Backward Variable Selection

The document appears to contain sales data with multiple variables that was analyzed using linear regression. The regression was statistically significant and produced a multiple R-squared value of 0.9257, indicating the model explains over 92% of the variance in sales. Based on the coefficients table, the variables of Poten, AdvExp, Share, and Change were statistically significant predictors of sales in the linear regression model at the 95% confidence level.

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Backward Variable Selection

Uploaded by

aris budi santoso

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Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

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Sales Time Poten AdvExp Share Change Accounts Work Rating

3669.88 43.1 74065.1 4582.9 2.51 0.34 74.86 15.05 4.9

3473.95 108.13 58117.3 5539.8 5.51 0.15 107.32 19.97 5.1
2295.1 13.82 21118.5 2950.4 10.91 -0.72 96.75 17.34 2.9
4675.56 186.18 68521.3 2243.1 8.27 0.17 195.12 13.4 3.4
6125.96 161.79 57805.1 7747.1 9.15 0.5 180.44 17.64 4.6
2134.94 8.94 37806.9 402.4 5.51 0.15 104.88 16.22 4.5
5031.66 365.04 50935.3 3140.6 8.54 0.55 256.1 18.8 4.6
3367.45 220.32 35602.1 2086.2 7.07 0.49 126.83 19.86 2.3
6519.45 127.64 46176.8 8846.2 12.54 1.24 203.25 17.42 4.9
4876.37 105.69 42053.2 5673.1 8.85 0.31 119.51 21.41 2.8
2468.27 57.72 36829.7 2761.8 5.38 0.37 116.26 16.32 3.1
2533.31 23.58 33612.7 1991.8 5.43 0.65 142.28 14.51 4.2
2408.11 13.82 21412.8 1971.5 8.48 0.64 89.43 19.35 4.3
2337.38 13.82 20416.9 1737.4 7.8 1.01 84.55 20.02 4.2
4586.95 86.99 36272 10694.2 10.34 0.11 119.51 15.26 5.5
2729.24 165.85 23093.3 8618.6 5.15 0.04 80.49 15.87 3.6
3289.4 116.26 26878.6 7747.9 6.64 0.68 136.58 7.81 3.4
2800.78 42.28 39572 4565.8 5.45 0.66 78.86 16 4.2
3264.2 52.84 51866.1 6022.7 6.31 0.1 136.58 17.44 3.6
3453.62 165.04 58749.8 3721.1 6.35 0.03 138.21 17.98 3.1
1741.45 10.57 23990.8 861 7.37 -1.63 75.61 20.99 1.6
2035.75 13.82 25694.9 3571.5 8.39 0.43 102.44 21.66 3.4
1578 8.13 23736.3 2845.5 5.15 0.04 76.42 21.46 2.7
4167.44 58.44 34314.3 5060.1 12.88 0.22 136.58 24.78 2.8
2799.97 21.14 22809.5 3552 9.14 0.74 88.62 24.96 3.9
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9621958578
R Square 0.9258208687
Adjusted R Square 0.8887313031
Standard Error 437.99964266
Observations 25

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 8 38310049.93529 4788756.2419 24.961760887
Residual 16 3069498.991562 191843.68697
Total 24 41379548.92686

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value

Intercept -1325.7182247 781.3225327458 -1.696761797 0.1091060484
Time 2.4284243794 1.884881137597 1.2883700362 0.2159372378
Poten 0.0416068937 0.008381074501 4.964386569 0.0001406236
AdvExp 0.1504299917 0.045926300272 3.2754650562 0.0047589647
Share 226.86735675 66.5649898212 3.4082083895 0.0035973128
Change 380.34129295 207.3818427425 1.8340144341 0.0853187778
Accounts 3.4090743158 4.853067214748 0.7024576757 0.4924878936
Work 4.1304749336 33.02752552679 0.1250615923 0.9020326413
Rating -27.906226347 131.2720961259 -0.2125830787 0.8343368916
Significance F
1.23E-07

