great Intel to feel good about buying the next dip because that would be an SoS (sign of strength)
Remember, this is all about risk management, an EDGE based approach, and the discipline to be consistent
with your process.
Telenotes 2:
Quick note from out last Market Structure video "Buy Wholesale, Sell at Retail or better"... and it is a very important note...
Of course you can COUNTER the "expected continuation direction" w/ the benefit being that you are aware that you are
countering and will therefore keep a tighter leash on the trade. (Tight and trailing)
With that said, if you are NET losing trader... Why do it now?
Because if you are patient enough to perfect trading with the "expect continuation" and you are doing so from the wholesale
zone you are highly likely to become a net profitable trader fairly quickly from that alone (this assume that you understand
the technique and are drawing the zones correctly)...
Another option for those net losing traders (or anyone else as well) could be that instead of countering the "expected
direction" you could seek out a timeframe that is not a counter.
Example, you want to LONG h4 while it is in "expect downside continuation mode"... Well, Perhaps H2, or h1, or m30 is in
expect continuation to the upside and therefore with that as your anchor or trigger you are not countering nearly as much
and by switching tf's you can reduce your risk of that counter.
Another note, when countering it is best to do so off of a Swing failure (when continuation was rejected) or better yet a UTAD
(stated in the previous message above which gives you an SFP with a nasty rejection at a key resistance) and look to counter
that to the midline (.5) or better and cash in partial profits as time goes on (which is extremely important) when countering.
…this is a BIG resistance and the main reason (along with what would be a
HH) is that this is the entry into the previous Trading Range (though that
Trading Range is complicated by the MOTHER candle (the initial Daily candle
that encapsulates all of the PA that followed in the trading range)
Now, this is some low TF stuff that can all be overcome on the higher TF's... or you might But, acquiring this skill and using True Vibration to show these signs are extremely valuable because
not even care about these signs on the LTF's if you are operating on H4 or higher... when you see this happen on the Higher TF you know something bigger is likely cooking (reversal)!
Also, I know many of you already crush it using this. But, this is not easy so if it feels complicated that's OK.
Just know that it is something extremely valuable so it should take some time to learn it.
Don't be discouraged. Keep studying it and the comprehension will come.
We were talking about this rejection a little bit right when it happened with a simple message of "Let's see if this rejection has legs" and on
these very low tf's it has had them so far and gave playable shorts in the form of lower highs that were Hidden bear divergence...
Always pay attention to these as they are not just a Swing Failure
Patterns, but, also a NASTY rejection candle (sometimes you can
get 2 or 3 of them in a range to further complicate things)
However, the theory behind a UTAD is that Distribution occurred on some TF (remember, that could be a
very low tf distribution that causes short term weakness only. So, the TF is key (if your daily still looks great
while m5 looks awful it isnt the end of the world by itself) which created an environment where some
strong hands took profits and left a lot of new weak hands holding new positions at a resistance
All and all, we are still confined to this COIL at the moment...
See this messy chart for details and a scoreboard update.
EVERYTHING we have been speaking about on other TF's is still the same (targets, resistance, ema squeezes, etc)
This is simple stuff... But, these are the things By using the last Market Structure video this same chart gave us an
EMA Flow everyone forgets. We say the word "Market EXPECT downward continuation (because Bull structure had just broke.
Structure" and it sounds simple enough. But, That told us to expect (with some slight EDGE) continuation. We saw a
+ MS W/R these are the finite details of Market Structure. perfect rejection in the value zone in the GOLDEN POCKET (.618 to .65 fib).
But, a simple
understanding of EMA’s
and our desire to search
for the proper time frame
in order to find the
"LOOK" that we want is
what turns a little EDGE
into a lot of EDGE.
A LTF Break of Structure is far from the end of the world, but, it From there... Things were pretty clean (for the Bears) SEE CHART for
does usually tell you that you are facing a trading range of some details... Rejections at Supply Zone, Wholesale SHORTS on ltf's, etc...
kind and it becomes strengthened by the ugly H1 SUPPLY ZONE
BEAR rejection that followed in the form of an UGLY bearish pin bar