Energy Efficiency
Energy Efficiency
In Edinburgh
Dr Andrew Peacock
In Dubai
Dr Mutasim Nour
[email protected]
1
4 Lecture Series for Part 1
Energy efficiency
A broad overview that considers energy efficiency
motivations, applications and complications
Energy efficiency in buildings
A look at the specific area of energy efficiency in
buildings
Electricity networks
A broad overview of the drivers and constraints
that are causing changes to electricity provision
Demand Response
A discussion on the how changes in demand might
participate in energy transitions
2
Aims of the series
Energy efficiency
A broad overview that considers energy efficiency
motivations, applications and complications
Energy efficiency in buildings
A look at the specific area of energy efficiency in
buildings
Electricity networks
A broad overview of the drivers and constraints
that are causing changes to electricity provision
Demand Response
A discussion on the how changes in demand might
participate in energy transitions
4
Energy efficiency
Process or Service
Fuel input Energy Supply
transformation Provided
5
Simple domestic space heating example
A household has a space heating and hot water
requirement of 10,000kWh pa
7
https://www.volker-quaschning.de/datserv/CO2-spez/index_e.php 8
Energy efficiency
Straight forward
More complex
– no issues or
and nuanced
debate
9
Areas that will be covered
Description of Motivations
What can
energy for energy
energy
efficiency efficiency
efficiency
contribute
Energy Energy Does energy
efficiency and efficiency efficiency save
regulation anomalies energy
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
10
Description of Energy Efficiency
Description of Motivations
What can
energy for energy
energy
efficiency efficiency
efficiency
contribute
Energy Energy Does energy
efficiency and efficiency efficiency save
regulation anomalies energy
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
11
Description of Energy Efficiency
Technical efficiency, zT
zT = zEX x zC x zD x zE x zHE
12
Description of Energy Efficiency
Technical efficiency, zT
zT = zEX x zC x zD x zE x zHE
zEX – Fuel extraction efficiency
zC – Conversion efficiency of primary energy into secondary energy
zD – Distribution efficiency of delivering energy from point of conversion
to point of use
zE – End use efficiency of converting energy into the desired service
zHE – Hedonic efficiency – extent to which the delivered service meets
the desire
13
Description of Energy Efficiency
Technical efficiency, zT
zT = zEX x zC x zD x zE x zHE
zEX – Fuel extraction efficiency
zC – Conversion efficiency of primary energy into secondary
energy
zD – Distribution efficiency of delivering energy from point of conversion
to point of use
zE – End use efficiency of converting energy into the desired service
zHE – Hedonic efficiency – extent to which the delivered service meets
the desire
14
Description of Energy Efficiency
Technical efficiency, zT
zT = zEX x zC x zD x zE x zHE
zEX – Fuel extraction efficiency
zC – Conversion efficiency of primary energy into secondary energy
zD – Distribution efficiency of delivering energy from point of
conversion to point of use
zE – End use efficiency of converting energy into the desired service
zHE – Hedonic efficiency – extent to which the delivered service meets
the desire
15
Description of Energy Efficiency
Technical efficiency, zT
zT = zEX x zC x zD x zE x zHE
zEX – Fuel extraction efficiency
zC – Conversion efficiency of primary energy into secondary energy
zD – Distribution efficiency of delivering energy from point of conversion
to point of use
zE – End use efficiency of converting energy into the desired
service
zHE – Hedonic efficiency – extent to which the delivered service meets
the desire
16
Description of Energy Efficiency
Technical efficiency, zT
zT = zEX x zC x zD x zE x zHE
zEX – Fuel extraction efficiency
zC – Conversion efficiency of primary energy into secondary energy
zD – Distribution efficiency of delivering energy from point of conversion
to point of use
zE – End use efficiency of converting energy into the desired service
zHE – Hedonic efficiency – extent to which the delivered
service meets the desire
17
Exploitation of Energy Efficiency
zE zHE
100
120
0
20
40
60
80
1998.1
1998.2
1998.3
1998.4
1999.1
1999.2
1999.3
1999.4
2000.1
2000.2
2000.3
2000.4
2001.1
2001.2
2001.3
2001.4
2002.1
2002.2
2002.3
2002.4
Ratcliffe-on-Soar,
2003.1
2003.2
2003.3
2003.4
2004.1
2004.2
2004.3
2004.4
2005.4
2006.1
Consider the generation of
Gas
2006.2
2006.3
2007.2
2007.3
RE
2007.4
2008.1
2008.2
2008.3
Bioenergy
2008.4
2009.1
2009.2
2009.3
Imports
2009.4
2010.1
fired electricity generation as an example
2010.2
2010.3
2010.4
2011.1
2011.2
2011.3
2011.4
2012.1
2012.2
2012.3
2012.4
2013.1
2013.2
Let’s look at a conversion process in full – using coal
2013.3
2013.4
2014.1
2014.2
2014.3
2014.4
2015.1
2015.2
2015.3
2015.4
19
2016.1
2016.2
2016.3
Let’s look at a conversion process in full?
