This document defines key probability and statistics concepts. It explains that probability experiments have outcomes that make up a sample space, from which events can be subsets. The three types of probability are classical, empirical, and subjective. Classical probability assumes all outcomes are equally likely, empirical is based on observations, and subjective comes from estimates. Conditional probability is the probability of an event given another has occurred. Independent events do not influence each other's probabilities, while dependent events do. Frequency distributions organize data, and there are four levels of measurement: nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio.
This document defines key probability and statistics concepts. It explains that probability experiments have outcomes that make up a sample space, from which events can be subsets. The three types of probability are classical, empirical, and subjective. Classical probability assumes all outcomes are equally likely, empirical is based on observations, and subjective comes from estimates. Conditional probability is the probability of an event given another has occurred. Independent events do not influence each other's probabilities, while dependent events do. Frequency distributions organize data, and there are four levels of measurement: nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio.
An action, or trial, through which specific results (counts, measure, or responses) are obtained. Define outcome The result of a single trial in a probability experiment Define sample space The set of all possible outcomes of a probability experiment Define event A subset of the sample space – may consist of one or more outcomes. What is the difference between an outcome and an event? An outcome is the result of a single probability experiment. An event is a set of one or more possible outcomes. Simple event Define simple event An event that consists of exactly one outcome What are the three types of probability? Classical (theoretical) probability, empirical (statistical) probability, and subjective probability Define classical (theoretical) probability Each outcome in a sample space is equally likely Define empirical (or statistical) probability Based on observations obtained from probability experiments Define subjective probability Result from intuition, educated guesses, and estimates Example of subjective probability A doctor giving a patient a 90% chance of recovery given health, extent of injuries, etc. A business analyst predicts the chance employees of a company will go on strike is 0.25 Classical, Empirical, or Subjective? 1. The probability you will get the flu this year is 0.1 Subjective, based on an educated guess 2. The probability you will get an A on your next test is 0.9 Subjective, based on an educated guess 3. The probability that a voter chosen at random will be younger than 35 years old is 0.3 Empirical, most likely based on a survey of sample voters 4. The probability of winning a 1000-ticket raffle with one ticket is 1/1000. Classical – you know the number of outcomes and each is equally likely What is the difference between independent and dependent events? Two events are independent when the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the occurrence of the other event. Two events are dependent when the occurrence of one event affects the probability of the occurrence of the other event. Define conditional probability The probability of an event occurring, given that another event has already occurred. Independent or dependent events? A: drink milk at lunch B: get an A on an exam Independent, the occurrence of B is not impacted by the occurrence of A Independent or dependent events? A: study 4 hours for an exam B: get an A on an exam Dependent, P(B) changes depending on the outcome of A Independent or dependent events? A: tossing a coin and getting heads B: rolling a six-sided die and getting a 6 Independent A coin is tossed and a six-sided. Die is rolled. How would you find the probability of tossing a tail and then rolling a number greater than 1? (1/2) × (5/6) Difference between P(A | B) and P(A and B)? P(A | B) is the probability that event A will occur given that B has already occurred. P(A and B) is the probability that events A and B will occur in sequence. Define mutually exclusive events Two events A and B cannot occur at the same time. A and B have no outcomes in common Statistics Distinguish between population and sample. A population is the entire group that you want to draw conclusions about. A sample is the specific group that you will collect data from. The size of the sample is always less than the total size of the population. Define Statistics. A branch of mathematics dealing with the collection, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of masses of numerical data. What is the frequency distribution? Frequency distribution is an organized tabulation/graphical representation of the number of individuals in each category on the scale of measurement. Explain the different levels of measurement of data. There are 4 levels of measurement: Nominal: the data can only be categorized Ordinal: the data can be categorized and ranked Interval: the data can be categorized, ranked, and evenly spaced Ratio: the data can be categorized, ranked, evenly spaced, and has a natural zero.