CH 08
CH 08
Nikhil Garg1
ABSTRACT
The purpose of this study is to understand the risks, leverages along with issues and challenges that are being faced by the
industry. The same has been done with the help of Comparative Financial Analysis amongst the four prominent players of the
industry. The author has adopted CAPM analysis, Vertical and horizontal analysis of financial statements followed by ratio
analysis on financial statements of selected QSR. It is concluded that QSR industry as a whole has been in turmoil in the past
couple of years which is clearly evident in the performance of all the firms that are taken up for the purpose of though few
indicators have indicated towards the prosperous future of the industry. This paper analyses many factors that affect the QSR
industry from financial perspective and the suggestive measures to overcome the same.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
FS Market
GDP Growth % Contribution
Year Size FS Growth
(CAGR %) to GDP
( '00 Crore)
2013 2479 - - 2.30%
2017 E 3350 8% 7% 2.30%
2022 P 5494 10% 8% 2.60%
Source: (Shukla, Reetesh; Yadav, Ravindra; Sharma, Vidul, 2014)
Quick Service Restaurants (QSR) is a subset of Food and eating out more than their forerunners, driving the
Beverages industry or Food service industry. The industry development of the Food Services market. Accessibility of
comprises of QSR chains, Casual Dining restaurant, cafes, organised retail space is helping in the steady development
Top notch restaurants, street vendors, take away restaurant, of Indian and International brands crosswise over various
fast food joints, highway dhabas, pubs, lounges and cultural formats. The QSR is a booming business in India due to
dining setup. The Food Services part is required to have increased customer demand for fast food. There are various
created coordinate direct employment for 5.5-6 million external and internal factors affecting the business of the QSRs
individuals in FY16, or, in other words, increment to 8.5-9 (Nero, 2018).
million by FY21. 1. Engine of Growth
Sustenance Services rise as a key section in the Indian The Indian F&B industry is set to develop as every one of the
economy. Indian Food Services showcase in India (sorted out indicators are calling attention towards that direction only,
and disorderly) is assessed at INR 3,37,500 crore in 2017 with the expansion in footfall the development will be there
and is anticipated to develop at a CAGR of 10% throughout in the wake of two difficult years for the business as an entirety.
the following 5 years to achieve INR 5,52,000 crore by 2022.
Two metros, Mumbai and Delhi NCR add to 22% of the The extent of the Indian Food Services market in India
general Food Services market (11% each) trailed by six small (organised and unorganised) is assessed at INR 3,37,500 crore
metros (Pune, Ahmedabad, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, in 2017 and is anticipated to develop at a CAGR of 10% next
and Kolkata) containing 20% share in the Food Services 5 years to achieve INR 5,52,000 crore by 2022 (See Figure
market. High level of the youthful and working populace 1).
which is all around voyaged have twofold incomes and is The strength of unorganised will likewise tend to diminish
experimental alongside being technically knowledgeable, is with organised sector attempts to get, yet the gap will, in any
1
Associate Professor, Asian Business School, Department of Finance, E-mail : [email protected]
The unorganised share of market has reduced from 70% in 2. Large Share of young population
2013 to 66% in 2016 and is further estimated to reduce to
India is a country with 1.25 billion populations out of which
57% in 2022 as many unorganised sector players are planning
45% are below the age of 25 years, the country has the
to move towards organised sector (See Table 2). Along with
youngest mean out of the most of major global economies
growth, many failures have also been noticed in the industry.
making it perfect market to grow for the F&B industry to
Many are closing, some are struggling and a good number is
grow (See Figure 4). For long-term success, quick-service
trying to establish them. Apart from that, except few most of
restaurants must generate positive relationships with
them have not been able to grow at national level (Sinha,
consumers. More specifically, quick-service restaurants need
2012). Moreover, Quick-Service Industry is a cutthroat
to produce satisfied consumers that ultimately lead to loyalty
business where profits are slim and competition is high,
behaviours towards the restaurant (See Mason, Jones,
‘survival’ is a daily struggle (Krishna, 2014). Thus, staying
Benefield & Walton, 2016).
relevant in the QSR is an extremely tough task.
LITERATURE REVIEW the consumers as well as the income affects the spending habits
of an individual.
