Geography
Geography
BUSINESS 9609/31
Paper 3 Business Decision-making May/June 2023
MARK SCHEME
Maximum Mark: 60
Published
This mark scheme is published as an aid to teachers and candidates, to indicate the requirements of the
examination. It shows the basis on which Examiners were instructed to award marks. It does not indicate the
details of the discussions that took place at an Examiners’ meeting before marking began, which would have
considered the acceptability of alternative answers.
Mark schemes should be read in conjunction with the question paper and the Principal Examiner Report for
Teachers.
Cambridge International will not enter into discussions about these mark schemes.
Cambridge International is publishing the mark schemes for the May/June 2023 series for most
Cambridge IGCSE, Cambridge International A and AS Level and Cambridge Pre-U components, and some
Cambridge O Level components.
These general marking principles must be applied by all examiners when marking candidate answers. They should be applied alongside the
specific content of the mark scheme or generic level descriptors for a question. Each question paper and mark scheme will also comply with these
marking principles.
the specific content of the mark scheme or the generic level descriptors for the question
the specific skills defined in the mark scheme or in the generic level descriptors for the question
the standard of response required by a candidate as exemplified by the standardisation scripts.
Marks awarded are always whole marks (not half marks, or other fractions).
marks are awarded for correct/valid answers, as defined in the mark scheme. However, credit is given for valid answers which go beyond
the scope of the syllabus and mark scheme, referring to your Team Leader as appropriate
marks are awarded when candidates clearly demonstrate what they know and can do
marks are not deducted for errors
marks are not deducted for omissions
answers should only be judged on the quality of spelling, punctuation and grammar when these features are specifically assessed by the
question as indicated by the mark scheme. The meaning, however, should be unambiguous.
Rules must be applied consistently, e.g. in situations where candidates have not followed instructions or in the application of generic level
descriptors.
Marks should be awarded using the full range of marks defined in the mark scheme for the question (however; the use of the full mark range may
be limited according to the quality of the candidate responses seen).
Marks awarded are based solely on the requirements as defined in the mark scheme. Marks should not be awarded with grade thresholds or
grade descriptors in mind.
a DO credit answers which are worded differently from the mark scheme if they clearly convey the same meaning (unless the mark
scheme requires a specific term)
b DO credit alternative answers/examples which are not written in the mark scheme if they are correct
c DO credit answers where candidates give more than one correct answer in one prompt/numbered/scaffolded space where extended
writing is required rather than list-type answers. For example, questions that require n reasons (e.g. State two reasons …).
d DO NOT credit answers simply for using a ‘key term’ unless that is all that is required. (Check for evidence it is understood and not used
wrongly.)
e DO NOT credit answers which are obviously self-contradicting or trying to cover all possibilities
f DO NOT give further credit for what is effectively repetition of a correct point already credited unless the language itself is being tested.
This applies equally to ‘mirror statements’ (i.e. polluted/not polluted).
g DO NOT require spellings to be correct, unless this is part of the test. However, spellings of syllabus terms must allow for clear and
unambiguous separation from other syllabus terms with which they may be confused (e.g. Corrasion/Corrosion).
4 Annotation:
For point marking, ticks can be used to indicate correct answers and crosses can be used to indicate wrong answers. There is no direct
relationship between ticks and marks. Ticks have no defined meaning for levels of response marking.
For levels of response marking, the level awarded should be annotated on the script.
Other annotations will be used by examiners as agreed during standardisation, and the meaning will be understood by all examiners
who marked that paper.
Marking of work should be positive, rewarding achievement where possible, but clearly differentiating across the whole range of marks, where
appropriate.
The examiner should look at the work and then make a judgement about which level statement is the best fit. In practice, work does not always
match one level statement precisely so a judgement may need to be made between two or more level statements.
Once a best-fit level statement has been identified, use the following guidance to decide on a specific mark:
If the candidate’s work convincingly meets the level statement, award the highest mark.
If the candidate’s work adequately meets the level statement, award the most appropriate mark in the middle of the range.
If the candidate’s work just meets the level statement, award the lowest mark.
L1, L2 etc. must be clearly annotated on the response at the point where the level is achieved.
Assessment objectives
AO2 Application
Apply knowledge and understanding of business concepts, terms and theories to problems and issues in a variety of familiar and unfamiliar
business situations and contexts.
AO3 Analysis
Analyse business problems, issues and situations by:
using appropriate methods and techniques to make sense of qualitative and quantitative business information
searching for causes, impact and consequences
distinguishing between factual evidence and opinion or value judgement
drawing valid inferences and making valid generalisations.
AO4 Evaluation
Evaluate evidence in order to make reasoned judgements, present substantiated conclusions and, where appropriate, make recommendations for
action and implementation.
Annotation Use
As an indication of relevant and rewardable content. Better to put these in the body of the answer.
NAQ Used when the answer or parts of the answer are not answering the question asked.
BOD Used when the benefit of the doubt is given in order to reward a response.
K Indicates knowledge and understanding of the concepts and issues relating to the question.