20
Let’s look at a conversion process in full?
21
Energy balance in producing 1kWh of
electricity from Colombian coal
Waste Electricity Electricity distributed
produced – loss of 9g 88g of coal
heat
ejected 97 g
172 g
1 kWh of
15g electricity
295g
26g Coal
62g lost
as heat
280g
of
coal
2g
22
Energy balance in producing 1kWh of
electricity from Colombian coal
City of London, 3am
Overall input-output
efficiency is 8.8%
295g
for 12 hours
40% of UK non-domestic lighting
energy occurs in unoccupied
26g Coal
buildings
What is the hedonic efficiency?
0% efficiency?
23
Process improvements
24
Motivation for energy efficiency
Description of Motivations
What can
energy for energy
energy
efficiency efficiency
efficiency
contribute
Energy Energy Does energy
efficiency and efficiency efficiency save
regulation anomalies energy
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
25
Economic rationale
Depending on the stage in the process, there is ample economic
incentive to invest in energy efficiency
26
27
Economic rationale
Cautionary tale – Forecasting RE capacity additions
Forecasting is a difficult business
Policy implications for Governments seeking to back winners through
subsidies
Economic rationale
Modelling limitations
Economy-wide policy models have to make significant assumptions
to rationalise scale, temporal precision and future scenarios
29
INTEGRATED ENERGY SYSTEM
MODELLING
THE NEED FOR BETTER
METHODOLOGIES
Centre for energy system integration
Hydrogen
Bio-fuels
Heat
Gas
+ + + +
+
Other
energy
carriers…
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Network HUMAN
Policy Economic Supply Storage Demand
Infrast. (SOCIETY)
Demand evolution: questions
Evolution of retail
Policy integration
Behavioural evol.
Technology evol.
Climate uncert.
Energy security
How will demand be affected by … e.g.
changes to demand requirements; population movement (e.g.
direct climate change impact? ● ○ · · · · flooding, fires)
international trade; natural resource availability; currency
geographical and international factors? · ● · · ○ markets; universal energy access; conflict
incentives (elec. heating, EVs); fuel poverty policy; social
direct policy influence? (demand specific) · ● · ○ housing; building regs.; fuel tax; DSM roll-out
FITs; RHIs; energy market interference; support for energy
indirect policy influence? ○ ● · · intensive industries; immigration
growth; demographics; internal popul. movement
uncontrolled population factors? · ○ · ● · (urban ↔ suburb. ↔ exurb. ↔ rural ↔ isolated)
changes to usage of existing technology; new technologies
changes in technology usage patterns? · ● ○ · (unforeseen demands)
demand side management? ○ ○ ○ ● · rate of uptake; mixed use developments; distributed industry
ownership and control; peer-to-peer trade; comm-unity /
distributed generation? ○ · ○ ● ● private; micro-grid ownership; co-generation
ownership and control; community based / private; storage
distributed energy storage? · · ○ ● ● state (electricity / thermal / pressure)
fuel type; behaviour and usage changes; private / public
developments in the transport sector? ○ ○ ○ ● ● transport; driverless vehicles; short contract
34
Beneficial impact on the wider economy
35
Improve Energy Security
36
Energy Security energy efficiency and
contribution to load management
37
Climate Change mitigation
38
Climate change - adaptation
For instance:
In reducing internal gains from end use equipment and
thereby reducing overheating – future proofing built
environment
39
Fuel Poverty
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
41
What can energy efficiency contribute
Can help to reduce the energy intensity of an economy
less emissions for a unit of economic output
EU28 Germany United Kingdom World
China Middle East India United States
140
Energy intensity of economy relative to 1990
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
42
What can energy efficiency contribute
What reduction in energy intensity is needed?
