03 22 1-S2.0-S1364032122000569-Main
03 22 1-S2.0-S1364032122000569-Main
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Keywords: The current trend indicates that energy demand and supply will eventually be controlled by autonomous soft
Data-driven probabilistic machine learning ware that optimizes decision-making and energy distribution operations. New state-of-the-art machine learning
Energy distribution (ML) technologies are integral in optimizing decision-making in energy distribution networks and systems. This
Discovery and design of energy materials
study was conducted on data-driven probabilistic ML techniques and their real-time applications to smart energy
Big data analytics and smart grid
systems and networks to highlight the urgency of this area of research. This study focused on two key areas: i) the
Strategic energy planning and smart
manufacturing use of ML in core energy technologies and ii) the use cases of ML for energy distribution utilities. The core energy
Energy demand-side response technologies include the use of ML in advanced energy materials, energy systems and storage devices, energy
efficiency, smart energy material manufacturing in the smart grid paradigm, strategic energy planning, inte
gration of renewable energy, and big data analytics in the smart grid environment. The investigated ML area in
energy distribution systems includes energy consumption and price forecasting, the merit order of energy price
forecasting, and the consumer lifetime value. Cybersecurity topics for power delivery and utilization, grid edge
systems and distributed energy resources, power transmission, and distribution systems are also briefly studied.
The primary goal of this work was to identify common issues useful in future studies on ML for smooth energy
distribution operations. This study was concluded with many energy perspectives on significant opportunities
and challenges. It is noted that if the smart ML automation is used in its targeting energy systems, the utility
sector and energy industry could potentially save from $237 billion up to $813 billion.
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: [email protected], [email protected] (T. Ahmad).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112128
Received 23 March 2021; Received in revised form 5 December 2021; Accepted 10 January 2022
Available online 5 March 2022
1364-0321/© 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
the implementation of smart grids. sustainable future in Sect. 6. Recent progress on properties and discov
The aim and objective of this study: Right now, ML is considered a “hot ery of ML is described in Sect. 7. Finally, Sect. 8 concluded the con
topic” in a variety of research fields, and it is currently the most rapidly ducted study.
developing sector in high-tech. Data processing and interpretation are Fig. 1 shows the results of an analysis of search queries on ML in the
becoming increasingly important, even for engineers, due to energy subject area, article type, and area of research in engineering and energy
digitalization. Smart grids are a term used to describe various new data- distribution. The analysis is divided into three major parts: including i)
based services in renewable energy supply, marketing, storage, and document by subject area on ML models (e.g., published research arti
usage. This study covers recent advances and fundamental ML tech cles in all areas of research but with the use of ML models), ii) document
niques in energy distribution. ML assists in the fast and efficient pro by subject area on ML in engineering (e.g., published research articles in
cessing of this data in energy distribution (e.g., the energy distribution is the engineering field); iii) and document by subject area on ML in en
the last stage of energy delivery, it carries out the energy from trans gineering and energy (e.g., published research articles in the engineer
mission systems, conventional grid or smart grid infrastructure, indi ing field, particularly in energy). Overall, the United States is leading in
vidual consumers, transmission and distribution infrastructure, energy publishing research articles in all fields. China is number one in the
devices and materials, big data analytics, etc.). To start, we identify the World for publishing research articles in the engineering and energy
numerous potential challenges that ML tries to solve, review recent fields. Fig. 1 shows the data clusters result from Scopus.
advances in the field, and analyze ML’s effect on the energy sector. The
introduction of different ML model classes to solve such complex
problems is briefly examined. Eight various aspects of ML in core energy 1.1. Energy conversation: moving 100% towards clean and renewable
technologies are discussed. Five use cases of ML in energy distribution energy
are briefly covered. The used software for ML models in energy distri
bution, challenges, ML opportunities towards a smart and sustainable Globally, a total of 376 TW-hours (TWh) of renewable energy was
future, and recent progress on discovery and properties of ML models produced in 2018, a rise of 6.1% relative to the previous year (2017) [8].
aim to strengthen the core theme of this study. Wind and solar production rose by 11% and 28%, respectively, in 2018
The Framework and Structure of this Study: The description of the [8]. In 2018, Asia accounted for much of the increase in renewable
performed study has been arranged into eight sections. The paper opens energy production, increasing generation by a total of 219 TWh. Asia’s
with a general introduction of the study, including four subsections. The volume of world renewable generation also rose, increasing to 40% of
process of energy conversion (supporting shift towards 100% renewable overall renewable generation. North America and Europe together hold
energy) is discussed in the first subsection. The main idea and concept of 40% of the shares, led by Eurasia (5%) and South America (12%) [8].
ML, historical overview of ML methods, list of ML models and their The United States’ clean energy initiative is becoming more asser
usage in the smart energy systems, as well as the role of ML in the dis tive: more groups target a rise in renewable energy use and carbon
tribution of energy are described in Sects. 1.2 to 1.5, respectively. Then, emissions decrease [9]. Many states have recently declared a target to
Sect. 2 follows the core concept of energy technologies using ML, which increase their current renewable portfolio requirements to incorporate a
discusses the use of ML in various areas. The use of ML for energy dis 100% renewable energy standard (e.g., New Mexico, Washington,
tribution utilities is elaborated in Sect. 3, with its five subsections Nevada, and Colorado) [10]. A rising number of power companies are
dedicated to accurate energy price forecasting, keeping the merit order now making enormous commitments to reduce greenhouse emissions
of accurate energy prices, predicting consumer life values, probability and increase sustainable energy usage [11]. At least ten publicly listed
assessment of winning consumers, and making good offers to the energy utility companies have declared 100% decarbonization targets, and a
consumers. Sect. 4 highlights various uses of ML tools for energy dis large portion of these utilities have established goals to minimize carbon
tribution systems and introduces different software used by organiza
tions that deal with ML techniques. Sect. 5 describes the analysis of the
existing challenges of ML in the context of energy distribution systems.
We then go on to identify ML opportunities towards a smart and
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 1. ML search results in engineering and energy distribution were examined in terms of subject, article type, and research area.
emissions by much more than 80% below 2005 levels by 2050 [12]. reducing carbon emissions that is becoming a bigger priority today. The
Fig. 2 demonstrates1 the proportion of the various renewable energy United States Department of Energy (DOE) collaborated with Interna
sources in overall final energy use worldwide in 2010 as well as for 2030 tional Business Machines (IBM) to create a Watt-Sun software, which
with the additional increase arising from the renewable energy map measures vast quantities of weather data obtained from a large range of
(REmap) opportunities [13]. The primary source of green energies data sources and sites [16].
would be bioenergy, which can produce both heat and power and Another key advantage of moving 100% towards clean, renewable
vehicle fuels. By 20% of renewable energy usage in REmap 2030, many energy is the energy transition process will generate additional 11
natural resources of liquid, solid, and gaseous biomass constitute 61% of million jobs in the energy sector by 2050 (see Fig. 3). The transformation
the total [13]. However, as previously reported, most of the transition will massively improve overall jobs in the energy sector by proactive
would be the move from conventional to modern technologies and fuels policies. The change to green energy sources would produce more en
[14]. By 2030, REmap strategies would boost both the total volume and ergy employment than the fossil fuel industry would lose. The renewable
share of wind power usage, while wind power deployment would sur energy map case will lead to a loss of 7.4 million workers from fossil
pass hydropower. Solar-PV will make up a significant portion of overall fuels by 2050, with a net increase of 11.6 million jobs generated by 19
power production as well. Though all REmap strategies are deployed, million new jobs for renewables, energy conservation, grid improve
solar thermal heat can produce almost ten times more electricity than ment, and energy flexibility. Education and training policies would
today’s building and industrial sectors [13]. require the expertise and value-creating capabilities of these industries
There is enormous potential for the usage of ML for power companies to fulfill the needs for the human capital of renewable energies and
and investors to deploy more reliable and profitable processes that energy-efficient industries in the rapid growth process. A change that
improve return on investment (ROI) and help the energy transition [15]. would lead to just and fair social and economic effects will prevent
Although there are still various implementations of ML, it can speed up resistance. One of the most significant possible gains is to transform the
the phase of positive transition in the energy industry and business socioeconomic environment.
Countries are just starting to realize the promise that ML brings and
are integrating them into their policies. For example, China (adopting a
nationwide smart grid using the current integrated technologies in AI),
1
Renewables: RISE Regulatory Environment, which countries have an Australia (spending $25 million on ML and heading out to focus on
enabling environment for investment in renewable energy? 25 Jun 2017, https energy in comparison to other countries), the United Kingdom (spending
://www.seforall.org/data-stories/renewables-rise-regulatory-environment.
$119 million into the ML and robotics development programs in extreme
Accessed: 03/12/2021.
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 2. An overview of global renewable energy usage in 2010 and the renewable energy map 2030 projections are divided into technologies and sectors.
climates, for application on ML and robotics innovations that are widely execute the algorithms, compare the outcome with the desired re
utilized in different conditions like offshore gas and oil fields), Italy sults it could have generated, and make changes to the algorithm’s
(establishing 41 million smart meters for a project that began in 2001. weights and prejudices as needed, repeating the process before the
Consequently, Italy seems to have the most developed smart grid in algorithm returns the right or accurate answer most of the time.
the country), and the United State (the energy department proposed $30 4) Improving and using the model: Finally, the method is used with
million in support for ML) spending much to incorporate the ML tech updated information and, if possible, to see if it becomes more ac
nologies in the energy industry.2 Also, large energy companies (e.g., curate and more effective over time. New data will come from
ABB, Shell, Exxon Mobil, British Petroleum (BP), VIA, Stem, Pranav, wherever the problem to be solved calls for it.
Schneider Electric, Google, and DeepMind, etc.) are focusing on ML
models. For example, integration between an ML technique and a major The ML models fall into four main classes, including i) supervised
hydroelectric utility resulted in a 10% reduction in regular maintenance ML; ii) unsupervised ML; iii) semi-supervised ML, and iv) reinforcement
costs and an improvement of 2% in ABB company output.2 BP company ML. Table 1 shows a detailed overview and class functions of probabi
used an amazon cloud storage system was built with lubricant enterprise listic ML models in energy distribution. Further, detailed analysis of
planning applications, resulting in a 40% quicker response time.2 different machine models, main categories/subcategories, and real-time
implementation with codes are given in Ref. [19].