APP Indicates that there is specific application to the context of the question.
SEEN Indicates that content has been recognised but not rewarded.
L1, L2, L3 Indicates where the answer reaches the required standard.
2 3–4 marks
Developed analysis
Developed analysis that identifies connections
between causes, impacts and/or consequences of
two points.
Developed analysis that identifies connections
between causes, impacts and/or consequences of
one point.
Note:
Only reward benefits
If more than two benefits are referred to, reward the best two.
1 Indicative content
AO2 Application
Limited application, applies knowledge to WP once.
Developed application, + applies knowledge to WP twice.
Max one for application for the first benefit and max one for application for the second benefit.
1 AO3 Analysis
Limited analysis – candidate shows one link in the chain of analysis.
Developed analysis – candidate shows two or more links in the chain of analysis.
(quality standards assured) faults with products will be identified ensuring that quality standards are met which will
increase customer satisfaction and this will increase repeat custom resulting in higher sales.
(less waste) as employees are responsible for checking the wooden toys for faults there will be less waste of
materials which will reduce costs resulting in an increase in profits.
(reduced costs) employee checking of quality will reduce costs and therefore enable WP to offer more competitive
prices resulting in an increase in sales and therefore profit.
(motivation of employees) greater responsibility for quality may increase the motivation of employees which will lead to
an increase in work effort and productivity and therefore increase output of wooden toys.
Problems identified in production so costs of correcting are lower
Reduced cost of final inspection so less or no quality inspectors need to be employed
Fault finding easier so future costs saved increasing production efficiency
Accountability for quality/errors is improved so production workers take more care and waste is reduced.
Greater employee motivation and feeling of being in a team so less conflict and more efficiency.
2 3–4 marks
Developed analysis
Developed analysis that identifies connections
between causes, impacts and/or consequences of
two points.
Developed analysis that identifies connections
between causes, impacts and/or consequences of
one point.
Note:
Only reward limitations.
If more than two limitations are referred to, reward the best two.
All annotation ( ) should be in the left margin.
2 Indicative content
AO2 Application
Limited application, applies knowledge to WP once.
Developed application, + applies knowledge to WP twice.
Max one for application for the first benefit and max one for application for the second benefit.
Three managers give weekly written reports and meet with the owner.
The weekly meeting with employees is one-way, from the owner to the employees.
Little evidence of employees being able to influence decisions.
There are 35 employees.
Managers meet individually with Rona each week.
2 AO3 Analysis
Limited analysis – candidate shows one link in the chain of analysis.
Developed analysis – candidate shows two or more links in the chain of analysis.
(one-way communication) With one -way communication and limited opportunity for feedback employees may be
demotivated and this will result in lower productivity which will reduce output.
(large group meetings) may result in limited feedback from employees which could mean that good ideas from
employees are likely to be missed . This will result in opportunities for improving production to be missed and lower
growth in productivity.
(communication between departments) Managers meet individually with Rona reducing opportunity for inter-
departmental discussion. This will slow the sharing of information between managers thus limiting coordination of
departments and thus reducing the effectiveness and efficiency of decisions
(time taken) Rona meets with managers individually which will waste time as she could meet with managers
collectively. Individual meetings do not make an efficient use of her time and will slow decision making resulting in
WP being less responsive.
(time taken) Rona has a weekly meeting with production employees. She could share this information more quickly
using notices or email and this would free up her time to focus on more important issues facing WP.
3(a) Using the data in Table 1.1, calculate the seasonal variation for 2022 Q2 (X). 2
Indicative content
OR
3(b) Using the data in Table 1.1, calculate the forecast revenue for 2023 Q3 (Y). 2
Indicative content
Forecast revenue = forecast trend plus average seasonal variation for that quarter (1)
OR
3(c) Evaluate the importance to WP’s business planning of using sales forecasts based on time series analysis. 12
3 5–6 marks
Developed evaluation in context
A developed judgement/conclusion
is made in the business context.
Developed evaluative comments
which balance some key
arguments in the business context.
AO2 Application
Limited application, applies knowledge to WP once.
Developed application, + applies knowledge to WP twice.
Highly seasonal nature of WP sales, sales are highest in Q1 and lowest in Q3.
Possible new product range of outdoor play equipment.
Skilled employees will take time to recruit and train.
No real competitor threat to impact sales trends.
Possible effects of new government policies will impact sales trends.
AO3 Analysis
Limited analysis – candidate shows one link in the chain of analysis.
Developed analysis – candidate shows two or more links in the chain of analysis.
TSA is a quantitative technique and provides a more scientific approach to forecasting and is therefore useful when
making decisions about how many employees are needed for production to ensure that future customer needs are
met .
As skilled employees are used by WP it will take time to recruit and train employees so WP needs effective workforce
planning otherwise WP will not be able to meet increasing demand and this will reduce future profits .
© UCLES 2023 Page 16 of 25
9609/31 Cambridge International AS & A Level – Mark Scheme May/June 2023
PUBLISHED
Question Answer Marks
3(c) TSA takes account of seasonal variations and is therefore relevant for planning where there is a regular fluctuation in
demand .
