Tariff 3
Tariff 3
Among all the reasons and excuses put forward by policy makers
against free trade, the only acceptable argument by an economist is
that of a market failure (no. 3 above). As trade and exchange go
synonymously with markets, if a market fails to provide the socially
efficient level of output and a true evaluation (price) for the product,
then some form of government intervention is necessary. Regarding
all other reasons for government intervention (including imposing
tariffs), economic analysis provides a counter argument. With
respect to no. 1 above, for example, economists argue that lack of
ability of a government to have a workable tax revenue service to
earn revenues through income tax is no good reason to meddle with
the price allocation mechanism of free markets. In some countries,
such as India, tariff revenues constitute nearly 40% of government
revenues, so that adoption of a policy of free trade as required by the
WTO would significantly hurt the government's budget. The
suggestion by economists is for the government to work on
instituting a workable income tax collection mechanism so it does
not have to rely on border taxes for its revenues.
Domestic Demand
Pd =Pw +t
b c d
Pw
Qs Qs’ Qd’ Qd
As the graph indicates, at the free trade world price of clothing, PW,
the quantity of clothing demanded by U.S. residents exceeds the
domestic quantity supplied by the amount QS QD. This is indeed the
volume of clothing imported at free trade price by the U.S.
Now suppose that for one of the reasons mentioned above, most
appropriately for reason no. 2-protecting the income of labor- the
government in the U.S. decides to impose a specific (percentage tax
per unit value) import tariff of $t on clothing. The price of clothing
inside the U.S. will rise to PW + t.
How does this increase in price (inside U.S., not outside) affect the
overall level of welfare in the U.S.?
To answer this question, note that the import tariff has lowered
consumer surplus, has partially enhanced the level of producer (of
clothing) surplus, and has brought some revenues to the government.
The net change in welfare is indeed the sum of all these losses and
gains. To use the geometric areas of the graph that pertain to
changes in consumer surplus:
Decline in consumer surplus due to import tariff = a + b + c + d
Increase in Producer surplus = a
Increase in government surplus (tariff revenues) = c
The net fall in welfare in the U.S. due to an import tariff is:
a + b + c + d - (a + c) = b + d
How about terms of trade (TOT) effects of this tariff? There will be
none as the U.S. is small enough not to be able to affect the world
price. The world price stays at PW as before.
Case in Point
William Cline (1990) has estimated the cost of tariff (and quota)
protection in the textile industry of the U.S. for 1986 and 1990. The
policy is intended at saving the jobs of textile workers in the U.S.
Here, we shall reproduce the results for 1990 only.
The net welfare loss for a worker who keeps his textile job thanks to
trade protection is: $ 0.894 bilion/16,203 = $55,174 per worker. This
is indeed a loss net of all gains (income) to each textile worker and
the government for just one year (1990). It would have been far less
costly for the whole economy if these workers were paid by
taxpayers to seek other forms of training where they could later be
employed in other sectors. 2
Level of welfare
I1 in Free Trade
I2
Quantity of Clothing
U.S. Mexico
P
Domestic
Demand
Domestic Supply
P
Domestic Supply
Domestic Demand
Pd
a b
Pw d
e
Pw’
Q Q
How about the welfare effects of the tariff for both partners? Let's
use the same geometric analysis of net changes in welfare as before.
In Mexico the only change is the lower TOT (the equivalent area of
"e" in the graph for Mexico) and that only makes the economy of
that country worse off! The tariff by the U.S. has indeed been laid
partially on the shoulders of their trade partner. As both U.S. and
Mexico are major partners of each other in trade, a lower import
demand for clothing by the U.S due to tariff will indeed lower the
price of this good for Mexico. This type of policy, on that hurts your
trading partner, is called "beggar-thy-neighbor" policy. It upsets the
relationship between a country and its trade partner and leads to
retaliation by the hurt party.
What are the income distribution effects of tariff by the U.S.? These
are similar to the previous section. In the U.S., due to Stolper-
Samuelson effect, the real income of labor (the scarce factor used
intensively in clothing production in the U.S.) rises while that of
capital falls. The opposite is true for Mexico where labor loses and
capital gains.
Suppose the U.S., a small country imports clothing at the free world
price, PW from the rest of the world.
Price Domestic Supply
Domestic Demand
b c d
Pw
Qs Qs’ Qd’ Qd
Case in Point
Since 1934, the U.S government has added an import quota in sugar
to its already existing tariffs for this product. The aim has been to
further protect the income of sugar growers. As one dissatisfied
consumer/taxpayer writes:
"Since 1980, the sugar program has cost consumers and taxpayers
the equivalent of more than $3 million for each American sugar
grower. Some people win the lottery; other people grow sugar.
Congressmen justify the sugar program as protecting Americans
from the "roller-coaster of international sugar prices," as Rep.
Byron Dorgan (D.-N.D.) declared. Unfortunately, Congress protects
consumers from the roller-coaster by pegging American sugar
prices on a level with the Goodyear blimp floating far above the
amusement park. U.S. sugar prices have been as high as or higher
than world prices for 44 of the last 45 years.
Sugar sold for 21 cents a pound in the United States when the world
sugar price was less than 3 cents a pound. Each 1-cent increase in
the price of sugar adds between $250 million and $300 million to
consumers' food bills. A Commerce Department study estimated that
the sugar program was costing American consumers more than $3
3
billion a year."
One of the reasons for lack of success of GATT and its replacement
with a more legally solid structure of WTO in mid 1990s was the
rise in the number of non-tariff barriers countries would impose to
keep imports out. Policy makers in many countries, attempting to
appear in compliance with GATT (to reduce tariffs) would find
creative means of import control in the form of NTBs. One such tool
is an import quota, which we already discussed in the previous
section. Here, we mention and discuss some of the other means of
reducing imports in order to protect an industry or the income of a
particular factor of production.
Case in Point
e. Red Tape:
This type of duty is of course allowed under WTO if the country can
prove--with reasonable data and facts-- that another country's firm is
dumping its good there. The trouble is that dumping cases are very
hard to prove. In many cases, the foreign firm may have indeed a
cost advantage over domestic firm and the dumping charge could be
used primarily as a protectionist measure. Much like a tariff, the
antidumping duty maybe used in order to protect the local industry
from foreign imports.
Case in Point
Anti-dumping Duties in U.S. and South Korea
h. Environmental Rules:
Endnotes