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
availability; representative ML techniques include deep learning, rein memory cells that can keep valuable information for the long term. It
forcement learning, decision trees, and support vector machine (SVM)— shows greater efficiency in dealing with load based on long-term de
the history of ML from 1957 to today as seen in Fig. 4 (right side). In the pendencies, high volatility, and uncertainties [24,25]. Fully Bayesian
energy industry, the word ML is commonly used in conjunction with AI inference on the other hand can be used to model selection choosing
and is significant. On the other side, ML and AI are two separate entities both predictive and evidence frameworks. In this regard, results from
because ML covers a portion or part of AI, but not all of it. some studies have proved that the evidence framework outperforms the
predictive method, which shows data overfitting [26].
The probabilistic ML models for smart energy systems also include
1.4. List of machine learning models and their usage in smart energy
Binary and Bernoulli distributions, Multinomial and Categorical distri
system
butions, and Univariate Gaussian distribution as described in Table 1.
The binomial distribution is a probability distribution that summarizes the
Several ML models listed in Table 1 are vastly used in smart energy
likelihood for a particular value among one or two independent values
systems. Here we will briefly elaborate on each model in detail.
under a given set of parameters. Binary and Bernoulli distribution models
Supervised ML, Unsupervised, and Reinforcement Machine learning: In
have played a key role in the probability distribution of the smart energy
the context of ML techniques, these terms are brought up with different
power system. Researchers have adopted them for the Plug-in Electric
definitions according to their use in different areas.
vehicle PEV model to determine the probability distribution of EV
Supervised learning: It has got much attention in image classification,
charging patterns at different times of use [27,28]. Recently, most
speech recognition, and machine translation. Power systems and smart
studies have adopted grey Bernoulli models to reduce randomness and
energy systems play one of the key roles in data and load forecasting by
uncertainty in the energy systems; hence, making predictions requires
providing input/output pairs to the ML algorithm. The ML algorithms do
fewer operational data and analysis, especially in predicting the
a function mapping on those pairs of input to their desired output which
long-term development trend over data [29].
is also termed as a regression process. The key example is supervised
Logistic Regression: One kind of supervised ML used to model condi
vector machines (SVM) learning models used to analyze the electricity
tional probability. It is a univariate model, but it can be multiclass lo
data generated by distributed generation and conventional generators
gistic regression. At the multi-stage decision process, the decision tree
[21].
method has been commonly adopted to make a binary decision at each
Unsupervised learning only requires feeding input into the ML algo
stage. Logistic regression, binomial and multivariate regressions
rithm without any corresponding output (no dependency on output).
brought different applications for smart energy system prediction such
Here, the clustering-based technique clusters the data into similar
as power black outage prediction, load forecasting, etc. [30].
groups to hunt for hidden data groups or patterns of data. Grid-based
Common Univariate Distribution (CMD): CMD in ML is usually dis
clustering for energy systems can be incorporated for optimal energy
cussed separately by probability studies. Some of them are Student t
distribution from the nodes. This energy clustering ensures the fast
distribution, Beta distribution, Cauchy distribution, Gamma distribu
processing of unsupervised electricity data [22].
tion, Laplace distribution. The beta distribution is often proposed in PV
Reinforcement learning RL: RL doesn’t operate over a fixed data set
irradiance and Wind speed calculation and forecasting by calculating its
and has gained considerable interest in the energy domain. In the smart
alpha and beta distribution [31]. Cauchy distribution is widely used in
energy domain, some studies have compared the RL approach with the
power system harmonic assessment, prediction-based models, wind
Model predictive control (MPC) method for uncertainty and forecasting;
power uncertainty calculation, along with the real-time dispatch of wind
however, increasing complexities in the power system due to integration
farms [32]. Weibull and Gamma distribution are also some of the methods
of renewable energies, has resulted in power system security along with
commonly used for wind speed calculation in distributed generations
bringing more uncertainties. RL did great in dealing with these smart
(DGs).
energies based problems due to its sequential decision-making power
Optimization Algorithms: Power system, in general, offers a variety of
taking account of risk measures and uncertainties [23].
optimization technique for heterogeneous problems such as non-linear,
Bayes Concept ML learning: Bayes theorem is a concept in the applied
large-scale, subject to uncertainties, discrete and continuous. There are
ML which provides the relationship between data and model. Bayesian
certain optimization methods used in the modern power system which
methods can quantify that uncertainty, and deep learning models follow
are addressed and mentioned by our study in Table 1. Those are; First-
the Bayesian paradigm. In terms of smart power systems, the Bayesian
order and Second-order methods, Stochastic gradient descent, Con
methods could be used to predict net load forecasting. The aggregated
strained optimization, proximal Gradient method, Bound optimization,
net load forecasting in the smart energy power systems can be achieved
and Derivative and blackbox free optimization. The first-order optimi
by combining Bayesian theory and deep (LSTM) long short-term mem
zation method is often used to categorize numerical optimization
ory. LSTM is a recurrent neural network specially designed containing
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T. Ahmad et al.
Table 1
An overview and classes functions of probabilistic ML models in energy distribution.
Types of ML in energy distribution
optimization
Information theory
Entropy Relative entropy
Entropy for discrete Joint entropy Cross entropy Conditional entropy Perplexity Differential entropy for Forward vs. reverse KL divergence KL divergence and
random parameters continuous random KL between two MLE, and Non-
parameters Gaussians negativity of KL
Bayesian statistics
Conjugate priors Non-informative priors
The beta-binomial The multivariate The Dirichlet- Beyond conjugate The Gaussian- Jeffreys priors Reference priors Invariant priors –
algorithm Gaussian-Gaussian multinomial algorithm priors Gaussian algorithm
Adversarial neural networks Solving different discriminative vision tasks with Neural network basics
CNNs
Whitebox gradient- Defenses based on Blackbox gradient-free Deep dream and Real-world Objective detection and Human pose Convolution in 1d and Boundary strides and
based attacks robust optimization attacks neural style transfer adversarial attacks image tagging estimation and image 2d, and convolution as conditions, pooling
segmentation matrix-vector layers, and
multiplication normalization layers
Neural networks for sequences
Recurrent neural networks 1d CNNs Transformers Efficient transformers
Vec2Seq sequence Seq2Vec sequence Backpropagation through 1d CNNs for sequence Self-attention, RNNs and CNNs, Low-rank and kernel Recurrence and Fixed non-learnable
generation classification time, gating, and long- classification and positional encoding, Comparing transformers methods, and memory methods localized attention
Clustering
Hierarchical K means clustering Clustering using mixture models Spectral clustering Biclustering
agglomerative The K-means++ Vector quantization Mixtures of Mixtures of Gaussians Laplacians encode the Normalized cuts Nested partition Basic biclustering
clustering algorithm, and the K- Bernoullis clustering for models
medoids algorithm eigenvectors
Recommender systems
Explicit feedback Implicit feedback Leveraging side Exploration- –
Collaborating Autoencoders Matrix factorization Bayesian Factorization Neural matrix information exploitation tradeoff
filtering personalized ranking machines factorization
Graph embeddings
Fig. 4. A new AI generation: a technology perspective for ML application to smart energy and control systems and the evolution of ML from 1957 to today [20].
methods using a first derivative algorithm. The second-order method [41], e) data updating, and so on. Many reasons can be attributed to the
also called the Newton method is an algorithm that uses the second growing interest in ML: 1) better computation power [42]; ii) hybrid
derivative in a scalar case. These optimizations play a vital role in the transactional/analytical processing systems and big data [43], and iii)
optimal power flow (OPF) problem of the energy power system. OPF is advanced and new ML techniques [15]. How can ML help the energy in
an optimization tool used for power system operation, analysis, and dustry? Technology developments have enabled us to leverage the
energy management. Linear programming, Mixed-integer linear pro following approach in the energy industry: for example, i) ML and grid
gramming, KKT conditions, and Quadratic programming are all bringing management [44]; ii) solving demand response [45,46]; iii) predictive
the application to energy and smart grid system in a variety of ways that maintenance [47]; iv) energy source exploration [48]; v) save costs
include but are not limited to generation and expansion planning of when reducing electricity use [49]; and so on. Table 2 shows ML’s high
power systems, operation of different kinds of conventional and modern benefits and low complexity use case in core energy distribution func
power system, optimal power flow modeling and heuristic techniques, tion and real-time examples.
demand response and risk, uncertainty measures [33,34]. Pervasive sensing empowers extensive data, making it easier to uti
Bayes decision theory uses the Bayes theorem to find the conditional lize ML-related approaches [52]. In this scenario, statistical
probabilities. It is based on tradeoff quantification among various de techniques-based ML algorithms may rapidly identify failure sensors and
cisions based on Bayes theorem probability and the cost associated with extract their data from analytics. Fig. 5 (a) illustrates a primary grid
the probability. It deals with classification problems, ROC curves, connected with microgrids (also known as “dispatchable electricity re
probability predictions, Markov decision process, Thompson samplings, sources”). Energy production plants (renewable, conventional, etc.),
etc. In modern energy systems, including various kinds of renewable power transmission lines, and power distribution networks are
energy resources, the degree of uncertainty emerges as a huge problem. constantly regulated by utilizing cutting-edge technology such as ML
Bayesian decision theories stand out to effectively tackle the degree of models. Using the base stations in urban areas, sensor data can be
uncertainties [35]. transmitted via cellular communication networks. In certain rural pla
Deep Neural Networks: In the Smart grid and energy systems, the ces, satellites or LoRa could transmit sensor data.
energy load forecasting and uncertainty brought by distributed gener Further, the sensor data is sent to the supervisory control and data
ations remains a discussing topic for researchers. Deep neural network acquisition system so that it can remotely track, automate the whole
(DNN) consists of many ML-based methods to handle energy load and network, preserve network reliability, create alerts, and evaluate
uncertainty problems differently. Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), network topology. For billing purposes, the metering in residential,
Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and some other methods (refer to commercial, and manufacturing regions sends electricity usage and
Table 1) have done a great job in dealing with the mentioned problems production data to the utility [53]. Additional data is frequently
in modern energy systems [36]. required to control the highly intermittent output of renewable energy.
This information is forwarded to the demand response unit to better
1.5. How is ML changing energy distribution? manage demand and supply. The processing and storage of sensor data
are important for sensors to gather and report their findings to analytics
In reality, renewable energy utilities (e.g., solar, wind, nuclear, and tools. Fig. 5 (b) demonstrates the deployment of the sensors on distri
hydro) have significantly gained from the recent increase in powerful AI, bution lines [54], transmission lines, transformers, underground cables
ML predictive models, and data science [37]. The predictive models [55], smart meters, circuit breakers, protective relays [56], etc., in a
have reduced their expenses, better forecast potential occurrences, and substation. In addition, a detailed analysis of pervasive sensing, ML in
maximized their portfolio’s return. ML models perform the different energy systems, and cyber-enabled grids is presented by Philip et al.
kinds of tasks in energy applications, for example, a) data storing [38], [52].
b) visualizing the data [39], c) data analysis [40], d) capturing data
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 5. Pervasive sensing (a) in the power grid and (b) in the substation side [52].