I = PAT
(I) is the impact of human activity on the planet
(P) is the size of the population
(A) is the level of affluence expressed as income per person
(T) is the technology factor which is a measure of the impact on
the planet associated with each dollar we spend.
45
Economic trends
Countries with low initial energy intensity and low energy intensity reduction
Voigt, S., De Cian, E., Schymura, M. and Verdolini, E., 2014. Energy intensity developments in 40 major
economies: Structural change or technology improvement?. Energy Economics, 41, pp.47-62. 46
Description of Motivations
What can
energy for energy
energy
efficiency efficiency
efficiency
contribute
Energy Energy Does energy
efficiency and efficiency efficiency save
regulation anomalies energy
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
47
Domestic sector energy efficiency legislation
Since 1986, 46 different initiatives or pieces of legislation (18 from the EU) that
have contributed to implementing energy efficiency or raising awareness
legislative body name of programme year details
49
Domestic sector energy efficiency legislation
180
sector (1990 = 100)
160
140
120
100
80
50
Domestic sector energy efficiency legislation
51
Domestic sector energy efficiency legislation
These two opposing explanations exemplify the debate around the Rebound Effect 52
Energy efficiency and energy conservation
Description of Motivations
What can
energy for energy
energy
efficiency efficiency
efficiency
contribute
Energy Energy Does energy
efficiency and efficiency efficiency save
regulation anomalies energy
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
53
Energy efficiency and energy conservation
54
Economic trends
5 70000
0 60000
-10 40000
-15 30000
-20 20000
-25 10000
-30 0
1978
1980
1982
1970
1972
1974
1976
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
56
UK Domestic sector
Uptake of energy efficiency measures
57
UK Domestic sector electricity consumption –
lights and appliances
900 3450
800 3400
per household (kWh pa)
700
0 3100
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Year
58
The Rebound Effect
60
Jevons Paradox
62
Energy efficiency and energy conservation
Energy Conservation
• The OPEC oil embargo and related energy
shortages and gas lines in the 1970s…
• The President of the United States sitting in a
cardigan asking all Americans to turn down
their thermostats and industries to run
factories at partial capacity…being somewhat
less comfortable… Sacrificing…
• These are such graphic images of energy
and national security in the American
consciousness that they often are the first
thoughts that come to mind when the words
"energy conservation" are heard.
63
Description of Motivations
What can
energy for energy
energy
efficiency efficiency
efficiency
contribute
Energy Energy Does energy
efficiency and efficiency efficiency save
regulation anomalies energy
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
64
Regulatory anomalies
The difficulty in framing legislation
65
in the UK and the Building regulations
67
Conservatories in the UK and the Building
regulations
67% heat their conservatories with gas central heating (22% in 1991)
56% now report heating their conservatory 7 or more hours per day in
winter (32% in 1991)
69
Appliance Labelling and Market
Transformation
The application of Market Transformation is
one of the key success stories of EU
energy policy in the last 2 decades
It has been applied to appliances (laundry,
cold appliances, light bulbs etc) and is now
being applied to houses themselves
through the Energy Performance of
Buildings Directive EPBD
Rate all appliances (A-E)
At some point in the future prohibit D’s and
E’s
Market transformed to A,B and C’s
70
Market Transformation
over time
A B C D E
Rating
71
Energy Efficiency – Refrigeration 1
73
Energy Efficiency – Refrigeration 2
74
Doing the laundry
Figure shows penetration data from the American housing survey for 39 cities for
the years 1994–1996 for both central and window units 76
Air conditioning in the USA
By the 1980’s shopping malls were air conditioned
Supermarkets were air conditioned
78
Dubai and Energy Efficiency
79
Energy Efficiency – key questions for debate
Economic studies consistently describe a energy efficiency
as ‘low hanging fruit’; as ‘a no brainer’; as ‘the cheapest fuel
we could invest in.’