Viswanadham (2006) in his study discussed whether India
Selvakumar (2013) in the study dimensions of Integrated
can become the biggest food supplier in the world or not. He
Marketing Communication (IMC) and the impact in Creating
supported the argument with the fact that India is a fertile and
Brand Equity in the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) Industry
cultivable land that allows for production of all varieties of
in Coimbatore City analysed that Brand Equity plays a major
fruits and vegetables in all seasons. It’s the supply chain that
role in the highly competitive Quick Service Restaurants
needs to be improved, building and promoting cold chain
(QSR) industry in India. The findings suggest that marketers
infrastructure and food processing industry.
should focus on building a favourable opinion of the brand
Goyal & Singh (2007) studied the factors impacting the choice amongst customers and take care regarding the news publisher
of fast food outlets by young consumers of India. The research of the brand since it affects brand image. Moreover, it was
revealed some interesting facts like preference for youngsters also found out that making people aware of the brand and the
towards homemade food, value for taste and nutritional factor perceived quality of the brand play a major role in creating
along with hygiene and ambience. brand equity more than other factors.
Anand (2011) in the study of determinants impacting Krishna (2014) in his study analysing Competition in the
consumer’s food choice with reference to the fast food Quick Service Restaurant Industry that companies must
consumption in India studied the factors impacting the fast maintain their strong standardised organisational design to
food choice of consumers in India. The survey revealed the make a profit through high volume while realising and
factors like passion for eating out, socialize, ambience and accepting the fact that the QSR Industry is one of the fastest
taste for school and college goers and convenience affecting evolving industries in the world.
the food choice of consumers.
Kotni (2015) in his study on Attributes of Customer Patronage
Ali & Nath (2013) studied the factors influencing the toward Choosing a Fast Food Retail Outlet analysed the
preferences of consumers of eating out in a restaurant. attributes of customer patronage for choosing a particular fast
Majority of the respondents primarily dined with friends or food outlet for fast food consumption. The study also offers
family members on holidays or special occasions. The study recommendations to fast food retailers based on the most
revealed that dining out is more common among youngsters expected attributes by fast food consumers.
with age less than 30 belonging to high income group or having
Rao & Parekh (2016) in their study on the impact of Quick
more than on earning member.
Service Restaurants (QSR) such as McDonalds, KFC on
Kashyap, Kashyap & Sarda (2013) analyse the new marketing smaller Indian eatery joints such as Udipi highlighted that
practices adopted by QSR and its influence on consumer’s 35% of India’s population will be in urban centres by 2020
buying habits concerning Nagpur city. As per the study, it is totaling to 53 crores compared to the current urban population
analysed that consumers in today’s market are more fascinated of 32 crores. Consumer markets are being driven by the
with western culture and increase in the facilities offered by country’s youth population. Be it college goers or the young
fast food services driving the growth of the industry. The working class, exposure to the international environment and
frequency of visiting fast food outlets relates to the ages of culture has created a demand for world-class products at
Sudhagar (2017) in his study explored the food quality of Vertical Analysis of Profit and Loss Account
fast food outlets in India particularly in Chennai city. Fast Vertical analysis is done to find out the performance of various
Food outlets customers from KFC, McDonalds, Pizza Hut, components of the profit and loss account and tracking the
SUBWAY were used for data collection. The research changes on YoY basis (See Table 1).
indicated factors like hygiene, nutritional value, ambience,
pricing of menu and taste as primary reasons in selecting the 1. All companies maintain a healthy gross profit
food outlet. percentage which ranges from 58%-79% which is a
good sign.
Pradhan (2018) in the case McDonald’s India – plotting
winning strategy details the growth story of American fast 2. The cost of sales or cost of the product constitutes
food chain McDonalds in West and South India markets. around 21%-40% of the total selling price.
Westlife Development Limited (WDL) operates McDonald’s 3. The major chunk of expenses is operating expenses that
chain of quick service restaurants (QSR) in these markets. eat up most of the part of gross profit.
The increased competition from both the national and
international QSR brands and the new segment of competition 4. Depreciation and Amortization revolve around 6-10%.
from “techie” food aggregators challenges their prospects to 5. EBIT (Earnings before interest and tax) or operating
maintain a number one position in these markets. profit of some turned negative while the EBIT of
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY Devyani for all the years is negative.
6. Interest paid expenses in the industry revolves around
The primary objectives that seek to be achieved by this study
at 0%-1.6% with Jubilant FoodWorks having no debt
are as follows.
while on the contrary, Devyani International Limited
l To perform Comparative Financial Analysis of the interest expenses constitute around 4.5%-8.2% which
industry amongst the four prominent players of the is almost 4-8 times of its peers.
industry so that a basic outline for the industry can be
7. EBT (earnings before tax) is negative for Devyani
crafted out.