Table 3
ML technologies in core functions and technical use-cases in energy distribution.
Sr. Description Power transmission and Energy services and supply Generation, exploration, and Energy trading core use
# distribution use cases in core production core use cases cases
areas
instead of more costly computational, experimental, or human-driven must include adequate funding to meet their commitments. In summary,
approaches [62,63]. As a consequence, ML models make it possible to: a substantial increase in investment is expected in ML-enabled materials
science worldwide. Experimentalists, ML researchers, and algorithm
1) Providing fast forecasts of characteristics and novel materials to programmers can work together to help with troubleshooting more
speed up the discovery of new materials. quickly [64]. The training samples or, more generally, computed—are
2) At greater time/length scales, precise simulations of complex mate obtained in the second step. Featurization is converting experimental
rials are feasible. data into numerical properties (usually in the form of tensors or vectors)
3) Further, it enhances the interpretation and characterization. that can be used to differentiate between various materials [7].
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 6. A framework for developing ML models for energy materials. This workflow consists of five major steps: defining an objective, data processing, data quality
improvement, model creation, and implementation [61].
large number of electrochemical storage solutions) [65], hydrogen (e.g., flexible storage availability, resulting in improved demand for both the
excess energy production is converted into hydrogen via electrolysis and consumer and the grid. Since renewable energy sources are intermittent,
stored) [66], thermal (e.g., captured cold and heat to create on energy ML may help address the problem of catching the intermittent variations
offset or demand needs) [67], mechanical storage (e.g., gravitational of generation phases.
energy, harness kinetic energy or other innovative technologies) [68], To conclude, the demand for ML in energy storage is now greater
and pumped hydropower (e.g., using water to build large-scale energy than ever [76]. Incorporating it with energy technologies would affect
reservoirs) [70]. the planet’s future. The convergence of ML and energy storage is a
As technology advances, energy storage systems and devices with logical as well as a practical starting point. However, the system is only
increased capacity, better efficiency, longer life, and a more intelligent in its development stage in terms of the possible effect on the energy
management approach are anticipated [70]. Advanced control methods storage system. This synergy has the power to transform the environ
depend on certain indicators’ instantaneous status, so developing those ment and open up many possibilities while simultaneously enhancing
structures needs a trade-off among many parameters. ML will signifi sustainability.
cantly speed up simulations, catch dynamic structures to boost predic
tive precision and make smarter decisions based on specific data
2.3. ML tools for energy efficiency
information. Fig. 7(a) demonstrates the use of ML in different energy
storage devices and systems. Primus Power,3 a pioneer in low-cost,
ML’s energy effect will rapidly become unsustainable unless new
grid-scale electrical energy storage systems, has developed a flexible,
methods are created. But how can we allow the responsible use of it?
stable distributed flow battery device that can be used for different
Manufacturers rapidly utilize ML to increase throughput and reduce
storage applications (see Fig. 7 (b)). Fig. 7 (c) represents the overall
energy usage (see Table 4). The EU-funded FUDIPO initiative is making
distributed concepts of ML in advanced energy systems. It is divided into
substantial progress in incorporating ML into various critical process
three main classes including: 1) energy domain [71]; 2) energy com
sectors on a broad scale to gain significant energy and resource savings
ponents [72]; and 3) energy applications [73,74]. Saqib et al. [75] have
[77]. An example of the energy performance of active buildings con
presented a detailed analysis of these classes. Continuing to grow the
tracting techniques toward resilience and smart buildings is visualized
percentage of renewable energy providing electricity to the grid as part
in Fig. 8. 3As an electrification-focused on basic demand response to
of the energy transition phase ensures that the amount of produced
differential pricing is often the best approach to a thriving business
power can be impacted by conditions, making it harder to monitor. A
scenario, ML can play a significant role as aggregator sites of implicit
smart grid must be built and combined with energy storage technologies
demand response in buildings. There is a lot of ML research that aims to
to effectively control and dispatch electricity to enhance grid reliability
improve predictive algorithm accuracy, but scientists and engineers are
and renewable energy usage. The bulk of this can be done by storing
recently getting more active in improving energy efficiency.
excess wind and solar resources in an energy storage facility. Such de
Energy4 use impacts millions of schools, households, hospitals, and
vices serve various industrial and corporate purposes, including peak
industrial facilities, each imposing its energy conversion strategies [78].
shaving, contract capacity optimization, and backup control. This form
Consumers in the US spend billions of dollars/years on energy conser
of energy conservation is commonly recognized as the most adaptable
vation hoping that these investments would compensate for themselves
green energy approach possible (see Fig. 7 (d)).
by lower electricity prices in the future [80]. Many studies have been
ML algorithms will benefit the energy storage industry greatly. ML-
conducted on energy efficiency optimization algorithms so far. The most
enabled energy storage can assist in the processing and reviewing data
prominent categories include: i) simulation-based optimization methods
and provide insights into maximizing power consumption and fore
[81], and ii) surrogate-based optimization methods [82]. In the
casting future faults by simulations. Incorporating battery-based intel
simulation-based optimization method, the objective function (e.g.,
ligent storage into a renewable energy system almost inevitably
energy usage as well as thermal comfort) is controlled by an optimiza
improves the economic benefit. ML-enabled storage can allow real-time
tion method, and the decision parameters are controlled by an optimi
zation tool to develop the objective function iteratively. There are
3
Roberta D. Angiolella, Active building Energy Performance Contracting
4
(AEPC) models towards smart flexible buildings, https://www.construction21. Jim Kring, Grid-Scale Energy Storage Powered by LabVIEW, https://blog.
org/articles/h/active-building-energy-performance-contracting-aepc-models- jki.net/news/grid-scale-energy-storage-powered-by-labview, Accessed: 03/12/
towards-smart-flexible-buildings.html. (Accessed: 03/12/2021). 2021.
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 7. (a) ML in energy storage devices [68]; (b) grid-scale energy storage solutions [75]; (c) use of ML in advance energy systems; (d) real-time energy storage
applications.
Table 4
ML designed to help record huge improvements across the value chain in the energy industry [187].
Sr. Description Applicable Produce Project Provide Promote
# technologies
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 8. Techniques for active building energy performance contracting in the direction of smart, flexible buildings.
different types of simulation-based optimization methods including: i) Fig. 9). It is an improvement over the 2017 report, which reported that
optimization methods [83]; ii) derivative-free methods; iii) annual carbon dioxide emissions would be higher in 2050, showing that
gradient-based methods; iv) global search (meta-heuristic) methods; v) nationally determined contributions and the steadily improving cost and
local search methods; vi) population-based methods; and vii) single efficiency of renewable energies affect long-term energy planning and
solution-based methods. Surrogate-based optimization has a lot of po scenarios. Severe additional cuts, furthermore, are required. Yearly
tentials, particularly for high computational systems. However, the few energy-related carbon dioxide emissions would also decrease by 2050
experiments that have been performed so far have not looked at how to from 35 gigatons (in the comparison case) to 9.7 gigatons, reducing even
build surrogate models effectively, have neither they thoroughly more than 70%, to reach a climate target of restricting global warming
exploited their benefits in terms of facilitating optimizing improve to 2 ◦ C [17].
ments. The usage of both surrogate-based and simulation-based opti According to international renewable energy agencies’ study, energy
mization approaches in buildings is still a hot topic of research. Both conservation and green energies, along with deep electrification of end-
approaches, though, have a high computational cost when searching for uses, will provide over 90% of the required reduction relating to energy
near-optimal solutions.5 carbon dioxide emissions. For particular production processes, pollu
According to the reference case (which considers existing and ex tion, fossil fuel switching (to natural gas) and carbon capture, and
pected policies, like nationally determined contributions), energy- sequestration in manufacturing can be used to make up the difference.
related carbon dioxide emissions will rise slightly per year until 2040, Nuclear power generation will remain unchanged from 2016. Simulta
then drop slightly by 2050 to approximately match current levels (see neously, by 2050, substantial efforts must be made to cut carbon emis
sions from industrial processes and land use to less than zero. Without
success in those areas, the temperature target will not be met. ML can
help in this regard. ML improve the efficiency of power system infra
structure, helping to integrate the renewable energy with the smart grid,
improving the efficiency of conventional power plants through auto
mation of power grid infrastructure, and enhancing the performance of
buildings, transport, district heat, and industrial sector, which are the
key part of energy distribution.
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 10. ML for (a) synergies between developments for demand-side management integration [87]; (b) 40% energy demand reduction using AI [87]; (c) multi-agent
based demand-response [88]; (d) in the sustainable development scenario, from 2018 to 2040, there is a huge potential for demand response.7
g., energy-as-a-service); and vi) system operations (e.g., renewable includes real-time energy pricing, rates based on time of use, and
power production and advanced prediction of parameters). critical-peak pricing. The incentive-based energy demand response in
According to a new study, the numbers of “connected homes” or cludes emergency energy demand response programs, control of the
“smart homes” increased by 31% from 17 million to 29 million in the direct load, ancillary market services programs, curtailable/interrup
three years between 2015 and 2017, reflecting a compound annual tible rates, capacity market arrangements and programs, and buyback
growth rate of 31% [87]. In a pilot project in Sweden that used market programs/demand bidding [91].
mechanisms and ML models for demand response, peak energy usage There are different kinds of demand response challenges including: i)
fell from 23% to 19% of overall electricity demand; 17% of peak demand advanced metering investment (e.g., meters that record consumer en
was moved to non-peak hours.6 A 1% decrease in power prices for a ergy usage based on time-of-day or more regular billing blocks are
utility result in a 0.66% decrease in peak demand for that system on required for all time-based rates); ii) customer desire/inertia for
average.6 According to the American Council for an Energy-Efficient simplicity (e.g., most consumers (mainly residential consumers) would
Economic, demand-response programs are being used to reduce power be suspicious of programs that involve initiative, such as when the
demands by 10% or more. Fig. 10(b) explains the energy reduction for program’s proposed framework is not transparent); iii) reduction in
cooling using AI-enabled ML models. Con Edison’s Community Power demand (e.g., the ability to sell gaming participants can provide or state
Pilot Project provides solar electricity at a reduced cost to 350 New York that they would reduce as they have already shut down energy re
City Housing Authority households. Customers could save 15% on their quirements for the day is one with the main problems of most assessment
utility bills, or about USD 80. A detailed analysis of these facts and approaches); iv) voluntary and mandatory participation price-based
figures using AI-enabled ML in demand is given in Ref. [87]. programs (e.g., experience shows that the degree of consumer engage
Fig. 10(c) demonstrates the demand response structure for multi- ment and overall load declines is moderate where the participation in
agent coordination [88]. Buildings can be seen exchanging informa price-based services were voluntary); v) fair time-based and simple
tion with the electricity grid, as their price and demand of electricity, pricing (e.g., customers informed of everyday pricing and market in
while providing some kind (cooperative or competitive) dynamical creases by different methods achieve better results and are comfortable
communication and/or sharing of information between them. Fig. 10(d) with the programs); vi) peak load demand during off-peak hours (e.g., in
visualizes the sustainable development scenario; from 2018 to 2040, the demand response), the key strategy is to change demand throughout
there is a potential for demand response. Despite its tremendous po peak load hours or high energy rates. There could be a scenario when a
tential, demand-side resilience success is erratic across the world. large number of consumers are likely to change their energy demand in
Further, there are two main demand-response groups, including i) response to the energy price, contributing the grid to reliability issues);
price-based energy demand response [89]; and ii) incentive-based en and vii) the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources (e.g., the
ergy demand response [90]. Price-based energy demand response renewable energy sources are highly unpredictable and intermittent.