81
Next week
Description of Motivations
What can
energy for energy
energy
efficiency efficiency
efficiency
contribute
Energy Energy Does energy
efficiency and efficiency efficiency save
regulation anomalies energy
Energy Energy
Energy
efficiency and efficiency and
efficiency and
the built the domestic
behaviour
environment sector
82
Reading list
Mallaburn & Eyre, Lessons from energy efficiency policy and programmes in the UK from 1973 to 2013, Energy Efficiency
(2014) 7, pp23 –41
Druckman A., Chitnis M., Sorrell S. and Jackson T., Missing carbon reductions? Exploring rebound and backfire effects in
UK households, Energy Policy Volume 39, Issue 6, (2011), pp3572–3581
Lapilonne B., Sebi C. and Pollier K., Energy efficiency trends for households in the EU, Enerdata, 2013
de Almeida A., Fonseca P., Schlomann B. and Feilberg N., Characterization of the household electricity consumption in the
EU, potential energy savings and specific policy recommendations, Energy and Buildings 43 (2011) pp1884–1894
Payne J., A survey of the electricity consumption-growth literature, Applied Energy 87 (2010) pp723-731
Energy Policy, Volume 38, Issue 12, (2010) (Special Section: Carbon Reduction at Community Scale)
Payne J., Survey of the international evidence on the causal relationship between energy consumption and growth, Journal
of Economic Studies, Vol. 37 No. 1, 2010, pp. 53-95
Herring H and Roy R, Technological innovation, energy efficient design and the rebound effect, Technovation, 27 (2007)
194–203
Barkera T, Ekins P and Foxon T, The macro-economic rebound effect and the UK economy, Energy Policy 35 (2007) 4935–
4946
83
Reading list
Lovins AB, Energy Efficiency, Taxonomic Overview, Encyclopedia of Energy, Volume 2, 2004, Rocky Mountain Institute,
Elsevier
Wilhite H, Will efficient technologies save the world? A call for new thinking on the ways that enduse technologies affect
energy using practices, European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (eceee) 2007 Summer Study, Côte d’Azur,
France 4-9 June 2007
Hong SH, Oreszczyn T and Ridley I, The impact of energy efficient refurbishment on the space heating fuel consumption in
English dwellings Energy and Buildings 38 (2006) 1171–1181
Barrett M, Lowe R, Oreszczyn T and Steadman P, How to support growth with less energy, Energy Policy 36 (2008) 4592–
4599
Peacock A.D., Banfill P.F., Newborough M., Kane D., Turan S., Jenkins D., Ahadzi M., Bowles G., Eames P.C., Singh H.,
Jackson T., Berry A., Reducing CO2 emissions through refurbishment of UK housing, European Council for an Energy
Efficient Economy (eceee) 2007 Summer Study, Côte d’Azur, France 4-9 June 2007
Boardman B, Achieving energy efficiency through product policy: the UK experience, Environmental Science & Policy 7
(2004) 165–176
Anderson, K. and Bows A., Reframing the climate change challenge in light of post-2000 emission trends, Philosophical
Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 366 (1982), pp. 3863-3882
Lloyd B, The Commons revisited: The tragedy continues, Energy Policy 35 (2007) 5806–5818
Jackson T, Papathanasopoulou E, Luxury or ‘lock-in’? An exploration of unsustainable consumption in the UK: 1968 to
2000, Ecological Economics, 68 (2008) 80-95
84