Sales prediction enables planning inventory holding which will delay cash outflows for purchasing inventory and
therefore improve liquidity .
AO4 Evaluation
Limited evaluation – limited supported judgement and/or a weak attempt at evaluative comment.
Developed evaluation – supported judgement and/or reasonable evaluative comment.
Developed evaluation in context – supported judgement in context and/or reasonable evaluative comment in
context.
Indicative content
And/or
CE = 1 + 2 + 2 = 5 (2)
ROCE = 4% (4)
OFR
Alternatives
0.1 / 5 X 100 = 2% (3) [profit for the year rather than operating profit]
For example
0.2 / 3 X 100 = 6.7% (3) [reserves not included in CE]
0.2 / 4 X 100 = 5% (3) [issued shares not included in CE]
4(b) Evaluate whether the financial information is sufficient for WP to decide if it should produce the new outdoor 12
product range.
3 5–6 marks
Developed evaluation in context
A developed judgement/conclusion
is made in the business context.
Developed evaluative comments
which balance some key
arguments in the business context.
Definition and/or explanation of terms used: share price, capital employed, current ratio, gearing ratio, elements of
income statement, borrowing and reserves.
Market research methods and their advantages/disadvantages.
The new range in relation to business objectives and resources.
Forecasts are not certainties, there is always risk.
Borrowing and reserves.
AO2 Application
Limited application applies knowledge to WP once.
Developed application + applies knowledge to WP twice.
Financial data indicates that the project can be financed as it appears that WP has relatively low gearing and may
therefore be able to borrow the money required .
The decrease in profit shown in the data suggests that in the short term the investment will not benefit WP as profit is a
key business objective and this will reduce available finance for other future investments thus indicating that WP
should reconsider the investment.
Investment appraisal is not included and this provides a measure of the return that the investment generated which is
important profit is the primary objective of business.
The impact on employees of training required to use new machinery could have an impact on motivation (positive or
negative) and therefore impact productivity and / or quality of existing output.
The impact on existing customers due to possible disruption to production as new machinery is introduced and
workers are trained.
AO4 Evaluation
Limited evaluation - limited supported judgement and/or a weak attempt at evaluative comment.
Developed evaluation - supported judgement and/or reasonable evaluative comment.
Developed evaluation in context - supported judgement in context and/or reasonable evaluative comment in
context.
Financial information is essential as it covers the important factors including financial position of WP.
If it can be shown the financial forecasts incorporate accurate market and cost information they are sufficient.
The information provides a useful starting point to explore in more detail what looks like a positive addition to the
product portfolio.
Other information / factors are also essential.
– Investment appraisal over a longer time period.
– Information on workface availability and skillsets would be important.
– Information on how the new range fits into the product portfolio or wider strategic planning would be useful.
– Entering a new market always entails some un-measurable risk.
– Critical Path Analysis to help assess impact on existing production and customers.
– Is there sufficient market research to establish that WP should enter the outdoor play equipment market?
5 Evaluate the possible effects on WP if the new economic policy measures are implemented. 12
3 5–6 marks
Developed evaluation in context
A developed judgement/conclusion
is made in the business context.
Developed evaluative comments
which balance some key
arguments in the business context.
5 Indicative content
AO2 Application
Limited application, applies knowledge to WP once.
Developed application, + applies knowledge to WP twice.
AO3 Analysis
Limited analysis – candidate shows one link in the chain of analysis.
Developed analysis – candidate shows two or more links in the chain of analysis.
Pay restrictions in the public sector may lead to workers searching for alternative work in the private sector and therefore
WP may find it easier to recruit skilled workers reducing the cost of recruitment .
5 WP already offers training to its workers and so will not be affected by the new tax proposed. This could increase WP’s
competitiveness as other toy manufacturers face increased tax and therefore have less profit for reinvestment.
An increase in interest rates will increase borrowing costs and therefore make any investment by WP less profitable
. This could delay any expansion plans that WP has .
Increased income taxes will reduce household disposable income which could lead to a reduction in demand for WP’s
goods and therefore decrease sales and profits.
AO4 Evaluation
Limited evaluation – limited supported judgement and/or a weak attempt at evaluative comment.
Developed evaluation – supported judgement and/or reasonable evaluative comment.
Developed evaluation in context – supported judgement in context and/or reasonable evaluative comment in
context.
Need to wait to find out precisely what the new policies will be before it is possible to assess their impact on WP.
Difficult to be certain of the impact and timescale of the effects of the changes, making it likely that spending decisions
will be slower or postponed.
The policies will reduce consumer spending but to what extent will this affect spending on the products WP supply?
Depends, for example, on income elasticity of demand (impact of increase in income tax)
Only public sector workers affected by pay restrictions, WP is in the private sector so its costs won’t be directly
affected.
WP already offers training opportunities so new tax on companies not offering training should not impact WP.
The time taken for effects of changes to operate is uncertain, making it difficult to make an immediate assessment of
the likely impact on WP.