Renewable energy sources (e.g., solar and wind) will improve their
participation in profitable electricity markets by joining demand
6
IEA, Demand Response, https://www.iea.org/reports/demand-response, response by a virtual power plant) [91].
Accessed: 03/12/2021.
7
IEA, Demand Response, https://www.iea.org/reports/demand-response,
Accessed: 03/12/2021.
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
2.5. ML in smart manufacturing in the smart grid paradigm reliability and performance, and boost overall productivity [74]. Fig. 11
(a) depicts the development of smart manufacturing. ML is used to
The modern technological revolution is known as Industry 4.0 [92]. stimulate autonomous smart manufacturing schemes, in which key
A large amount of data is produced by connecting any machine and performance indicators and adaptive specifications are smart
operation to the internet using network sensors. ML is used to analyze manufacturing, and input data framework is the key objective. The au
produced valuable information and data about smart manufacturing. thors argue that conventional manufacturing processes in transition can
Different kinds of ML models are used in smart manufacturing in the understand specific criteria from four different viewpoints: objective,
smart grid paradigm. The most prominent models include: 1) Bayesian practical requirements, technical requirements, standards, and market
networks [93]; 2) k-nearest neighbors [94]; 3) SVM [95,96]; 4) requirements. Fig. 11(b) depicts the goals and conditions of smart
instance-based learning [97]; 5) ensemble methods [98]; 6) artificial manufacturing using ML [107]. The key objective of smart
neural networks [99]; 7) multiple logistic regression [100]; 8) decision manufacturing in the energy sector includes i) autonomous lean oper
tree [101]; 9) gradient boosted [102]; 10) self-organizing map [103]; ation (e.g., the primary goal of creating autonomous lean smart
11) k-means [104]; 12) bag of words; 13) random forest [105]; 14) manufacturing is to improve the production system’s performance and
locally weighted learning; and 15) additive models [106]. autonomy); ii) sustainable value added (e.g., the goal is primarily con
The development of smart manufacturing is linked to technical ad cerned with smart manufacturing’s long-term value and viability of
vancements and the changing needs of business models and stake smart devices); and iii) win-win partnership (e.g., the ultimate goal of
holders. Smart energy manufacturing systems collect real-time energy smart manufacturing in autonomous service environments is to produce
consumption data, improve decision-making accuracy, increase plant continuous and better communication in which the whole smart
Fig. 11. ML in smart manufacturing (a) the advancement of intelligent manufacturing systems; (b) requirements and objectives of smart manufacturing [107]; (c)
industrial AI architecture [106]; (d) industrial ML structure [106].
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
manufacturing lifecycle is more successful than the number of its indi grid service challenging. They become energy-efficient and reliable as
vidual elements). Smart manufacturing’s ultimate goal in autonomous ML analyzes the large amounts of data obtained from their processes
service environments are to produce continuous and better communi daily, elevating the ML in energy design management and market. For
cation in which the whole smart manufacturing life cycle is more suc example, Table 6 demonstrates that ML transforms the customer and
cessful than the number of its different pieces or elements of different operations services using ML models. It is further shown that the new
smart energy devices. No wonder integrating and bridging a variety of investment in distributed energy generation by 2040 would be $10.4
emerging technology helps smart manufacturing accomplish autono Trillion [113–115]. The total investment in consumer empowerment,
mous lean operations and long-term value-added. Industry 4.0 has three grid modernization, and industrial size, and energy internet is noted 700
key dimensions: it promotes the computerization or digitization of Million, $400 Billion, and $14 Trillion, respectively [113–115]. The ML
manufacturing industries, reduces delivery times, provides greater in the energy management industry is expected to rise at a 19.8%
reliability, adapts to consumer needs with limited batch sizes, and ex compound annual growth rate from $4439.1 million in 2018 to $12,
pands downstream service offerings. 200.9 million in 2024, up from $4439.1 million in2018.9 In 2018, the
Fig. 11(c) demonstrates the ML structure in the industrial sector. The utility group led the industry by the end customer, as ML technologies
first layer, which starts at the bottom and works its way up, involves were introduced by several organizations, including Duke Energy Cor
gathering information from the different energy systems devices. Data poration and Dominion Energy Inc., to fill the difference between power
from manufacturing equipment, data about the duration/summation/ demand and supply.
faults of output, and data knowledge about the logistics procedure are Incorporating the internet of things (IoT) in energy management is
essential to building a well-performing and robust industrial ML the most important development in the ML in the energy industry. IoT
framework. The different hardware components used to acquire the enables remote access, program automation, data analytics, and intel
data, such as actuators, sensors, and embedded ML units, cannot be ligent tracking [116]. It employs smart meters and sensors mounted in
ignored. The next layer creates coordination links between industry both assembly lines and equipment to notify consumers of the energy
sectors and ensures effective data acquisition. It is also in charge of used volume. Most utilities believe ML would have a significant effect on
storing the data gathered by the first tier, securing it with the right their businesses, but they have yet to incorporate it into their key stra
software and procedures, and extracting useful functionality from a pre- tegies. The smart grid may be improved in terms of control and per
processing method if necessary. The industrial ML architecture in formance for energy performance strategy. ML forecast load demand
Ref. [108] as six levels of the pyramid shown in Fig. 11(d). The industrial and energy supply, enabling fully automated the world’s largest thermal
sector is included in the first layer. The ML models, health, and human solar farm in California, for example, to avoid millions of dollars in
performance, the resilient factory, productive energy systems, industrial damages due to mismatches between forecasted demand and real gen
ML-based energy systems, and worry-free transportation are embedded eration [117]. Furthermore, linking small, localized networks such as
ML devices. The second layer is designed to meet the demands of In micro-grids to the cloud allows them to exchange and create data and
dustry 4.0. The third layer emphasizes the complications/challenges usage, allowing them to forecast load better. In reducing energy man
that an ML system could face. The fourth layer demonstrates how to agement expenses, trading operations can be done automatically using
construct industrial ML systems using enabling technologies. The pro ML-based algorithms [117].
gramming methods, deep learning or ML methodology, and platforms The uncertainty of the modern energy landscape poses serious
used to build the framework comprise the fifth layer. Finally, the sixth challenges for utilities and independent power producers. Traditional
layer refers to the potential effects of an AI framework. Thanasis et al. market models, which are marked by consistent supervision, vertical
[106] have been conducted a detailed study on ML in innovative integration, guaranteed long-term return on investment, and non-
manufacturing industries. intermittent generating developments, are being overwhelmed and
outpaced. New innovations in ML that are affordable, autonomous, and
2.6. ML for strategic energy planning under uncertainty digitized would take their position, requiring new business opportu
nities in the process.
Decision-makers have long been interested in energy forecasting,
management, and operation, especially regarding energy demand and 2.7. ML support for large integration of large-scale renewable energy
resource allocation [109,110]. Researchers have adopted various
decision-making techniques—and eventually implemented by manag According to a survey, renewable energy production must rise eight
ers—to assist decision-makers in selecting optimal choices, designing times larger than the fastest pace to reduce global warming or heating
energy strategies, and supporting competitive alternatives to energy in (see Table 7). The IREA claims $131tn will be required in investment in
uncertain settings [111]. Strategic energy planning aims to use the ML clean energy over three decades (see Table 8). The IREA said that im
models to increase awareness and identify the overall market needs for mediate steps are needed to respond to increasing energy demand,
incorporation into the basic and advanced energy infrastructure, as well which would entail the total expenditure of $131tn in renewables
as to reach an agreement on the best integration strategies and industry by205010. The agency IREA anticipates that the global energy con
practices focused on these strategies (see Fig. 12)8 [112]. Moreover, sumption would decrease to 4% by 2050, although the gas peak would
Table 5 shows the real-time implementation of ML models in different fall to 6% in 2025 and coal would fall to 2% by the mid-century.9 The
energy systems. increase in power consumption indicates that just over half of all energy
One of the key ML in the energy management industry drivers is AI’s used by 2050 will be renewable electricity, contrasted with 21% by
usage to improve the smart grid performance [106]. A grid is a network 2018.9 Approximately two-thirds of the energy consumed by fossil fuels
of cables, transformers, and different parts of infrastructure components have been consumed in recent decades but will be limited to 10% by
that carry energy over long distances. It may be for a whole country or a 2050.9
transcontinental grid, which distributes electricity throughout conti
nents and countries. The grid’s power comes from several resources,
including solar panel systems, fossil-fuel-based power plants, hydro 9
AI in Energy Management Market, https://www.reportlinker.com/p05
electricity plants, wind power plants, and nuclear power plants, making 842955/AI-in-Energy-Management-Market.html?utm_source=GNW, Accessed:
03/12/2021.
10
The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/mar/15/
8
EPRI Smart Grid Demonstration Initiative, https://smartgrid.epri.com/doc/ renewable-energy-growth-must-speed-up-to-meet-paris-goals-agency-says:
EPRI%20Smart%20Grid%20Demonstration%202-Year%20Update_final.pdf. Accessed: 03/12/2021.