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%

Upper 95,0%
-2982.048 330.6116 -2982.048 330.6116
-1.567345 6.424194 -1.567345 6.424194
0.02384 0.059374 0.02384 0.059374
0.053071 0.247789 0.053071 0.247789
85.75588 367.9788 85.75588 367.9788
-59.28857 819.9712 -59.28857 819.9712
-6.878969 13.69712 -6.878969 13.69712
-65.88475 74.1457 -65.88475 74.1457
-306.1906 250.3782 -306.1906 250.3782
Sales Time Poten AdvExp Share Change Accounts Rating
3669.88 43.1 74065.1 4582.9 2.51 0.34 74.86 4.9
3473.95 108.13 58117.3 5539.8 5.51 0.15 107.32 5.1
2295.1 13.82 21118.5 2950.4 10.91 -0.72 96.75 2.9
4675.56 186.18 68521.3 2243.1 8.27 0.17 195.12 3.4
6125.96 161.79 57805.1 7747.1 9.15 0.5 180.44 4.6
2134.94 8.94 37806.9 402.4 5.51 0.15 104.88 4.5
5031.66 365.04 50935.3 3140.6 8.54 0.55 256.1 4.6
3367.45 220.32 35602.1 2086.2 7.07 0.49 126.83 2.3
6519.45 127.64 46176.8 8846.2 12.54 1.24 203.25 4.9
4876.37 105.69 42053.2 5673.1 8.85 0.31 119.51 2.8
2468.27 57.72 36829.7 2761.8 5.38 0.37 116.26 3.1
2533.31 23.58 33612.7 1991.8 5.43 0.65 142.28 4.2
2408.11 13.82 21412.8 1971.5 8.48 0.64 89.43 4.3
2337.38 13.82 20416.9 1737.4 7.8 1.01 84.55 4.2
4586.95 86.99 36272 10694.2 10.34 0.11 119.51 5.5
2729.24 165.85 23093.3 8618.6 5.15 0.04 80.49 3.6
3289.4 116.26 26878.6 7747.9 6.64 0.68 136.58 3.4
2800.78 42.28 39572 4565.8 5.45 0.66 78.86 4.2
3264.2 52.84 51866.1 6022.7 6.31 0.1 136.58 3.6
3453.62 165.04 58749.8 3721.1 6.35 0.03 138.21 3.1
1741.45 10.57 23990.8 861 7.37 -1.63 75.61 1.6
2035.75 13.82 25694.9 3571.5 8.39 0.43 102.44 3.4
1578 8.13 23736.3 2845.5 5.15 0.04 76.42 2.7
4167.44 58.44 34314.3 5060.1 12.88 0.22 136.58 2.8
2799.97 21.14 22809.5 3552 9.14 0.74 88.62 3.9
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.962158
R Square 0.925748
Adjusted R Square 0.895174
Standard Error 425.1297
Observations 25

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 7 38307049 5472435.6318 30.278737433 2.1348875E-08
Residual 17 3072500 180735.26494
Total 24 41379549

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept -1254.299 517.5685 -2.4234455601 0.0268219244 -2346.27307181 -162.325
Time 2.493117 1.759253 1.4171448811 0.1745071987 -1.21858307582 6.204816
Poten 0.041852 0.00791 5.2912231455 5.985716E-05 0.02516385743 0.05854
AdvExp 0.147881 0.039947 3.7019060208 0.001770491 0.06359973591 0.232163
Share 231.9161 51.37087 4.5145444236 0.0003060834 123.533020453 340.2992
Change 384.4021 198.8056 1.9335572664 0.0699963808 -35.0411465131 803.8453
Accounts 3.120373 4.143433 0.7530889022 0.4616991626 -5.62150586582 11.86225
Rating -29.20138 127.0178 -0.2299000055 0.8209129824 -297.185414693 238.7827
Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
-2346.273 -162.325
-1.218583 6.204816
0.025164 0.05854
0.0636 0.232163
123.533 340.2992
-35.04115 803.8453
-5.621506 11.86225
-297.1854 238.7827