international for all years from 2014-2017 due to a
l To understand the risks, leverages along with issues heavy amount of interest they need to pay on the debt
and challenges that are being faced by the industry. they had taken.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 8. EAT (earnings after tax) of Jubilant FoodWorks,
Speciality restaurant remain positive while Westlife
Data ranging from 02/05/2013 to 30/04/2018 has been taken Development is positive on an alternative year basis
on daily basis for the listed companies and Sensex for (See Figure 7). EAT of Devyani international limited
calculating beta factor. For Coffee day data has been taken remain negative for all the years due to high interest
from 02/11/2015 as it was listed in that year only. payment cost and high depreciation cost that dried up
Horizontal analysis of financial statements is done for the majority of the profit and turned the company into
analysing and evaluating the trends either on the basis of year a loss-making entity.
over year or quarter over quarter. It has been done in 9. Jubilant FoodWorks outperformed every other company
percentage comparisons in the study, also known as base year in the industry as it succeeded to maintain profit in all
analysis. the years from 2014-2017 while on the other hand,
Vertical analysis of financial statements is done for analysing Devyani International is the worst performer in terms
and evaluating the financial statements by expressing all of profit making capacity as it continues to generate
amounts as a percentage, a total amount. losses.
Vertical Analysis S.R S.R S.R S.R W.D W.D W.D W.D J.F J.F J.F J.F DIL DIL DIL DIL
(2017) (2016) (2015) (2014) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2014) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2014) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2014)
Gross Revenue (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100. 100 10 100 100 100 100% 100% 100% 100%
Cost of sales 31.7% 32.0% 30.% 27.% 38.1% 39.9% 40.9% 42.0% 21.% 20.% 21.% 22.% 30.5% 30.6% 31.3% 31.1%
Gross profit 68.2% 68.0% 69.% 72.% 61.4% 60.5% 59.3% 57.9% 78.% 79.% 78.% 77.% 69.4% 69.4% 68.6% 68.8%
Operating Expenses 67.1% 60.2% 57.% 56.% 54.4% 54.3% 55.2% 51.4% 68.% 68.% 65.% 63.% 66.6% 69.6% 69.2% 64.9%
EBITDA 1.06% 7.72% 11.% 16.% 7.04% 6.21% 4.05% 6.54% 9.8% 11.% 12.% 14.% 2.77% -0.28% -0.62% 3.90%
Depreciation and Amortization 10.5% 8.59% 8.2% 6.9% 6.70% 6.84% 6.46% 5.83% 5.9% 5.2% 4.8% 4.5% 7.35% 8.42% 8.22% 8.19%
EBIT/Operating Profit -9.48% -0.87% 3.7% 9% 0.34% -0.63% -2.41% 0.71% 3.8% 6.0% 7.6% 10.% -4.58% -8.70% -8.84% -4.29%
Interest Paid 0.01% 0.01% 0.0% 0.0% 1.62% 1.78% 1.31% 0.62% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.07% 4.02% 4.00% 4.38%
EBT -9.49% -0.89% 3.7% 9.0% -1.27% -2.41% -3.72% 0.09% 3.8% 6.0% 7.6% 10.% -12.65% -12.72% -12.84% -8.67%
Exceptional Items 0.00% 0.00% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00% 2.78% 0.00% 0.00% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Tax -1.25% -0.97% 0.6% 2.1% 0.00% 0.03% 0.01% -0.04% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 0.13% 0.06% 0.00% 0.01%
EAT -8.24% 0.08% 3.0% 6.9% -1.27% 0.34% -3.73% 0.13% 2.6% 3.9% 5.2% 6.7% -12.84% -12.78% -12.85% -8.68%
Trend S.R S.R S.R S.R W.D W.D W.D W.D J.F J.F J.F J.F DIL DIL DIL DIL
Analysis (2017) (2016) (2015) (2014) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2014) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2014) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2014)
Sales (Rs.) 3,201.21 3,296.45 3,070.91 2,736.83 9,508.14 8,431.34 7,808.01 7,460.07 25,981.31 24,495.47 21,002.85 17,457.04 10,545.91 10,145.32 7,939.64 6,978.21
Net Profit (Rs.) (263.78) 2.63 94.52 188.94 (121.20) 28.33 (291.10) 9.53 699.45 968.90 1,110.83 1,182.42 (1,353.7) (1,296.9) (1,019.8) (605.99)