17
T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
ML can revolutionize renewable energy: To develop a significant rise in production data, enabling ML to forecast different capacity levels,
renewable energy’s intermittent nature while maintaining the grid sta thanks to the implementation of sensor technologies [120]. More reli
bility, ML would be needed in the low-carbon transition (see Fig. 13)11 able forecasts of intermittent renewable energy over shorter timescales
[37]. enable utilities and energy investors to predict their performance better
and compete in the balancing and wholesale markets–all while avoiding
1. ML has the power to unlock the enormous green energy potential. If penalties. In the meantime, ML algorithms based on massive volumes of
organizations do not accept it, it may risk falling behind the curve. weather data will help grid operators make the most use of their power
2. ML’s strong analysis capability can boost market forecasting and system networks and utility power grids by adjusting swift power system
resources management. operations to change the climate circumstances/conditions at any time
3. ML’s automation capabilities will help organizations achieve oper [76]. Improved short-term renewable energy prediction will lead to
ational success in various ways. greater unit engagement and dispatch.
performance, improving flexibility and reducing the need for oper
The energy market is confronted with major global challenges that ational reserves. According to Brian-Case, a Chief Digital Officer at
need immediate action. Policy initiatives to a net-zero energy future, General Electric Renewable Energy, unexpected disturbances in the
like the endorsement and implementation of the Paris Agreement, energy industry will cost 3.01–8.01% of capability and USD 10 billion in
necessitate a rapid transition to a low-carbon economy [118]. As poli the annual lost-generation cost.12 ML-based algorithms analyze indus
cymakers scale up renewables and move dependence on fossil fuels, trial data to render machine health forecasts and suggest measures to
major disruptions to the energy market are anticipated [119]. Grid op increase asset quality, such as wind and solar farms.
erators, engineers, and customers are trying to harness ML as we step The challenges of implementing ML through the industry: The poor na
into the 4th Industrial Revolution, opening the way for a seamless shift ture of energy consumption data, customer regulatory, and mistrust
to more green energy [92]. The capacity of ML to have better prediction challenges could all be obstacles for the new energy technologies. There
tools enables enhanced asset management and market forecasting, is concern that is depending too heavily on ML might expose energy
although the automation technology drives operational excellence, networks to cyber-attacks in today’s information age. The hacking of 30
resulting in a strategic edge and increased efficiency for stakeholders. substations in Ukraine in 2015 served as a wake-up call, leaving 230,000
How do ML techniques transform renewable energy? ML could improve residents in the darkness for 6 h.9 One year later of this incident, a quiet
several aspects of business, from market forecasting to asset mainte more minor attack on a transmitting station in Kiev happened. Audit,
nance. Forecasting power levels has become critical to ensuring a reli data bias, and continuing algorithm testing are problems ML frame
able and productive system when growing megawatts are fed into the works must consider when planning implementations from a perfor
utility grid from intermittent variable renewable energy resources. This mance perspective [63]. Data must be extracted and rendered
is attributed to the lack of baseload production from different sources computer-readable, ensuring that accuracy is maintained from begin
like coal, which renders power grid inertia by high concentration spin ning to end. Frequent data checking is needed for trustworthy ML to
ning machineries like gas and steam turbines, while renewables take up ensure that techniques stay in effect over time and that devices do not
a larger share of the grid. Power grids would be unreliable and vulner deviate significantly from the original techniques as they learn. Skep
able to blackouts if system inertia is not present. Wind and solar gen ticism has been raised that depending too enormously on ML might
eration will now have a massive amount of wind and solar power expose energy networks to cyber-attacks. Advanced ML automation
11 12
Energy systems integration, University of Twente, https://www.utwente. Brian Case, Chief Digital Officer at GE Renewable Energy, https://www.ey.
nl/en/et/tfe/research-groups/TE/research/research/Energy_Systems_Integrat com/en_dk/power-utilities/why-artificial-intelligence-is-a-game-changer-f
ion/, Accessed: 03/12/2021. or-renewable-energy, Accessed:03/12/2021.
18
T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Table 5 Table 6
ML for smart grid paradigm in energy distribution. ML transforming the customer and operations services.
Sr. Description Main areas ML play an integral role Category %
# Improvements
1 Modeling and optimization 1) Google’s Deepmind is the leading in Increased the operational efficiency 78%
the area of modeling and optimization Reduced false positives rate 68%
in energy distribution, ii) Reduced operational cost because of process improvement 75%
reinforcement-learning algorithms are Greater regulatory/legal compliance at lower cost 70%
used for energy modeling, iii) Reduced churn 66%
probabilistic models used for solar Enhanced customer satisfaction 73%
irradiance and wind power Reduced the customer complaints 72%
forecasting, iv) IBM proposed Japan got success enhancing the turbine efficiency and reducing 20%
sophisticated energy generation and the operating and maintenance cost
weather forecasting in the United McKinsey’s UtilityX achieved replacement and maintenance cost 10–25%
States from 15 min up to 30 days in savings
advance. Billing, metering, & security 9%
2 Consumer-facing services 1) Integration of storage and Decentralized energy trading 33%
microgeneration with virtual power Carbon trading and green certificate 7%
plants, ii) smart home energy Energy gird management 8%
management, iii) ML used to identify ML opportunity and revolution
customers’ lifestyles, iv) social media New investment on distributed energy generation by 2040 $10.4 Trillion
and fintech, and v) storage or demand Consumer empowerment 700 Million
response, vi) virtual power plants (e. Grid modernization $400 Billion
g., artificial neural networks to Industrial size and energy internet $14 Trillion
decrease supply forecasting errors).
3 Investment and markets ML agents are largely used for
investment models and market industry concerning time [121]. ML’s capacity to incorporate a massive
interactions. rise in variable renewable energy into a predictable and secure grid will
4 Security and maintenance i) ML used to forecast and optimize the
maintenance efforts and schedules, ii)
be needed if the low-carbon transition accelerates.
physical and cyber security measures
to calculate the energy assets, iii) 2.8. ML for big data analytics in smart grid
previous maintenance cycles, iv)
failure modes, v) component lifetimes,
vi) outages cost to optimize
ML helps power utilities in all big data cycle steps, including col
replacement and maintenance, lecting, preserving, and retrieving different forms of data from various
timetables (e.g., used decision tree sources [122]. These include pattern, data, content, action, decision,
and artificial neural networks), vii) risk, and goal management [123]. ML algorithms improve the potential
deep learning models are used to
of IoT platforms and big data analytics to add value to both of these
identify the energy consumption trend
and flow, and viii) rendering early business segments. There are three categories of IoT data, according to
warning of disruption. the author: (1) raw information or unstructured data [84], (2) metadata
5 ML make the smart grid smarter i) Sensors and ML make by-minute [43], and (3) valued-added or transformed data [124]. ML can help
and decrease the requirement for changes to optimize production assist three of these data categories to categorize, define, and make
power utilities to add new power energy efficiency through adjustment
decisions. By 2024, the global demand for ML in IoT and big data would
plants to wind change, ii) ML-enabled
forecasting anticipates the demand surpass $24 billion. By 2024, embedded ML in the service of IoT and
and supply peaks and increase the objects would be worth $4.6 billion globally.13 Asia Pacific would lead
usages of different intermittent the overall demand for IoT, ML, and AI in big data, followed by North
renewable energy sources, iii) smart
America. By 2024, ML in industrial machines would be worth $415
wired combined with ML to enable the
real-time power system dispatching as million, with collaborative robots growing at a 42.5% compound annual
well as optimize the current building’s growth rate. ML will be a critical AI technology in realizing the full
asset portfolios and current grid loads, potential of IoT, big data, specifically in edge computing platforms.
iv) insect size robots and drones used Fig. 14(a) represents the three-basic structure of sources of data in
to forecast the power system failure
the power grid, including 1) structured data [7]; 2) unstructured data
and inspect the power system
infrastructure without interrupting [125]; and 3) semi-structured data [126]. The dimensions and format
energy generation, v) ML and smart structure varied in terms of many data sources in the smart grid. The
meter enables power utilities to offer data include the distribution stations and electrical information from
different kinds of services which based
distribution switch stations, non-electrical information like marketing,
climate conditions, energy usage, and
other factors, vi) different virtual
smart energy meters, and regional economic and meteorological data.
agents used to automate the call The processing and collection of these data are critical for power sub
centers which is based on service system operation, plant scheduling, marketing business conduct, and
history, and further ML offers different critical control equipment repair. These kinds of data come from
kind of early warning of bad debts, vii)
different energy sources, for illustrate, smart metering infrastructure,
fields workforce receive real-time
updates as enable to decrease the micro-phasor determining unit, phasor measurement users, remote ter
response-time to decrease the large minal units, smart appliances, geospatial network topology, climate
impact of outage.
13
Research and Markets, Artificial Intelligence in Big Data Analytics and IoT
systems, on the other hand, are disconnected from information tech
Markets, 2019–2024: Focus on Data Capture, Information and Decision Support
nology structures and have no network links between them, making
Services, https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/05/21/1833
them far more challenging to penetrate. In summary, with advanced 672/0/en/Artificial-Intelligence-in-Big-Data-Analytics-and-IoT-Markets-2019-
market forecasting, advanced asset control, and organizational excel 2024-Focus-on-Data-Capture-Information-and-Decision-Support-Services.html,
lence by automation, ML has revolutionized the renewable energy Accessed: 03/12/2021.
19
T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Table 7
Renewable energy map 2030, an overview of energy transaction indicators for deploying AI-enabled ML technologies [188].
Description Unit 2000 2012 Renewable Renewable Renewable Reference Compound Compound Indicator for
energy map energy map energy map case 2030 annual growth annual growth renewable
2020 2030 reference (%) rate 2012–2030 rate 2000–2012 energy map
(%/y) (%/y) 2030
Technology indicators
Pumped hydro GWe 689 1004 1350 1600 06 1508 0.6 3.2 –
Hydropower GWe 689 150 225 325 06 306 4.4 N/A –
excluding
pumped storage
Wind offshore GWe 17 06 50 231 242 68 22.5 N/A 300000 of 5
Wind onshore GWe 17 283 600 1404 56 900 9.3 26.4 MWe wind
plants
Concentered solar GWe 0 03 15 83 62 52 12.5 7.6 830 of 100 MWe
power solar plants
Ocean GWe – 01 03 09 519 02 17.3 – –
Solar photovoltaics GWe 08 100 400 1250 184 441 15.1 23.5 12.50 million of
100 kWe solar
plants
Electric vehicles Million – 0.20 25 160 133 69 45.80 N/A 10% of the total
passenger car
fleet
Biomass, EJ/year 28 27 20 12 − 58 29 − 4.3 − 0.0 –
traditional
Battery storage GWe N/A 2.0 25 150 105 73 27.1 N/A 5% of total
parameter
renewables
capacity
Biomass, advanced EJ/year – 01 04 04 88 02 8.4 10.4 270 million 5
for cooking kWth cookstoves
Number of heat Million N/A 04 15 40 58 25 13.3 N/A –
pumps
Biomass heat from EJ/year 01 03 04 14 129 06 9.8 10.2 –
cogen
Heat pump GWth N/A 50 177 474 58 300 13.3 N/A –
Biomass pellets for EJ/year 0.1 01 02 03 49 02 5.80 48.6 16 million 20
heating kWth household
boilers
Geothermal heat EJ/year 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 86 0.6 4.3 9.6 –
Biomass pellets for EJ/year 0.1 01 02 03 49 02 5.8 48.6 16 million 20
heating kWth household
boilers
Share in industry % – 01 09 99 968 03 41.8 – –
Biomass chips logs EJ/year – 05 05 06 49 04 1.0 6.4 31 million 20
for heating kWth household
buildings boilers
Share in buildings % 100 99 91 67 − 31 97 10.50 − 31 –
Biomass boilers EJ/year 04 04 05 07 0 07 3.4 − 1.0 0.7 million 1
industry MWth industrial
including biogas boilers
Solar thermal area Million 157 446 1162 4029 163 1532 13.0 11.3 –
m2
Biofuels transport Billion 18 105 214 650 127 287 10.7 15.9 15% of
liters/ worldwide
year transport fuel
consumption
Total biomass use EJ/year 43 51 61 108 37 79 4.3 1.4 20% of total
primary energy
supply
Financial indicators
Fossil fuel subsidies USD – 544 – – – – – – –
billion/
year
Net incremental USD – – – 133 – 0.9% – – –
system cost billion/
year
Subsidies need USD – 101 – 265 – 58% – – –
billion/
year
Net incremental USD – – – 265 – 1.7% – – –
investment billion/
requirements year
Regional indicators based on renewable energy map 2030
Global – modern + (%) – – – 30 – – – – –
access
(%) – 09 – 27 – 14 – – –
(continued on next page)
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Table 7 (continued )
Description Unit 2000 2012 Renewable Renewable Renewable Reference Compound Compound Indicator for
energy map energy map energy map case 2030 annual growth annual growth renewable
2020 2030 reference (%) rate 2012–2030 rate 2000–2012 energy map
(%/y) (%/y) 2030
Worldwide –
modern
renewable
energy excluding
traditional
biomass
Global – modern + (%) – – – 34 – – –
access + energy
efficiency
Global – modern + (%) – – – >36 – – – – –
access + energy
efficiency +
“renewable
energy+”
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 14. (a) Sources of data in the power grid [128], (b) electrical and non-electrical sources big datasets in the smart grid environment, (c) big data key charac
teristics of smart grid, (d) an overview of various analytics approaches and their key applications in smart grid, (e) big data pattern volume in power utilities, and (f)
world utilities spending expenditure on data analytics [129].
quality of data, methods scalability, imbalanced energy consumption models in different energy distribution sectors, and detail of each is
and climate input data, un-categorized and unsupervised data, the listed below:
limited number of labeled/supervised data, etc. Big data allows ML al
gorithms to discover finer-grained trends and render more timely and 3.1. Accurately forecast the energy prices and consumption requirement
precise forecasts than ever before; however, it often poses significant
challenges/obstacles to ML, like model scalability and distributed Consumers and companies gradually generate their electricity as
computation [132]. individual power production (using wind and solar power) becomes
more manageable and cheaper [15]. Users can generate, use, and store
3. Use cases of ML for energy distribution utilities their energy by individual power production. Based on where they
reside, they might also be willing to sell excess electricity back to the
The growth of renewables, the transition to a smarter grid, and local power utility [133]. ML can help determine the most advantageous
marketing tactics transform the electricity generation environment and period to generate, store, or sell this electricity back to the utility grid.
place stress on utilities’ profit margins. On a scale, there is a greater need When rates are low, electricity should be used or retained/stored, and
to make better decisions. To stay successful, these decisions must be when rates are high, it can be sold out to the utility grid. We may render
taken quickly. ML quickly becomes the most powerful method for even more precise hourly estimates using ML algorithms to look at past
making smarter energy distribution decisions and building stronger data, energy consumption patterns (e.g., solar and wind), and weather
consumer relationships. In this section, we will cover the use of ML forecasts. This helps individuals and businesses with electricity
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estimating the correct consumer LTV forecasts is extremely difficult. compile the data the user carries with them – such as where they reside,
Utility operators and suppliers must give greater attention to indicators what type of device they are using, search history, their browser history,
like consumer lifetime value in an open services market [141,142]. This and how often they have used the utility website – and create an accu
allows them to estimate how much each customer will pay throughout rate description of that individual as a customer. ML will then assess the
their agreement. ML does more than improve the customer lifetime probability of that individual being a consumer (recognized as scoring)
value and prediction accuracy [143]. We can use ML algorithms like and the best method for converting them into a consumer. This entails
deep artificial neural networks to determine an individual consumer’s utilizing highly targeted advertisements and providing a highly
total value by entering information like purchasing patterns, customer customized interface – for example, displaying a screenshot of a family
information, buying history, location, and payment behavior [144]. We of four on the homepage when a family of four enters or opens the
may also go a step further with ML and recommend maximizing con website.
sumer satisfaction. This may include making extremely selective deals
with related customers or using natural language processing (NLP) to
3.5. Make high-targeted offers to consumers
boost support for unhappy customers on the verge of leaving.
Customers have a variety of service suppliers in competitive elec
3.4. Forecast the probability of winning consumers tricity markets [147]. Personalized or power utilities offerings are sig
nificant for attracting new consumers and retaining established ones,
To remain competitive in open markets, the power utility companies mainly because brand loyalty is not as high as it once was. ML helps
must have a complete record of future consumers [145]. On the other determine the correct type of deal to make to a specific client at any
hand, ML will provide a more precise overview of consumer energy particular moment by examining buying patterns and customer details.
consumption. It also provides the data we use to enable data-driven Suppose the data shows that a consumer is about to relocate. In that
marketing strategies [62]. This ensures power utilities able to tell case, it may allow them to waive the connectivity charge at their new
when visitors or users visit the website [146]. The ML models used to address. This kind of customized product keeps us ahead of the
Fig. 17. Intelligent automation in utilities and energy distribution: (a) distribution of technical core-function cases by implementation complexity and advantages (b)
distribution of support-function cases by implementation complexity and advantages.
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competition and decreases churn probability with the customers. structures. It is a program used to solve power engineering problems by
Fig. 17 visualized the intelligent automation in utilities and energy converting them into mathematical expressions. Table 10 visualized the
distribution using ML models [51]. Fig. 17(a) reveals that more than power system software used in different energy distribution systems.
one-third (38%) of energy and utility organizations make much effort to Fig. 19 visualizes the power system simulator used to simulate the
adopt low-benefit but straightforward cases. On the other hand, the data and power flow by supplying energy to the miniaturized power
emphasis is less than one out of five (18%) of quick wins. Just 11% of grid.15 Power system infrastructure includes substations, power plants,
organizations rely on accelerated winning in support functions. Just transmission loads, and lines, which are stimulated by ML models of
over one out of four (26%) concentrate on use cases that are complicated miniature power equipment. The simulator is used to analyze the power
to have and less convincing. It is noted that 46% of utility companies grid fault conditions, real-time impact on the utility power grid, and re-
emphasize highly complex and beneficial applications which are used in develop a real-time electric power grid by flowing a small amount of
real-time applications of power system infrastructure (see Fig. 17(b)) electric current in the miniaturized power grid. These kinds of real-time
[51]. The percentage values indicate the implementation of use cases by simulations are useful for grid fault detection, the effect on the utility
utilities and energy organizations in each quadrant. grid, and countermeasures with a high-level penetration of renewable
energy. The data network that confirms international standards
4. ML software for energy distribution IEC61588 and IEC61850 using merging units and smart ML devices
incorporated in each model makes it possible to calculate, control, and
Bottom-up physics-based tools are used for urban building energy monitor the entire miniature grid just like an actual grid.
modeling and planning [148]. The urban modeling includes three basic
classes, including 1) transport analysis and land use; 2) energy modeling 5. Challenges of machine learning for energy distribution
and urban building; and 3) urban system energy modeling. Energy
modeling and urban building are divided into major types, including i) The preferences of consumers are moving to more automated
top-down approaches and ii) bottom-up approaches. The famous tools customized services and applications. The flexibility of grid systems is
for urban building energy planning includes: a) CitySim; b) SimStadt; c) rising behind-the-meter technology such as energy storage devices,
umi; d) CityBES; e) OpenIDEAS; f) CEA; g) URBANopt; and h) TEASER. hybrid cars, solar rooftops, and advanced metering technologies that
CitySim software was developed in C++ and Java language [149]. It enhances grid data availability and granularity. Simultaneously,
aims to facilitate the design of sustainable urbanized areas. It can model competition from electricity distribution threatens firm models of util
the energy usage of a few to tens of thousands of buildings. SimStadt is ities and accelerates a decrease in consumer loads. The most prominent
an urban energy modeling tool intended to facilitate the energy transi challenges of ML models are listed below:
tion preparation at the city level [150]. Energy ADE [151] and CityGML
[152] are proposed in JavaScript and incorporate the 3D city authen 1) Challenge of educating consumers: Many businesses face the task of
tication method. These tools are further used to explain the building’s training their consumers in their advanced technology imple
technical systems and fabrics. The urban modeling interface (UMI) was mentations. The same is true of ML engineers. The current ca
created to evaluate building energy usage at the community and city pacity of ML is overestimated by entrepreneurs, programmers,
scales and sustainable public transport options, daylighting, outdoor and managers. They hope that the algorithms will easily under
convenience, and food security [153]. City Building Energy Saver (Cit stand and predict complex problems accurately.
yBES) tool was used to optimize and simulate the building energy effi 2) New technologies: In reality, it is a relatively recent commercial
ciency/performance at a large-scale level [154]. OpenIDEAS is application of ML, particularly in the field of deep learning. Users
developed to use for a Modelica-based framework. need a wide assortment of well-ordered and planned data to
City energy analyst software is used to help manage energy con address questions. To answer questions, consumers need a broad
sumption data [155]. Python developed energy Analysis and Simulation range of well-ordered as well as scheduled data.