Sales 116.97% 120.45% 112.21% 100.00% 127.45% 113.02% 104.66% 100.00% 148.83% 140.32% 120.31% 100.00% 151.13% 145.39% 113.78% 100.00%
Net Profit -139.61% 1.39% 50.03% 100.00% -1271.7% 297.27% -3054.6% 100.00% 59.15% 81.94% 93.95% 100.00% 223.40% 214.02% 168.30% 100.00%
Horizontal S.R S.R S.R W.B W.B W.B J.B J.B J.B DIL DIL DIL
Analysis (2017) (2016) (2015) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2017) (2016) (2015)
Gross Revenue -2.89% 7.34% 12.21% 12.77% 7.98% 4.66% 6.07% 16.63% 20.31% 3.95% 27.78% 13.78%
Cost of sales -3.62% 12.14% 23.94% 9.95% 4.81% 1.25% 9.33% 11.02% 17.22% 3.80% 24.56% 14.52%
Gross profit -2.55% 5.23% 7.71% 14.61% 10.16% 7.14% 5.22% 18.17% 21.19% 4.01% 29.25% 13.44%
Operating 8.23% 12.78% 14.42% 13.09% 6.11% 12.53% 7.24% 20.70% 25.85% -0.54% 28.61% 21.34%
Expenses
EBITDA -86.72% -30.92% -15.91% 27.98% 65.44% -35.16% -7.04% 4.82% 1.40% -1115.63% -41.88% -118.18%
Depreciation 19.09% 12.28% 32.56% 10.53% 14.31% 15.94% 21.20% 26.83% 28.45% -9.22% 30.87% 14.16%
and
Amortization
EBIT/Operating 953.23% -124.83% -53.15% -161.18% -71.71% -455.66% -31.68% -8.96% -10.41% -45.23% 25.75% 134.22%
Profit
Interest Paid -60.87% -43.21% 9.46% 2.56% 46.68% 120.59% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 108.67% 28.31% 3.98%
EBT 937.30% -125.41% -53.33% -40.33% -30.02% -4537.92% -31.68% -8.96% -10.41% 3.40% 26.54% 68.46%
Exceptional - - - -100.00% - - 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Items
Tax 25.16% -254.01% -64.28% -100.00% 198.84% -128.76% -39.16% -0.55% -18.72% 109.44% 3357.8% -72.06%
EAT -10129.66% -97.22% -49.97% -527.82% -109.73% -3154.56% -27.81% -12.78% -6.05% 4.38% 27.16% 68.30%
Business Risk S.R S.R S.R W.B W.B W.B J.B J.B J.B DIL DIL DIL
(2017) (2016) (2015) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2017) (2016) (2015) (2017) (2016) (2015)
Sales -2.89% 7.34% 12.21% 12.77% 7.98% 4.66% 6.07% 16.63% 20.31% 3.95% 27.78% 13.78%
Operating Profit (EBIT) 953.23% -124.83% -53.15% -161.18% -71.71% -455.66% -31.68% -8.96% -10.41% -45.23% 25.75% 134.22%
Net Income -10129.66% -97.22% -49.97% -527.82% -109.73% -3154.56% -27.81% -12.78% -6.05% 4.38% 27.16% 68.30%
Total Leverage 3506.08 -13.24 -4.09 -41.33 -13.75 -676.36 -4.58 -0.77 -0.30 1.11 0.98 4.96
Operating Leverage -329.93 -17.00 -4.35 -12.62 -8.98 -97.70 -5.22 -0.54 -0.51 -11.46 0.93 9.74
Financial Leverage -10.63 0.78 0.94 3.27 1.53 6.92 0.88 1.43 0.58 -0.10 1.06 0.51
As usually, QSR serve food that is high on fat, cholesterol 1. Goyal, A., & Singh, N. P. (2007). Consumer perception
and oil that is not liked by the health-oriented individuals about fast food in India: an exploratory study. British
that bar them from going out and eating at such outlets. The Food Journal, 109(2), 182-195.
restaurants are trying to catch up with the change in preference
2. Anand, R. (2011), “A study of determinants impacting
but till now they are not able to do so.
consumers food choice with reference to the fast food
5. Rollback of input tax credit and other policy changes consumption in India”, Society and Business Review, Vol.
6 No. 2, pp. 176-187.
Cutting GST from 18% to 5% is taken as a major step that
would have helped the industry to cut rate significantly but 3. Ali, J., & Nath, T. (2013). Factors affecting consumers’
withdrawal of ITC (Input Tax Credit) was the cliché that eating-out choices in India: Implications for the restaurant
submerged the effect of that tax cut as the GST paid by them industry. Journal of foodservice business research, 16(2),
can no longer be claimed as deduction while calculating the 197-209.
tax liability.
4. Dabas, S., & Lunawat, H. (2017). Indian Food Services
Demonetization also hit the industry hard as the cash crunch Industry:Engine for Economic Growth. FICCI
made the consumer to restrict their expenses to necessity thus
reducing their expenditure significantly on eating food outside.