for Efficient Retrofit (TEASER) to integrate the USEM and UBEM [156]. 3) Overfitting mechanism: There are millions of variables in a stan
A detailed analysis of this software used in different building energy dard ML network, perhaps hundreds of millions. Tens of thou
modeling and analysis is given in Ref. [148]. Roberto et al. conducted a sands of records typically comprise a training data set. Although a
comprehensive study on energy assessment tools and methods [157]. network can recognize the training set and provide 100% precise
Henrik et al. describe the EnergyPLAN that has been widely used in and accurate responses, it can prove completely ineffective when
district cooling and heating systems and gas and electricity grids [158]. new data are provided. The mechanism is referred to as overfits
Fig. 18 (a & b) demonstrates the tools used for urban energy planning and is only one of the constraints of modern deep learning
and management [159]. Energy planners are facilitated in selecting methods in ML.
these tools based on skills, goals, and big data handling. As a result, 4) Talent deficit: Although many individuals and the energy industry
energy planners determine the most appropriate method for a given attract the ML market, few experts still have the opportunity to
application based on their expertise, goals, and data availability. improve this technology. A good data scientist who has not
The power system software can be classified into three major classes: enough experience in information engineering but who knows
1) power plants analysis software; 2) power engineering protection ML.
software; 3) and renewable energy controller software. The power plant 5) ML development: There are more layers in ML development. The
analysis software is based on computations and mathematical algo engineers create software that learns to carry out the tasks ex
rithms. It includes ETAP, DIgSILENT, PSS/E, CYME, etc. Simulating pected to reach the company objectives. It is much more chal
protection mechanisms for power plants and power systems is another lenging to incorporate just one or two levels.
form of power engineering protection software. This software simulates 6) Advanced energy technologies: Advanced energy technology usu
the activation of different power system protections, which secure ally needs increasing advanced and complex materials for pro
power lines, transformers, and other components. The renewable energy cesses and systems. Complexity is a concern for conventional
controller used different software, including DAC, ADC, 4-bit, 8-bit, 16- methods because of the large areas of the variable to investigate.
bit, and much more. The controller language is programmed with Newly developed materials are generally needed for two decades,
computer languages such as C++, C, Java, and others. Overall, software
in the power system for energy distribution is used to model, simulate,
and quantify power plants’ configuration, transmission, electrical grids, 15
Power System Simulator, https://www.fujielectric.com/products/energy_ct
lighting and grounding systems, and many other energy distribution rl_mng/b02.html, Accessed:03/12/2021.
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Fig. 18. Tools used for urban energy planning and management [159].
Table 10
Software used in power system protection.
Software Development Use of license Latest Developer Purpose in energy distribution
name history (C=Commercial) available
version
NAP 1990 C 4.0.1 Innovation Energie Constrained and initial load flow, short circuit, stability, and contingency
Développement analysis calculation.
NEPLAN 1988 C 10.8.1.2 NEPLAN AG Power system analysis, cloud computing, power system management,
real-time integration, grid code, SCADA/GIS integrations, transmission
and distribution networks, and assessment management.
SKM 1972 C 8.0.2.5 SKM Systems HI-WAVE, TMS, CAPTOR, IEE Wiring, and IEC 60909 Fault.
Analysis, Inc
CYME 1986 C 16.01 CYME International Voltage stability analysis and COM module.
PSSE 1976 C – Siemens Over timescales of a few seconds to tens of seconds, as well as in steady-
state situations.
EMTP 1982 C 4.1 EDF & RTE & Hydro- Electromagnetic transients’ programs, insulations issues.
Québec
ERACS 1990 C 3.9.10 RINA Consulting Ltd Modeling tool balanced 3-phase power systems stability analysis which
includes load flow of power systems, short/fault-circuit, protection
coordination, harmonics and G5/4, arc flash calculation modules, and
transient stability.
PSCAD 1986 C 4.003 Manitoba HVDC Short circuit analysis, power system optimization, cable pulling, power
Research Centre flow study, DC and AC arc flash measurement, contingency, and voltage
stability analysis, estimation of transmission line parameters, power
system control, and optimization, proactive device coordination.
XGSLab 2004 C 7.01 SINT Ingegneria GSA, XGSA FD, GSA FD, XGSA TD.
DIgSILENT 1985 C 2018 Dr. Martin Schmieg Grid code, power factor 2018, and station ware 2018.
ETAP 1986 C 19.0.1 Operation Power plant controller, power system management, microgrid controller,
Technology, Inc. SCADA, geospatial modeling, EMS, ADMS, transmission, and distribution
planning.
from discovery to implementation. Further, timing error pro storage technologies and creating experimental setups and
hibits new materials from being incorporated into products effi detailed evaluations for industrializing and marketing energy
ciently, compromising efficiency and competition. storage. Complete and robust cohesion, appropriate definition,
7) Technology developments: Achievable performance goals, estab accountability, openness, and energy storage requirements
lished ambitiously, and a comprehensive research and develop should also be established, offering good support to research and
ment portfolio to achieve these goals is also challenging. growth, storage applications, and energy generation, and
8) Energy storage devices and materials: The growing complexities of fostering the energy storage development technologies and
energy storage devices and energy storage systems and the vast related industries that are yet to be challenging.
volume of background data present considerable challenges for 10) Economic Challenges: Today, some countries’ energy storage
standard techniques and algorithms. New cutting-edge technol sector faces challenges such as lack of support for the legislation,
ogies overcome the challenges of the conventional methods for high costs, uncertain value, unhealthy business mechanism, and
increased precision, reliability, and optimization. other issues [160]. In the future, it would be important to take
9) Technology challenges: Firstly, energy storage development in into consideration two aspects: firstly, the proposal of alterna
cludes innovation and breakthrough, long-term storage, a high tives to the energy storage scheme involving power generators,
level of security for electrochemical storage, and low cost. electrical companies, researchers, economic and social organi
Furthermore, high efficiency and physical storage technology zations and, secondly, the promotion of an appropriate business
need low cost. The second point is that research concentrates on competition structure and subsidy strategy for new ML innova
simulating energy storage and optimizing the process in various tive technologies. Based on Woori’s prediction, the world energy
energy systems, theoretically supporting the utilization of energy storage cost will rise 26% per year in the future, and the total
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
energy storage market value in 2020 is noted up to $16 billion potential outages of electricity, and financial loss. The error in the
[160]. While energy storage has several market dynamics, the ML forecasting model lacks the overall system efficacy and per
key hurdles remain high costs, inadequate subsidy policies, an formance. Increased accuracy and an understanding of these
indeterminate pricing structure, and the business model. improvements to grid loads prevent cost-effectiveness errors and
11) Energy-efficiency perspective: ML strategies’ promise is great in make smarter grid management decisions.
addressing future green 5G and 6G energy management chal 15) Solar Energy: Solar power systems and associated technologies
lenges. ML’s methodologies such as federated learning, deep have become renewable energy sources. Their deployment at the
learning, and optimization may be discussed for the design and international level is extensively recognized. Due to the relative
optimization of the network orchestration and architecture cost- cost of installation,
effectively. ML learned network complexity for designing 5G and
6G air interfaces by acquiring dynamic network topology and poor conversion efficiency and battery capacity problems, solar
varying traffic patterns. ML would be more far-reaching and power is still not a widespread source of electricity compared with
critical as saving electricity employing diversified 5G and 6G conventional power sources. Despite the difficulties in deploying ML
technologies, such as smart grid, smart transmission and distri techniques, there is much groundbreaking research on emerging prac
bution networks, smart cities, and factory automation. On the tices such as AI, deep learning, big data, IoT, and new approaches to
other end, coordination and computing are generally needed in enhance the performance of solar power transformation efficiency in the
ML techniques. This could present a major obstacle for the design field of energy are needed. Many companies are working to overcome
and deployment of energy-efficient ML algorithms as well as of the above-said challenges with the use of ML in energy distribution.
future 5G and 6G networks in smart energy systems [161]. Table 11 demonstrates the consortiums, companies, and foundations
12) Demand response: First, demand response agents need to operate working on ML in energy distribution. According to our best knowledge,
in a partially observable atmosphere, i.e., agents are unable to just a few companies are listed in Table 11.
fully understand the units that were used for demand response,
other environments, and agents [162]. 6. ML opportunities towards a smart and sustainable future
13) Intermittent nature of renewable energy: Power utilities have chal
lenges and prospects for innovation and new technology in the The combination of resilient, low latency connectivity, high-speed,
energy sector. The intermittent nature of renewables requires the and technologies such as the ML will transform towards sustainable
pace of decision-making to leverage renewables that contradict smart energy industry distribution. With the environmental effects of
the conventional prediction models. In the meantime, the power generation and consumption growing, utilities aggressively pur
deployment of intelligent meters provides a thin and large energy sue novel alternatives to reduce their environmental effects. ML is
usage. Efficient processing and use of this information may pro currently being integrated by leaders of both the traditional and
vide new load forecasting prospects. renewable energy markets in many ways to increase alternative energy
14) COVID-19 Impact on energy demand and requirement: The coro use while improving the accuracy of renewable energy forecasts, energy
navirus pandemic provides an understanding of the energy use conservation, and usability. Among them, key points of ML towards a
and thus highlights vulnerabilities within utilities’ environments smart and sustainable future are listed below:
as one of the new challenges that utilities face. Poor predictions
or a general lack of forecasts negatively impact public infra 1) Energy investors: In the context of an ever more volatile economy,
structure, leading to waste of energy, higher operating costs, energy investors looking towards resilience are re-developing ML
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
energy market. Smart grids use automated and advanced technolo high-dimensional input data are now being used effectively. There
gies to control and track power transmission from all generating fore, recent advances in ML have raised the probability that
sources to meet end-user demand rapidly, quickly, and efficiently. data-orientated materials research would transform breakthroughs
Intelligent smart grids improve flexibility, device durability, and to provide innovative energy material development strategies. In
stability and minimize the climate’s disturbances, expense, and ef addition, recent developments in data-driven materials science also
fects. Some emerging technologies, including distributed generation show that ML technologies’ use would make it much simpler and
and microgrids, deliver electricity locally, create broader and more accelerate the discovery and delivery of state-of-the-art energy ma
stable networks, and lower line overload. Electricity storage com terials [168,169]. ML applications is used in different energy mate
plements renew energy while local energy supplies contribute to the rials, for illustrate, alkaline ion battery materials (e.g., electrolytes,
micro-grids reduction of all blackouts. The microgrid is fitted with electrodes, etc.) [170], catalytic materials [171,172], photovoltaic
local storage and power supply infrastructure based on independent materials (e.g., property screening and forecasting, solar conversion
distributor power supplies. To allow owners to produce their elec efficiency, organic PV, etc. (See Fig. 20)) [38,173,174], carbon di
tricity, microgrids often reduce their energy dependence by oxide capture materials [175,176], and catalytic materials [177].
contributing to cost reduction and avoiding peak consumption costs. 2) Energy storage technologies: In new energy applications such as inte
The microgrid will generate income if it produces an excess of grating renewable energies and peak load shaving technologies,
electricity allocated or supplied to the energy utilities. Whatever is energy storage technologies are well recognized. Fig. 21 visualized
said above is possible only due to advanced ML technologies. the operational power range versus the time of many new energy
3) ML reshaping the energy industry [92]: Renewable energy will be storage technologies. It demonstrates the suitability of many utility
supplied by 2050 up to 70% of the world’s total energy demand applications. For renewable energy integration and utility, life cycle,
[166]. The method we consume electricity is simultaneously output power, and energy storage capacity are the key criteria of
evolving. Large consumption of electric cars is projected in the material capacity and storage performance. In particular, the use of
coming years. Digitalization enables these key patterns of decar ML and the proliferation of storage would allow renewable energy to
bonization and decentralization. This reorganization of the energy be incorporated and dispatched to promote smarter grids that
distribution is made possible by modern ML technologies. depend less as well as inefficient power generation plants.
4) Data-driven strategies [167]: Data-driven strategies with the deploy 3) The United States Energy Department: The United States National
ment of ML in the utilities and power industry renders the platform Laboratories and Energy Department established an environment of
for management discussion around the implementation of research to achieve their scientific, technology, and safety missions
data-driven management and data-science to deliver energy strategy using ML techniques. This environment expands and enhances ML
in long-term perceptive, and consequently, competitive advantage programs, software, algorithms, processes, and applications. DOE
for a sustainable future. and its labs work together to promote technology advancement that
5) Decision making [136]: ML can enhance AI system efficiency for en ensures stability in the United States and competition with other
ergy distribution decision-making. Reinforcement learning can be federal departments, the industry, and academia [179].
used in any situation requiring decision-making in an inconsistently
changing environment. Machine control, robotics, and tuning (i.e., The United States Energy Department proposed different strategies
heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), optimization of the sup towards the use of ML in energy distribution. Strategy-1: initiate long-
ply chain (i.e., ML demonstrates how much of a given object to buy term investments in ML area for energy distribution; Strategy-2: the
from when and where), and crop yield optimization are all examples. development of effective techniques for human-ML collaboration;
Reinforcement learning (RL), a sub-class of ML, nearly often gener Strategy-3: address as well as understand the ethical, legal, and societal
ally requires instruction in a simulated environment. How will RL be repercussions of ML; Strategy-4: ensure the security and safety of ML
used to meet the Sustainable Development Goals? By training robots, systems; Strategy-5: proposed shared environments and shared public
drones, and smart devices how to make better choices in diverse use datasets for ML testing and training; Strategy-6: evaluate and measure
cases, RL will help us meet any or all of the Sustainable Development the ML techniques through benchmarks and standards; Strategy-7: better
Goals (SDGs), for illustrate, (Sustainable Development Goal 3 for understanding for research and development of ML techniques; and
well-being and health), (Sustainable Development Goal 9 for infra Strategy-8: expansion of the private and public partnership to accelerate
structure and industry innovation), (Sustainable Development Goal the advances in ML techniques.
12 for production and responsible consumption), etc.
4) The use of ML in Energy Science: The science office has allocated 13
7. Recent progress on properties and discovery of machine million US dollars to the development of ML as a platform for
learning in the energy distribution forecasting and scientific investigation. Developing applications
and algorithms for particular scientific programs would cost
It is widely expected that ML can change almost every part of our about $11 million.16 The remaining funds will be used to boost
society. The most commonly used subset of AI today is ML techniques. the predictability of ML models. The electricity office reported
Deep learning models or a subset of ML utilizes multi-level neural net federal support for many ML-related initiatives totaling $7
works in ML to learn from the massive amount of data stored from million. These initiatives are intended to help in the application
different energy sources, devices, and power system infrastructure. The and development of faster grid simulation and analytics in the
key point on the recent progress of ML in energy distribution is listed future.12 The “Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy” has
point-by-point below: launched a new initiative called design intelligence for energy
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
Fig. 20. The processes of ML emerging technologies for advanced organic solar cell stages of development [7].
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T. Ahmad et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 160 (2022) 112128
9) ML Supercomputing Capabilities: The US DOE has success in the markets (e.g., consumption patterns, price fluctuations, produc
national laboratories’ world-class supercomputing capabilities. tion metrics, and historical prices, etc.) [186].
The labs are also the home of four of the world’s ten fastest su
percomputers – establishing the US as the worldwide leader in the 8. Conclusion
area of high-tech ML computing. The most powerful supercom
puters include: 1) Cascade (e.g., 3 Petaflops); 2) Cori (e.g., 28 The supply of continuous energy to consumers has many challenges
Petaflops); 3) Mira (e.g., 10 Petaflops); 4) Joule 2.0 (e.g., 6 to address for power grids. Energy usage, weather patterns, even wild
Petaflops); 5) Sequoia (e.g., 20 Petaflops); 6) Lassen (e.g., 23 card incidents, internal failure, interferences, and lightning strokes from
Petaflops); 7) Theta (e.g., 7 Petaflops); 8) BeBop (e.g., 2 Peta wild animals can impact power delivery in energy distribution networks.
flops); 9) Summit (e.g., 200 petaflops); and 10) Trinity (e.g., 41 The ML is increasingly being applied to help forecast potential brownout
petaflops). Exascale computing is the next generation of conditions. This study covers the detailed review analysis for data-
computing systems. The Exascale computer can perform quintil driven probabilistic ML and its application for energy distribution. ML
lion computations per second, demonstrating the unprecedented models have been applied in a variety of applications for energy distri
breakthroughs in ML. More detailed analysis and recent progress bution. Power utilities and grid operators use ML to classify grid failure
concerning ML techniques’ supercomputing capabilities are conditions at generation, transmission, and the distribution level. Smart
given in Ref. [179]. meters and sensors such as phase measurement units render energy
10) Technology Advancement: To simulate the electrical system and consumption information in real-time. When we combine ML tools with
the complexity of different issues much faster than possible with simulated and historical data, ML is used to help and mitigate grid
current commonly used techniques, Argonne scientists are failure conditions, using different models such as demand-response
working on optimization methods that use ML and AI. The key optimization and grid balancing. Furthermore, recent advances in
emphasis is to speed up the electric system planning and daily data-driven systems engineering show that ML techniques can be used to
load flow analysis and calculations. facilitate and improve the deployment and development of advanced
11) Demand Response [181]: The demand response management and energy materials and electric infrastructure at the energy distribution
infrastructure are intended to track and use the real-time energy level.
consumption information to deliver the energy prices to thou ML models are used to figure out the fault conditions more precisely,
sands of consumers in real-time via the utility power grid. Cus supporting consumers to mitigate service interruption. For example,
tomers may respond to these rates and enable them to change discrete wavelet transforms with a SVM are used to locate the fault
their energy consumption in terms of gird conditions. Continued condition at energy distribution networks and systems. The grid balance
development can boost stability, cost savings, and sustainability - ensuring that electricity supplies meet energy demand - is one of the
by helping end-user applications consider how they need power main tasks for energy utilities and grid operators. However, weather-
grid changes. Information and such resilience would encourage dependent renewable sources make energy forecasting even harder.
the potential penetration of renewable energy into the power The most accurate tool for forecasting the demand for renewable energy
grid. generation is ML in energy distribution. ML leads to many weather
12) High Fidelity: Argonne National Laboratory increases high-fidelity variables (e.g., wind speed, wind direction, solar radiation, etc.) and
simulation with ML, such that the optimization of the design makes perfect energy forecasts by applying specialized methods such as
process is accelerated significantly while sustaining the data short-term neural networks. This saves operators money and conserves
durability. In this scenario, a task or job that takes hours using power plant energy.
high-fidelity alone takes a milliseconds optimization process More and more cyberattacks are being used to target important
augmented by ML. power system infrastructure, such as hijacking the power system control
13) Smart Energy Materials Manufacturing [38]: Advanced processing and demanding money. Utilities and grid operators use ML to distin
techniques require multi-component structures and intricate guish between a malfunction (for illustrating, short circuit faults) or a
thermo-chemical processes resulting in a high data volume, often disruption in the power grid and a smart cyber-attack (such as false data
at a high pace. Optimally, operators can get immediate data/ injection to the power system). Symbolic dynamic filtering theory is
feedback on the characteristics of manufacturing of energy ma used for feature extraction to explore causal interactions between the
terials and process variables in real-time to find new processes subsystems without overburdening computer systems. When tested at
and phenomena faster and adapt to increase effectiveness and power distribution systems, 99% of cyber-attacks were correctly iden
efficiency. However, existing methods offer “postmortem” tified with a true positive rate of 98% and a demonstrably false rate of
data/feedback long after the manufacturing process is completed. less than 2%.
ML methods are used to optimize the analyze the manufacturing The use of ML models has been well recognized in energy market
process. information management (e.g., financial assurance, market mitigation
14) Solar Energy breakthroughs with ML [58]: There are five directions and monitoring), market operations (e.g., economic dispatch, unit
where ML takes advantage of advances in the field of solar commitment, security constrained, energy reserve calculation and re
technology. These areas of research include 1) smart infrastruc quirements, system black start capability, voltage control and reactive
ture design for solar energy forms and systems (e.g., optimal supply), power system modeling (e.g., data acquisition, supervisory
sizing, weather conditions, accurate geographical placement, control, and power system modeling), outage and forecast (e.g., climate
etc.); 2) smart maintenance of solar power plants (e.g., advanced forecast, energy demand forecast, and outage scheduling), transmission
sensors, failure prediction, anomaly detection, and real-time scheduling (e.g., tagging, external scheduling, transmission capacity
power system data) [182]; 3) solar energy generation fore measurement, and energy distribution network reservation), grid oper
casting (e.g., historical satellite data, environmental and ations (e.g., dispatch management, state estimation, dynamic limit
real-time forecast information can be integrated into and evalu estimation, automatic energy production control, resource performance
ated using optimization analytics to support hardware mainte monitoring, voltage stability analysis, resource capacity analysis, flow
nance decisions) [183]; 4) optimization process of power gate calculation and power flow, and contingency analysis), grid set
transmission and distribution networks (e.g., integration of en tlements (e.g., internal scheduling, billing, energy tariffs, metering,
ergy consumption data [184], proactive monitoring of distrib reliability, and ancillary services), utility organization (e.g., customer
uted grid, etc.) [185]; and 5) well understanding of solar energy data management), energy distribution control (e.g., load monitoring,
alarm processing, and logging), energy security (e.g., policy
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